Chapter 13 Inventory Decision Self

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    Chapter 13

    InventoryManagement

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    Inventory

    Stock of items kept by anorganization to meet internal or

    external customer demand. Inventory management answers

    two questions

    How much to orderWhen to order

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    Types of Inventory

    Raw materials

    Purchased parts and supplies

    Labor

    In-process (partially completed) products

    Component parts

    Working capital

    Tools, machinery, and equipment

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    Reasons to Hold

    InventoryMeet unexpected demand

    Smooth seasonal or cyclical demand

    Meet variations in supplier deliveries

    Take advantage ofprice discounts

    Hedge against priceincreases

    Quantity discounts

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    Two Forms of Demand

    Dependent

    Items used internally to produce finalproducts

    Independent Items demanded by external customers

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    Inventory CostsCarrying Cost/Holding Cost

    Cost of holding an item in inventory

    Ordering Cost Cost of replenishing inventory

    Shortage Cost/Stock Out cost

    Temporary or permanent loss ofsales when demand cannot be met

    Set Up Cost

    Costs for arranging specifice ui ment setu s, etc

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    Carrying Cost Cost of holding an item in inventory

    Cost depends on Quantity of inventory

    Length of time

    Cost that increases linearly the number of units

    Examples Facility of Storage ( rent, power, heat cooling etc)

    Material Handling Equipment

    Labor

    Record keeping

    Production deterioration, spoilage

    Two ways to specify carrying cost

    Assign total carrying cost(sum all the individual cost on perunit per time bases. (Example Rs 10 per unit per year)

    Percentage of value of an item or % of average inventory

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    Ordering Cost The cost of replenishing inventory

    Expressed as amount/order and areindependent of the order size.

    Any cost that increases linearly with

    number of orders

    Examples Requisition and purchase order

    Transportation and shipping Receiving

    Inspection

    Handling

    Accounting and auditing

    Increase in order size , decrease in order cost, increase in carrying

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    Shortage Cost

    Temporary or permanent loss ofsales when demand can not be met

    Result into

    loss of profit Customer dissatisfaction

    Loss of goodwill

    Permanent loss of customer and futuresale

    Work stopage result into downtimecost and cost of lost production

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    10

    Single-Period Inventory Model One time purchasing decision (Example:

    vendor selling t-shirts at a football game)

    Seeks to balance the costs of inventory

    overstock and under stock Multi-Period Inventory Models

    Fixed-Order Quantity Models

    Event triggered (Example: running out of

    stock) Fixed-Time Period Models

    Time triggered (Example: Monthly sales callby sales representative)

    11

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    11

    uo

    u

    CC

    CP

    soldbeunit willy that theProbabilit

    estimatedunderdemandofunitperCostCestimatedoverdemandofunitperCostC

    :Where

    u

    o

    P

    This model states that we

    should continue toincrease the size of theinventory so long as theprobability of selling the

    last unit added is equal toor greater than the ratioof: Cu/Co+Cu

    12

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    12

    Our college basketball team is playing in atournament game this weekend. Based on ourpast experience we sell on average 2,400 shirtswith a standard deviation of 350. We make Rs100

    on every shirt we sell at the game, but lose Rs50on every shirt not sold. How many shirts shouldwe make for the game?Cu=Rs100 and Co= Rs50; P 100 / (100 + 50) = .667

    Z.667 = .432 (use NORMSDIST(.667) or Appendix E)therefore we need 2,400 + .432(350) = 2,551 shirts

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    Inventory ControlSystems (Multi Period

    Inventory Models)Continuous system (fixed-order-

    quantity Model/ Perpetual system/EOQor Q Model)

    Periodic system (fixed-time-period/Period Review system/P Model)

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    Continuous System

    Constant amount ordered when inventory declines toreorder point (predetermined level)

    The order that is placed is of fixed amount that

    minimize the total inventory cost. This amount iscalled EOQ(Economic Order Quantity).

    Positive features is continuous monitoring.

    Negative aspect :: maintaining a continuous

    record is costly Check out system with a laser scanner used by

    super malls

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    Periodic system

    Order placed for variable amount after fixedpassage of time

    Decision of order quantity is taken each timewhen order is placed

    No need to monitor inventory in betweenthe time intervals

    Positive aspects :: no need of recordkeeping, larger inventory level to guardagainst unexpected stockouts

    Disadvantage :: less direct control

    Exam le :: Colle e bookstore

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    ABC Classification

    System An inventory classification system wheresmall % of items account for most of theinventory value

    Demand volume and value of items vary Classify inventory into 3 categories,

    typically on the basis of the dollar valueto the firm

    PERCENTAGE PERCENTAGECLASS OF UNITS OF DOLLARS

    A 5 - 15 70 - 80B 30 15

    C 50 - 60 5 - 10

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    Each class requires different level of

    inventory monitoring and control

    the higher the value of the inventorythe tighter the control

    Rationale for ABC Classification ::

    Continuous inventory monitoring wasexpensive and not justified for manyitems

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    First Step in ABC Analysis is to classify allinventory items as either A,B or C

    Assign a dollar value to each item, which is computedby multiplying the dollar cost of one unit by the annualdemand for that item.

    Rank all the items according to their annual dollar value( the top 10% as A items, the next 30% as B items andthe last 60% as C items

    Second Step is to determine the level of inventorycontrol for each classification

    Class A ::

    tight inventory control.

    Inventory level should be as low as possible,

    minimized safety stock

    Need accurate demand forecast and detailed recordkeeping

    Appropriate inventory ctrl system and inventory modelingprocedure should be used to determine the order quantity

    Close attention to be given to purchasing policies andprocedures

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    Class B and C need less stringent inventory

    control

    Carrying cost of Class C is usually lower,therefore it is possible to maintain a largersafety stock

    No need to control C items beyond simpleobservation

    Apart from cost, the scarcity of parts

    or difficulty of supply may also bereasons for giving high priority

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    ABC Classification

    1 $ 60 902 350 40

    3 30 1304 80 605 30 1006 20 1807 10 1708 320 509 510 60

    10 20 120

    PART UNIT COST ANNUAL USAGE

    Example 10.1

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    ABC Classification

    Example 10.1

    1 $ 60 902 350 403 30 1304 80 605 30 1006 20 1807 10 170

    8 320 509 510 60

    10 20 120

    PART UNIT COST ANNUAL USAGETOTAL % OF TOTAL % OF TOTALPART VALUE VALUE QUANTITY % CUMMULATIVE

    9 $30,600 35.9 6.0 6.08 16,000 18.7 5.0 11.02 14,000 16.4 4.0 15.0

    1 5,400 6.3 9.0 24.04 4,800 5.6 6.0 30.03 3,900 4.6 10.0 40.06 3,600 4.2 18.0 58.05 3,000 3.5 13.0 71.0

    10 2,400 2.8 12.0 83.07 1,700 2.0 17.0 100.0

    $85,400

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    ABC Classification

    Example 10.1

    1 $ 60 902 350 403 30 1304 80 605 30 1006 20 1807 10 170

    8 320 509 510 60

    10 20 120

    PART UNIT COST ANNUAL USAGETOTAL % OF TOTAL % OF TOTALPART VALUE VALUE QUANTITY % CUMMULATIVE

    9 $30,600 35.9 6.0 6.08 16,000 18.7 5.0 11.02 14,000 16.4 4.0 15.0

    1 5,400 6.3 9.0 24.04 4,800 5.6 6.0 30.03 3,900 4.6 10.0 40.06 3,600 4.2 18.0 58.05 3,000 3.5 13.0 71.0

    10 2,400 2.8 12.0 83.07 1,700 2.0 17.0 100.0

    $85,400

    A

    B

    C

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    ABC Classification

    Example 10.1

    1 $ 60 902 350 403 30 1304 80 605 30 1006 20 1807 10 170

    8 320 509 510 60

    10 20 120

    PART UNIT COST ANNUAL USAGETOTAL % OF TOTAL % OF TOTALPART VALUE VALUE QUANTITY % CUMMULATIVE

    9 $30,600 35.9 6.0 6.08 16,000 18.7 5.0 11.02 14,000 16.4 4.0 15.0

    1 5,400 6.3 9.0 24.04 4,800 5.6 6.0 30.03 3,900 4.6 10.0 40.06 3,600 4.2 18.0 58.05 3,000 3.5 13.0 71.0

    10 2,400 2.8 12.0 83.07 1,700 2.0 17.0 100.0

    $85,400

    A

    B

    C

    % OF TOTAL % OF TOTAL

    CLASS ITEMS VALUE QUANTITY

    A 9, 8, 2 71.0 15.0B 1, 4, 3 16.5 25.0C 6, 5, 10, 7 12.5 60.0

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    ABC Classification

    100

    80

    60

    40

    20

    0| | | | | |

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    % of Quantity

    %o

    fValue

    A

    B

    C

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    EOQ Model

    A formula to determine the optimalorder size that minimizes the sum ofcarrying cost and ordering cost

    Assumptions of Basic EOQ Model Demand is known with certainty and

    is constant over time

    No shortages are allowed

    Lead time for the receipt of orders isconstant

    The order quantity is received all atonce

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    The Inventory Order Cycle

    Time

    Inventor

    yLevel

    Reorder point, R

    Order quantity, Q

    0

    Figure 10.1

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    The Inventory Order Cycle

    Demandrate

    TimeLeadtime

    Leadtime

    Orderplaced

    Orderplaced

    Orderreceipt

    Orderreceipt

    Inventor

    yLevel

    Reorder point, R

    Order quantity, Q

    0

    Figure 10.1

    28

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    R = Reorder point

    Q = Economic order quantity

    L = Lead time

    L L

    Q QQ

    R

    Time

    Number

    of unitson hand

    1. You receive an order quantity

    Q.

    2. Your startusing them up

    over time.

    3. When you reach down

    to a level of inventory of

    R, you place your next Q

    sized order.

    4. The cycle thenrepeats.

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    EOQ Cost ModelCo

    - cost of placing order D- annual demandCc

    - annual per-unit carrying cost Q- order quantity

    Annual ordering cost =

    CoD

    Q

    Annual carrying cost =CcQ

    2

    Total cost = +

    CoD

    Q

    CcQ

    2

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    EOQ Cost ModelCo

    - cost of placing order D- annual demandCc

    - annual per-unit carrying cost Q- order quantity

    Annual ordering cost =

    CoD

    Q

    Annual carrying cost =CcQ

    2

    Total cost = +

    CoD

    Q

    CcQ

    2

    TC = +CoD

    Q

    CcQ

    2

    = +CoD

    Q2

    Cc

    2

    TC

    Q

    0 = - +C

    0D

    Q2

    Cc

    2

    Qopt =2C

    oD

    Cc

    Deriving Qopt Proving equality ofcosts at optimal point

    =

    CoD

    Q

    CcQ

    2

    Q2 =2C

    oD

    Cc

    Qopt =2CoD

    Cc

    31

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    H2

    Q+S

    Q

    D+DC=TC

    Total

    Annual =

    Cost

    Annual

    Purchase

    Cost

    Annual

    Ordering

    Cost

    Annual

    Holding

    Cost+ +

    TC=Total annual

    cost

    D =Demand

    C =Cost per unit

    Q =Order quantity

    S =Cost of placing

    an order or setup

    costR =Reorder point

    L =Lead time

    H=Annual holding

    and storage cost

    per unit of inventory

    32

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    Using calculus, we take the first derivative of

    the total cost function with respect to Q, andset the derivative (slope) equal to zero,solving for the optimized (cost minimized)

    value of QoptQ =

    2DS

    H=

    2(Annual D em and)(Order or Setup Cost)

    Annual Holding CostO PT

    R eorder point, R = d L_

    d = average daily demand (constant)

    L = Lead time (constant)

    _

    We also need areorder point totell us when toplace an order

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    EOQ Cost Model

    Order Quantity, Q

    Annualcost ($)

    Figure 10.2

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    EOQ Cost Model

    Figure 10.2

    Order Quantity, Q

    Annualcost ($)

    Ordering Cost =

    CoD

    Q

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    EOQ Cost Model

    Order Quantity, Q

    Annualcost ($)

    Carrying Cost =

    CcQ

    2

    Ordering Cost =

    CoD

    Q

    Figure 10.2

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    EOQ Cost Model

    Slope = 0

    Total Cost

    Order Quantity, Q

    Annualcost ($)

    Minimumtotal cost

    Optimal orderQopt

    Carrying Cost =

    CcQ

    2

    Ordering Cost =

    CoD

    Q

    Figure 10.2

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    EOQ Example

    Cc

    = $0.75 per yard Co

    = $150 D= 10,000 yards

    Qopt =2C

    oD

    Cc

    Qopt =2(150)(10,000)

    (0.75)

    Qopt = 2,000 yards

    TCmin = +CoD

    Q

    CcQ

    2

    TCmin = +(150)(10,000)

    2,000

    (0.75)(2,000)

    2

    TCmin = $750 + $750 = $1,500

    Orders per year = D/Qopt

    = 10,000/2,000

    = 5 orders/year

    Order cycle time = 311 days/(D/Qopt)

    = 311/5

    = 62.2 store days

    Example 10.2

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    EOQ with

    Noninstantaneous Receipt

    Q(1-d/p)

    Inventorylevel

    (1-d/p)Q2

    Time0

    Maximum

    inventorylevel

    Averageinventorylevel

    Figure 10.3

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    EOQ with

    Noninstantaneous Receipt

    Q(1-d/p)

    Inventorylevel

    (1-d/p)Q2

    Time0

    Orderreceipt period

    Beginorder

    receipt

    Endorder

    receipt

    Maximum

    inventorylevel

    Averageinventorylevel

    Figure 10.3

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    EOQ with

    Noninstantaneous Receiptp= production rate d= demand rate

    Maximum inventory level = Q- d

    = Q1 -

    Q

    p

    dp

    Average inventory level = 1 -

    Q

    2

    d

    p

    TC= + 1 -dp

    CoD

    Q

    CcQ

    2

    Qopt =

    2CoD

    Cc 1 - d

    p

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    Production QuantityCc

    = $0.75 per yard Co

    = $150 D= 10,000 yards

    d= 10,000/311 = 32.2 yards per day p= 150 yards per day

    Qopt = = = 2,256.8 yards

    2CoD

    Cc 1 - d

    p

    2(150)(10,000)

    0.75 1 -32.2150

    TC= + 1 - = $1,329dp

    CoD

    Q

    CcQ

    2

    Production run = = = 15.05 days per orderQp

    2,256.8

    150

    Example 10.3

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    Production QuantityCc

    = $0.75 per yard Co

    = $150 D= 10,000 yards

    d= 10,000/311 = 32.2 yards per day p= 150 yards per day

    Qopt = = = 2,256.8 yards

    2CoD

    Cc 1 - d

    p

    2(150)(10,000)

    0.75 1 -32.2150

    TC= + 1 - = $1,329dp

    CoD

    Q

    CcQ

    2

    Production run = = = 15.05 days per orderQp

    2,256.8

    150

    Number of production runs = = = 4.43 runs/yearDQ

    10,0002,256.8

    Maximum inventory level = Q 1 - = 2,256.8 1 -

    = 1,772 yards

    d

    p

    32.2

    150

    Example 10.3

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    Quantity Discounts Price per unit decreases as order

    quantity increases

    TC= + + PDCoDQ

    CcQ2

    where

    P= per unit price of the itemD= annual demand

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    Quantity Discounts Price per unit decreases as order

    quantity increases

    TC= + + PDCoDQ

    CcQ2

    where

    P= per unit price of the itemD= annual demand

    ORDER SIZE PRICE

    0 - 99 $10100 - 199 8 (d1)

    200+ 6 (d2)

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    Quantity Discount Model

    Figure 10.4

    Inventorycost($)

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    Quantity Discount Model

    Figure 10.4

    Qopt

    Carrying cost

    Ordering cost

    Inventorycost($)

    Q(d1 ) = 100 Q(d2 ) = 200

    TC(d2 = $6 )

    TC(d1 = $8 )

    TC= ($10 )

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    Quantity Discount

    QUANTITY PRICE

    1 - 49 $1,400

    50 - 89 1,100

    90+ 900

    Co= $2,500

    Cc= $190 per computer

    D= 200

    Qopt = = = 72.5 PCs2C

    oD

    Cc

    2(2500)(200)

    190

    TC= + + PD= $233,784

    CoD

    Qopt

    CcQopt

    2

    For Q= 72.5

    TC= + + PD= $194,105CoD

    Q

    CcQ

    2

    For Q= 90

    Example 10.4

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    When to Order

    Reorder Point is the level of inventoryat which a new order is placed

    R= dL

    where

    d= demand rate per periodL = lead time

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    Reorder Point Example

    Demand = 10,000 yards/year

    Store open 311 days/yearDaily demand = 10,000 / 311 = 32.154 yards/day

    Lead time = L = 10 days

    R = dL = (32.154)(10) = 321.54 yards

    Example 10.5

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    Safety Stocks

    Safety stock

    buffer added to on hand inventory during

    lead time Stockout

    an inventory shortage

    Service level

    probability that the inventory availableduring lead time will meet demand

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    Variable Demand with

    a Reorder Point

    Figure 10.5

    Reorder

    point, R

    Q

    Time

    Inventorylevel

    0

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    Variable Demand with

    a Reorder Point

    Figure 10.5

    Reorder

    point, R

    Q

    LT

    Time

    LT

    Inventorylevel

    0

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    Reorder Point with

    a Safety Stock

    Figure 10.6

    Reorderpoint, R

    Q

    LT

    Time

    LT

    Inventorylevel

    0

    Safety Stock

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    Reorder Point With

    Variable DemandR= dL + z d L

    where

    d= average daily demandL = lead time

    d= the standard deviation of daily demand

    z= number of standard deviationscorresponding to the service levelprobability

    z d L = safety stock

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    Reorder Point for

    a Service LevelProbability ofmeeting demand duringlead time = service level

    Probability ofa stockout

    R

    Safety stock

    dLDemand

    z d L

    Figure 10.7

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    Reorder Point for

    Variable DemandThe carpet store wants a reorder point with a95% service level and a 5% stockout probability

    d= 30 yards per dayL = 10 days

    d = 5 yards per day

    For a 95% service level, z= 1.65

    R= dL + z d L

    = 30(10) + (1.65)(5)( 10)

    = 326.1 yards

    Safety stock = z d L

    = (1.65)(5)( 10)

    = 26.1 yards

    Example 10.6

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    Order Quantity for a

    Periodic Inventory SystemQ= d(tb+ L) + z d tb+ L - I

    where

    d = average demand ratetb = the fixed time between ordersL = lead time

    d = standard deviation of demand

    z d tb+ L = safety stock

    I = inventory level

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    Fixed-Period Model with

    Variable Demandd= 6 bottles per day

    d = 1.2 bottlestb = 60 days

    L = 5 daysI= 8 bottlesz= 1.65 (for a 95% service level)

    Q= d(tb+ L) + z d tb+ L - I= (6)(60 + 5) + (1.65)(1.2) 60 + 5 - 8

    = 397.96 bottles

    60

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    T+L d

    i 1

    T+L

    d

    T+L d

    2

    =

    Since each day is independent and is constant,

    = (T + L)

    i

    2

    The standard deviation of a sequenceof random events equals the squareroot of the sum of the variances

    61

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    Average daily demand for a product

    is 20 units. The review period is 30days, and lead time is 10 days.Management has set a policy ofsatisfying 96 percent of demand

    from items in stock. At thebeginning of the review period thereare 200 units in inventory. The daily

    Given the information below, how many

    units should be ordered?