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CFA Institute Research ChallengeHosted by New York Society of Security Analysts (NYSSA)
Adjunct Professor:Robert J. Fuest
Team MentorMike Kiernan, CFA
Today’s Presenter:JinMing Liu, PhD
Sr Vice PresidentEquity Research
Ardour Capital Investments, LLC
Financial Ratios
Purpose: to evaluate the overall financial
condition of a corporation and to derive the
related valuation/investment decision
Users:
1. Managers
2. Shareholders*
3. Creditors
4. Other
Introduction
Graduate School of Business Administration
Introduction
Classification
Calculation
Applications
Beyond ratios
FORDHAM
• Financial ratiosProfitability
Returns (assets; capital; equity)Margins (gross, op; net)
Growthsingle period (y-o-y)compound
Efficiencyturnover (assets; cash)
Liquidity & solvencycurrentlong-term
Classification
Graduate School of Business AdministrationFORDHAM
Introduction
Classification
Calculation
Applications
Beyond ratios
Graduate School of Business AdministrationFORDHAM
Introduction
Classification
Calculation
Applications
Beyond ratios
• Market ratios
ProfitabilityEV/sales, EV/EBITDA, EV/EBITP/S, P/E, P/FCF
Returns
D/P
Value
P/B, P/tangible BV,
GrowthPEG
Price vs. Value
Classification
Basics:
• Market cap=price x # of shares
• Total Capital=debt + BV + preferred + minority interest
• EV=market cap – cash +total debt +preferred + minority interest
• EPS—basic or diluted? GAAP or adjusted?
• FCF= CFFO – maintenance CapEx
• EBITDA
Calculation
Graduate School of Business AdministrationFORDHAM
Introduction
Classification
Calculation
Applications
Beyond ratios
Net Income
less: Income from discontinued operations
=Earnings from continuing operations
less: equity income
=Earnings from core operations
Add: tax
=EBT
add: Net interest
=EBIT
less: One-time adjustment
=EBIT after one-time charge
Add: D&A
=EBITDA
Graduate School of Business AdministrationFORDHAM
Introduction
Classification
Calculation
Applications
Beyond ratios
Calculation
Profitability
Return on Assets % 7.4%
Return on Capital % 12.7%
Return on Equity % 30.4%
Return on Common Equity % 32.9%
Margin Analysis
Gross Margin % 17.5%
EBITDA Margin % 16.1%
EBIT Margin % 11.7%
Net Income Margin % 9.8%
Normalized Net Income Margin % 7.9%
Asset Turnover
Total Asset Turnover 1.0x
Fixed Asset Turnover 3.4x
Accounts Receivable Turnover 9.4x
Inventory Turnover 7.4x
• Formatting is key! • Make sure you use
the correct formatting. • Margins are %, ratios
are a multiple!
Graduate School of Business AdministrationFORDHAM
Introduction
Classification
Calculation
Applications
Beyond ratios
Calculation
Short Term Liquidity
Current Ratio 1.6x
Quick Ratio 1.1x
Cash from Ops. to Curr. Liab. 0.4x
Avg. Days Sales Out. 38.9
Avg. Days Inventory Out. 49.1
Avg. Days Payable Out. 55.2
Avg. Cash Conversion Cycle 32.9
Long Term Solvency
Total Debt/Equity 64.3%
Total Debt/Capital 39.1%
Total Liabilities/Total Assets 63.7%
EBIT / Interest Exp. 7.7x
EBITDA / Interest Exp. 10.6x
Total Debt/EBITDA 1.4x
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.9x
Graduate School of Business AdministrationFORDHAM
Introduction
Classification
Calculation
Applications
Beyond ratios
Calculation
Growth Rate:
• Growth over prior year
• Compound Over Two Years
• Compound Over Three Years
• Compound Over Five Years
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
EBIT
Net Income
Normalized Net Income
Diluted EPS before Extra
Graduate School of Business AdministrationFORDHAM
Introduction
Classification
Calculation
Applications
Beyond ratios
Calculation
EV/LTM Total Revenue
EV/NTM Total Revenues
EV/LTM EBITDA
EV/LTM EBIT
EV/LTM Total Revenue
P/LTM EPS
P/LTM Normalized EPS
P/BV
P/Tangible BV
TEV/LTM Unlevered FCF
Market Cap/LTM Levered FCF
Graduate School of Business AdministrationFORDHAM
Introduction
Classification
Calculation
Applications
Beyond ratios
Applications
• Standalone
• Cross sectional (snapshot)
Between peers; cross industries
• Longitudinal (time series)
Graduate School of Business AdministrationFORDHAM
Introduction
Classification
Calculation
Applications
Beyond ratios
Applications
Each company can be entered individually on your master sheet. Use a company specific sheet when collecting the data and then aggregate the data for presentation and comparison.
•There is no one way to present the data. Use the data to support your
recommendation.
Graduate School of Business AdministrationFORDHAM
Introduction
Classification
Calculation
Applications
Beyond ratios
Applications
Each company can be entered individually on your master sheet. Use a company specific sheet when collecting the data and then aggregate the data for presentation and comparison.
•There is no one way to present the data. Use the data to support your
recommendation.
Closing Price EV/EBITDA P/E Price/SalesCompany Symbol 9/25/2011 Rating FY0 FY1 FY2 FY0 FY1 FY2 FY0 FY1 FY2American Ecology Corporation ECOL $15.53 NR 9.02 6.00 5.37 23.89 17.07 14.51 2.71 1.89 1.75Casella Waste Systems, Inc. CWST $5.42 NR 6.87 6.55 6.15 0.31 0.30 0.29Republic Services Inc. RSG $27.79 NR 7.19 7.09 6.74 16.25 14.77 13.23 1.29 1.27 1.22Stericycle Inc. SRCL $80.35 NR 17.33 15.30 13.80 31.88 28.65 25.05 4.81 4.20 3.88Tetra Tech Inc. TTEK $19.16 NR 6.05 5.59 15.45 13.52 11.83 0.82 0.67 0.62Waste Connections Inc. WCN $32.79 NR 10.09 8.82 7.98 26.44 22.27 19.22 2.81 2.47 2.26Waste Management Inc. WMI $30.81 NR 6.69 6.63 6.16 14.67 14.42 12.63 1.16 1.10 1.06
Graduate School of Business AdministrationFORDHAM
Introduction
Classification
Calculation
Applications
Beyond ratios
Applications
Comparable Company AnalysisRevenues Inventory
Company Ticker 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 ttm 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Median #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM!
Mean #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Min $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
Max $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
Comparable Company AnalysisInventory as % of Revenues COGS as % of Revenues
Company Ticker 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 ttm 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 ttm
Median #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM!
Mean #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Min 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Using medians and means, you can visually make the point of where a company is in terms of operating margins or valuation by making a comparison to the comparable groups median or mean.
Graduate School of Business AdministrationFORDHAM
Introduction
Classification
Calculation
Applications
Beyond ratios
Beyond Ratios
Is cash “cash”?
• Remember Auction Related Securities?
• Where is it?
• FCF—Depreciation vs. CapEx
Market sentiments
Time (timing and investment horizon)
Graduate School of Business AdministrationFORDHAM
Introduction
Classification
Calculation
Applications
Beyond ratios
APPENDIX
CFFO – Cash Flow from Operations
FCF – Free Cash Flow
BV – Book Value
EBITDA – Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization
LTM – Latest Twelve Months
ARS – Auction Related Securities
CAPEX – Capital ExpendituresEV – Enterprise Value