Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/12/2019 Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

    1/17

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    1

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    [Name of the Student]

    [Name of the Institution]

  • 8/12/2019 Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

    2/17

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    2

    Task 1

    Introduction

    Investment appraisal is a technique and tool to find out the worth of an investment project. It

    involves several techniques. Some are named as:

    1. Payback Period

    2. Net Present Value

    3. Internal Rate of return

    4. Accounting rate of Return

    The payback period ensures when the investor will attain the worth of his investment in the

    form of predicted cash flows (Rushinck, 1983). In our case, it is 1.8 years which is a pretty good

    opportunity for Made up Hotels Plc.

    The net present value entails the net worth of the investment project keeping in view the

    future cash flows. This will allow an optimistic investor to proceed further with his decision to

    invest or not to invest in this project.

    The internal rate of return in computed because payback period does not involve the cash

    flows. Hence, this technique is still better than it. It is computed by keeping the net present

    value of the cash flows close to or equal to zero.

    The accounting rate of return is also a better technique but not the best because the IRR is

    dominated in the department of appraisal techniques. It shows the net worth of the project

    over its useful years. The details are given below regarding this appraisal

    These techniques are used by the investors to find out if the investment they are to make in any

    project beneficial for them. The methods are discussed briefly when an investment appraisal is

    prepared for Made up Hotels Plc since they are planning to invest in a hotel project with a cost

    price of 64m.

    We use present value of cash flows in order to find out the current value of future money or

    streams of cash flows in which can help in making an investment appraisal for an investor.

  • 8/12/2019 Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

    3/17

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    3

    Investment Appraisal Report to Made Up Hotels Plc

    Looking at the London hotel industry, we explore that the revenue available per room hasincreased in 2013 while keeping in view that the RevPAR has kept on increasing in the

    successive years, we will assume that the cash inflows will show a better picture of cash

    generation in the upcoming years (Hotels, 2013). The details are shown in the table below:

    The projected cash flows are shown after estimating the variables for cash inflow and outflow.

    There are several techniques to make an investment appraisal in order to find out if the

    investment in purchasing the 160 bed hotel is a better option for Made up hotels Plc. The

    sources of finance are not shown in the above table, but it is assumed that Made up hotels Plc

    obtained financing from 32% term loan i.e. 20.5m and 43.5m in equity. This is because, they

    are already an established business and the hotel industry of UK is already growing, so the

    investors are well affirmed about their investment. These expenses are expected to be paid

    within the 5th

    Year. The upper chart can be diagnosed and the total net cash flow can be

    calculated as 1142623 and that is equal to 519 m. This can be a better investment option.

    However, there are other investment appraisal techniques. The second of such techniques is

    the payback period. This determines the time period in which the initial outlay is paid through

    the net cash inflows. As shown in the excel sheet, the payback period is 1 year and 8 months.

    This is calculated through the following calculation:

  • 8/12/2019 Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

    4/17

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    4

    Year 1 net cash flow + 28/Year 2 net cash flow x 12 months = 1.8 Years

    This shows that Made up Hotels Plc will be able to attain back their initial outlay in this time

    period which is pretty good for them to take this project. Apart from that, the net present value

    is another appraisal technique that can be used in order to f ind out the worthiness of this

    particular investment. The table below shows the estimate of the cash flows and the way tocalculate the net present value. In this case, we use the cost of capital as 10%. This is estimated

    after looking at the standard annual report of Millenium Hotel.

    The net present value is 269.51073 m. This indicates that it is a better investment opportunity

    for Made Up Hotels Plc. This investment in todays time value of money is worth this amount.

    The Made up Hotels Plc should not ignore the opportunity as the growth of the hotel industry

    in UK is already evolving.

    The other technique involves the internal rate of return technique which involves the

    equalization of an initial outlay and the present value of total cash flow to zero. This is attained

    after the discount factor is 67%. The calculation and formulas are attached in an excel

    worksheet.

    This is not an accurate figure of IRR but within this hotel industry of UK, there is a great

    opportunity to attain IRR with this rate and the sensitivity analysis is also carried out which will

    indicate the possibilities for the changes in revenues reflecting the changes in IRRs. The

    snapshot is given below after describing the scenario of sensitivity analysis.

    The sensitivity analysis is also carried out which takes into consideration two conditions if the

    revenue increases or decreases. However, the hotel industry entails that there would

    successive increase in the revenues but can slow down like it did in 2012 during Olympic

    comparatives. So, the sensitivity analysis is carried out in an excel sheet but the snapshots are

    as under in order give a proper analysis to Made up Hotels.

  • 8/12/2019 Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

    5/17

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    5

    Scenario Summary

    Current Values:

    Revenue decreases by

    1.5% Revenue increases by 6%

    Changing

    Cells:

    $P$5 1.0426 1.0105 1.06

    Result Cells:

    $A$7 Total inflow Total inflow Total inflow

    $B$7

    $C$7 94 94 94

    $D$7 98.0044 94.987 99.64

    $E$7 102.1793874 95.9843635 105.6184

    $F$7 106.5322293 96.99219932 111.955504$G$7 111.0705023 98.01061741 118.6728342

    $H$7 115.8021057 99.03972889 125.7932043

    $I$7 120.7352754 100.079646 133.3407966

    $J$7 125.8785981 101.1304823 141.3412443

    $K$7 131.2410264 102.1923524 149.821719

    $L$7 136.8318942 103.2653721 158.8110221

    $A$15 Net Cash flow Net Cash flow Net Cash flow

    $B$15 -64 -64 -64

    $C$15 38 38 38

    $D$15 41.0044 37.987 42.64$E$15 47.17938744 40.9843635 50.6184

    $F$15 47.53222934 37.99219932 52.955504

    $G$15 49.07050232 36.01061741 56.67283424

    $H$15 53.80210571 37.03972889 63.79320429

    $I$15 65.73527542 45.07964605 78.34079655

    $J$15 75.87859815 51.13048233 91.34124435

    $K$15 81.24102643 52.19235239 99.82171901

    $L$15 83.83189416 50.26537209 105.8110221

    Current Values column represents values of changing cells at

    time Scenario Summary Report was created. Changing cells for each

    scenario are highlighted in gray.

    The above chart shows that the current increase in revenues is 4.26% that is assumed after

    looking at the Millenium hotel annual reports. But the conditions specified above are also

    related to revenues which can either increase to 5% and then so on or decrease by 1.5%.

  • 8/12/2019 Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

    6/17

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    6

    Hence, the net cash flows are then calculated accordingly through the WHAT IF function which

    are already shown in the excel file attached.

    The second sensitivity analysis is related to the net present value in accordance with the same

    cash inflows or revenues from the hotel project. The snapshot is as under:

    Scenario Summary

    Current Values:

    Revenue decreases by

    1.5% Revenue increases by 6%

    Changing

    Cells:

    $P$5 1.0426 1.0105 1.06

    Result Cells:

    $A$27 Present value Present value Present value

    $B$27 -64 -64 -64

    $C$27 31.98383974 31.98383974 31.98383974

    $D$27 31.66292029 29.33293386 32.92590359$E$27 33.42306751 29.03435636 35.8593507

    $F$27 30.89268771 24.69232277 34.41744413

    $G$27 29.25913724 21.47195458 33.79215938

    $H$27 29.43159427 20.26200012 34.89706734

    $I$27 35.95944675 24.66011013 42.85509848

    $J$27 38.08090976 25.66066494 45.84109048

    $K$27 37.40562541 24.03080892 45.96069243

    $L$27 35.41149805 21.23263639 44.69571924

    $A$28 Net Present Value Net Present Value Net Present Value

    $B$28 269.5107267 188.3616278 319.2283655Notes: Current Values column represents values of changing cells at

    time Scenario Summary Report was created. Changing cells for each

    scenario are highlighted in gray.

    So, if the revenue decreases by 1.5%, then the net present value also decreases to 188m.

    Therefore, if any unavoidable circumstances are witnessed then the revenue or cash inflow will

    definitely decrease which is rare. Hence, the investment option is beneficial for Made up Hotels

    Plc.

    The scenario analysis can be further carried out to the change in revenue by 7% which wouldfurther indicate the change in net present value of the investment with the revenue increase by

    7%. However, the risk is associated with the decrease in revenue by 1.5% which results in the

    decrease in revenues, projected cash flows and the net present values of the investment. The

    snapshot for the revenue increase by 7% is given below.

  • 8/12/2019 Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

    7/17

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    7

    Revenue increases by 7%

    1.07

    Projected cash flows

    -6438

    43.58

    52.6206

    56.154042

    61.21482494

    69.83986269

    86.06865307

    100.9434588

    111.5095009

    119.815166

    Present value

    -64

    31.98383974

    33.65175606

    37.27775966

    36.49627436

    36.50040003

    38.20479654

    47.08250064

    50.66011812

    51.3420719

    50.61122093

    Net Present Value349.810738

    Another basic technique that can help this investment appraisal to be more reliable is toinclude annual rate of return in order to find out the return on investment of 64m. This is

    found out by the deducting the cash outflow from cash inflow and then dividing the result with

    the number of useful years for the investment project i.e. 10 years. The normal annual rate of

    return to be calculated with the normal increase in revenue that is by 4.26%. The rate of return

    is computed as 51.9%. This is a moderate rate of return on the investment to Made up Hotels

  • 8/12/2019 Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

    8/17

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    8

    Plc. If we carry out the sensitivity analysis of this scenario, then the snapshot for this aspect is

    given below:

    ario Summary

    Current Values:Revenue decreases by

    1.5%Revenue increases by

    6%Revenue increases by

    7%Revenue increases b

    6

    ging

    :

    P$5 1.0426 1.0105 1.06 1.07 1.0

    lt Cells:

    E$39 ARR % ARR % ARR % ARR % ARR %

    E$40 51.9275419 36.2681762 61.59947246 67.57461084 61.5994724

    Notes: Current Values column represents values of changing cells at

    time Scenario Summary Report was created.

    The above chart ensures everything to the made up Hotels Plc that the annual rate of return is

    extremely low when the revenue decreases to 1.5%. This entails that there can some

    unforeseen circumstances which are rare but can occur that would result in the decrease of

    revenue. Therefore, the overseen circumstances should be predicted before investing in this

    project. However, with the past performance of hotel industry, the revenue has always

    increased by 7 to 8%. The revenue increase by 6-7% has been included in the above analysis in

    order to maintain the estimated figure with the actual figures that are still unknown to the

    investors.

    If we carry out the sensitivity analysis reflecting the IRR variations with the change in revenues,

    the snapshot given below describes the analysis in the chart very effectively.

    ario Summary

    Current Values:

    Revenue decreases by

    1.5%

    Revenue increases by

    6%

    Revenue increases by

    7%

    Revenue decreas

    ging

    :

    P$5 1.0426 1.0105 1.06 1.07

    lt Cells:

    A$35 IRR IRR IRR IRR IRR

    B$35 67% 60% 71% 73%

    Thus, the decision would be to invest in this project as the report entails that the decision is

    valuable while purchasing a 160 bed hotel.

    From the above analysis, we can find out that the investment appraisal techniques are meant

    to serve one purpose only and that is to effectively find out whether investment is worthy of

  • 8/12/2019 Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

    9/17

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    9

    spending or investing funds on it. These techniques have their own pros and cons. But, it

    usually provide a good insight of what can also be called as a recommendation to an optimistic

    investor who is still thinking to investing on any particular project. These techniques are helpful

    to the investors in many ways as they help them in making certain decisions regarding the

    worth of investing funds in the specified project. This can be proved through the analysis we

    carried out. The payback period, internal rate of return, net present value, and annual rate of

    return are all the basic necessities of an investment appraisal. Without these techniques, it

    would always be a difficult task to find out the true value of an investment or a project.

  • 8/12/2019 Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

    10/17

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    10

    Task 2

    Sales Budget for Amor Bayo

    Production Budget for Amor Bayo

    Purchases budget for Amor Bayo:

  • 8/12/2019 Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

    11/17

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    11

    Cash budget for Amor Bayo

  • 8/12/2019 Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

    12/17

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    12

    Budgeted Income Statement

  • 8/12/2019 Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

    13/17

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    13

    Budgeted balance sheet for Amor Bayo

    Amor BayoBudgeted Balance Sheet

    December 31, 2014

    AssetsCash 47,600.00

    Accounts Receivable 54,000Inventory 17,500

    Delivery Van 6,000Plant and Equipment (net) 13,000Total Assets 138,100.00

    Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity

    LiabilitiesNational Insurance 1600

    Wages 28,000

    Total Liabilities 29,600

    Shareholders' EquityShare Capital 50,000Retained earnings 58,500

    Total Shareholders' equity 108,500

    Total Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity 138,100.00

  • 8/12/2019 Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

    14/17

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    14

    Task 3

    Usefulness of classifying costs in different ways for businesses:

    Cost classification is a process in which costs are categorized on the basis of common

    characteristics.

    Grouping costs on the basis of their nature, form, source or any other attribution makes it really

    easy to understand their effects and ultimately to take decisions about costs and beyond any

    shadow of doubt classifying costs makes learning cost and management accounting much

    easier. It enables managers to ascertain one thing in many different ways and putting him in a

    position to make the best possible decision.

    Costs can be classified in number of ways however following is a list that contains some of the

    common ways of classifying costs:

    avoidable and unavoidable

    controllable and uncontrollable

    their behavior towards production activity (fixed, variable and semi-variable)

    real and notional costs

    relevant costs

    normal and abnormal costs

    functions to which they are connected responsibility centers to which they are connected

    their direct and indirect nature

    Sunk/committed and future/discretionary costs

    Following are some of the advantages of classifying costs in different ways for managers:

    1) It helps to price your product correctly.

    2) It helps to analyze the whole activity under a situation.

    3) It has to come from the shop floor level and cannot be implemented by only sitting in the

    Board Room, so it gives closer operational view.

    4) Unwarranted activity can be done away with.

    5) Cost reduction and cost control

    Therefore, after looking at the above information, it can be said that the cost classification is

    very significant for the financial manager because he then be able to determine the cost

    elements in order to make sure that they are appropriately used in further business decision

  • 8/12/2019 Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

    15/17

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    15

    making aspects (Oberholzer, 2004). Another significant point to include here would be that the

    managers would be able to easily and effectively track an annual expenditure that would be

    relative to the budget and hence, it would help them to know as to from where the expenditure

    has greatest spending.

    The bottom line is that it helps us in gathering of methods for the accumulation and generation

    of cost data. It is also helpful in maintaining effective supervision in a corporation. It is also

    considered important for the management use so that external financial reports can be easily

    prepared (Ask.com, 2011) . The management will require information to make decisions on

    different issues and this would definitely require cost classification.

    b) Most profitable sales mix for wedding shoots:

    Wedding Shoots

    Take One % The Hollywood % The Epic %

    Sales 64000 100% 93333 100% 66667 100%

    Less Variable Expenses

    Staff Wages 8000 13% 16000 17% 16000 24%

    Other Variable Costs 6400 10% 6400 7% 6400 10%

    Total Variable Costs 14400 23% 22400 24% 22400 34%

    Contribution Margin 49600 78% 70933 76% 44267 66%

    Less Fixed Costs 30000 30000 30000

    Operating Income 19600 40933 14267

    Profitable Sales Mix(FC/CM %)

    38710 39474 45181

    The Most profitable sales mix is 38710, 39474 and 45181 for Take One, The Hollywood

    and The Epic respectively.

  • 8/12/2019 Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

    16/17

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    16

    Sales mix depends on the variables of total sales, sales mix, profit margins and weighted

    average contribution margin. A company may have a product that dominates its total sales but

    the cost of production of such product reduce the profit margin. Like in this case of Wedding

    shoots, The Hollywood service is dominating total sales but the Epic service is most profitable.

  • 8/12/2019 Business Finance Final Assessment May 14

    17/17

    Business Finance Final Assignment

    17

    ReferencesAsk.com, 2011.Ask.com. [Online]

    Available at: http://www.ask.com/question/why-is-cost-classification-important-to-managers

    Hotels, M., 2013. Millenium Hotels. [Online]

    Available at:http://www.millenniumhotels.com/content/dam/Millennium/CIR/Finance/02212014_Final%20Results%

    202013.pdf

    Oberholzer, M., 2004. Cost behaviour classification and cost behaviour structures of manufacturing

    companies. Meditari Accountancy Research, 12(I), pp. 179-193.

    Rushinck, A., 1983. Capital Budgeting Techniques, The Payback Period, The Net Present Value, The

    Internal Rate of Return and their Computer Applications. Managerial Finance, 9(i), pp. 11-13.