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Can we accumulate stock for free (part 7) How do we select the best stocks, REITS and/or ETFs? Here is some additional information sources for REITS. Here is a brief Earning Survivor Game discussion with process. We will review more potential actions and management considerations. More Earning Survivor Game information. Can we accumulate stock for free?

Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

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Page 1: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Can we accumulate stock for free (part 7)

How do we select the best stocks, REITS and/or ETFs? Here is some additional information sources for REITS. Here is a brief Earning Survivor

Game discussion with process. We will review more potential actions and management considerations. More Earning Survivor Game

information. Can we accumulate stock for free?

Page 2: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Disclaimer – can’t blame me

• Disclaimer

• The opinions expressed on this site or at Chapter events are not necessarily those of AAII or ASU. It is not the policy of AAII or its local chapters, officers or directors, or Phoenix Chapter leaders to promote any specific investments or techniques of analysis. Presentations are provided solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as solicitations. There are no representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, about the completeness, accuracy, reliability, or suitability of meeting information. Investment information presented may not be appropriate for all investors and should be independently verified.

Page 3: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Can we accumulate stock for free

• What is the criteria for the stock?

• Optionable – must be able to collect premium

• Would like to have some bullish bias! 3 to 5 year prediction of growth.

• Price movement both up and down

• Pattern or something to help with timing

• Can we enhance premium return without excessive risk?

• Can we ensure the principle in the stock value at an acceptable cost?

Page 4: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Can we accumulate stock for free

• Gaps with volume increases

• On Balanced Volume increase

• Money Flow

• Range bound break out or break down

• Power bars

• Accumulation/Distribution support

• Relative Strength Comparison

Page 5: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Another Disclaimer – Why do we see these often?

Page 6: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Go to MapSignals.com for white papers and other information

Page 7: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

What we would like to see and trust

Page 8: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

See Map Signals and consider

• https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/embarrassment-of-riches/

• Stocks to follow per mapsignals

Page 9: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Larry Williams

Page 10: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Nicolas Darvas – Darvas Box

Page 11: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Mark Leibovit – Book of Volume

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Trends, Turtles and others

Page 13: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Best of the Best of the Best

• Examples over time frames• BKNG (former PriceLine (PCLN))

• SEDG

• INO

Page 14: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

PCLN or BKNG – Importance of Timing

Page 15: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

PCLN or BKNG

Page 16: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

PCLN or BKNG

Page 17: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

PCLN or BKNG

Page 18: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

PCLN or BKNG

Page 19: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

PCLN or BKNG

Page 20: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

PCLN or BKNG

Page 21: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

PCLN or BKNG

Page 22: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

PCLN or BKNG

Page 23: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

PCLN or BKNG

Page 24: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

PCLN or BKNG

Page 25: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Can we use anything from PCLN aka BKNG?

• Accumulation

• Other indicators on slides

• Review other stocks and look for conditions and tools

Page 26: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

SEDG

• Go to Integrated Investor and walk through charts

Page 27: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

INO

Page 28: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

INO

Page 29: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

ABR – It is a REIT

Page 30: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

ABR

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FCEL

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FCEL

Page 33: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Louis Navellier

Page 34: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Louis Navellier

Page 35: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Louis Navellier

Page 36: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

MorningStar – ETF screener and information

• Go to MoneyShow to see the recent videos on ETFs. See Louis Navellier’s presentation with recommendation to use MorningStartool and to never use market orders for ETFs.

• List out name drop – get comments/names in chat Keith Fitz-Geral(unstoppable_Inevitable_Imminent), Hillary Kramer (Game Changer_At the Leading Edge of the Curve), Gary Anderson (Janus), Tom DeMark, and Robert Prechter

Page 37: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Jackie Ann Patterson also presented for the Moneyshow• Jackie Ann Patterson

• https://divergence-alerts.com/moneyshow/

• email for slides

• https://ownmountain.com/products/truth-about-etf-rotation/

• ETF Excel Spreadsheet

Page 38: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

REITS.Com (https://www.reit.com/)

Page 39: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Can we accumulate ETFs for free (JustETF.com) (credit to Glen Neely)

Page 40: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Being correct for bullish and bearish stocks/ETFs

Page 41: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Our Stock or ETF selection is incomplete – we need a systematic way

Page 42: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Earning Survivor – Great Start

Page 43: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Earning Survivor, I chose poorly!

Page 44: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

This was better

Page 45: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

How do the picks look week three.

Page 46: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Stock Selection

• Still working on the criteria and methodology to find the best stocks for these systems

• Range Bound – Break out to up side• Turtle, Darvis Box, Other (review past notes)

• Elliott Wave

• Neowave

• Multiple time frame momentum (Stochastic) Robert Miner’s method for high probability trades

• GAPs and Power Bars

Page 47: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Position Sizing – No All Ins

• Use Position Sizing to keep you in the game and control your risk.

• Based on the negative experience with GNC, we may need to only use a third of funds allocated to an underlying. This will provide means to change our basis and keep the underlying in cash generation mode without called away lock in loss.

Page 48: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Position Sizing – Importance – Stay in the Game• GE discussion

• GNC discussion

• INO discussion

• AQB discussion

• FCEL discussion

Page 49: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Know limits – Forecasts can start right and turn wrong• Difference between trading and forecasting

• Being right about something but it is not relevant (does not move the price).

• Difference between trading and forecasting• Being wrong and making money

• Being right and losing money

Page 50: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

AQB trade notes

Page 51: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

FCEL trade notes

Page 52: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

INO – starts phase 2

Page 53: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Survey

• Survey 1: How would you manage INO, AQB, or FCEL?

• How do you pick what underlying, what direction, how to trigger the trade, what targets to use and more?

• Pros

• Cons

• StockWhisperer and Dark Pool indicators, Earning (whisper, likefolio, Momentum, Elliott/Neowave and other) ?

Page 54: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Earning Survivor – This worked out this week.

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Earning Survivor

Page 56: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Earning Survivor

Page 57: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Earning Survivor

Page 58: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Earning Survivor

Page 59: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Another Trade Around the corner and another earning season. • Trade Notes and Links from SMB

• How to review trades

• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sNG2L6qOg48&feature=youtu.be

• Review tool tradervue

• https://www.tradervue.com/

Page 60: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

• CPT (Consistently Profitable Trader)

• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82WCGwTGLHM

• You may need to go to youtube to play the above.

• InvestiQuant

• https://www.investiquant.com/

• Blow up video

• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S1qni2Lqbck

Page 61: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

When Forecasting and Target Setting

• Question: Who are you to decide what is the appropriate price of a stock?

• Who are you to decide what is (over conviction – over convicted in thesis – how do you measure and confirm, how could I be wrong, What is the other side of the trade thinking, what are points of recognition.) Here is how I might be wrong. (might be right but too early – EWI) Point of recognition – If price reaches this level, my thesis is wrong or being challenged successfully.)

• What is your exit plan? Do you have one?

• Must know your stop or Risk Level? How are you going to control this risk? (will Position sizing suffice?)

Page 62: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Continuous Improvement

• How can I get a little better in one area of my trading (life) today and if necessary this week.

• Plan Do Check Act – Repeat process

• How can I get a little better in one area of my trading (life) today and if necessary this week.

Page 63: Can we accumulate stock for free · 2021. 5. 10. · Can we accumulate stock for free •What is the criteria for the stock? •Optionable –must be able to collect premium •Would

Review/mention Neely Video

• Please be aware of conditions. Be they good or bad. Stay Safe!