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Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by design? (in an overheated, fast-forward communication climate) All of history: climate> humans Now: climate<>humans

Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

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Page 1: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

Canwemovefromunintendedglobalwarmingtoclimatebydesign?

(inanoverheated,fast-forwardcommunicationclimate)

Allofhistory:climate>humansNow: climate<>humans

Page 2: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

ThisisnotaclimateissueAhostoffieldsaretryingtogetaheadofinevitablepublicdebates.

Manyfailed… GMOs.Fracking… Nuclear… (PEW:nuclearfearsarerisingalongwithclimateconcerns)

Page 3: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of
Page 4: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

Highdwellingsarethepeaceandharmonyofourdescendants….Rememberthecalamityofthegreattsunamis.Donotbuildanyhomes

belowthispoint.

Page 5: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

1985 1988

Page 6: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of
Page 7: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

Oldmediaenvironment:afewauthorities(Cronkite- “That’sthewayitis..”)Comfortfoodforall.

Newmediaenvironment:self-assembledfilterbubblesNowaudiencehastoseekreality.Thatmeansithastowantreality.

Page 8: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of
Page 9: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

Today’swords…

engineering…management…design….intervention…control…

Page 10: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

Wordsmatter…(Iusedtohatethenotionof“framing”)

Alka Seltzerfortheseas…..SolarRadiationManagement…

Regenerativefarming…Energymiracles

• Ener

Page 11: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

j.mp/dotgates

Page 12: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

“Management”…

Page 13: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

MatthewFontaineMaury,~1855:“[T]otheright-mindedmariner,andtohimwhostudiesthephysicalrelationsofearth,sea,andair,theatmosphereissomethingmorethanashorelessocean,atthebottomofwhichhecreepsalong....Itisaninexhaustiblemagazine,marvellously adaptedformanybenignandbeneficentpurposes.

“Upontheproperworkingofthismachinedependsthewellbeingofeveryplantandanimalthatinhabitstheearth;thereforethemanagementofit,itsmovements,andtheperformanceofitsoffices,cannotbelefttochance.”

Me,1992:Nowwehavearrivedatatimewhen,voluntarilyorinvoluntarily,humansareindeed"managing"theatmosphere.Wehadbettermanageitwell.

!

j.mp/92warmbook

Page 14: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of
Page 15: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

j.mp/epaheriberto

Page 16: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

“Coordinatedmanipulationofatleastsixvariablesisnecessarytomaintainstability

for200yearsorso.”

Page 17: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

Welackaculturalnarrativethatsayssustainabilityisreallyimportant.Wehaveaculturalnarrativethatsaysmurderiswrong.Wedon’thaveaculturalnarrativethatsaysmanagingourplanetinawaythatallowsustoliveonitas

longaswecanisprobablythemostimportantthing.

“Coordinatedmanipulationofatleastsixvariablesisnecessarytomaintainstability

for200yearsorso.”

Page 18: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

Thereisno“we”…Whosetsthethermostat?

• Whosetsthe

Page 19: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of
Page 20: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

Girdingforaclimatefight?Pickyour

physicsNobelist.• Nobe

Dan Kahan, Yale Law: “What you ‘believe’ about climate change doesn't reflect what you know; it expresses *who you are*

Culturalcognition.net

Page 21: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

Engineeringanuncertain,complexsystem:

Adisconnectorcaseforpolicyinnovation?

• ThinkaboutTapio Schneider’suncertaintydiscussionwiththe“fixingthesky”approachorcarbondisposalatscale…

• Howhot,howsoon?KnownUnknowable?

• DavidKeith’s“risktorisk”calculus

Page 22: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of
Page 23: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

SuperWickedProblem

j.mp/superwicked

Page 24: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

#

Page 25: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

#

Page 26: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

Noise

#chemtrails#iamascientistbecause

#manthropocene

#farmhack#deepuncertainty

#birdclass

Page 27: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

Signal

#chemtrails#iamascientistbecause

#manthropocene

#farmhack#deepuncertainty

#birdclass

Page 28: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

Reach

Page 29: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

Acommunicationneed?

Page 30: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

IPCC to its authors

Page 31: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

Escape from the “Nerd Loop”

RandyOlson@abtagenda

Page 32: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

WARMIST!

DENIER!

Beyondtheshoutingmatch

Page 33: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

Communicationandtheclassroom

Nature:j.mp/riskschool

Page 34: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

Communicationandtheclassroom

Page 35: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

Data&Values:“Youcan’tgetanoughtfromanis.”

j.mp/dotvatican

Page 36: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

SpencerWeart PaulSlovic HerbSchmertz

Page 37: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of

GavinFree/SlowMoGuys JohnBrandonMiller

Page 38: Can we move from unintended global warming to climate by ...Energy miracles • Ener. j.mp/dotgates ... earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of
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