BPC November.december SCP 28-11 Final

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  • 8/2/2019 BPC November.december SCP 28-11 Final

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    REDUCING RISK:

    READY FOR THEDRILL BIT

    Investor Presentation

    November 2011(AIM: BPC)

    Email: [email protected]: www.bpcplc.com

    3D Seismic Acquisition 2011

    mailto:[email protected]://www.bpcplc.com/http://www.bpcplc.com/mailto:[email protected]
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    Important Notice DisclaimerThis presentation (Presentation) has been prepared by Bahamas Petroleum Company Plc. (the Company) solely for its use at informational meetings with its shareholders and is being delivered forinformation purposes only to a limited number of persons. This Presentation should not be considered as the giving of investment advice by the Company or any of its shareholders, officers or advisers.If you are in any doubt about the contents of this Presentation or the action you should take, you should consult an independent adviser authorised to render such advice.

    This Presentation has not been independently verified and is subject to material updating, revision and further amendments without notice. The Presentation does not purport to contain all informationthat a member of the Company may wish receive for purposes of assessment or valuation of his respective investment and is not intended to form the basis of any investment decision.

    While the information contained herein has been prepared in good faith, neither the Company nor its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees, or advisors give, has given or has authority togive, any representations or warranties (express or implied) as to the achievement or reasonableness of future projections, management targets, estimates, prospects or returns contained in this

    presentation, or in relation to, the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information in this Presentation, or any revision thereof, or of any other written or oral information made or to be madeavailable to any shareholder of the Company (all such information being referred to as Information).

    The Presentation is not an offer or invitation by the Company, its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees, or advisors to purchase, acquire or sell securities or assets, nor any form ofcommitment, legal obligation or recommendation by either the Company, its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees, or advisors.

    So far as permitted by law, neither the Company nor any of its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees or advisers (including the Agents) take any responsibility for, or will accept anyliability in respect of, the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Information or for any loss, howsoever arising from the use of this Presentation. In furnishing this Presentation, the Company doesnot undertake any obligation to provide any additional information or to update this Presentation or to correct any inaccuracies in, or omissions from, this Presentation which may become apparent.

    The Information is confidential information and the property of the Company. It is made available strictly for the purposes referred to above. The Information and any further confidential informationmade available to any recipient must be held in complete confidence and documents containing such information may not be reproduced directly or indirectly, used or disclosed without the priorwritten consent of the Company. By accepting delivery of this Presentation, the recipient agrees to return it at the request of the Company.

    This presentation contains certain statements which may constitute "forward-looking statements". All statements in this presentation, other than statements of historical facts, that address futureactivities and events of developments that the Company expects, are forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in these statements are based onreasonable assumptions, such statements are only predictions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties and changes in the underlying assumptions which could cause actual values, results,performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed, implied or projected in any forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those inforward-looking statements include market prices, continued availability of capital and financing, and general economic, market or business conditions. Investors are cautioned that any suchstatements are not guarantees of future performance and that actual results or developments may differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements.

    The Company will not undertake any obligation to release publicly any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events, circumstances or unanticipated events occurring after the date ofthis Presentation, except as required by law or by any appropriate regulatory authority. Nothing in this Presentation or in documents referred to in it should be considered as a profit forecast. Pastperformance of the Company or its shares cannot be relied on as a guide to future performance.

    This Presentation does not constitute, or form part of or contain any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any offer to subscribe for, underwrite or otherwise acquire, or dispose of, any securities in theCompany in any jurisdiction and is directed at, and is only for distribution to existing shareholders of the Company. Neither this Presentation nor any part of or copy of it may be taken or transmitted,

    directly or indirectly, into the United States of America or Canada or distributed or re-distributed directly or indirectly, in the United States of America, its territories or possessions, or Canada, or toany resident thereof except in compliance with applicable securities laws. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of applicable U.S. or Canadian securities laws. ThisPresentation and the information contained herein do not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States. By accepting this Presentation, the recipient represents and warrants that it is aperson to whom this Presentation may be delivered or distributed without a violation of the laws of any relevant jurisdiction. This Presentation is not to be disclosed to any other person or used for anyother purpose and any other person who receives this Presentation should not rely or act upon it.

    The delivery or distribution of this Presentation in or to persons in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this Presentation comes should inform themselvesabout, and observe, any such restrictions. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of the laws of the relevant jurisdiction.

    By attending the meeting where this Presentation is made, or by reading the Presentation slides, you agree to be bound by these provisions.

    2

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    1. Investment Highlights

    2. Strategy

    3. Leadership Team

    4. Asset Base

    5. Key Risks Addressed

    6. Valuation

    7. Capital Structure

    8. Competitive Landscape

    9. Summary

    3

    BAHAMAS PETROLEUM COMPANY Plc.

    North Sea Comparison

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    Investment Highlights

    Unique portfolio of licences; play-type range, untested scale, commercial terms thus upside

    Extension of proven Cuba fold belt/thrust sheet plays. Greater Gulf of Mexico analogues

    Experienced leadership team with strong track record of value creation

    Executive team with focus on commercialisation of new hydrocarbon provinces

    Progressive and significant de-risking of the asset base over last 4 years

    Successful 2D and 3D acquisition confirms large structures; 3D to specify drillable locations

    Additional licence applications submitted Third-party verification of scale and quality of asset base Ryder Scott CPR, Statoil farm-in

    Immediate next stage well work programme (2012/3) to crystalise value

    Scale, risk, reward and location attractive to Majors, NOCs and large state enterprises

    Aggressively pursuing farm out plans and working closely with Bahamas Government ahead ofdrilling

    Fully funded into the next stage of de-risking

    Momentum stock

    4

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    Strategy - Regional Context

    5

    Region has discovered nearly 100Billion bbl oil and 500 tcf gas

    Pervasive, prolific Jurassic source rock

    Nearly 4mm acres under license

    equivalent to 672 OCS lease blocks

    Individual mapped closures exceed130,000 acres equivalent to 22 OCS leaseblocks

    Repsol to spud Cuba well 1Q 2012

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    Strategy Goals and Targets

    Maximise value growth from oil/gas potential in Bahamian licences

    Technical: Maximise resource/reserves declaration, exploit carbonate expertise regionally

    Costs: Leverage equity position to minimise future demands on shareholders

    Commercial: Maintain maximum access to upside while retaining adequate control of licences

    Ensure wealth and opportunity creation for Bahamian people and nation

    GOALS

    Describe and demonstrate upside

    High-grade resource potential post 3D

    Continue to de-risk inventory internally

    Prove play-types commence inventory drill-out

    Funding/farmdown strategy to leverage activity

    Negotiated JOA to retain influence

    Realise value upside through equity participation

    Examine new licence potential

    6

    TARGETS Timing

    Opened data room 2Q11

    Completed 3D acquisition 3Q11

    Initial 3D interpretation 4Q11

    Commence preparations for drilling 1Q12

    Complete Farm-in discussions 2Q12

    Comply with regulations 2Q12

    Access Rig 4Q12

    Drilling (before April 2013) 2013

    STRATEGY

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    Leadership Team

    7

    In-countryleadership

    Executive

    Management

    Non-ExecutiveBoard

    President

    Material international business experience

    Significant directorships, financial and oil & gas executiveexperience

    Financial, technical stewardship

    Founder of BPC, 39 year career in the oil business

    Founder of Hardman Resources, sold to Tullow Oil - A$1.4bn

    Active in 28 new field discoveries Uganda, French Guiana, Mauritania

    30 years resources exploration, development and production, in Europe, Russia, America,Africa and Australasia

    BP 20 years. CEO:- Hardman Resources, Arrow Energy International, Dart Energy.Management of dual listed entities - AIM top 10, ASX 100 and 200. Value growth track record

    Commercialisation of new hydrocarbon provinces. Significant raising and A&D experience

    37 years directing exploration and production projects throughout the United States andCanada. Ph.D. Geology

    Marathon Oil Company: Manager of US exploration.

    Chief Geologist: BP America

    Audit as at 30/9/2011; refreshed governance processes

    Invite Bahamian and E&P experienced candidates onto the Board

    Examine Bahamian listing options

    AdrianCollins

    DursleyStott

    EddieShallcross

    SteveWeyel

    AlanBurns

    SimonPotter

    PaulGucwa

    d

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    Asset Base, Activities and Status

    Exploration licence: 12 years in total; four 3-year periods 1st Renewal (years 4 6) @ 100% of acreage well

    commitment (spud before end of year 4 - April 2013)

    Company advised Ministry of the Environment ( Feb.2011) commitments fulfilled and intention to extent

    licences to 2015Production licence: 30 years plus additional 10 years(subject to approval of extension)

    8

    Application (1) Holder License Area

    Islamorada Licence BPC / Statoil777,900 acres

    3,148 km2

    Zapata Licence BPC / Statoil

    776,200 acres

    3,141 km2

    Falcones Licence BPC / Statoil774,600 acres

    3,135 km2

    Application (2) Holder License Area

    Santaren Licence BPC760,100 acres

    3,076 km2

    Andros Licence BPC 774,500 acres3,134 km

    2

    August 2010 Bahamian Government suspended theconsideration process for all oil exploration anddrilling applications pending new environmentalprotocols

    Ri k Miti ti P i D Ri ki

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    9

    Risk Mitigation Progressive De-Risking

    25 KmTenneco 1986

    BPC 2007

    BPC 2011

    BPC 2012

    Forward Work Programme/Obligations

    Fast Track PSDM: Improve interpretation of Jurassicinterval, seismic facies/lithology

    Prioritise well locations Detailed well planning

    Continue negotiations for partner(s) for SouthernLicences

    Apply for additional licences

    Participate in 2D over Statoil joint application areas

    Retrieved original core and cutting samples

    Completed modern analysis of olderseismic, well logs, gravity and magnetics toprovide structural geologic analysis,

    reservoir simulations, geochemistry andpetroleum systems evaluation

    Shot 2D seismic, gravity and magnetics inJune 2010 and January 2011

    CPR released July 2011

    CGGVeritas BroadseisTM 3D acquisitioncompleted September 2011. >3000 km;largest ever for GoM-Caribbean

    Ri k Miti ti P t D fi iti

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    Risk Mitigation Prospect Definition

    10

    Time Structure Top Cretaceous showing Folds A,B, C & D

    Figure SM-3: Top Cretaceous Fold B and C closure, Red polygon, 75km in length, area 524km2 (129,400 acres >22 OCS lease blocks )

    Ri k Miti ti S d Mi ti

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    Risk Mitigation Source and Migration

    11

    Seafloor vent activehydrocarbon seepagecreates vent on seafloor

    No or poor seismicdata

    No valid traps

    Wells on bank

    Limited seal faciesshallow

    No Jurassic sourcepenetration

    Risk Mitigation Diverse Petroleum Systems and Play types

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    Risk Mitigation Diverse Petroleum Systems and Play-types

    12

    2. Upper CretaceousPlatforms, Buildups &

    Talus

    3. Lower Cretaceous &Jurassic EvaporiticPlatform Dolomites,

    Buildups & Talus

    1. Jurassic Paleo Highs,Clastics & Subsalt

    4. Middle Late Jurassic Rift& Sag Basins, Evaporitic

    Dolomites& Reactivated Faults

    5. Foreland Folds &Imbricate Thrusts

    Risk Mitigation Reservoir and Seal; Seismic Determined Facies

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    Risk Mitigation Reservoir and Seal; Seismic Determined Facies

    13

    Upper Cretaceous platform architecture

    Retrogradational stacking of Albian 1 and 2 platformsKerans, 2011

    Risk Mitigation Structures Scale and Potential Targets

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    Risk Mitigation Structures, Scale and Potential Targets

    14

    5 km

    Near top Cretaceous

    Top lower Cretaceous Albian

    Intra lower Cretaceous Aptian

    Intra lower Cretaceous Base Aptian

    Jurassic

    Cuban Border

    Low HighUn-risked(MMBO)

    CoS %

    Section is horizontally compressed approximately 2:1

    2011 2D Seismic with CPR Estimates Nassau270 km

    3,000

    Approx.Depth(feet)

    9,000

    18,000

    Fold B5 km

    Fold A Fold C

    33 36328%

    54 53828%

    29

    31535%

    98 170235%

    93 131523%

    135 161126%

    13

    14611%

    34 79813%

    116 150332%

    Section is horizontally compressed approximately 2:1

    Risk Mitigation Third Party Verification: CPR July 2011

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    Risk Mitigation Third Party Verification: CPR July 2011

    HIGHLIGHTS:

    Assessment of Cretaceous play system, post Aptian, only.

    Over 1 billion bbls of risked recoverable resources. Average risk ~1:4 (25%)

    Two independent reservoir intervals over the Bain, Cooper and Donaldson Licenses each havemean estimated un-risked recoverable resources in excess of 1.5 billion bbls; a third has inexcess of 1.0 billion bbls

    Top Aptian horizon alone contains a risked recoverable resource in excess of 0.5 billion bbls

    Potentially a single penetration could test a mean unrisked recoverable volume of in excess of 2billion bbls

    Two structures have an un-risked recoverable resources in excess of 1 billion bbls of oil

    Unrisked mean volumes sum to in excess of 4 billion barrels with working petroleum systemsat each stratigraphic level assessed

    Shallower Tertiary strata and deeper Jurassic, pre and post-salt are still to be evaluated (post3D seismic evaluation) and could equal or exceed the aggregate Cretaceous potential

    15

    Risk Mitigation Environment; EIA Spill Simulation

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    Risk Mitigation

    Environment; EIA, Spill Simulation

    16

    simulated release site

    % of oil released making shoreline, remainder eitherevaporated or biodegraded

    2,556 individual spills lasting 60 days tracked for 90 days; nointervention

    BPC EIA for Southern blocks submitted to Government October 2011

    Agreed deadline for received comments and issue for public consultation 23rdJanuary 2012

    Joint Statoil/BPC EFS submitted to Government October 2011

    Active dialogue with Government ahead of a public consultation process

    Wide consultation process on best regulatory practice

    LocationSurface

    15 mbopdSeabed

    10 mbopdSeabed

    20 mbopd

    Eastern US 0.05 0.03 0.02Southeast Florida 0.09 0.04 0.03

    Florida Keys 0.04 0.02 0.01

    Western Bahamas 0.07 0.14 0.29

    Eastern Bahamas 0.16 0.12 0.11

    Northern Cuba 46.44 34.98 27.26

    Bahamian MPAs 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Total 46.9 35.3 27.7

    Commercial Context and Fiscal Terms

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    Commercial Context and Fiscal Terms

    Commercial

    Politically stable; uninterrupted parliamentary democracy of over 275 years

    English heritage/based legal system and structure

    Significant structural cost benefits from proximity to extensive oil field services, contractors andequipment/infrastructure providers from US Gulf of Mexico

    Freeport status; facilitated customs and excise import/re-export

    17

    Fiscal

    Excellent fiscal terms structured around sliding scale production-based royalties (12.5 - 25%)

    No income/corporation tax in Bahamas

    No capital gains tax on any transaction

    Initial 50% free cash flow to licence owner (based on 600 mmbbl development and currentprevailing oil price)

    Modest holding cost based on cost/acre paid annually (deductible against royalty payment)

    Capital Structure

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    Capital Structure

    Enterprise Value Current Substantial* Shareholdersas at 30th September 2011

    Shareholder

    Fidelity

    TD Waterhouse

    Halifax Share DealingBarclays Wealth

    Hargreaves Lansdown Asset Management

    Standard Life Investments

    Majedie Asset Management

    JM Finn & Co

    Total Directors, Management& Founders 63,298,444 5.14%

    Total

    Top 25 Shareholders 740,388,933 60.17%

    Total Shares in Issue 1,230,479,096

    * Holding over 3% of shares in issue

    * Share price and Market Cap as at 22 November 2011

    ** Based on figure disclosed in Interim Financial Statements to 30 June 2011

    *** Estimate of 3D costs expended to date following disclosed cash balance as at 30 June 2011

    18

    GBP USDPrice* 0.0691 0.1085

    52 Week High 0.2525 0.3966

    52 Week Low 0.0680 0.1068

    Market Cap (mm) 85.0 133.5

    Cash and Cash Equivalents (mm)** 41.9 65.8

    Less 3D Costs (mm)*** (16.6) (26.1)

    Reconciled Cash and CashEquivalents 25.3 39.7

    Enterprise Value (mm) 59.7 93.8

    Existing register

    80% UK, 15% Europe, 5% R0W

    Retail 50 55%

    Future

    Bahamian Listing

    BDR option

    Funding - Sources and Uses

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    Funding Sources and Uses

    19

    Current sources US$m

    Cash as at 1/1/11 6.1

    Cash raised 1 70.1

    TOTAL SOURCES 2 76.2

    1in the 6 months to 30/6/2011. Net ofraising costs

    2Additional sources expected from farm in

    Sources Uses (Estimated - beginning 2011 to end 2012)

    Operating expenditures US$m

    2D seismic

    3.4

    3D seismic 34.4

    Multibeam 0.6

    Other Technical Projects 1.8

    Technical staffing/Consulting 3 1.3

    Licence Related Costs 1.3

    2011 Non-recurring costs 1 3.3

    Sub-Total 46.1

    Corporate Costs 2011/12 10.5

    TOTAL USES 2 56.6

    1 Raising, Personnel and Legal costs2 Period 1/1/11 31/12/123 Including preparation for drilling

    Note: BPC is debt free

    Farm down to reduce exposure and providefunding

    Opened data room June 2011

    Targeted major companies with proven trackrecord and active independents

    Significant interest maintained

    Negotiations underway; expect to occur by 2Q2012

    Resultant net cash balance end 2012assuming estimated uses ~US$20 millionbefore any new sources

    Competitive Landscape

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    Co pet t ve a dscape

    20

    Anticipated well locations

    News flow 2011/2012

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    /

    Bahamianise: new Board members (Bahamian, E&P), Bahamian listing

    EIA submitted: public consultation, endorsement, revised legislative framework

    New licenses: pending revised protocols

    Existing applications, new seismic

    Expand asset base, leveraging expertise

    3D Database: fast track processing, interpretation and attributes

    Seismic facies analysis, Petroleum system development Prospect definition and prioritisation

    Bahamas election: result and timing; New mandate; Relationships

    Farmdown: Verification, funding capacity, technical credentials; rig access

    Drilling: Revised drilling mandate, Cuban activities Detailed well planning; location options, depth, timing and cost

    Spill response plan, coordinated across the region

    21

    Key Conclusions

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    y

    New 2D established the playfairway, basin architecture and scale. Indicates historicwells were not valid tests

    Establishes billion barrel risked potential; Multi-billion barrel upside; Multiple

    independent play systems

    Individual well tests/prospects could prove multi-billion barrel potential acrossdifferent, independent horizons

    3D data significantly reducing risk whilst facilitating prospect identification and wellplanning

    Scale, volume upside and untested nature of the basin attractive to Majors and NOCs

    Unparalleled commercial context; benign regime, political stability/legal integrity,advantaged cost structure

    National election, revised regulatory framework and renewed mandate catalysts

    BPC believes stock significantly undervalued

    22

    Technical and commercial combination provides almost unique access to valuegrowth potential in current international oil and gas markets