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8/2/2019 BPC November.december SCP 28-11 Final
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REDUCING RISK:
READY FOR THEDRILL BIT
Investor Presentation
November 2011(AIM: BPC)
Email: [email protected]: www.bpcplc.com
3D Seismic Acquisition 2011
mailto:[email protected]://www.bpcplc.com/http://www.bpcplc.com/mailto:[email protected]8/2/2019 BPC November.december SCP 28-11 Final
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Important Notice DisclaimerThis presentation (Presentation) has been prepared by Bahamas Petroleum Company Plc. (the Company) solely for its use at informational meetings with its shareholders and is being delivered forinformation purposes only to a limited number of persons. This Presentation should not be considered as the giving of investment advice by the Company or any of its shareholders, officers or advisers.If you are in any doubt about the contents of this Presentation or the action you should take, you should consult an independent adviser authorised to render such advice.
This Presentation has not been independently verified and is subject to material updating, revision and further amendments without notice. The Presentation does not purport to contain all informationthat a member of the Company may wish receive for purposes of assessment or valuation of his respective investment and is not intended to form the basis of any investment decision.
While the information contained herein has been prepared in good faith, neither the Company nor its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees, or advisors give, has given or has authority togive, any representations or warranties (express or implied) as to the achievement or reasonableness of future projections, management targets, estimates, prospects or returns contained in this
presentation, or in relation to, the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information in this Presentation, or any revision thereof, or of any other written or oral information made or to be madeavailable to any shareholder of the Company (all such information being referred to as Information).
The Presentation is not an offer or invitation by the Company, its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees, or advisors to purchase, acquire or sell securities or assets, nor any form ofcommitment, legal obligation or recommendation by either the Company, its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees, or advisors.
So far as permitted by law, neither the Company nor any of its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees or advisers (including the Agents) take any responsibility for, or will accept anyliability in respect of, the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Information or for any loss, howsoever arising from the use of this Presentation. In furnishing this Presentation, the Company doesnot undertake any obligation to provide any additional information or to update this Presentation or to correct any inaccuracies in, or omissions from, this Presentation which may become apparent.
The Information is confidential information and the property of the Company. It is made available strictly for the purposes referred to above. The Information and any further confidential informationmade available to any recipient must be held in complete confidence and documents containing such information may not be reproduced directly or indirectly, used or disclosed without the priorwritten consent of the Company. By accepting delivery of this Presentation, the recipient agrees to return it at the request of the Company.
This presentation contains certain statements which may constitute "forward-looking statements". All statements in this presentation, other than statements of historical facts, that address futureactivities and events of developments that the Company expects, are forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in these statements are based onreasonable assumptions, such statements are only predictions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties and changes in the underlying assumptions which could cause actual values, results,performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed, implied or projected in any forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those inforward-looking statements include market prices, continued availability of capital and financing, and general economic, market or business conditions. Investors are cautioned that any suchstatements are not guarantees of future performance and that actual results or developments may differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements.
The Company will not undertake any obligation to release publicly any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events, circumstances or unanticipated events occurring after the date ofthis Presentation, except as required by law or by any appropriate regulatory authority. Nothing in this Presentation or in documents referred to in it should be considered as a profit forecast. Pastperformance of the Company or its shares cannot be relied on as a guide to future performance.
This Presentation does not constitute, or form part of or contain any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any offer to subscribe for, underwrite or otherwise acquire, or dispose of, any securities in theCompany in any jurisdiction and is directed at, and is only for distribution to existing shareholders of the Company. Neither this Presentation nor any part of or copy of it may be taken or transmitted,
directly or indirectly, into the United States of America or Canada or distributed or re-distributed directly or indirectly, in the United States of America, its territories or possessions, or Canada, or toany resident thereof except in compliance with applicable securities laws. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of applicable U.S. or Canadian securities laws. ThisPresentation and the information contained herein do not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States. By accepting this Presentation, the recipient represents and warrants that it is aperson to whom this Presentation may be delivered or distributed without a violation of the laws of any relevant jurisdiction. This Presentation is not to be disclosed to any other person or used for anyother purpose and any other person who receives this Presentation should not rely or act upon it.
The delivery or distribution of this Presentation in or to persons in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this Presentation comes should inform themselvesabout, and observe, any such restrictions. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of the laws of the relevant jurisdiction.
By attending the meeting where this Presentation is made, or by reading the Presentation slides, you agree to be bound by these provisions.
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1. Investment Highlights
2. Strategy
3. Leadership Team
4. Asset Base
5. Key Risks Addressed
6. Valuation
7. Capital Structure
8. Competitive Landscape
9. Summary
3
BAHAMAS PETROLEUM COMPANY Plc.
North Sea Comparison
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Investment Highlights
Unique portfolio of licences; play-type range, untested scale, commercial terms thus upside
Extension of proven Cuba fold belt/thrust sheet plays. Greater Gulf of Mexico analogues
Experienced leadership team with strong track record of value creation
Executive team with focus on commercialisation of new hydrocarbon provinces
Progressive and significant de-risking of the asset base over last 4 years
Successful 2D and 3D acquisition confirms large structures; 3D to specify drillable locations
Additional licence applications submitted Third-party verification of scale and quality of asset base Ryder Scott CPR, Statoil farm-in
Immediate next stage well work programme (2012/3) to crystalise value
Scale, risk, reward and location attractive to Majors, NOCs and large state enterprises
Aggressively pursuing farm out plans and working closely with Bahamas Government ahead ofdrilling
Fully funded into the next stage of de-risking
Momentum stock
4
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Strategy - Regional Context
5
Region has discovered nearly 100Billion bbl oil and 500 tcf gas
Pervasive, prolific Jurassic source rock
Nearly 4mm acres under license
equivalent to 672 OCS lease blocks
Individual mapped closures exceed130,000 acres equivalent to 22 OCS leaseblocks
Repsol to spud Cuba well 1Q 2012
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Strategy Goals and Targets
Maximise value growth from oil/gas potential in Bahamian licences
Technical: Maximise resource/reserves declaration, exploit carbonate expertise regionally
Costs: Leverage equity position to minimise future demands on shareholders
Commercial: Maintain maximum access to upside while retaining adequate control of licences
Ensure wealth and opportunity creation for Bahamian people and nation
GOALS
Describe and demonstrate upside
High-grade resource potential post 3D
Continue to de-risk inventory internally
Prove play-types commence inventory drill-out
Funding/farmdown strategy to leverage activity
Negotiated JOA to retain influence
Realise value upside through equity participation
Examine new licence potential
6
TARGETS Timing
Opened data room 2Q11
Completed 3D acquisition 3Q11
Initial 3D interpretation 4Q11
Commence preparations for drilling 1Q12
Complete Farm-in discussions 2Q12
Comply with regulations 2Q12
Access Rig 4Q12
Drilling (before April 2013) 2013
STRATEGY
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Leadership Team
7
In-countryleadership
Executive
Management
Non-ExecutiveBoard
President
Material international business experience
Significant directorships, financial and oil & gas executiveexperience
Financial, technical stewardship
Founder of BPC, 39 year career in the oil business
Founder of Hardman Resources, sold to Tullow Oil - A$1.4bn
Active in 28 new field discoveries Uganda, French Guiana, Mauritania
30 years resources exploration, development and production, in Europe, Russia, America,Africa and Australasia
BP 20 years. CEO:- Hardman Resources, Arrow Energy International, Dart Energy.Management of dual listed entities - AIM top 10, ASX 100 and 200. Value growth track record
Commercialisation of new hydrocarbon provinces. Significant raising and A&D experience
37 years directing exploration and production projects throughout the United States andCanada. Ph.D. Geology
Marathon Oil Company: Manager of US exploration.
Chief Geologist: BP America
Audit as at 30/9/2011; refreshed governance processes
Invite Bahamian and E&P experienced candidates onto the Board
Examine Bahamian listing options
AdrianCollins
DursleyStott
EddieShallcross
SteveWeyel
AlanBurns
SimonPotter
PaulGucwa
d
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Asset Base, Activities and Status
Exploration licence: 12 years in total; four 3-year periods 1st Renewal (years 4 6) @ 100% of acreage well
commitment (spud before end of year 4 - April 2013)
Company advised Ministry of the Environment ( Feb.2011) commitments fulfilled and intention to extent
licences to 2015Production licence: 30 years plus additional 10 years(subject to approval of extension)
8
Application (1) Holder License Area
Islamorada Licence BPC / Statoil777,900 acres
3,148 km2
Zapata Licence BPC / Statoil
776,200 acres
3,141 km2
Falcones Licence BPC / Statoil774,600 acres
3,135 km2
Application (2) Holder License Area
Santaren Licence BPC760,100 acres
3,076 km2
Andros Licence BPC 774,500 acres3,134 km
2
August 2010 Bahamian Government suspended theconsideration process for all oil exploration anddrilling applications pending new environmentalprotocols
Ri k Miti ti P i D Ri ki
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Risk Mitigation Progressive De-Risking
25 KmTenneco 1986
BPC 2007
BPC 2011
BPC 2012
Forward Work Programme/Obligations
Fast Track PSDM: Improve interpretation of Jurassicinterval, seismic facies/lithology
Prioritise well locations Detailed well planning
Continue negotiations for partner(s) for SouthernLicences
Apply for additional licences
Participate in 2D over Statoil joint application areas
Retrieved original core and cutting samples
Completed modern analysis of olderseismic, well logs, gravity and magnetics toprovide structural geologic analysis,
reservoir simulations, geochemistry andpetroleum systems evaluation
Shot 2D seismic, gravity and magnetics inJune 2010 and January 2011
CPR released July 2011
CGGVeritas BroadseisTM 3D acquisitioncompleted September 2011. >3000 km;largest ever for GoM-Caribbean
Ri k Miti ti P t D fi iti
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Risk Mitigation Prospect Definition
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Time Structure Top Cretaceous showing Folds A,B, C & D
Figure SM-3: Top Cretaceous Fold B and C closure, Red polygon, 75km in length, area 524km2 (129,400 acres >22 OCS lease blocks )
Ri k Miti ti S d Mi ti
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Risk Mitigation Source and Migration
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Seafloor vent activehydrocarbon seepagecreates vent on seafloor
No or poor seismicdata
No valid traps
Wells on bank
Limited seal faciesshallow
No Jurassic sourcepenetration
Risk Mitigation Diverse Petroleum Systems and Play types
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Risk Mitigation Diverse Petroleum Systems and Play-types
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2. Upper CretaceousPlatforms, Buildups &
Talus
3. Lower Cretaceous &Jurassic EvaporiticPlatform Dolomites,
Buildups & Talus
1. Jurassic Paleo Highs,Clastics & Subsalt
4. Middle Late Jurassic Rift& Sag Basins, Evaporitic
Dolomites& Reactivated Faults
5. Foreland Folds &Imbricate Thrusts
Risk Mitigation Reservoir and Seal; Seismic Determined Facies
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Risk Mitigation Reservoir and Seal; Seismic Determined Facies
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Upper Cretaceous platform architecture
Retrogradational stacking of Albian 1 and 2 platformsKerans, 2011
Risk Mitigation Structures Scale and Potential Targets
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Risk Mitigation Structures, Scale and Potential Targets
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5 km
Near top Cretaceous
Top lower Cretaceous Albian
Intra lower Cretaceous Aptian
Intra lower Cretaceous Base Aptian
Jurassic
Cuban Border
Low HighUn-risked(MMBO)
CoS %
Section is horizontally compressed approximately 2:1
2011 2D Seismic with CPR Estimates Nassau270 km
3,000
Approx.Depth(feet)
9,000
18,000
Fold B5 km
Fold A Fold C
33 36328%
54 53828%
29
31535%
98 170235%
93 131523%
135 161126%
13
14611%
34 79813%
116 150332%
Section is horizontally compressed approximately 2:1
Risk Mitigation Third Party Verification: CPR July 2011
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Risk Mitigation Third Party Verification: CPR July 2011
HIGHLIGHTS:
Assessment of Cretaceous play system, post Aptian, only.
Over 1 billion bbls of risked recoverable resources. Average risk ~1:4 (25%)
Two independent reservoir intervals over the Bain, Cooper and Donaldson Licenses each havemean estimated un-risked recoverable resources in excess of 1.5 billion bbls; a third has inexcess of 1.0 billion bbls
Top Aptian horizon alone contains a risked recoverable resource in excess of 0.5 billion bbls
Potentially a single penetration could test a mean unrisked recoverable volume of in excess of 2billion bbls
Two structures have an un-risked recoverable resources in excess of 1 billion bbls of oil
Unrisked mean volumes sum to in excess of 4 billion barrels with working petroleum systemsat each stratigraphic level assessed
Shallower Tertiary strata and deeper Jurassic, pre and post-salt are still to be evaluated (post3D seismic evaluation) and could equal or exceed the aggregate Cretaceous potential
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Risk Mitigation Environment; EIA Spill Simulation
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Risk Mitigation
Environment; EIA, Spill Simulation
16
simulated release site
% of oil released making shoreline, remainder eitherevaporated or biodegraded
2,556 individual spills lasting 60 days tracked for 90 days; nointervention
BPC EIA for Southern blocks submitted to Government October 2011
Agreed deadline for received comments and issue for public consultation 23rdJanuary 2012
Joint Statoil/BPC EFS submitted to Government October 2011
Active dialogue with Government ahead of a public consultation process
Wide consultation process on best regulatory practice
LocationSurface
15 mbopdSeabed
10 mbopdSeabed
20 mbopd
Eastern US 0.05 0.03 0.02Southeast Florida 0.09 0.04 0.03
Florida Keys 0.04 0.02 0.01
Western Bahamas 0.07 0.14 0.29
Eastern Bahamas 0.16 0.12 0.11
Northern Cuba 46.44 34.98 27.26
Bahamian MPAs 0.00 0.00 0.00
Total 46.9 35.3 27.7
Commercial Context and Fiscal Terms
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Commercial Context and Fiscal Terms
Commercial
Politically stable; uninterrupted parliamentary democracy of over 275 years
English heritage/based legal system and structure
Significant structural cost benefits from proximity to extensive oil field services, contractors andequipment/infrastructure providers from US Gulf of Mexico
Freeport status; facilitated customs and excise import/re-export
17
Fiscal
Excellent fiscal terms structured around sliding scale production-based royalties (12.5 - 25%)
No income/corporation tax in Bahamas
No capital gains tax on any transaction
Initial 50% free cash flow to licence owner (based on 600 mmbbl development and currentprevailing oil price)
Modest holding cost based on cost/acre paid annually (deductible against royalty payment)
Capital Structure
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Capital Structure
Enterprise Value Current Substantial* Shareholdersas at 30th September 2011
Shareholder
Fidelity
TD Waterhouse
Halifax Share DealingBarclays Wealth
Hargreaves Lansdown Asset Management
Standard Life Investments
Majedie Asset Management
JM Finn & Co
Total Directors, Management& Founders 63,298,444 5.14%
Total
Top 25 Shareholders 740,388,933 60.17%
Total Shares in Issue 1,230,479,096
* Holding over 3% of shares in issue
* Share price and Market Cap as at 22 November 2011
** Based on figure disclosed in Interim Financial Statements to 30 June 2011
*** Estimate of 3D costs expended to date following disclosed cash balance as at 30 June 2011
18
GBP USDPrice* 0.0691 0.1085
52 Week High 0.2525 0.3966
52 Week Low 0.0680 0.1068
Market Cap (mm) 85.0 133.5
Cash and Cash Equivalents (mm)** 41.9 65.8
Less 3D Costs (mm)*** (16.6) (26.1)
Reconciled Cash and CashEquivalents 25.3 39.7
Enterprise Value (mm) 59.7 93.8
Existing register
80% UK, 15% Europe, 5% R0W
Retail 50 55%
Future
Bahamian Listing
BDR option
Funding - Sources and Uses
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Funding Sources and Uses
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Current sources US$m
Cash as at 1/1/11 6.1
Cash raised 1 70.1
TOTAL SOURCES 2 76.2
1in the 6 months to 30/6/2011. Net ofraising costs
2Additional sources expected from farm in
Sources Uses (Estimated - beginning 2011 to end 2012)
Operating expenditures US$m
2D seismic
3.4
3D seismic 34.4
Multibeam 0.6
Other Technical Projects 1.8
Technical staffing/Consulting 3 1.3
Licence Related Costs 1.3
2011 Non-recurring costs 1 3.3
Sub-Total 46.1
Corporate Costs 2011/12 10.5
TOTAL USES 2 56.6
1 Raising, Personnel and Legal costs2 Period 1/1/11 31/12/123 Including preparation for drilling
Note: BPC is debt free
Farm down to reduce exposure and providefunding
Opened data room June 2011
Targeted major companies with proven trackrecord and active independents
Significant interest maintained
Negotiations underway; expect to occur by 2Q2012
Resultant net cash balance end 2012assuming estimated uses ~US$20 millionbefore any new sources
Competitive Landscape
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Co pet t ve a dscape
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Anticipated well locations
News flow 2011/2012
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/
Bahamianise: new Board members (Bahamian, E&P), Bahamian listing
EIA submitted: public consultation, endorsement, revised legislative framework
New licenses: pending revised protocols
Existing applications, new seismic
Expand asset base, leveraging expertise
3D Database: fast track processing, interpretation and attributes
Seismic facies analysis, Petroleum system development Prospect definition and prioritisation
Bahamas election: result and timing; New mandate; Relationships
Farmdown: Verification, funding capacity, technical credentials; rig access
Drilling: Revised drilling mandate, Cuban activities Detailed well planning; location options, depth, timing and cost
Spill response plan, coordinated across the region
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Key Conclusions
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y
New 2D established the playfairway, basin architecture and scale. Indicates historicwells were not valid tests
Establishes billion barrel risked potential; Multi-billion barrel upside; Multiple
independent play systems
Individual well tests/prospects could prove multi-billion barrel potential acrossdifferent, independent horizons
3D data significantly reducing risk whilst facilitating prospect identification and wellplanning
Scale, volume upside and untested nature of the basin attractive to Majors and NOCs
Unparalleled commercial context; benign regime, political stability/legal integrity,advantaged cost structure
National election, revised regulatory framework and renewed mandate catalysts
BPC believes stock significantly undervalued
22
Technical and commercial combination provides almost unique access to valuegrowth potential in current international oil and gas markets