Changing Students, Changing University

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    Changing Students,

    Changing University

    A Presentation to the University of

    Minnesota Board of Regents

    September, 2004

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    This Report

    Analyzes U of M students

    How they have changed from the recent past

    How they compare to students at other schools

    How they are likely to change in the near future

    Focuses primarily on the Twin Cities Campus,

    especially new freshmen

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    Three Themes

    1. The academic preparation of our students has

    increased dramatically.

    2. Our students are changing demographically

    and attitudinally.

    3. We continue to be committed to both qualityand access.

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    1. Academic Preparation

    During the past decade the academic

    preparation of entering students has steadily

    increased.

    We are in the mainstream of our Big 10 peers.

    We have distanced ourselves from theMNSCU campuses.

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    Cumulative % Change in UMTC MN Applicants and

    Minnesota High School Graduates, 1994-2004

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

    Applicants

    H.S. Grads

    Sources: HESO and UM data warehouse

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    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

    Cumulative % Change in

    UMTC MN Applicants vs. Pool, 1994-2004

    Sources: HESO and UM data warehouse

    Applicants

    H.S. Grads

    ACT Takers

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    Average High School Rank of UMTC New

    Freshmen, 1990-2003

    70

    71

    72

    73

    74

    75

    76

    77

    78

    79

    80

    1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

    Source: UM NSCR Files

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    Percentage of Big 10 New Freshmen in Top 10%

    of Their High School Classes

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

    Indiana

    Iowa

    Michigan St

    Purdue

    Ohio St

    Minnesota

    Penn St

    Wisconsin

    Illinois

    Northwestern

    Michigan

    Source: U.S. News 2004 College Guide

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    Percentage of Big 10 New Freshmen

    Scoring 24+ on ACT Composite

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

    Indiana

    Michigan St

    Iowa

    Minnesota

    Purdue

    Ohio St

    Illinois

    Michigan

    Wisconsin

    Northwestern

    Source: Petersons Guide www.petersons.com Penn State data not available

    http://www.petersons.com/http://www.petersons.com/
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    Percentage of UM & MNSCU New Freshmen in

    Top 10% of Their High School Classes

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

    UM Crookston

    St. Cloud St

    MSU Mankato

    Bemidji St

    MSU Moorhead

    Southwest St

    Winona St

    UM Duluth

    UM Morris

    Minnesota

    Source: Petersons Guide www.petersons.com

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    Percentage of UM and MNSCU New Freshmen

    Scoring 24+ on ACT Composite

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

    UM Crookston

    MSU Mankato

    Bemidji St

    Southwest St

    MSU Moorhead

    UM Duluth

    UM Morris

    Minnesota

    Source: Petersons Guide www.petersons.com Winona State data not available

    http://www.petersons.com/http://www.petersons.com/
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    Our Competition: Destinations of

    F2003 UMTC Non-Enrolling Admits

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

    MNSCU

    Other UM Campus

    Other UW Campus

    Non-MN Public

    MN Private

    UW Madison

    Non-MN Private

    Source: UMTC Fall 2003 Admitted Applicant Survey

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    2. Student Demographics & Attitudes

    New UMTC freshmen are:increasingly female

    diverse geographically

    diverse racially (compared to MN high schools)career-oriented

    community-oriented

    technologically savvyrespectful of authority

    accepting of cultural diversity

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    UMTC Freshman Gender

    0%10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    1994 2004

    Women Men

    For Fall 2004, we expect

    women to comprise 56% of

    the entering class, up from

    49% ten years ago.

    The increase in female

    enrollments is a national

    trend, and is expected to

    continue.

    The U of M proportions areclose to national averages.

    Sources: U of M data warehouse and National Center for Educational Statistics

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    Percentage of Out-of-State Freshman

    Big 10 Schools

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

    Illinois

    Ohio StatePurdue

    Indiana

    Minnesota

    MichiganWisconsin

    Penn St

    Iowa

    Northwestern

    Source: US News 2004 College Guide. Michigan State not reporting

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    UMTC Freshmen vs. MN HS Grads:

    % Students of Color

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

    MN HS Graduates UMTC New Freshmen

    Sources: HESO graduation files; UMTC data warehouse; 2004 figures are estimates

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    UMTC Freshman Students of Color:

    2004 (est.) versus 2003

    21.821.5Average ACT Composite

    74.373.0Average HS Rank Percentile

    17.9%20.8%% of All Freshmen

    2004*2003

    * 2004 data are preliminary Source: UM Data warehouse; 2004

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    Student Ages

    UMTC degree-seeking undergraduates are

    predominantly of the traditional age.

    11.5% of Fall 2003 students were aged 25 or over

    (down from 16% in 1996)

    Only 7 out of the 5,186 new freshmen were 25 or

    older

    The average age of full-time degree-seekingundergraduates was 20.7 (down from 21.6 in 1996)

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    Attitudes: Career and Community

    From 2003 CIRP Survey

    59.5%Helping others who are in difficulty32.5%Becoming a community leader

    59.6%Becoming an authority in my field

    53.1%Obtaining recognition from colleagues

    73.1%Being very well off financially

    Essential or very important Goals

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    Other 2003 CIRP Survey Findings

    U of M Students are technologically savvy 85% used the Internet for homework or research in high

    school

    Students are respectful of authority Only 8% said that there was a very good chance that they

    would participate in a student protest

    Students are accepting of cultural diversity 66% said it was very likely that they would socialize

    with someone of another racial/ethnic group

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    Community On Campus:

    % of TC Freshmen in Residence Halls

    62%

    64%66%

    68%

    70%

    72%74%

    76%

    78%

    80%

    1999 2000 2001 2003 2004

    Source: UMTC registration and housing data files; 2004 data preliminary

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    UMTC Freshmen:

    Comfortable with Digital Technology

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

    Communicated via

    instant messaging

    Communicated via e-

    mail

    Used Internet for

    research or homework

    Used a personal

    computer

    1999 2003Source: F1999 & F2003 UMTC CIRP Surveys

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    3. Access and Quality

    Over the past decade, the University increased

    enrollment beyond increases in the numbers of

    high school graduates

    The next decade presents challenges:

    Declining numbers of high school graduates

    Sharp decline in Greater MN numbers

    Sharp increase in proportion of students of color

    Threats to affordability

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    Cumulative % Change in UMTC MN Applicants

    And Enrollees vs. Pool, 1994-2004

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

    Applicants

    Enrollees

    H.S. Grads

    ACT Takers

    Sources: HESO and UM data warehouse

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    MN H.S. Graduates 1988-2018

    45,000

    47,000

    49,000

    51,000

    53,000

    55,000

    57,000

    59,000

    61,000

    63,00065,000

    1988

    1990

    1992

    1994

    1996

    1998

    2000

    2002

    2004

    2006

    2008

    2010

    2012

    2014

    2016

    2018

    "Baby Bust"

    "Baby Boomlet"

    +Inmigration

    Graduates will decline in 2005,

    rise briefly and then fall to

    below 1998 levels in 2013 before

    starting up again.

    Sources: 1988-2002 data are actual from MN HESO. 2003 combines actual public and WICHE-estimated private. 2004-2013 are WICHE estimates

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    Percentage Change in MN H.S. Grads by Region,

    2003-2013

    -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10%

    Reg 1: E. Grand Forks

    Reg 2: Bemidji

    Reg 3: Duluth

    Reg 4: Moorhead

    Reg 5: Brainerd

    Reg 6: Willmar

    Reg 7: St. Cloud

    Reg 8: Marshall

    Reg 9: Mankato

    Reg 10: Rochester

    Reg 11: Twin Cities

    Source: In the Pipeline: MN High School Graduates, 2003-2013, MN HESO. 6/03

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    Percentage of Total MN H.S. Grads by Ethnicity

    0%

    10%20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    Am Ind Asian/Pac African Am Chic/Lat SOC White

    2003 2013

    In 2003, 1 in 8 MN H.S.

    graduates was a student of

    color. In 2013, 1 in 5 will be.

    Source: Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, WICHE, 12/03

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    Freshman Concern about Finances:

    UM SOC, UM Other, and Other Schools

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Selective

    Publics

    UM All UM SOC UM Other

    None Some Major

    Source: Fall 2003 CIRP Freshman Survey

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    Paying for College:

    UM vs. Other Schools

    From 2003 CIRP Survey

    50.8%39.2%Expect parents or family to pay $6,000per year for college expenses

    44.4%62.9%Rating chances as very likely thathe/she will get a job to help pay for

    college expenses

    Selective

    PublicsUMTC

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    Percentage of Pell Grant Recipients, 2000-2004

    15%

    16%

    17%

    18%

    19%

    20%

    21%

    22%

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

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    Access and Quality:

    Conclusions

    In the past decade, the UM undergraduatestudent body became larger, better prepared,and more diverse.

    In the next decade we will be challenged by:Decreasing numbers of high school graduates

    Increasing proportions of students of color

    Continually increasing costs Our commitments to both access and quality

    will be strongly tested