Census Data Report

Hickory MSA Census Results

By

Tom Bell, MS, GISPWestern Piedmont Council of Governments

Catawba County Social Services MeetingSeptember 6, 2011

Hickory MSA Data

(Population Growth)

Source: 1960-2010 Census, US Census Bureau.

Hickory MSA Population, 1960-2010

0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0

Winston-Salem

Wilmington

Rocky Mount

Raleigh

Jacksonville

Hickory

Greenville

Greensboro

Goldsboro

Fayetteville

Durham

Charlotte

Burlington

Asheville

Percentage Population Growth Per Decade

1990-2000 2000-2010

NC Metro Percentage Population Growth by Decade, 1990-2010


County2000

Census2010

CensusGrowth 2000-10

% Growth 2000-10

Alexander 33,603 37,198 3,595 10.7

Burke 89,148 90,912 1,767 2.0

Caldwell 77,415 83,029 5,321 6.8

Catawba 141,685 154,358 12,672 8.9

Total 341,851 365,497 23,355 6.8

Hickory Metro Population, 2000-2010


Hickory Metro Population Projections, 2010-30

Source: 2011 NC Office of State Budget and Management, Raleigh NC.

County 2010 2015 2020 2030Growth

2010-2030

% Growth

2010-30

Alexander 37,198 39,208 40,633 43,434 6,236 16.8%

Burke 90,912 88,074 87,793 87,081 -3,831 -4.2%

Caldwell 83,029 81,120 81,880 82,927 -102 -0.1%

Catawba 154,358 167,119 175,175 192,270 37,912 24.6%

Total 365,497 375,521 385,481 405,712 40,215 11.0%

Hickory MSA Data

(Race and Hispanic Origin)

Population Group

2000

Population

% of

Population

2010

Population

% of

Population

Change

2000-2010

% Change

2000-2010

Total Population 341,851 100.0 365,497 100.0 23,646 6.9

One Race 338,371 99.0 359,242 98.3 20,871 6.2

White 299,032 87.5 311,116 85.1 12,084 4.0

Black or African American 23,626 6.9 25,182 6.9 1,556 6.6

American Indian & Alaska

Native847 0.2 1,169 0.3 322 38.0

Asian, Native Hawaiian &

Other Pacific Islander8,263 2.4 9,720 2.7 1,457 17.6

Some Other Race 6,678 2.0 12,055 3.3 5,377 80.5

Two or More Races 3,480 1.0 6,255 1.7 2,775 79.7

Hispanic or Latino (of any

race)13,834 4.0 23,063 6.3 9,229 66.7

Not Hispanic or Latino 328,017 96.0 342,434 93.7 14,417 4.4

White, Not Hispanic 292,922 85.7 302,096 82.7 9,174 3.1


Hickory MSA Population by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000-2010

Hispanic 9,229 (39.0%)

White, Not Hispanic 9,174 (38.8%)

African American, Not Hispanic 1,419 (6.0%)

Asian, Not Hispanic 1,634 (6.9%)

Other Race Groups,

Not Hispanic, 2,190 (9.3%)

Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton MSA Population Growth by Race

and Hispanic Groups, 2000-2010


Total Growth:

23,646

Population Group

2000

Population

% of

Population

2010

Population

% of

Population

Change

2000-2010

% Change

2000-2010

Total Population 141,685 100.0 154,358 100.0 12,673 8.9

One Race 140,068 98.9 151,481 98.1 11,413 8.1

White 120,422 85.0 126,151 81.7 5,729 4.8

Black or African American 11,862 8.4 13,041 8.4 1,179 9.9

American Indian & Alaska

Native365 0.3 489 0.3 124 34.0

Asian, Native Hawaiian &

Other Pacific Islander4,221 3.0 5,405 3.5 1,184 28.1

Some Other Race 3,198 2.3 6,395 4.1 3,197 100.0

Two or More Races 1,617 1.1 2,877 1.9 1,260 77.9

Hispanic or Latino (of any

race)7,886 5.6 13,032 8.4 5,146 65.3

Not Hispanic or Latino 133,799 94.4 141,326 91.6 7,527 5.6

White, Not Hispanic 116,326 82.1 120,388 78.0 4,062 3.5


Catawba County Population by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000-2010

Catawba County Population Growth by Race

and Hispanic Groups, 2000-2010

Hispanic5,146

(40.6%)

White, Not Hispanic

4,062(32.1%)

African American,

Not Hispanic1,106(8.7%)

Asian, Not Hispanic

1,244(9.8%)

Other Race Groups, Not

Hispanic1,115(8.8%)

Total Growth:

12,673

Hickory MSA Data

(Age Groups)

Source: 2000 and 2010 Census, US Census Bureau.

Hickory MSA % Age Group Population Change, 2000-2010

Age Group2000

Census

2010

Census

Change

2000-10

% Change

2000-10

Under 5 Years 22,057 21,592 -465 -2.1

5 to 9 Years 23,593 23,005 -588 -2.5

10 to 14 Years 23,225 24,277 1,052 4.5

15 to 19 Years 21,867 25,232 3,365 15.4

20 to 24 Years 20,547 19,957 -590 -2.9

25 to 34 Years 50,307 40,946 -9,361 -18.6

35 to 44 Years 54,178 51,674 -2,504 -4.6

45 to 54 Years 48,090 55,681 7,591 15.8

55 to 59 Years 18,934 24,638 5,704 30.1

60 to 64 Years 15,387 23,606 8,219 53.4

65 to 74 Years 24,456 31,566 7,110 29.1

75 to 84 Years 14,522 17,222 2,700 18.6

85 Years and Over 4,688 6,101 1,413 30.1

Total 341,851 365,497 23,646 6.9

Hickory MSA Population by Age Group, 2000-2010


NC MSA 25 to 34 Age Group Percent Population Change,

Census 2000 to Census 2010


NC MSA 60 to 64 Age Group Percent Population

Change, Census 2000 to Census 2010


Age Group2000

Census

2010

Census

Change

2000-10

% Change

2000-10

Under 5 Years 9,264 9,670 406 4.4

5 to 9 Years 10,020 10,310 290 2.9

10 to 14 Years 9,637 10,429 792 8.2

15 to 19 Years 9,003 10,322 1,319 14.7

20 to 24 Years 8,974 8,574 -400 -4.5

25 to 34 Years 21,400 18,023 -3,377 -15.8

35 to 44 Years 22,664 22,086 -578 -2.6

45 to 54 Years 19,863 23,355 3,492 17.6

55 to 59 Years 7,472 10,145 2,673 35.8

60 to 64 Years 5,963 9,671 3,708 62.2

65 to 74 Years 9,625 12,349 2,724 28.3

75 to 84 Years 6,010 6,850 840 14.0

85 Years and Over 1,790 2,574 784 43.8

Total 141,685 154,358 12,673 8.9

Catawba Co. Population by Age Group, 2000-2010


Hickory MSA Data

(Household Composition)

Hickory MSA Average Number of Persons per Household, 1970-2010

Source: 1970- 2010 Census, US Census Bureau.

Catawba Co. Average Number of Persons per Household, 1970-2010

Source: 1970- 2010 Census, US Census Bureau.

Group 2000 2010

Change

2000-2010

% Change

2000-2010

Households 133,966 144,504 10,538 7.9

Population in Households 334,715 357,608 22,893 6.8

Average Household Size 2.50 2.53 0.03 1.2

Households with Individuals Under 18 46,779 46,752 -27 -0.1

Households with Individuals Over 65 30,943 39,711 8,768 28.3

Group Quarters Population 7,136 7,889 753 10.6

Institutionalized Group Quarters 5,177 5,780 603 11.6

Noninstitutionalized Group Quarters 1,959 2,109 150 7.7

Total Population 341,851 365,497 23,646 6.9


Hickory MSA Households/Group Quarters,

2000-2010

Group 2000 2010

Change

2000-2010

% Change

2000-2010

Households 55,533 60,887 5,354 9.6

Population in Households 139,543 151,950 12,407 8.9

Average Household Size 2.51 2.50 -0.01 -0.4

Households with Individuals Under 18 19,424 20,117 693 3.6

Households with Individuals Over 65 12,479 15,867 3,388 27.1

Group Quarters Population 2,142 2,408 266 12.4

Institutionalized Group Quarters 1,000 1,209 209 20.9

Noninstitutionalized Group Quarters 1,142 1,199 57 5.0

Total Population 141,685 154,358 12,673 8.9

Catawba County Households/Group Quarters,

2000-2010


Group 2000

% of

Households 2010

% of

Households Chg.

%

Chg.

Total Households 133,966 100.0 144,504 100.0 10,538 7.9

Family Households 95,585 71.4 100,057 69.2 4,472 4.7

With own children under 18 42,084 31.4 40,752 28.2 -1,332 -3.2

Husband-wife family 75,129 56.1 74,520 51.6 -609 -0.8

With own children under 18 30,945 23.1 27,312 18.9 -3,633 -11.7

Male householder,

no wife present6,000 4.5 7,862 5.4 1,862 31.0

With own children under 18 3,148 2.3 4,001 2.8 853 27.1

Female householder,

no husband present14,456 10.8 17,675 12.2 3,219 22.3

With own children under 18 7,991 6.0 9,439 6.5 1,448 18.1

Nonfamily Households 38,381 28.6 44,447 30.8 6,066 15.8

Householder living alone 32,459 24.2 37,679 26.1 5,220 16.1

Other nonfamily households 5,922 4.4 6,768 4.7 846 14.3


Hickory MSA Household by Type, 2000-2010

Group 2000

% of

Households 2010

% of

Households Chg.

%

Chg.

Total Households 55,533 100.0 60,887 100.0 5,354 9.6

Family Households 39,111 70.4 41,818 68.7 2,707 6.9


Husband-wife family 30,622 55.1 31,082 51.0 460 1.5

With own children under 18 12,900 23.2 11,985 19.7 -915 -7.1

Male householder,

no wife present2,447 4.4 3,194 5.2 747 30.5


Female householder,

no husband present6,042 10.9 7,542 12.4 1,500 24.8


Nonfamily Households 16,422 29.6 19,069 31.3 2,647 16.1

Householder living alone 13,683 24.6 15,964 26.2 2,281 16.7

Other nonfamily households 2,739 4.9 3,105 5.1 366 13.4

Catawba Co. Household by Type, 2000-2010


Hickory MSA Data

(Housing)


Hickory MSA Housing Units, 1970-2010

Catawba Co. Housing Units, 1970-2010


Units

1990

Units

% of

Units

2000

Units

% of

Units

Chg.

1990-

2000

% Chg.

1990-

2000

2010

Units

% of

Units

Chg.

2000-

2010

% Chg.

2000-

2010

Occupied

Units112,387 92.6 133,966 92.5 21,579 19.2 144,504 88.9 10,538 7.9

Vacant

Units9,031 7.4 10,908 7.5 1,877 20.8 18,109 11.1 7,201 66.0

Total Units 121,418 100.0 144,874 100.0 23,456 19.3 162,613 100.0 17,739 12.2

Hickory MSA Occupied and Vacant Housing Units, 1990-2010


Units

1990

Units

% of

Units

2000

Units

% of

Units

Chg.

1990-

2000

% Chg.

1990-

2000

2010

Units

% of

Units

Chg.

2000-

2010

% Chg.

2000-

2010

Occupied

Units45,700 92.9 55,533 92.7 9,833 21.5 60,887 89.7 5,354 9.6

Vacant

Units3,492 7.1 4,386 7.3 894 25.6 6,999 10.3 2,613 59.6

Total Units 49,192 100.0 59,919 100.0 10,727 21.8 67,886 100.0 7,967 16.2

Catawba Co. Occupied and Vacant Housing Units, 1990-2010


Hickory MSA Single-Family (Site-Built) Permits, 2000-2010

Catawba Co. Single-Family (Site-Built) Permits, 2000-2010

Hickory MSA Vacant Housing Unit by Type, 2010

Source: 2010 Census, US Census Bureau.

Catawba Co. Vacant Housing Unit by Type, 2010

Source: 2010 Census, US Census Bureau.

Hickory MSA Foreclosure Cases, 2000-2010

Source: North Carolina Administrative Office of the Courts, 2011.

Catawba Co. Foreclosure Cases, 2000-2010

Source: North Carolina Administrative Office of the Courts, 2011.

Units1990

Units

% of

Units

2000

Units

% of

Units

Chg.

1990-

2000

%

Chg.

1990-

2000

2010

Units

% of

Units

Chg.

2000-

2010

% Chg.

2000-

2010

Owner-

Occupied83,952 74.7 99,497 74.3 15,545 18.5 103,966 71.9 4,469 4.5

Renter-

Occupied28,435 25.3 34,469 25.7 6,034 21.2 40,538 28.1 6,069 17.6

Occupied

Units112,387 100.0 133,966 100.0 21,579 19.2 144,504 100.0 10,538 7.9


Hickory MSA Renter and Owner Housing Units, 1990-2010

Units1990

Units

% of

Units

2000

Units

% of

Units

Chg.

1990-

2000

%

Chg.

1990-

2000

2010

Units

% of

Units

Chg.

2000-

2010

% Chg.

2000-

2010

Owner-

Occupied33,286 72.8 40,284 72.5 6,998 21.0 42,857 70.4 2,573 6.4

Renter-

Occupied12,414 27.2 15,249 27.5 2,835 22.8 18,030 29.6 2,781 18.2

Occupied

Units45,700 100.0 55,533 100.0 9,833 21.5 60,887 100.0 5,354 9.6


Catawba County Renter and Owner Housing Units, 1990-2010

Census Long Form has been replaced by the

American Community Survey

The ACS samples 250,000 households per month

nationwide.

The ACS provides yearly data similar to the “long

form” used in previous decennial censuses.

Next release of ACS data (2010) for areas larger

than 65,000 is September/October 2011.

We will have data for smaller areas in every

December (5-year sampling estimates).

Hickory MSA Data

Poverty Rates (All Ages), 2000-2009

2000 Census (1999 Income)2009 American

Community SurveyIncrease 1999-2009

County

Persons Below

Poverty Level

% Below

Poverty

Level

Persons Below

Poverty Level

% Below

Poverty

Level

Persons Below

Poverty Level

% Below

Poverty

Level

Alexander 2,821 8.5 5,992 16.1 3,171 112.4

Burke 9,132 10.7 15,757 18.3 6,625 72.5

Caldwell 8,161 10.7 13,002 16.5 4,841 59.3

Catawba 12,688 9.1 22,457 14.3 9,769 77.0

Hickory MSA 32,082 9.8 57,208 15.9 25,126 78.3

Source: 2000 Census and 2009 American Community Survey, US Census Bureau.

Poverty Rates (Under 18), 2000-2009

2000 Census (1999 Income)2009 American

Community SurveyIncrease 1999-2009

County

Persons

Under 18

Below Poverty

Level

% Below

Poverty

Level

Persons

Under 18

Below Poverty

Level

% Below

Poverty

Level

Persons

Under 18

Below Poverty

Level

% Below

Poverty

Level

Alexander 853 10.6 1,842 22.0 989 115.9

Burke 2,874 13.8 4,054 21.2 1,180 41.1

Caldwell 2,628 14.9 4,119 23.9 1,491 56.7

Catawba 4,339 12.7 7,660 21.0 3,321 76.5

Hickory MSA 10,694 13.3 17,675 21.4 6,981 65.3

Source: 2000 Census and 2009 American Community Survey, US Census Bureau.

NC MSA Educational Attainment Comparison, 2009

MSA

% High

School

Degree or

Higher

Ranking

(1=Highest %)

%

Bachelor's

Degree or

Higher

Ranking

(1=Highest %)

Asheville 86.5 7 28.0 5

Burlington 84.1 10 23.0 9

Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord 86.7 6 32.4 3

Durham 86.9 5 44.3 1

Fayetteville 87.6 4 19.9 10

Goldsboro 82.6 12 18.3 11

Greensboro-High Point 83.6 11 25.8 7

Greenville 84.4 9 26.3 6

Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton 76.7 14 14.6 14

Jacksonville 90.4 1 16.7 13

Raleigh-Cary 89.4 2 42.2 2

Rocky Mount 80.7 13 16.8 12

Wilmington 88.9 3 28.9 4

Winston-Salem 85.8 8 25.5 8

Source: 2009 American Community Survey, US Census Bureau.

Hickory MSA Economic Outlook?

A report IHS Global Insight for the US Conference of Mayors

indicates that:

1) 22,400 Jobs have been lost since 2nd Quarter 2006 (13.6%)

2) Unemployment should remain over 11% through 2013

3) It will be beyond 2021 before the region returns to the 2006

employment level

4) The Hickory MSA is one of three MSAs in the Southeast

(along with Rocky Mount and Dalton, GA) that will take more

than 10 years to recover from job losses suffered in the

current recession

5) The analysis does not say how long it will take to recover

from the 2000 Employment job peak of 186,000 workers.

Question:

How does the Hickory MSA Economic Outlook

and 2010 Census data impact development in

the region over the next decade?

Documents

Census Data Report