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PARKING PLANNING FOR AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES BUILDING ENVELOPE CONSULTING FORENSIC RESTORATION PARKING DESIGN PLANNING Joint Texas and Western District Annual Meeting June 25, 2018

BUILDING ENVELOPE CONSULTING PARKING PLANNING FOR · 2018-07-26 · international consulting firms, as well as academia, in the area of predicting how parking demand may be reduced

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Page 1: BUILDING ENVELOPE CONSULTING PARKING PLANNING FOR · 2018-07-26 · international consulting firms, as well as academia, in the area of predicting how parking demand may be reduced

PARKING PLANNING FOR AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES

BUILDING ENVELOPE

CONSULTING

FORENSIC RESTORATION

PARKING DESIGN

PLANNING

Joint Texas and Western District Annual MeetingJune 25, 2018

Page 2: BUILDING ENVELOPE CONSULTING PARKING PLANNING FOR · 2018-07-26 · international consulting firms, as well as academia, in the area of predicting how parking demand may be reduced

WALKER CONSULTANTS 2

OVERVIEW

Autonomous vehicles (AVs) will have an impact on the transportation industry in the yearsto come. There has been much discussion about what these impacts may potentially be,including impacts on roadway networks. But what about parking? And in what way may thisdisruption affect parking and what should we do as transportation professionals to plan forit? This session will discuss two primary areas, planning and design. The planning section ofthe presentation will discuss what research has been conducted by notable and recognizedinternational consulting firms, as well as academia, in the area of predicting how parkingdemand may be reduced as a result AVs. Based on this research, the presentation willdiscuss what triggers will cause the greatest impacts on parking demand related to AVs.Designing for the future will also be discussed including the design strategies that should beconsidered when there is a need for infrastructure today. The strategies discussed willinclude the design considerations related to future adaptive reuse of parking facilities andinfrastructure planning for the future.

Page 3: BUILDING ENVELOPE CONSULTING PARKING PLANNING FOR · 2018-07-26 · international consulting firms, as well as academia, in the area of predicting how parking demand may be reduced

WALKER CONSULTANTS 3

WHAT WE’LL ANSWER ABOUT AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES IN PARKING

What To Do Now

What Are The ImpactsOn Parking

Demand

What We Know

What To Plan For

Page 4: BUILDING ENVELOPE CONSULTING PARKING PLANNING FOR · 2018-07-26 · international consulting firms, as well as academia, in the area of predicting how parking demand may be reduced

WALKER CONSULTANTS 4

TRANSPORTATION PROFESSIONALS ALREADY KNOW A LOT

The Investment in AV is Staggering

• GM paid $1bn to acquire driverless startup, Cruise

• Ford investing $1bn in Argo, its new driverless car unit

• Toyota committed to $1bn in self-driving research in Silicon Valley

• Qualcomm’s pending $47bn acquisition of automotive chip outfit NXP Semiconductors

• Intel buys Mobileye for $15bn

• Feds investing $4bn in developing standards

• Worldwide market for AV semiconductors grew to $30 bn in 2016

Mobility For All

Its’ Coming…

The Impacts will Vary Depending on the Industry – For Better or Worse

Image: Bloomberg

Page 5: BUILDING ENVELOPE CONSULTING PARKING PLANNING FOR · 2018-07-26 · international consulting firms, as well as academia, in the area of predicting how parking demand may be reduced

WALKER CONSULTANTS 5

NOTABLE RESEARCH ON AUTONOMOUS VEHICLE IMPACTS

Page 6: BUILDING ENVELOPE CONSULTING PARKING PLANNING FOR · 2018-07-26 · international consulting firms, as well as academia, in the area of predicting how parking demand may be reduced

WALKER CONSULTANTS 6

WALKER’S CONCLUSIONS OF PARKING DEMAND IMPACT

Greatest penetration in dense urban markets and those with high

parking costs

Decrease in Parking Demand*

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045

Future Parking Demand(Before Growth)

High Scenarios Low Scenario

15% -40%

Market Penetration Timeline

2020-2040Demand variability a projection*

Page 7: BUILDING ENVELOPE CONSULTING PARKING PLANNING FOR · 2018-07-26 · international consulting firms, as well as academia, in the area of predicting how parking demand may be reduced

WALKER CONSULTANTS 7

WHAT TO DO NOW

TNC MANAGEMENT PICK-UP / DROP-OFF CURBSIDE MANAGEMENT

Image: The Points Guy Image: Shutterstock

Page 8: BUILDING ENVELOPE CONSULTING PARKING PLANNING FOR · 2018-07-26 · international consulting firms, as well as academia, in the area of predicting how parking demand may be reduced

WALKER CONSULTANTS 8

PLANNING FOR ADAPTIVE REUSE

• Charging Stations• Taller floor-to-ceiling heights.

• Place ramps on the edge of the floor plan.• Increase durability design of key structural

elements, for a longer service life.• Build internal cores for future stairs or elevators.

• Build additional empty utility infrastructure like

duct banks and bank panels.• Build oversized or additional mechanical, electrical,

and plumbing rooms.

• Build wider stairways to accommodate more occupants in the future.

• Flat Floors

10% - 25% Construction Cost Premium

Page 9: BUILDING ENVELOPE CONSULTING PARKING PLANNING FOR · 2018-07-26 · international consulting firms, as well as academia, in the area of predicting how parking demand may be reduced

WALKER CONSULTANTS 9

Andrew J. VidorWalker Consultants

[email protected]