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Chapter 13
Multiple Deposit Creation and the Money Supply Process
1Dr. Reyadh Faras
Money Supply (MS) Process
Definition: The mechanism that determines the money supply, or the implementation of monetary policy.
It is important to understand the MS Process to
understand exactly how do the tools of monetary policy change the money supply, and thereby affect economic indicators (e.g. interest rates, inflation, output, employment).
2Dr. Reyadh Faras
THE FOUR PLAYERS IN THE MS PROCESS 1 .The central bank
The most important player since it ultimately controls the supply of money in the economy.
2. Commercial banks Depository institutions that accept deposits and
make loans. 3. Depositors Bank customers (individuals, companies and
institutions) holding bank deposits. 4. Borrowers from banks Bank customers (individuals, companies, etc) who
borrow money from banks.
3Dr. Reyadh Faras
CENTRAL BANK'S BALANCE SHEET AND THE MONETARY BASE
Monetary policy works by affecting the Central bank's balance sheet.
Assets
1 .Securities:
Most of the assets are government securities.
2 .Discount Loans:
Loans that the central bank makes to banks.
4Dr. Reyadh Faras
Liabilities1. Currency in Circulation:
Cash in the hands of the public, outside the banking
system.
2. Reserves:
Which are in the form of either:
a) bank deposits at the central bank (RR), or
b) cash at commercial banks (ER).
Reserves are a liability of the Central Bank and an asset for commercial banks
5Dr. Reyadh Faras
The Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet
Dr. Reyadh Faras 6
Monetary Base Known also as high-powered money because an
increase in it leads to multiple increases in the money supply.
Consists of central bank notes outstanding, coins and reserves.
Central bank notes outstanding and coins can be defined as currency in circulation (C), thus the monetary base is defined as:
MB = C (currency) + R (reserves)
7Dr. Reyadh Faras
CONTROL OF THE MONETARY BASE (MB) Open market operations:
Definition: The purchase and sale of government securities by the Central Bank.
Expansionary monetary policy: When the Central
Bank wants to stimulate the economy, it increases the MS through an open market purchase of securities, or discount loans.
Contractionary monetary policy: When the Central Bank wants to slowdown the economy, it reduces the MS through an open market sale of securities, or increasing (RRR).
8Dr. Reyadh Faras
Open Market Operations
Open Market Purchase from a Bank
The C.B. buys government securities from a bank. The bank gives the C.B. $100 government securities. The C.B. pays for the securities by increasing the
bank’s reserves by $100.
9Dr. Reyadh Faras
The bank: reserves increase by $100 while its holdings of securities decline by $100.
The T-account for the bank is:
Commercial Bank
AssetsLiabilities
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Central Bank: liabilities increase by $100 because of the increase in __________, while its assets increase by $100 because of the increase in its ___________.
The T-account for the central bank is:
The Central Bank
Result:
Reserves and MB increased by $100 (amount of OMO), but money supply increased by more than $100 (Why?).
AssetsLiabilities
11Dr. Reyadh Faras
Open Market Purchase from Non-bank Public
Non-bank public: Any natural or judicial person other than commercial banks.
There are two possible cases:
CASE 1:The central bank buys a ($100) government security from the non-bank public, and the seller makes a bank deposit.
The T-account for the non-bank public is:
Non-Bank Public
AssetsLiabilities
12Dr. Reyadh Faras
When the commercial bank receives the check, it credits the depositor's account with $100 and then deposits the check at its account at the central bank who increases its _______ by $_____.
The T-account for the commercial bank is:
Commercial Bank
AssetsLiabilities
13Dr. Reyadh Faras
The central bank's holdings of _______ increase by $____, while the _______ increase by $____.
The Central Bank
Similar to the case of purchasing securities from a bank (increase in ____, _____ and ____)
AssetsLiabilities
14Dr. Reyadh Faras
CASE 2: The central bank buys a ($100) T-Bond from the non-bank public, and the person cashes the check.
The T-account for the non-bank public is:
Non-Bank Public
AssetsLiabilities
15Dr. Reyadh Faras
The central bank's holdings of _______increase by $____, while _________ increase by $____.
The Central Bank
Result:
Reserves unchanged, while (C) and (MB) increased by the amount of the OMO.
AssetsLiabilities
16Dr. Reyadh Faras
General Result for purchases:
The effect of open market purchase is to increase the MB by the amount of the OMO whether the seller keeps the proceeds in deposits or in currency.
17Dr. Reyadh Faras
Open Market Sale
If the central bank sells $100 of bonds to a bank or non-bank public, the monetary base declines by $100.
If the buyer pays for the bonds with currency, his T-account is:
Non-Bank Public
AssetsLiabilities
18Dr. Reyadh Faras
The central bank lowers its holdings of securities and currency by $100. Its T-account is:
The Central Bank
AssetsLiabilities
ResultOpen market sale reduces MB by the same amount, although reserves are unchanged (Why?)
19Dr. Reyadh Faras
General result for sale and purchases
The effect of OMOs on MB is more certain than its effect on reserves.
Thus, the central bank can control MB more effectively than reserves by using OMOs.
20Dr. Reyadh Faras
Discount Loans
Commercial Bank
The Central Bank
AssetsLiabilities
AssetsLiabilities
ResultIf the Central Bank makes a discount loan, (R) and (MB) increase by the same amount.
21Dr. Reyadh Faras
Shifts from Deposits into CurrencyCommercial Bank
The Central Bank
AssetsLiabilities
AssetsLiabilities
ResultHas no effect on the central bank liabilities because the increase in (C) is cancelled out by a decline in (R).
22Dr. Reyadh Faras
MULTIPLE DEPOSIT CREATION: A SIMPLE MODEL
Assumptions:
The commercial bank holds no excess reserves. The public don’t hold cash. The required reserve ratio is 10%.
23Dr. Reyadh Faras
MULTIPLE DEPOSIT CREATION:A SIMPLE MODEL
Deposit Creation: The Single Bank
Assume that the central bank conducts Open Market Purchase of $100 from a bank. The T-account is:
1) Open Market Purchase
AssetsLiabilities
24Dr. Reyadh Faras
25
2) Making a loan
AssetsLiabilities
3 (The bank deposits the loan in the borrower’s account
AssetsLiabilities
Dr. Reyadh Faras
AssetsLiabilities
4) The borrower withdraws the amount of the loan
5) The final effect on the bank’s balance sheet
AssetsLiabilities
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Result:
The initial increase in reserves from the open market purchase has been converted by the bank into $100 of additional loans and $100 of deposits.
27Dr. Reyadh Faras
Deposit Creation: The Banking System
1) Assume the $100 deposit (created by the loan) is deposited at bank (A), the T-account is:
Bank A
AssetsLiabilities
Bank (A)’s required reserves equal $______, and excess reserves equal $______ The maximum amount of loans the bank can make is $______.
28Dr. Reyadh Faras
2) Bank (A) makes a loan
Bank AAssetsLiabilities
The borrower from Bank (A) uses the money to make purchases3) The seller deposits the amount of the purchase in his bank (B)
Bank BAssetsLiabilities
29Dr. Reyadh Faras
Bank (B) now has $___ of reserves. It only needs $____ as required reserves, it can lend $_____.
Bank (B) creates a new loan of $____ and a new deposit of $___ for the borrower. When check clears, R= $___, L= $ ___ and D= $ ___. T-account of Bank B is:
Bank (B)
AssetsLiabilities
The $ ____ spent by the borrower (from Bank B) will be deposited in another bank (Bank C).
30Dr. Reyadh Faras
Result: The initial increase in reserves in the banking system
of $____, so far has increased checkable deposits in the system by $ 271 (= ____+ ____ +____).
As a result, if all banks make loans for the full amount of their excess reserves, the total increase in deposits will be $ 1000.
In general, deposits increase as follows:
∆ D = (1/RRR) x ∆ R
= (1/____) x (_____) = $______ Where ∆ D = change in checkable bank deposits (D)
RRR = required reserve ratio ∆ R = change in Reserves (R)
31Dr. Reyadh Faras
Deposit Creation
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The Money Supply Expansion and Contraction Processes
33Dr. Reyadh Faras
Simple Deposit Multiplier The multiple increase in deposits generated from an
increase in the banking system's reserves. The simple multiple deposit creation process depends
on two factors to get full potential deposit expansion of the Simple Deposit Multiplier on D, e.g. 10X:
1. Banks hold NO excess reserves (ER) 2. No cash (C) is held by the public
Note: The central bank directly controls the MB, but can't
directly control MS, it is influenced by public's behavior (cash demand) and bank's behavior (holding excess reserves).
34Dr. Reyadh Faras