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The Energy of Enerplus Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe? IPAA Presentation, June 16, 2005

Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

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IPAA Presentation, June 16, 2005. Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?. Dramatic Sector Growth and Performance. Source: Bloomberg and public documents. Significant Force in Industry. Source: Scotia Capital / First Energy Capital Corp. / Benjamin Financial - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

The Energy of Enerplus

Canadian Royalty TrustsFriend or Foe?

IPA

A P

rese

ntat

ion,

Jun

e 16

, 200

5

Page 2: Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

2

Dramatic Sector Growthand Performance

Source: Bloomberg and public documents

Market Capitalisation

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

C$ b

illio

ns

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

# of

Tru

sts

# of TrustsTrust Market Cap

Relative Performance

$426

$264

$241

$745

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Apr-9

5

Mar

-96

Mar

-97

Mar

-98

Mar

-99

Mar

-00

Mar

-01

Mar

-02

Mar

-03

Mar

-04

Mar

-05

CDN$

S&P/TSX Oil & Gas Exploration &Production Index

S&P/TSX Composite Index

S&P 500

Enerplus

Page 3: Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

3

Significant Force in Industry

Trust Reserves Growth

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

Year

End

Pro

ven

Res

erve

s (M

Mbo

e)

Source: Scotia Capital / First Energy Capital Corp. / Benjamin Financial

Note: Excludes Canadian Oil Sands Trust from Trust category and includes Penn West as a Trust in 2004

2004 Canadian Market Shareby Production

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Page 4: Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

4

Typical Structure

Unit HoldersBeneficial interest in thetrust

Assets or Royalties

Purchase units Cash distributions

Trust orIncome Fund

ManagementCompanyMajority of Companies areowned by Trust

Fees

Services

Operating Co3rd PartyCredit Facility

Creditfacility

Debtservice

Purchase assetsor royalties

Proceeds from saleof gas and oil

Trust owns inter-company note and receives interest and principal payments

or

Trust owns royalty and receives royalty payments

Trust lends Operating Co. money

or

Trust purchases royalty from Operating Co.

Page 5: Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

5

Structural Comparison

Canadian Royalty Trust US MLP US Royalty Trust

Structure: Publicly traded, mostmanagement companiesnow owned by the trust

Publicly traded partnership,general partner owns 1-2%interest and usually asignificant amount of limitedpartner units

Publicly traded withsponsor typically retaining asignificant net profitsinterest and often ownsunits

Tax Treatment: Pass-through entity withportions of distributionstaxable. Conversion totrust is non-taxable.

Pass-through partnershipwith complex partnershiptax rules. Conveyance ofassets is non-taxable.

Pass-though entity withdistributions fully taxable.Conveyance of assets is ataxable event.

Assets: Typically working interestwith majority operated.

Typically working interestwith majority operated.

Typical overrides withlimited / no operatorship.

Growth: Free to add assets,reinvest cash flow, issuenew units and incur debt.

Free to add assets, reinvestcash flow, issue new unitsand incur debt

Typically static asset inblowdown.

Management: Typically activelymanaged by internalemployees.

Actively managed byoutside general partner.

Passively managed bytrustee.

Owners Rights Comparable to publiccorporation with AnnualGeneral Meeting andelection rights

Limited rights to modifypartnership agreement.

Limited rights with norequirements for annualmeetings or periodicreelection.

Page 6: Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

6

Trusts Activity Focused OnValue Creation

Source: FirstEnergy Capital Corp., CAPP, and Benjamin Financial

Note: Includes Penn West as a trust in 2004

Total Wells Drilled and % Drilled by Trusts

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,00019

96

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

Tota

l Wel

ls D

rille

d

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

% o

f Wel

ls D

rille

d by

Tru

sts

Total Wells DrilledTrusts as % of total

Page 7: Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

7

Royalty Trust Drivers

• Perfect Storm for Royalty Trusts 2000 - Present• Robust energy prices • Falling or modest interest rates • Yield oriented investors• Attractive relative performance

• Attractive Business Model• Tax efficiency • Management discipline / corporate governance• Risk mitigation• Shift towards technical excellence• Shift towards self sustainability

Page 8: Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

8

Impact on the Market

• Changed the landscape of Canadian E&P through conversions• Driving increase in M&A metrics,especially longer-life, lower risk

assets• Increasing competition for labor, services, land, and capital• Supporting US E&P MLP / LLC movement• Driving asset sales, junior exits, and consideration of self-trusts by

large independents and majors

Page 9: Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

9

Lofty Valuations

Price to Cash Flow

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Canadian Juniors Canadian Trusts US Seniors Canadian Seniors

P / C

F

20052000

Source: Benjamin Financial Solutions

Page 10: Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

10

Trusts Driving M & A

Trusts % of Canadian M&A MarketDeals over C$100 Million

0102030405060708090

2001 2002 2003 2004

%

Source: CIBC World Markets and Sayer Securities Limited.

Page 11: Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

11

Macrotrends SupportContinued Growth

• Recent approval for index inclusion

• High commodity prices driving need for tax efficiency

• Maturing oil and gas sector

• Focus on value creation including international acquisitions

• Desire for risk mitigation and corporate discipline

• Investor demographics

• Dividend tax treatment in the U.S.A.

Page 12: Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

12

…Although not without issues

• Canadian market is getting crowded

• Increasing interest rates and spreads

• Sustainability of underlying reserves / unit

• Vagaries of US retail market

• Ability to attract / retain top quartile management and technical staff

Page 13: Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

13

Trust Model in the US

• Drivers• Favorable tax treatment• Possible valuation arbitrage• Positive Canadian experience• Strong demand for yield

• Questions• Appropriate structure given commodity price risk• Interest rate risk• Trading liquidity and market pricing• Memories from prior efforts

Page 14: Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

14

Future Expectations

• Canadian trusts will be aggressive acquisitors

• Strong equity markets, robust valuations, and forward markets support aggressive bids

• Ideal acquisition mature property with some upside and low tax basis

• Trust market will continue to grow in and outside of Canada

• Continued product supply given valuation prospects

• More conversions likely including trust spinouts from large E&P

• Consolidations expected, due to lack of qualified management and desire for size

• International acquisitions will increase including US despite tax leakage

• Trusts will continue to move towards technical value creation including a portion of exploration

• US structures will evolve based on Canadian experience

• US E&P MLP or LLC imminent

• Hi-split MLP’s structures vulnerable to competition over time

Page 15: Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

15

Industry Implications

• Trusts will be a strong competitor in Canada and will enter new markets

• US MLP / LLC could change the US M&A market over time

• Consider partnering on acquisitions with a strong Canadian Trust, especially in

limited tax pool situations or on deals with a mix of exploration and exploitation

upside which could be split

• Include trusts on all divestment offerings including infrastructure deals

• Develop long-term relationships - trusts are here to stay

Page 16: Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

16

A Final Suggestion . . . .

• Oldest and largest conventional trust (~75,500 BOE/day)

• NYSE and TSE listed (>US$4B EV)

• Superior equity value

• Strong technical staff

• Creative deal structures

• Tax advantaged

• Contact:• Garry Tanner, Sr. Vice President and COO (403) 298-2724

• Ian Dundas, Sr. Vice President, Business Development (403) 218-4554

Page 17: Canadian Royalty Trusts Friend or Foe?

17

Enerplus Performance

Total Return (C$)

21.5%

41.1%

60.7%

19.9%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%

1 year 3 year 5 year 10 year

$426

$264

$241

$745

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Apr-95 Mar-96 Mar-97 Mar-98 Mar-99 Mar-00 Mar-01 Mar-02 Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05

CD

N$

S&P/TSX Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Index S&P/TSX Composite IndexS&P 500 Enerplus

(1) Source: Bloomberg; Assumes the reinvestment of distributions and/or dividends; Based on the weekly closing price of Enerplus trust units on the Toronto Stock Exchange. S&P 500 was converted to CDN$ using the closing exchange rate at week end