28
1 Framing Politicians Caleb Griffin Political Science 410 Dr. Daniel Magleby

Capstone

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Capstone

1

Framing Politicians

Caleb Griffin

Political Science 410

Dr. Daniel Magleby

Page 2: Capstone

2

Within Political Science there is a general consensus that the average voter is often

subject to framing biases (see for example: Druckman 2001, Nelson, Oxley, and Clawson 1997,

Chong 1993, Iyengar, Peters, and Kinder 1982, Bartells 2003, and Zoller and Feldman 1992).

Without a great deal of political sophistication, ordinary citizens seem completely unable to

counter framing effects (Druckman 2001). There is less information, however, on the ability of

politicians to successfully negotiate framing biases. Are elected officials any better at avoiding

framing effects in political decision-making than their constituents? This is an important question

to consider and one that has had little attention. If elected officials are as vulnerable to framing

effects as the general public, it raises rather serious questions about the efficacy of

representative democracy. On the other hand, if elected officials are able to avoid framing

biases then it is a reassuring sign for the representative system. I shall compare not only

elected officials with the general public, but also compare elected officials with each other based

on their level of political experience.

Framing effects are packaged in several different flavours. The first is an equivalent

frame. An equivalent framing effect occurs when different, but logically equivalent, words or

phrases cause individuals to alter their preferences (Tversky and Kahneman 1981). The second

is an issue frame. Issue framing effects refer to situations where, by emphasizing a subset of

potentially relevant considerations, individuals are led to focus on these considerations when

constructing their opinions (Druckman 2004).

Druckman’s paper is but one of the many works highlighting this problem. Framing is

critical to understand because it seems to challenge the foundational assumptions of much of

the social sciences, like the existence of coherent preferences or stable attitudes. For example,

people reject a policy program when told that it will result in 5% unemployment but prefer it

when

Page 3: Capstone

3

told that it will result in 95% employment (I shall examine this employment scenario much more

completely later in the paper). The existence of framing effects violates a basic tenet of rational

choice theory. That is, that individuals’ preferences do not change from alternative ways of

eliciting the same preference. In this example, preferences should not depend on whether the

programs are described in terms of unemployment or employment (Druckman 2004).

There is ample evidence, however, that people’s preferences do indeed change

according to framed questions, and can actually change quite significantly (see for example

Nelson, Oxley, and Clawson 1997, Chong 1993, Iyengar, Peters, and Kinder 1982, Bartells

2003). This change can, in part, be explained by prospect theory. Prospect theory as proposed

by Tversky and Kahneman describes the way people chose between probabilistic alternatives

that involve risk, where the probabilities of outcomes are known. The theory states that people

make decisions based on the potential value of losses and gains rather than the final outcome

(1979). Although there are various components to prospect theory, for this paper, the “value

function” portion is most applicable. This is illustrated rather neatly by Tversky and Kahneman in

the following table:

Page 4: Capstone

4

This hypothetical value function indicates that people naturally place higher value

on outcomes that have a possibility of gains. This predilection, however, causes people to be

more risk averse when the potential for gain seems high and more risk seeking when potentials

for losses exist. Another way to put this is that choices involving gains are often risk averse and

choices involving losses are often risk taking (Tversky & Kahneman 1979).

Also worth noting is the weighting function of prospect theory, which is represented in

this table:

Page 5: Capstone

5

This indicates how greater weight is placed upon decisions that are seemingly certain

rather than ones that are subject to chance. As Tversky and Kahneman put it:

“In particular, people underweight outcomes that are merely probable in comparison with

outcomes that are obtained with certainty. This tendency, called the certainty effect, contributes

to risk aversion in choices involving sure gains and to risk seeking in choices involving sure

losses” (1979).

Later in the paper I compare two framed questions that are fundamentally different in

risk prospects and uncertainty.

If framing is really so ubiquitous, it begs the question, then, of do people really have

political preferences? While this is not the primary focus of my paper, I think it is useful to briefly

examine this question. The answer does provide some insight into how people think about

politics. If we understand the how, then we can better examine why local elected officials might

differ in this regard. There are two broad schools of thought on this matter. The first school

adheres to an idea originally proposed by Philip Converse. He argued that nearly all citizens

Page 6: Capstone

6

(besides a few elites) are uninformed, unconstrained, and do not possess stable political

preferences. (1964). Converse also argued that as the level of political information dropped from

the elites to the uninformed, constrainment dropped as well. This is an important point for this

paper as I use it as part of my research expectations, albeit in a slightly adulterated form (see

H1 & 2).

The second school are those who would save democratic theory by arguing that citizens

can succeed in political decision-making despite low information. They try to achieve this by

championing the use of heuristics. Heuristics, for the purposes of this paper, are simply any

information shortcut citizens use to make decisions in the absence of full information. Arthur

Lupia has argued about the effectiveness of heuristics as a decision-making process for low-

information citizens. In a well-known experiment involving voters in a California insurance

reform election, Lupia finds that access to widely available information shortcuts allows poorly

informed voters to emulate the behavior of relatively well informed voters. This finding suggests

that voters who lack what he terms“encyclopedic” information about political knowledge can

nevertheless use information shortcuts to vote as though they were well informed. In his results,

Lupia finds that most voters who used heuristics in the election would have made the same

decision had they had access to all the facts previously (1994).

Alexander Toderov has even found that heuristics can be as simple as gauging

competency from a person’s face. His experimental research shows that subjects are just as

accurate gauges of competence from a simple photograph test, as they are with a full

description of a candidate’s character (2005).In other words, based on a simple photograph

people can draw the same conclusions as they would if they had known all the information at

first.

Page 7: Capstone

7

There has been significant disagreement, however, to Lupia’s championing of heuristics.

Richard Lau and David Redlawsk have argued that people, especially low-information voters,

actually use heuristics quite poorly. Using their “dynamic process-tracing method”, they

conclude that although heuristic use might be endemic, it actually decreases the likelihood of a

correct choice by voters. Perversely, they find that it is those who are most able to ignore

heuristics who use them most effectively- the politically sophisticated (2001).

Kuklinski and Quirk second this skepticism of the miracle of heuristics. They point out

that unlike political scientists, psychologists tend to regard heuristics as automatic, unconscious,

and frequently dysfunctional. Hence, we should expect systematic bias in heuristics

judgements. They cite four major problems with heuristics use:

1. People take their heuristics off the shelf, use them unknowingly and automatically, and rarely

worry about their accuracy.

2. People lack the contextual knowledge needed to use heuristics intelligently.

3. Usable cues are not regularly available (one needs to be paying close attention to pick up

which cues are important).

4.The structures of modern democracy give ordinary citizens almost no incentive to think

carefully about politics (1998).

If we cannot rely on heuristics as an alternative to Converse’s dire findings on the nature

of democratic systems, how are we to save democratic theory? My proposal is that a for a

representative democracy, it is more important that the representatives have stable preferences

and less important that the general citizenry do. In this paper I present a way to demonstrate

those stable preferences amongst elected officials, namely that elected officials will be able to

show preferences by better avoiding the framing biases, which ordinary citizens so are so

Page 8: Capstone

8

helpless in dealing with. I theorize that elected officials will be superior in avoiding framing

effects than the average citizen and that that superiority will increase along the political

hierarchy, due to a rise in political sophistication across said hierarchy and a greater exposure

to cross-cutting networks (Mutz 2006).

I shall briefly define some key terms that will be used throughout the paper:

Local politicians/elected officials: For this group I have chosen to include only city council

members, mayors, and members of the state congress. For future research it might be

interesting to include national politicians as well, but that is beyond the scope of this paper.

Ordinary/average citizens: When I term a citizen “ordinary” or “average”, I make no reference

to a citizen’s political ability, only to the fact that they do not hold public office. Thus every citizen

that is not serving as a local representative is an “ordinary citizen” for the purposes of this

paper. Admittedly, this is a little simplistic as citizens will naturally vary in their political

sophistication. I am, however, a firm believer in the work of Philip Converse, and thus assume

that political non-attitudes are the rule amongst the vast majority of ordinary citizens (1964).

Hypotheses

Hypothesis 1 (H1): Elected officials will show less susceptibility to framing effects than the

general citizenry.

Hypothesis 2 (H2): The greater the magnitude of office, the less susceptible to framing effects.

In other words, a state-level politician will be less susceptible than a local-level politician. Based

on this hypothesis, I would predict that a national-level politician would be the least vulnerable to

Page 9: Capstone

9

framing effects.

Hypothesis 3 (H3): The greater the length of time served in office, the less vulnerable to

framing effects. I call this the experience factor. Elected officials become more familiar with

framing techniques as they serve in office, and thus the longer they serve, the more familiar

they are. This is intuitive, but it is useful to operationalize it as well.

Hypothesis 4 (H4): The greater the magnitude of office, the more likely to offer counter frames.

Thus, State-level politicians are more likely to use counter frames than local politicians.

None of these hypotheses are inconsistent with current findings on framing effects, and

all are admittedly quite intuitive. I argue, however, that although one might predict these

hypotheses from previous research on framing, none of them have been actively tested yet on

the demographic I have selected. I have expanded framing theory by applying it to a different

set of actors. Heretofore, framing studies have largely been applied to the average citizen. I am

focusing instead on local elected officials. Any variance between the two sets has profound

implications for representative democracy, and thus is worth exploring.

Method for Testing

A simple yet satisfying way to test for framing effects is to offer the frames in an

interview setting. Druckman’s work is particularly helpful regarding ordinary citizens, and I plan

to extend that methodology to elected officials. The basic premise is that the interviewer will ask

several questions that have been deliberately and carefully framed. A framing effect occurs

when, compared to individuals who receive a positive frame, individuals who receive a negative

frame are significantly more likely to express a negative preference (2001). At least that’s the

first step, the equivalency frame. The second part, issue framing, occurs when individuals,

Page 10: Capstone

10

presented with a question that has been issue-framed, are more likely to bring up

considerations regarding the issue frame than those not subject to the frame. I will be

comparing the responses of elected officials with ordinary citizens and evaluating their answers

in the context of the frames. All subjects will be asked the same questions, though differently

framed. The final question is an open-ended question, which will allow me to track the

considerations they bring up voluntarily in response to the frame. Open-ended questions will

also give subjects the opportunity to offer counter frames, which is also essential to my theory

(see H4). As stated previously, these frames will come in both the equivalent and issue variety.

Other quasi-framing techniques such as priming and media agenda-setting are also influential,

but beyond the scope of this paper.

For this paper, I limit my argument to the idea that politicians represent the elites

identified by Kinder. Elites, that by virtue of their greater political acumen are able to resist

framing effects far more effectively than the general public. In my theory, susceptibility to

framing effects is inversely correlated with the level of representation (the higher in government,

the less vulnerable to framing). Thus, I will know that my theory is incorrect if elected officials

are just as helpless at avoiding framing effects as the general public. My theory is also incorrect

if there are no significant changes between the different levels of officialdom in regard to framing

effects.

I have been using several small cities in the metropolitan area of Salt Lake City,

including Cottonwood Heights, Holladay, Midvale, and South Jordan. Of course, this means that

the overwhelming majority of my respondents are white, male, and republican. In regards to

office holding, though, there is quite an eclectic mix including mayors, city council members, and

state congress members (including the senate minority leader and speaker of the house).

My research leans heavily upon the work of previous scholars, most notably Druckman

Page 11: Capstone

11

and also Tversky and Kahneman (for the interview format). Druckman tests 580 individuals in

his test (mostly students) by advertising and rewarding participation with a cash amount. Such a

large number is commendable, but for the purposes of this paper I am using a much smaller

pilot study. If the preliminary results confirm my hypotheses then a larger sample can be taken

in the future.

Druckman uses four randomly ordered equivalency framed questions, which he draws

from previous framing work (see Tversky and Kahneman 1987, Quattrone and Tversky 1988). I

use two of those equivalency framed questions, as I suspect that four framed questions might

lead the subject to guess that some ulterior motive or bias exists in the questions, thus altering

their responses and subsequently the results. These first two questions differ from each other in

that the first is an equivalent framed question that evaluates risk response, while the second

does not. My third question is an issue framed question in the style of Chong (1993). Here are

the questions:

1a.

Imagine that the U.S. is preparing for the outbreak of an unusual Asian disease, which is

expected to kill 600 people. Two alternative programs to combat the disease have been

proposed. Assume that the exact scientific estimates of the consequences of the

programs are as follows:

If Program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved.

If Program B is adopted, there is a 1/3 probability that 600 people will be saved, and a

2/3 probability that no people will be saved.

Which of the two programs would you favor?

1b.

...If Program A is adopted, 400 people will die.

If Program B is adopted, there is a 1/3 probability that nobody will die, and a 2/3

probability that 600 people will die.

Which of the two programs would you favor?

Respondents are assigned either the positive (1a) or negatively framed (1b) question.

The outcomes to each question are the exact same, just framed differently. Tversky and

Page 12: Capstone

12

Kahneman (1981, 1987) have tested this question (1a & 1b) on ordinary citizens, while I will be

using local elected officials.

Tversky and Kahneman find that 72% of the respondents chose program A and 28%

preferred program B in 1a, but that in 1b, only 22% opted for program A, while 78% of

respondents chose program B. Thus, individuals’ preferences change by 50% due to alternative

frames, even though the objective outcomes and their descriptions remain equivalent

(Druckman 2001). Based on my hypotheses, I predicted that local elected officials would fare

much better in resisting this equivalency frame (less than a 50% swing).

This large change in preference is explained by Tversky and Kahneman in terms of

prospect theory. If framed positively, the outcome of having 200 people saved for certain is

better than the uncertainty of saving more people based on chance. Because the gain is

perceived as being high in the positive frame, respondents prefer program A because they have

been prompted into risk aversion. The opposite is true of the negative frame. Because the

certain option has been framed negatively, there is little perceived value, and thus respondents

are prompted into risk seeking behavior.

2a.

Political decision-making often involves a considerable number of trade-offs.A program

that benefits one segment of the population may work to the disadvantage of another

segment. Policies designed to lead to higher rates of employment frequently have an

adverse effect on inflation. Imagine you were faced with the decision of adopting one of

two economic policies.

If program C is adopted, 90% of the work force would be employed, while the rate of

inflation would be 12%. If program D is adopted, 95% of the work force would be

employed, while the rate of inflation would be 17%. The following table summarizes the

alternative policies and their likely consequences:

Work Force Employed Rate of Inflation

Policy (%) (%)

_______________________________________________________

Program C 90 12

Page 13: Capstone

13

Program D 95 17

Imagine you were faced with the decision of adopting program C or program D. Which

would you select?

2b.

. . . . If program C is adopted, 10% of the work force would be unemployed, while the

rate of inflation would be 12%.

If program D is adopted, 5% of the work force would be unemployed, while the rate of

inflation would be 17%.

The following table summarizes the alternative policies and their likely consequences:

Work Force Unemployed Rate of Inflation

Policy (%) (%)

_______________________________________________________

Program C 10 12

Program D 5 17

Imagine you were faced with the decision of adopting program C or program D. Which

would you select?

This question is drawn directly from Quattrone and Tversky’s work (1988), and again will

help form a comparison between ordinary citizens and local elected officials. They find that in

2a, 54% of respondents opted for program C and 46% preferred program D. In 2b, 36% opted

for program C, while 64% of respondents selected program D, an 18% shift. The large

differences between the two questions in terms of the shift (50 % versus 18%) are explained by

Druckman as differences between risk (2004). Q1 has choices between certain outcomes and

possible outcomes thus promoting different responses to risk (depending on the frame). Q2 has

two outcomes that are certain and thus not responsive to risk behavior. This accounts for a

lower variance, but yet a variance still exists where none should according to a typical rational

choice model. 18% represents nearly a fifth of respondents, quite a robust number.This

Page 14: Capstone

14

dramatic shift in preferences amongst ordinary citizens in response to a very simple framing

difference emphasizes my point made earlier about the non-attitudes of the general citizenry.

My data, provided hereafter, shows how local elected officials differ in this respect.

The third question is the issue-framed question:

3. How would you feel about the Klan publishing a newspaper or holding a rally

preaching white supremacy in your town? As an elected official would you grant them a

permit?

[Based on the considerations they raise in response to this question, one of the two

following counter frames are offered:]

3.1 Numerous courts have ruled that the U.S. Constitution ensures that the Klan has the

right to speak and hold rallies on public grounds, and that individuals have the right to

hear the Klan's message if they are interested. With that in mind, would you grant the

permit?

3.2 Many of the Klan's appearances and rallies have been marked by violent clashes

between Klan supporters and counter demonstrators who show up to protest the Klan's

racist activities. In one confrontation last October in Ohio, several bystanders were

injured by rocks thrown by Klan supporters and protesters. Usually, a large police force

is needed to control the crowds. With that in mind, would you grant the permit?

The general question is posed by Chong (1993), while the sub questions are the

work of Nelson et al. (1997). This third question is designed to measure issue framing

responses. In my research, responses were recorded specifically to see if respondents

were able to offer any considerations without prompting, and to measure their responses

to the counter frames. My hypotheses predict a greater ability of elected officials in this

area. Specifically, that local elected officials would list more considerations.

In Nelson’s work, framing significantly affected tolerance for the KKK rally, with those in

Page 15: Capstone

15

the free speech frame expressing greater tolerance than those in the public order frame

(t69 = 1.73, p < .05). Table 5 displays the means by condition (Nelson et al. 1997).

My own results to Q3 are more qualitative as I did measure tolerance as a dependent

variable.

Results:

The first two questions in my survey are the easiest to compute. Tversky and Kahneman

find that in response to the positive frame in Q1, 72% of the respondents chose program A and

28% preferred program B. In response to a negative frame in Q1, only 22% opted for program

A, while 78% of respondents chose program B. Thus, the framing effect is 50% for this

particular question.

In Q2, the positive frame elicits a 54% selection of program C and 46% for program

D.The negative frame received 36% for program C, and 64% for program D, which gives us an

18% framing effect.

In comparison, this is what I found amongst elected officials:

In response to the positive frame in Q1, 80% of the respondents chose program A and 20%

preferred program B. In response to a negative frame in Q1, 50% opted for program A, and 50%

Page 16: Capstone

16

of respondents chose program B. Thus, the framing effect is 30% for this particular question.

In Q2, the positive frame elicits an 80% selection of program C and 20% for program

D.The negative frame received 50% for program C, and 50% for program D, which gives us a

30% framing effect again.

In Q1 then, local elected officials were 20% better at avoiding framing effects than the

average citizen but were worse in Q2 by 12%.

It is important to note that I am just using a simple comparison of means test, comparing

Tversky and Kahneman’s results to my own. They find a framing effect of 50% and 18% for Q1

and Q2 among ordinary citizens, while I find an effect of 30% for both questions. A more

interesting result might be to compare the framing effects of the elected officials I contacted with

their constituents from the same area. That is certainly an avenue for further research. For this

paper, though, this comparison of means test indicates that the framing effect seems to differ

amongst elected officials. I acknowledge that my sample size is very poor, but the trend exists

for further study and confirmation.

Question 3 has no real comparison data. Since I focused only on elected officials, I lack

data comparing the results of Q3 with ordinary citizens. My results though are indicative of a

high level of political sophistication by local elected officials. 82% listed one of the three

relevant considerations identified by Chong (1993) without prompting. 55% brought up the free

speech consideration, 27% the legalistic consideration, and 18% raised none of the relevant

considerations.

In response to counter framing, only 36% offered the consideration prompted by the

frame. I don’t have the comparison data yet, but my expectation is that ordinary citizens will be

Page 17: Capstone

17

much more likely to list considerations prompted by the counter frame. 82% of respondents

bringing up a consideration without prompting is an even more robust number then I expected,

and unlikely to be matched by ordinary citizens (although as stated, I lack the data to verify this).

Evaluating this question normatively, however, reveals certain trends. I recorded their

responses, and will include some here to indicate the level of expertise. Here are some of the

responses that indicate an awareness of the free speech frame. These are in response to Q3,

and without the counter frames provided (unprompted in other words):

N1: “I’d certainly be disturbed by it. But yes, they would qualify for the permit. I may disagree

with their premise but they have a right to free speech.”

N2: “Well, that’s freedom of speech. I’m personally opposed, but would uphold it

constitutionally.”

N5: “I don’t know if I would [pause] but then again I couldn’t deny the permit because some

things have to be open to the public, because they have a right to freedom of speech.”

N7: “Absolutely entitled to, even opinions you don’t like are allowed voicing.”

N10: “Personally, I would take issue, but in deference to the right of assembly I would allow it.”

These responses all indicated a personal distaste for the subject but a willingness to

uphold the proposed permit because of a deference to freedom of speech. N5 represents this

best. This official opposed it at first but then, without prompting, brought that consideration to

mind.

Here are some of the examples of a legalistic consideration being raised without

prompting to Q3:

Page 18: Capstone

18

N6: “I would be opposed to it. (Pause) However, the ACLU would take a different view. The

courts have decided this already, so I would support the courts.

N8:“I’m personally opposed, but would grant a permit if they met all the requirements of the

permit, like public safety, the location, the permit fee, nature of the rally, whether it’s a parade or

in a pavillion etc. If they meet the requirements of the permit they have the right to hold a rally

because it’s against the law not to allow them to rally constitutionally.”

N9:“I’m trying to remember if white supremacy counts as protected speech. If it is, you’re legally

obligated to allow it. So yes.”

Interestingly enough, none of the respondents raised the public safety consideration

without prompting. Chong finds that the public safety consideration is the most common in his

research among ordinary citizens (1993). This variance suggests that public officials are more

swayed by legalistic and constitutional arguments than ordinary citizens.

Hypotheses revisited:

Hypothesis 1 (H1): Elected officials will show less susceptibility to framing effects than the

general citizenry.

Using the comparison of means test, elected officials were 20% better at avoiding

framing effects in Q1 than the average citizen, but were worse in Q2 by 12%. The 12% worse

rating in Q2 is surprising and unexpected. It is unclear why they performed worse for this

second problem. The results for Q1 indicate that elected officials perform better in risk-prone

situations. A more accurate way to put this is that elected officials are more risk averse than the

general public. In Q1, a greater majority of respondents in my survey chose the risk averse

choice in both the positive and negative framed options. This suggests that elected officials are

indeed more stable in their preferences than the average citizen.

Page 19: Capstone

19

Hypothesis 2 (H2): The greater the magnitude of office, the less susceptible to framing effects.

I did not get enough interviews with state level politicians to answer this question

definitively. My expectation remains unchanged in this category, however, based on the open-

ended responses to Q3 by the state level politicians I did interview. They raised the appropriate

considerations without prompting, indicating a high level of political sophistication.

Hypothesis 3 (H3): The greater the length of time served in office, the less vulnerable to

framing effects.

I divided my respondents between those who have served less than 6 years in office,

and those who have served longer (division for convenience only). Of those who served less

than 6 years, they were evenly divided between Q1 & 2 despite framing differences. Of those

who served longer than 6 years, there was a 50% framing effect for Q1 & 2 between the two

frames. Thus there was no discernable difference in susceptibility to frames between the two

groups. This suggests that gaining political office is more important in terms of vulnerability to

framing than staying in office.

Hypothesis 4 (H4): The greater the magnitude of office, the more likely to offer counter frames.

Again, I did not get enough interviews with state level politicians to answer this question

definitively. Since only 36% of respondents raised the necessary considerations when prompted

by the counter frame, it is perhaps indicative that counter framing is not as impactful as simple

positive or negative equivalent framing. Based on the results of H3, however, I now expect little

difference between the different levels of politicians.

Page 20: Capstone

20

Concluding Remarks

My research indicates that elected officials are indeed different. But why are they

different? This opens up a large avenue of research for the future. My test was simple: to show

that there was a variance between elected officials and ordinary citizens in terms of framing, but

did not include any mechanisms for effectively explaining the variance. Further research could

focus on a greater political sophistication among elected officials, greater exposure to cross-

cutting networks (Mutz 2006), and the elite competition/rhetoric factor identified by Kinder

(1998). The implications for democracy in this country that my findings illustrate are positive.

Since elected officials are better able to avoid framing effects, they are less likely to be

manipulated by media framing techniques. They also demonstrate a greater consistency in

preferences. This is good news for voters who desire rational representatives.

Appendix

Survey Responses for Elected Officials

Model:

Name

Elected office

Years in office

Partisan I.D

Option selection

Open ended answer

Response to counter frame

Positive Frame:

N1:

Name removed for privacy reasons

Page 21: Capstone

21

Mayor of local city

9 years in office

Republican

Positive Frame:

A & C selected

“I’d certainly be disturbed by it. But yes, they would qualify for the permit. I may disagree with

their premise but they have a right to free speech.”

FREE SPEECH CONSIDERATION.

Counter Frame 3.2:

“Yes, but they’d have to pay for the police protection.”

N2:

Name removed for privacy reasons

City Councilman (District 4) of local city

4 years in Office

Independent

Positive Frame:

B & D selected

“Well, that’s freedom of speech. I’m personally opposed, but would uphold it constitutionally.”

FREE SPEECH CONSIDERATION.

Counter Frame 3.2:

“I would not issue permits if I feared any violence would ensue.”

PUBLIC SAFETY CONSIDERATION

N3:

Name removed for privacy reasons

City Council Member in local city

7 years

Democrat

Positive Frame:

A & C selected

“I would highly object. No.”

Counter Frame 3.1:

“No, because I don’t think there should be full equality for everyone.”

Q: Because the Klan has an objectionable message?

A: “Exactly.”

N4:

Name removed for privacy reasons

City Council Member in local city

2 years

Republican

A & C selected

“No-one likes extremeness because it’s disruptive. It distracts everybody. It’s free speech, yes,

Page 22: Capstone

22

but it distracts from critical issues like clean air and clean water. Most people will say free

speech, but I say it’s a distraction.”

FREE SPEECH CONSIDERATION

Counter Frame 3.1:

“Well, I would want to consider legal council to see if it’s allowed. But we’d have to otherwise it

would violate the first amendment.

FREE SPEECH CONSIDERATION

N5:

Name removed for privacy reasons

City Council Member in local city

7 years

Independent

A & C selected

“I don’t know if I would [pause] but then again I couldn’t deny the permit because some things

have to be open to the public, because they have a right to freedom of speech.”

FREE SPEECH CONSIDERATION

Counter Frame 3.2:

“You would still have to [grant them the permit] because of freedom of speech.

FREE SPEECH CONSIDERATION

Negative Frame:

N6:

Name removed for privacy reasons

Utah State Senate

27 years in office

Democrat

Negative Frame:

A & D selected

“I would be opposed to it. (Pause) However, the ACLU would take a different view. The courts

have decided this already, so I would support the courts.

LEGALISTIC CONSIDERATION

Counter Frame 3.2:

FREE SPEECH CONSIDERATION.

“Yes, because of freedom of assembly, it’s a constitutional right. It would cost more to make

sure it didn’t get out of hand, but that’s the price of freedom.”

N7:

Name removed for privacy reasons

City Councilman in local city

2 years

Republican

Negative Frame:

Page 23: Capstone

23

A & C selected

“Absolutely entitled to, even opinions you don’t like are allowed voicing.”

FREE SPEECH CONSIDERATION.

Counter Frame 3.2:

“Yes, but they’d be required to pay the cost of police protection.”

N8:

Name removed for privacy reasons

City Councilman in local city

2 years

Republican

Negative Frame:

B & D selected

“I’m personally opposed, but would grant a permit if they met all the requirements of the permit,

like public safety, the location, the permit fee, nature of the rally, whether it’s a parade or in a

pavillion etc. If they meet the requirements of the permit they have the right to hold a rally

because it’s against the law not to allow them to rally constitutionally.”

LEGALISTIC CONSIDERATION

Counter Frame 3.2:

“Yes, if the city has the means to enforce public safety.”

N9:

Name removed for privacy reasons

City Councilman in local city

8 years

Republican

Negative Frame:

B & D selected

“I’m trying to remember if white supremacy counts as protected speech. If it is, you’re legally

obligated to allow it. So yes.”

LEGALISTIC CONSIDERATION

Counter Frame 3.2:

“That could be used to not do so [issue a permit] but we could make them pay for it as a permit

fee.”

N10:

Name removed for privacy reasons

Utah House of Representatives

15 years

Republican

A & C selected

“Personally, I would take issue, but in deference to the right of assembly I would allow it.”

FREE SPEECH CONSIDERATION

Counter Frame 3.2:

Page 24: Capstone

24

“The rally has to do with the freedom of speech, but if they broke the law, they’d be arrested.

They are guaranteed freedom of speech within reason. For instance, if you yell fire in a crowded

theater, you’ll be arrested.”

N11:

Name removed for privacy reasons

City Council Member in local city

8 years

Republican

B & C selected

“I would be opposed to it because I’m in favor of equal rights...but that’s an interesting question

[long pause]. Yes, I would give them a permit because I would have to give a permit to any

other group as well.” [Never explicitly mentioned freedom of speech, but seemed to favor a sort

of equality as rationale for his argument. This doesn’t fit into the considerations I selected before

conducting this research]

Counter Frame 3.2:

“Yes” [Upon prompting, mentioned equality again]

Response Totals

Elected Officials:

Postive Frame:

N1: A & C

N2: B & D

N3: A & C

N4: A & C

N5: A & C

Free Speech Consideration: 4

Counter frame Consideration: 1 (Pub. Safety), 2 (Free Speech)

Negative Frame:

N1: A & D

N2: A & C

N3: B & D

N4: B & D

N5: A & C

N6: B & C

Legalistic Consideration: 3

Page 25: Capstone

25

Free Speech Consideration: 2

Counter frame Consideration: 1 (Free Speech)

Preamble

Positive Frame

1a.

Imagine that the U.S. is preparing for the outbreak of an unusual Asian disease, which is

expected to kill 600 people. Two alternative programs to combat the disease have been

proposed. Assume that the exact scientific estimates of the consequences of the

programs are as follows:

If Program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved.

If Program B is adopted, there is a 1/3 probability that 600 people will be saved, and a

2/3 probability that no people will be saved.

Which of the two programs would you favor?

2a.

Political decision-making often involves a considerable number of trade-offs.A program

that benefits one segment of the population may work to the disadvantage of another

segment. Policies designed to lead to higher rates of employment frequently have an

adverse effect on inflation. Imagine you were faced with the decision of adopting one of

two economic policies.

If program C is adopted, 90% of the work force would be employed, while the rate of

inflation would be 12%. If program D is adopted, 95% of the work force would be

employed, while the rate of inflation would be 17%. The following table summarizes the

alternative policies and their likely consequences:

Work Force Unemployed Rate of Inflation

Policy (%) (%)

_______________________________________________________

Program C 10 12

Program D 5 17

Which of the two programs would you favour?

3. How would you feel about the Klan publishing a newspaper or holding a rally

preaching white supremacy in your town? As an elected official would you grant them a

permit?

Page 26: Capstone

26

3.1 Numerous courts have ruled that the U.S. Constitution ensures that the Klan has the

right to speak and hold rallies on public grounds, and that individuals have the right to

hear the Klan's message if they are interested. With that in mind, would you grant the

permit?

3.2 Many of the Klan's appearances and rallies have been marked by violent clashes

between Klan supporters and counter demonstrators who show up to protest the Klan's

racist activities. In one confrontation last October in Ohio, several bystanders were

injured by rocks thrown by Klan supporters and protesters. Usually, a large police force

is needed to control the crowds. With that in mind, would you grant the permit?

Preamble

Negative Frame

Imagine that the U.S. is preparing for the outbreak of an unusual Asian disease, which is

expected to kill 600 people. Two alternative programs to combat the disease have been

proposed. Assume that the exact scientific estimates of the consequences of the

programs are as follows:

1b....If Program A is adopted, 400 people will die.

If Program B is adopted, there is a 1/3 probability that nobody will die, and a 2/3

probability that 600 people will die.

Which of the two programs would you favor?

Political decision-making often involves a considerable number of trade-offs.A program

that benefits one segment of the population may work to the disadvantage of another

segment. Policies designed to lead to higher rates of employment frequently have an

adverse effect on inflation. Imagine you were faced with the decision of adopting one of

two economic policies.

. . . . If program C is adopted, 10% of the work force would be unemployed, while the

rate of inflation would be 12%.

If program D is adopted, 5% of the work force would be unemployed, while the rate of

inflation would be 17%.

The following table summarizes the alternative policies and their likely consequences:

Work Force Unemployed Rate of Inflation

Policy (%) (%)

_______________________________________________________

Program C 10 12

Program D 5 17

Page 27: Capstone

27

Which of the two programs would you favour?

3. How would you feel about the Klan publishing a newspaper or holding a rally

preaching white supremacy in your town? As an elected official would you grant them a

permit?

3.1 Numerous courts have ruled that the U.S. Constitution ensures that the Klan has the

right to speak and hold rallies on public grounds, and that individuals have the right to

hear the Klan's message if they are interested. With that in mind, would you grant the

permit?

3.2 Many of the Klan's appearances and rallies have been marked by violent clashes

between Klan supporters and counter demonstrators who show up to protest the Klan's

racist activities. In one confrontation last October in Ohio, several bystanders were

injured by rocks thrown by Klan supporters and protesters. Usually, a large police force

is needed to control the crowds. With that in mind, would you grant the permit?

Works Cited

Bartells, Larry. 2003. “Democracy with Attitudes”. Electoral Democracy. Ann Arbor: University

of Michigan Press, 2003, 48-82.

Chong, Dennis. 1993. “How People Think, Reason, and Feel about Civil Liberties.” American

Journal of Political Science Vol. 37:3.

Converse, Philip. 1964. ‘The Nature of Belief Systems in Mass Publics.” In Ideology and

Discontent, David Apter, ed., pp.206-261.

Delli Carpini, MIchael X., and Scott Keeter. 1996. What Americans Know about Politics and

Why It Matters. New Haven: Yale University Press. Chs. 2-3.

Druckman, James N. 2004. “Political Preference Formation.” American Political Science Review

Vol. 98:4.

Iyengar, Peters, and Kinder. 1982. “Experimental Demonstrations of the Not-So-Minimal

Consequences of Television News Programs.” American Political Science Review Vol 76.

Kinder, Donald. 1998. “Communication and Opinion.” Annual Review of Political Science (Jun)

167-169.

Kuklinski, James and Quirk, Paul. 1998. “Reconsidering the Rational Public: Cognition,

Page 28: Capstone

28

Heuristics, and Mass Opinion.” In Elements of Reason: Cognition, Choice, and the Bounds of

Rationality. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Lau, Richard R., and David P. Redlawsk. 2001. “Advantages and Disadvantages of Cognitive

Heuristics in Political Decision Making.” American Journal of Political Science 45(4):951-971.

Lupia, Arthur, and Mathew D. McCubbins. 2000. “The Institutional Foundations of Political

Competence: How Citizens Learn What They Need to Know.” In Arthur Lupia, Mathew D.

McCubbins, and Samuel L. Popkin (eds.), Elements of Reason: Cognition, Choice, and the

Bounds of Rationality. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Lupia, Arthur. 1994. “Shortcuts versus Encyclopedias: Information and Voting Behavior in

California Insurance Reform Elections.” American Political Science Review 88: 63-76.

Mutz, Diana. 2006. “Hearing the Other Side.” Cambridge University Press.

Nelson, Oxley, and Clawson. 1997. “Media Framing of a Civil Liberties Conflict and its Effect on

Tolerance.” The American Political Science Review Vol 91:3.

Quattrone, George, and Amos Tversky. 1988. “Contrasting Rational and Psychological

Analyses of Political Choice.” The American Political Science Review Vol 82 (September): 719–

36.

Todorov, Alexander, et al. 2005. “Inferences of Competence from Faces Predict Election

Outcomes.” Science 308: 1623-1626.

Tversky, Amos, and Daniel Kahneman. 1979. “Prospect Theory: an Analysis of Decision under

Risk.” Econometrica, vol. 47, no. 2, pp. 263-292.

Tversky, Amos, and Daniel Kahneman. 1987. “Rational Choice and the Framing of Decisions.”

In Rational Choice, ed. Robin M.Hogarth and Melvin W. Reder. Chicago: University of Chicago

Press.

Tversky, Amos, and Daniel Kahneman. 1981. “The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of

Choice. Science 21 1:453-58.

Zoller and Feldman. 1992. “A Simple Theory of the Survey Response.” American Journal of

Political Science Vol 36:3.