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Catering with Multiple Maturities
Nishant Dass* Massimo Massa**
Abstract
We study how firms choose their debt maturity structure. We argue that because of lower information-gathering costs, institutional investors prefer to invest in firms with bonds outstanding across multiple maturities. We show that, in segmented markets, this preference for firms with bonds of multiple maturities generates excess demand by institutional investors for these bonds. This greater demand is especially due to larger institutions, and mostly mutual funds and insurance companies. This results in lower bond yields, both in the primary as well as the secondary bond markets. Aware of these benefits, firms try to respond by issuing bonds across the spectrum of maturities. Geographical financial markets segmentation constrain the ability of the firms to exploit such a strategy.
JEL Classification: G12, G2, G32
Keywords: Bonds, Catering, Debt Maturity Structure, Bond Yields and Spreads, Financial Institutions.
* College of Management, Georgia Institute of Technology, 800 W. Peachtree St. NW, Atlanta, GA 30308; Phone: +1-404-894-5109; Email: [email protected] ** Finance Department, INSEAD, Boulevard de Constance, 77305 Fontainebleau, France; Phone: +33-1-6072-4481; Email: [email protected] . We thank C. Lee, M. Campello, L. Cohen, R. Greenwood, H. Hong, and M. Roberts, as well as seminar participants at Georgia State and Georgia Tech for their helpful comments. All remaining errors are ours.
1
Introduction
In 2007, IBM had outstanding $266 million of bonds with a maturity of less than 5 years,
$701 million of bonds with a maturity of between 5 and 10 years, and $1.875 billion of bonds
with a maturity of greater than 10 years. What is the rationale behind such a structure of
maturities?
There are few explanations and almost all are rooted in the demand for capital. Firms
engaging in asset and liability matching relate the debt maturity structure to the maturity of
their cash flows. Alternatively, different maturities may either be related to the overall choice
between private and public debt, or be affected by firm-specific characteristics such as
ratings, probability of distress, transparency, tangibility of the assets, and stability of the cash
flows (Rajan, 1992, Bolton, and Scharfstein, 1996, Hovakimian, Opler, and Titman, 2001,
Rauh and Sufi, 2009). The overall market conditions may also help explain the choice
between long-term and short-term financing if the firms act as providers of macro liquidity
and absorb the large supply shocks associated with changes in the maturity structure of
government debt. “When the government funds itself with relatively more short-term debt,
firms fill the resulting gap by issuing more long-term debt, and vice-versa” (Greenwood,
Hanson and Stein, 2008).
However, to our knowledge, there has been scarcely any effort to link the multiple-
maturity bond structure to the characteristics of the supply of capital: i.e., the institutions
investing in the bonds. This is all the more surprising considering that, unlike equity, bonds
are overwhelmingly held by institutions presiding over professionally managed portfolios.1
In this paper, we take a first step to address this issue. We study multiple-bond issuance
as a way of catering to the needs of institutional investors that try to minimize their
informational transaction costs. Consider a large institutional investor managing different
bond funds – e.g., Fidelity. Suppose this investor manages a short-term and a long-term fund,
both fully invested in corporate bonds. If the bond-issuing firms specialize in a particular
maturity – e.g., some in short-term debt and some in long-term debt – and the investor needs
to invest in both long-term and short-term bonds, then he will have to incur the information
gathering cost twice for investing in two firms that are specialized in specific maturities. If, on
the contrary, one firm issues across the spectrum of maturities, then the investor may focus on
collecting information only on such a firm, enjoying a more efficient information collection.2
1 Institutional investors, such as mutual funds and insurance firms, hold almost $4.3 trillion of corporate bonds, or about 85% of total outstanding amount. 2 This suggests that the manager may not necessarily have better information than the competitors. However, it would have collected its information in cheaper way.
2
This would make the institutional investor prefer, ceteris paribus, the firm issuing bonds
across multiple maturities. A long-run relationship between the investor and such a firm may
thus arise, reducing the information costs for the institutional investor and creating a sort of
captive market for the issuer.
The implicit cost of this strategy for the institutional investor is the increased
concentration in the bonds issued by fewer firms. However, this does not seem to be an
overwhelming concern for institutional investors. Indeed, there is already substantial evidence
showing that while portfolio diversification considerations would induce portfolio managers
to diversify their holdings across firms, information considerations in general prevail, pushing
them to concentrate in fewer stocks (Kacperczyk, Sialm and Zheng, 2005) or hold locally
biased portfolios (Coval and Moskowitz, 1999, 2001).
We argue that this should be even more true for bond funds as the possibilities of
exploiting the information about the same firm are more numerous. Information on the default
probability and riskiness of a specific firm can be employed for investing in short-term,
medium term, and long term bonds, as well as in bonds with different covenants or collateral
features. Given that information is in general gathered at the family-headquarters level (e.g.,
Elton, Gruber and Green, 2007) and exploited by all the funds of the group, the coordinated
fund structure would make the aforesaid incentives stronger. All these elements increase the
benefit of focusing on fewer firms that issue bonds of multiple maturities and therefore raise
the demand for bonds of such firms.
The benefits should be higher for big financial institutions with funds operating across the
entire maturity spectrum. In particular, multiple maturity catering is more effective in the
presence of institutions that can exploit it and benefit more from it. These are active managers
for whom the cost of information collection is more relevant – e.g., mutual funds and
insurance companies – as well as institutions with more opportunities to invest across
different maturities – large institutions with a lot of money under management and/or
presiding over a family of specialized funds.
In the presence of market frictions and market segmentation, the higher demand by more
diversified investors should allow firms issuing bonds of multiple maturities to experience
higher bond prices and correspondingly command lower offering yields, regardless of the
maturity niche they target. In the presence of market segmentation and limited supply of
capital in each segment, spanning the spectrum of maturities would confer the firm a
competitive advantage. Aware of these benefits, firms would try to pursue a multiple-maturity
bond-issuance strategy. This incentive should be stronger if the firms compete for capital with
other similar firms – similar in terms of rating category and industry – that already have
bonds across multiple maturities.
3
Of course, firms will be trading off the benefits of multiple-maturity catering with its
costs – mainly the transaction costs involved with multiple maturities issuance, the inability to
concentrate on the maturity more suited to the firm characteristics both in terms of maturity of
cash flows and risk (e.g., Diamond, 1991). Moreover, if geography and proximity investment
do effectively segment the potential demand each firm can cater to, the lack of proximity to
large asset managing groups – e.g., mutual fund families – restricts the firm ability to pursue a
multiple-maturity catering strategy. These factors would explain why only some pursue a
multiple-maturity strategy.
We study these issues using a sample of US corporations for the period 1998-2007. We
create a proxy for the degree of the firm’s “multiple-maturity catering”. It represents the
number of maturity niches in which the firm has already issued bonds. For example, a firm
may issue short term (maturity less than 5 years), medium term (maturity between 5 and 10
years), and long term (maturity longer than 10 years) bonds. A firm that has bonds
outstanding in 2 out of the 3 potential niches has a measure of multiple-maturity catering
equal to 2. A firm with bonds outstanding in all maturities has a multiple-maturity catering
measure equal to 3.
We start by testing whether institutional investors’ demand for bonds is affected by the
degree of multiple-maturity catering of the issuing firm. We show that this is indeed the case.
Overall, the more maturities the firm has issued in, the higher is the institutional investor
demand. In particular, the filling of one additional maturity niche increases the institutional
investor demand by 9%. These results are robust to controlling for market saturation, the
relative supply of bonds in a specific maturity niche as well as the possibility of a spurious
larger supply of bonds. They are also robust using this alternative measure of demand that
explicitly controls for the supply of bonds. This helps us rule out the possibility of a spurious
relation between multiple-maturity catering by the issuer and the demand from the
institutional investors.
Also, the demand for each firm is directly affected by the degree of multiple-maturity
catering by other firms competing for capital in the same market segment. This suggests that
firms that have issued across a wider maturity spectrum attract more demand than the ones
that issue across fewer maturities.
More importantly, in line with our expectations, the impact of multiple-maturity catering
on demand is relevant mostly when demand is represented by big institutions as well as
mutual funds and insurance companies. In particular, the filling of one additional maturity
niche increases the institutional investor demand by an insignificant amount for small
institutions and by 25% for large institutions. The difference between small and large
institutions is statistically significant. Also, multiple-maturity catering seems to affect mostly
4
the behavior of mutual funds and insurance companies. The filling of one additional niche
increases the institutional investor demand by 6.5% for mutual funds and by 14% for
insurance companies. The effect of multiple-maturity catering on pension funds is significant
in general, but loses significance when we condition on a significant presence in a maturity
niche.
Also, the impact of multiple-maturity catering on demand is stronger if there is less
informational asymmetry or uncertainty about the firm – defined in terms of the firm being
listed on the NYSE, being rated, being older than average in its industry, and being closer to
the bond-holding investor. While more uncertainty increases the value of information and
therefore would increase the value of multiple-maturity catering, higher uncertainty also
increases the concentration risk. We interpret this result as due to the institutions’
unwillingness to concentrate their portfolio in issuers that are of questionable quality.
One important finding is that multiple-maturity catering does not affect the demand for
bonds by an institution whose affiliated bank has a lending relationship with this same firm.3
This can be explained as the benefit of multiple-maturity catering – the ability to use
information across different maturities – not being valuable in the case in which information
already comes almost freely from the lending arm. Also, if the main drawback of excessive
holdings of bonds of multiple-maturity catering firms is greater concentration risk, we expect
a financial group to be less willing to concentrate its positions – both loans and bonds – in the
same firm.
Next, we focus on whether firms exploit the investors’ preference for multiple-maturity
catering. We first document that the probability of issuing bonds in a niche that is either
empty or less exploited by the firm is 17% higher than average. We then relate the amount
issued in a specific maturity niche to the amount of bonds the firm already has outstanding in
that niche as well as to the competitors’ degree of multiple-maturity catering. We find that the
propensity of issuing bonds is directly related to the firm’s degree of multiple-maturity
catering. Firms are more likely to issue bonds in a specific maturity niche if they do not yet
have bonds outstanding in that maturity, and if the market is not yet saturated in that maturity.
A firm with 10% more coverage in the other niches (relative to the given niche) is likely to
issue 5.6% more in the given niche.
Also, in line with the demand side results, the incentive of issuing bonds across multiple
maturities is related to the degree of multiple-maturity catering by the other firms competing
for capital in the same market segment. The more maturity niches are filled by the
competitors, the higher is the incentive for the firm to engage in multiple-maturity catering. 3 It is interesting to note that a similar information argument would apply to the institutions also holding an equity stake in the sake firm. And indeed we find that multiple-maturity catering is less relevant in the case in which the institution has a sizable equity stake in the firm.
5
Firms that are not rated, not listed on the NYSE, are younger in age, and are further from the
investing institution (i.e., firms with more informational uncertainty) discard multiple
maturity catering and concentrate in specific maturities.
We then identify a main exogenous determinant of multiple-maturity catering: the
availability of catering-interested capital. That is, given that multiple-maturity catering
appeals more to larger institutions/mutual funds and insurance companies, we expect firms to
be more willing to engage in multiple-maturity catering if the close-located institutional
capital is mostly managed by big institutions or managed by insurance and mutual funds. And
indeed, we find this to be the case. Also, a 10% higher coverage in the other niches (relative
to the given niche) makes the firm to offer a 6% larger issue in the given niche if there is
more potential local demand from larger institutions as compared to small institutions.
This provides an exogenous source of variation to study the effect of multiple-maturity
catering on bond yields. We find that multiple-maturity catering has significant pricing
implications. The more maturity niches an issuer has filled, the lower is the bond yield spread
at the time of issue. In particular, the filling of one additional niche translates into 19 fewer
basis points in the cost of the next issue. This is also reflected in the overall cost of borrowing
– firms with a more dispersed maturity structure command a lower yield in the secondary
bond market. The filling of one additional maturity niche translates into 83 basis points lower
yield spread.
In line with the findings on demand, the favorable impact of multiple-maturity catering on
offering yields is more pronounced when there is less informational uncertainty about the
issuer, and when there is a bigger exogenous supply of institutional capital of larger
institutional investors. Also, the impact of multiple-maturity catering on yields is
monotonically decreasing with maturity. One incremental filled maturity niche reduces the
offering spread by 9 bp for long term bonds, 18 bp for medium term bonds, and by 54 bp for
short-term bonds. This suggests that multiple-maturity catering mostly helps in the short-term
issues and is consistent with the fact that the main trade-off is concentration of risk.
Institutions deal with this issue by appreciating multiple-maturity catering only in the case of
relatively safer situations – i.e., firms that have lower uncertainty and bond issues that have
shorter maturity.
Given that the trade-off for the investor is to have a more concentrated portfolio, the
investor’s demand for multiple-maturity catering firms will be reduced when there is some
exogenous variation in the cost of holding a concentrated portfolio. We test this by exploiting
the natural experiment of the 2005 GM and Ford downgrade. This is a a unique experiment
involving an exogenous shock on the cost of multiple-maturity catering to the institutions.
While involving just two firms (GM and Ford), this event had vast repercussions for the entire
6
market. The specific downgrade suddenly and drastically increased the cost of holding a
concentrated portfolio, and reduced the benefits of multiple-maturity catering. This should
reduce the price advantage of firms that have bonds outstanding across multiple maturity-
niches.
And indeed, we document that after the downgrade, multiple-maturity catering firms
experienced an increase in yield spread 7% higher (less negative) than that of single-maturity
firms. This is a particularly strong finding as most of the potential alternative hypotheses –
e.g., multiple-maturity being a proxy for size of the firm, recognition in the market, age,
rating, probability of default, riskiness, tangibility of the assets, cash flows, etc. – would have
predicted the very opposite!
Our findings provide a direct link between bond maturity and the institutional investors’
demand, and thereby offer a first attempt at a supply-side explanation of the bond maturity
structure. The extant literature has related the choice of bond financing to firm specific
characteristics (such as rating, probability of default, riskiness, tangibility of the assets, cash
flows). However, analysis of the supply-based determinants has been largely ignored (Rajan,
1992; Bolton and Scharfstein, 1996; Hovakimian, Opler, and Titman, 2001). Bond financing
in itself is often considered structurally similar to loan-financing. The focus in the literature
has mostly been on the determinants of the firm’s choice of the type of debt (e.g., Diamond,
1984; James, 1987; James and Wier, 1988; Diamond, 1991; Rajan, 1992; Houston and James,
1996; Cantillo and Wright, 2000; Hovakimian, Opler, and Titman, 2001; Denis and Mihov,
2004) and on the firm’s debt maturity choice (e.g., Bolton and Scharfstein, 1996). We
contribute to this vast literature by directly considering the choice of multiple-maturity
issuance and its implications for bond value.
Second, our findings add to the literature on “catering”. Baker and Wurgler (2005) have
shown that firms choose the payout policy to cater to the shareholders. Baker and Wurgler
(2000) and Baker, Greenwood, and Wurgler (2003) show how security issuance is a response
to mispricing, while Baker and Wurgler (2002) provide evidence that the firm’s capital
structure is influenced by managers’ market-timing behavior. Baker, Stein, and Wurgler
(2003) show that financially constrained firms display a higher sensitivity of issuing equity to
current market valuation. Greenwood, Hanson, and Stein (2008) document that when the
government funds itself with relatively more short-term debt, firms fill the resulting gap by
issuing more long-term debt, and vice-versa. All these studies share the same hypothesis that
firms act as arbitrageurs in the market to take advantage of temporary “mispricing”. We
contribute to this literature by showing evidence of catering in bond issues and its cross-
sectional implications.
7
Finally, our results also help to explain bond yield spreads in terms of market-induced
reasons. The empirical asset pricing literature has not yet been able to properly identify the
determinants of the yield spread. Recently, Chen et al. (2007) and Collin-Dufresne et al.
(2001) have argued that there is a common component but they do not identify it. We provide
some evidence on one of the factors that explain yield spreads: the issuing firm’s multiple-
maturity catering dimension.
The remainder of the paper is structured as follows. Section 2 lays out our main testable
hypotheses. Section 3 describes the sample and the main variables we use. Section 4 studies
bondholder demand and how it is affected by the degree of multiple-maturity catering by the
issuing firm. Section 5 relates offering yields in the primary market and effective yields in the
secondary market to the degree of multiple-maturity catering by the issuing firm. Section 6
studies the supply side by analyzing the determinants of the firm’s choice to fill an additional
niche. Section 7 analyses a case study: the GM and Ford bond downgrade. A brief conclusion
follows.
2. Main Hypotheses and Testable Propositions
We start by considering the demand side. Most of the bonds are held by professional investors
– i.e., mainly mutual funds and insurance companies – that follow specialized investment
strategies. While portfolio diversification considerations dictate that portfolio managers
should diversify their holdings across firms, asset managers do instead hold concentrated
portfolios if this helps them to better exploit their informational advantage (e.g., Kacperczyk,
Sialm, and Zheng, 2005). This is also consistent with mutual funds exhibiting a strong
preference by investing in locally headquartered firms, where they appear to have
informational advantages (Coval and Moskowitz, 1999, 2001).
If this is the case for equity, we argue that this should be true even more in the case of
bonds. And indeed, similar and even stronger results hold for the bond mutual funds and
insurance-managed funds (Massa and Zhang, 2008). Indeed, unlike equity, bonds provide
more flexibility to the investment managers. Better information on the cash flows of IBM can
be exploited by investing in IBM stocks. Better information on IBM’s default probability and
riskiness can be employed by investing in short-term, medium-term, and long-term bonds, as
well as in bonds with different covenants, or collateral, or other features. Therefore, while the
potential gains are lower than those that would accrue to an equity investment, still the
potential strategies in which they can be employed are numerous.
Moreover, information is generally gathered at the group-headquarters level – mutual
fund family, insurance group, asset management concern – and exploited by all the funds of
the group (e.g., Elton, Gruber, and Green, 2007). For example, mutual funds families manage
8
many different bond funds that differ in terms of maturity (e.g., money market funds, short-
term, medium-term, and long-term corporate bond funds) but they are likely to be in the same
rating class. Therefore, information about IBM’s prospects can be used by the family’s short-
term, medium-term, and long-term funds to invest in IBM’s short-term, medium-term, and
long-term bonds, respectively. There should therefore be an incentive for the financial group
to specialize and collect information on firms whose bonds span multiple maturities as this
provides it with a more versatile way of exploiting its information.
In the case of bonds, there are also additional benefits accruing from concentrating the
investment in few firms. Theory posits that lender concentration reduces the risk of
coordination failure among multiple claimants at the stage of renegotiation or default (Rajan
1992; Bolton and Scharfstein, 1996; Preece and Mullineaux 1996; Berglöf et al., 2000). Also,
concentration of holdings reduces the free-riding problem of monitoring with many
bondholders, letting the concentrated bondholder to internalize the benefits of monitoring
(Leland and Pyle, 1977; Diamond, 1984; Holmstrom and Tirole, 1997; Boot and Thakor,
2000; Sufi, 2007).
Overall, these considerations suggest that institutional investors should prefer to
concentrate their investment in firms that issue bonds across multiple maturities. A long-run
relationship between the institutional investor and the firm may arise, reducing the
information costs for the institutional investor and creating a sort of captive market for the
issuer. This lets us to propose our first hypothesis.
H1a: Institutional investors’ demand is positively related to the number of maturity
niches the firm has issued bonds in.
We argue that multiple maturity catering increases both the probability that institutional
investors invest in all the maturity issues of the same firm, as well as the overall demand of
the institutional investor in the specific firm. That is, not only multiple-maturity catering
makes institutions to invest in all the maturity niches issued by the firm, but it also increases
the overall demand of the institutions for the specific firm. This can be justified in different
ways. First, investors are less likely to hold a stake in firms that do not pursue multiple-
maturity catering. This would automatically increase the share in the portfolio of the firms
who do it. Second, multiple-maturity catering makes it more efficient the collection of
information on a firm, presumably allowing a bigger collection, as well as increasing
familiarity with it. And indeed, we will show that one of the side-effects of multiple-maturity
catering is to create a long-term relationship with the lenders. Both higher information and
higher familiarity reduce the sensitivity to risk of the investor, increasing the percentage
investment in the multiple-maturity catering firm.
9
Given that the benefits of multiple-maturity catering are related to the ability of the
investor to exploit the information about the firm across many maturities, we expect the
impact of multiple-maturity catering on demand to be stronger for larger institutions – e.g.,
families that have funds which invest across different maturities, bigger groups. The intuition
is that larger institutions have more opportunities of exploiting the synergies accruing from
multiple-maturity catering, as compared to smaller ones. They would therefore be more
interested in multiple-maturity catering firms than focused firms. For example, compare a
large family of funds managing short-, medium- and long-term funds to a small boutique
fund-manager specialized in short-term funds. The large fund-family will be able to exploit
the information acquired from examining a single firm, and have its short-term funds invest in
the short-term bonds of this firm, have its medium-term funds invest in the medium-term
funds, and so on. Instead, the boutique fund-manager, being only focused on short-term
bonds, will not care about multiple-maturity catering. This allows us to provide cross-
sectional implications to the previous hypothesis.
H1b: The effect of multiple-maturity catering on demand is stronger for larger fund
families.
Also, multiple-maturity catering should be more appealing for active managers for whom
the cost of information collection is more relevant – e.g., mutual funds and insurance
companies.
What are the price implications of this for the issuing firm? In the presence of market
frictions, market segmentation and limited supply of capital, multiple-maturity catering may
increase the demand for a particular firm at the expense of focused issuers. In addition,
multiple-maturity catering may induce a substitution towards institutional ownership as well
as towards bigger and more diversified fund families. These families may have a lower
sensitivity to risk per dollar invested either because they are more diversified and manage
bigger portfolios – i.e., they can invest larger sums of money in the same asset without it
representing a sizable share of their portfolio – or because they can coordinate the behavior of
their funds and provide liquidity to the fund facing withdrawal needs. This suggests that
multiple-maturity catering should translate into higher prices, and therefore lower yields. This
allows us to propose our second hypothesis.
H2: The cost of borrowing is negatively related to the number of maturities the firm has
issued bonds in.
Finally, what are the corporate policy implications for the issuing firm? If multiple-
maturity issuance augments investor demand and reduces the cost of borrowing, firms should
have an incentive to issue bonds across multiple maturity niches. This allows us to propose
our third hypothesis.
10
H3: The firm’s propensity to issue bonds in a given maturity-niche is positively related to
how empty the given niche is for the firm relative to its other maturity niches.
In all these cases, the firm’s multiple-maturity issuance is just determined by its
incentives to meet the market demand. We can therefore interpret this behavior as a form of
catering with multiple maturities (e.g., Baker and Wurgler, 2005).
One important question is: if multiple-maturity catering is an effective way of reducing
the cost of borrowing, why not all the firms pursue it? This is related to the financial markets
constrains. Multiple maturity catering is effective in the presence of institutions that can
exploit it and benefit more form it. We argued that these are active managers for whom the
cost of information collection is more relevant – e.g., mutual funds and insurance companies
– as well as institutions with more opportunities to invest across different maturities – large
institutions with a lot of money under management and/or presiding over a family of
specialized funds. Given that institutions tend to invest in close firms (Coval and Moskowitz,
1999, 2001, Massa and Zhang, 2008), the potential demand is constrained by geography
consideration. If markets are geographically segmented, the benefits of pursuing a multiple
maturity catering should be there only for firms that are located in a regional/local capital
markets with a high presence of insurance/mutual funds and big institutions and investment
groups. That is, if geography and proximity investment do effectively segment the potential
demand each firm can cater to, the close proximity to large complexes of insurance or mutual
funds restricts the ability to pursue a multiple-maturity catering.
There is another important element to consider: competition. If bond markets are
segmented and the demand for bonds slopes down, then issuing bonds across multiple
maturities becomes a strong tool to acquire capital market share at the expense of competing
firms. For example, assume that Pimco’s Long-term Fund invests in a set of firms with BBB
rating. If BBB-rated firms A, B, and C have already issued bonds across multiple maturities,
and therefore have been selected for investment by Pimco, then the ability of a similarly-rated
firm D to attract the investment from Pimco will be limited. This is more so if firm D only has
bonds of a particular maturity, as opposed to bonds of multiple maturities. So, the incentive
for D to become a multiple-maturity issuer is stronger, the fiercer the competition for
financing is. This suggests that the institutional demand for the bonds of a firm is negatively
related to the degree of multiple-maturity catering of its direct competitors in the financial
market. While we do not consider this as a separate hypothesis, we will explicitly control for
it throughout the paper.
We now turn to the empirical testing, starting with a description of our measure of bond
issuance across multiple maturities.
11
3. Data and Empirical Testing Issues
3.1 Main sources of data
We draw our data from multiple sources: Compustat, CRSP, Lipper’s eMAXX, and
Mergent/FISD Corporate Bond Dataset. Data on ownership of corporate bonds are from
Lipper’s eMAXX fixed-income database. This dataset contains details of fixed-income
holdings for nearly 20,000 entities that include U.S. and European insurance firms; U.S.,
Canadian, and European mutual funds; and leading U.S. banks as well as public pension
funds. It provides information on quarterly ownership of more than 40,000 fixed-income
issuers, with $5.4 trillion in total fixed income par amount. These data cover the first quarter
of 1998 through the second quarter of 2007.
We focus on US institutional investors and their holdings of bonds issued by US firms
(about 1800 institutional investors every quarter, holding a total face value of about $80
billion on average). For these institutions, Lipper EMAXX reports the holdings based on
regulatory disclosure to the National Association of Insurers Commissioners (NAIC, for
insurance companies) and the Security and Exchange Commission (SEC, for mutual funds
and asset managers), and on voluntary disclosure by the major pension funds. Thomson
Financial’s 13F dataset contains information on the equity positions of investment companies
holding US equities.
The dataset reports both the holdings at the individual fund level and their aggregated
value at the family (of funds) level. The fund holdings list down the individual holdings of
various funds in bonds of different firms (identified by CUSIP), while the family holdings list
aggregate values at the managing firm level. LIPPER also provides data for the different
issues of bonds by a given firm.
Information on corporate bond issues is drawn from Mergent’s Fixed Investment
Securities Database (FISD), between 1998 and 2006. Mergent’s database provides extensive
bond information on approximately 68,000 issues. It reports: Full Bond Description,
Prospectus Issuer Name, Maturity Date, Offer Date, Offer Amount, Coupon Rate, Security
Level (Senior, Junior, etc.), Offer Amount/Full Amount Outstanding History, Offer Price and
Yield, Callability Features, Ratings, Convertible Debt Information, Underwriters, Private
Placement information, and Trustees and Fiscal Agents.
We first match Lipper and Mergent databases. Then, we merge these data with the
CRSP/Compustat database. We consider all non-financial, non-utility firms that appear in the
merged CRSP/Compustat database as well as have bonds reported by Lipper in the period
1998Q1-2007Q2. We exclude firms with book equity below $250,000 or assets below
$500,000. We further require all the variables and relevant lags thereof to be available for all
12
observations. We use Compustat to construct the standard measures of firm characteristics:
Firm Size, Leverage, Market-to-Book ratio, Cash Balances, Cashflows, Capital Expenditure,
Z-score, and Tangibility.
3.2 The construction of the main variables
The main variable that we focus on is the degree of multiple maturity issuance or the issuer’s
“multiple-maturity catering”. For each firm, this variable captures the number of maturity
niches in which it has already issued. We consider three main maturity niches: short term
(less than 5 years), medium term (between 5 and 10 years), and long term (more than 10
years). For a firm with bonds outstanding in 2 out of the 3 potential niches, the multiple-
maturity catering measure equals 2. A firm with bonds outstanding in all the 3 maturities has
a multiple-maturity catering measure equal to 3.4 Summary statistics reported in Table 1
show that in our sample the median (average) number of maturity niches filled is 2 (2.156).
3.3 Firm characteristics
Here, we provide a brief description of several firm-characteristics that we employ as control
variables. Size is the logarithm of sales (item 12). Leverage is the long-term debt (item 9) plus
debt in current liabilities (item 34) to assets (item 216 + item 9 + item 34) ratio. Cash is total
cash (item 1) to lagged assets (item 6) ratio. Capital Expenditure is capital expenditures (item
128) to lagged assets (item 6) ratio. Market-to-Book is market equity (item 25 x item 199) to
book equity (item 60) ratio. These data are obtained from CRSP-Compustat Merged database.
We also use year- and 48 industry-dummies (Fama and French, 1997).
To control for the credit riskiness of the firm, we use a Z-score, Tangibility ratio, and
credit ratings. Z-score is constructed as: [3.3 x pre-tax income (data170) + sales (data12) +
1.4 x retained earnings (data36) + 1.2 x (current assets (data4) – current liabilities (data5)) +
0.6 market equity (data25 x data199)] / book assets (data6). Tangibility ratio is: net PPE
(data8)/book assets (data6). The ratings are retrieved from the Lipper database, and we use
two proxies for measuring ratings. The first is an indicator variable that equals to 1 if the bond
has an S&P rating, and 0 otherwise. The second is built by defining the ratings as ranging
from “no rating” through “AAA-rated or higher”, and dividing the issuing firms into the
following five groups: those with no rating belong to group 0 and the rest are divided into
four equal groups.
We also consider some characteristics of the bonds issued, such as whether it is a private
placement (i.e., an indicator variable equal to 1 if the bond is privately placed and 0
otherwise), whether it has covenants attached (i.e., an indicator variable equal to 1 if the bond
4 We also experimented with using 5 niches and our main results hold as well. However, given that the average number of niches is around 2, we think 3 to be a more appropriate number of potential niches.
13
has covenants attached to it and 0 otherwise). Data on covenants are retrieved from the
Mergent Corporate Bond Database or Fixed Investment Securities Database (FISD) from
Mergent Inc., between 1998 and 2006. Callability and convertibility of bonds are defined
similarly. We use these variables as dummies when the analysis is carried out at the bond
level (in the yield regressions), while we take the value-weighted average at the firm level if
the analysis is at the issuing firm level (in the demand regressions). In this case, the weight is
the size of the issue.
In order to separate the sample into firms that have a banking relationship and those
which do not, we also construct a proxy of “banking relationship”. It is a dummy variable that
equals 1 if firm i has completed a relationship-lending deal (defined as a deal in which at least
one of the lead arrangers has lent to the borrower in the three years prior to the deal date) in
the past five years, and 0 otherwise. The construction of this variable is analogous to Bharat et
al. (2005), and is in line with the literature on relationships between firms and lenders (e.g.,
Boot, 2000; Boot and Thakor 2000; Berger and Udell, 1995; Petersen and Rajan 1994, 1995;
Yasuda, 2005). To construct this dummy, we obtain individual loan-origination data from the
DealScan database of the Loan Pricing Corporation (LPC) for the years 1989-2005.
4. Multiple-maturity Catering and Investor Demand
We now look at how multi-maturity catering affects institutional investor demand. We first
consider the overall relationship (H1a) and then we qualify it in terms of the characteristics of
the investors (H1b).
4.1 The Overall Relationship
We start by testing whether there is an overall link between the demand of the institutional
investors and the degree of multiple-maturity catering of the firm (H1a). We estimate:
tjitjitjtjtj,i, XNN F ,,,,3,2,1 εβββα ++++= − , (1)
where Fi,j,t is either the number of maturity niches issued by the firm in which the ith
institutional investor5 has invested6 or the fraction of institutional investor i’s portfolio
invested in the bonds of firm j at time t. In the latter case, Fi,j,t is the ratio between the
investment by investor i in all the bonds of the jth firm and all the other bonds that this
investor holds in its portfolio that are characterized by the same rating. Nj,t is the degree of
multiple-maturity catering (as defined above) by the jth firm, and N–j,t is the average degree of
5 All the funds managed by the same fund manager or insurance group or pension fund group are aggregated. The intuition is that multiple-maturity catering should affect the family as a whole as it allows to economize the transaction costs across all the funds it manages. 6 This variable ranges from 0 to 1 in the case the institution has invested in all the maturities niches in which the firm has issued.
14
multiple-maturity catering by the other firms competing for capital with the jth firm. We
define “competing firms” as those other firms whose bond-issues are closer substitutes of the
firm under consideration. Specifically, “competing” firms are those that have similar credit
ratings and belong to the same industry (48 industries as in Fama and French (1997)).
Xi,j,t is a vector of control variables that includes firm characteristics, such as size,
leverage, market-to-book, cash holdings, cash flows, Z-score, tangibility ratio, as well as a
dummy variable for bond-specific characteristics, such as whether the bonds are convertible,
callable, privately-placed, and have covenants. We also include a variable that proxies for the
overall excess supply of bonds in the specific maturity niche. This is constructed as the ratio
between the total amount of bonds outstanding in the niche (issued by all the firms in the
market) and the total amount of bond outstanding in the market across all the niches. This
variable measures the excess supply in a specific niche and the potential demand imbalance
and helps to control for the potential spurious correlation with the firm’s supply of bonds.
We estimate equation (1) both as a pooled regression with quarter, industry, rating-group
and family-type fixed-effects as well as a Fama MacBeth specification. Given that the results
are consistent, we report only the former. The errors are clustered at the family level.
We report the results in various panels of Table 2. We first consider bonds of all
maturities together and then we break the sample down into three groups by maturity. Bonds
of maturity less than 5 years are classified as short-term (ST), those with maturity greater than
or equal to 5 years but less than 10 years are classified as medium-term (MT), and those with
maturity greater than or equal to 10 years are classified as long-term (LT). The independent
variables Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering and Competitors’ Average Multiple-maturity
catering in the first four columns are based on the mere presence in a niche while in the next
four columns, a niche is counted only when the issuer has a “significant” presence (at least
20% of its outstanding bonds) in that maturity niche.
In Panel A of Table 2, we report the main specification, while in Panels B, C, and D, we
break down the analysis in terms of whether the issuer has less or more informational
uncertainty/asymmetry (Panel B), the size of the institutional investor (Panel C), as well as
the type of institutional investor (Panel D). In Panel E of Table 2, we look at the effect that an
existing loan from an investor-affiliated bank has on the demand in response to multiple-
maturity catering. In Panel F of Table 2, we show that our results are robust to explicitly
controlling for the supply of bonds by the issuing firm. Finally, in Panel G of Table 2, we
measure the persistence of families and show that it is positively related to the issuer’s
multiple maturity catering. In Panels B–G of Table 2, we include all the control variables in
our tests that are shown in Panel A, but we leave their coefficients unreported in these
subsequent Panels for brevity.
15
We start with Table 2, Panel A. The results show that the demand by institutional
investors is strongly positively related to the degree of multiple-maturity catering by the firm
and negatively related, albeit in a somewhat weaker form, to the degree of multiple-maturity
catering by the competing firms. The more niches the firm has filled, the higher is the
probability that the institution has invested in all of them and the higher is its overall
investment in the firm.
The results hold across the different specifications and different maturities, and are robust
to the inclusion of the different sets of control variables. In particular, the fact that they are
robust to the inclusion of the proxy for the overall excess supply of bonds in the specific
maturity niche suggests that our variable of multiple-maturity catering does not spuriously
proxy for a simple excess supply in a specific niche.
We also rule out any spurious relation between the demand by investors and the supply of
bonds by a given firm. We do this by redefining the dependent variable as the ratio of the
investor’s holdings in the firm to the outstanding bonds of the specific firm. That is, instead of
measuring the portfolio weight of the firm in the investor’s portfolio, we measure the
institutional ownership in the firm. Again, we find statistically and economically similar
results – the filling of an additional niche leads to greater demand by the institutions, as
measured by their ownership in the firm. These results are left unreported for brevity. Besides
being robust to controlling for market saturation and relative supply of bonds in a specific
maturity niche, the results are also economically significant. In particular, the filling of one
additional niche increases institutional investor demand by 15%.
In Table 2, Panel B, we test whether this effect on demand is stronger when there is less
uncertainty or informational asymmetry about the firm. We measure asymmetry by: Listed on
the NYSE, which is a dummy variable equal to 1 if the issuer is listed on the NYSE, and 0
otherwise; Issuer is Rated, which is a dummy variable equal to 1 if the issuer has a credit
rating, and 0 otherwise; Firm’s Age, which is the number of years since the firm first
appeared in CRSP-Daily database; and Distance between Issuer and bond-holding Family,
which is the distance in miles between the issuer and the bond-holding family. We find that
the institutional investors hold more bonds of a firm issuing multiple maturities only when
there is less uncertainty or informational asymmetry about the issuer. We interpret this as the
institutions’ unwillingness to concentrate their portfolio in issuers that are of questionable
quality.
These results are also economically significant. The filling of one additional maturity
niche increases the institutional investor demand by 4% more compared to the base case, if
the firm is older than average or closer to the institution. For the case of being listed or rated,
16
we see that multiple-maturity catering has a statistically significant effect on the demand only
for listed or rated firms.
4.2 Conditioning on the Type of Potential Demand
We now focus on the characteristics of the investors and see how they affect demand. We
expect the demand due to multiple-maturity catering to be positively related to the ability of
the institutional investor to exploit it – i.e., its size (H1b). We measure the size of the
institution as the face value of all its bond holdings, expressed as a logarithm. We categorize
the institutions as small (medium and large) if their total assets are in the bottom (middle and
top, respectively) tercile in that quarter.
In Table 2, Panel C, we test whether the effect on demand depends on the size of the
institutional investor. The results show that the impact of multiple-maturity catering is mostly
concentrated in the large-sized institutions, with some weak evidence seen in medium-sized
institutions. In particular, if we focus on large-sized institutions, the previous results become
even more significant. The filling of one additional niche increases the institutional investor
demand by an insignificant amount for the small institutions and by 25% for large institutions.
The difference between small and big institutions is statistically significant.
This result is important as it helps to rule out the spurious correlation between higher
demand for a firm and the fact that the firm may have more bonds outstanding than other
similar firms. Indeed, if that were the case, the results would have opposite sign and would
be stronger for small institutions because the portfolio weight of small institutions would be
more easily affected by a higher supply of bonds than that of bigger institutions.
In Table 2, Panel D, we study the impact of multiple-maturity catering on demand by
classifying institutions into the different types. We consider banks, brokers, insurance
companies, mutual funds and pension funds. The results show that the impact is mostly
concentrated in mutual funds and insurance companies. The filling of one additional niche
increases institutional investor demand by 6.5% for mutual funds and by 14% for insurance
firms. This can be explained by the fact that these two types of investors tend to be more
active managers. This reduces the latter’s interest in multiple-maturity catering firms. Pension
funds are significant in the first set of specifications, but lose significance when we condition
on a significant presence in a niche. Banks, on the other hand, are not significant in the
former, but are in the latter set of specifications.
Next, we study whether the presence of a loan from a bank affiliated with the institutional
investor alters that investor’s appetite for multiple-maturity catering by the firm. As we
argued, we expect the impact of an extra maturity niche filled on the demand for bonds to be
weaker in the case where the investor has a bank lending relationship with that firm.
17
We define the existence of a bank loan as one that was originated in the two years before
the quarter under observation and has a tenor that is longer than 2 years – i.e., the loan is still
active in the current quarter.7 The results are reported in Table 2, Panel E and support our
working hypothesis. Niche-filling affects the demand only in the case where there is no
affiliated bank loan. An additional niche filled has a null effect on the demand by the
institution whose affiliated bank is in a lending relationship with the firm. That is, institutions
are reluctant to concentrate their bond portfolio in the bonds of a firm whom they have
already indirectly lent to via a bank loan.
Next, in Table 2, Panel F, we check for the robustness of our main demand results by
redefining the dependent variable such that it explicitly accounts for the supply of bonds by
the issuing firm. This is done by taking the aggregate institutional bond-ownership in the firm
as a fraction of the firm’s total bonds outstanding. The results are consistent with those
reported in Panel A of Table 2 above. The results are also economically significant – filling
an additional maturity niche increases overall institutional bond-ownership by 5.5%. This
rules out the possibility that the demand results are being spuriously driven by a greater
supply of bonds by the firm.
Finally, in Table 2, Panel G, we directly test whether the issuers generate a captive market
by catering with multiple maturities. We do this by specifically defining a dependent variable
that reflects the investors’ persistence – i.e., the ratio of the holdings or number of investors in
the current quarter that were also holding bonds of this issuer in the previous quarter. The
results are reported in Panel G of Table 2. They show that the persistence of the investors
increases with the filling of an additional niche. The results are economically significant
besides being statistically strong; we find that the filling of an additional niche increases
persistence by 3.3%.
Overall, these results are consistent with our working hypothesis and show a statistically
strong and economically significant relationship between the degree of multiple-maturity
catering of the issuer and the multiple-maturity interest of the investor (H1a). The cross-
sectional variation is in the direction suggested by our working hypothesis (H1b).
We then consider the effect of the competing firms. We argued that the demand for the
bonds of a firm should be diminished when there is more competition for capital in a
segmented market. And indeed, we find that the demand for each firm is directly affected by
the average degree of multiple-maturity catering by the other firms that are competing for
capital in the same industry-ratings segment. Specifically, as shown in Panel A of Table 2, the
filling of one additional maturity niche by the average firm in the industry-rating segment
7 Our results are qualitatively similar if we alternatively define the existence of a bank loan either by dropping the condition on the tenor or selecting loans that started in the last 5 years.
18
reduces institutional investor demand for bonds of the given firm by 3.6% in general and by
4.3% if we measure multiple-maturity catering by a significant presence in the niche.
The analysis of the different subsamples provided in Panel A of Table 2 reveals that
similarly demand is lowered by 11% (5.6% and an insignificant amount) for long-term bonds
(medium-term and short-term bonds, respectively). From Panel D we see that only the
demand of mutual funds is affected by the competing firms’ average multiple-maturity
catering. Specifically, with one more niche filled by the competitors, the mutual funds’
demand goes down by 4.9%. Finally, Panel E shows that the competitors’ average multiple-
maturity catering has a significantly negative impact of 3.7% on the demand, even after
controlling for the presence of a loan from the bond-holding investor.
5. The Choice of Multiple-Maturity Catering
Overall, the previous findings document an interest of the institutional investors in multiple-
maturity issuance firms. In the next section, we will see that this preference leads to lower
yields for these firms (H2). In this section, we consider how the firms react to this preference
shown by the institutional investors and the subsequent benefit that the bond market sees in
multiple-maturity catering. That is, do firms try to cater to this demand (H3)? Even if
logically after, we choose to consider hypothesis H3 before hypothesis H2 as the estimation
of the firm decision allows us to set up the econometric framework that will allow us to
properly test the effect on the yields.
We relate the decision to issue in a specific maturity to the amount of bonds the firm
already has outstanding in such a niche as well as to the competitors’ degree of multiple-
maturity catering. We consider two alternative specifications. The first relates the issuance
choice in one maturity niche to the amount offered in other niches. That is, it assesses whether
the firm pursues multiple-maturity issuance. The second specification relates the degree of
multi-maturity choice of a firm to its main determinants. The first specification estimates:
tnjtnjtjtnj,n,t XNE A ,,1,,101,91,8 εβββα ++++= −−−− , (2)
where the dependent variable is the dollar-amount offered in a bond issue, standardized by the
firm’s asset size. En,t-1 is a measure of how “empty” the particular niche, in which this bond is
issued, is relative to other niches (i.e., it’s a proxy for the excess supply in that niche). N-j,t-1 is
the average degree of multiple-maturity catering of the other firms competing for capital with
the jth firm. The definition of “competing firms” is the same as above. Xi,j,t-1 is a vector of
control variables. These are the same firm characteristics that we used in the demand
regressions above.
19
We augment it by adding the market yield spreads for the three maturity niches. These
variables are meant to capture the firm’s decision to time the market issuing bonds when their
yields are lower. We expect the decision to issue in a specific maturity niche to be positively
related to how empty that niche is (En,t-1). We also include the amount of potential bond
demand in the region. We rely on the literature on geography (e.g., Coval and Moskowitz,
1999, 2001, and Huberman, 2000) and argue that the greater the capital available to be
invested close-by, the higher is the potential demand for the bonds of the firm. We define the
capital available as simply the logarithm of the assets managed by the “local” institutional
investors8, where proximity is defined as being within 250 miles from the issuer’s location.9
As in the previous case, we estimate both a pooled specification with time and industry fixed
effect and clustering at the firm level as well as a Fama MacBeth specification. Given that the
results are consistent, for brevity we report only the former.
The main results are reported in Table 3, Panel A. The first five columns in Panel A only
use the sample of bond-issuing firms and the next five columns look at the entire universe of
Compustat firms, while controlling for the selection bias. These results show a strongly
positive relation between the amount of bonds issued in a specific maturity niche and how
empty that niche is. A firm with a 10% more “empty” maturity niche (i.e., with a 10% more
coverage in the other niches) is likely to offer a 6% larger issue in this emptier niche. This
holds across the different specifications and for different control variables. For example, in
columns (3)-(5) and (8)-(10), we also control for any simultaneous bonds offerings made by
competing firms, and our results go through. More importantly, this holds even after
controlling for the selection bias inherent in our sample of firms that issue bonds at all. It is
worth noting that Heckman’s (1979) Lambda, reported in the last five columns of Table 3,
Panel A, is highly significant in most cases, thus attesting to this bias. This supports our
working hypothesis that firms do respond to the greater demand. The signs of the control
variables are also as expected. More profitable and levered firms are less likely to issue bonds
while firms with more growth opportunities are more likely to issue bonds.
We expect firms to be more willing to engage in multiple-maturity catering when there is
less uncertainty about them and when there is more institutional capital of larger investors
available close to them. We test these hypotheses in Panels B and C, respectively, of Table 3.
In Panels B–D of Table 3, we include all the control variables in our tests that are shown in
Panel A, but we leave their coefficients unreported in these subsequent Panels for brevity. In
Panel B, we interact our variable of interest (En,t-1) with the level of uncertainty about the firm
(whether it is high or low). As before, we use four measures of informational uncertainty
8 We also experimented by standardizing the amount of bond capital by the book value of the firms located in the region as well as by their book value of debt. The (unreported) results are consistent with the reported ones. 9 Again, the results are robust to altering the proximity radius.
20
about the issuing firm – listing on the NYSE, a credit rating, greater than average firm age,
and smaller than average distance from the institutional investor (all of which reflect less
uncertainty about the issuer).
The results support our working hypothesis that firms with less information asymmetry
are more likely to respond to the investor’s preference for multiple-maturity catering firms. In
particular, a 10% emptier niche (or 10% higher coverage in the other niches) makes the
NYSE-listed firm likely to issue a 5.6% larger offering in the emptier niche than the firm that
is not NYSE-listed. Likewise, the offering size of an older firm is 4.8% larger than a younger
firm’s in response to an emptier niche. Similar results hold for our other measures of
informational asymmetry.
In Panel C of Table 3, we interact our variable of interest (En,t-1) with the amount of
capital that small/medium/large institutions located close-by have available to invest in the
firm. As before, we define the capital available as the fraction of total bond holdings of all
these institutional investors (irrespective of whether they hold bonds of the given firm) and
proximity as being within 250 miles from the issuer’s location.10 The results reported in Panel
C support our working hypothesis. They show that firms are more likely to engage in
multiple-maturity catering if they have more potential demand in their local market. A 10%
emptier niche (or 10% higher coverage in the other niches) is related with a 6% larger
offering in the emptier niche if there is more potential local demand by larger institutions as
compared to smaller ones.
The second specification relates the degree of multi-maturity choice of a firm to its main
determinants. The specification estimates:
tjtjtjj,t DX N ,,12,11 εββα +++= , (3)
where Nj,t is the degree of multiple-maturity catering of the jth firm and Xj,t is the vector of
control variables defined as above. Dj,t is a vector that proxies for local preferences for firms
engaging in multiple-maturity bond-issuance. The results in the previous section showed that
preference for multiple-maturity bond-issuance is mostly concentrated within mutual funds
and insurance companies and within big institutions. We therefore consider three proxies. The
first is the ratio between mutual fund and insurance companies over total institutional
investors (defined either in terms of institutions or in terms of asset managed by them). The
second is the ratio between big and small institutions (also defined either in terms of
institutions or in terms of asset managed by them). The third is the average niche-filling by
other firms in the same industry-rating group. We expect the decision to issue in a specific
10 Again, the results are robust to altering the proximity radius.
21
maturity niche to be positively related to these three proxies, and indeed that is what we find.
These results are left unreported for brevity.
Next, we test the firm’s choice of multiple-maturity directly as a catering decision.
Specifically, we measure the “benefit” of filling all three niches versus filling only one niche,
and test whether firms are more likely to fill an additional niche when this benefit is higher.
The benefit of filling three niches versus filling only one niche is calculated as the difference
between the residuals from the regression of yields of those firms that have filled all three
niches and the residuals from the regression of yields of those firms that have filled only one
of the three niches. The difference between these residuals is our independent variable,
Benefit of Three Niches. The dependent variable is a dummy variable that equals 1 if the firm
issues bonds in an empty niche or alternatively, a dummy variable that equals 1 if the firm
issues bonds in niches that are less than fully filled.11
These results are reported in Panel D of Table 3. In columns (1) and (2), the dependent
variable equals 1 if the firm issues bonds in a so-far empty niche. In the remaining columns,
the dependent variable equals 1 if the firm issues bonds in a niche that is not empty but is less
than fully-filled. We find a significantly positive relationship between the Benefit of Three
Niches and the propensity to fill a niche when that niche is less than fully-filled. The odds of
issuing bonds in a niche that is less than 30% full are 17% higher (as of column (8)).
5.1 Robustness checks
One potential econometric issue is selection bias. Indeed, all the estimates in Table 3 are
based on the firm having already decided to issue bonds. This may induce a selection bias if
the variables that determine the size of bond-issue are the same variables that explain the
decision to issue bonds in the first place. To address this issue, we adopt a two-step
procedure, in which we first estimate a Probit model of the probability of issuing bonds and
then we estimate an expanded specification of equation (3) that contains the inverse Mills
ratio (Heckman’s (1979) Lambda) constructed from the first stage.12
The results confirm the previous ones. Given that this is not the main focus of the paper,
we will not dwell on these results. They are however reported along with the main results in
Panels A and B. It is just worth mentioning that the firms more likely to issue bonds are the
ones that have lower cash flow volatility, are larger in size, have higher leverage and
11 Given that there are three potential niches, we consider a niche as less than fully filled if it is less than one-third full. 12 The dependent variable in the first-stage regression is a dummy variable taking the value of 1 if the firm issues bonds and zero otherwise. The explanatory variables in this first stage are the firm-specific control variables, lagged by one year. These include: Relationship Banking, Change in MB, Cashflow Volatility, Size, Leverage, Cash, Capital Expenditure, Cashflow, Market-to-Book, Z-score, and Tangibility ratio. We also include year and 48 industry-dummies.
22
tangibility ratio as well as higher capital expenditures. In contrast, firms with more cash and a
higher z-score are less likely to issue bonds.
Overall, these results are consistent with the demand and yield results documented above,
and show a strongl positive relationship between the amount of bonds issued in a niche and
the emptiness of that particular niche.
6. Multiple-Maturity Catering and Bond Yields
We are now ready to estimate the impact of investor preferences for multiple-maturity
catering on the yields of the firms pursuing such a strategy. We saw that multiple-maturity
catering has the effect of increasing the demand of institutional investors and in particular of
big institutions, mostly mutual funds and insurance companies. We now study if this
translates into more favorable market prices (H2) or it is just substitution of demand from one
type of investors to another.
We start by relating the bond yields of the firm to whether it pursues multiple-maturity
catering. This provides evidence on the correlation. To properly pin down causality, we also
use some exogenous source of variation of multiple-maturity catering. Throughout the
analysis, we consider both the initial bond offering (primary market) and the secondary bond
market. We estimate:
tbjtbjttjtjtbj XTYNNY ,,,,76,5,4,, εββββα +++++= − , (4)
where Yj,b,t is the yield on the bth bond issued by the jth firm at time t and TYt is the yield on a
Treasury bond of similar maturity. In an alternative specification, we also replace the yield on
the left-hand side with a yield spread. This bond yield spread is constructed as the difference
between the bond yield and the yield of an equivalent maturity Treasury bond. The firm-
specific control variables, denoted by Xj,b,t, are defined as before. Nj,t is the degree of multiple-
maturity catering of the jth firm and defined as it was above, and N–j,t is the average degree of
multiple-maturity catering of the other firms competing for capital with the jth firm. As above,
we define “competing firms” as those other firms whose bond-issues are closer substitutes of
the firm under consideration. Competing firms have both similar credit ratings and belong to
the same industry.
Given that the analysis is done at the bond level, we augment the set of control variables
by adding bond specific characteristics such as maturity, convertibility, existence of
covenants. The data on yield, time-to-maturity, and convertibility are obtained from Mergent
FISD. The data on Treasury constant maturity interest rates are obtained from the FRED
database of the Federal Reserve Bank in St. Louis. The data on secondary market yields on
bonds is from Bloomberg. The observations in equation (2) are at the issue-level.
23
We estimate equation (4) both for the primary and the secondary market. For the case of
primary market, Yj,b,t is the offering yield or offering yield-spread, while for the secondary
market, it represents the yield or spread for the traded bond in the secondary market. We
expect the yield to be negatively related to the firm’s degree of multiple-maturity catering.
We estimate a pooled specification with time, ratings, and industry fixed-effects and cluster
the standard errors at the issuing firm level.
The results are reported in Tables 4 and 5, respectively, for the primary and secondary
markets.
6.1 The Effect of Multiple-maturity catering in the Primary Market
We start with the results on the primary market reported in Table 4, Panel A. The dependent
variable in the first four columns is the percentage yield on the bonds issued by the firm and
in the next four columns it is the spread over a Treasury Bond that’s closest in maturity. The
results show that the degree of multiple-maturity catering reduces the offering yield. This
holds across all the alternative specifications as well as after instrumenting. The results are
not only statistically significant, but also economically relevant. One incremental filled
maturity niche reduces the offering spread by 19 bp in general.
In Panel B of Table 4, we split the sample according to the maturity of the bond issued.
Again, we classify bonds as short-term (ST) if their maturity is less than 5 years, as medium-
term (MT) if their maturity is greater than or equal to 5 years but less than 10 years, and as
long-term (LT) if their maturity is greater than or equal to 10 years. The results show that the
impact is monotonically decreasing with maturity. One incremental filled maturity niche
reduces the offering spread by 9 bp for long-term bonds, 18bp for medium-term bonds, and
by 54 bp for short-term bonds. This suggests that multiple-maturity catering mostly helps in
the short-term issues. This is consistent with the intuition that the main trade-off is
concentration of risk. Institutions deal with this risk by concentrating only on relatively less
uncertain and safer firms.
In the previous section, we showed that the impact of multiple-maturity catering on the
demand is stronger for the firms with lower informational uncertainty as well as for larger
institutional investors. This greater impact on demand should then translate into a bigger
impact on yields. Therefore, we expect multiple-maturity catering to reduce the offering
yields more in the case in which there is less informational asymmetry or uncertainty about
the issuing firm and there is more institutional capital of larger institutional investors in the
proximity. We test this hypothesis in Panels C and D of Table 4. In Panels B–D of Table 4,
we include all the control variables in our tests that are shown in Panel A, but we leave their
coefficients unreported in these subsequent Panels for brevity.
24
In Panel C, we interact the firm’s multiple-maturity catering with the informational
asymmetry about the firm. As before, we use four measures of uncertainty or information
asymmetry – listing on the NYSE, having a credit rating, the firm’s greater than average age
in years since it first appeared on CRSP Daily, and the lower than average distance from the
institutional investor (all of which reflect less information asymmetry about the issuer). We
find that the yield-reducing effect of filling an additional maturity niche is present only in the
case where there is less informational asymmetry about the issuing firm. This result reinforces
the earlier claim – made in Table 2, Panel B – that the institutions are not willing to
concentrate their bond-portfolios in those multiple-maturity catering firms that are of
questionable quality. The effect of filling an additional maturity niche ranges between 9 and
14 bp for the less-uncertainty subsample and is not different from zero for the remaining
subsample.
6.2 The Effect of Multiple-maturity catering in the Secondary Market
We now look at the secondary market. We report the results in Table 5. The dependent
variable in the first four columns of Panel A in Table 5 is the percentage yield on the issuing
firm’s bonds in secondary-market trading. In the next four columns, it is the spread over a
Treasury Bond that’s closest in maturity. In columns (1)-(2) and (5)-(6), multiple-maturity
catering is measured by the mere presence in a niche, while in the remaining columns, a niche
is only counted when the firm has a significant presence (at least 20% of outstanding bonds)
in that maturity niche.
The results are consistent with those found for the primary market and document a
distinct and sizable effect of multiple-maturity catering on the cost of borrowing for the firm.
Firms that have filled more niches command a lower yield in the secondary bond market. The
results hold across the different specifications. After controlling for industry, time, and ratings
fixed-effects and measuring multiple-maturity catering with a significant presence (in column
(4)), we find that the incremental effect of filling one additional maturity niche reduces the
effective yield by 45 bp. The results are economically and statistically similar if the dependent
variable is the yield spread.
In Panel B of Table 5, we break the analysis down by the maturity of the bonds. In the
interest of space, we only report the results using the multiple-maturity catering measure that
is based on the mere presence in a niche. Unlike the primary market, the impact is not
monotonically decreasing by maturity – the secondary-market yield is 90 bp lower for short-
term bonds, while the reduction is highest for the medium-term bonds (110 bp) and only
about 22 bp for the long-term bonds. The estimations based on a significant presence in the
niche deliver similar results and hence left unreported – we find a 57 bp lower yield for the
25
short-term bonds, while the reduction is highest for medium-term bonds (61 bp) and almost
non-existent for the long-term bonds.
6.3 Dealing with Endogeneity and the GM and Ford Downgrade Experiment
We now address the endogeneity of the multiple-maturity catering decision of the firm. The
fact that the firm has filled three maturity niches as opposed to just one is influenced by the
external demand around the firm, as described in equation (2) above. We consider two
exogenous sources of variations: the first is cross-sectional and is based on the exogenous
local investor preferences and the second is based on an experiment that changes investor’s
preferences.
We start with the cross-sectional variation in the determinants of multiple-maturity
catering. We rely on the results from equation (2) and use them to generate an exogenous
variation in multiple-maturity catering. In particular, we estimate an instrumental variable
specification in which we instrument the multiple-maturity catering of the firm with the
multiple-maturity catering tendency of competing firms in the same industry-rating group as
well as two proxies for institutional preferences: the ratio between mutual fund and insurance
companies over total institutional investors and the ratio between big and small institutions.
These are ideal instruments as they directly affect the firm’s multiple-maturity catering,
but should not affect the yields through any other channel than their impact on multiple-
maturity catering. And indeed, the results reported in Panel C of Table 5 show that the
Hansen test of overidentification supports the exogeneity restriction, while the F-test of the
first stage shows that they are above the threshold for weak instruments (Staiger and Stock,
1997).
The column-headings in Panel C describe the specific sample we analyze. Overall, our
results hold for all bonds put together but they are clearly strongest for the short-term bonds
and become monotonically weaker as the maturity lengthens. This monotonic effect of
maturity is consistent with the results reported earlier. Besides, the results are equally strong
if we use secondary-market spreads instead of yields as the dependent variable.
The second approach to deal with endogeneity relies on an exogenous source of variation
identified through an experiment. We argued that investor demand for multiple-maturity
catering firms is related to the degree of concentration of its portfolios. Therefore, if the cost
of holding a concentrated portfolio suddenly increases, then the demand for the bonds of
multiple-maturity catering firms should decrease and this should then reduce the advantages
of multiple-maturity catering. We can test this by using a unique experiment: the reaction to
the GM and Ford bonds’ downgrade.
26
On May 2005, the public debts of GM and Ford were downgraded to junk bond status.
While the downgrading had been expected, the severity of the cut, especially in the case of
GM, which went down two grades from BBB- to BB, sent a shock to the market, triggering a
wide-spread sell-off affecting as much as $400 billion worth of debt. We use the downgrade
and the subsequent broader sell-off as an exogenous shock and test how it affected the
demand for the bonds of multiple-maturity catering firms. Given that the higher uncertainty
and risk increased the cost of holding a concentrated portfolio, this represents an exogenous
shock that should reduce the appeal of multiple-maturity catering. This provides an ideal
scenario to assess the value of multiple-maturity issuance for institutional investors as the cost
of holding a concentrated portfolio shot up.
We focus on the change in yield around the event. We define a crisis dummy that equals 1
for the second quarter of 2005 and 0 otherwise. Then, we regress the change in yield on the
crisis dummy, the degree of multiple-maturity catering, their product, and the standard set of
control variables. The dependent variable is either the quarterly yield of each bond issue
calculated by averaging monthly yields during a quarter or the quarterly yield change
calculated by first averaging monthly yields during a quarter and then subtracting the average
of the previous quarter.
The results are reported in Panel D of Table 5. In the first four columns, we estimate the
effect of the mere presence of the issuer in a particular niche while in the next four columns,
we count only a “significant” presence of the issuer in a particular niche – i.e., where the
issuer has at least 20% of its outstanding bonds. The results show that the degree of multiple-
maturity catering is not always related to quarterly changes in the spread before the
downgrade event. However, it becomes quite related for the quarter when the crisis happens.
In particular, if we consider the period around the crisis (from one quarter before to one
quarter after the event – in second, fourth, sixth, and eighth columns of Table 5, Panel D), the
interaction between the event dummy and the degree of multiple-maturity catering is
significantly positive. After the downgrade, multiple-maturity catering firms experienced an
increase in yield spread 6% higher than that of single-niche issuance firms.
Conclusion
We study how firms choose the maturity structure of their debt. We argue that the multiple
maturity choice is due to the desire of firms to exploit the information transaction costs of the
institutional investors holding bonds. Institutional investors have a preference for firms that
issue bonds across many maturities as this reduces the information gathering costs. If one firm
issues across all the spectrum of maturities, then the investor may specialize in collecting
information only on that firm. A long-run relationship between the investor and such a firm
27
may arise reducing the information costs for the institutional investor and creating a captive
market for the issuer.
We study these issues using a sample of US corporations for the period 1998-2007. We
create a measure of “multiple-maturity catering”. For each firm, this represents the number of
maturity niches in which it has already issued. We show that institutional investor’s
preference for multiple-issuance explains higher demand for multiple-issuance firms. The
effect is stronger the lesser is the uncertainty about the firm. Indeed, the investors are
unwilling to concentrate their portfolios in firms that are of questionable quality. This
generates excess demand and lower bond yields, both in the primary market – offering yields
– and in the secondary market – effective yields.
Aware of these benefits, the firms then try to pursue a multiple-maturity catering strategy.
The probability of issuing in a specific maturity niche is negatively related to the firm having
already issued in such a niche and positively related to the other firms with which they
compete for capital already follow a multiple issuance strategy.
We use an event – the GM and Ford downgrading – to see how the preferences of
institutions for multiple-maturity catering decreases when the cost of portfolio concentration
drastically increases. We show that after the downgrade of GM and Ford, the costs of holding
a concentrated portfolio increased suddenly, which reduced the price advantage of multi-
issuance strategies.
Overall, our findings provide a first analysis of the effect of supply side on the bond
financing maturity structure, and provide a direct link between the maturity structure and the
institutional investor demand.
28
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Appendix: Variable Definitions
Market value of assets: stock price (data199) * shares outstanding (data25) + short term debt(data34) + long term debt(data9) + preferred stock liquidation value (data10) – deferred taxes and investment tax credits (data35).
Market-to-Book Ratio: market value of assets/book assets (data6)
Total Debt: long term debt (data9)+short term debt (data34)
Book Leverage: total debt/book assets(data6)
Market Leverage: total debt/market value of assets
Altman’s z-Score: 3.3 * pre-tax income (data170) + sales (data12) + 1.4 * retained earnings (data36) + 1.2* (current assets (data4) – current liabilities (data5)) / book assets (data6)
Firm Size: log(sales) (data12)
Asset Tangibility: net PPE (data8)/book assets (data6)
Cash Holding: cash and short-term investments (data1)/lagged assets(data6)
Cash Flow: (depreciation and amortization (data14)+ income before extraordinary items(data18))/lagged assets (data6)
Investment: capital expenditures(data128)/lagged assets(data6)
Cash Flow Volatility: Cashflow volatility is the standard deviation of all annual cashflows before the year of issue, with at least 10 consecutive observations available in that pre-bond sample period.
Offering Bond Yield Spread: Spread between a bond’s yield to maturity at the offering date and the yield to maturity on a government bond with similar maturity. The bond’s yield at the offering date is retrieved from the Mergent database; yields on government bonds are retrieved from The data on Treasury constant maturity interest rates come from the FRED database (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis).
Bond Yield Spread: Our data on bond yield are obtained from Bloomberg database. The relevant treasury rates come from FRED database. We adjust bond yield in the following way: for bond i at month t, we first calculate the time to maturity and subtract the corresponding treasury constant maturity rate from its bond yield. In detail, the adjustment is the 90-day T-bill rate if the time to maturity is less than one year, the 2-year T-bill rate if the time to maturity is between 1 and 5 years, and the 10-year treasury constant maturity rate if time to maturity is larger than 5 years.
Credit Ratings Dummies: four dummy variables created according to credit rating (thin).
Industry Dummies: Two-digit SIC industry dummies
Rating Availability: Indicator variable equal to 1 if the bond has a S&P rating, and 0 otherwise. Rating data are retrieved from the Lipper database.
Private placement: Indicator variable equal to 1 if the bond is a private placement and 0 otherwise. Private placement data are retrieved from the Lipper database.
Covenants Indicator: Variable equal to 1 if the bond has covenants attached to it and 0 otherwise. Data on covenants are retrieved from the Mergent database.
33
Table 1: Summary Statistics Table 1 provides summary statistics characterizing the main variables used in our analyses. Panels A, B, and C exhibit only those variables that are used in the analysis of the demand, supply, and yields, respectively, of bonds. These demand, supply, and yields results are shown in Tables 2, 3, and 4, respectively. The summary statistics are presented separately because of the different databases used in the respective portions of the analyses. Variable definitions are provided in the Appendix.
Table 1, Panel A: Variables used in the analysis of the demand for bonds
DEPENDENT VARIABLES
Units N Mean Median Std. Dev. Institutional Investor's Overall Holdings of an Issuer's Bonds % 200482 0.275 0.102 0.494 Institutional Investor's Holdings of an Issuer's ST Bonds % 200442 0.256 0.000 1.334 Institutional Investor's Holdings of an Issuer's MT Bonds % 200336 0.301 0.018 1.103 Institutional Investor's Holdings of an Issuer's LT Bonds % 199077 0.304 0.000 1.794
INDEPENDENT VARIABLES
Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering 0/1 200482 2.156 2.000 0.835 Competitors’ Average Multiple-maturity catering 0/1 200482 2.130 2.273 0.623 Firm Size logarithm 200482 8.454 8.526 1.657 Leverage fraction 200482 0.523 0.499 0.207 Market-to-Book Ratio fraction 200482 9.518 3.659 79.323 Cash fraction 200482 0.122 0.038 1.230 Cashflows fraction 200482 0.107 0.084 1.762 Z-Score fraction 200482 1.449 1.388 1.101 Tangibility fraction 200482 0.644 0.360 13.073 Relationship Banking 0/1 200482 0.776 1.000 0.417 Convertible 0/1 200482 0.118 0.000 0.253 Covenants 0/1 200482 0.785 0.848 0.237 Callable 0/1 200482 0.727 0.861 0.327 Private Placement 0/1 200482 0.003 0.000 0.034 NYSE 0/1 200482 0.836 1.000 0.370 Rating Group integer 200482 2.812 3.000 0.890 Firm’s Age years 200482 30.273 25.500 25.239 Distance miles 192585 988.066 826.114 723.666 Institutional investor is Small-sized 0/1 200482 0.319 0 0.466 Institutional investor is Medium-sized 0/1 200482 0.337 0 0.473 Institutional investor is Large-sized 0/1 200482 0.344 0 0.475
34
Table 1, Panel B: Variables used in the analysis of the supply of bonds
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
Units N Mean Median Std. Dev. Offer Amount, as a fraction of issuer’s asset size logarithm 958 2.885 3.198 1.586
INDEPENDENT VARIABLES
Units N Mean Median Std. Dev. How Empty is this Niche relative to other Niches fraction 958 16.537 1.918 35.000 Overall Average Investor Holdings in this Niche % 958 31.828 29.166 8.747 Competitors’ Average Multiple-maturity catering 0/1 958 2.109 2.235 0.595 Simultaneous Bond Offerings by Competitors logarithm 958 1.195 0.070 1.673 Firm Size logarithm 958 9.032 8.983 1.302 Leverage fraction 958 0.500 0.507 0.156 Market-to-Book Ratio fraction 958 4.617 3.793 6.207 Cash fraction 958 0.048 0.022 0.073 Capital Expenditure fraction 958 0.079 0.059 0.075 Cashflow Volatility 958 0.710 0.064 30.88 Z-Score fraction 958 1.645 1.508 0.859 Tangibility fraction 958 0.447 0.411 0.298 Asset Maturity 958 12.027 10.609 8.642 Convertibility of Outstanding Bonds 0/1 958 0.060 0.000 0.173 Covenants on Outstanding Bonds 0/1 958 0.733 0.767 0.249 Private Placement of Outstanding Bonds 0/1 958 0.001 0.000 0.017 Callability of Outstanding Bonds 0/1 958 0.435 0.419 0.341 NYSE 0/1 958 0.975 1.000 0.156 Rating Group integer 958 3.014 3.000 0.918 Firm’s Age years 958 48.729 47.125 20.534 Distance miles 852 878.626 703.104 435.316 Small institutional investor in the proximity (within 250 miles) fraction 871 0.010 0.002 0.069 Medium institutional investor in the proximity (within 250 miles) fraction 871 0.113 0.059 0.187 Large institutional investor in the proximity (within 250 miles) fraction 871 0.877 0.937 0.208
35
Table 1, Panel C: Variables used in the analysis of the yields of bonds
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
Units N Mean Median Std. Dev. Bond Yields at the time of Offer in the Primary Market % 2185 6.880 6.570 1.857 Bond Spreads at the time of Offer in the Primary Market % 2185 1.801 1.210 1.662 ST-Bond Yields at the time of Offer in the Primary Market % 284 5.760 5.610 1.787 ST-Bond Spreads at the time of Offer in the Primary Market % 284 1.297 0.845 1.468 MT-Bond Yields at the time of Offer in the Primary Market % 826 7.006 6.540 2.091 MT-Bond Spreads at the time of Offer in the Primary Market % 826 2.180 1.550 1.950 LT-Bond Yields at the time of Offer in the Primary Market % 1040 7.037 6.700 1.514 LT-Bond Spreads at the time of Offer in the Primary Market % 1040 1.607 1.185 1.349
INDEPENDENT VARIABLES
Units N Mean Median Std. Dev. Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering 0/1 2185 1.952 2.000 0.862 Competitors’ Average Multiple-maturity catering 0/1 2185 2.054 2.087 0.641 Simultaneous Bond Offerings by Competitors logarithm 2185 1.431 0.053 1.993 Firm Size logarithm 2185 8.573 8.612 1.826 Leverage fraction 2185 0.511 0.496 0.201 Market-to-Book Ratio fraction 2185 9.618 3.800 64.718 Cash fraction 2185 0.161 0.037 1.946 Capital Expenditure fraction 2185 0.111 0.067 0.185 Tangibility fraction 2185 0.500 0.442 0.375 Z-Score fraction 2185 1.444 1.442 1.270 Convertible 0/1 2185 0.043 0.000 0.203 Rule 415 Regulation 0/1 2185 0.610 1.000 0.488 Rule 144A 0/1 2185 0.315 0.000 0.465 Covenants 0/1 2185 0.405 0.000 0.491 NYSE 0/1 2011 0.866 1.000 0.341 Rating Group integer 2011 2.738 3.000 1.089 Firm’s Age years 2011 29.327 25.500 24.993 Distance miles 1570 965.997 798.863 477.813 Small institutional investor in the proximity (within 250 miles) fraction 830 0.024 0.001 0.134 Medium institutional investor in the proximity (within 250 miles) fraction 830 0.160 0.068 0.245 Large institutional investor in the proximity (within 250 miles) fraction 830 0.816 0.925 0.278
36
Table 2, Panel A: Demand for Bonds by Institutional Investors and Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering
Table 2, Panel A shows the impact of the issuer’s multiple-maturity catering behavior on the institutional investors’ demand for that issuer’s bonds. The dependent variable is the fraction of an institutional investor’s portfolio invested in an issuer in a given quarter and the independent variable of interest is Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering. It is a discrete variable that measures the presence of an issuer across the various niches of bond maturities – the more categories or niches of maturities that the issuer has outstanding bonds in, the higher the multiple-maturity catering variable. We define three niches of maturities – short term, medium term, and long term – and therefore, the multiple-maturity catering variable takes values 1, 2, or 3. The control variable Competitors’ Average Multiple-maturity catering is the average of multiple-maturity catering across all other issuers in the same industry and rating group; all firms are categorized into 48 industries as per Fama and French (1997). All firms without ratings are assigned to a rating group 0, and those with ratings are divided into four groups. Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering and Competitors’ Average Multiple-maturity catering in the first four columns are based on the mere presence in a niche while in the next four columns, a niche is counted only when the issuer has a “significant” presence (defined as at least 20% of the issuer’s outstanding bonds) in that niche. Overall Average Investor Holdings in this Niche is the average of the fraction of an investor’s holdings in that particular niche, where the average is calculated across all institutional investors. Institutional Investor’s TNA is a proxy for the investor’s size, and is measured as the logarithm of aggregate bond holdings. Issuer-specific control variables – Firm Size is logarithm of sales, Leverage is the ratio of debt to debt plus equity, Market-to-Book is the ratio of market equity to book equity, Cash is the cash holdings as a fraction of lagged assets, Cashflow is the sum of earnings and depreciation as a fraction of lagged assets, Z-score is the Altman’s (1968) Z-score for bankruptcy risk, Tangibility is the ratio of fixed assets to lagged total assets, Relationship Banking is a dummy variable that marks whether the issuer has any relationship banking currently, Convertible is the average of a dummy variable measuring convertibility across bonds of that issuer, Covenants, Private Placement, and Callable are measured similarly. The Appendix provides more details on the variable definitions. Also included are four sets of dummy variables that control for fixed effects of ratings, type of institutional investor, time (quarter), and issuer’s industry. The column headings indicate the sample that we analyze – ST, MT, and LT refer to short term, medium term, and long term bonds.
Presence in a Niche Significant Presence (>20%) in a Niche
All Bonds ST Bonds MT Bonds LT Bonds All Bonds ST Bonds MT Bonds LT Bonds Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering 0.0250*** 0.0814*** 0.0345*** 0.1535*** 0.0263*** 0.0890*** 0.0483*** 0.0864*** [6.79] [9.05] [4.66] [9.40] [7.05] [10.86] [5.53] [6.20] Competitors' Avg Multiple-maturity catering -0.0100** 0.0122 -0.0168** -0.0350* -0.0119*** -0.0097 -0.0173* -0.0111 [-2.59] [0.87] [-2.06] [-1.78] [-2.75] [-0.66] [-1.68] [-0.56] Number of other Niches in which the Investor holds Bonds of same Issuer (=1 or 2)
-0.3025*** -0.2340*** -0.3586*** -0.2995*** -0.2355*** -0.3541*** [-10.42] [-8.54] [-9.43] [-10.37] [-8.57] [-9.26]
Overall Average Investor Holdings in this Niche
0.001 0.0056** 0.0115** 0.0027 0.0052** 0.0135*** [0.22] [2.40] [2.41] [0.62] [2.34] [2.93]
Institutional Investor's TNA -0.1234*** -0.1163*** -0.1374*** -0.1206*** -0.1235*** -0.1167*** -0.1373*** -0.1222*** [-16.18] [-10.86] [-13.39] [-8.27] [-16.21] [-10.89] [-13.35] [-8.39] Firm Size 0.0296*** 0.0328*** 0.0422*** 0.0483*** 0.0313*** 0.0370*** 0.0421*** 0.0745*** [10.36] [5.32] [7.57] [5.36] [11.11] [5.53] [8.04] [8.63] Leverage 0.0166 0.0146 -0.0053 0.0478 0.0175 0.0162 -0.008 0.0844* [1.22] [0.47] [-0.23] [1.00] [1.30] [0.53] [-0.35] [1.77] Market-to-Book 0.0000 -0.0001*** 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001*** 0.0001 -0.0001** [0.80] [-2.67] [1.31] [-1.13] [0.64] [-3.39] [1.19] [-2.08]
37
Cash 0.0164*** 0.0026 0.0349*** -0.0001 0.0172*** 0.0038 0.0350*** 0.0122 [3.52] [0.33] [3.32] [-0.01] [3.70] [0.46] [3.33] [1.13] Cashflow -0.0343* 0.1017*** -0.0222 -0.0728 -0.0298 0.1148*** -0.0184 -0.0368 [-1.83] [3.53] [-0.71] [-1.36] [-1.58] [3.85] [-0.59] [-0.71] Z-score -0.0101*** -0.0356*** -0.0146** -0.0112 -0.0124*** -0.0423*** -0.0170*** -0.0303*** [-3.13] [-5.01] [-2.48] [-0.98] [-3.85] [-5.81] [-2.83] [-2.74] Tangibility 0.003 -0.0142*** -0.0004 0.01 0.0024 -0.0160*** -0.0009 0.0041 [1.09] [-3.43] [-0.08] [1.25] [0.85] [-3.73] [-0.20] [0.53] Relationship Banking 0.0097** 0.0165 0.0352*** -0.0069 0.0107*** 0.0209* 0.0368*** -0.0008 [2.38] [1.48] [4.04] [-0.43] [2.63] [1.87] [4.24] [-0.05] Convertible 0.0236 0.1296*** -0.0159 0.1562*** 0.0245 0.1329*** -0.0126 0.1511*** [1.08] [3.10] [-0.54] [2.71] [1.13] [3.17] [-0.43] [2.64] Covenants 0.0304*** 0.0574 0.0624*** 0.0794** 0.0304*** 0.0569 0.0598*** 0.0980*** [3.07] [1.31] [3.17] [2.38] [3.07] [1.33] [3.08] [2.90] Private Placement -0.0437 -0.1489 0.1425 -0.0327 -0.0523 -0.1725* 0.1212 -0.0512 [-0.83] [-1.48] [0.66] [-0.25] [-0.99] [-1.71] [0.56] [-0.39] Callable -0.0156* -0.0332* 0.0006 -0.0406 -0.0197** -0.0426** -0.0029 -0.0820** [-1.74] [-1.83] [0.03] [-1.15] [-2.24] [-2.45] [-0.13] [-2.34] Constant 2.4443*** 1.8624*** 2.5098*** 1.2763*** 2.4370*** 1.8896*** 2.5169*** 1.1077*** [10.56] [9.42] [10.01] [5.12] [10.54] [9.69] [10.09] [4.53] Observations 200482 200442 200336 199077 200482 200442 200336 199077 Adjusted R-squared 0.22 0.06 0.08 0.05 0.22 0.06 0.08 0.05 Ratings Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Investor-type Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Qtr Time Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Industry Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Robust t-statistics, clustered at institutional investor level, are in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
38
Table 2, Panel B: Demand for Bonds by Institutional Investors and the Issuer’s Information Asymmetry Table 2, Panel B shows how the institutional investor’s appetite for issuer’s multiple-maturity catering behavior changes with the level of information asymmetry surrounding the issuer. The dependent variable is the institutional investors’ demand for bonds of all maturities, and is measured as the fraction of their portfolio invested in an issuer in a given quarter. The differential impact of issuer’s information asymmetry on the institutional investors’ demand for bonds is reflected in the interactions between issuer’s multiple-maturity catering and various measures of information asymmetry. These measures of information asymmetry are indicated at the head of each column. Specifically, issuing firms that are listed on the NYSE, or have a credit rating, or are older than the average firm, or have less than average distance from the institutional investor, are defined as having less information asymmetry. All the other variables as well as the Significant Presence (>20%) in a Niche are defined in the same manner as in Panel A of Table 2 above. These tests include all the control variables used in Table 2, Panel A, but these control variables are left unreported for brevity. Also included are four sets of dummy variables that control for fixed effects of ratings, type of institutional investor, time (quarter), and issuer’s industry.
Presence in a Niche Significant Presence (>20%) in a Niche
NYSE Rating Firm's Age Distance NYSE Rating Firm's Age Distance Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering 0.0112 0.0023 0.0177*** 0.0138*** 0.0294*** -0.0029 0.0118** 0.0075 [1.46] [0.43] [3.96] [2.62] [2.73] [-0.44] [2.34] [1.21] (Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering) x (Issuer has less information asymmetry)
0.0157** 0.0325*** 0.0111** 0.0113* -0.0033 0.0360*** 0.0189*** 0.0207*** [2.02] [5.28] [2.11] [1.85] [-0.30] [4.94] [3.44] [2.73]
Issuer has less information asymmetry -0.0253* -0.0563*** -0.0024 -0.0134 0.004 -0.0503*** -0.0119 -0.0257** [-1.83] [-3.94] [-0.21] [-1.06] [0.25] [-3.66] [-1.09] [-2.03] Competitors' Average Multiple-maturity catering
-0.0092** -0.0090** -0.0087** -0.0065 -0.0120*** -0.0104** -0.0107** -0.0099** [-2.41] [-2.39] [-2.24] [-1.58] [-2.81] [-2.42] [-2.48] [-2.15]
Constant 2.4657*** 2.4499*** 2.4528*** 2.5129*** 2.4332*** 2.4375*** 2.4463*** 2.5100*** [10.66] [10.57] [10.59] [10.73] [10.52] [10.54] [10.58] [10.73] Observations 200482 200482 200482 178424 200482 200482 200482 178424 Adjusted R-squared 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.23 Control Variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Ratings Dummies Yes No Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Investor-type Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Qtr Time Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Industry Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Robust t-statistics, clustered at institutional investor level, are in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
39
Table 2, Panel C: Demand for Bonds by Small, Medium, and Large Institutional Investors The dependent variable in Panel C of Table 2 is the fraction of an institutional investor’s portfolio invested in an issuer in a given quarter. The results in this Panel show how small, medium, and large institutional investors respond differently to the issuer’s multiple-maturity catering behavior. This difference due to the institutional investor’s size is measured by interacting the Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering with three dummy variables for investor size, essentially splitting the issuer’s multiple-maturity catering into three separate components. Investor is small/medium/large are three dummy variables that equal to 1 if the investor is small/medium/large, respectively, and 0 otherwise; the investors are grouped as such according to terciles of their aggregate bond holdings. All the other variables as well as the Significant Presence (>20%) in a Niche are defined in the same manner as in Panel A of Table 2 above. These tests include all the control variables used in Table 2, Panel A, but these control variables are left unreported for brevity. Also included are four sets of dummy variables that control for fixed effects of ratings, type of institutional investor, time (quarter), and issuer’s industry. The column headings indicate the sample that we analyze – ST, MT, and LT refer to short term, medium term, and long term bonds.
Presence in a Niche Significant Presence (>20%) in a Niche
All Bonds ST Bonds MT Bonds LT Bonds All Bonds ST Bonds MT Bonds LT Bonds (Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering) x (Investor is small)
-0.0054 0.0317 -0.0334** 0.1177*** -0.0049 0.0336* -0.02 0.031 [-0.56] [1.65] [-2.18] [4.78] [-0.45] [1.65] [-1.07] [1.14]
(Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering) x (Investor is medium)
0.0042 0.0560*** 0.0112 0.1213*** 0.0029 0.0614*** 0.0220* 0.0536*** [0.69] [5.01] [1.07] [7.00] [0.43] [5.33] [1.79] [3.36]
(Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering) x (Investor is large)
0.0708*** 0.1535*** 0.1256*** 0.2170*** 0.0815*** 0.1762*** 0.1541*** 0.1783*** [8.74] [10.08] [7.95] [9.03] [8.43] [10.48] [8.24] [7.51]
Competitors' Average Multiple-maturity catering
-0.0109*** 0.0101 -0.0185** -0.0363* -0.0129*** -0.0117 -0.0192* -0.0127 [-2.85] [0.72] [-2.27] [-1.84] [-3.03] [-0.80] [-1.86] [-0.64]
Number of other Niches in which the Investor holds Bonds of same Issuer (=1 or 2)
-0.3185*** -0.2546*** -0.3694*** -0.3137*** -0.2545*** -0.3660*** [-10.73] [-9.09] [-9.41] [-10.64] [-9.04] [-9.27]
Overall Avg Investor Holdings in this Niche 0.0005 0.0051** 0.0113** 0.0024 0.0049** 0.0130*** [0.12] [2.19] [2.36] [0.55] [2.18] [2.84] Constant 2.9282*** 2.6309*** 3.5232*** 1.9218*** 2.8875*** 2.6267*** 3.4241*** 1.9016*** [11.44] [9.04] [11.00] [5.15] [11.31] [9.09] [10.73] [4.95] Observations 200482 200442 200336 199077 200482 200442 200336 199077 Adjusted R-squared 0.24 0.06 0.08 0.05 0.23 0.06 0.08 0.05 Control Variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Ratings Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Investor-type Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Qtr Time Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Industry Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Robust t-statistics, clustered at institutional investor level, are in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
40
Table 2, Panel D: Demand for Bonds by Different Types of Institutional Investors
Table 2, Panel D shows the impact of the issuer’s multiple-maturity catering behavior on the demand for the issuer’s bonds by institutions of different types. Five main categories of institutions are identified – banking institutions, brokerage houses, pension funds, mutual funds, and insurance companies; these are appropriately marked at the head of each column. The dependent variable is the fraction of an institutional investor’s portfolio invested in an issuer in a given quarter. All the other variables as well as the Significant Presence (>20%) in a Niche are defined in the same manner as in Panel A of Table 2 above. These tests include all the control variables used in Table 2, Panel A, but these control variables are left unreported for brevity. Also included are three sets of dummy variables that control for fixed effects of ratings, time (quarter), and issuer’s industry.
Presence in a Niche Significant Presence (>20%) in a Niche Banks Broker Pension MutualFund Insurance Banks Broker Pension MutualFund Insurance Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering
0.008 0.010 0.036* 0.019*** 0.036*** 0.049*** 0.009 0.024 0.015** 0.035*** [0.65] [0.91] [3.04] [3.19] [6.57] [3.53] [0.91] [1.41] [2.30] [7.00]
Competitors' Avg Multiple-maturity catering
-0.006 0.011 0.010 -0.014** -0.008 -0.023 0.001 0.001 -0.023*** 0.001 [-0.36] [0.82] [0.86] [-2.18] [-1.48] [-1.14] [0.05] [0.06] [-2.87] [0.14]
Constant 1.927*** 2.717*** 0.966** 1.973*** 1.848*** 1.994*** 2.735*** 0.958** 1.970*** 1.824*** [4.85] [3.40] [6.34] [4.86] [8.87] [5.01] [3.43] [6.20] [4.85] [8.76] Observations 16513 12349 2701 85714 82978 16513 12349 2701 85714 82978 Adjusted R-squared 0.19 0.25 0.35 0.18 0.34 0.20 0.25 0.35 0.18 0.34 Control Variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Ratings Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Qtr Time Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Industry Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Robust t-statistics, clustered at institutional investor level, are in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
41
Table 2, Panel E: Demand for Bonds When There is an Existing Bank-Loan by the Same Investor
Table 2, Panel E shows the impact of the issuer’s multiple-maturity catering behavior on the demand for the issuer’s bonds by institutions when there is an outstanding loan that was issued by a bank affiliated with the bond-holding institution. Specifically, we identify banks that lend to the bond-issuing firm, and check whether these banks are a part of the financial conglomerate affiliated with the bond-holding institutional investor. If the bank loan was issued in the last two years and has a tenor longer than two years (i.e., it is an active loan at the time of the bond issue), then we mark it with a dummy, Existing Loan, equal to 1; if there is no such loan, then Existing Loan is equal to 0. We form a complementary dummy variable, No Existing Loan, that equals 1 when there is no loan, and equals 0 in the presence of a loan identified as above. The dependent variable is the fraction of an institutional investor’s portfolio invested in an issuer in a given quarter. All the other variables as well as the Significant Presence (>20%) in a Niche are defined in the same manner as in Panel A of Table 2 above. These tests include all the control variables used in Table 2, Panel A, but these control variables are left unreported for brevity. Also included are four sets of dummy variables that control for fixed effects of ratings, type of institutional investor, time (quarter), and issuer’s industry. The column headings indicate the sample that we analyze – ST, MT, and LT refer to short term, medium term, and long term bonds.
Presence in a Niche Significant Presence (>20%) in a Niche
All Bonds ST Bonds MT Bonds LT Bonds All Bonds ST Bonds MT Bonds LT Bonds (Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering) x (Existing Loan)
-0.0072 0.0581*** 0.0009 0.1296*** -0.0124 0.0632*** 0.0094 0.0594 [-0.48] [3.12] [0.045] [3.17] [-0.67] [2.74] [0.36] [1.25]
(Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering) x (No Existing Loan)
0.0251*** 0.0815*** 0.0347*** 0.1536*** 0.0268*** 0.0890*** 0.0485*** 0.0865*** [6.83] [9.06] [4.68] [9.40] [7.15] [10.9] [5.54] [6.20]
Competitors' Avg Multiple-maturity catering -0.0100*** 0.0122 -0.0168** -0.0350* -0.0107*** -0.0098 -0.0174* -0.0111 [-2.60] [0.86] [-2.06] [-1.78] [-2.75] [-0.67] [-1.68] [-0.56]
Number of other Bins in which the Investor holds Bonds of same Issuer (=1 or =2) -0.3026*** -0.2340*** -0.3585*** -0.2995*** -0.2354*** -0.3541***
[-10.4] [-8.54] [-9.43] [-10.4] [-8.57] [-9.26] Overall Avg Investor Holdings in this Bin 0.0010 0.0056** 0.0115** 0.0027 0.0052** 0.0135***
[0.22] [2.41] [2.41] [0.61] [2.34] [2.93] Constant 2.4435*** 2.2036*** 2.5088*** 1.2755*** 2.4321*** 2.1124*** 2.5161*** 1.1069*** [10.6] [3.85] [10.0] [5.12] [10.5] [3.70] [10.1] [4.53] Observations 200482 200442 200336 199077 200482 200442 200336 199077 Adjusted R-squared 0.22 0.06 0.08 0.05 0.22 0.06 0.08 0.05 Control Variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Ratings Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Investor-type Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Qtr Time Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Industry Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Robust t-statistics, clustered at institutional investor level, are in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
42
Table 2, Panel F: Demand for Bonds Calculated After Accounting for Supply of Bonds
Table 2, Panel F defines the demand for the issuer’s bonds by institutions in a different manner. This is done to check that our results above are robust to controlling for the supply of bonds and are not spuriously driven by the supply. Therefore, the dependent variable is the fraction of all institutional investors’ holdings in the issuer in a given quarter, i.e., it reflects the overall institutional bond-ownership in the firm. Since the observations are aggregated across investors, they are now at the issuer-quarter level and therefore much fewer than those in the tables above. Overall Average Investor Holdings in this Niche is the average of the fraction of an investor’s holdings in that particular niche, where the average is calculated across all institutional investors. All the other variables as well as the Significant Presence (>20%) in a Niche are defined in the same manner as in Panel A of Table 2 above. These tests include all the control variables used in Table 2, Panel A, but these control variables are left unreported for brevity. Also included are four sets of dummy variables that control for fixed effects of ratings, type of institutional investor, time (quarter), and issuer’s industry. The column headings indicate the sample that we analyze – ST, MT, and LT refer to short term, medium term, and long term bonds.
Presence in a Niche Significant Presence (>20%) in a Niche
All Bonds ST Bonds MT Bonds LT Bonds All Bonds ST Bonds MT Bonds LT Bonds Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering 0.0153** 0.0710*** 0.0757*** 0.0569*** 0.0197** 0.0783*** 0.0648*** 0.0477*** [2.17] [3.13] [8.64] [8.94] [2.26] [3.69] [4.19] [6.09] Competitors' Avg Multiple-maturity catering
0.0026 -0.0013 0.0028 -0.0171** 0.0013 0.0003 -0.0061 -0.0110 [0.42] [-0.05] [0.24] [-2.39] [0.18] [0.01] [-0.56] [-1.27]
Number of other Bins in which the Investor holds Bonds of same Issuer (=1 or =2)
-0.0970*** -0.1517*** -0.0879*** -0.0881*** -0.1507*** -0.0855*** [-4.11] [-10.86] [-10.52] [-3.50] [-10.02] [-10.30]
Overall Avg Investor Holdings in this Bin 0.0009 0.0003 0.0035** 0.0019 -0.0000 0.0036** [0.26] [0.20] [2.08] [0.59] [-0.02] [2.22] Constant 0.2151*** 0.5340** 0.0475 -0.1103** 0.2119*** 0.5133** 0.0341 -0.1409*** [4.22] [2.42] [0.50] [-2.33] [4.31] [2.49] [0.37] [-2.69] Observations 6145 814 4182 4424 6145 814 4182 4424 Adjusted R-squared 0.24 0.28 0.32 0.34 0.24 0.28 0.31 0.32 Control Variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Ratings Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Investor-type Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Qtr Time Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Industry Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Robust t-statistics, clustered at institutional investor level, are in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
43
Table 2, Panel G: Persistence of Institutional Investors in Issuers that Cater with Multiple Maturities
Table 2, Panel G tests whether issuers do find a captive market by catering with multiple maturities. This is done by defining a dependent variable that is the ratio of the holdings (or number) of institutional investors in this quarter to that of the same investors in the previous quarter. I.e., if there were ten investors holding the bonds of this issuer in the last quarter, and eight of these ten investors also hold bonds of this issuer in the current quarter, then 8/10 is a measure of Persistence. Alternatively, we define Persistence as a fraction of these investors’ holdings as opposed to just the number. Columns (1) and (2) use Persistence based on holdings and columns (3) and (4) use Persistence based on number of investors. Columns (1) and (3) measure Multiple Maturity Catering by the mere presence in a niche while in columns (2) and (4), it is measured by a significant (at least 20%) presence in that niche. Since the observations are aggregated across investors, they are now at the issuer-quarter level and therefore much fewer than those in the tables above. All the other variables are defined in the same manner as in Panel A of Table 2 above. These tests include all the control variables used in Table 2, Panel A, but these control variables are left unreported for brevity. Also included are three sets of dummy variables that control for fixed effects of ratings, time (quarter), and issuer’s industry.
Persistence
[1] [2] [3] [4] Issuer's Multiple Maturity Catering 0.0333*** 0.0316*** 0.0247*** 0.0192** [4.59] [4.09] [3.47] [2.53] Competitors' Avg Multiple Maturity Catering 0.0081 0.0039 0.0074 0.0129 [0.76] [0.35] [0.74] [1.05] Constant 0.046 0.062 1.1882*** 1.1911*** [0.72] [0.97] [22.33] [21.89] Observations 7528 7528 7558 7558 Adjusted R-squared 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 Control Variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Ratings Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Qtr Time Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Industry Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Robust t-statistics, clustered at firm-level, are in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
44
Table 3, Panel A: Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering Behavior in the Supply of Bonds
Table 3, Panel A analyzes new bond issues and shows evidence of issuer’s multiple-maturity catering behavior. The dependent variable, expressed as a logarithm, is the face value of the bonds issued as a fraction of the issuing firm’s asset size, and the independent variable of interest is How Empty is this Niche Relative to other Niches. The latter is measured for a given niche as the ratio of bonds outstanding in the other two niches to the bonds outstanding in the given niche. A higher value of this variable thus indicates that for this issuer, the given niche is more empty than the other two niches. The control variable Competitors’ Average Multiple-maturity catering is the average of multiple-maturity catering across all other issuers in the same industry and rating group; all firms are categorized into 48 industries as per Fama and French (1997). All firms without ratings are assigned to a rating group 0, and those with ratings are divided into four groups. The control variable Simultaneous Bond Offerings by Competitors is a measure of the average size of bond offerings made by a competitor (in the same industry-rating group) in the same quarter as the given firm’s issue. The interactions of How Empty is this Niche Relative to other Niches with the two control variables reflect whether the multiple-maturity catering tendency of a given firm is stronger when the competitors are also multiple-maturity catering. The first five columns only use the sample of bond-issuing firms and the next five columns look at the entire universe of Compustat firms, while correcting for the selection bias. Overall Average Investor Holdings in this Niche is the average of the fraction of an investor’s holdings in that particular niche, where the average is calculated across all institutional investors. Issuer-specific control variables – Firm Size is logarithm of sales, Leverage is the ratio of debt to debt plus equity, Market-to-Book is the ratio of market equity to book equity, Cash is the cash holdings as a fraction of lagged assets, Capital Expenditure is ratio of capital expenses to lagged assets, Cashflow Volatility is the standard deviation of annual cashflows in all the years before the year of this bond issue, Z-score is the Altman’s (1968) Z-score for bankruptcy risk, Tangibility is the ratio of fixed assets to lagged total assets, Asset Maturity is a measure of asset maturity based on Guedes and Opler (1996), Convertibility of Outstanding Bonds is the average of a dummy variable measuring convertibility across the outstanding bonds of that issuer, Covenants, Private Placement, Callability, and Ratings of Outstanding Bonds are measured similarly. Lambda is the inverse Mill’s ratio from the first-stage regression in columns [6]-[10]. The Appendix provides more details on the variable definitions. Also included are dummy variables that control for fixed effects of time (quarter) and issuer’s industry.
Sample of Bond-issuing Firms Universe of Firms (Correcting for Selection Bias) [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] How Empty is this Niche relative to other Niches
0.0036*** 0.0032** 0.0036*** 0.0031** 0.0025 0.0035*** 0.0030*** 0.0035*** 0.0030*** 0.0018 [3.23] [2.38] [3.21] [2.35] [0.42] [4.39] [3.44] [4.37] [3.41] [0.50]
(How Empty is this Niche) x (Comp. Avg Multi-maturity catering)
0.0074** 0.0082*** [2.19] [2.78]
Competitors' Average Multiple-maturity catering
0.0364 0.0408 0.2939** 0.0245 0.0277 0.2692** [0.35] [0.39] [2.10] [0.37] [0.41] [2.19]
(How Empty is this Niche) x (Simultaneous Bond Offer. by Comp.)
-0.0044 -0.0042 [-0.86] [-1.27]
Simultaneous Bond Offerings by Competitors
-0.0104 -0.0102 0.5941*** -0.0072 -0.0074 0.6019*** [-0.54] [-0.49] [3.25] [-0.40] [-0.39] [5.37]
Overall Average Investor Holdings in this Niche
-0.0046 -0.0057 -0.0048 -0.0059 -0.0096 -0.0039 -0.0057* -0.0041 -0.0058* -0.0109** [-1.17] [-1.45] [-1.24] [-1.49] [-1.48] [-1.25] [-1.72] [-1.28] [-1.75] [-2.26]
Firm Size -0.4899*** -0.4692*** -0.4926*** -0.4719*** -0.4619*** -0.3095*** -0.3221*** -0.3122*** -0.3254*** -0.5014***
45
[-9.00] [-8.11] [-8.96] [-8.09] [-6.00] [-4.27] [-4.34] [-4.29] [-4.35] [-4.85] Leverage -1.0292*** -1.1493*** -1.0326*** -1.1543*** -2.2910*** -0.6967** -0.8044*** -0.7004** -0.8111*** -2.4375*** [-2.70] [-2.93] [-2.69] [-2.93] [-4.06] [-2.45] [-2.72] [-2.46] [-2.74] [-5.09] Market-to-Book 0.0123** 0.0120** 0.0121** 0.0118** 0.0457 0.0122** 0.0115** 0.0121** 0.0114** 0.0518* [2.27] [2.14] [2.24] [2.10] [1.14] [2.44] [2.30] [2.41] [2.27] [1.92] Cash -0.9809 -1.1852 -0.9791 -1.1845 -0.3032 -1.9374*** -1.7776*** -1.9316*** -1.7717*** -0.1509 [-1.00] [-1.31] [-0.99] [-1.31] [-0.34] [-3.53] [-3.22] [-3.51] [-3.21] [-0.23] Capital Expenditure -1.2186 -0.5774 -1.2085 -0.5675 -2.5485 -0.7334 -0.1510 -0.7273 -0.1466 -2.6199** [-0.90] [-0.47] [-0.89] [-0.46] [-1.50] [-1.01] [-0.20] [-1.00] [-0.19] [-2.55] Cashflow Volatility 0.0370** 0.0254 0.0368** 0.0252 0.0263 0.0241** 0.0139 0.0241** 0.0138 0.0292* [2.35] [1.47] [2.32] [1.45] [1.09] [2.17] [1.18] [2.17] [1.18] [1.68] Z-score 0.4068*** 0.4181*** 0.4102*** 0.4219*** 0.3148*** 0.3615*** 0.3791*** 0.3639*** 0.3821*** 0.3111*** [5.55] [6.21] [5.59] [6.25] [3.05] [7.09] [7.28] [7.09] [7.26] [3.95] Tangibility 0.0225 -0.1032 0.0201 -0.1053 0.2478 0.0989 -0.0726 0.0965 -0.0748 0.1781 [0.07] [-0.35] [0.06] [-0.36] [0.74] [0.47] [-0.33] [0.46] [-0.34] [0.61] Asset Maturity -0.0173* -0.0191* -0.0172* -0.0190* 0.0068 -0.0179*** -0.0188*** -0.0179*** -0.0188*** 0.0089 [-1.69] [-1.88] [-1.69] [-1.87] [0.50] [-2.91] [-2.96] [-2.90] [-2.95] [0.89] Convertibility of Outstanding Bonds 0.128 0.1328 0.1315 0.1365 -0.7646 0.1221 0.1336 0.1245 0.1361 -0.8068*** [0.48] [0.49] [0.50] [0.50] [-1.49] [0.66] [0.71] [0.67] [0.72] [-2.63] Covenants on Outstanding Bonds 0.0208 0.1983 0.0174 0.1949 0.2286 -0.0049 0.1797 -0.0072 0.1774 0.2436 [0.11] [0.99] [0.09] [0.98] [0.58] [0.04] [1.20] [-0.05] [1.18] [0.92] Private Placement of Outstanding Bonds 1.0882 1.138 1.1377 1.1851 0.2101 0.9595 1.0428 0.9953 1.0786 0.3484 [0.56] [0.51] [0.58] [0.52] [0.09] [0.58] [0.63] [0.60] [0.65] [0.18] Callability of Outstanding Bonds 0.0525 0.1514 0.0514 0.149 0.6151** 0.0659 0.1551 0.0651 0.1534 0.6460*** [0.29] [0.84] [0.29] [0.82] [2.10] [0.63] [1.42] [0.62] [1.40] [3.75] Rating of Outstanding Bonds -0.0805*** -0.0877*** -0.0805*** -0.0881*** -0.1269*** -0.0803*** -0.0870*** -0.0803*** -0.0872*** -0.1295*** [-7.75] [-6.22] [-7.75] [-6.22] [-5.51] [-10.58] [-9.17] [-10.58] [-9.17] [-8.27] Constant 9.0208*** 8.2848*** 9.0468*** 8.2990*** 8.2232*** 5.7197*** 5.9028*** 5.7604*** 5.9434*** 8.8095*** [16.71] [12.34] [16.63] [12.28] [9.08] [4.55] [4.43] [4.57] [4.45] [5.80] Lambda 0.5039*** 0.4165** 0.5018*** 0.4128** -0.0981 [2.71] [2.20] [2.70] [2.17] [-0.43] Observations 1032 958 1032 958 495 1022 948 1022 948 490 Adjusted R-squared / Chi-sq. p-value 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.80 [0.00] [0.00] [0.00] [0.00] [0.00] Qtr Time Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Industry Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Robust t-statistics, clustered at the issuing firm level, are in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
46
Table 3, Panel B: Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering Behavior and the Issuer’s Information Asymmetry
Table 3, Panel B shows how the issuer’s multiple-maturity catering behavior changes with the level of information asymmetry surrounding the issuer. The dependent variable, expressed as a logarithm, is the face value of the bonds issued as a fraction of the issuing firm’s asset size, and the independent variable of interest is the interaction of How Empty is this Niche Relative to other Niches with Issuer has less/more Information Asymmetry. The measures of issuer’s information asymmetry are indicated at the head of each column. Specifically, issuing firms that are listed on the NYSE, or have a credit rating, or are older than the average firm, or have less than average distance from the institutional investor, are defined as having less information asymmetry. These corresponding variables are also included as controls in the regressions. All the other variables are defined in the same manner as in Panel A of Table 3 above. These tests include all the control variables used in Table 3, Panel A, but these control variables are left unreported for brevity. Also included are dummy variables that control for fixed effects of time (quarter) and issuer’s industry.
Sample of Bond-issuing Firms Universe of Firms Correcting for Selection Bias NYSE Rating Firm's Age Distance NYSE Rating Firm's Age Distance (How Empty is this Niche) x (Issuer has less information asymmetry)
0.0036*** 0.0041** 0.0037** 0.0026* 0.0035*** 0.0040*** 0.0036*** 0.0025** [2.62] [2.25] [2.56] [1.94] [3.80] [3.61] [3.75] [2.39]
(How Empty is this Niche) x (Issuer has more information asymmetry)
-0.003 -0.0088** -0.0002 0.0021 -0.0028 -0.0092** -0.0004 0.0023 [-0.90] [-2.04] [-0.09] [1.22] [-0.76] [-2.42] [-0.22] [1.42]
Issuer has less information asymmetry -0.5920* 0.0307 -0.0052 -0.0003* -0.5768** 0.0507 -0.0055*** -0.0003*** [-1.71] [0.16] [-1.46] [-1.69] [-2.46] [0.39] [-2.69] [-3.06] Competitors' Average Multiple-maturity catering
0.0449 0.0110 0.0470 0.0224 0.0333 -0.0061 0.0344 0.0195 [0.43] [0.10] [0.45] [0.22] [0.50] [-0.08] [0.52] [0.28]
Overall Average Investor Holdings in this Niche
-0.0058 -0.0079** -0.0069* -0.0069** -0.0057* -0.0078** -0.0069** -0.0068** [-1.49] [-2.09] [-1.77] [-2.10] [-1.75] [-2.40] [-2.09] [-1.99]
Lambda 0.3977** 0.4568** 0.4447** 0.2158 [2.10] [2.41] [2.35] [1.15] Constant 8.7521*** 8.6073*** 8.2260*** 8.6022*** 6.4129*** 6.0017*** 5.7471*** 7.1154*** [12.83] [12.62] [12.18] [12.17] [4.77] [4.52] [4.32] [5.89] Observations 958 958 958 852 23811 23811 23811 23705 Adjusted R-squared / Chi-sq. p-value 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.73 [0.00] [0.00] [0.00] [0.00] Control Variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Qtr Time Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Industry Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Robust t-statistics, clustered at the issuing firm level, are in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
47
Table 3, Panel C: Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering Behavior and the Size of Institutional Investors in the Proximity
Table 3, Panel C shows the effect that the exogenous presence of small/medium/large institutional investors in the proximity of a bond-issuing firm has on that issuer’s multiple-maturity catering behavior. This difference due to the institutional investor’s size is measured by interacting the variable How Empty is this Niche with three exogenous measures for investor size, essentially splitting the issuer’s multiple-maturity catering into three separate components. The three variables, Small/Medium/Large Institutional Investors in the Proximity, are measured as the fraction of total bond-holdings controlled by small/medium/large institutional investors located in the proximity of the issuer. Since the three variables sum to one, only two of these are included as controls. All the other variables are defined in the same manner as in Panel A of Table 3 above. These tests include all the control variables used in Table 3, Panel A, but these control variables are left unreported for brevity. Also included are dummy variables that control for fixed effects of time (quarter) and issuer’s industry.
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] (How Empty is this Niche) x (Small Institutional Investors in the Proximity)
0.004 0.0044 0.0032 0.0043 0.0628 [0.21] [0.24] [0.17] [0.24] [1.07]
(How Empty is this Niche) x (Medium Institutional Investors in the Proximity)
-0.0029 -0.0034 -0.0029 -0.0036 -0.0303 [-0.98] [-1.03] [-0.98] [-1.08] [-1.55]
(How Empty is this Niche) x (Large Institutional Investors in the Proximity)
0.0040*** 0.0033** 0.0039*** 0.0033** 0.0127** [3.43] [2.43] [3.28] [2.40] [2.62]
Fraction of all Institutional Investors in the Proximity that are Small
-0.9521 -1.0137 -0.9014 -0.9975 -5.6525 [-0.76] [-0.81] [-0.72] [-0.81] [-1.43]
Fraction of all Institutional Investors in the Proximity that are Large
-0.7517*** -0.7587*** -0.7520*** -0.7732*** -1.1288*** [-3.42] [-3.11] [-3.41] [-3.16] [-2.80]
(How Empty is this Niche) x (Competitors' Avg Multiple-maturity catering)
0.0037 [1.07]
Competitors' Average Multiple-maturity catering 0.1542 0.1604 0.5854*** [1.38] [1.42] [3.86] (How Empty is this Niche) x (Simultaneous Bond Offerings by Competitors)
-0.0118*** [-3.03]
Simultaneous Bond Offerings by Competitors -0.0104 -0.017 0.4385** [-0.48] [-0.74] [2.54] Overall Average Investor Holdings in this Niche -0.0027 -0.0039 -0.0024 -0.0042 -0.0032 [-0.82] [-1.18] [-0.73] [-1.25] [-0.60] Constant 11.0733*** 11.0040*** 9.4061*** 11.0671*** 9.3849*** [16.74] [12.23] [13.78] [12.08] [8.76] Observations 871 805 871 805 422 Adjusted R-squared 0.75 0.75 0.74 0.75 0.85 Control Variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Qtr Time Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Industry Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Robust t-statistics, clustered at the issuing-firm level, are in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
48
Table 3, Panel D: Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering Behavior and the Benefit of Filling Three Niches
Table 3, Panel D shows how the issuer’s multiple-maturity catering responds to the market’s pricing of firms that have filled all three niches in comparison to those that have only filled one niche. Specifically, this is a logit regression of a dummy variable that indicates whether the firm is issuing bonds in an empty niche or a niche that is not quite one-third full and the main independent variable of interest is Benefit of Three Niches. In columns (1) and (2), the dependent variable is equal to 1 if the firm issues bonds in a maturity-niche for the first time while in columns (7) and (8), the dependent variable equals 1 if the firm issues bonds in a niche that is not empty but is less than 30% full. The dependent variables in columns (3)-(6) are defined similarly. We go up to 30% because, given three potential niches, a niche would be considered full if it’s 33% full. The independent variable Benefit of Three Niches is constructed by regressing the yields of firms that have already filled three niches and also regressing the yields of firms that have only filled one of the three potential niches. The difference between the residuals from these two regressions is used to proxy for the Benefit of Three Niches. All the other variables are defined in the same manner as in Panel A of Table 3 above. These tests include all the control variables used in Table 3, Panel A, but these control variables are left unreported for brevity. Also included are dummy variables that control for fixed effects of time (quarter).
Filling an Empty Niche
Filling a <10% Full Niche
Filling a <20% Full Niche
Filling a <30% Full Niche (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Benefit of Three Niches 0.068 0.051 0.092 0.086 0.109* 0.148* 0.160** 0.170** [0.84] [0.50] [1.23] [0.89] [1.67] [1.74] [2.10] [1.97] T-Bill Rates -0.074 0.441 -0.052 0.385 -0.530*** -0.627 -0.284* -0.515 [-0.46] [1.53] [-0.35] [1.47] [-2.71] [-1.40] [-1.92] [-1.23] Simultaneous Bond offerings by matched firms -0.017 -0.038 -0.018 -0.047 [-0.22] [-0.53] [-0.32] [-0.91] Constant 7.413*** 6.918*** 6.017*** 5.625*** 6.958*** 8.841*** 3.181** 5.127* [4.64] [3.03] [4.21] [2.80] [4.67] [3.09] [2.33] [1.96] Observations 1030 1030 1030 1030 1030 1030 1030 1030 Pseudo R-squared 0.21 0.26 0.18 0.22 0.11 0.14 0.06 0.09 Control Variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Qtr Time Dummies No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes Robust z-statistics, clustered at the firm-level, are in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
49
Table 4, Panel A: Impact of Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering on the Primary-Market Yields and Spreads
Table 4, Panel A shows the impact of the issuer’s multiple-maturity catering behavior on the primary-market yields and spreads (at the time of offer). The dependent variable in the first four columns is the percentage yield on the bonds issued by the firm and in the next four columns, it is the spread over a Treasury Bond that’s closest in maturity. The independent variable of interest is Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering, which is a discrete variable that measures the presence of an issuer across the various niches of bond maturities – the more categories or niches of maturities that the issuer has outstanding bonds in, the higher the multiple-maturity catering variable. We define three niches of maturities – short term, medium term, and long term – and therefore, the multiple-maturity catering variable takes values 1, 2, or 3. The control variable Competitors’ Average Multiple-maturity catering is the average of multiple-maturity catering across all other issuers in the same industry and rating group; all firms are categorized into 48 industries as per Fama and French (1997). All firms without ratings are assigned to a rating group 0, and those with ratings are divided into four groups. The control variable Simultaneous Bond Offerings by Competitors is a measure of the average size of bond offerings made by a competitor (in the same industry-rating group) in the same quarter as the given firm’s issue. T-Bill Rates is the percentage rate offered on a contemporaneous Treasury Bill that is closest in maturity to the bond issued by the firm. Issuer-specific control variables – Firm Size is logarithm of sales, Leverage is the ratio of debt to debt plus equity, Market-to-Book is the ratio of market equity to book equity, Cash is the cash holdings as a fraction of lagged assets, Cashflow is the sum of earnings and depreciation as a fraction of lagged assets, Z-score is the Altman’s (1968) Z-score for bankruptcy risk, Tangibility is the ratio of fixed assets to lagged total assets. Bond-specific control variables – Medium-/Long-term Maturity are two dummy variables that are equal to 1 if the bond offered is a medium or long term bond (along with a similarly defined Short-term Maturity dummy, these would sum to 1), Convertible is a dummy variable indicating that the offered bond is convertible, Rule 415 Regulation is a dummy variable indicating that it is a delayed or continuous bond offering, Rule 144A is a dummy variable indicating that the private placement of the bond offering, and Covenants is a dummy variable indicating that the offered bond has covenants attached. The Appendix provides more details on the variable definitions. Also included are dummy variables that control for fixed effects of ratings, time (quarter), and issuer’s industry.
Primary-market Yields Primary-market Spreads [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering -0.198*** -0.100** -0.098** -0.100** -0.193*** -0.098** -0.096* -0.098** [-4.44] [-2.02] [-1.97] [-2.01] [-4.41] [-1.99] [-1.93] [-1.97] Competitors' Average Multiple-maturity catering -0.044 -0.041 -0.044 -0.042 [-0.58] [-0.54] [-0.58] [-0.55] Simultaneous Bond Offerings by Competitors -0.008 -0.007 -0.007 -0.006 [-0.46] [-0.41] [-0.38] [-0.33] T-Bill Rates 0.984*** 0.541*** 0.540*** 0.541*** -0.027 -0.485*** -0.486*** -0.486*** [17.75] [4.92] [4.92] [4.92] [-0.50] [-4.65] [-4.65] [-4.65] Firm Size -0.265*** -0.286*** -0.288*** -0.288*** -0.265*** -0.283*** -0.285*** -0.285*** [-8.70] [-8.45] [-8.35] [-8.34] [-8.84] [-8.38] [-8.27] [-8.26] Leverage 1.918*** 1.960*** 1.958*** 1.958*** 1.928*** 1.979*** 1.978*** 1.977*** [7.48] [8.07] [8.07] [8.06] [7.51] [8.10] [8.11] [8.09] Market-to-Book 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 [-0.31] [-0.38] [-0.39] [-0.38] [-0.30] [-0.37] [-0.38] [-0.38] Cash -0.296** -0.144 -0.146 -0.145 -0.301** -0.146 -0.149 -0.147 [-2.36] [-1.28] [-1.30] [-1.29] [-2.38] [-1.30] [-1.32] [-1.30]
50
Cashflow -1.077** -0.563 -0.57 -0.565 -1.095** -0.57 -0.577 -0.573 [-2.47] [-1.44] [-1.46] [-1.44] [-2.50] [-1.45] [-1.47] [-1.45] Capital Expenditure 0.051 -0.322 -0.316 -0.32 0.067 -0.288 -0.283 -0.286 [0.19] [-1.33] [-1.31] [-1.33] [0.25] [-1.19] [-1.17] [-1.19] Tangibility 0.095 0.043 0.043 0.044 0.094 0.033 0.034 0.034 [0.63] [0.26] [0.26] [0.27] [0.63] [0.20] [0.20] [0.21] Z-score -0.003 0.002 0.002 0.003 -0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003 [-0.06] [0.05] [0.05] [0.06] [-0.04] [0.07] [0.06] [0.08] Medium-term Maturity 0.169* 0.311*** 0.314*** 0.314*** 0.119 0.268*** 0.270*** 0.271*** [1.82] [3.46] [3.47] [3.48] [1.30] [2.98] [2.99] [3.00] Long-term Maturity -0.246** 0.270** 0.277** 0.276** -0.292*** 0.239* 0.244** 0.244** [-2.33] [2.27] [2.32] [2.31] [-2.76] [1.96] [1.99] [1.98] Convertible -1.445*** -1.696*** -1.696*** -1.697*** -1.459*** -1.710*** -1.710*** -1.711*** [-6.69] [-7.61] [-7.60] [-7.62] [-6.76] [-7.70] [-7.69] [-7.70] Rule 415 Regulation -0.847*** -0.638*** -0.641*** -0.639*** -0.858*** -0.653*** -0.657*** -0.654*** [-5.59] [-4.67] [-4.68] [-4.67] [-5.61] [-4.70] [-4.70] [-4.70] Rule 144A 0.455*** 0.234 0.233 0.233 0.439*** 0.22 0.219 0.219 [2.89] [1.56] [1.55] [1.55] [2.76] [1.45] [1.44] [1.44] Covenants 0.481*** 0.251*** 0.252*** 0.251*** 0.475*** 0.249*** 0.250*** 0.249*** [5.21] [2.65] [2.67] [2.66] [5.16] [2.63] [2.64] [2.63] Constant 5.289*** 8.380*** 8.421*** 8.403*** 5.448*** 8.582*** 8.619*** 8.601*** [7.95] [9.54] [9.56] [9.55] [8.28] [10.07] [10.08] [10.06] Observations 2185 2011 2011 2011 2185 2011 2011 2011 Adjusted R-squared 0.58 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.48 0.57 0.57 0.57 Ratings Dummies No Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes Qtr Time Dummies No Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes Industry Dummies No Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes Robust t-statistics, clustered at the issuing-firm level, are in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
51
Table 4, Panel B: Impact of Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering on the Primary-Market Yields and Spreads of Different Maturity Bonds
Table 4, Panel B shows the impact of the issuer’s multiple-maturity catering behavior on the primary-market yields and spreads (at the time of offer), separately for short-term, medium-term, and long-term bonds. The dependent variable in the first three columns is the percentage yield on the bonds issued by the firm and in the next three columns, it is the spread over a Treasury Bond that’s closest in maturity. The column headings indicate the sample that we analyze – ST, MT, and LT refer to short term, medium term, and long term bonds. All the other variables are defined in the same manner as in Panel A of Table 4 above. These tests include all the control variables used in Table 4, Panel A, but these control variables are left unreported for brevity. Also included are dummy variables that control for fixed effects of ratings, time (quarter), and issuer’s industry.
Primary-market Yields Primary-market Spreads ST Bonds MT Bonds LT Bonds ST Bonds MT Bonds LT Bonds Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering -0.543** -0.184** -0.086* -0.555** -0.178** -0.086* [-2.02] [-2.25] [-1.72] [-2.08] [-2.19] [-1.72] Competitors' Average Multiple-maturity catering -0.307 0.009 0.051 -0.309 0.012 0.051 [-1.37] [0.06] [0.61] [-1.36] [0.09] [0.61] Simultaneous Bond offerings by Competitors 0.153 0.019 -0.030 0.165 0.018 -0.030 [1.39] [0.68] [-1.42] [1.51] [0.63] [-1.42] Constant 4.348** 9.932*** 6.951*** 4.449** 9.902*** 6.951*** [2.00] [7.69] [3.53] [2.02] [7.70] [3.53] Observations 274 756 948 274 756 948 Adjusted R-squared 0.69 0.70 0.68 0.50 0.65 0.60 Control Variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Ratings Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Qtr Time Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Industry Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Robust t-statistics, clustered at the issuing-firm level, are in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
52
Table 4, Panel C: Impact of Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering on the Primary-Market Yields and Spreads, and the Issuer’s Information Asymmetry
Table 4, Panel C shows how the impact of the issuer’s multiple-maturity catering behavior on the primary-market yields and spreads (at the time of offer) changes with the level of information asymmetry surrounding the issuer. The dependent variable in the first four columns is the percentage yield on the bonds issued by the firm and in the next four columns, it is the spread over a Treasury Bond that’s closest in maturity. The independent variable of interest is the interaction of Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering with Issuer has less/more Information Asymmetry. The measures of issuer’s information asymmetry are indicated at the head of each column. Specifically, issuing firms that are listed on the NYSE, or have a credit rating, or are older than the average firm, or have less than average distance from the institutional investor, are defined as having less information asymmetry. These corresponding variables (except firm’s age, which has a correlation of 0.70 and 0.85 with the interaction terms) are also included as controls in the regressions. All the other variables are defined in the same manner as in Panel A of Table 4 above. These tests include all the control variables used in Table 4, Panel A, but these control variables are left unreported for brevity. Also included are dummy variables that control for fixed effects of ratings, time (quarter), and issuer’s industry.
Primary-market Yields Primary-market Spreads NYSE Rating Firm's Age Distance NYSE Rating Firm's Age Distance (Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering) x (Issuer has less information asymmetry)
-0.092* -0.116** -0.124** -0.138** -0.090* -0.114** -0.119* -0.137** [-1.84] [-2.29] [-2.00] [-2.11] [-1.81] [-2.26] [-1.91] [-2.09]
(Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering) x (Issuer has more information asymmetry)
-0.001 0.701 -0.060 -0.105 0.001 0.705 -0.060 -0.109 [-0.01] [1.56] [-1.03] [-1.23] [0.01] [1.57] [-1.02] [-1.28]
Issuer has less information asymmetry -0.374 -0.231 0.000 -0.373 -0.224 0.000 [-1.29] [-0.52] [0.04] [-1.29] [-0.51] [0.05] Competitors' Average Multiple-maturity catering -0.037 -0.046 -0.030 -0.044 -0.038 -0.046 -0.030 -0.046 [-0.50] [-0.60] [-0.38] [-0.49] [-0.51] [-0.61] [-0.39] [-0.51] Simultaneous Bond offerings by Competitors -0.005 -0.010 0.002 -0.015 -0.004 -0.009 0.004 -0.013 [-0.30] [-0.58] [0.12] [-0.75] [-0.22] [-0.50] [0.19] [-0.66] Constant 8.343*** 7.654*** 10.622*** 9.847*** 8.540*** 7.850*** 10.817*** 10.048*** [9.29] [7.87] [10.33] [7.85] [9.78] [8.26] [10.82] [8.26] Observations 2011 2011 2031 1570 2011 2011 2031 1570 Adjusted R-squared 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.66 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.57 Control Variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Ratings Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Qtr Time Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Industry Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Robust t-statistics, clustered at the issuing-firm level, are in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
53
Table 4, Panel D: Impact of Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering on the Primary-Market Yields and Spreads, and the Size of Institutional Investors in the Proximity
Table 4, Panel D shows how the impact of the issuer’s multiple-maturity catering behavior on the primary-market yields and spreads (at the time of offer) changes with the exogenous presence of small/medium/large institutional investors in the proximity of a bond-issuing firm. This difference due to the institutional investor’s size is measured by interacting the variable Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering with three exogenous measures for investor size. The three variables, Small/Medium/Large Institutional Investors in the Proximity, are measured as the fraction of total bond-holdings controlled by small/medium/large institutional investors located in the proximity of the issuer. Two of these three investor-size variables are included as controls, and so is the total bond-holdings controlled by all institutional investors located in the proximity of the issuer. The dependent variable in the first four columns is the percentage yield on the bonds issued by the firm and in the next four columns, it is the spread over a Treasury Bond that’s closest in maturity. All the other variables are defined in the same manner as in Panel A of Table 4 above. These tests include all the control variables used in Table 4, Panel A, but these control variables are left unreported for brevity. Also included are dummy variables that control for fixed effects of ratings, time (quarter), and issuer’s industry.
Primary-market Yields Primary-market Spreads [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] (Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering) x (Small Institutional Investors in the Proximity)
0.270 -1.062 -1.003 -1.045 0.268 -1.085 -1.025 -1.068 [0.85] [-1.40] [-1.32] [-1.37] [0.84] [-1.42] [-1.34] [-1.39]
(Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering) x (Medium Institutional Investors in the Proximity)
-0.365 -0.108 -0.116 -0.108 -0.371 -0.117 -0.126 -0.117 [-1.38] [-0.43] [-0.47] [-0.43] [-1.40] [-0.47] [-0.50] [-0.47]
(Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering) x (Large Institutional Investors in the Proximity)
-0.255** -0.242** -0.243** -0.240** -0.248** -0.234** -0.235** -0.232** [-2.34] [-2.11] [-2.09] [-2.09] [-2.28] [-2.04] [-2.02] [-2.02]
Fraction of all Institutional Investors in the Proximity that are Small
-2.002** 0.038 -0.091 0.005 -2.000** 0.055 -0.076 0.022 [-2.36] [0.03] [-0.08] [0.00] [-2.36] [0.05] [-0.07] [0.02]
Fraction of all Institutional Investors in the Proximity that are Large
-0.381 0.091 0.076 0.081 -0.414 0.048 0.033 0.038 [-0.55] [0.14] [0.12] [0.12] [-0.59] [0.07] [0.05] [0.06]
Total Bond-holdings of all Institutional Investors in the Proximity
-0.064 -0.060 -0.060 -0.059 -0.061 -0.056 -0.057 -0.056 [-1.27] [-1.22] [-1.22] [-1.22] [-1.21] [-1.15] [-1.15] [-1.15]
Competitors' Avg Multiple-maturity catering 0.129 0.134 0.132 0.136 [1.00] [1.04] [1.02] [1.06] Simultaneous Bond offerings by matched firms -0.009 -0.011 -0.009 -0.011 [-0.34] [-0.43] [-0.34] [-0.42] Constant 8.425*** 10.249*** 10.248*** 10.264*** 8.488*** 10.307*** 10.306*** 10.322*** [5.88] [6.55] [6.55] [6.57] [5.89] [6.54] [6.53] [6.56] Observations 830 760 760 760 830 760 760 760 Adjusted R-squared 0.50 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.43 0.55 0.55 0.55 Control Variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Ratings, QtrTime, and Industry Dummies No Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes
54
Robust t statistics in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
Table 5, Panel A: Impact of Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering on the Secondary-Market Yields and Spreads
Table 5, Panel A shows the impact of the issuer’s multiple-maturity catering behavior on the secondary-market yields and spreads. The dependent variable in the first four columns is the percentage yield and in the next four columns, it is the spread over a Treasury Bond that’s closest in maturity. The independent variable of interest is Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering, which is a discrete variable that measures the presence of an issuer across the various niches of bond maturities – the more categories or niches of maturities that the issuer has outstanding bonds in, the higher the multiple-maturity catering variable. We define three niches of maturities – short term, medium term, and long term – and therefore, the multiple-maturity catering variable takes values 1, 2, or 3. The control variable Competitors’ Average Multiple-maturity catering is the average of multiple-maturity catering across all other issuers in the same industry and rating group; all firms are categorized into 48 industries as per Fama and French (1997). All firms without ratings are assigned to a rating group 0, and those with ratings are divided into four groups. In columns (1)-(2) and (5)-(6), multiple-maturity catering is counted by the mere presence in a niche, while in the remaining columns (3)-(4) and (7)-(8), it is counted only if the issuing firm has a significant presence (>20%) in that niche. Issuer-specific control variables – Firm Size is logarithm of sales, Leverage is the ratio of debt to debt plus equity, Market-to-Book is the ratio of market equity to book equity, Cash is the cash holdings as a fraction of lagged assets, Cashflow is the sum of earnings and depreciation as a fraction of lagged assets, Z-score is the Altman’s (1968) Z-score for bankruptcy risk, Tangibility is the ratio of fixed assets to lagged total assets. Bond-specific control variables – Convertibility of Outstanding Bonds is the dummy variable indicating convertibility, averaged across all outstanding bonds of the issuing firm; Covenants, Private Placement, and Callability of Outstanding Bonds are similarly defined. The Appendix provides more details on the variable definitions. Also included are dummy variables that control for fixed effects of ratings, time (quarter), and issuer’s industry.
Secondary-market Yields Secondary-market Spreads
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering -1.274*** -0.846*** -1.340*** -0.934*** [-5.80] [-4.76] [-6.03] [-5.18] Competitors' Avg Multiple-maturity catering
-1.246*** -0.263 -1.023*** -0.237 [-5.50] [-1.46] [-4.67] [-1.31]
Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering (Significant Presence of at least 20%)
-0.907*** -0.454*** -0.831*** -0.452*** [-4.74] [-3.28] [-4.22] [-3.21]
Competitors' Avg Multiple-maturity catering (Sig. Presence of at least 20%)
-1.284*** -0.053 -1.037*** -0.043 [-4.90] [-0.26] [-4.04] [-0.21]
Firm Size -0.285** -0.117 -0.573*** -0.283** -0.233* -0.130 -0.555*** -0.324*** [-2.06] [-0.86] [-5.11] [-2.44] [-1.65] [-0.96] [-4.92] [-2.82] Market-to-Book 0.000 -0.001 0.000 -0.001 0.000 -0.001 0.000 -0.001 [-0.01] [-0.64] [0.29] [-0.46] [-0.08] [-0.67] [0.23] [-0.47]
55
Leverage 3.663*** 2.020** 3.372*** 1.903** 3.771*** 2.089** 3.469*** 1.951** [3.29] [2.25] [3.07] [2.16] [3.34] [2.30] [3.14] [2.20] Cash -0.672** -0.482** -0.760*** -0.524** -0.709** -0.474** -0.799** -0.523** [-2.36] [-2.35] [-2.63] [-2.50] [-2.27] [-2.22] [-2.53] [-2.39] Cashflows -2.256** -1.589** -2.529** -1.711** -2.490** -1.575** -2.763** -1.715** [-2.25] [-2.24] [-2.48] [-2.36] [-2.28] [-2.13] [-2.50] [-2.26] Capital Expenditure 1.608 1.396 2.163** 1.457 1.409 1.051 1.952* 1.112 [1.61] [1.44] [2.13] [1.49] [1.23] [0.87] [1.68] [0.92] Tangibility -0.860 -1.027* -1.277** -1.081* -0.943 -0.782 -1.347** -0.837 [-1.54] [-1.71] [-2.24] [-1.79] [-1.40] [-0.99] [-1.97] [-1.05] Z-score -0.968*** -0.972*** -0.890*** -0.850*** -0.998*** -0.945*** -0.896*** -0.804*** [-3.83] [-3.83] [-3.51] [-3.51] [-3.88] [-3.64] [-3.47] [-3.24] Convertibility of Outstanding Bonds 0.125 0.480 0.095 0.256 0.677 0.565 0.583 0.306 [0.13] [0.62] [0.10] [0.32] [0.75] [0.73] [0.63] [0.39] Covenants on Outstanding Bonds 0.927* 1.486*** 0.759 1.495*** 0.693 1.611*** 0.524 1.618*** [1.94] [3.19] [1.56] [3.16] [1.43] [3.44] [1.06] [3.40] Private Placement of Outstanding Bonds -0.895 1.566* -0.606 1.460* -0.693 1.774** -0.623 1.591** [-0.42] [1.88] [-0.28] [1.76] [-0.35] [2.00] [-0.30] [1.98] Callability of Outstanding Bonds 0.289 0.395 0.478 0.456 0.902** 0.336 1.103*** 0.408 [0.72] [1.16] [1.15] [1.34] [2.30] [1.00] [2.67] [1.21] Constant 15.092*** 13.116*** 16.066*** 13.772*** 9.336*** 7.320*** 10.325*** 7.163*** [13.4] [7.48] [14.1] [7.84] [8.29] [3.81] [9.14] [3.74] Observations 35526 35526 35526 35526 35528 35528 35528 35528 Adjusted R-squared 0.19 0.32 0.18 0.32 0.19 0.31 0.18 0.31 Control Variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Ratings Dummies No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes Qtr Time Dummies No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes Industry Dummies No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes Robust t-statistics, clustered at issuing-firm level, are in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
56
Table 5, Panel B: Impact of Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering on the Secondary-Market Yields and Spreads of Different Maturity Bonds
Table 5, Panel B shows the impact of the issuer’s multiple-maturity catering behavior on the secondary-market yields and spreads. The dependent variable in the first four columns is the percentage yield and in the next four columns, it is the spread over a Treasury Bond that’s closest in maturity. The column-headings indicate the subsample that we analyze – short-term (ST), medium-term (MT), or long-term (LT) bonds. All the other variables are defined in the same manner as in Panel A of Table 5 above. These tests include all the control variables used in Table 5, Panel A, but these control variables are left unreported for brevity. Also included are dummy variables that control for fixed effects of ratings, time (quarter), and issuer’s industry.
Secondary-market Yields Secondary-market Spreads ST Bonds MT Bonds LT Bonds ST Bonds MT Bonds LT Bonds Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering -0.924*** -1.099*** -0.218** -0.898*** -1.107*** -0.218** [-2.81] [-4.24] [-2.05] [-2.74] [-4.17] [-2.05] Competitors' Avg Multiple-maturity catering
-0.111 -0.071 -0.134 -0.108 -0.069 -0.135 [-0.40] [-0.27] [-1.07] [-0.39] [-0.26] [-1.09]
Constant 14.943*** 8.648*** 4.967*** 10.811** 4.191** 0.063 [3.13] [4.27] [4.43] [2.27] [2.04] [0.056] Observations 9808 15115 10603 9808 15117 10603 Adjusted R-squared 0.37 0.34 0.39 0.36 0.32 0.37 Control Variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Ratings Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Qtr Time Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Industry Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Robust t-statistics, clustered at the issuing-firm level, are in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
57
Table 5, Panel C: Endogenously-Determined Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering and Secondary-Market Yields
Table 5, Panel C shows the impact of the issuer’s multiple-maturity catering behavior on the secondary-market yields and spreads, except the issuer’s multiple-maturity catering behavior is instrumented because it is endogenously determined. The dependent variable in the first four columns is the percentage yield and in the next four columns, it is the spread over a Treasury Bond that’s closest in maturity. All the other variables are defined in the same manner as in Panel A of Table 5 above. These tests include all the control variables used in Table 5, Panel A, but these control variables are left unreported for brevity.
Secondary-market Yields
Secondary-market Spreads All Bonds ST Bonds MT Bonds LT Bonds All Bonds ST Bonds MT Bonds LT Bonds Issuer's Multiple-maturity Catering (Significant Presence of at least 20%)
-16.164* -20.315*** -12.154** -0.425 -15.132 -19.007*** -10.039* -0.525 [-1.71] [-2.90] [-2.04] [-0.18] [-1.63] [-2.68] [-1.90] [-0.23]
Constant 11.702*** 12.463** 13.405*** 9.051*** 6.372* 7.816 7.946*** 3.151 [3.25] [2.09] [5.38] [2.80] [1.85] [1.39] [3.71] [0.97] Observations 29428 8245 12245 8938 29428 8245 12245 8938 Control Variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes QtrTime/Industry Dummies No No No No No No No No First-stage F-stat > Critical Value Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Hansen's J (p-value) 0.19 0.86 0.77 0.64 0.25 0.91 0.82 0.69 Robust t statistics in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
58
Table 5, Panel D: Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering and the Impact of GM/Ford Downgrade on Secondary-market Trading
Table 5, Panel D shows the impact of the issuer’s multiple-maturity catering behavior on the yields in the secondary market around the exogenous downgrade of GM and Ford bonds to junk status, which we call a “crisis”. The dependent variable is the percentage yield on the issuing firm’s bonds in the secondary-market trading and the independent variable of interest is the interaction between Issuer’s Multiple-maturity catering and the Crisis. The variable Crisis is a dummy variable equal to 1 in 2005Q2 and 0 otherwise, marking the quarter in which GM and Ford bonds were downgraded to junk status. The control variable Previous Quarter’s Yield is the yield on the bond during the previous month. All the other variables and Significant Presence (>20%) in a Niche are defined in the same manner as in Panel A of Table 5 above. These tests include all the control variables used in Table 5, Panel A, but these control variables are left unreported for brevity. Also included are dummy variables that control for fixed effects of ratings, time (quarter), and issuer’s industry.
Presence in a Niche Significant Presence (>20%) in a Niche Yield ∆Yield Yield ∆Yield [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering -0.200*** -0.081 -0.009*** -0.015*** -0.041 -0.108*** -0.005*** -0.016*** [-4.35] [-1.44] [-5.11] [-3.78] [-1.43] [-2.85] [-2.99] [-4.32] (Issuer's Multiple-maturity catering) x (Crisis) 0.073*** 0.045*** 0.036*** 0.021*** 0.084*** 0.069*** 0.045*** 0.028*** [3.33] [2.61] [23.53] [12.61] [3.57] [3.16] [23.00] [12.46] Competitors' Avg. Multiple-maturity catering -0.164*** 0.037 -0.017*** 0.011 -0.031 -0.082 -0.011*** -0.004 [-3.05] [0.33] [-7.24] [1.54] [-0.57] [-0.97] [-4.54] [-0.62] Previous Quarter's Yield 1.069*** 1.222*** 0.001*** -0.000 1.071*** 1.224*** 0.001*** 0.000 [33.84] [33.16] [2.65] [-0.04] [33.90] [32.83] [2.75] [0.06] Constant 1.988*** -1.438*** 0.070** 0.016 1.828** -1.374*** 0.080*** 0.029 [2.70] [-2.99] [2.35] [0.32] [2.48] [-3.04] [2.68] [0.57] Observations 24766 2927 24639 2923 24766 2927 24639 2923 Adjusted R-squared 0.81 0.91 0.05 0.09 0.81 0.91 0.05 0.09 Control Variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Rating Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Qtr Time Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Industry Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Robust t-statistics, clustered at issuing-firm level, are in brackets; *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1