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WWW.NGSA.ORG
Dena Wiggins President and CEO, Natural Gas Supply Association October 7, 2015
United States Energy Association
Bright Future for Natural Gas
Supply, Markets -- and Policy Challenges
Represents major producers and suppliers of
domestic natural gas
Promotes benefits of competitive natural gas
markets, resulting in reliable and efficient
transportation and delivery, increased supply and
demand
Celebrating 50th Anniversary in 2015
Who is NGSA?
Shale resources remain the dominant source of U.S. natural gas production growth U.S. dry natural gas production
trillion cubic feet
Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2015 Reference case
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Tight gas
Coalbed methane
Other lower 48 onshore
Shale gas and tight oil plays
Alaska Lower 48 offshore
Projections History 2013
billion cubic feet per day
6
Focus On Electric Demand Long-term structural increase in demand becoming
evident in 2015 as MATS Rule Kicks In
Source: Energy Ventures Analysis 2015 Summer Outlook, June 2015
2015: 126 Retiring Coal Plants
44 plantsRuns at 21-60%
20 GWs Coal-fired Generation Retires; BUTOne-Half Retiring Plants Run Under 20% Capacity
Summer 2015: Natural gas demand up 0.5 Bcf/day due to coal retirements
66 plantsRun at 0-20%
44 plantsRun at 21-60%
16 plantsRun at 61-90%
Summer 2015: Natural gas demand up
0.5
0.5 cf/day
due to coal retirements
15 Expansions
11 Petrochemical
4 Fertilizer
$117 Billion Investment to Build Increase of 3.9 Bcf/d
51 New Projects
37 Petrochemical
11 Fertilizer
3 Steel
Focus On Industrial Demand: Natural Gas Spurring 66 Major Industrial Projects 2015–2020
Data Source: Energy Ventures Analysis, June 2015 Photo courtesy: Chevron U.S.A. Inc., 2015 (Pascagoula)
8
U.S. LNG Exports to Grow
Source: Energy Ventures Analysis, 2014 Long-term Outlook Fuelcast
2015 2016 2017
76
2.8
2.4
0.1
77
2.9
2.7
0.7
79
3.3
3.2
2.5
LNG exports
Mexican exports
Canadian exports
U.S. consumption
Average Bcf/day
Major Pipeline Projects Certificated (MMcf/d)
January 2000 to December 2014
Transco
Southern
Kern River
6
North Baja
(500, 81 614)
Tuscarora (96)
Northwest
Kern River
TETCO (250)
Northwest
NFG/DTI/Tenn 1
2 3
4
Northwest
East Tennessee (225)
Tennessee (320)
El Paso
WBI
30
27 Cheyenne Plains (560,170)
29
8
Discovery
Transwestern
5
Trunkline(1,500)
Trunkline (200)
Questar
6
GTN
Florida Gas
East Tenn. (170)
7
9
Millennium
10
11
Southern Trails (120)
Gulfstream
12 Trailblazer (324)
26 28
El Paso
(502)
Center Point (113,132)
Golden Pass (2,500)
31 32
Dominion South (200)
Columbia
East Tenn. (86)
Tennessee (400,200,100)
East Tenn. (276, 150)
Midwestern
(120)
8
13
Cameron (1,500,850,
2,330)
Cheniere Creole Trail
14
33
Questar Overthrust
Center Point (1,237, 280, 274)
Equitrans
(130)
15
Gulf LNG (1,500)
16
Transco
34
Trunkline (510)
TETCO (150, 150, 455, 425)
Kinder Morgan
Natural (200,300)
17
Rockies Express East (1,800)
Midcontinent Southern/Magolia
35
Dominion
MarkWest (638)
18
19
118.40 BCF/D Total 16,507 Miles
26. CIG 27. CIG 28. TransColorado 29. WIC 30. El Paso 31. Rendezvous 32. Entrega 33. Northwest 34. Rockies Express West 35. White River Hub 36. Northwest 37. Rockies Express 38. Sundance Trail (Northwest) 39. Diamond Mountain (WIC) 40. DCP Midstream 41. CIG
1. Algonquin 2. Dominion 3. Iroquois 4. Columbia 5. Algonquin 6. Transcontinental 7. Transcontinental 8. Transcontinental 9. Columbia 10. Maritimes 11. Algonquin 12. Tennessee 13. Tennessee 14. Transco 15. Algonquin 16. Algonquin 17. Empire 18. Texas Eastern 19. Algonquin 20. Tennessee 21. Central NY 22. TETCO & Algonquin 23. Tennessee 24. Transcontinental 25. Constitution Pipeline/Iroquois
36
37 38
Port Dolphin
39
Ruby Pipeline
Tiger
20
TETCO (112)
21
Dominion
Tennessee & Dominion
40
NFG (163)
22
23
Bluewater (300)
El Paso
(366, 237)
Atlas (150)
El Paso
24
Gulf Shore
Dominion (270, 92)
Northwest
41
Discovery (405)
KM Texas (275)
Gulf Crossing
NET Mexico
Transco (270)
Houston Pipe Line
Sierrita Gas
25
Cheniere Corpus Christi
Challenges: Environmental Opposition Petitions and Protests
Create Era of Unprecedented Activism at FERC