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CHAPTER 9
Net Present Value and Other Investment Criteria
The difference between the market value of a project
and its cost
Estimating NPV: (DCF)
The first step is to estimate the expected future
cash flows.
The second step is to estimate the required return
for projects of this risk level.
The third step is to find the present value of the
cash flows and subtract the initial investment.
Net Present Value
If the NPV is positive, accept the project
A positive NPV means that the project is expected to
add value to the firm and will therefore increase the
wealth of the owners.
Since our goal is to increase owner wealth, NPV is a
direct measure of how well this project will meet our
goal.
NPV – Decision Rule
The amount of time required for an
investment to generate cash flows sufficient
to recover its initial cost.
An investment is accepted if its
calculated period is less than some
prespecified number of years
Payback Period
E D C B A Year
-50$ -200$ -200$ -200$ -100 $ 0
100 100 40 40 30 1
-50,000,000 100 20 20 40 2
-200 10 10 50 3
200 130 60 4
Example
Does the payback rule account for the time value of
money?
Does the payback rule account for the risk of the cash
flows?
Does the payback rule provide an indication about the
increase in value?
Should we consider the payback rule for our primary
decision rule?
Analyzing the rule
short Long Year
-250$ -250$ 0
100 100 1
200 100 2
0 100 3
0 100 4
Example
Advantages Easy to understand Adjusts for uncertainty of later cash flows Biased toward liquidity
Advantages and Disadvantages of Payback
Disadvantages Ignores the time
value of money Requires an
arbitrary cutoff point
Ignores cash flows beyond the cutoff date
Biased against long-term projects, such as research and development, and new projects
The length of time required for an
investment’s discounted cash flows to equal
its initial cost.
An investment is acceptable if its
discounted payback is less than some
prespecified number of years
Discounted Payback Period
Accumulated cash flow
Cash flow
discounted undiscounted
discounted undiscounted
year
89 100 89$ 100$ 1
168 200 79 100 2
238 300 70 100 3
300 400 62 100 4
355 500 55 100 5
Example
Does the discounted payback rule account for the
time value of money?
Does the discounted payback rule account for the
risk of the cash flows?
Does the discounted payback rule provide an
indication about the increase in value?
Should we consider the discounted payback rule for
our primary decision rule?
Decision Criteria Test – Discounted Payback
Advantages Includes time value of money Easy to understand Does not accept negative estimated NPV investments when all future cash flows are positive Biased towards liquidity
Advantages and Disadvantages of Discounted Payback
Disadvantages May reject positive
NPV investments Requires an
arbitrary cutoff point
Ignores cash flows beyond the cutoff point
Biased against long-term projects, such as R&D and new products
Cash flow year
-34,000$ 0
16,000 1
18,000 2
15,000 3
Ex 8 Page 293
Suppose the firm uses the NPV decision rule. At a
required return of 11 percent, should the firm accept
the project? What of the required return was 30
percent?
Cash flow year
-19,500$ 0
9,800 1
10,300 2
8,600 3
Ex 11 Page 294
What is the NPV at a discount rate of zero percent?
What is the payback period for the following
set of cash flows?
Ex 1 Page 292
Cash flow year
-6,400$ 0
1,600 1
1,900 2
2,300 3
1,400 4
An investment project provides cash inflows
of 765$ per year for eight years. What is the
project payback period if the initial cost is
2,400$?
Ex 2 Page 293
An investment project has annual cash
inflows of 4,200$ , 5,300$ , 6,100$ and
7,400$, and a discount rate of 14 percent.
What is the discounted payback period for
these cash flows if the initial cost is 13,000?
Ex 4 Page 293
An investment’s average net income divided
by its average book value
A project is acceptable if its average
accounting return exceeds a target
average accounting return
Average Accounting Return
Suppose we are deciding whether to open a
store in anew shopping mall. The required
investment in improvements is 500,000$.
The store would have a five-year life. The
required investment would be 100 percent
depreciated. The tax rate is 25 percent. Net
income for the five years as follow:
Example
NI year
100,000 1
150,000 2
50,000 3
0 4
-50,000 5
Does the AAR rule account for the time value of money?
Does the AAR rule account for the risk of the cash
flows?
Does the AAR rule provide an indication about the
increase in value?
Should we consider the AAR rule for our primary
decision rule?
Decision Criteria Test - AAR
Advantages
Easy to calculate
Needed information
will usually be available
Advantages and Disadvantages of AAR
Disadvantages
Not a true rate of
return; time value
of money is ignored
Based on
accounting net
income and book
values, not cash
flows and market
values
The discounted rate that makes the NPV of
an investment zero
This is the most important alternative to NPV
An investment is acceptable if the IRR
exceeds the required return
Internal Rate of Return
Does the IRR rule account for the time value of money?
Does the IRR rule account for the risk of the cash flows?
Does the IRR rule provide an indication about the
increase in value?
Should we consider the IRR rule for our primary decision
criteria?
Decision Criteria Test - IRR
Advantageous
o Closely related to NPV leading to identical
decisions
o Easy to understand and communicate
Advantages and Disadvantages of IRR
NPV directly measures the increase in value
to the firm
Whenever there is a conflict between NPV
and another decision rule, you should
always use NPV
Conflicts Between NPV and IRR
A firm evaluates all of its projects by
applying the IRR. If the required return is 16
percent, should the firm accept the following
project?
Ex 7 Page 293
CF year
-$34,000 0
16,000 1
18,000 2
15,000 3
A project that provides annual cash flows of
28,500$ for nine years costs 138,000$ today.
Is this a good project if the required rate of
return is 20 percent? At what discount rate
would you be indifferent between accepting
the project and rejecting it?
Ex 9 Page 293
The present value of an investment’s future
value cash flows divided by its initial cost.
This measure can be very useful in situations
in which we have limited capital
Profitability Index
Advantages Closely related to NPV, generally leading to
identical decisions Easy to understand and communicate May be useful when available investment
funds are limited
Advantages of Profitability Index
What is the profitability index for the
following set of cash flows if the relevant
discount rate is 22 percent?
Ex 15 Page 294
CF year
-14,000$ 0
7,300 1
6,900 2
5,700 3
We should consider several investment
criteria when making decisions
NPV and IRR are the most commonly used
primary investment criteria
Payback is a commonly used secondary
investment criteria
Capital Budgeting In Practice
An investment project has the following cash flows:
CF0 = -1,000,000; C01 – C08 = 200,000 each
If the required rate of return is 12%, what decision
should be made using NPV?
How would the IRR decision rule be used for this
project, and what decision would be reached?
Comprehensive Problem