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*We thank Laura Field, Peter Iliev, Eliezer Fich, Kristine Hansen, William Johnson, Dasol Kim, and seminar participants at Drexel University and Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance for valuable comments.
Cash Holdings and the Effects of Pre-IPO Financing in Newly Public Firms
Christa H.S. Bouwman Case Western Reserve University
Wharton Financial Institutions Center E-mail: [email protected]
Phone: (216) 368-3688
Michelle Lowry*
Penn State University E-mail: [email protected]
Phone: (814) 865-1483
July 9, 2012
Abstract:
Newly public firms hold far higher levels of cash than mature firms, and these substantially higher cash holdings remain relatively stable for extended periods after the IPO. This is puzzling since many measures of firm growth, which are generally hypothesized to be related to demand for cash, converge to those of mature firms over this period. Interestingly, newly public firms are unique in the extent to which they benefit from these high cash holdings: among newly public firms a high cash portfolio significantly outperforms a lower cash portfolio, but we do not find a similar relation among mature firms. We posit that newly public firms’ cash holdings and the associated benefits are driven by uncertainty regarding the availability of post-IPO financing. Those with pre-IPO syndicated loans (one-third of our sample) likely face the least uncertainty. Consistent with this conjecture, both the high level of cash holdings and the benefits of these cash holdings are restricted to the subsample of newly public firms without syndicated loans prior to the IPO.
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1. Introduction
Cash serves numerous purposes for a firm. It is needed for operating liquidity, and it also
furbishes a firm’s internal capital market for financing investments. However, cash is also a “lazy”
asset, directly reducing the return the firm earns on its assets. In addition, excess cash also exacerbates
the “free cash flow” problem articulated by Jensen (1986). Against this backdrop of both benefits and
costs of cash holdings, the aggregate record high cash holdings of companies in recent years have
received considerable attention. Bates, Kahle and Stulz (2009) document that these record aggregate
cash balances are driven by the particularly high cash holdings of newly public firms. This finding
suggests that the often-posed question ‘are market-wide cash holdings too high’ is perhaps not the
appropriate question. Rather, much can be learned from a more in-depth examination of the cash
holdings of newly public firms.
The cash holdings of newly public firms far exceed those of their more mature and visible
counterparts. The median public firm (excluding firms that have gone public within the past five
years) holds 8% cash/assets. More extreme cases such as Exxon-Mobil and Microsoft, which have
been widely criticized for their excessive cash holdings, held 14% cash/assets in 2008 (and only 3 –
6% of assets in 2010).1 In comparison, the median newly public firm holds 44% cash/assets in the year
of the IPO. Moreover, the high cash holdings of newly public firms persist long after the IPO. Three,
four, and five years after the IPO, the median newly public firm still holds 25% or more of its assets in
cash.
This finding of extreme persistence in newly public firms’ cash positions, for five or more
years after the IPO, represents the first contribution of our paper. The characteristics of IPO firms such
as high growth and high risk suggest that these firms should have high precautionary demands for cash
around the time of the IPO. However, prior literature shows and we confirm that these factors
attenuate in the years following the IPO. For example, Swaminathan and Purnanandam (2004) show
1 Mature firms of similar size to IPO firms have median cash over assets of 11%, where comparable size is defined as assets between $23 million and $243 million (the 25th and 75th percentile, respectively, of IPO firms’ assets).
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that sales growth decreases substantially over the five years following the IPO, and Brav, Michaely,
Roberts and Zarutskie (2009) suggest that firm risk also decreases after the IPO. While decreases in
growth and risk suggest that cash balances should decline in the years following the IPO, we instead
find that cash holdings are relatively stable for an extended period.
The contrast between the persistence in newly public firms’ cash holdings for years after the
IPO versus the decrease in factors generally perceived as capturing demand for cash is puzzling.
Empirical tests in this paper, however, suggest that newly public firms benefit from these high cash
positions. When we categorize newly public firms into two portfolios based on their cash holdings, we
find that the high cash portfolio significantly outperforms the low cash portfolio, over a period of 36
months. In contrast, we find no evidence of significant performance differences between the high cash
and low cash portfolios among samples of mature firms. Thus, while accumulating cash is frequently
considered a sign of management inefficiency and free-cash-flow problems (e.g., Jensen, 1986), our
results suggest that for newly public firms high cash levels may be beneficial.
In an effort to understand both the persistence in newly public firms’ cash holdings and the
superior performance of IPO firms with high cash positions, we consider in more depth the ways in
which IPO firms differ from their mature counterparts. We focus on the information asymmetry and
general uncertainty surrounding firms, and the ways in which such factors affect firms’ ability to
access external capital markets. The more uncertain information environment typical of newly public
firms suggests that these firms will both find it more difficult to accumulate an optimal level of cash
and face greater uncertainty regarding the availability of future external financing. While in a
Modigliani-Miller type world with perfect information and no transactions costs there is no incentive to
hold high cash, the unique information environment surrounding newly public firms potentially causes
cash to be particularly valuable to these companies.
The premise that market frictions, for example as result from a lack of perfect information,
contribute to young firms’ demands for cash on hand is supported by theoretical literature. Myers and
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Majluf (1984) highlight the ways in which asymmetric information can complicate external capital
raising, and Dittmar and Thakor (2007) show how disagreement between management and investors
regarding firm value can cause firms’ access to liquidity to dry up at a moment’s notice. Boot and
Thakor (2011) show that cash offers benefits of financial flexibility to firms, and theoretical models of
Acharya, Almeida, and Campello (2007) and Gamba and Triantis (2008) suggest that these benefits
would be particularly important for IPO firms. The model of Acharya et al. implies that firms with
investment opportunities arriving in low cash flow states and firms with external financing constraints
should retain more cash. Notably, compared to mature firms, IPO firms are characterized by both low
cash flows and uncertainty regarding future financing. Gamba and Triantis’ model indicates that such
firms will command a relatively large premium for liquidity provided by cash holdings. Indeed,
Faulkender and Wang (2006) find that the marginal value of liquidity is higher for firms with lower
liquidity, with greater investment opportunities, and with higher external financing constraints.
To explore the extent to which market frictions contribute to the high cash holdings of IPO
firms, we categorize our sample based on a proxy for the difficulty of obtaining post-IPO financing.
Based on a broad literature on relationship banking, we posit that the presence of a pre-IPO syndicated
loan represents such a proxy. The banking literature has emphasized that banks invest in customer-
specific information (e.g., Allen, 1990; Ramakrishnan and Thakor, 1984; Diamond, 1984) and that the
ability to reuse this information intertemporally (e.g., Greenbaum and Thakor, 2007; Freixas and
Rochet, 2008) allows them to create long-term relationships that enhance the likelihood of continued
access to credit for the customer.2 Thus, all else equal, newly public firms that have obtained pre-IPO
syndicated loans will find it easier to obtain further bank financing after the IPO, compared to their
counterparts that have not formed such a relationship. Knowing that they have easier access to future
2 The empirical literature on the benefits of relationship banking suggests that: the announcement effect of bank loans, in particular renewals, is positive (Lummer and McConnell, 1989); the duration of the bank-borrower relationship positively affects the availability of credit (Petersen and Rajan, 1994; Berger and Udell, 1995); intertemporal smoothing of contract terms increases availability of funds to young firms (Petersen and Rajan, 1994). See Bhattacharya and Thakor (1993) and Boot (2000) for in-depth overviews of the theoretical and empirical relationship lending literature.
4
financing suggests that the benefit of holding cash is lower for such firms and thus they will rationally
opt to operate with lower cash balances.
Approximately one-third of firms going public raise money through syndicated loans prior to
the IPO. Consistent with predictions, firms with such loans are substantially more likely to raise post-
IPO financing through similar channels. Specifically, 69% of firms with pre-IPO syndicated loans
raise additional syndicated loans within the first five years following the IPO, compared to only 38% of
firms without pre-IPO syndicated loans.3 Through a series of both hazard models and models that
control for the endogeneity of the source of pre-IPO financing, we confirm that the presence of a pre-
IPO loan increases the probability of obtaining post-IPO financing (in particular post-IPO syndicated
loans). In contrast, backing by a venture capitalist prior to the IPO does not appear to have a similar
effect.
Consistent with inferences from the relationship banking literature, this greater assurance
regarding future financing contributes to lower cash holdings among firms with pre-IPO syndicated
loans. Median cash as a percent of assets among firms with a pre-IPO syndicated loan is 9% in the
year prior to the IPO, and 14% and 15% in years 3 and 5 after the IPO. In comparison, median cash as
a percent of assets is substantially higher among firms without such a loan: 25% in the year prior to the
IPO, and 52% and 49% in years 3 and 5 after the IPO. The previously documented extraordinarily
high cash holdings of newly public firms are concentrated within the subset of IPO firms that faces the
most uncertainty regarding the availability of future financing, i.e., those without pre-IPO syndicated
loans.
To the extent that a pre-IPO syndicated loan reduces uncertainty regarding future financing, we
would expect firms with such loans to have both a higher probability of survival and lower benefits of
excess cash holdings. Our last set of results supports both these conjectures. First, a hazard analysis
indicates that the presence of a pre-IPO syndicated loan significantly decreases the probability of
3 Firms with pre-IPO syndicated loans are also slightly more likely to have an SEO: 31% of the firms with a pre-IPO loan compared to 27% of the non-loan firms have an SEO within the five years following the IPO.
5
delisting for poor performance. Notably, we find no such relation among mature firms, who arguably
face less uncertainty regarding the availability of future financing. Second, long-run returns analyses
support the conclusion that the benefits of cash are lower for firms with pre-IPO syndicated loans, a
conclusion that follows from the previous findings that these firms have both lower levels of cash and
higher rates of survival. Among firms without pre-IPO syndicated loans, firms with high cash holdings
significantly outperform those with low cash holdings. Specifically, a portfolio of high-cash firms
outperforms a portfolio of low cash firms by an average 60 to 90 basis points per month, over a three
year period. In contrast, we find no such difference for firms with pre-IPO syndicated loans, i.e.,
among firms without such uncertainty regarding the availability of future financing.
Our paper contributes to the literatures on both IPO firms and the value of cash. While a
variety of papers suggest that the growth rates and risk levels of IPO firms decrease in the years
following the IPO, we find that cash levels are quite persistent. Moreover, IPO firms appear to benefit
from these high cash holdings: controlling for firm characteristics, firms with higher cash balances
earn higher risk-adjusted returns. While IPO firms have significantly higher cash holdings than mature
firms for at least five years after the IPO, we find no evidence that these high cash holdings are value-
depleting – in fact, our results suggest exactly the opposite.
Our findings also highlight the role of syndicated loans prior to the IPO. There exists a
considerable literature on the role that venture capitalists play and their effects on firms both prior and
subsequent to the IPO. In contrast, we know relatively little about the importance of pre-IPO
syndicated loans, despite the fact that one-third of our sample firms have such a loan prior to going
public. Our results suggest that the presence of such a loan is associated with dramatic decreases in
future financing uncertainty.
The remainder of the paper proceeds as follows. Section 2 describes our data and provides
descriptive statistics. Section 3 examines the evolution of IPO firms’ versus mature firms’ cash
balances and compares these patterns to the evolution of IPO firm characteristics. Section 4
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investigates the effects of cash holdings on firm survival. Section 5 examines the link between IPO
firms’ cash balances and pre-IPO financing, and Section 6 asks whether the market recognizes the
benefits of higher cash holdings. Section 7 concludes.
2. Data
Our sample consists of newly public firms between 1996 and 2009. Because we follow firms
for five years following the IPO, we restrict IPO offer dates to the 1996 to 2004 period. The sample of
IPOs is obtained from Thomson Financial. As is standard in the IPO literature, we exclude financial
firms, utilities, firms with offer prices of less than $5, REITs, and unit offerings. Because several of
our analyses involve a matched sample of mature firms, where firms are matched based on year and
industry, we also exclude IPO firms that fall within the ‘other industry’ group (based on the Fama-
French 12 industry groupings). From Thomson Financial, we collect data on the offer price, offer date,
proceeds raised, and identity of the underwriters. We obtain stock price data from CRSP and
accounting data from Compustat. All accounting ratios are winsorized at the 1% and 99% levels.
Following Field and Karpoff (2002) and Loughran and Ritter (2004), we also obtain firm founding
dates to calculate firm age at the IPO.4
We collect information on IPO firms’ financing from five years before until five years after the
IPO. Information about venture capital (VC) backing is obtained from the ThomsonOne
VentureExpert database. Firms are assumed to be VC-backed if they received financing from one or
more venture capitalists before the IPO. Seasoned equity offering (SEO) data are obtained from the
Thomson Financial New Issues Database. Information about pre- and post-IPO bank financing is
retrieved from Loan Pricing Corporation’s (LPC) Dealscan database.5 Dealscan contains information
4 We thank Jay Ritter for making these data available on his website: http://bear.warrington.ufl.edu/ritter/FoundingDates.htm. 5 We thank Michael Roberts for sharing identifiers which allow us to match Dealscan loan data with Compustat accounting data. Chava and Roberts (2008) discuss the creation of these identifiers.
7
on large loans to both public and private companies.6 While the vast majority of these are syndicated
loans, the data do include some sole-lender loans. For simplicity, we refer throughout the paper to these
loans as syndicated loans.
Many of our analyses employ the sample of IPO firms as well as a sample of matched mature
firms. The mature firm sample is formed as follows: for each IPO firm (call it firm i) we randomly
select one mature firm without replacement (defined as a company that has not gone public within the
past five years; call it firm j) in the same Fama-French industry as firm i, with Compustat data in the
year of firm i’s IPO, and with a CRSP stock price in the month of firm i’s IPO.7
We follow firms for up to five years. For IPO firms, we measure year 1 cash holdings at the
first fiscal year end following the IPO date. For mature firms, we analogously measure year 1 as the
first fiscal year end following the offer date of the matched IPO firm. The literature has used various
measures of cash, including cash/total assets, cash/net assets, log(cash/assets), and cash/sales (e.g.,
Pinkowitz and Williamson (2007); Pinkowitz, Stulz, and Williamson (2006); Dittmar and Mahrt-
Smith (2007); Bates et al (2009)). For IPO firms, cash/net assets is unlikely to be a good measure as it
is highly skewed: IPO firms hold a substantial portion of their assets in cash meaning the denominator
of cash/net assets is rather small (even negative) in many cases. Cash/sales is skewed as well because
some IPO firms have relatively low sales around the time of the IPO. Following Bates et al. (2009),
we therefore measure cash as cash/total assets.
To control for firm characteristics as they relate to demand for cash, many of our tests focus on
excess cash. Following Harford, Mansi and Maxwell (2008) and Opler, Pinkowitz, Stulz, and
Williamson (1999), excess cash is defined as the residual from a regression of cash / assets on various
determinants of cash. The models are based on the premise that firms with higher growth
6 Dealscan contains 50%-75% of the value of all commercial loans in the U.S. during the early 1990s, and covers an even greater fraction of these loans from 1995 onward (Carey and Hrycray (1999)). 7 We match firms based on Fama-French 12 industries to ensure the availability of sufficient mature firms. Using a 49-industry grouping, the portion of all listed firms in certain industry-years that represent newly public firms is so high that we are unable to obtain sufficient mature firms to conduct a match. In all regressions, we include fixed effects based on Fama-French 49 industries as additional controls. We do not match on additional factors such as firm size, because the identification of mature firms of similar size to IPO firms disproportionately selects distressed firms.
8
opportunities, less internal cash flow, higher risk, fewer cash substitutes, and less access to capital
markets have higher demands for cash and thus should operate with more cash. We follow the Harford
et al. specification to calculating excess cash, with minor adjustments to accommodate the more
limited data available for IPO firms (in particular for periods prior to the IPO). To obtain the best
possible estimates of excess cash, regressions are estimated over the entire Compustat universe. We
compute excess cash for each firm in our sample as the residual from this cash regression. Precise
variable descriptions are provided in Appendix I, and additional details regarding the excess cash
specification as well as the tabulated regression are shown in Appendix II.
Table 1 provides descriptive statistics on our sample, where all accounting data represent
median values for the first fiscal year end following the IPO. Our sample consists of 2,089 IPO firms.
Looking first at column one in Panel A, the median IPO firm has 46% of its assets in cash in the year
following the IPO. Not surprisingly, this percentage is a substantially lower 35% (not shown for
brevity) in year 2, after the firm has had time to invest proceeds raised.
Prior literature has demonstrated that cash holdings are related to a variety of firm
characteristics. Table 1 provides descriptive evidence on these characteristics (defined in more detail
in Appendix I), and they are used as controls in subsequent regressions. Consistent with their high
growth rates, IPO firms tend to have low leverage (2% book leverage), low profits (1% EBIT/TA), and
high sales growth (40% growth rate in the year prior to the IPO).
In addition, Table 1 also provides IPO-specific descriptive statistics. The median IPO firm is 7
years old. Among IPO firms, the median underwriter rank is 8, where rank is defined following Carter
and Manaster (1990) as updated by Carter, Dark, and Singh (1998) and Loughran and Ritter (2004).
Average initial returns equal 33%, and the median firm raised $46 million in proceeds, which
represents 124% of pre-IPO assets. These statistics are comparable to those shown in other papers for
samples of IPO firms over similar time periods.
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Columns two through five of Panel A show the comparable statistics for subsamples of IPO
firms. Many of our later analyses relate to sources of pre-IPO financing, and as shown here many firm
characteristics vary across pre-IPO financing subsamples. We categorize our IPO sample into four
subgroups: “VC Only” (where VC = pre-IPO VC backing), “Loan Only” (where loan = pre-IPO
syndicated loan), “VC plus Loan”, and “Neither Financing”. Approximately 35% of our sample falls
into the VC-Only subgroup and 32% into the Neither Financing group. The remaining observations
are spread equally between Loan Only and VC plus Loan groups. Consistent with expectations, firms
with pre-IPO syndicated loans tend to be larger, and have higher leverage. Firms with VC backing
tend to be younger, and firms with neither source of pre-IPO financing tend to be smaller.
Finally, column six provides statistics regarding the matched mature firms. Consistent with
common notions regarding mature firms versus IPO firms, the mature firms have substantially lower
cash holdings (9% of assets).
Panel B shows the industry distribution of the IPO sample. The largest concentration of firms
falls within the Business Equipment industry. As noted earlier, finance firms, utilities, and firms in the
other category are excluded from the sample.
3. Determinants of IPO firms’ cash holdings
Table 1 shows that IPO firms have substantially higher cash holdings than matched mature
firms, but that IPO firms also differ on a number of other dimensions that suggest they have higher
demands for cash. Moreover, data shown in Table 1 represent cash holdings at the first fiscal year end
following the IPO, a point when cash holdings may be mechanically high as a result of the IPO
proceeds raised. Figure 1 examines the evolution of cash holdings for IPO firms and mature firms.
Panel A of Figure 1 shows median cash/TA for IPO firms and for matched mature firms, from
the year before the IPO until 5 years after the IPO. The year 1 numbers were shown in Table 1, and
not surprisingly IPO firms’ cash balances are highest in this year, immediately following the IPO.
10
Cash decreases markedly between year 1 and year 2 as proceeds are invested and used to cover
expenses. A striking observation from Figure 1 is the persistence in cash holdings after year 2. Cash
decreases slightly between years 2 and 3, and then stays virtually constant. Moreover, cash remains
significantly higher for IPO firms than for mature firms. Five years after the IPO, the median IPO
firm’s cash is nearly double that of mature firms in the same industry groupings (27% vs 11%).
Panel B shows that this persistence is robust to limiting the sample to firms that survive
throughout the entire five-year period. Moreover, Panel C indicates that this persistence is robust to
excluding the IPO Bubble period, which we define following Lowry, Officer, and Schwert (2010) as
IPOs going public between September, 1998 and August, 2000. As discussed by Lowry et al,
Loughran and Ritter (2004), and others, this period was a very unique time in the IPO markets along a
variety of dimensions, and we want to ensure that our results are not driven by these offerings.
Figure 2 provides initial evidence regarding the role of firm characteristics in explaining IPO
firms’ high cash balances. Prior literature shows that firms with higher growth opportunities and
greater risk levels have higher demands for cash. Around the time of the IPO, IPO firms rank highly
on both of these dimensions, making it not surprising that they hold substantially more cash than their
more mature counterparts. However, the persistence in cash holdings documented in Figure 1 raises
the question of whether these higher growth opportunities and risk levels similarly persist far beyond
the IPO. Figure 2 examines this issue by showing a variety of growth and risk metrics, for both IPO
firms and matched mature firms for years 1 to 5.
Panels A to E examine five common metrics of growth opportunities: sales growth, capital
expenditures/assets, acquisitions/assets, market-to-book, and R&D/sales.8 The first four of these five
measures suggest that the growth opportunities of IPO firms have converged to those of the matched
mature firms within three to five years after the IPO. Specifically, IPO firms’ sales growth and
acquisition expenditures/total assets are virtually indistinguishable from those of the matched mature
8 We show medians for all these metrics except for acquisitions/assets: mean acquisitions/assets are shown because medians equal 0 for both sets of firms.
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firms by year 5, and capital expenditures/total assets and market-to-book of the two groups of firms are
virtually equal by year 3. These patterns differ dramatically from the persistent difference in cash
holdings between these two sets of firms. In contrast, Panel E provides some evidence that the growth
options of IPO firms continue to be substantially higher than those of the matched mature firms:
R&D/sales is substantially higher for the IPO firms even in year 5.
As shown in Panel F, IPO firms appear to have higher risk than mature firms throughout the
entire five year period following the IPO, as evidenced by their higher volatility of stock returns.
While the difference is not large, it is extremely persistent.
One possible factor causing firms to hold high levels of cash, even in the absence of
abnormally high growth opportunities, would be low cash flows. Firms without the assurance of a
regular stream of cash flows will have greater demands for cash, to protect themselves from
uncertainty related to raising external financing. Panel G of Figure 2 provides some support for this
conjecture. By year 5 after the IPO, there has been some convergence between the EBIT/TA of IPO
firms and mature firms, but that of mature firms remains considerably higher.
Table 2 presents regressions that test the statistical significance of the relations shown in
Figures 1 and 2. The sample consists of both IPO firms and matched mature firms, and the table shows
OLS regressions of cash regressed on various firm-specific characteristics to capture firm growth and
firm risk, plus a dummy variable to indicate whether the firm is an IPO firm. In columns 1 and 3 the
dependent variable is cash/assets, with column 1 measuring both the dependent variable and all control
variables in year 3, i.e., the third fiscal year end after the IPO, and column 3 focusing on year 5.
Industry fixed effects based on the Fama-French 49 industries as well as calendar year fixed effects are
included, and robust standard errors are reported in parentheses.
Consistent with inferences from Figure 1, results in columns 1 and 3 provide strong evidence
that IPO firms hold significantly higher cash balances than mature firms. Three years after the IPO,
IPO firms have on average 10.3% greater cash/assets than matched mature firms, even after controlling
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for a battery of firm-specific characteristics. Moreover, five years after the IPO this gap has closed
little, with IPO firms still holding 8.4% more in cash / assets.
As an alternate way to capture differences in firms’ demands for cash, we compare firms’
excess cash holdings, the calculation of which is detailed in Appendix II. We use these excess cash
estimates as dependent variables in two alternative specifications in Table 2. Specifically, in columns
2 and 4 of Table 2 the excess cash estimates of our IPO firms and matched mature firms are regressed
on the IPO dummy and control variables. Notably, inferences based on excess cash are qualitatively
similar to those discussed earlier where cash/assets was the dependent variable. IPO firms have
significantly higher excess cash than mature firms, both three and five years after the IPO.
4. Do newly public firm benefit from their cash holdings?
4.1 Relation between excess cash and firm performance
While Table 2 shows that IPO firms hold significantly more cash than mature firms in the same
industry and year, it says nothing about whether these high cash holdings are good or bad. If all firms
hold the optimal amount of cash, then we would expect to find no relation between excess cash and
firm performance. However, it is possible that newly public firms are more limited than mature firms
in their ability to accumulate an optimal amount of cash, for example because they have a relatively
short track record which makes it difficult for these high information asymmetry firms to obtain
external financing. There are substantial costs associated with insufficient cash balances, including the
inability to undertake positive NPV projects. To the extent that the market cannot / does not
completely price in such dynamics, we will observe a positive relation between excess cash holdings
and subsequent performance.
Panel A of Table 3 examines this conjecture. In the top portion of the panel, we consider all
newly-listed firms at the end of their first fiscal year following the IPO. We divide the firms into two
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categories, those with above-median excess cash at this point and those with below-median excess
cash, and we follow them for 36 months. Thus, each month those newly public firms whose first fiscal
year end just passed get added to one of the portfolios, and those whose first fiscal year end was more
than 36 months ago exit the portfolios.9 Using a calendar-portfolio approach, each month we calculate
the returns (net of the risk free rate) on each portfolio, and we regress these returns on the three Fama-
French (1993) factors plus the Carhart (1997) momentum factor. The Fama and French factors include
the market return minus the risk-free rate (Rm–Rf), returns on a portfolio of small firms minus returns
on a portfolio of big firms (SMB), and returns on a high-book-to-market portfolio minus returns on a
low-book-to-market portfolio (HML). The momentum factor is defined as returns on a high-
momentum portfolio minus returns on a low-momentum portfolio (UMD). The intercept from such a
regression, which is commonly referred to as the alpha, can be interpreted as a measure of abnormal
performance.
The bottom portion of Panel A shows results of a similar analysis, with the exception that firms
are placed into either the high excess cash or low excess cash portfolio based on their cash balances at
the end of their second (instead of first) fiscal year end. The first fiscal year end may not be the best
time to measure firms’ cash holdings: firms whose first fiscal year ends one or two months after the
IPO likely hold much of the recently obtained proceeds in cash, whereas firms whose first fiscal year
ends ten or eleven months after the IPO would have had more time to invest the proceeds. For these
reasons, it is potentially better to focus on cash holdings at the end of the second fiscal year.
Focusing on the t=2 analysis, which is likely to be less noisy, results provide strong support for
the conjecture that firms with higher excess cash holdings outperform those with lower excess cash
holdings. Specifically, the high excess cash portfolio exhibits abnormal performance of 70 basis points
per month, relative to the low excess cash portfolio. The finding is a strong one, given that portfolios
9 The excess cash measure is not defined prior to the firm going public, thus preventing us from forming portfolios at the time of the IPO. Moreover, partitioning firms at the time of the IPO, i.e., based on pre-IPO cash levels, is similarly noisy: firms are likely less focused on their cash levels at this point as they expect to receive large infusions of cash in the near future.
14
are formed based on excess cash holdings, meaning they abstract from the effects of firm
characteristics. Moreover, by definition these abnormal returns tests are forward looking: evidently
the market does not fully appreciate the effects of market frictions and the inability of firms with
insufficient cash to realize their potential.
Panel B replicates the same analysis, but on the sample of matched mature firms. Notably, we
find no evidence of higher excess cash firms having an advantage within this sample. This contrast is
consistent with our conjecture that IPO firms face more uncertainty regarding the availability of
external financing compared to mature firms. As a result, IPO firms with insufficient cash are forced
to bypass positive NPV projects and will exhibit poorer performance than other firms with higher cash
balances. Mature firms are less sensitive to such uncertainties, and therefore do not benefit from
excessive cash holdings.
4.2 The importance of pre-IPO financing
We posit that both the higher cash balances of IPO firms and the greater benefits of cash to IPO
firms are driven by uncertainty regarding the availability of future financing. To investigate this
conjecture more thoroughly, we consider the types of IPO firms that will be most versus least sensitive
to such uncertainty. We turn to the relationship banking literature for guidance. As highlighted by
Allen (1990), Ramakrishnan and Thakor (1984) and Diamond (1984), banks develop customer-specific
information that increases their ability to offer continued access to credit over time.10 In addition,
Panel A in Table 1 indicates that these firms tend to have higher profits, providing further evidence that
uncertainty regarding access to external financing is less of a concern. Based on this literature, we
posit that firms with pre-IPO syndicated loans face considerably less uncertainty regarding the
availability of subsequent financing, and thus will tend to hold less cash.
Figure 3 presents preliminary evidence on this issue. As a starting point, panel A categorizes
all IPO firms into quartiles based on the level of cash/assets prior to the IPO. We then follow these
10 See Greenbaum and Thakor (2007) and Freixas and Rochet (2008) for in-depth discussions.
15
firms for five years. Panel A plots median cash/assets for each quartile, in years 1 to 5. The first thing
to notice is that the stability we observed in the overall sample of IPO firms holds for each of these
quartiles. The high-cash firms’ cash holdings are just as persistent as those of the low-cash firms.
Second, median cash / assets among the highest quartile firms is over 55%, five years after the IPO.
In unreported results, we examine the median sales growth and R&D/Sales for these same four
quartiles (i.e., quartiles are still defined based on cash/TA in the year before the IPO). We find that
sales growth rates slow down markedly, with the four quartiles converging by year 3. That is, by year
3, the high cash portfolio firms have growth rates equal to those of low cash firms, even though their
cash balances are 14 times as large (56% vs 4%). R&D/Sales similarly decreases for the high cash
firms, although it remains substantially higher than for firms in the low cash portfolios (which have
median R&D/Sales of 0).
In Panel B, we similarly group the IPO firms into four portfolios, but here the grouping is
based on the source of pre-IPO financing. Consistent with descriptive statistics presented in Table 1,
we divide firms into four groups: Loan Only, VC Only, VC plus Loan, and Neither Financing. Panel
B shows that the VC Only firms have the highest levels of cash holdings. Three to five years after the
IPO, these firms continue to hold nearly 50% of their assets in cash. It is startling that it can be optimal
for these firms to have nearly half of their assets in nonproductive uses. In contrast, the Loan Only
firms have 5% cash/TA, a percentage that is small and extremely stable over time.
Looking across panels A and B of Figure 3, the similarity in the graphs suggests that the firms
in the highest cash/TA quartile are those firms that are venture backed. In contrast, firms in the lowest
cash/TA quartile are the Loan Only firms. Both other groups (VC plus Loan, and Neither Financing)
fall between these two extremes. In sum, Figure 3 highlights the extent to which both pre-IPO and
post-IPO cash balances are related to the sources of pre-IPO financing.
16
Tables 4 and 5 examine these relations between source of pre-IPO financing and cash balances
in a multivariate framework. The format of Table 4 is similar to that of Table 2, with the exception
that we attempt to differentiate not only between the cash holdings of IPO firms versus mature firms,
but also between the cash holdings of different groups of IPO firms, where IPO firms are grouped
according to their source of pre-IPO financing. The sample consists of IPO firms and matched mature
firms, with columns 1 and 2 focusing on cash holdings three years after the IPO and columns 3 and 4
five years after the IPO. For each time period, we estimate regressions using both cash/assets and
excess cash/assets as the dependent variable. Independent variables of interest include the IPO dummy
interacted with variables to indicate whether or not a firm has a given form of financing. Thus, we
have IPO dummy*VC dummy, IPO dummy*Prior Loan dummy, and IPO dummy*Neither Financing
dummy. By construction, every IPO firm falls into at least one of these categories, where firms having
both VC backing and a pre-IPO syndicated loan will have both the VC dummy and the Prior Loan
dummy equal to 1. Finally, we also include a Loan Prior to Year 0, which equals one for any IPO and
mature firm that has a syndicated loan within the five years prior to the IPO offer date (or offer date of
the matched IPO firm for mature firms). Additional control variables include the same ones used in
Table 2.
Results in Table 4 are consistent with inferences from Table 3. Looking first at column 1,
where the dependent variable is cash/assets three years after the IPO, we see that all three IPO
interactions are significantly positive, indicating that IPO firms have significantly more cash than
matched mature firms. However, looking at the coefficient on IPO * VC dummy compared to that on
IPO * Loan Prior to Year 0 Dummy, we see that the difference in cash holdings is far smaller for firms
that have a prior loan. This is consistent with their greater assurance regarding the availability of
future financing. Findings using excess cash/assets as the dependent variable and findings five years
after the IPO are similar.
17
Somewhat puzzlingly, Table 4 shows that firms with neither form of pre-IPO financing, i.e.,
neither VC backing nor a loan, also hold only moderately higher cash balances than their mature
counterparts. These firms should face just as much uncertainty regarding future financing as their
venture-backed counterparts, suggesting that they should hold much higher cash balances. It is
possible that these firms have been less successful in accumulating substantial cash balances, for
example because they lack the assistance of a venture capitalist, even though they would benefit from
such positions. The next section of the paper discusses this issue further.
One concern with the Table 4 analysis is endogeneity. If VC backed firms are higher quality,
then they might have been better able to raise more cash prior to the IPO, in the IPO, and/or after the
IPO, all of which potentially contribute to higher cash positions three and five years following the IPO.
We note that this concern is at least somewhat mitigated by the fact that VC-backed firms and pre-IPO
loan firms both received certification from financiers and should therefore be just as likely to be high
quality – however, we find no evidence that pre-IPO loan firms hold higher cash positions.
Nevertheless, Table 5 re-examines the relation between pre-IPO financing and cash positions,
controlling for endogeneity.
Columns 1 – 3 of Table 5 focus on the effects of a pre-IPO loan on post-IPO cash levels, and
columns 4 – 6 focus on the effects of VC backing. We follow Wooldridge (2002) and Angrist and
Pischke (2009) in our estimation. Looking first at columns 1 – 3, our first step is to estimate a probit
regression of Pre-IPO Loan on firm age at the time of the IPO, which should be related to whether a
firm has such a loan but not to cash holdings three and five years later, plus various controls. We
obtain the fitted variable from this regression and use that as an instrument in the regression of year
three excess cash holdings (reported in column 2) and year five cash holdings (reported in column 3).11
Our use of firm age at the IPO to identify pre-IPO Loan is based on the reasonable assumption that
11 Results are qualitatively similar if we run a standard IV regression in which we use firm age at the IPO (instead of the fitted values from the probit) as the instrument in the second stage regression.
18
firms that are older at the time of the IPO are more likely to have a syndicated loan. In contrast, after
three to five years as a public firm, the number of years the firm operated under a private status is
unlikely to be related to post-IPO cash holdings. In column 4, following the findings of Chen,
Gompers, Kovner and Lerner (2010) we use VC Location to identify VC backing, where VC Location
equals one if the firm is located in the New York City, San Francisco, or Boston CMSA, zero
otherwise.
Both the log of firm age at the IPO and the VC Location dummy are highly significant in their
respective regressions, and results from Angrist-Pischke weak instrument tests suggest that our
instruments are not weak. After controlling for endogeneity, we continue to find that IPO firms with
pre-IPO syndicated loans operate with substantially lower cash levels than other IPO firms, while IPO
firms with VC backing operate with substantially higher cash.
4.3 Does Pre-IPO Financing reduce uncertainty regarding Post-IPO financing?
Evidence presented in Tables 4 and 5 demonstrates that newly public firms with pre-IPO
syndicated loans tend to hold lower cash balances than otherwise similar firms without such loans. We
have conjectured that these lower cash balances stem from the lower uncertainty these firms face
regarding the availability of future financing. Tables 6 through 8 examine this conjecture more
directly, with Table 6 presenting descriptive statistics and Tables 7 and 8 showing regression analyses
that examine the extent to which pre-IPO financing affects post-IPO financing. For example, do
relationships formed prior to the IPO with loan syndicates contribute to a higher probability of
obtaining additional syndicate loan financing in later years?
Table 6 categorizes all IPO firms into the same four groups analyzed earlier: VC Only (735
firms), Loan Only (341 firms), VC plus Loan (340 firms), and Neither Financing (673 firms). The first
row presents evidence on proceeds raised in the IPO as a fraction of pre-IPO assets, across the four
19
groups. The VC Only firms raise the highest proceeds, a notable finding given that this group also has
the highest cash/assets prior to the IPO.
The next set of rows provides evidence on the frequency of post-IPO financing. Without
question, the ‘Loan Only’ firms have the highest incidence of future financing. Eighty-four percent of
these firms either issue equity through an SEO or raise money through a syndicated loan within the
first five years following the IPO. Firms with both pre-IPO loans and venture backing are slightly less
likely to raise future financing, with 70% of these firms having either an SEO or syndicated loan within
five years of the IPO. In comparison, among firms in the VC Only group and the Neither Financing
groups the comparable percentage ranges from 50 to 56%. Total dollars raised through these forms of
financing yield similar conclusions, with firms having pre-IPO loans raising substantially higher
amounts of money in the subsequent five years after the IPO. For example, among firms in the Loan
Only and VC and Loan subgroups, the median total dollars raised through syndicated loans and SEOs
in the five years following the IPO equals 84% and 49% of year 1 assets. In comparison, firms in the
VC Only and Neither Financing groups, the analogous percentage is less than 20%. Mean dollars
raised as a percent of year 1 assets (not tabulated) also yield similar conclusions: firms with pre-IPO
loans have an average 131%, compared to 97% for firms without such loans.
As we noted earlier, it is puzzling that firms with Neither Financing hold relatively modest
levels of cash. Absent the certification effects of either a venture capitalist or a banker, we would
expect these firms to be characterized by particularly high information asymmetries and find it difficult
to access external capital. The finding, as reported in Table 6, that only about half of these firms raise
financing subsequent to the IPO supports this intuition. One possible explanation is that these firms
have been unable to access sufficient funding in the past; in fact, the absence of either VC backing or
syndicated loans prior to the IPO is a strong indication that these firms may be especially constrained.
In addition, their cash flows both prior to and subsequent to the IPO are relatively low: 4% cash
flow/assets in year -1 and 0.9% in year 1 (not shown for brevity). We note that the average delisting
20
rates for this group of firms provides strong support for the conjecture that this group of firms is
operating at below-optimal cash levels. As shown in Table 6, among the four groups of firms, the
Neither Financing group has by far the highest levels of delisting for poor performance. While
approximately 8% of firms in each of the other groups delist for poor performance within the first three
years after the IPO, 15% of the Neither Financing group delist. Similarly, 13-18% of firms in each of
the other groups delist within the first five years, compared to 26% of the Neither Financing firms.
The VC Only firms provide an informative contrast to the Neither Financing group. Both
groups exhibit similarly low rates of post-IPO financings, but the VC only firms are no more likely to
delist for poor performance than firms with pre-IPO loans, despite the fact that firms with pre-IPO
loans are much more likely to obtain post-IPO financing. This is potentially because of VC-backed
firms’ higher cash balances prior to the IPO, combined with the greater proceeds raised in the IPO. We
posit that these higher cash balances earlier on are able to sustain them through periods when access to
external capital is limited.
While Table 6 suggests certain relations between pre-IPO financing, post-IPO financing, cash
balances, and delisting rates, the relations shown are all univariate. Tables 7 and 8 provide more robust
evidence on the extent to which pre-IPO financing, in particular syndicated loans, are associated with
higher rates of post-IPO financing. Table 7 examines this issue in a multivariate framework using a
hazard model approach, and Table 8 addresses potential endogeneity concerns. Further examination of
the interplay between pre-IPO financing, delisting rates, and cash balances are left to the next section
of the paper.
Looking first at Table 7, Column 1 investigates whether the presence of VC backing is
associated with a higher likelihood of an SEO in the five years subsequent to the IPO. Venture
capitalists continue to serve on the board for some period after the IPO, and they may assist the firms
in ways that would help it obtain further financing, for example through its connections with
investment bankers and investors. The hazard approach models the probability that the firm will have
21
an SEO. A firm that survives for five years without having an SEO or a firm that leaves the sample for
any other reason, for example a merger or other delisting event, is considered truncated. Column 2 is
similar, with the exception that it models the likelihood of a post-IPO syndicated loan.
Results indicate that, after controlling for other firm characteristics, the presence of a venture
capitalist has no effect on the probability that a firm conducts an SEO. In contrast, the presence of a
pre-IPO syndicated loan dramatically increases the probability that a firm obtains a post-IPO
syndicated loan. This result is striking in the sense that it highlights the extent to which syndicated
loans arranged prior to the IPO continue to benefit the firm for years after their introduction to public
markets. While there exists a considerable literature on the many benefits of venture capitalists, the
benefits of pre-IPO loans have been largely unexplored. Gonzalez and James (2007) find that firms
with pre-IPO bank loans exhibit, on average, superior post-IPO operating performance, and they
attribute this superior performance to banks’ abilities to screen firms ex ante.12 Our results suggest
that, in addition to any screening effects, bank loans also benefit firms by increasing access to post-IPO
financing. In contrast, Sorenson (2007) shows that venture capitalists also actively and successfully
screen firms ex ante, but there is no evidence that firms with VC backing are more likely to obtain
post-IPO financing.
While hazard models have the advantage of accounting for truncated data, it is not
straightforward to control for endogeneity under this approach. Thus, Table 8 shows a two-stage
analysis. Similar to Table 5, the log of firm age at the IPO is used in the first-stage regression to
identify the presence of a pre-IPO loan, and a VC location dummy (equal to one if the firm is
headquartered in the New York City, San Francisco, or Boston CMSAs) is used to identify the
presence of VC backing. Inferences from this analysis are similar to those from Table 7. The presence
of VC backing does not appear to have any significant effect on the likelihood that a firm will raise
subsequent financing through an SEO. However, firms with pre-IPO syndicated loans are significantly
12 Gonzalez and James focus on all bank loans, while we restrict our analysis to syndicated loans.
22
more likely to conduct a post-IPO syndicated loan. In economic terms, the impact is substantial:
results from the hazard analysis suggest that firms with pre-IPO loans are 57% more likely to obtain
post-IPO loans, and results from the two-stage analysis estimate the impact at 60%.
Finally, we also examine whether a pre-IPO loan affects the likelihood of a post-IPO SEO, or
whether pre-IPO venture funding affects the likelihood of a post-IPO loan. We find no support for
either relation (results not tabulated).
4.4 Pre-IPO Financing and Post-IPO Survival
Results to this point demonstrate that syndicated loans provide certain advantages to young
firms. Specifically, these firms are able to operate with lower cash balances, in part because they have
greater assurance regarding the availability of future financing. Once a firm has formed a relationship
with a bank, it has a higher probability of benefitting from that relationship in the form of future loans.
For firms at the growth stage of their lifecycle, obtaining additional financing in the years subsequent
to the IPO is likely to be critical. If the presence of a pre-IPO syndicated loan increases the probability
of obtaining such financing, it likely also increases the very probability of survival for these firms:
extreme distress is less likely if the availability of funding is greater.
Table 9 employs both hazard analyses and two-stage regressions to examine this prediction that
the presence of a pre-IPO syndicated loan decreases the probability of delisting for poor performance.
The first two columns of Table 9 show hazard models on our sample of IPO firms. This approach
enables us to model whether a firm delists for poor performance in a given year. In column 1, IPO
firms are followed for up to 5 years following the IPO. Firms that survive up to 5 years without
delisting for poor performance or that are acquired prior to year 5 are considered to be truncated
observations in the hazard model. Explanatory variables include those used in earlier regressions. In
addition, we also control for the log of market value of equity, which Shumway (2001) shows to be an
23
important determinant of bankruptcy. While our dependent variable is delisting for poor performance
rather than bankruptcy, the two are likely related.13
Column 1 of Table 9 provides strong evidence in support of the prediction that newly public
firms with pre-IPO loans are less likely to delist for poor performance. Interestingly, in column 2 we
see that the presence of VC backing has no analogous effect. This is consistent with evidence in prior
tables, that a syndicated loan prior to the IPO substantially affects the likelihood of obtaining post-IPO
financing, whereas the presence of a venture capitalist does not have a similar effect. While a wide
body of literature has highlighted the many positive effects of venture capitalists, these effects appear
to be somewhat focused on the pre-IPO period. After the firm has gone public, their influence wanes.
We note that this waning influence is consistent with the fact that many VCs leave the board within the
first year or two after the IPO.
Column 3 shows that inferences regarding the effects of syndicated loans prior to the IPO on
post-IPO delisting are robust to controlling for endogeneity. Similar to earlier tables, in the first stage
regression we instrument pre-IPO syndicated loan with firm age at the time of the IPO (first stage not
shown in Table 9). In the second stage regression reported in the third column of Table 9, we see that
the Pre-IPO Loan variable continues to be significantly negative.
Finally, column 4 examines whether syndicated loans have similar effects for mature firms.
Using our matched sample of mature firms from earlier analyses, we examine whether mature firms
that had a syndicated loan within the five years prior to the offer date of the matched IPO firm are less
likely to delist for poor performance. To the extent that mature firms face fewer financing
uncertainties, we would expect the presence of such loans to be less important among this sample.
Results confirm this conjecture. This contrast provides additional assurance that endogeneity issues
are not driving the differences we observe among the sample of IPO firms.
13 Shumway also shows that the Z-score, the distance to default, predicts bankruptcy. Because we are focusing on delisting for poor performance rather than bankruptcy, and because Z score measures were developed on samples of mature firms that differ substantially from those in our sample, we do not use the Z score itself, but note that our control variables include variables similar to the ones that constitute the Z-score.
24
In sum, the survival analyses provide additional evidence on the value of syndicated loans for
IPO firms. The fact that this group of IPO firms both operates with significantly lower cash balances
and has a lower rate of delisting for poor performance is marked.
5. Are the net benefits of excess cash restricted to firms with high future financing uncertainty?
Our results suggest that uncertainty regarding the availability of external financing is extremely
important for newly public firms, that this uncertainty persists for many years after the IPO, and that
the relationship dynamics behind syndicated loans substantially mitigate this uncertainty. In light of
this marked influence of syndicated loans, as evidenced in Tables 4 – 9, we revisit our earlier result
regarding the net benefits of excess cash for newly public firms. Table 3 showed that newly public
firms with higher levels of excess cash outperform those with lower levels of excess cash, but the same
effect did not hold for portfolios of matched mature firms. We posited that uncertainty regarding the
availability of external financing explained this contrast. Putting all these results together, we present a
final test of our hypothesis that newly public firms’ high cash holdings stem from external financing
uncertainty. Specifically, we posit that the positive relation between cash holdings and firm
performance should be stronger among the newly public firms without pre-IPO syndicated loans, as
these are the firms that suffer the most uncertainty regarding the availability of financing.
Table 10 shows alphas from regressions similar to those employed in Table 3. In the top
(bottom) panel of Table 10, we divide IPO firms into portfolios based on their level of excess cash at
the end of the first (second) fiscal year after the IPO. Because we want to separately examine the
importance of cash for different subgroups of newly public firms, we form portfolios within these
subgroups. For example, in the first column, we consider only firms that had a syndicated loan prior to
the IPO, and we divide these firms based on their level of excess cash. Firms with above median
(below median) excess cash holdings are placed into the high excess cash (low excess cash) portfolio.
Using a calendar time portfolio approach similar to that employed in Table 3, firms are maintained in
25
the portfolio for 36 months. We compute excess returns on the portfolio of firms each month and
regress these returns on the four factors: Rm-Rf, SMB, HML, and UMD. For conciseness, we only
report alphas from these regressions. Thus, looking at the first column in the top panel of Table 10,
among newly public firms with a pre-IPO syndicated loan, those with above-median excess cash
holdings at the end of the first fiscal year following the IPO did not exhibit any abnormal performance
(alpha insignificantly different form zero).
Regardless of whether we partition firms based on excess cash holdings at the first or second
fiscal year ends after the IPO, results show a dramatic difference between firms with versus without
pre-IPO syndicated loans. Among firms with a pre-IPO syndicated loan, there is no evidence that
those with higher excess cash outperformed those with lower excess cash, i.e., the alpha on the high
minus low portfolio is insignificantly different from zero. In contrast, among firms without such a
loan, the high excess cash portfolio significantly outperforms the low excess cash portfolio, by an
average 60 to 90 basis points per month. These contrasting results are consistent with cash being
extremely valuable only to those firms that face the most uncertainty regarding the availability of
future financing, i.e., firms without a syndicated loan.
For completeness, we conduct a similar analysis on firms with and without VC backing. In
light of our prior findings that venture capitalist backing has no effect on future financing, we do not
expect to find a difference between the value of excess cash in VC-backed companies compared to that
in non VC-backed companies. Overall, results are broadly consistent with this conclusion. The alphas
on the high minus low portfolio for VC firms and non-VC firms are virtually identical when firms are
partitioned based on end of fiscal year 2 excess cash holdings. While alphas are slightly different
based on the fiscal year 1 portfolio formation, the difference is small and, as noted above, the focus on
excess cash holdings at the first fiscal year end after the IPO is likely to be noisier.
While we have employed a variety of techniques in earlier analyses to address endogeneity
concerns, this calendar time portfolio approach to examining post-IPO returns has the advantage of not
26
being susceptible to endogeneity. Because we examine forward-looking risk-adjusted returns, the
endogeneity driven by firm quality that potentially affects earlier results should not be an issue here.
In sum, IPO firms with pre-IPO loans have a high level of assurance that they will be able to
raise post-IPO financing: approximately 84% of these firms obtain either post-IPO syndicated loans or
conduct an SEO within the first three years following the IPO (Table 6). In addition, the relationship-
banking literature suggests that even firms with a pre-IPO bank relationship that did not raise any
financing after the IPO are more likely to have the ability to do so when needed. Thus, these firms can
afford to maintain relatively low cash balances following the IPO (Figure 3, Tables 4 and 5). The
market neither punishes nor rewards this group of firms based on their cash holdings
In contrast, firms without pre-IPO loans are significantly less likely to raise post-IPO financing:
approximately 53% of these firms raise money through either a post-IPO syndicated loan or an SEO.
The greater uncertainty regarding the availability of future financing means that cash balances are
substantially more important. Consistent with this conjecture, within this sample of IPO firms, i.e.,
those without pre-IPO syndicated loans, the firms with higher excess cash holdings earn higher
abnormal stock returns.
These abnormal return regressions split by pre-IPO funding source are interesting in and of
their own right, but also help address a potential concern that our aggregation of firms by cash holdings
is actually picking up another known determinant of post-IPO performance. Specifically, Brav and
Gompers (1997) and Gonzalez and James (2007) find that IPO firms backed by venture capitalists and
by bankers tend to perform better following the IPO. Moreover, we find that cash holdings are related
to these sources of pre-IPO financing. In the full IPO sample regressions, it is possible that our high-
cash portfolio differs systematically from the low-cash portfolio along these dimensions. This concern
is mitigated by two factors. First, firms with pre-IPO loans have among the lowest cash balances and
these are exactly the firms that Gonzalez and James find to perform better, whereas our full-sample
low-cash portfolio underperforms. Second, none of these issues are relevant in the subgroupings
27
shown in Table 10, where we define cash holdings within the samples of pre-IPO loan firms, non-pre-
IPO loan firms, etc, and we continue to find significant differences between the performance of high
and low cash firms.
7. Conclusion
Bates et al. show that the record-high cash holdings of the overall market in recent years are
driven by newly public firms. We take a new angle towards examining the reasons that recent IPO
firms hold such a high portion of their assets in cash, by investigating more directly the benefits of
these cash holdings. Our results suggest that IPO firms’ cash holdings are extremely persistent up to
five years after the IPO.
We show that these high cash holdings are actually restricted to a subset of newly public firms,
most notably those without pre-IPO syndicated loans. The extraordinarily high cash holdings of this
subset of firms, compared to the substantially lower cash holdings of other firms that similarly just
went public leads naturally to questions regarding the source and the value of these cash balances.
Our results regarding the sources of cash balances as well as their value can be broadly
generalized as follows. IPO firms with pre-IPO syndicated loans have a high degree of certainty
regarding future financing. As a result, they do not need to maintain high cash balances. The market
indeed places no premium on those that do hold more of their assets in cash. In contrast, IPO firms
without pre-IPO syndicated loans face substantial uncertainty regarding the availability of future
financing. These firms protect their operational flexibility by maintaining relatively high cash
balances. Consistent with the value of cash among these firms, those with a higher portion of their
assets in cash earn higher abnormal stock returns.
28
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1
Appendix 1
This Appendix defines variables used as controls in the cash regressions, as well as the variables used to estimate excess cash.
(1) Assets: Due to economies to scale in cash holdings, larger firms may require a lower
portion of their assets to be held in cash. Larger firms may also benefit from easier access
to external financing, also causing them to hold less cash.
(2) Leverage: The book value of interest-bearing debt divided by total assets. Firms with
higher leverage may have lower cash if tend to have lower growth opportunities.
(3) EBIT/TA: Firms with higher EBIT have a lower demand for high cash balances.
However, firms generating higher EBIT also can more easily build up their cash balances.
(4) Return Volatility: For each firm fiscal year, we calculate the standard deviation of daily
returns in each of the first three months prior to the fiscal year end. The mean of these
three monthly standard deviations represents the measure of return volatility for the firm.14
Firms with higher return volatility are likely riskier, meaning they face higher costs of
external finance.
(5) Sales Growth: Sales growth equals the percentage change in sales over the prior fiscal
year. Firms with higher sales growth are more likely to be high growth firms, meaning
they are expected to have higher cash holdings.
(6) CapEx/Assets: To the extent that firms with higher capital expenditures are high growth
firms, we would expect them to hold more cash. Alternatively, if capital expenditures are
lumpy, a large expenditure during year t will cause the firm to have less cash at year end.
(7) R&D/Sales: Firms with higher R&D expenditures are likely to hold higher cash balances.
Such firms tend to face greater information asymmetries, making it more difficult for them
to access external capital markets. Also, the high R&D expenditures indicate that these
14 Return volatility is measured over a three month period (instead of a longer twelve month period) to enable us to calculate this variable relative to IPO firms’ first fiscal year end. For those IPOs whose first fiscal year ends less than three months after the IPO, return volatility (in year 1) is calculated over this shorter period of time.
2
firms are growth firms. As noted for industry MB below, a shortfall of cash would be
costly because such firms would have to give up valuable growth opportunities.
(8) Acquisitions/Assets: This is another proxy for growth opportunities, suggesting it would
similarly be positively related to cash holdings. However, because acquisitions/assets is
measured in the same year as the cash holdings, a large expenditure on a cash acquisition
during the year may cause cash holdings to be mechanically lower at year end.
(9) NWC (excl. Cash)/Assets: This is defined as working capital minus cash and cash
equivalents, all divided by assets. Inventories and receivables, two of the primary
components of working capital, can be converted relatively easily into cash. Thus, firms
with higher net working capital balances (as a fraction of assets) are expected to hold less
cash.
(10) Industry MB: Median market-to-book ratio of firms in the same Fama-French 49 industry,
in the same calendar year. Market-to-book is defined as the market value of equity plus the
book value of total assets minus the book value of equity, all divided by the book value of
total assets. Firms in industries with higher market-to-book ratios are more likely to have
higher growth options, and thus higher demands for cash: a shortfall in cash would cause a
high growth firm to give up valuable growth opportunities.
(11) Std Dev of Industry CFs: For each firm in the Compustat universe, we calculate the
standard deviation of cash flows over the prior four years. We then calculate the median of
these standard deviations across all firms in the same Fama-French 49 industry in the same
calendar year. Firms in industries with a higher standard deviation of cash flows are likely
to face greater uncertainty and thus have higher demands for cash.
3
Appendix 2
To estimate excess cash, we estimate an OLS regression of cash/assets of all firms with Compustat and CRSP data on explanatory variables related to demand for cash. This set of explanatory variables follows that used in prior literature, and most of the variables are defined in Appendix 1. Additional variables include industry MB and industry standard deviation of cash flows. Industry MB is defined as the median market-to-book ratio across all firms in the same Fama-French 49 industry grouping. In the spirit of Harford et al. (2008) and Opler et al. (1999), the industry standard deviation of cash flows is calculated as follows. First we compute firm cash flows as (operating income before depreciation – interest expense – taxes) / (assets-cash), second we obtain the standard deviation of each firm’s cash flows over the prior four years, and third we take the median standard deviation across all firms in the same Fama-French 49 industry grouping. Finally, we also include Fama-French 12 industry dummies.15 Robust standard errors are clustered by firm and are shown in parentheses.
Dep’t Variable = Cash / Assets (%)
Log(Assets) -1.42*** (0.10)
Leverage -32.32*** (1.00)
Industry MB 4.63*** (0.38)
EBITDA / Assets 1.81 (1.11)
NWC (excl. Cash) / Assets -7.63** (3.41)
Std Dev of Industry CFs 28.96*** (2.99)
R&D / Sales 4.55*** (0.15)
CapEx / Assets -35.07*** (2.30)
Acquisitions / Assets -32.26*** (1.09)
Return Volatility -3.59 (4.97)
Sales Growth 0.04 (0.04)
Number Observations 73,295
15 We do not define industry dummies at the 49 industry level because a large portion of firms in some of these more narrowly-defined industries are IPO firms, causing the regression to downwardly bias the excess cash estimates of the mature firms in these industries (because the regression forces the average residual, i.e., excess cash, in each industry to be zero).
4
Table 1: Summary statistics
Panel A shows summary statistics on variables used in regressions, and Panel B gives the industry composition (based on twelve Fama-French industry groupings) of different samples. The IPO firm subsample consists of firms that went public between 1996 and 2004, and the mature firm (i.e., firms that have been public for at least five years) subsample consists of one matching firm for each IPO firm, where firms are matched on year and Fama-French 12 industry grouping. Firms in the utility (industry 8), finance (industry 11), and other (industry 12) industry groupings are excluded. IPO firms are divided into four groups based on their sources of pre-IPO financing: those with only VC backing, those with only a (syndicated bank) loan, those with both, and those with neither.
Cash/Assets equals cash and cash equivalents divided by total assets. Assets is in millions. Book Leverage equals the book value of interest-bearing debt divided by total assets. EBIT/Assets is earnings before interest and taxes divided by total assets. Return Volatility is the standard deviation of monthly firm returns, averaged across each of the three months prior to the fiscal year end. Sales Growth is measured as percentage growth over the past fiscal year. CapEx/Assets is capital expenditures divided by total assets. R&D/Sales is research and development expenditures divided by sales. Age equals the number of years since the firm was founded, measured at the time of the IPO. Underwriter rank is a measure of the quality of the underwriter, with the minimum being zero and the maximum being nine. % Technology firms is based on the SDC technology dummy, which equals one if the firm is in the biotech, computer equipment, electronics, communications, or general technology industries. Proceeds is dollars raised in the IPO (in millions). Unless noted otherwise, all accounting variables are measured at the first fiscal year end after the IPO for IPO firms. For mature firms they are measured at the first fiscal year end after the matched IPO firm’s offer date. Panel A: Summary statistics: medians
IPO firms
Mature firms
All VC
Only Loan Only
VC and Loan
Neither Financing
All
Cash / Assets 0.46 0.70 0.10 0.39 0.35 0.09
Assets 79.35 77.97 134.06 101.05 56.18 133.66
Leverage 0.02 0.01 0.14 0.04 0.03 0.18
EBIT / Assets 0.01 -0.14 0.09 0.03 0.04 0.06
Return Volatility 0.05 0.06 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04
Sales Growth 0.40 0.53 0.28 0.41 0.33 0.09
CapEx / Assets 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04
R&D / Sales 0.04 0.24 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00
Age 7.0 5.0 11.0 7.0 7.0 .
Underwriter Rank 8.0 8.0 8.0 9.0 8.0 .
Initial Return
Proceeds 45.50 46.20 56.00 56.00 35.00 .
Proceeds / Assets 1.24 1.64 0.68 0.96 1.26 .
Obs 2,089 735 341 340 673 2,089
% of IPO sample 100% 35% 16% 16% 32%
5
Panel B: Industry composition based on 12 Fama-French industry groupings
IPO firms
Mature firms
All VC
Only Loan Only
VC and Loan
Neither Financing
All
1: Consumer nondurables 3.3% 1.1% 6.7% 3.5% 3.9% 3.3%
2: Consumer durables 1.2% 0.5% 2.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2%
3: Manufacturing 5.2% 1.6% 11.4% 2.9% 7.1% 5.2%
4: Energy 2.1% 0.3% 4.4% 2.9% 2.4% 2.1%
5: Chemicals 0.6% 0.4% 1.5% 0.0% 0.7% 0.6%
6: Business equipment 37.2% 46.5% 19.6% 43.8% 32.7% 37.2%
7: Telecom 4.7% 4.1% 6.5% 7.1% 3.4% 4.7%
9: Shops 12.2% 8.2% 17.0% 11.5% 14.4% 12.2%
10: Healthcare 12.8% 21.0% 5.0% 10.9% 8.8% 12.8%
Obs 2,089 735 341 340 673 2,089
6
Table 2: Do IPO firms hold more cash than mature firms?
This table shows OLS regressions in which the cash balances of the sample of IPO and matched mature firms are regressed on an IPO dummy, which equals one if the firm is an IPO firm, plus control variables. In columns 1 and 2, the sample consists of IPO firms at the third fiscal year end after the IPO combined with the matched mature firms from the same event year (i.e., the third fiscal year end after the offer date of the matched IPO firm). Columns 3 and 4 show the same regressions for year 5. The dependent variable in columns 1 and 3 is cash as a percent of total assets, and in column 2 and 4 is excess cash as a percent of total assets, where excess cash/assets equals the residual from the regression shown in Table 3. The burn rate is defined as the negative value of operating cash flow minus investment cash flow, all divided by lagged cash. All firms with a negative burn rate are placed into quintile 1. All other firms are classified equally within each event year (i.e., year relative to the IPO) into quintiles 2 - 5, with the highest (lowest) quintile including those firms with the highest (lowest) burn rates. All other control variables are defined in Table 1. Unless noted otherwise, accounting variables are measured at the same fiscal year end as the dependent variable. All regressions include year and industry fixed effects (based on 49 Fama-French industry groupings). Robust standard errors are shown in parentheses. ***, **, and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively.
Sample = IPO + Matched Mature firms 3 years after IPO
Sample = IPO + Matched Mature firms 5 years after IPO VARIABLES
Cash/Assets Excess Cash/Assets Cash/Assets Excess Cash/Assets
IPO Dummy 10.34*** 10.35*** 8.43*** 8.13*** (0.74) (0.74) (0.82) (0.81)
Burn Rate Quintile -1.63*** -1.58*** -0.81*** -0.69**
(0.25) (0.25) (0.29) (0.29)
Log(Assets) -0.69*** 0.58*** -0.80*** 0.51**
(0.21) (0.21) (0.23) (0.23)
Leverage -30.41*** 0.16 -30.41*** -0.28 (1.71) (1.78) (2.06) (2.19)
EBIT/Assets -9.24*** -9.05*** -4.76** -3.97*
(1.62) (1.63) (2.11) (2.12)
Sales Growth -0.10 -0.17 0.79*** 0.78***
(0.16) (0.19) (0.22) (0.21)
Return Volatility -37.01*** -39.03*** -24.80 -27.23 (12.86) (13.24) (18.71) (18.38)
CapEx / Assets -38.95*** -10.10* -52.97*** -24.46***
(5.49) (5.73) (7.66) (7.76)
R&D / Sales 3.58*** -0.99*** 5.27*** 0.74
(0.36) (0.36) (0.47) (0.47)
Acquisitions / Assets -40.51*** -8.64* -41.29*** -9.69* (4.45) (4.49) (5.73) (5.78)
Constant 22.10*** -7.44 19.10*** 1.56
(6.00) (5.90) (4.48) (10.97)
Observations 3,136 3,057 2,408 2,349
R-squared 0.51 0.13 0.50 0.10
7
Table 3: Does the market recognize the benefits of higher cash for IPO firms? Returns on high- vs low-cash portfolios This table examines whether a portfolio of high-cash IPO firms outperforms a portfolio of low-cash IPO firms. We form portfolios of IPO firms based on firms’ excess cash holdings at the first fiscal year end following the IPO (t=1), and the second fiscal year end following the IPO (t=2). Firms with above median excess cash holdings at time t are placed into the high (low) excess cash portfolio, and firms remain in the portfolio for 36 months following time t. Portfolio returns are calculated each month, and returns net of the risk free rate are regressed on the three Fama-French factors (RM-Rf, SMB, and HML) and the momentum factor (UMD). Panel A shows the results for the entire IPO sample, and Panel B shows the results for the matched mature firm sample. Standard errors are shown in parentheses. ***, **, and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively. Panel A: 3-year alphas for the IPO firm sample Alpha RM-Rf SMB HML UMD
Excess Cash holdings of all IPO firms at t=1
High Excess Cash 0.011*** (0.004)
1.247*** (0.099)
1.229*** (0.098)
-0.899*** (0.126)
-0.514*** (0.067)
Low Excess Cash 0.007** (0.003)
1.121*** (0.078)
0.988*** (0.077)
-0.291*** (0.100)
-0.547*** (0.053)
High – Low 0.004 (0.003)
0.126* (0.071)
0.241*** (0.070)
-0.608*** (0.090)
0.033 (0.048)
Excess Cash holdings of all IPO firms at t=2
High Excess Cash 0.013*** (0.003)
1.218*** (0.082)
1.115*** (0.086)
-0.7*** (0.106)
-0.43*** (0.058)
Low Excess Cash 0.005* (0.003)
1.155*** (0.073)
1.063*** (0.076)
-0.296*** (0.094)
-0.477*** (0.051)
High – Low 0.007*** (0.002)
0.063 (0.056)
0.051 (0.058)
-0.405*** (0.072)
0.047 (0.039)
8
Panel B: 3-year alphas for the matched mature firm sample Alpha RM-Rf SMB HML UMD
Excess Cash holdings of all Mature firms at t=1
High Excess Cash 0.009*** (0.002)
1.033*** (0.052)
0.833*** (0.052)
-0.027 (0.066)
-0.337*** (0.035)
Low Excess Cash 0.012*** (0.003)
0.843*** (0.07)
0.959*** (0.069)
-0.041 (0.089)
-0.370*** (0.047)
High – Low -0.003 (0.002)
0.190*** (0.05)
-0.126** (0.05)
0.014 (0.064)
0.033 (0.034)
Excess Cash holdings of all Mature firms at t=2
High Excess Cash 0.010*** (0.002)
1.038*** (0.054)
0.865*** (0.056)
0.004 (0.069)
-0.259*** (0.038)
Low Excess Cash 0.012*** (0.003)
0.824*** (0.068)
0.895*** (0.07)
0.000 (0.087)
-0.385*** (0.048)
High – Low -0.001 (0.003)
0.214*** (0.062)
-0.030 (0.064)
0.003 (0.079)
0.126*** (0.043)
9
Table 4: What types of firms hold more cash?
This table shows OLS regressions of Cash/Assets (columns 1 and 3) and Excess Cash/Assets (Columns 2 and 4), where both cash measures are in percentage terms, on IPO dummies interacted with pre-IPO financing sources, plus control variables. IPO is a dummy that equals one if the firm is an IPO firm. The IPO dummy is interacted with: VC, which equals one for firms that were backed by a venture capitalist prior to the IPO; Loan Prior to Yr 0, which equals one for any firm (IPO or mature) that had a syndicated loan within the five years prior to the IPO offer date (or to the matched IPO firm’s offer date for mature firms) (this is labeled Pre-IPO Loan dummy in tables that only include IPO firms); Neither Financing, which equals one for firms that had neither VC backing nor a pre-IPO syndicated loan. We also include Loan Prior to Yr 0. All other control variables are defined in Tables 1 and 2. Unless noted otherwise, accounting variables are measured at the same fiscal year end as the dependent variable. All regressions include year and industry fixed effects (based on 49 Fama-French industry groupings). Robust standard errors are shown in parentheses. ***, **, and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively.
Year 3 Year 5
Cash/Assets Excess Cash/Assets Cash/Assets Excess Cash/Assets
IPO*VC Dummy 12.69*** 12.88*** 11.01*** 10.80*** (1.01) (1.01) (1.14) (1.13)
IPO*Loan Prior to Yr 0 Dummy 2.89*** 2.59*** 2.39** 2.41** (0.97) (0.97) (1.07) (1.07)
IPO*Neither Financing 3.08*** 3.17*** 1.00 0.63 (1.17) (1.16) (1.36) (1.34)
Loan Prior to Yr 0 Dummy -6.98*** -6.55*** -7.45*** -7.28*** (0.90) (0.90) (1.00) (1.00)
Burn Rate Quintile -1.54*** -1.48*** -0.90*** -0.78*** (0.25) (0.25) (0.28) (0.28)
Log(Assets) -0.31 0.93*** -0.34 0.96*** (0.21) (0.21) (0.23) (0.23)
Leverage -27.90*** 2.55 -27.97*** 2.19 (1.66) (1.72) (2.01) (2.12)
EBIT/Assets -7.67*** -7.37*** -4.70** -3.96** (1.61) (1.61) (2.01) (2.02)
Sales Growth -0.12 -0.22 0.73*** 0.73*** (0.18) (0.21) (0.22) (0.22)
Return Volatility -29.56** -31.08** -22.18 -24.76 (12.20) (12.52) (17.49) (17.08)
CapEx / Assets -37.58*** -8.82 -52.48*** -24.29*** (5.31) (5.51) (7.33) (7.38)
R&D / Sales 3.32*** -1.25*** 4.81*** 0.28 (0.35) (0.34) (0.45) (0.45)
Acquisitions / Assets -37.25*** -5.28 -38.39*** -7.07 (4.33) (4.37) (5.46) (5.51)
Constant 25.17*** -4.40 23.18*** 1.26 (5.69) (5.50) (5.29) (14.51)
Observations 3,136 3,057 2,408 2,349 R-squared 0.53 0.17 0.53 0.15
1
Table 5: Cash holdings across samples of IPO firms, correcting for endogeneity
This table examines which firms hold more cash, correcting for endogeneity of the pre-IPO funding source. Columns 1 and 4 show first-stage probit regressions of Pre-IPO loans and VC backing, respectively. The instrument for pre-IPO loan equals firms age, and the instrument for VC backing equals VC Location dummy (equal to one if a firm is headquartered in the New York City, San Francisco, or Boston CMSA, zero otherwise). Fitted values from the column 1 probit (column 4 probit) are used as the Pre-IPO loan instrument (VC instrument) in columns 2 and 3 (columns 5 and 6) in 2SLS regressions. The dependent variables equal percent Excess Cash/Assets, expressed as a percentage, in years 3 and 5 after the IPO. Control variables are defined in Tables 1 and 2. All regressions include year and industry fixed effects (based on 49 Fama-French industry groupings). We also include results from Angrist-Pischke tests which test the null hypothesis of weak instruments and the Hausman endogeneity test which tests the null hypothesis that the potentially endogenous variables are exogenous. Robust standard errors are shown in parentheses. ***, **, and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively.
Pre-IPO Loan
1st stage probit
Dept = Excess Cash/Assets VC
1st stage probit
Dept = Excess Cash/Assets
3 yrs post-IPO
5 yrs post-IPO
3 yrs post-IPO
5 yrs post-IPO
Log(Firm Age at IPO)
0.17*** (0.04)
Pre-IPO Loan Instrument
-48.96*** -57.38*** (12.31) (17.57)
VC Location dummy
0.38*** (0.08)
VC Instrument 52.83*** 64.85*** (9.31) (14.43)
Burn Rate Quintile 0.03 -1.72*** -0.93 -0.03 -1.54*** -1.27 (0.03) (0.60) (0.76) (0.03) (0.58) (0.77)
Log(Assets) 0.11*** 2.11** 1.68* 0.09*** -1.78** -0.74 (0.03) (0.88) (1.00) (0.03) (0.71) (0.78)
Leverage 0.50*** 9.03** 10.68* -0.43** 8.32** 8.56 (0.18) (4.51) (5.43) (0.17) (3.97) (5.26)
EBIT/Assets 0.46*** -0.70 2.30 -0.41*** 1.75 -1.49 (0.15) (3.19) (4.38) (0.14) (3.08) (3.83)
Sales Growth -0.02 -0.14 0.74*** 0.02 -0.24 0.21 (0.02) (0.34) (0.22) (0.02) (0.43) (0.35)
Return Volatility 2.37* -16.96 -38.50 -0.13 -50.59** -53.20* (1.22) (24.65) (28.74) (1.12) (22.36) (23.02)
CapEx/Assets 1.71*** 16.67 -17.58 0.99* -26.47** -48.76** (0.58) (14.06) (18.96) (0.57) (11.89) (20.91)
R&D/Sales -0.04 -1.66*** 0.16 0.09*** -2.51*** -2.47** (0.03) (0.54) (0.71) (0.03) (0.50) (0.89)
Acquisitions/Assets -0.08 -24.23** -15.18 -1.12** 3.73 -1.76 (0.55) (11.00) (18.43) (0.55) (11.09) (19.94)
Constant -1.09* 12.92 30.89*** -0.90* -11.20 -16.17 (0.57) (9.43) (11.55) (0.52) (8.78) (9.72) Observations 1,479 1,455 1,042 1,533 1,507 1,064 Pseudo R-Squared 0.12 0.17 F-Statistic 2.33*** 1.37** 3.10*** 1.92***
AP Weak Inst. Test 23.49*** 12.85*** 42.77*** 23.56***
Hausman endog. test 28.56*** 26.31*** 45.21*** 33.83***
Table 6: Pre-IPO and post-IPO financing
This table provides descriptive statistics on the sample of IPO firms, where all firms are categorized based on source(s) of Pre-IPO financing: those with only VC backing, those with only a (syndicated bank) loan, those with both, and those with neither. For each group of firms, the table shows proceeds raised as a percent of pre-IPO assets; the percentage of firms that raised financing through a loan, SEO, or either funding source within five years of the IPO; the total dollars raised through loans (defined as the total amount available to draw down) or SEOs, as a fraction of assets at the end of year 1; the percentage of firms that delisted for poor performance within three and five years of the IPO, Cash / Assets at times -1 through +3 relative to the IPO; Excess Cash / Assets at times + 1 through + 3 relative to the IPO; EBIT / Assets at times -1 through +3 relative to the IPO; and Assets (in millions) at times -1 through + 3 relative to the IPO. All financials and financial ratios represent medians.
VC Only (n=735)
Loan Only (n=341)
VC and Loan (n=340)
Neither Financing (n=673)
Proceeds/Assets t= -1 163.9% 67.6% 95.6% 126.2%
Loan w/i 5 yrs 31.3% 77.8% 58.8% 45.3%
SEO w/i 5 yrs 30.2% 30.0% 32.9% 24.5%
Loan or SEO 49.9% 83.7% 69.7% 55.6%
(Total $ raised in Loan or SEO) / TA1
0.0% 83.6% 48.7% 17.5%
Delist for poor perf. w/i 3 yrs 8.3% 8.2% 7.6% 14.9%
Delist for poor perf. w/i 5 yrs 15.7% 17.8% 13.2% 26.2%
Cash /Assets t= -1 42.1% 3.7% 14.2% 7.6%
Cash / Assets t=1 69.6 9.8 38.5 34.5
Cash / Assets t=2 54.1 6.0 28.3 20.2
Cash / Assets t=3 51.5 6.0 23.0 16.0
Excess Cash / Assets t=1 28.4% 0.9% 11.1% 10.3%
Excess Cash / Assets t=2 17.1 -1.6 4.9 2.0
Excess Cash / Assets t=3 13.1 -3.4 1.8 -1.4
EBIT /Assets t= -1 -38.7% 9.7% -0.1% 5.2%
EBIT /Assets t=1 -13.7 9.2 2.9 4.3
EBIT /Assets t=2 -19.1 8.0 3.2 2.1
EBIT /Assets t=3 -20.9 6.4 0.8 0.7
Assets t= -1 (millions) 17.9 67.7 32.8 16.1
Assets t=1 78.0 136.1 101.1 56.2
Assets t=2 85.6 200.6 131.1 72.7
Assets t=3 89.9 242.3 147.5 89.8
Table 7: Hazard model of post-IPO financings (SEO and Post-IPO Loan)
This table shows Hazard models of the time to SEO (column 1) and time to post-IPO loan (column 2). Observations are considered truncated if firms either survive up to 5 years without raising the specified form of post-IPO financing or if they delist prior to 5 years and without raising the specified form of financing. Explanatory variables include dummy variables to designate whether a firm received venture backing and/or pre-IPO syndicated loans (VC Dummy and Pre-IPO Loan Dummy), Excess Cash/Assets (defined as the residual from the regression shown in Appendix 2), plus other control variables defined in Tables 1 and 2. All regressions include year and industry fixed effects (based on 49 Fama-French industry groupings). Standard errors are clustered by Fama-French 49 industry, and are shown in parentheses. ***, **, and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively.
Hazard for
SEO Hazard for
Post-IPO Loan VARIABLES
VC Dummy 0.21
(0.13)
Pre-IPO Loan Dummy 0.57*** (0.11)
Excess Cash / Assets -0.40 -2.10*** (0.31) (0.27)
Underwriter Rank -0.02 0.05 (0.04) (0.04)
Burn Rate Quintile 0.14*** 0.02
(0.05) (0.05)
Log(Assets) 0.23*** 0.10 (0.06) (0.06)
Leverage -0.02 0.00 (0.30) (0.28)
EBIT / Assets 0.88*** 0.89*** (0.34) (0.29)
Sales growth 0.13 -0.06 (0.12) (0.05)
Return Volatility -16.71*** -2.19 (3.51) (2.04)
CapEx / Assets 0.14 1.12** (0.89) (0.54)
R&D / Sales 0.07** -0.09 (0.03) (0.06)
Acquisitions / Assets 0.30 1.92** (0.74) (0.91)
Observations 5,047 3,409
Table 8: Analysis of post-IPO financings (SEO and Post-IPO Loan), controlling for endogeneity
Columns 1 and 3 show first-stage probit regressions of VC backing and pre-IPO loans, respectively. Instruments in the first stage regressions include a VC Location Dummy (equal to one if a firm is headquartered in the New York City, San Francisco, or Boston CMSA, zero otherwise) and the log of firm age at the IPO. Fitted values from the column 1 probit (column 3 probit) are used as the VC Instrument (Pre-IPO Loan Instrument) in column 2 (column 4) in 2SLS regressions. The dependent variable in column 2 (column 4) equals one if the firm did an SEO (obtained a post-IPO loan). Control variables, defined in Table 2, are measured at the end of the previous fiscal year. All regressions include year and industry fixed effects (based on 49 Fama-French industry groupings). We also include results from Angrist-Pischke tests which test the null hypothesis of weak instruments and the Hausman endogeneity test which tests the null hypothesis that the potentially endogenous variables are exogenous. Robust standard errors are shown in parentheses. ***, **, and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively.
VC: 1st stage
Dep’t = SEO
LOAN: 1st stage
Dep’t = Post-IPO Loan
VC Location Dummy 0.28*** (0.04)
Log(Firm Age at IPO) 0.11*** (0.02)
VC Instrument -0.01 (0.07)
Pre-IPO Loan Instrument 0.69*** (0.19)
Excess Cash / Assets 1.12*** -0.03 -0.86*** -0.11** (0.09) (0.03) (0.09) (0.05)
Underwriter Rank 0.21*** -0.00 0.07*** -0.01* (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
Log(Assets) -0.06*** 0.02*** 0.05** 0.01 (0.02) (0.00) (0.02) (0.01)
Leverage -0.27*** 0.00 0.51*** -0.06 (0.09) (0.02) (0.09) (0.05)
EBIT/Assets -0.29*** 0.01 0.51*** -0.00 (0.07) (0.01) (0.08) (0.03)
Sales Growth 0.04*** 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 (0.02) (0.00) (0.02) (0.01)
Return Volatility 0.13 -0.49*** 1.34* -0.59** (0.69) (0.13) (0.72) (0.28)
CapEx / Assets 0.49* 0.02 1.75*** -0.11 (0.28) (0.05) (0.27) (0.13)
R&D / Sales 0.10*** 0.00 -0.03* -0.00 (0.01) (0.00) (0.01) (0.00)
Acquisitions / Assets -0.18 0.10* 0.57** 0.08 (0.25) (0.05) (0.24) (0.13)
Constant -1.60*** -0.12 -1.00** 0.02 (0.47) (0.10) (0.48) (0.20)
Observations 6,454 4,975 6,277 3,276 Pseudo R-Squared 0.038 -0.436 F-statistic 3.52*** 4.79***
AP Weak Instrument Test 73.31*** 24.41*** Hausman endogeneity test 0.08 16.47***
Table 9: Effects of pre-IPO financing sources on firm survival
This table examines the time to delisting for poor performance. Columns 1 and 2 contain hazard models in which observations are considered truncated if firms either survive up to 5 years without delisting for poor performance or if they delist for a reason other than poor performance (e.g., a merger) prior to year 5. Column 3 deals with funding source endogeneity – it shows the 2nd-stage of instrumental variable regressions. Columns 1-3 include our sample of IPO firms, and column 4 includes a sample of matched mature firms. Explanatory variables include a dummy indicating whether the firm obtained a syndicated loan within the five years prior to the IPO (or the offer date of the matched IPO for mature firms) and a dummy equal to 1 if the IPO firm was backed by a venture capitalist prior to the IPO. Market value of equity is measured at the end of the fiscal year, i.e., at the same time as the accounting variables. All regressions also include controls used throughout other tables. All regressions include year and industry fixed effects (based on 49 Fama-French industry groupings). Column 3 also includes results from an Angrist-Pischke test which test the null hypothesis of weak instruments and a Hausman endogeneity test which tests the null hypothesis that the potentially endogenous variables are exogenous. Standard errors are shown in parentheses. ***, **, and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively.
IPO Firms
Hazard IPO Firms
Hazard IPO firms
2nd stage 2SLS Mature Firms
Hazard
Pre-IPO Loan Dummy -0.43*** -0.43*** -0.30*** -0.04 (0.14) (0.14) (0.070) (0.15)
VC Backing Dummy -0.03
(0.14)
Underwriter Rank -0.09*** -0.09*** -0.00
(0.03) (0.03) (0.002)
Excess Cash / Assets -0.68** -0.67** -0.13*** -0.68 (0.28) (0.29) (0.026) (0.45)
Log(Assets) 0.32*** 0.32*** 0.02*** 0.16* (0.09) (0.09) (0.005) (0.09)
Book Leverage 1.44*** 1.43*** 0.17*** 2.14*** (0.29) (0.29) (0.022) (0.31)
EBIT / Assets -1.43*** -1.43*** -0.06*** -1.84*** (0.18) (0.19) (0.018) (0.23)
Sales Growth 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.04* (0.03) (0.03) (0.003) (0.02)
Return Volatility 6.20*** 6.20*** 0.91*** 8.56*** (1.27) (1.28) (0.134) (1.73)
CapEx / Assets 0.44 0.43 0.21*** -2.52* (0.81) (0.81) (0.064) (1.30)
R&D / Sales -0.06 -0.06 -0.01*** -0.13** (0.04) (0.05) (0.002) (0.06)
Acquisitions / Assets -0.69 -0.70 -0.05 1.06 (0.86) (0.86) (0.047) (1.18)
Log(Mkt Value Equity) -0.51*** -0.51*** -0.03*** -0.54*** (0.06) (0.06) (0.004) (0.07) Observations 6,363 6,363 6,124 8,241 F-statistic 10.50*** AP Weak Instrument Test 64.14*** Hausman endogeneity test 21.30***
Table 10: Does the benefit of higher cash differ by pre-IPO financing source? Returns on high- vs low-cash portfolios
This table examines whether a portfolio of high-cash IPO firms outperforms a portfolio of low-cash IPO firms, where the sample is split by pre-IPO financing source. The Loan (No Loan) sample represents firms that obtained (did not obtain) a syndicated bank loan prior to the IPO. The VC (No VC) sample represents firms that obtained (did not obtain) VC financing before the IPO. Excess Cash holdings equal Excess Cash/Assets, the residual from the regression shown in Table 3. We form portfolios of IPO firms based on firms’ excess cash holdings at the first fiscal year end following the IPO (t=1), and the second fiscal year end following the IPO (t=2). Firms with above median cash holdings at time t are placed into the high (low) cash portfolio, and firms remain in the portfolio for 36 months following time Portfolio returns are calculated each month, and returns net of the risk free rate are regressed on the three Fama-French factors (RM-Rf, SMB, and HML) and the momentum factor (UMD).
Presence of Pre-IPO Loan? Presence of VC Backing?
Loan No Loan VC No VC
Excess Cash holdings of IPO firms at t=1
High Excess Cash 0.007 (1.47)
0.013*** (3.12)
0.014***
(3.27) 0.008*
(1.75)
Low Excess Cash 0.008*** (3.04)
0.007* (1.71)
0.009**
(2.33) 0.006*
(1.82)
High – Low -0.001 (-0.32)
0.006* (1.96)
0.006*
(1.68) 0.002
(0.70)
Excess Cash holdings of IPO firms at t=2
High Excess Cash 0.008* (1.97)
0.014*** (4.08)
0.016***
(4.09) 0.008**
(2.23)
Low Excess Cash 0.007*** (2.65)
0.005 (1.48)
0.009**
(2.43) 0.003
(1.00)
High – Low 0.001 (0.31)
0.009*** (3.23)
0.006**
(2.11) 0.005**
(1.99)
Figure 1: Evolution of cash holdings
This figure examines cash balances of IPO firms and matched mature firms over time. Mature firms are matched based on industry (Fama-French 12 industry group) and calendar year.
Panel A: Median Cash/Assets of IPO firms vs mature firms
Panel B: Median Cash/Assets of IPO firms vs mature firms, conditional on firms surviving through year 5
Panel C: Median Cash/Assets of IPO firms vs mature firms, excluding IPO Bubble Period of 9/1998 – 8/2000
IPO firms Mature Firms
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pre-IPO
Pre-IPO
Pre-IPO
Figure 2: Characteristics of IPO vs mature firms
This figure examines various characteristics of IPO firms and matched mature firms over time. Mature firms are matched based on industry (Fama-French 12 industry group) and calendar year.
Panel A: Median Sales Growth Panel B: Median CapEx/TA
Panel C: Mean Acquisitions/TA Panel D: Median Market-to-Book
IPO firms Mature Firms
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
0.035
0.04
0.045
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pre-IPOPre-IPO
Pre-IPO Pre-IPO
Panel E: Median R&D/Sales Panel F: Median Return Volatility
Panel G: Median EBIT/TA
IPO firms Mature Firms
0
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0 1 2 3 4 5
‐0.04
‐0.02
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pre-IPOPre-IPO
Pre
Figure 3: Differences in cash holdings across IPO firms
This figure examines median Cash/Assets of different groups of IPO firms. Panel A divides all IPO firms into quartiles, based on Cash/Assets in the first year after the IPO (year 1). Panel B divides all IPO firms based on source of pre-IPO financing: pre-IPO syndicated loan only ‘Loan Only’, venture-backed only ‘VC Only’, pre-IPO syndicated loan and VC backing ‘Loan plus VC’, and neither a pre-IPO syndicated loan nor VC backing ‘Neither Financing’.
Panel A: Median Cash/Assets, quartiles of IPO firms based on Cash/Assets
Panel B: Median Cash/Assets, groups of IPO firms based on source of pre-IPO financing
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
0 1 2 3 4 5
High Cash/Assets
Q3
Q2
Low Cash/Assets
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
0 1 2 3 4 5
VC Only
Loan Plus VC
Neither Financing
Loan Only
Pre-IPO
Pre-IPO