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Research & Information Bournemouth Local Plan Authority Monitoring Report 2015/16 Research & Information Bournemouth Borough Council May 2017

Bournemouth Local Plan Authority Monitoring Report 2015/16 · Bournemouth falls within the Bournemouth and Poole HMA which comprises the local authorities of Bournemouth, Christchurch,

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Page 1: Bournemouth Local Plan Authority Monitoring Report 2015/16 · Bournemouth falls within the Bournemouth and Poole HMA which comprises the local authorities of Bournemouth, Christchurch,

Research & Information

Bournemouth Local Plan

Authority Monitoring Report 2015/16

Research & Information

Bournemouth Borough Council

May 2017

Page 2: Bournemouth Local Plan Authority Monitoring Report 2015/16 · Bournemouth falls within the Bournemouth and Poole HMA which comprises the local authorities of Bournemouth, Christchurch,
Page 3: Bournemouth Local Plan Authority Monitoring Report 2015/16 · Bournemouth falls within the Bournemouth and Poole HMA which comprises the local authorities of Bournemouth, Christchurch,

Bournemouth Local Plan

Authority Monitoring Report 2015/16

Research & Information

Bournemouth Borough Council

May 2017

01202 454684

[email protected]

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Contents

Glossary 1

1 Introduction 9

2 Core and Contextual Indicators 13

3 Economy 25

4 Natural and Built Environment 47

5 Housing 53

6 Transport 89

7 Local Development Scheme Milestones 93

Appendix 1 Schedule of Contextual Indicators 99

Appendix 2 Schedule of Core Indicators 109

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Glossary

Glossary of Terms

Annual Business Inquiry (ABI)

The Annual Business Inquiry (ABI) is conducted in two parts: one dealing with employment, the other with financial information. The financial inquiry covers about two thirds of the UK economy including: production; construction; distribution and service industries; agriculture (part), hunting, forestry and fishing. The coverage of the employment inquiry is wider.

Annual Population Survey

A quarterly residence based labour market survey encompassing population, economic activity (employment and unemployment), economic inactivity and qualifications.

Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (ASHE)

The Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (ASHE) provides information about the levels, distribution and make-up of earnings and hours paid for employees within industries, occupations and regions.

Area Action Plan (AAP)

A detailed plan for a particular area lying within the local authority boundary, usually where there is major new development, or substantial regeneration or conservation issues.

Authority Monitoring Report (AMR)

A report assessing the progress and effectiveness of the documents which together form the new Bournemouth Local Plan including monitoring the progress of each document with respect to the timetable specified for each document in the Local Development Scheme.

Biodiversity Action Plan (BAP)

A plan, programme or strategy for the conservation and sustainable use of biological diversity.

Brownfield land Land which has previously been developed. Also known as previously developed land or PDL.

Business Demography

Taken from an extract of the Inter-Departmental Business Register (IDBR) this shows the number of births and deaths of firms as well as the number of active enterprises.

Business Register and Employment Survey (BRES)

An employer survey of the number of jobs held by employees that includes the detailed industry (5 digit SIC2007). The survey records a job at the location of an employee’s workplace. The data is restricted and requires a license to access.

Census of Population

The census has been undertaken every 10 years since 1801 and provides detailed statistics from national down to small geographies in the local area.

Communities and Local Government (CLG)

The government department responsible for planning, regeneration and housing.

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Conservation Area

Section 69 of the 1990 Planning (Listed Buildings and Conservation Areas) Act empowers local planning authorities to designate Conservation Areas, being areas of special architectural or historic interest, the character or appearance of which it is desirable to preserve or enhance. A local planning authority has also to keep these areas under review and prepare schemes of enhancement.

Contextual indicators

A series of indicators originally recommended for collection by the South West Assembly.

Core Strategy A Development Plan Document setting out the vision, spatial strategy and core policies for the development of Bournemouth.

Development Plan Document (DPD)

Local policy documents which together form the new Local Plan for the area and form the basis on which planning decisions are made.

General National Vocational Qualification (GNVQ)

GNVQs aim individuals to develop knowledge, skills and understanding in broad vocational areas. These areas include skills in communication, application of numbers, and information technology. They have been designed to improve employability skills.

Greenfield land Land on which no urban development has previously taken place, usually understood to be on the periphery of the existing built-up area. Please see the housing chapter for a fuller explanation.

Gross Value Added (GVA)

GVA measures the contribution to the economy of each individual producer, industry or sector in the United Kingdom.

Highway network The local road network comprising County Primary, County Distributor, District Distributor and Local Distributor roads.

Historic park and garden

These are planned landscapes which have been designated by English Heritage in the same manner as Listed Buildings.

House in Multiple Occupation (HMO)

A HMO is a house shared by a number of unrelated people (like a shared student house).

Housing Health and Safety Rating System (HHSRS)

The HHSRS is the risk assessment procedure for residential properties. It replaced the Housing Fitness Regime on the 6 April 2006 in England, and in Wales later that year. HHSRS also replaces the Fitness Standard as an element of the Decent Homes Standard as an element of the Decent Homes Standard.

Housing Market Area (HMA)

Geography used for strategic housing market assessments. Bournemouth falls within the Bournemouth and Poole HMA which comprises the local authorities of Bournemouth, Christchurch, East Dorset, North Dorset, Poole and Purbeck.

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Housing Strategy Statistical Appendix (HSSA)

The purpose of this appendix is to bring together statistical information relevant to the formulation of a local authority Housing Strategy. The presentation of these data will enable local authorities, partners and other interested parties to gain a quick overview of the position and will inform development of the Regional Housing Strategy. It brings together data items from many different housing areas in a concise and handy reference document. This was superseded by the simplified Local Authority Housing Statistics (LAHS) return in 2012.

Housing trajectory A housing trajectory supports the ‘plan, monitor, manage’ approach to housing delivery.

Income Support A benefit for those on a low income or none at all, who are working less than 16 hours a week and haven’t signed on as unemployed.

Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD)

The Index of Multiple Deprivation 2015 is a measure of multiple deprivation at the small area level.

Inter-Departmental Business Register (IDBR)

The IDBR is based on inputs from three administrative sources: traders registered for Value Added Tax (VAT) purposes with HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC), employers operating a Pay As You Earn (PAYE) scheme - registered with HMRC and incorporated businesses registered at Companies House.

Listed building Buildings included in the statutory list of Buildings of Special Architectural or Historic Interest. Historic buildings are listed by English Heritage and are classified into three grades - I, II* and II depending on their importance.

Local Authority Housing Statistics Return (LAHS)

This is a return collected from 2012/13 onwards by central government which contains information on local authority housing stock including waiting lists, lets, vacant dwellings, dwelling condition, rent collected, and affordable units / contributions. This was designed to replace three main returns to avoid duplication of effort, including the HSSA return (see above)

Local Development Scheme (LDS)

The Local Development Scheme sets out the time tabled programme for preparing planning policy documents over a rolling three year period.

Local Nature Reserve (LNR)

A title conferred by the local authority under section 21 of the National Parks and Access to the Countryside Act 1949 on a site needing special protection because of its value for wildlife and for people to see, learn about and enjoy wildlife.

Local Transport Plan (LTP)

LTPs set out the authority's local transport strategies and policies, and an implementation programme.

National Core Output Indicator (NCOI)

Under the LDF monitoring guidance a set of core indicators were included which local authorities are required to address in their Annual Monitoring Report (AMR). To allow meaningful analysis these indicators have to be collected within a consistent time framework using a clearly identified set of definitions.

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National Nature Reserve (NNR)

A site of special scientific interest or national importance for nature conservation, which is managed by or on behalf of English Nature, in the interests of wildlife, research and public appreciation (where appropriate).

National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF)

Published in March 2012 the NPPF sets out the Governments planning policies for England and how these are expected to be applied. The NPPF superseded the Planning Policy Guidance and Planning Policy Statement documents that had contained previous Government advice.

NOMIS NOMIS official labour market statistics www.nomisweb.co.uk . Part of the Office for National Statistics (ONS) suite of websites providing primarily labour market statistics.

Office of National Statistics (ONS)

ONS is the government department responsible for collecting and publishing official statistics about the UK's society and economy.

Pension Credit Pension Credit is an income related benefit made up of 2 parts - Guarantee Credit and Savings Credit. Statistics provide an indication of pensioners on a low income.

Previously Developed Land (PDL)

Alternatively known as brownfield land, this is land which has some form of built land use.

Prime transport corridor

A Prime Transport Corridor is where priority will be given to moving people and goods rather than vehicles and where development will be focused.

Proposals Map A map illustrating all the policies and proposals in the Development Plan Documents.

Private Registered Provider (PRP)

This is the current accepted umbrella term for Registered Social Landlords (RSL) or Housing Associations (HA) who provide affordable / social rent housing.

Sites of Nature Conservation Importance (SNCI)

A site defined by the Dorset Wildlife Trust as being of County importance for nature conservation.

Sites of Special Scientific Interest (SSSI)

A site notified by Natural England under Section 28 of the Wildlife and Countryside Act 1981 on account of its flora, fauna, geological or physiographical features. All NNRs, Ramsar sites, SACs and SPAs have also been notified as SSSIs.

Statement of Community Involvement (SCI)

Document setting out how the authority intends to achieve continuous community involvement in the preparation of the Local Development Framework.

Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA)

An assessment of the environmental impacts of the policies and proposals contained within the Local Development Framework. Required under the European Directive 2001/42/EC.

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Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment (SHLAA)

A SHLAA is a thorough and robust strategic housing land availability (and other sources) assessment of a local authority area in order to inform the preparation of the local planning authorities’ LDF Core Strategies. The study is carried out in accordance with advice contained in ‘Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessments: Practice Guidance’, DCLG, July 2007.

Super Output Area (SOA)

Super Output Areas (SOAs) are a geographic hierarchy designed to improve the reporting of small area statistics in England and Wales. Their first statistical application was for the Indices of Deprivation 2004, giving them instant publicity and usage across the local government sector. The SOAs were revised in some areas for the 2011 Census.

Supplementary Planning Document (SPD)

Non-statutory documents intended to expand upon the policies and proposals in Development Plan Documents. Not subject to independent examination.

Survey of English Housing (SEH)

The SEH is a continuous household survey that collects information from nearly 20,000 households about the characteristics of their housing and their attitudes to housing and related issues.

Sustainability Appraisal (SA)

An assessment of the social, economic, and environmental impacts of the policies and proposals contained within the Local Development Framework.

Travel plans A Travel Plan is a package of measures and initiatives that aim to reduce the number of car journeys made, by providing people with greater choice.

Use Classes Order (UCO)

The Use Classes Order groups together in specified classes various uses of buildings or land. The Planning Acts then provides that a change of use of a building or other land will not require planning permission if the new use and the former use are both within the same class.

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Use classes: A1

A2

B1

B2

B8

C2

C3

C4

D2

Shops, retail warehouses, hairdressers, undertakers, travel and ticket agencies, post offices, dry cleaners, internet cafes, etc: Pet shops and sandwich bars; and Showrooms, domestic hire shops, funeral directors

Banks, building societies, estate and employment agencies; and Professional and financial services, betting offices

Business class which must be able capable of being undertaken “in any residential area without detriment to the amenity of that area by reason of noise, vibration, smell, fumes, smoke, soot, ash, dust or grit”.

Within B1 there are divisions: B1(a) : Offices, not within A2 B1(b) : Research and development, studios, laboratories, high

tech B1(c) : Light industry

General industry

Wholesale warehouse, distribution centre, repositories

Residential schools and colleges; Hospitals and convalescent / nursing homes

Use as a dwelling house (whether or not as a sole or main residence) by:

C3(a): those living together as a single household as defined by the Housing Act 2004 (basically a ‘family’)

C3(b): those living together as a single household and receiving care, and

C3(c): those living together as a single household who do not fall within the C4 definition of a house in multiple occupation (HMO)

Houses in multiple occupation – use of a dwelling house by not more than six residents.

Cinemas, music and concert halls

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Wards

BE BW CE EC ES KN KS LI

MO QP RN SP TB TM

WW WS WC WE

There are 18 wards in Bournemouth. For convenience, they are sometimes referred to by a shortened code:

Boscombe East Boscombe West Central East Cliff and Springbourne East Southbourne and Tuckton Kinson North Kinson South Littledown and Iford Moordown Queen’s Park Redhill and Northbourne Strouden Park Talbot and Branksome Woods Throop and Muscliff Wallisdown and Winton West West Southbourne Westbourne and West Cliff Winton East

Working tax credit Those who work but are on a low income may qualify for working tax credit. Statistics on this provide an indication of the number of working age residents on a low income.

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1 Introduction

1.1 This is the eleventh monitoring report relating to the Bournemouth Local Plan. Like the previous reports, it draws together, into a single report, the results of monitoring which has been undertaken for many years, and previously published separately, and new assessments introduced as a result of the need to comprehensively monitor the framework. The data used in this report relates to the year ending 31 March 2016 although, where appropriate, longer periods are reported.

1.2 The need to monitor the Local Plan through the publication of an Annual Monitoring Report is a requirement of the Planning and Compulsory Purchase Act 2004 section 35. Section 113 of the Localism Act 2011 amends section 35 in respect of the requirements to prepare this Monitoring Report. The report must be prepared at least annually and contain information on the implementation of the local development scheme (LDS) and the extent to which the policies set out in local development documents (LDDs) are being achieved. Additionally it must set out residential completions; details of any neighbourhood development plans or orders; information in relation to the Community Infrastructure Levy and details on what action has been taken in respect of the duty to co-operate on strategic matters with bodies as specified in the Localism Act section 33A.

The Development Plan

1.3 As a unitary authority, Bournemouth Borough Council, as the local planning authority, is responsible for the full range of planning and land-use related functions. In addition, it is the highway authority for its area. The planning authority is responsible for the preparation and implementation of the development plan. As at March 2016 the development plan for Bournemouth comprised:

Bournemouth District Wide Local Plan (saved policies);

Bournemouth Local Plan Core Strategy 2012;

Bournemouth Local Plan Town Centre Area Action Plan 2013;

Bournemouth Affordable Housing Development Plan Document 2009;

Dorset Waste Local Plan; and

Dorset Minerals and Waste Local Plan (minerals policies only).

1.4 Eventually, the District Wide Local Plan saved policies will be replaced by new planning documents prepared under more recent planning legislation. The changes are discussed below.

Bournemouth District Wide Local Plan

1.5 The Bournemouth District Wide Local Plan (BDWLP) covers the whole of the administrative area of the Borough. The policies contained in the BDWLP form the basis for development control decisions throughout the Borough. The Planning and Compulsory Purchase Act 2004 allowed policies in existing Local Plans to retain their development plan status for three years following the introduction of the Local Development Framework System. Policies could also be ‘saved’ beyond this initial

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three year period with the agreement of the Secretary of State and a formally agreed schedule was published.

1.6 As documents making up the new Bournemouth Local Plan are adopted policies in the existing BDWLP will be superseded or be found to be no longer required or needed. The current status of saved policies can be seen on the council’s website under http://www.bournemouth.gov.uk/savedpolicies.

Dorset Minerals and Waste Local Plan and Waste Local Plan

1.7 The Dorset Minerals and Waste Local Plan was adopted by the three councils, Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole, in April 1999. Aside from five saved minerals policies this plan was superseded by the Minerals Strategy adopted May 2014 and the Waste Local Plan adopted in June 2006. These local plans are monitored separately by Dorset County Council on behalf of the other local authorities.

Monitoring the Local Plan

1.8 Monitoring of the Local Plan is undertaken primarily by the Corporate Research and Information team. The primary source of data for monitoring is the planning applications database (DLGS-DataWright). Fields from this database populate fields in a further ‘Land and Policy Monitoring’ database developed in-house. This database is used to generate national, regional and local returns and to monitor the effectiveness of planning policies.

1.9 The datasets are compiled primarily by the Research and Information team. There has been a long history of monitoring housing completions and employment land development in Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole. Documents relating to house completions and employment land development have been published annually since the late 1980’s, originally by Dorset County Council, but, since 1997, collaboratively by the County Council and Bournemouth and Poole unitary authorities.

1.10 The majority of data for the core datasets has been derived from the in-house database, supplemented by data from other local sources, including the Environment Agency and the Renewable Energy Strategy.

Duty to Co-operate

1.11 Section 34 of the Local Planning Regulations 2012 introduced the requirement for the AMR to give details of what actions have been taken by the Council on the Duty to Co-operate on strategic planning matters.

1.12 During March 2012 a public examination was held into the Core Strategy. Prior to the examination the Inspector requested information and tested how the plan preparation had satisfied this new requirement. The Council produced a paper setting out how it carried out the Duty to Co-operate; this explained how bodies had been engaged on an ongoing and constructive basis, detailing the outcomes from this co-operation. The Inspector found that the plan had been prepared in accordance with the requirement to co-operate.

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1.13 On 19th January 2016 the council adopted the Dorset Healthlands Planning Framework SPD 2015-20. This followed public consultation on the document during 2015. The document was produced by a partnership of local authorities across SE Dorset, working with Natural England (a ‘prescribed body’).

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2 Core and Contextual Indicators

Overall context

2.1 Bournemouth Borough Council is a unitary authority within the Dorset sub-region of the South West region. It forms, with neighbouring Poole and Christchurch, the Bournemouth-Poole conurbation, which is the second largest urban area in the region, with a total population of over 394,000 people1. The majority of the borough is developed, with the highest number of people per hectare within the South West, while the remainder is statutory green belt. The borough is bordered by Poole, East Dorset and Christchurch to the west, north and east respectively, the sea to the south and the River Stour to the north, which forms the borough boundary. The borough has strong links with the neighbouring South East region with connections via the trunk road network to the M27 and M3 motorways, and the national rail network to London. Links to the rest of the South West are poor, particularly to Bristol, although proposals at the strategic level are seeking to improve routes to the rest of the region.

2.2 A series of basic statistics about the borough with comparisons with the South West region and England are contained in Table 2.1 below. A list of contextual indicators and their values are contained in Appendix 1. The Core Output Indicators are reported in the appropriate sections of the report and are contained in Appendix 2. More detailed information on the basic statistics and indicators can be found in the context sections.

2.3 Each LPA is required to report on five and fifteen year supply of land for future residential development either within the AMR or as a separate report. Details of the five year supply can be found in the housing section of this AMR.

1 Mid-2015 Population Estimate, ONS

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Table 2.1 Basic Statistics about Bournemouth

Bournemouth Town Centre2

Bournemouth South West

England and Wales

Land area (ha) 235 4,617 2,382,897 15,118,890 Population (2011 Census)

10,519 183,491 5,288,935 56,075,912

Population 2015 (Mid-Year Estimate)

- 194,500 5,471,200 57,885,400

Average Household Size (2011 Census)

1.7 2.2 2.3 2.4

Population Density (population for each hectare) (2011 Census)

44.5 39.7 2.2 3.7

Ethnicity – White British – largest ethnic group (2011 Census)

64.4% 83.8 91.8 80.5

Average House Prices January - March 2016 (HM Land Registry)

- £232,713 £257,206 £249,034

Proportion of households with no car (%) (2011 Census)

52.3 25.9 18.9 25.6

Median earnings, full-time, weekly pay, 2016 (provisional) (Residence Based), (ASHE, ONS)

- £510.9 £513.2 £541.8

Local Nature Reserves (LNR) (Natural England)

n/a 10 sites 187 sites 1,351 sites

Sites of Nature Conservation Interest (SNCI)

n/a 14 sites, totalling 135 hectares

n/a n/a

Sites of Special Scientific Interest (SSSI) (Natural England)

n/a 4 sites totalling 185 hectares

n/a n/a

Heathland Sites, designated as Special Area of Conservations (SAC), Special Protection Areas (SPA) or Ramsar Sites (Natural England)

n/a 3 sites, totalling 69.5 hectares3

n/a n/a

Number of listed buildings4 (Historic England)

70 234 90,149 378,216 (England)

2 Population estimates are derived from the closest geographical overlap of the Town Centre Area as defined in

the Town Centre Area Action Plan (AAP) to Output Areas from the 2011 Census. 3 In previous reports, the overlapping areas with different designations were double counted. The figure in the

table above represents the true area of the three designations listed in combination. 4 Includes the heritage categories of listed buildings and parks and gardens

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Bournemouth Town Centre2

Bournemouth South West

England and Wales

Number of Conservation Areas (Heritage England)

n/a 20 1,524 c.10,000 (England)

Number of scheduled ancient monuments (English Heritage)

0 3 6,996 19,848 (England)

Area of green belt (ha)

n/a 730 109,950 (2016)

1,635,480 (England, 2016)

Number of Blue Flag beaches (2016)

n/a 4 26 68 (England)

Number of Green Flag parks (2016)

n/a 18 90 1,268 (England)

Context: Population

2.4 On Census night, 2011, the population of Bournemouth Borough was 183,491. This is an increase of just over 12% in Bournemouth since 2001 compared with an increase of nearly 7% for Poole, nearly 6% for Dorset and nearly 8% for England and Wales. As Table 2.2 illustrates, the percentage change since 2001 varies significantly between areas.

Table 2.2 1991, 2001 and 2011 population figures

Area 1991 2001 2011

% Change 2001 to

2011

Population Density in people per

hectare

Bournemouth Town Centre 5,2795 7,612 10,519 38.2 44.5

Bournemouth 151,302 163,444 183,491 12.3 39.7

Poole 133,050 138,288 147,645 6.8 22.8

Dorset 361,072 390,980 412,905 5.6 1.6

Dorset (including Bournemouth and Poole) 645,424 692,712 744,041 7.4 2.8

South West Region 4,611,442 4,928,434 5,288,935 7.3 2.2

South East Region 7,497,730 8,000,645 8,634,750 7.9 4.5

England and Wales 49,890,278 52,041,916 56,075,912 7.8 3.7

Source: 1991, 2001 and 2011 Censuses, Crown Copyright, ONS

5 Best fit area with AAP boundary and slightly differs from boundary used in 2001 and 2011

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2.5 Although the population in Bournemouth grew by just over 12% between 2001 and 2011, the pattern of growth between the age groups was not evenly spread as illustrated by Figure 2.1 below. The population in each quinary (5-year) group increased in all ages with the exception of the 5-14 year olds and those aged 70-84. The quinary age group experiencing the biggest increase was the 20-24 year olds with the working age population generally experiencing more significant growth than those aged over 65.

Figure 2.1 Population change in Bournemouth, 2001 to 2011

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

11,000

12,000

13,000

14,000

15,000

16,000

17,000

18,000

0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95-99

Population

Age

2001 2011

Source: 2001 and 2011 Census, Crown Copyright, ONS

2.6 The population structure for Bournemouth is quite different to that of England and Wales. The population structure has also changed in Bournemouth since 2001 with the proportion of elderly moving more in line with national percentages. The population pyramid shown below (Figure 2.2) illustrates the differences between Bournemouth and England and Wales. Bournemouth has a smaller proportion of under 19s and a slightly larger proportion of over 65s overall. It also has a larger proportion of 19 to 40 year olds than England and Wales. This is probably due to those residents who have moved or remained in the area to study at Bournemouth University and the Arts University Bournemouth and the number of international migrants moving to Bournemouth to take up work in recent years.

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Figure 2.2 Population pyramid: Bournemouth and England and Wales

Source: Mid 2015 population estimates, Crown Copyright, ONS

2.7 ONS publish an estimate of the population of each local authority area each year. The most recent mid-year population estimate for 2015 is 194,5006. The Mid-2015 population estimate is based on the 2011 census estimate rolled forward to the mid-year and adding in births, deaths and migration. Mid-year estimates for the period mid-2002 to mid-2010 have been revised by the Office for National Statistics in 2013 taking account of the 2011 census results and creating a consistent time series. The census estimates and revised population estimates are contained in Table 2.3.

6 Registrar General’s Mid-Year Estimate 2015, ONS

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Table 2.3 Census estimates and Mid-year population estimates

Year Estimate based on new methodology

2001 Census 163,444

2001 mid-year estimate 163,600

2002 mid-year estimate 164,600

2003 mid-year estimate 164,200

2004 mid-year estimate 163,900

2005 mid-year estimate 166,000

2006 mid-year estimate 166,700

2007 mid-year estimate 170,100

2008 mid-year estimate 172,000

2009 mid-year estimate 174,300

2010 mid-year estimate 179,300

2011 Census 183,491

2011 mid-year estimate 183,500

2012 mid-year estimate 186,700

2013 mid-year estimate 188,700

2014 mid-year estimate 191,400

2015 mid-year estimate 194,500

Source: Census estimates and mid-year estimates, Crown Copyright, ONS

Population Density

2.8 In terms of population density, Bournemouth is one of the more densely populated areas. Unlike many areas Bournemouth is primarily urban with little rural or greenbelt area. Bournemouth has the highest density of population of 37 local authorities in the South West and ranks 39 out of 348 in England and Wales, alongside Nottingham, Reading and Bristol. The 50 local authority areas with the highest densities can be found in Table 2.4.

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Table 2.4 Population density - top 50 local authority areas

Local Authority Population density (km2)

Local Authority Population density (km2)

Islington 13,874 Leicester 4,497

Kensington and Chelsea 13,086 Manchester 4,351

Hackney 12,928 Sutton 4,337

Tower Hamlets 12,845 Slough 4,308

Lambeth 11,305 Kingston upon Thames 4,296

Hammersmith and Fulham 11,129 Watford 4,215

Westminster 10,211 Croydon 4,201

Camden 10,112 Liverpool 4,170

Southwark 9,988 Southend-on-Sea 4,159

Wandsworth 8,960 Barnet 4,108

Haringey 8,613 Nottingham 4,097

Newham 8,508 Blackpool 4,076

Lewisham 7,849 Birmingham 4,007

Brent 7,199 Bournemouth 3,974

Waltham Forest 6,655 Bristol, City of 3,907

Ealing 6,093 Enfield 3,866

Greenwich 5,378 Reading UA 3,854

Merton 5,307 Bexley 3,830

Barking and Dagenham 5,149 Sandwell 3,601

Portsmouth 5,081 Wolverhampton 3,593

Redbridge 4,945 Kingston upon Hull, City of 3,589

Southampton 4,752 Norwich 3,396

Harrow 4,737 Ipswich 3,384

Luton 4,687 Oxford 3,331

Hounslow 4,537 Brighton and Hove 3,307

Source: 2011 Census, Crown Copyright ONS

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Population projections

The 2014-based sub-national population projections prepared by ONS are trend-based projections and as such do not take account of local policies such as the level of housing provision in the borough. These projections cover a twenty-five year period from 2014 to 2039. Projections become increasingly uncertain the further they are carried forward so the first ten years of the projections are likely to more accurate. Its important to remember that projections rely on past trends being replicated in the future and in some instances there are reasons why this may be unlikely. The projections are contained in Table 2.5 below.

2.9 Over the ten-year period Bournemouth’s population is projected to increase from 191,400 in mid-2014 to 213,200 by mid-2024, this represents an increase of nearly 11.4% which is larger than other local authorities in the Dorset LEP as well as within the South East, the South West and in England. This pattern of growth continues through to 2039 when Bournemouth’s population is projected to grow to 238,900, an increase of over 24.5%.

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Table 2.5 Population projections 2014 to 2039

(numbers in thousands)

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2024 2029 2034 2039 2014-2024

% Change 2014-2024

2014-2039

% Change 2014-2039

0-4 11.2 11.3 11.3 11.2 11.2 11.3 11.4 11.3 11.3 11.5 0.2 1.8 0.3 2.7

5-9 9.5 10.0 10.4 10.9 10.9 11.0 10.9 11.1 11.0 11.0 1.4 14.7 1.5 15.8

10-14 8.1 8.1 8.3 8.7 9.2 9.6 10.9 10.8 11.0 10.9 2.8 34.6 2.8 34.6

15-19 10.8 11.4 11.4 11.2 11.0 10.9 12.5 13.9 13.8 14.0 1.7 15.7 3.2 29.6

20-24 17.9 18.3 18.7 18.9 19.2 19.3 18.3 20.7 22.0 21.9 0.4 2.2 4.0 22.3

25-29 14.4 14.2 14.5 14.6 14.6 14.7 14.4 13.7 15.1 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 11.1

30-34 15.5 15.6 15.3 15.2 15.3 15.3 15.5 15.1 14.3 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3

35-39 13.0 13.5 14.2 14.7 14.9 14.9 14.7 15.0 14.6 13.8 1.7 13.1 0.8 6.2

40-44 12.6 12.6 12.5 12.2 12.3 12.6 14.2 14.2 14.5 14.0 1.6 12.7 1.4 11.1

45-49 12.6 12.6 12.7 12.8 12.7 12.7 12.4 13.9 13.9 14.3 -0.2 -1.6 1.7 13.5

50-54 11.9 12.4 12.7 12.9 13.0 12.9 12.7 12.3 13.8 13.8 0.8 6.7 1.9 16.0

55-59 9.9 10.3 10.7 11.1 11.5 12.0 12.9 12.7 12.2 13.6 3.0 30.3 3.7 37.4

60-64 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.6 9.9 10.0 12.1 12.9 12.6 12.1 2.6 27.4 2.6 27.4

65-69 9.8 10.0 10.1 9.7 9.4 9.4 10.0 11.9 12.7 12.5 0.2 2.0 2.7 27.6

70-74 7.1 7.4 7.9 8.8 9.2 9.4 9.0 9.6 11.5 12.3 1.9 26.8 5.2 73.2

75-79 6.1 6.1 6.0 6.0 6.2 6.5 8.7 8.4 9.0 10.7 2.6 42.6 4.6 75.4

80-84 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.6 7.6 7.4 8.0 0.3 5.7 2.7 50.9

85-89 3.6 3.6 3.8 3.7 3.8 3.8 4.0 4.5 6.2 6.0 0.4 11.1 2.4 66.7

90+ 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 3.0 3.5 4.3 5.9 0.5 20.0 3.4 136.0

All ages 191.4 194.6 197.3 199.8 202.0 204.1 213.2 223.1 231.2 238.2 21.8 11.4 46.8 24.5

Source: 2014-based sub-national population projections, ONS, Crown Copyright

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Figure 2.3 Index of Multiple Deprivation, 2015

Source: Indices of Deprivation 2015, DCLG

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2.10 Bournemouth is the second most deprived of the local authority districts in the Dorset sub-region, and is ranked 121st most deprived of the 326 local authority districts in England, according to the CLG English Indices of Deprivation 2015 (IMD). The IMD uses lower layer super output areas (LSOAs). These are based on groupings of census output areas and have an average population of 1,500 people.

2.11 The differences in levels of deprivation across Bournemouth are illustrated in Figure 2.3 above. The darker the shading, the greater the level of deprivation. Fifteen LSOAs fall within the 20% most deprived in England, including areas of Kinson, West Howe, and Townsend. Part of central Boscombe is the most deprived area, with a ranking of 226, whilst the next most deprived is the neighbouring area of St Clements ranked at 978. The majority of LSOAs are within the second and third quintiles, which means they fall within the 60% most deprived areas in England. The least deprived area is the Broadway area which is ranked as 31,389 out of 32,844 nationally. Ten LSOAs within Bournemouth are ranked within the 20% least deprived in England.

2.12 Data for May 2016 suggests that in Bournemouth just under 11%7 of the working aged population is reliant on some form of benefit; this compares with 11% in England and Wales. This equates to 14,140 claimants8. Around 19% of these claimants in Bournemouth have children to support. Around 60% of claimants are claiming Incapacity benefit with around 17% claiming Income Support or Jobseekers Allowance. At ward level there is significant variation in the proportion of the working age population in receipt of benefits. In Littledown and Iford ward, 6.2% are in receipt of benefits whereas in Boscombe West 19.4% are in receipt of benefit and in Kinson South ward the figure is 18.8%. Turning to the retirement-aged population, 19.5% of Bournemouth pensioners9 are in receipt of pension credit compared with 17.0% in England and Wales. In Boscombe West, 39.8% of pensioners are in receipt of this benefit compared with 10.7% in Littledown and Iford ward10. Statistics produced using various statistics including tax credit data from HMRC have been produced by the End Child Poverty Now11 group of organisations. Their latest estimates based on a former national indicator on child poverty suggest 16.5% of children in Bournemouth are living in poverty before housing costs but 26.3% are in poverty after housing costs are added in.

7 Working age is defined as those aged 16-64 and retired as aged 65+. The total population is based on

2015 Mid-year estimates. 8 Department for Work and Pensions, May 2016 9 Rate based on those aged 65 and over. 10 Department for Work and Pensions, May 2016 11 http://www.endchildpoverty.org.uk November 2016

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Crime rates

2.13 Between 1 April 2015 and 31 March 2016 there were 16,535 recorded crimes within the borough of Bournemouth. This equates to a 14.5% increase (+2,405 crimes) on the previous year when there were 14,130 crimes recorded. This increase is slightly smaller than the Dorset-wide increase of 15.1% over this same period and reflects a national increase in crime during 2015/16.

2.14 The majority of the crime increase relates to a 31.9% increase in violent crime within Bournemouth, reflecting both a Dorset and national increase in violent crime which has largely been attributed to improved crime recording rather than an actual increase in violent offences. The increase is concentrated in the lower level violence category of common assault (non-injury).

2.15 Over the same period, the volume of ASB incidents reduced by 9.0%, with 958 fewer incidents of anti-social behaviour recorded in Bournemouth.

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3 Economy

Development Progress – Commercial land 3.1 This chapter of the AMR focuses on commercial land. Commercial land is key

to the growth, diversity and sustainability of a strong local economy and the provision of employment opportunity for the local community.

3.2 Planning applications concerning commercial land granted via the planning process are monitored annually to establish implementation rates, assess the balance of development, record land availability and ensure sustainable future utilization of commercial land12.

Bournemouth Local Plan Policies 3.3 In terms of commercial and employment land, Local Plan Policies seek to:

• encourage employment (B class) generating development on sites that reduce the need for workers to commute. Therefore, good public transport accessibility and proximity of new sites to residential and associated facilities (where there is no harm to the locality) are key considerations

• retain existing employment generating uses crucial to maintaining employment opportunities and meeting future needs – it is recognised the Borough only provides limited opportunities for new industrial and office development

• retain A1 uses within prime shopping areas and resist retail development in the peripheral area where existing shopping centres could be adversely affected

• protect and enhance existing leisure and community facilities whilst supporting growth and sustainable development in business and leisure tourism.

12 Please note - when possible, floorspace measurements are recorded from planning application

documents, however when not provided Ordnance Survey building outlines and floor plans are used to calculate estimates.

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Commercial Applications

3.4 Table 3.1 (below) provides the breakdown of commercial permissions by floorspace (sqm) for each land use classification in the 2015/16 financial year.

3.5 The values represent floorspace that’s been completed, under construction and unimplemented in 2015/16. Unimplemented permissions are gross as they don’t account for losses/demolitions, while completions are the net of any losses/demolitions including changes to non-commercial uses.

Table 3.1 Floorspace (sqm) by land use class13 Use Class* Unimplemented

(gross) Under Construction

(gross) Completed (net)

A1 2,569 958 -1,847

A2 733 236 -493

A3 8,147 8,666 2,262

A4 336 345 -270

A5 407 100 219

B1a 61,007 88 -7,585

B1b 1,201 - 0

B1c - - -800

B2 40 - 510

B8 - - -142

C1 33,105 - 16,324

D1 8,160 3,096 -556

D2 18,674 6,643 1,148

FLEX 201 186 35

SG (excluding

student accommodation)

31,132 - 154

ANC 29 46 336

*Definitions of land use classes referred to in this chapter can be found in the glossary under ‘Use Classes Order’. 13 The unimplemented and completed columns are net of any losses e.g. demolitions or losses through

conversion or change of use.

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2015/16 Survey Results Gains & Losses resulting from completed applications

3.6 Despite a loss of 3,338 sqm hotel/C1 floorspace at some sites to other use

classes (e.g. residential flats/HMO’s), a significantly higher net increase (16,324 sqm) was observed overall than other classes (table 3.2). This was mostly due to the completion of two large hotels - The Hilton & Hampton by Hilton on the former Terrace Mount Car Park site in the Town Centre.

3.7 Restaurant/A3 floorspace accounted for the second highest net increase overall (2,262 sqm), typically resulting from changes in use/conversions of retail/A1 units. No restaurant floorspace was lost to other classes this monitoring year (table 3.2)

3.8 The third highest net increase (1,148 sqm) was of Assembly & Leisure/D2 floorspace (table 3.2), resulting mostly from the redevelopment of Pier Approach and extension to the Oceanarium in Bournemouth town centre, and the erection of AFC Bournemouth training facilities.

3.9 Office/B1a floorspace experienced the greatest loss of floorspace. This is discussed in more detail in section 3.18 as it is one of the classes considered to generate the highest levels of employment.

3.10 Retail/A1 floorspace experienced the second greatest net loss (1,847 sqm)

(table 3.2) due to multiple factors including permitted development rights relaxing the planning process when changing use to residential/C3, business rate increases and changing consumer behaviour due to technological advance.

Table 3.2 Net change in floorspace (sqm) by land use class

Use class Gained Lost Net

A1 509 -2,356 -1,847

A2 55 -548 -493

A3 2,262 0 2,262

A4 0 -270 -270

A5 219 0 219

B1a 2,367 -9,952 -7,585

B1c 0 -800 -800

B2 634 -124 510

B8 518 -660 -142

C1 19,662 -3,338 16,324

C3 267 0 267

D1 1,468 -2,024 -556

D2 10,781 -9,633 1,148

FLEX 35 0 35

SG (excluding student accommodation)

531 -377 154

ANC 410 -74 336

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Figure 3.1 – Locations of gained commercial floorspace

Source: Research & Information

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Figure 3.2 – Locations of sites that gained multiple use classes

Source: Research & Information

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Figure 3.3 – Locations of lost commercial floorspace

Source:Research & Information

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Figure 3.4 – Locations of sites that lost multiple use classes

Source:Research & Information

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Under Construction 3.11 A total of approximately 20,364 sqm of commercial floorspace is currently under

construction.

3.12 The greatest is A3 and D2 floorspace, accounting for 8,666 sqm and 6,643 sqm respectively. However, 77% and 69% respectively of this is on one site – the former NCP Exeter Road Car Park in Bournemouth Town Centre where a leisure complex including a 10-screen cinema and various restaurants is being developed.

3.13 Approximately 3,096 sqm of D1 floorspace is under construction over two sites - 2,396 sqm from the redevelopment of Lansdowne Baptist church and 700 sqm from a mixed D1 & D2 use scheme including permission for multiple uses falling within D1.

3.14 Approximately 958 sqm of retail floorspace is under construction over four sites, however one development in Boscombe East (as the ground floor element of a residential scheme) accounts for 70%. Bournemouth Town Centre hosts a similar residential scheme with an element of ground floor retail, equating to 572 sqm of mixed A1/A2. 345 sqm and 100 sqm of A4 & A5 floorspace respectively is also under construction across the borough. Table 3.3 shows amounts of floorspace under construction for all land use classes.

Table 3.3 Gross floorspace (sqm) under construction by land use class

Use Class Under Construction (gross)

A1 958

A2 236

A3 8,666

A4 345

A5 100

ANC 46

B1a 88

D1 3,096

D2 6,643

FLEX 186

Total 20,364

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Unimplemented 3.15 A total of approximately 165,741 sqm of commercial floorspace between the

land use classes is currently with planning permission but unimplemented. 3.16 The greatest amount (61,007 sqm) of unimplemented floorspace is of

office/B1a and is discussed in further detail in the following section (Section 3.22).

3.17 A total of approximately 33,105 sqm of Hotel/C1 floorspace is currently

unimplemented across 13 sites, consisting of both new developments as well as extensions to existing hotels. The largest unimplemented hotel proposal is approximately 10,739 sqm on the site adjacent to the Bournemouth International Centre which includes a 208-room hotel and 30 separate apart-hotel rooms. Other examples of large new hotel proposals are on the Richmond Gardens Car Park site (approximately 7,865sqm), a site in the East Cliff area (approximately 5,727 sqm) and 24 Christchurch Road (5,573 sqm) in the Lansdowne area as part of a mixed-use scheme across multiple sites.

Table 3.4 Gross floorspace (sqm) unimplemented by land use class

Use Class Unimplemented (Gross)

A1 2,569

A2 733

A3 8,147

A4 336

A5 407

ANC 29

B1a 61,007

B1b 1,201

B2 40

C1 33,105

D1 8,160

D2 18,674

FLEX 201

SG (excluding Student Accommodation) 2,976

Total 137,585

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Employment Floorspace 3.18 Sites hosting floorspace in the B use classes (B1a, B1b, B1c, B2 & B8) are

considered to generate the highest levels of employment. Approximately 3,519 sqm of floorspace was completed across eight sites and approximately 11,536 sqm was lost across twenty sites, resulting in an overall net loss of approximately 8,017 sqm.

Gains in B1- B8 floorspace 3.19 The greatest amount of completed B-class floorspace was approximately 1,530

sqm, resulting from the change of use of a workshop (Sui Generis) to a mixed-use scheme of B1a, B2 and B8 floorspace.

3.20 Approximately 1,080 sqm of office/B1a floorspace was gained as part of a mixed-use scheme in Bournemouth Town Centre which also comprised of academic space/D2 and student accommodation/Sui Generis.

3.21 Other completed office/B1a space was on a smaller scale, for example the conversion of the lower ground floor of a hotel/C1 to offices (approximately 620 sqm), and an extension to reception area and conversion of a basement/showers in an existing office block (approximately 84 sqm).

Losses of B1-B8 floorspace 3.22 Office/B1a suffered the greatest overall net loss (approximately 7,585 sqm).

This was mostly due to permitted development legislation that relaxes the planning process when changing office use to residential/C3, this is similar to the permitted development legislation applicable to retail units as mentioned previously.

3.23 The greatest loss on a single site was approximately 5,395 sqm of office/B1a floorspace in Bournemouth Town Centre via a permitted development change of use to residential flats. The second largest loss (approximately 2,683 sqm) also resulted from a permitted development change of use to residential flats and was also in Bournemouth Town Centre.

3.24 The third highest loss (approximately 800 sqm) was of storage/B1c space in

the form of a building contractor’s storage area.

3.25 Other losses were of a smaller scale, for example permitted development change of use of first floor office space above shops in retail cores to residential flats, but when accumulated account for a significant loss of employment generating floorspace.

3.26 Most (9,039 sqm) office/B1a loss was due to permitted development legislation.

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3.27 Sites that experienced a net gain/loss of employment generating land use can be seen below (Fig. 3.5).

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Figure 3.5 – Net Gain/Loss of Employment Floorspace by Site

Source: Research & Information

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Under Construction B1-B8 Floorspace 3.28 Out of all the B use classes, approximately 88 sqm of office/B1a is recorded as

under construction across 3 sites, all of which is ancillary to other uses. Unimplemented B1-B8 Floorspace 3.29 A considerable amount of floorspace within the B classes is currently

unimplemented (approximately 62,248 sqm). 3.30 98% (approximately 61,007 sqm) is office/B1a across three sites – Castle Lane

East (Riverside Avenue), Castle Lane East (Wessex Fields) and three sites in the Lansdowne, totalling approximately 30,700 sqm, 17,167 sqm and 11,288 sqm respectively.

3.31 Other smaller-scale office/B1a proposals typically include a residential element

to increase financial viability, or are ancillary to other existing uses. 3.32 Approximately 1,200 sqm of B1b floorspace is unimplemented as part of the

previously mentioned mixed-use Richmond Gardens Car Park scheme. The only unimplemented B8 floorspace is in the form of an extension to an existing workshop.

Loss of employment land

3.33 In terms of site area, employment generating floorspace was completed on sites amounting to approximately 1.11 hectares and lost on sites equating to approximately 1.6 hectares, resulting in a net loss of approximately 0.5 hectares. Approximately 1.5 hectares of loss was to residential development, of which approximately 0.4 hectares was due to Permitted Development Legislation.

3.34 Over the past 10 years (from 1st April 2006), employment generating land uses have been developed on 5.12 hectares of land (where previous land use was not employment). In contrast, employment generating land uses have been lost on 10.9 hectares to other uses – 7.77 hectares to residential alone (including sites on which residential development has commenced or completed). This means over the past 10 years’ employment generating floorspace has been lost on 5.78 hectares of land.

3.35 A further 3.63 hectares of employment land, most of which (73%) is B1, could potentially be lost to non-employment uses. However, 1.8 hectares of new employment land has planning consent and could potentially be developed.

3.36 Policies CS26 and CS27 of the Core Strategy seek protection of both allocated and unallocated employment land from other uses, for example residential. Many small employment sites lost to residential are often surrounded, or adjoined by housing and compelling arguments for their retention are not always feasible.

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Table 3.5 Progress on Allocated Employment Sites

Employment Site Total Site Area (ha)

Undeveloped Site Area (ha)

Planning Status as at 31st March 2016

Ashley Road Coal Yard

1.11 1.11 No relevant PP14

Ashley Road Station Approach

2.58 0 No relevant PP

Castle Lane East (Deansleigh /

Wessex Fields) 8.39 1.35

Approval in principle for B1a use (17,167 sqm)

Castle Lane East (Riverside)

5.98 5.98 No relevant PP

Chaseside 11.73 0 No relevant PP

Elliot Road / Wallisdown Road

(combined) 27.62 0

Various small applications for changes to existing industrial

uses

Francis Avenue 1.23 0 No relevant PP

Poole Lane 3.87 0 No relevant PP

Southcote Road 5.06 0 Small loss of office space to

residential (not started).

Wellington Road, Royal Mail Delivery

Office 1.15 0.28 No relevant PP

Wharfdale Road 1.03 0 No relevant PP

Yeomans Road 7.98 0 No relevant PP

Lansdowne 14.66

Most developable land is on existing car

parks, not measured

Existing permission at St Paul’s Place, includes 12,217 sqm B1a usage. Christchurch Road - loss of 5,395 sqm B1a office space to

residential (complete). Holdenhurst Road – completion of mixed use scheme including B1a (1078sqm), D1 (1078sqm) & SG.

Source: Research & Information

14 PP is used as an abbreviation for “planning permission”

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Local economy

3.37 Concentrations of financial and business services account for a significant proportion of the local economy with companies such as The Nationwide Building Society, JPMorgan, Capita, RIAS, VitalityHealth, LV=, Teachers Assurance and many more located in the borough. JPMorgan is one of the major employers in the town employing more than 4,000.

3.38 Main sectors in terms of employment generation are banking, finance and insurance, although a high proportion of the working population is employed in retail, leisure, tourism and the public sector. Assisted by the skilled local workforce, the high-quality service-sector employment has continued to grow. In addition, the quality of the local environment is considered a major draw to the area with local businesses selling this to potential employees.

3.39 Recent unemployment and claimant figures suggest the local job market has remained relatively buoyant. A Tech City report “Tech Nation 2016”15 estimated the technology sector in Bournemouth and Poole is worth an estimated £350 million with nearly 14,000 employed in this rapidly growing sector, illustrating attraction of new up and coming sectors to the area.

Economic activity and unemployment

3.40 Over the period April 2015 - March 2016, 75.2% (96,100) of the working age population in Bournemouth were economically active, including those either employed or actively seeking work. For working age males, this increased to 79% (51,900) whilst a lower proportion of working age females of approximately 71.2% (44,200) were economically active during this period16.

3.41 The Indices of Deprivation 201517 included an employment deprivation domain measuring employment deprivation in relation to people of working age that are involuntarily excluded from work. The domain shows most LSOAs in Bournemouth are within the 60% most deprived in England. There are ten areas in the Borough however (including Littledown/Castledean and around Whitelegg Way and Victoria Park), that are ranked within the 20% least deprived of areas nationally (Figure 3.7).

3.42 In terms of unemployment, Figure 3.6 below shows that the claimant rate in Bournemouth remained relatively flat throughout the year ranging from 1.2% & 1.5%. The lowest counts are evident during July & August and the highest during February & March and may be associated with summer tourism and Christmas temporary employment. The claimant rate in Dorset also remained relatively flat ranging between 0.7% & 0.9% of the resident population aged 16-6418. Poole’s rate of unemployment ranged between 0.9% & 1.2% throughout the year.

15 http://www.techcityuk.com/tech-nation-bournemouth/ 16 Annual Population Survey April 2015 to March 2016, NOMIS, ONS Crown Copyright, September 2017 17 Indices of Deprivation 2015, Department for Communities and Local Government, September 2015 18 Please note the method of calculating rates is based on a population estimate which includes both males

and females aged 16 to 64

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Figure 3.6 Monthly change in unemployment (April 2015 to March 2016)

Source: NOMIS, Crown Copyright

3.43 At ward level, the highest claimant rate in March 2016 was in Boscombe West with 3.2% of the resident working age population on the claimant register. This is significantly higher than other wards, particularly compared to East Southbourne & Tuckton’s 0.6%.

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Figure 3.7 Employment Deprivation Domain, 2015

Source: Indices of Deprivation 2015, DCLG

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Bournemouth’s working age population

3.44 In terms of occupation, Bournemouth’s working age population is employed in a range of jobs. According to the Annual Population Survey19, the largest proportion (17.9%) of those in employment were working in professional occupations. The occupation accounting for the smallest percentage of the population (4.1%) is process, plant and machine operatives.

3.45 Regarding industries of employment, 2015 Business Register and Employment Survey data shows the three sectors employing largest numbers are ‘health’, ‘retail’ and ‘accommodation & food services’ each with 15.7% and 12.1% and 10.9% respectively. All three sectors proportionately employ more in Bournemouth than in England overall. At the opposite end of the scale, the ‘Agriculture, forestry & fishing’ and ‘Mining, quarrying & utilities’ sectors employ very few people (0.5% & 0.2% respectively)20.

Figure 3.8 Employment Distribution by broad industrial group, 2015

Source: Business Register & Employment Survey, 2015

19 Annual Population Survey, April 2015 to March 2016, ONS, Crown Copyright 20 Business Register & Employment Survey 2015, Employment Analysis, NOMIS, ONS Crown Copyright

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16%

Agriculture, forestry & fishing

Mining, quarrying & utilities

Manufacturing

Construction

Motor trades

Wholesale

Retail

Transport & storage

Accommodation & food services

Information & communication

Financial & insurance

Property

Professional, scientific & technical

Business administration & support services

Public administration & defence

Education

Health

Arts, entertainment, recreation & other services

Bournemouth England

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Figure 3.9 Ward Claimant Rate, March 2016

Source:NOMIS, Crown Copyright

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3.46 In terms of qualifications, 6% of the working age population do not possess qualifications, 36% are qualified to GNVQ level 4/5, degree equivalent or qualified status in professions (e.g. teaching or nursing) according to the Annual Population Survey21.

3.47 The Indices of Deprivation 2015 included an Education, Skills and Training deprivation domain, split into a further two sub domains: children/young people and skills. The skills sub domain looks at relative deprivation of areas in terms of the proportion of working age adults (aged 25-59/64) in the area with no or low qualifications in 2011. For this sub-domain, 11 out of 110 LSOAs in Bournemouth are within the 20% most deprived areas in England. The majority of LSOAs in Bournemouth (77%) fall within the third, fourth and fifth quintiles, meaning they are outside the 40% most deprived areas nationally.

3.48 Just under 10% of people aged 16-74 years old were full-time students as at the 2001 Census and around 2% had never worked22. In 2011, approximately 5% of 16-74 year olds were full-time students who were economically active, while a further 8% were economically inactive students (including full-time students)23.

21 Annual Population Survey, January 2015 to December 2015, ONS, Crown Copyright 22 Key Statistics Table – KS13 Qualifications and Students, 2001 Census of Population, ONS Crown

Copyright 23 2011 Census, Table KS601EW Economic Activity, ONS, Crown Copyright

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Figure 3.10 Adult skill sub-domain, 2015

Source: Indices of Deprivation 2015, DCLG

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3.49 The 2015 UK Business data reported there were 6,305 VAT or PAYE registered enterprises in Bournemouth and 7,765 local units24. In terms of size (based on enterprises), the vast majority (83%) were small firms employing fewer than 10 employees. In contrast, 25 workplaces (0.4%) employed 250 or more employees and the remaining 16.5% of workplaces employed between 10 and 249 workers25.

24 An enterprise is a statistical unit, defined as the smallest group of legal units (generally based on VAT or

PAYE) within an enterprise group (where one exists) that have a certain degree of autonomy or control. An enterprise is essentially a business. It is generally located at the main operating site or the head office. For small businesses the head office and the operations often will be at the same address. For larger businesses, for example a supermarket chain with several hundred shops across the UK, the head office is likely to be in London or another large city and the operational units (local units or sites) will be at numerous addresses throughout the country. 25 UK Business Summary 2015, ONS Crown Copyright, 2015

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4 Natural and Built Environment

Bournemouth Local Plan Policies

4.1 The local plan:

• seeks to protect and enhance the open areas of the Borough, with policies requiring the retention of the Green Belt, and development within it carefully restricted, with new residential development usually prohibited;

• takes account of the impact of development on designated nature conservation areas, SSSIs or LNRs for example, to maintain and enhance the biodiversity of the borough.

• requires that site stability and contamination, flooding, and potential increases in pollution, including noise are also taken into account when assessing the feasibility of new developments;

• aims to promote investment and development in suitable areas of the borough, safeguarding buildings and sites of special interest and character. Policies look to concentrate development in existing built-up areas to protect the Green Belt and open spaces;

• the need to preserve and enhance conservation areas is recognised, with policies restricting alterations to, and demolition of existing buildings;

• subjects listed buildings to similar policies as a way of retaining the character of certain areas of the borough;

• prohibits development that would prove detrimental to nationally important archaeological sites and historic parks and gardens in order to preserve these sites;

• regulates the appearance of areas by restricting changes to historic shop fronts, location of advertisements;

• seeks to protect open space from development; and

• requires the inclusion of landscaping, including open spaces and recreation facilities, as part of development schemes where appropriate.

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Table 4.1 Schedule of core indicators: Flood Protection and water quality

2015/16

E1: Number of planning permissions granted contrary to the advice of the Environment Agency advice on flooding and water quality

0

4.2 Please note that discussion of the core indicators is contained in the text of the document.

Context: Natural and Built Environment

4.3 In Bournemouth there are 185 hectares of land designated as Sites of Special Scientific Interest (SSSI) and 13 Sites of Nature Conservation Interest (SNCI) covering around 172 hectares of land. Bournemouth also has a large area of green belt around the northern fringe of the Borough which covers an area of approximately 731 hectares. In addition, as at 2015, Bournemouth has ten Local Nature Reserves, with the most recent designation of Boscombe Chine in 2008. The ten sites are listed below, together with an indication of the approximate area that they cover.

Table 4.2 Local Nature Reserves in Bournemouth

Local Nature Reserve Area (hectares)

Boscombe and Southbourne Overcliff 8.7

Boscombe Chine 3.6

Hengistbury Head 155.0

Iford Meadows 15.5

Kinson Common 14.9

Millhams Mead 18.6

Pug’s Hole 4.2

Redhill Common 7.0

Stour Valley 33.7

Turbary Common 43.1

Source: Bournemouth Borough Council

4.4 Over the 2015/16 financial year, there have been a number of applications made within these designated areas, but only for minor amendments to existing buildings, changes of use, or tree applications, none of which can be considered to have had a significant impact upon these designations.

4.28 In terms of the built environment, Bournemouth has 20 Conservation Area designations within the Borough, compared to 233 within the Dorset sub-region (including Bournemouth and Poole). In addition, Bournemouth has 237 listed

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buildings, which are protected against demolition or inappropriate alteration26. According to English Heritage there are around 11,000 listed buildings in the Dorset sub-region. The borough has a Grade II* listed garden (Lower, Central and Upper Gardens) and a Grade II listed garden (Wimborne Road Cemetery). The two gardens cover a total of 18.5 hectares.

Biodiversity

4.29 Bournemouth Borough has a number of sites designated for their importance with regard to biodiversity, habitats, archaeology and history. Many of the designations overlap with one another (for example, one site may have several designations).

Table 4.3 Designated areas in Bournemouth

Designation No of sites Area (ha)

RAMSAR (International Statutory) 2 37.4

Special Area of Conservation (European Statutory)

3 76.1

Special Protection Area (European Statutory)

2 64.7

Scheduled Ancient Monument (National Statutory)

3 89

Site of Special Scientific Interest (National Statutory)

4 184.9

Local Nature Reserve (Local Non-statutory)

10 305

Site of Nature Conservation Interest (Local Non-statutory)

14 134.8

4.30 The Green Space Strategy sets an aim to designate an additional local nature reserve at Strouden /Wordsworth Woods. All designated sites have a management plan in place.

4.31 Natural England suggests 1 hectare of Local Nature Reserves (LNR) per 1,000 of the population to act as accessible natural greenspace. Bournemouth currently has 1 hectare per 628 people, and this figure will improve as further sites are designated.

4.32 The Borough has 43 Biodiversity Action Plan (BAP) priority species and 7 priority habitat types; these are listed within the Borough’s Nature Conservation Strategy. There is no aim to increase these figures, just to maintain and improve those habitats.

4.33 Bournemouth has been awarded seventeen green flags for open spaces. In addition, the Royal Bournemouth Hospital is the first hospital trust in the country to be awarded a Green Flag in recognition of the quality of the green space

26 Bournemouth Borough Council, Heritage Assets, English Heritage, 2011

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surrounding the hospital. Those open spaces that are eligible for the Green Flag Award Scheme, achieve the green flag status by achieving high enough scores against the eight judgement criteria, including being a welcoming, healthy and safe place, being sustainable and well managed as well as being judged in terms of conservation and heritage. In addition, four beaches have been awarded Blue Flag awards. The open spaces and beaches that have achieved awards in Bournemouth for 2016 are shown below.

Table 4.4 Green and Blue Flag Awards 2016

Open Space / Beach Name Green Flag Blue Flag

Alum Chine including Argyll Gardens ✓ ✓ (Alum Chine)

Boscombe Chine Gardens ✓

Durley Chine ✓

Fisherman's Walk ✓ ✓

Hengistbury Head Nature Reserve ✓

Kinson Common Nature Reserve ✓

Lower Central and Upper Gardens ✓

Moore Avenue Community Park ✓

North Cemetery ✓

Pelhams Park ✓

Redhill Park and Common ✓

Royal Bournemouth Hospital ✓

Queen’s Park ✓

Seafield Gardens ✓

Slades Farm ✓

Southbourne ✓

Springbourne Gardens ✓

Stour Valley Local Nature Reserve ✓

Tuckton Tea Gardens & Riverlands ✓

Winton Recreation Ground ✓

Source: Green Flag Awards, Keep Britain Tidy

4.34 All public open space has been audited using Green Flag methodology, each being given a score. Low scoring sites are investigated for improvement. All large park or countryside sites have or are programmed to have a management plan written to Green Flag standard.

4.35 During 2015/16, no planning permissions were granted by the Borough Council contrary to Environment Agency advice on flooding and water quality27.

27 Core Output Indicator E1: Flood Protection and Water Quality

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Heathland mitigation

4.36 In January 2007, the local planning authorities in South East Dorset agreed an interim planning framework to mitigate the effects of new residential development on heathland sites of European importance. The framework imposed an embargo on further residential development within 400 metres of protected sites and a system of commuted payments to mitigate adverse effects of residential development between 400 metres and 5 kilometres of the sites. The monies collected through the developer contributions are spent on providing wardening services and education programmes and on specific projects to divert recreational use from the heathlands through the Urban Heaths Programme.

4.37 For the year 2015/16, £478,756 of contributions in accordance with the heathland mitigation policy was actually received (net of refunds) from planning consents granted by the Borough Council as the local planning authority. Planning permission on a total of 202 sites, which account for 1,452 dwellings (total gross on site)28, was granted for residential development within the 5 kilometres zone over this period. The only residential permission granted within the 400 metre buffer zone during 2015/16 is for a Care home (C2) replacing a medical facility. Therefore, the impact on the heathlands is assumed to be negligible. The money collected has been used on a range of projects within and outside the borough.

28 This includes proposed dwellings in any existing applications from previous years and does not double

count multiple applications on the same site (for example, amendments to the original application).

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5 Housing

Bournemouth Local Plan Policies

5.1 The Local Plan:

• seeks to maintain an adequate supply of housing in the borough with consideration of affordability issues

• permits infill residential development if neighbouring developments are not adversely affected. Applicable to sheltered housing and residential institution development

• encourages appropriate brownfield development

• encourages development in areas well served by sustainable transport modes

Bournemouth Affordable Housing Development Plan Document (AHDPD)

5.2 The Affordable Housing DPD:

• seeks provision of on-site affordable housing through negotiation process

• applicable to all residential development with an affordable contribution target of 40% of the number of dwellings proposed per application

Table 5.1 - Schedule of core indicators: Housing

2015/16

Plan period and housing targets

2006-2026: 14,600 dwellings within the built up area (Core Strategy, Bournemouth Borough Council, 2012)

Net additional dwellings in previous years (9)

2006/07 1,089 2007/08 1,534 2008/09 1,218 2009/10 622 2010/11 492 2011/12 555 2012/13 639 2013/14 394 2014/15 964 Total 7507

Net additional dwellings in current reporting year 2015/16

730

Net annual dwellings required in future years

636 per year

New and converted dwellings on previously developed land (gross)

812

Net additional pitches (Gypsy and Traveller)

None

Gross affordable housing completions

29

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Please note, discussion regarding core indicators is contained in the text of the document. Context: Housing Completions and Commitments – meeting our strategic housing requirement Completions

5.3 817 (gross) new dwellings were completed in Bournemouth in the 2015/16 financial year. 87 existing dwellings were lost through conversion/demolition (e.g. loss of house via conversion to flats) to accommodate new dwellings resulting in 730 net (Fig. 1.1 & 1.2).

5.4 Completions per annum fluctuates (Fig. 5.1 & 5.2). Fewer completions occurred in 2015/16 than 2014/15 and the 9-year period (2000/01-2007/08) before the 2007/08 recession. However, greater numbers of completions are observed than during the 5 years (2009/10-2013/14) post-recession.

Fig. 5.1 - Monitoring period completions (gross)

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

Core Strategy Target

5.5 Using the Core Strategy (adopted May 2012) housing target, 14,600 dwellings (net) from 2006 to 2026 was the starting point for calculating the housing trajectory, and five and fifteen-year supplies.

5.6 In terms of plan period completions, levels continue ahead of the 14,600 (730 net annualised) dwelling Core Strategy target. The first 10 years of the period had 8,237 (net) completions - an annual average of 824 (net). Therefore, 56.4% of the plan target was provided in the first 10 years of the 20-year plan period, despite the previously mentioned post-recession dip. Consequently, the adjusted annualised target is 636 (net).

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Fig. 5.2 - Plan period completions (net)

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

Commitments

Central government introduced legislation changes concerning permitted development (PD) rights in May 201329. For example, dwelling houses (C3) can now be developed as a ‘change of use’ from offices (B1a) under PD30, however Local Planning Authorities (LPA’s) must be informed via ‘prior approval notifications’ so they can determine whether proposals fall under PD requirements. Commitments in this report include C3 dwellings resulting from PD legislation.

5.7 Units under construction plus those with unimplemented planning permission (including outline, full permissions and permitted developments) indicate potential completion levels in the near future. As at 31st March 2016, there were 787 dwellings under construction (gross) and approved planning consents for 1,957 (gross) dwellings not yet implemented.

5-year land supply

5.8 When determining the annual requirement for residential completions LPA’s can account for previous developments. As mentioned above (paragraph 5.5), the requirement up to 2026 is 14,600 dwellings (net) minus those completed in the first 10 years of the plan period (8,237 dwellings (net)) - resulting in a residual figure of 6,363 dwellings (net). Therefore, the revised annual and 5-year targets are 636 and 3,182 dwellings (net) respectively. In addition, the National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) requires a +5% buffer resulting in an adjusted 5-year target of 3,341 dwellings (net).

29 Permitted Development (PD) is defined as development work which can be carried out without needing

to apply to the Local Planning Authority (LPA) for full planning permission. 30 The first change to PD rights came into force in May 2013 as a temporary change in legislation (for three

years), and included the change of use of B1a (offices) to C3 (dwellings). Subsequent revisions have now included PD rights for changes of use to C3 (dwellings) from A1 (shops), A2 (financial / professional services) and agricultural usage. It’s likely that the change in legislation will become permanent.

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5.9 The 5-year land supply is updated annually with the starting point outstanding consents (dwellings under construction + unimplemented). It’s accepted that within the first five years not all consents will be completed. Table 5.2 includes a reduction of 10% for non-implementation based on sites which had not started as at 31st March 2016.

Table 5.2 - 5-year land supply

Land Supply Source Dwellings

Sites with planning consent (not started) 1788

-10% for non-implementation in first five years -179

Sites with planning consent (under construction) 788

Subtotal 2,397

Town Centre AAP Allocations 748

District Wide Local Plan Allocations 5

Sites submitted by landowners & agents 96

Sites identified by Borough Council Officers 216

Allowance for Permitted Development Change of use to C3 use

354

TOTAL 3,816

Years 1-5 requirement 3,181

Requirement including 5% buffer 3,340

Surplus 476

Source: Research & Information and SHLAA 2015, Planning Policy, Bournemouth Borough Council

5.10 Historically, Bournemouth has consistently experienced new development proposals despite lacking significant allocations. As previously mentioned (paragraph 5.4), completions dipped following the recession in line with national decline, however it can be witnessed that across the whole plan period completions are recovering and commitment levels are similar to 2004/05 which led to over 1,500 (net) completions in 2007/08 (Fig. 5.2).

Strategic housing land availability assessment (SHLAA)

5.11 A strategic housing land availability assessment (SHLAA) is a requirement of the NPPF. LPAs are required to identify sufficient developable land for residential use for the forthcoming 15 years. Bournemouth published its sixth SHLAA covering the fifteen years (1st April 2015 to 31st March 2030) in 2016.

5.12 Part of the SHLAA process identifies sites suitable, available and achievable for the first five years. The SHLAA 2016 report uses the five-year land supply as at 31st March 2015. Additional dwellings from sites submitted by landowners and Local Plan allocations are also added. The SHLAA 2016 report clarifies the process. Full details of the 15-year land availability assessment are available in the SHLAA report downloadable from:

http://www.bournemouth.gov.uk/planningbuilding/PlanningPolicy/PlanningPolicyFiles/SHLAA/shlaa-2016/shlaa-report-2016.pdf (Bournemouth Borough Council website).

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Nature of new dwellings completed Dwelling Types – Historical 5.13 Proportions of houses and flats have changed since the 2001 Census when 56% were houses/bungalows, 43% flats and 1% shared31. This is evident when analysing completions by unit type between 1994 (monitoring commencement) and 2016. Over this period, 80.9% of completions (gross) were flats, 15.8% houses, 2.9% bungalows and 0.4% other. The category defined as ‘other’ represents C4 (HMO’s) (Fig. 5.3). Fig. 5.3 - Gross completions by Dwelling Type 1994/95 – 2015/16

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

5.14 2011 Census results indicate there were 87,016 household spaces in Bournemouth. 50.5% (43,912) were houses or bungalows (occupied and un-occupied), 49.0% (42,671) flats and 0.5% mobile or temporary structures32. Adding net completions of dwelling types since April 2011 indicated the balance tipped marginally in favour of flats as at 31st March 2015, with roughly 49.4% houses/bungalows and 50.1% flats.

31 Key Statistics Table KS16 – Households Space and Accommodation Type, 2001 Census of Population,

ONS 32 2011 Census – KS401EW: Dwellings, household spaces and accommodation type, ONS

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Fig. 5.4 - Household spaces and accommodation type, 2011

Source: 2011 Census of Population, National Statistics

Fig. 5.5 - Household spaces and accommodation type, 2001

Source: 2001 Census of Population, National Statistics

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Dwelling Types - 2015/16 Fig. 5.6 - Summary of bedrooms per unit (gross) & units lost per dwelling type

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

5.15 2015/16 completions and losses further increase proportions in favour of flats against other dwelling types. Of the 730 (net) completions, 652 (89%) were flats, 47 (6%) houses, 19 (3%) bungalows and 12 (2%) ‘other’ dwellings/HMOs (Fig. 5.7). Losses included 36 houses, 32 flats, 14 ‘other’/HMO’s & 5 bungalows, equating to 41%, 37%, 16% & 6% of total losses respectively (Fig. 5.8). 5.16 The Core Strategy recognises potential for redevelopment/conversion of houses to flats and anticipates continued conversion of small family houses would cause pressure to build replacement stock elsewhere in the borough. This is mitigated by policies CS19 & CS20 which aim to protect and encourage small family houses.

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Fig. 5.7 - Net completions by dwelling type Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

Fig. 5.8 - Losses by dwelling type (% of total losses)

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

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Bedroom Numbers

Central government introduced recording of bedroom numbers in 2000/0133 to indicate forthcoming unit size. This was not collected historically (1991 Census recorded number of rooms but not bedrooms), therefore it’s not possible to analyse patterns in respect of size based on bedrooms prior to 2000/01. Bedroom numbers are recorded as per Housing Flow Reconciliation (HFR) guidance34. Bedroom numbers for losses are not recorded so it is not possible to establish net bedroom numbers.

Fig. 5.9 - Bedroom Numbers (all dwelling types)

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

5.17 Smaller units were most commonly completed. 79% (642/817) of completions (gross) were 1 & 2 bedroom flats, accounting for 446 units (55%) and 196 (24%) units respectively (Fig. 5.9).

5.18 Development density typically correlates positively with profitability as sites can accommodate more 1 bedroom units than units of greater size. Property size and value are disproportionate (e.g. 3 bedroom units of the same standard and location are valued lower than 3x that of 1 bedroom units). Size & density are discussed later in this report (paragraphs 5.27 & 5.28).

5.19 In terms of dwelling size (bedrooms) per dwelling type, 1 bedroom flats, 2 bedroom bungalows, 3 bedroom houses and 4+ bedroom ‘other’/HMO’s were most common. 85% of flat completions (gross) were 1 & 2 bedrooms, accounting for 441 (64%) and 147 (21%) respectively. 3 bedroom houses were most common, followed closely by 2 bedrooms accounting for 39 (46%) and 32 (39%) respectively. Only 1% of houses were 1 bedroom compared to 13% of bungalows and there were twice as many 2-bedroom (58%) than 3-bedroom (29%) bungalows. The highest proportion of ‘other’/HMO’s were 4+ bedrooms (77%) (Fig. 5.10 - 5.13).

33 Collected on the Housing Flow Reconciliation (HFR) return. 34 See https://www.gov.uk/guidance/dwelling-stock-data-notes-and-definitions-includes-hfr-full-guidance-

notes-and-returns-form for definitions and HFR guidance

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Fig. 5.10 – Bedrooms (flat completions) Fig. 5.11 – Bedrooms (house completions)

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

Fig. 5.12 – Bedrooms (bungalow completions) Fig. 5.13 - Bedrooms (“other”/HMO completions)

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

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Allocated and Windfall Land

5.20 New housing has traditionally been on Allocated or Windfall Land:

• Allocated - land identified for housing in local plan policies. This includes policies in the AAP which indicate an expectation of residential development and one saved policy from the BDWLP (4.12)

• Windfall – land not allocated for housing becoming available, subject to development proposal and planning process approval.

5.21 92% and 8% of completions (net) in 2015/16 were on ‘windfall’ and ‘allocated’ sites respectively (Fig. 5.14). Of ‘windfall’ completions, 88% were flats, 7% houses, 3% bungalows and 2% other (Fig. 5.15).

5.22 100% of ‘allocated’ completions were flats resulting from one single development/application (Fig. 5.16).

Fig. 5.14 – Windfall & Allocated completions (net)

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

Fig. 5.15 – Windfall completions (net) by dwelling type

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

Fig. 5.16 – Allocated completions (net) by dwelling type Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

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Progress on any allocations forming part of the AAP and policy 4.12 of the BDWLP is shown below (Table 5.3) Table 5.3 - Progress on allocated sites

Policy Number and Allocated Site

Location

Site Area Remaining (hectares) [total area

in brackets]

Estimated Units

remaining (indicative

max)

Dwellings progressing at 31st March 2016

(completed, under construction or with planning permission)

A1 ASDA 3.47 [3.47]

100 0

A4 Berry Court 0 [0.7]

113 Approved in principal by Planning Board 14/12/2015

A5 Central Car Park 1.24 [1.24]

200 0

A6 Christchurch Road (part)

0.63

[2.07]

60 0 PP granted 28/11/2014, unstarted as at 31/03/16 PP granted 16/04/2014, completed 2015/16

A7 Commercial Road/ Avenue Road

3.43 [3.43]

150

A8 Cotlands Road 0.81 [0.81]

41 0

A10 Durley Road 0.32 [0.32]

44 0

A11 Eden Glen 0.42 [0.42]

84 (45 net) 0

A12 Glen Fern Road 1.14 [1.28]

50 149 PP granted for part of site March 2013, completed 2014-15

A14 Holdenhurst Road 0.7 [0.7]

50 0

A15 Leyton Mount 0 [0.58]

- 64 PP granted September 2012, completed 2014/15

A16 Madeira Road 0 [0.7]

- 74 PP granted August 2012, completed 2014/15

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Policy Number and Allocated Site

Location

Site Area Remaining (hectares) [total area

in brackets]

Estimated Units

remaining (indicative

max)

Dwellings progressing at 31st March 2016

(completed, under construction or with planning permission)

A18 Punshon Church 0

[0.2]

- 104 PP granted February 2015 for 104 residential flats, unstarted as at 31/03/2016

A19 Richmond Gardens

0

[1.33]

- 120 PP granted September 2010 & time extension granted 20/12/2013, unstarted as at 31/03/2016

A20 Richmond Hill 0.29 [0.29]

70 0

A21 St Paul’s Place 0 [0.8]

- 188 Time extension application granted 31/03/2014, unstarted as at 31/03/2016

A22 St Stephen’s Road

0.37 [0.37]

40 0

A23 St Swithun’s Road 0.25 [0.45]

17 83 PP granted for part of site, 18/03/2011, unstarted as at 31/03/2016

A24 Telephone Exchange

1.06 [1.06]

73 0 PP granted on part of site August 2008, now expired

A25 Terrace Mount 0 [0.94]

- 60 PP granted November 2011, completed 2015/16

A28 West Hill Road 0.29 [0.29]

20 0

A29 Westover Road / Hinton Road

0.67 [0.67]

50 0

A31 Winter Gardens 1.96 [1.96]

114 0

BDWLP 4.12 By Alton Road

0.32 [0.32]

1 1 PP granted on part of site for 1 unit, now expired.

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Policy Number and Allocated Site

Location

Site Area Remaining (hectares) [total area

in brackets]

Estimated Units

remaining (indicative

max)

Dwellings progressing at 31st March 2016

(completed, under construction or with planning permission)

BDWLP 4.12 By Wallisdown Road

0.51 [0.51]

1 0 PP granted October 2009, now expired.

BDWLP 4.12 Land adjacent to White Farm Close

0.95 [0.95]

3 0 PP granted October 2009, now expired.

TOTAL 18.83 ha

remaining 1,281

remaining 843 progressing

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

Site Sizes & Dwellings per Site Size Site Sizes

5.23 99% (150/151) of sites hosting completions were Windfall (Fig. 5.17), resulting in an almost identical arrangement in terms of site size as described below (paragraphs 5.27 & 5.28) which describe Windfall & Allocated combined.

5.24 One development was completed on an Allocated site hosting 20+ dwellings (Fig. 5.18).

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Fig. 5.17 – Proportion of Site Sizes (Windfall) Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

Fig. 5.18 – Proportion of Site Sizes (Allocated) Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

Fig. 5.19 – Proportion of Site Sizes (All - Windfall & Allocated) Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

5.25 Sites experiencing net change in dwelling numbers varied in scale. Sites hosting 1-4 & 5-9 dwellings were more common than sites hosting 15-19 & 20+ dwellings, representing a combined 82% and 10% respectively. Sites hosting 20+ dwellings were equal to those hosting 10-14 (7%). Sites hosting 15-19 were least common (3%) (Fig. 5.19).

5.26 Of the 151 sites with completions (net), 85 (56%) hosted 4 or fewer, 65 (43%) 5+ and 16 (11%) 15+ dwellings (Fig. 5.19). This is a result of small-scale development (e.g. infill, backland, PD and conversions on predominately windfall land).

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Fig. 5.20 – Number of sites of each size and completions (net) per site

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

Dwellings per Site Despite greater numbers of sites with 1-4 dwellings as described above, the highest proportion (57%) of net completions resulted from 20+ dwelling sites. Sites with 5-9, 1-4, 15-19 and 10-14 hosted 17%, 11%, 10% and 6% respectively (Fig. 5.21). This is a result of high density redevelopment and PD change of use of taller commercial buildings, particularly in the town centre and along the coastal strip.

Fig. 5.21 – Completions (net) per site size Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

Fig. 5.22 – Completions (net) per site size (Windfall) Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

Fig. 5.23 – Completions (net) per site size (Allocated) Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

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Site Nature Previously Developed Land (PDL) & Site Types 5.27 Amendment to Planning Policy Statement 3 (PPS3) in June 2010 excluded private residential gardens from the previously developed land (PDL) definition. The amendment remains in place so most ‘backland’ or ‘infill’ development has been re-classified as ‘non-PDL’. ‘Non-PDL’ is preferred to ‘greenfield’ in this report to avoid confusion because the term ‘greenfield’ has historically been attributed to agricultural sites. 686 (94%) of completions (net) were on PDL and 44 (6%) on Non-PDL (Fig. 5.24). In addition to ‘PDL & ‘non-PDL’, sites are categorised into 10 types to provide more detailed analysis (Table 5.4).

Table 5.4 - Site Types

Site Type Definition

Backland Plots to the rear of properties used to support residential development. If a private residential garden, it’s counted as non-PDL according to the NPPF definition

Conversion Change from residential to alternative residential use, for example house to flats through sub-division

Change of use Change from one use to another, for example employment to residential or hotel to flats

Derelict Land Land previously developed but vacant for a number of years

Extension Expansion of existing properties that cannot be classed as either conversion or change of use. For example, 2-storey extension forming 3 additional flats within existing block. If involving loss of a private residential garden, it’s counted as non-PDL

Greenfield Typically agricultural land situated towards the edge of the Borough. For the purposes of this report it’s counted as non-PDL, but does not cover all types of non-PDL under the definition in the NPPF

Infill Plots situated between other existing plots. If a private residential garden, it’s counted as non-PDL

Open Space Usually within the main area of the Borough with existing recreational use. This falls within the general classification for greenfield sites

Redevelopment Involves demolition of existing building(s) making way for new build development.

Unused Urban Falls within the general classification for greenfield sites

5.28 ‘Redevelopment’ (50%) accounted for the most significant completion (net) type in 2015/16. The second largest proportion was ‘Changes of Use’ accounting for 23%. ‘Infill’ and ‘backland’ development collectively accounted for 2% (excluding residential gardens). ‘Conversions’ and ‘extensions’ accounted respectively for 9% and 11%. ‘Non-PDL’ (including residential gardens) accounted for 6% (Fig. 5.25).

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Fig. 5.24 - Completions (net) on PDL & Non- PDL Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

Fig. 5.25 – Completions (net) by Site Type Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

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Density of new housing developments

5.29 The NPPF doesn’t recommend targets regarding density. Mean density of dwellings completed, under construction or with planning approval as at 31st March 2016 per ward is shown below (Fig. 5.26 & 5.27). 5 wards on the northern borough boundary have the lowest mean site density (ranging between 24-50 dwellings per hectare). 9 wards (50% of total wards) in the middle and South East regions of the borough have mean site densities ranging 51-100 dwellings per hectare. Central ward has the highest site density at 238 dwellings per hectare and was grouped with 3 others (West Cliff, East Cliff & Springbourne and Boscombe West - 16.7% of total wards) on the south western coastal strip that each hosted between 101-150 dwellings per hectare.

5.30 Coastal wards experience higher density development than inland wards. This trend is ongoing and influenced by the nature and potential of existing sites/buildings. Older, larger-scale houses/villas and hotels in sizeable grounds along the coastal strip are continuing to be converted/demolished and replaced by developments with increased numbers of units. Central ward hosts considerably taller buildings than other wards and a number of high density developments are proposed on existing car parks. By contrast, areas inland were developed later forming suburbs of smaller houses and gardens which have less potential for high density redevelopment.

Fig. 5.26 – Mean site density (units per ha) per ward

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

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Fig. 5.27 - Mean site density (units per ha) of completions

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

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Fig. 5.28 - Ward Totals

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

Distribution of new and planned dwellings across Bournemouth

5.31 In terms of net completions, Central, Westbourne & West Cliff and East Cliff &

Springbourne accounted for 35.2%, 20.1% and 7.7% respectively equating to a

combined approximate 63.0%. In contrast, 4 wards (Moordown, Littledown & Iford,

Wallisdown & Winton West, Kinson South & Throop & Muscliff) hosted fewer than 10

each and only equated to a combined 3.3% (Fig. 5.29, 5.32 & 5.33).

5.32 The distribution of dwellings under construction (gross) showed a similar pattern

to completions with the highest number 334 (42.4%) in Central. East Cliff &

Springbourne, Boscombe East and West Cliff hosted 120 (15.2%), 96 (12.2%) and 88

(11.2%) respectively and when combined equated to 38.6%. In comparison, the 4 wards

with the fewest (Strouden Park, Throop & Muscliff, Moordown & Littledown & Iford)

equated to only 1.8% (Fig. 5.30, 5.34 & 5.35). It’s reasonable to assume a significant

proportion of next years’ completions will occur in the south-western coastal wards.

Overall, there were a total of 787 dwellings under construction as at 31st March 2016

which is a decline of 338 from last year.

5.33 As at 31st March 2015, Central offers the greatest potential for future residential

development hosting unimplemented planning permissions for 988 (net) dwellings and

equating to 55% all permissions. East Cliff & Springbourne and Westbourne & West Cliff

followed with 297 (16.5%) and 130 (7.2%) respectively, but even combined accounted

for only 50% of Central’s permissions. In contrast, 5 wards (Wallisdown & Winton West,

Throop & Muscliff, Kinson North, Redhill & Northbourne & Kinson South) each had fewer

than 35 unimplemented permissions equating to a combined 9.6% of the total (Fig. 5.31,

5.36 & 5.37). 1,797 dwellings (net) in total had outstanding planning consent but

remained unimplemented.

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Fig. 5.29 –

Completions

(net) per ward

Source: Research

& Information,

Bournemouth

Borough Council

Fig. 5.30 – Under

Construction

(gross) per ward

Source: Research

& Information,

Bournemouth

Borough Council

Fig. 5.31 –

Unimplemented

(net) per ward

Source: Research

& Information,

Bournemouth

Borough Council

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Fig. 5.32 - Distribution of completions (net) *negatives result from demolitions with no completions

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

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Fig. 5.33 - Completions (net) per ward *top value = actual number, bottom value = % of total

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

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Fig. 5.34 - Distribution of under construction (gross)

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

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Fig. 5.35 - Under construction (gross) per ward *top value = actual number, bottom value = % of total

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

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Fig. 5.36 - Distribution of unimplemented (net) *negatives result from previous demolition but no commencement

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

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Fig. 5.37 - Unimplemented (net) per ward *top value = actual number, bottom value = % of total

Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

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Vacant dwellings, and second or holiday homes

There were approximately 89,506 properties in Bournemouth as at September 201635 of which 3,273 are estimates as second homes36. The identification of second homes relies on council tax second home discount registration.

5.35 As at September 2016, an estimated 745 dwellings were long term vacant. Please note, this indicator only includes properties vacant for 6+ months.

Housing market and income

5.36 The average property price in Bournemouth has increased by around 0.7% to £232,713 since the previous year (January to March). Change in average house price and volume of sales in Bournemouth (January 2006 to July 2016) based on monthly statistics from the Land Registry is shown below (Fig. 5.38).

Fig. 5.38 - Average House Prices and Volume of Sales

Source: Monthly house price index and volume of sales

Land Registry © Crown Copyright 2016

Fig. 5.39 shows the average price of dwellings sold across the borough by postcode sector during the first quarter of 2016. Dwellings in the postcode sector BH1 1 had the lowest average price at £151,000. The highest occurred in postcode sector BH7 7 with sales averaging at £444,400.37

35 Census 2011 dwelling count, and completions data for 2011/12 to 2015/16, Research & Information,

Bournemouth Borough Council 36 Council Tax Base return, October 2016 37 Quarterly house price data, Land Registry © Crown Copyright 2016

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Fig. 5.39 - Average price of property sales (January to March 2015)

Source: HM Land Registry Quarterly House Prices, Crown Copyright

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5.37 At the average price of £232,71338, buyers requiring an 80% mortgage (deposit of £46,543 required) would need to earn over £53,000 per year to purchase a property (assuming a mortgage of three and a half times annual salary). To put this into perspective, the 2016 Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (ASHE) indicates the average gross annual earnings for full-time employees’ resident in Bournemouth is £26,89739. On this income a single person could borrow £94,140 (assuming three and a half times annual salary), so with a 20% deposit they would be able to purchase a property for approximately £117,700.

5.38 Fig. compares average property prices with the average price deemed affordable when considering average earnings (based on acquiring a mortgage of 3.5 times annual earnings plus a 20% deposit)40. It shows average annual earnings overall have increased between 2002 and 2016, but the gap between earnings and house prices is still substantial.

Fig. 5.40 - Average earnings & average property price comparison (2002 to 2016)

Source: HM Land Registry and ASHE, Crown Copyright

38 Average house price data (quarterly) January – March 2016, HM Land Registry, Crown Copyright 39 Average gross annual earnings for full-time employees on adult rates, residence-based median. Includes

employees on adult rates whose pay for the survey pay-period was not affected by absence, 2016 40 The measure of 3.5 times annual earnings plus a 20% deposit is the same used in the National Housing

Federation Home Truths document. In reality, lower earners may not be able to save enough capital to provide a 20% deposit.

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5.39 ASHE data indicates that at April 2015, 10% of the full-time employees on adult rates in Bournemouth earned less than £303.20 per week, equating to around £15,810 per year. With a mortgage 3.5 times salary a person earning £15,810 per year could borrow £55,330, so with a 20% deposit they would be able to purchase a property for approximately £69,200.

5.40 With two incomes at £303.20 per week providing a total household income of about £31,620 per annum, a couple could purchase a property for approximately £138,300 (assuming a 20% deposit of roughly £27,700).

5.41 Home Truths 2015/1641 (National Housing Federation) attributed a house prices to income ratio of 9.6 to Bournemouth based on average house prices in 2014 and average incomes.

5.42 The Indices of Deprivation 201542 included a ‘Barriers to Housing and Services’ domain which is split into a further two sub-domains: geographical barriers and wider barriers. The wider barriers sub-domain looked at relative deprivation of areas in terms of:

• Household overcrowding: The proportion of all households in an LSOA which are deemed to have insufficient space to meet the household’s needs (2011)

• Homelessness: Number of accepted decisions for assistance under the homelessness provisions of housing legislation (Department for Communities and Local Government, 2011/12, 2012/13 and 2013/14 averages)

• Housing affordability: Modelled estimate of households unable to afford owner-occupation or the private rental market on the basis of their income (Family Resources Survey, Regulated Mortgage Survey, Land Registry house prices and Valuation Office Agency market rents estimation, 2012).

5.43 Compared to the previous index (2010), Bournemouth has experienced a relative deterioration in this domain, with 62% of its LSOAs43 falling within the top 40% most deprived nationally compared to 30% in 2010. The latest index uses the 2011 Census rather than the 2001 Census for overcrowding so this may explain some of the changes. However, as the index is relative to other areas in England it’s difficult to say whether Bournemouth has deteriorated or whether other areas have improved; the extent of change is likely to point to deterioration for this particular measure.

41 Home Truths 2015/16: South West, National Housing Federation, November 2015. This is the latest

publication. 42 Indices of Deprivation 2015, Department for Communities and Local Government, released September

2015 43 The geography used is the lower layer Super Output Area. These areas are based on groupings of

Census Output Areas (typically 5) and represent approximately a minimum population of 1,000 with a mean population of 1,500

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Affordable housing

Amount of Affordable Housing

5.44 The delivery of affordable housing in the town is monitored annually and published in this report. The monitoring process records progress on the number of affordable dwellings provided through BDWLP Policy 6.6 and (from May 2010) whether the targets of the Affordable Housing Development Plan Document (AHDPD) are achieved.

5.45 The monitoring process for affordable housing records:

• Total affordable dwellings built

• Dwellings built as a result of the AHDPD affordable housing policy or BDWLP policy 6.6 including as a percentage of total housing

• Affordable housing units built directly by Private Registered Providers (PRPs)44

• Open market units acquired by PRPs

• Tenure of affordable dwellings delivered

In addition, National Indicator NI 155 requires the total number of affordable homes delivered (gross). The National Indicator was designed to promote increased supply of affordable housing. Although the national indicators have now been abolished, NI 155 has been retained as a local indicator which measures total supply of social rented housing and intermediate housing. Against this, the Council will deduct numbers of social rented units lost through ‘Right to Buy’.

5.46 In December 2009 the new AHDPD was adopted by the Borough Council, but was not implemented until the companion supplementary planning document (SPD) had been adopted. The SPD was adopted in April 2010 and the new AHDPD policy applied to all residential development applications registered on or after 4 May 2010. The policy seeks to secure a target of 40% affordable housing with no threshold on site size or number of dwellings and provision is expected to be on-site. Where this is not appropriate off-site provision or financial contribution may be accepted. If developers can demonstrate providing 40% affordable housing makes the scheme unviable then a cascade mechanism can be used to increase viability firstly through securing grants, secondly by varying the tenure mix, or finally reducing the overall amount of affordable housing requirement.

5.47 In the year 2015/16, 29 affordable dwellings were built or classified as affordable. 26 were as a direct result of the AHDPD and 3 were Local Authority builds. Section 106 agreements have been produced to provide more units as a direct result of the AHDPD in the future and financial contributions have been made (paragraph 5.48). The 29 units represent 4.0% of all completions45. 27 units were sold under ‘right

44 The term Private Registered Provider is now commonly used instead of Registered Social Landlord or

Housing Association. 45 Affordable housing only accounts for dwellings to be managed directly by the Local Authority or PRP’s.

It’s acknowledged that some developers build units which are intended to be rented out below the usual market value, and could be considered more ‘affordable’, but are still not officially counted as affordable dwellings.

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to buy’ so there was a net gain of 2 affordable dwellings in 2015/1646. There were no known purchases or sales of housing stock by private registered providers.

5.48 In terms of financial contributions for affordable housing, £364,847 was received in the 2015/16 as a result of the AHDPD. There were 202 sites granted planning permission for additional residential units in 2015/16, 27 of which (17.4%) were considered ‘not viable’ for affordable housing contributions under the AHDPD. Legal agreements for affordable housing contributions were agreed in principle from residential applications amounting to £1,945,406.

5.49 The total number of dwellings in Bournemouth increased between 1996 and 2016, with 72,888 properties on the Council Tax Register in 1996 compared to a total dwelling stock of 88,663 as at 1st April 201647. This equals an increase of just over 18%.

5.50 According to the Local Authority Housing Statistics (LAHS) return, there were 5,185 Local Authority dwellings in Bournemouth as at 1 April 2016. Combined with last year’s stock of 3,559 homes provided by PRPs48, this represents 9.9% of the total dwelling stock of 88,663 units. The proportion of social housing units compared to the total dwelling stock has remained fairly consistent since 1996, when it was around 10.6%.

Housing trajectory

5.51 The housing trajectory has been prepared in the same manner as previous years, following advice contained in the superseded good practice guide and discussion amongst officers of the local planning authorities in the Dorset sub-region. The figures within the trajectory are net dwellings, in line with the Core Strategy target.

Fig. 5.41 - Housing Trajectory Source: Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council

46 Data taken from LAHS 2015/16 and residential land monitoring, Corporate Research & Information

(Bournemouth Borough Council) 2015/16 47 Calculated from Census 2011 (ONS) and Residential Land Monitoring Completions from 1st April 2011

(Corporate Research & Information, Bournemouth Borough Council). Please note, the source is different from previous years, so direct comparison is not possible.

48 Data taken from DCLG Live Table 115, www.gov.uk – originally provided by the HCA.

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Conclusions – Housing

5.52 In terms of dwelling completions, development levels continue ahead of the 20-year Core Strategy target (730 annualised). 8,237 (net) dwellings were completed in the first 10 years of the plan period; an annual average of 834 dwellings equating to 56.4%.

5.53 New housing stock in Bournemouth has predominantly been on windfall land, although some significant allocations from the town centre AAP are under construction or completed. The next few years is likely to see an increase in completions in light of the increased number of dwelling commitments with planning consent or prior approval notifications for PD. The fifth SHLAA identifying developable land for residential use up to March 2031 is accessible from:

http://www.bournemouth.gov.uk/planningbuilding/PlanningPolicy/Other-Planning-Documents/strategic-housing-land-availability-assessment-2016.aspx

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6 Transport

6.1 Operating the local transport network in Bournemouth as efficiently as possible remains essential to support the local economic and population growth, in addition to enabling visitors and residents to access key services.

Traffic Trends

6.2 Traffic flow within Bournemouth has declined from 2015 to 2016, which is consistent with in the downwards trend prevalent since 2002. Traffic has declined by 2.1% across all monitored sites to an average daily flow of 507,840 motor vehicles in 201549. From 2002 to 2006, the decline in traffic flow has been steady, and the steeper decline from 2006 to 2011 is almost certainly linked to the financial crisis of 2007. Similarly, the fluctuations in traffic flow since 2011 is most likely related year on year variations but the trend remains downward.

6.3 Monitored corridors are however behaving differently due to local conditions. Within the Town Centre Cordon traffic has seen a 1% decline in 2015 with an average daily flow of 184,500. Outside the Town Centre Cordon, the Castle Lane Corridor and Tuckton Bridge continue to attract a long-term growth in traffic volumes compensating for declines elsewhere. The increase in traffic across the Stour could be encouraged by the attractiveness of Bournemouth as workplace destination for residents in the eastern part of the conurbation.

Figure 6.1 Traffic Flow in the Town Centre Cordon, 1996 to 2015

Source: Bournemouth Transport Statistics

6.4 Traffic accidents and road causalities remain a problem in Bournemouth with the town being consistently a poor performing authority. During 2014, the most recent reported year, 70 people were killed or seriously injured and 552 slightly

49 Bournemouth Transport Statistics, Bournemouth Borough Council, 2016.

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injured on Bournemouth’s roads50. The value of prevention of these collisions equates to £33.4 million, which demonstrates the massive financial impact road collisions have on the local economy. It is recognised that there is still a significant problem with vulnerable road users and particularly cyclist accidents in Bournemouth. A cyclist is 90 times more likely to become a casualty in a collision than a car user. The Council will continue to monitor these statistics.

Cycling and Walking

6.5 Cycling in Bournemouth has seen a boost in numbers with the 14-year trend seeing a 56% increase, with a 3.7% average annual growth51. Cyclists are an increasingly common sight on the Borough’s roads in comparison with 14 years ago for a wide range of purposes; whether this is leisure, shopping, exercise or commuting. Whilst this is a success, and use of cycling as a means of transport in Bournemouth is above the national average, more can still be done before cycling is chosen as a preferred method for travelling to work.

Figure 6.2 Average Cycle Flow statistics from 2003 to 2015

Source: Bournemouth Transport Statistics

Parking

6.6 Parking is a perennial complaint for residents, businesses and visitors to Bournemouth. Parking pressure leads to illegal parking on the pavement and conflict between users as well as obstructions to driveways. The Council continues to change on-street parking arrangements across the borough to try reduce tension between need for parking restrictions and the demand for on-street parking.

6.7 As part of the AAP’s redistribution of public car parks within the Town Centre, development sites within the town centre are being replaced including the Exeter Road car park and Terrace Mount car park that have now been substantially completed.

50 Bournemouth Road Safety Report, Bournemouth Borough Council, 2016. 51 Bournemouth Transport Statistics, Bournemouth Borough Council, 2016.

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Public Transport

6.8 Bournemouth has seen a long term increase in bus patronage, which accelerated after 2005/06 and peaked in 2010/11. There was a 60% increase for journeys starting in Bournemouth: with 10.3 million journeys made in 2000/01 compared to 17.6 million journeys in 2015/1652. The years since the 2010/11 peak have fluctuated between 17.4m and 18.5m.

6.9 A general increase in rail patronage from a base of 2.2 million passengers in 2004/05 to just almost 2.7 million passengers in 2015/16 has occurred at Bournemouth Station53. This is a significant improvement on the preceding years. Continued investment at the Travel Interchange is likely to enhance the attractiveness of using the station as an interchange facility between modes. Pokesdown Station has seen continued growth in passengers down from 299,000 passengers in 2011/12 to 312,000 in 2015/16 319,00.

Figure 6.3 Exits and Entries to Bournemouth and Pokesdown stations, 2004/05 to 2015/16

Source: Station Usage, Office of Rail Regulation 2016

52 Bournemouth Bus Patronage, Bournemouth Borough Council, 2016 53 Station Usage, Office of Rail Regulator, 2016

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7 Local Development Scheme Milestones

Timing of Plans

7.1 In accordance with the Town and Country Planning (Local Planning) (England) Regulations 2012 the AMR has to contain particular information on progress being made on plans as specified in the Local Development Scheme (LDS). A schedule of LDS milestones can be found in Appendix 4. The operative LDS to March 2016 was approved on 29th June 2014. The LDS identifies the following Development Plan Documents:

Green Completed on schedule

Yellow Completed but not to schedule

Orange Not completed and not on schedule

Blue Delay agreed

None Timetable outside the scope of this annual monitoring report

Core Strategy

Milestone Target met

February 2009: Start of Core Strategy regulation 25 engagement with key delivery stakeholders and preparation of a public document for consultation. On 12th February 2009 letters were sent to all statutory bodies and key stakeholders to gather views on what should be included in the Core Strategy and to ensure that the options were deliverable.

Milestone Target met

July/August 2009: start of Issues and Options consultation. The Issues and Options consultation document was published for an eight-week period of consultation on 14th August 2010.

Milestone Target met

May/June 2010: Draft Preferred Options consultation On 30th June 2010 consultation started for a six-week period on the Preferred Options.

Milestone Target met

August/October 2011: Submission DPD “Soundness” Consultation The Pre-Submission consultation document was published for an eight-week period of consultation on 31st August 2011.

Milestone Target met

Submission to Secretary of State November 2011 The Pre-Submission consultation document was submitted to the Secretary of State on the 16th November 2011. A public examination was held in March 2012 and the Plan was adopted in October 2012.

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Town Centre Area Action Plan

Milestone Target met

Start of period of preparation, community involvement and consultation with consultees scheduled to commence in December 2008 There has been ongoing dialogue between the Council and stakeholders on key issues included in the AAP.

Milestone Target met

Start of period of public participation on Issues and Options scheduled to commence in April 2009. The period of public participation on the Issues and Options document commenced on schedule.

Milestone Target

Draft Preferred Options Consultation Delay agreed to draft Preferred Options consultation (January/February 2010) (see below)

Milestone Target met

Submission DPD “Soundness” Consultation The Pre-Submission consultation document was published for an eight-week period of consultation on 31st August 2011.

Milestone Target met

Submission to the Secretary of State November 2011 The Pre-Submission consultation document was submitted to the Secretary of State on the 16th November 2011. A public examination was held in May 2012 and the Plan was adopted in March 2013.

Affordable Housing DPD

Milestone Target met

January/February 2009: submission DPD soundness consultation. On 21st January 2009 consultation started for a 6 week period on the submission DPD.

Milestone Target met

March 2009: submission of DPD to Secretary of State in preparation for independent examination. On 27th March 2009 the documents were prepared and submitted to the Secretary of State.

Milestone Target not met

Estimated date for adoption in September 2009. The Affordable Housing DPD was adopted in December 2009.

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Dorset Wide Gypsy and Traveller (including Travelling Show people) Site Allocation Joint DPD

Milestone Target met

Issues and Preferred Options Consultation November 2011 / February 2012 On the 18th November 2011 the DPD was issued for consultation for 12 weeks.

Milestone Target not met

Publication of DPD for ‘Soundness Consultation’ July 2012. Due to the volume of responses received feedback on responses was not reported to Councils until November 2012. Later stages of preparation of the DPD have been delayed due the volume of responses received; the release of revised government guidance and the need to update the needs assessment. A revised Project Plan was agreed in March 2013 which specified a revised milestone for undertaking consultation on ‘Additional Sites’ that in effect extends the previous issues and options consultation stage.

Milestone Target met

August/ Sept 2014: Consultation on Additional Sites (only in Districts where deliverable sites identified) Consultation took place between 15 Sept and 24 October 2014.

Milestone November/December 2015: Submission DPD “Soundness” Consultation

Milestone Target not met

February 2016: Date for submission to Secretary of State Changes to the definition of a gypsy in national Planning Policy Guidance has resulted in the need to further update the needs assessment. A timetable for finalising the DPD is yet to be agreed by the Councils.

Heathland Mitigation Joint DPD with other SE Dorset Authorities

Milestone Target met

May 2007: Regulation 25 Initial consultation with stakeholders to start The Regulation 25 consultation commenced according to the agreed timescale.

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Milestone Target met

February-June 2008: Issues and Options consultation An Issues and Options leaflet was published for consultation in September 2007.

Milestone Target met

February/April 2013: Draft Preferred Options consultation In February 2013 consultation started for a six-week period on the Preferred Options

Milestone Target not met

September/October 2013: Submission DPD “Soundness” Consultation Not to be progressed and deleted from the LDS because the south east Dorset Local Authorities now have specific heathland Local Plan policies in place and an updated Heathland Joint SPD is being prepared.

Development Management Policy DPD

Milestone Target partly met

Initial Regulation 18 engagement with stakeholders July 2013. Some internal consultation undertaken, delay in broader reg 18 consultation due to resources. Stakeholder consultation took place between 12 November – 24 December 2013

Milestone Target not met

October/November 2013: start of Issues and Options consultation. A later date for consultation on this stage was agreed by Cabinet as the Government are currently consulting on a range of changes to planning legislation that will have an impact on the content of development management policies

Milestone January/February 2015: Issues and Possible Options consultation

Milestone Target not met

July/August 2015: Submission DPD “Soundness” Consultation. Work suspended and DPD to be deleted from LDS as development management policies are to be incorporated in to a reviewed local plan

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Community Infrastructure Levy

Milestone Target met

August / September 2014: Consultation on Preliminary Draft Charging Schedule. The Bournemouth CIL Preliminary Draft Charging Schedule was published on 1 August 2014 for a 6 week period of public consultation expiring on 15 September 2014

Milestone Target not met

November/December 2014: Consultation on Draft Charging Schedule Consultation commence February 2015 following addition viability work

Milestone Target not met

December 2014: Submission of Draft Charging Schedule to Secretary of State. Submission to Secretary of State in April 2015

Milestone Target not met

February 2015: Examination in Public The delay in submission resulted in a delay in the Examination. The Examination Hearing sessions were held on 20th August 2015.

Milestone Target not met

Adoption – April 2015 The CIL Charging Schedule was adopted on 19th January 2016 and came into effect on 1st March 2016.

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Appendix 1 Schedule of Contextual Indicators

Population (2011 Census)

Usual Resident Population 183,491

Population (Mid Year Estimates)

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Population 166,700 170,100 172,000 174,300 179,300 183,500 186,700 188,700 191,400 194,500

Age Structure

0 to 15 years 25,600 26,000 26,400 27,000 27,700 28,300 29,200 29,900 30,500 31,200

16 to 29 years 36,600 38,200 38,600 38,500 40,300 41,100 41,500 41,200 41,400 41,700

30 to 44 years 34,900 35,500 35,800 36,700 38,000 39,300 40,000 40,500 41,000 41,900

45 to 64 years 37,600 38,400 39,200 40,100 41,100 42,100 42,700 43,300 44,000 44,700

65 to 84 years 26,500 26,100 26,000 26,000 26,200 26,400 27,200 27,800 28,300 28,700

85 years & over

5,700 5,900 6,000 6,000 6,100 6,200 6,200 6,100 6,200 6,200

Population Density

Population by hectare

36.1 36.8 37.2 37.7 38.8 39.7 40.4 40.9 41.4 42.1

Households (2011 Census)

Total number of households (with residents) 82,374

Total number of household spaces (with/without residents) 87,016

Percentage of household spaces with no usual residents 5.3%

Households (2001 Census)

Vacant 3.9%

Second residence/holiday accommodation 2.1%

Household type (2011 Census)

All Pensioner households 21.4%

Married or same sex civil partnership couple households 25.4%

Cohabiting couple households 10.3%

Lone parent households 8.6%

Other households 34.3%

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Dwelling type (2011 Census)

Detached 31.0%

Semi-detached 13.2%

Terraced (inc end-terrace) 6.2%

Flat, maisonette or apartment: Purpose-built block of flats or tenement

31.5%

Flat, maisonette or apartment: Part of a converted or shared house (including bed-sits)

15.2%

Flats in commercial building 2.4%

Caravan or other mobile/temporary structure 0.5%

Average household size 2.2

Housing (Completions)

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Number of dwellings completed (net)

1,534 1,218 622 492 555 639 394 964 730

Number of dwellings completed (gross)

1,709 1,344 743 601 679 693 482 1,033 817

Percentage on brownfield land*

98.0% 98.0% 99.9% 87% 95.0% 94.5% 93.6% 87.8% 93.8%

Percentage houses 14.4% 15.5% 14.8% 16.3% 21.0% 9.9% 11.6% 18.4% 10.0%

Percentage flats 85.6% 84.5% 85.2% 80.0% 76.6% 87.4% 83.2% 77.9% 83.0%

Number of affordable housing completions

210 172 213 113 48 13 22 86 29

Average density of new development (dwellings per hectare)

75.9 93.4 89.0 96.5 87.6 117.1 97.8 74.8 93.3

*the definition of brownfield land for 2010/11 onwards no longer includes land previously in use as residential gardens.

Tenure (2011 Census)

Owns outright 27.7%

Owns with a mortgage or loan 29.4%

Shared ownership (part owned and part rented) 0.7%

Social Rented: Rented from local authority 5.9%

Social rented: Other 5.2%

Private Rented: Private landlord or letting agency 28.2%

Private Rented: Other 1.8%

Living rent free 1.0%

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Tenure (2011 Census)

Amenities:

With central heating 96.2%

Without central heating 3.8%

Total number of dwellings 85,381

Crime (Bournemouth)

Crime rates per 1,000 of the resident population54

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Anti-social behaviour 81.22 70.00 64.34 55.90 50.08

Burglary 10.34 9.96 9.52 5.96 7.28

Criminal damage and arson2

7.2 13.15 11.39 9.78 11.02

Drugs2 1.9 2.10 1.57 3.53 3.27

Other crime55 26.92 2.36 0.76 0.67 1.02

Other theft 13.04 19.50 18.08 15.16 15.32

Public disorder and weapons2

1.68 2.69 2.43 2.66 3.01

Robbery 0.58 0.60 0.57 0.53 0.61

Shoplifting2 5.35 8.40 9.09 7.86 8.33

Vehicle crime 9.06 9.86 8.14 7.02 8.43

Violent crime 18.20 13.30 12.94 17.27 22.40

TOTAL 175.47 151.93 138.85 129.73 135.08

54 Rates calculated using mid-year population estimates for 2011,2012, 2013, 2014 and 2015. Crime

incidence source: data.police.uk monthly crime statistics for the Dorset Police force. 55 The categories “Criminal damage and arson”, “Drugs”, “Other theft”, “Public disorder and weapons” and

“Shoplifting” were only reported from September 2011 onwards. As a result, the “other crime” category shows more entries in 2011/12 than 2012/13.

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Social (Indices of Deprivation)

2004 2007 2010 2015

Local authority Rank of Average Score (where 1 is the most deprived)

Ranked 95th out of 354 local authorities (77% of LSOAs within Bournemouth are within the 60% most deprived nationally)

Ranked 108th out of 354 local authorities (77% of LSOAs within Bournemouth are within the 60% most deprived nationally)

Ranked 102nd out of 326 local authorities (75% of LSOAs within Bournemouth are within the 60% most deprived nationally)

Ranked 121st out of 326 local authorities (70% of LSOAs within Bournemouth are within the 60% most deprived nationally)

Geographical barriers to housing & services sub-domain

54 out of 107 LSOAs within Bournemouth are within the 60% most deprived nationally

57 out of 107 LSOAs within Bournemouth are within the 60% most deprived nationally

59 out of 107 LSOAs within Bournemouth are within the 60% most deprived nationally

57 out of 107 LSOAs within Bournemouth are within the 60% most deprived nationally

Health (Life expectancy at birth)

Life expectancy (ONS)

1999-03 2003-05 2003-07 2007-09 2008-10 2010-12 2011-13 2012-14

Male 75.9 77.3 77.5 78.0 78.0 78.6 78.9 78.8

Female 81 81.9 82.1 82.6 82.6 83.1 83.0 83.1

Health (Limiting long term illness by household)

One or more person with limiting long term illness, 2011 Census

25.95% of households

Social (House price to income ratio)

NHF, 2006

NHF, 2007

Home-track 2008

SW Home Truths, 2010

SW Home Truths, 2011

SW Home Truths, 2012

SW Home Truths, 2013/14

SW Home Truths, 2014/15

SW Home Truths, 2015/16

House price/ income ratio

9.8:1 12.0:1 6.5:1 10.3:1 11.3:1 11.4:1

10.9:1

9.3:1 9.6:1

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*provisional

Economy (Employment)

Employment 2013 2014 2015 2016

Claimant rate, March (residence based) (Nomis, ONS)

3.2% 2.4% 1.5% 1.5

Economy (Number of firms, ABI)

Number of Firms by Sector and Size (ABI)

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Agriculture and fishing

Confidential Confidential Confidential Confidential Confidential

Energy and water Confidential Confidential Confidential Confidential Confidential

Manufacturing 5.3% 5.0% 4.2% 4.6% 4.3%

Construction 10.1% 10.6% 9.9% 10.9% 11.2%

Distribution, hotels and restaurants

33.4% 32.5% 31.0% 31.0% 30.9%

Transport and communications

2.9% 3.1% 2.8% 3.0% 2.9%

Banking, finance and insurance

31.4% 31.9% 33.8% 33.4% 33.4%

Public administration, education and health

8.3% 8.6% 9.9% 9.2% 9.3%

Other services 8.3% 8.1% 8.5% 7.8% 7.7%

Economy (Gross Value Added)

GVA 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*

GVA per head (£million) (Bournemouth & Poole)

20,252 21,011 21,688 21,790 22,185 21,177 21,211 21,819 22,615 23,190 23,787

Indexed to UK (where UK is 100)

100.5 99.7 98.5 97.4 100.7 95.8 94.3 94.4 94.9 93.4 93.8

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Economy (Number of firms, IDBR)

Number of Firms by Sector (IDBR, ONS)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Agriculture, forestry & fishing 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3%

Mining, quarrying & utilities 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4%

Manufacturing 4.7% 4.4% 4.2% 4.3% 4.2% 3.9% 3.7%

Construction 15.8% 15.3% 14.9% 14.6% 14.4% 14.8% 15.1%

Motor trades 2.9% 2.8% 2.8% 2.7% 2.8% 2.9% 2.8%

Wholesale 3.4% 3.8% 3.6% 3.7% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%

Retail 11.2% 11.5% 11.1% 11.0% 10.4% 9.8% 9.8%

Transport & storage (inc. postal) 2.0% 1.8% 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 1.7% 1.8%

Accommodation & food services 8.4% 8.1% 8.3% 8.3% 8.0% 8.4% 8.3%

Information & communication 8.0% 8.4% 8.5% 8.7% 9.5% 8.8% 8.8%

Finance & Insurance 2.3% 1.9% 2.1% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.9%

Property 4.6% 4.6% 4.7% 4.7% 4.9% 4.8% 4.7%

Professional, scientific & technical 13.7% 14.9% 15.4% 15.7% 15.9% 16.0% 15.6%

Business administration & support services

7.2% 7.0% 6.6% 6.4% 6.7% 7.8% 7.6%

Public administration & defence 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Education 2.4% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.4% 2.2% 2.1%

Health 5.3% 5.5% 5.7% 6.0% 5.9% 5.8% 6.0%

Arts, entertainment, recreation & other services

7.4% 6.9% 7.2% 7.1% 7.2% 7.5% 7.3%

Economy (Business size, IDBR)

Business size (IDBR, ONS) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Mini-micro (0-4 employees) 75.7% 76.0% 75.1% 75.1% 74.9% 74.8% 76.4%

Micro (0-9 employees) 88.6% 88.6% 88.0% 87.4% 87.3% 87.6% 88.1%

Small (0-49 employees) 98.1% 97.8% 97.9% 97.8% 97.9% 98.0% 98.0%

Medium (50-249 employees) 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 1.6% 1.6%

Large (250+ employees) 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%

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Economy (Employees in employment, BRES)

Employees by Sector (BRES, ONS)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Agriculture, forestry & fishing 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Production 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2%

Construction 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4%

Motor trades 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%

Wholesale 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%

Retail 15% 14% 14% 13% 12% 12%

Transport & storage (inc. postal) 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4%

Accommodation & food services 13% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11%

Information & communication 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%

Finance & Insurance 11% 11% 10% 11% 10% 10%

Property 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3%

Professional, scientific & technical 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 7%

Business administration & support services 6% 5% 6% 8% 8% 8%

Public administration & defence 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3%

Education 8% 8% 9% 9% 8% 8%

Health 16% 17% 17% 16% 17% 16%

Arts, entertainment, recreation & other services

5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%

Economy (Business Births and Deaths)

Business Demography, ONS

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Births 915 785 635 670 785 800 910 920 1,005

Deaths 765 695 875 755 675 725 710 660 690

Active Enterprises 6,780 6,680 6,530 6,535 6,415 6,495 6,620 6,740 6,960

Economy (Median earnings)

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*

Median gross full-time weekly earnings (Residence-Based) (ASHE)

£463.50 £460.00 £464.70 £482.00 £482.30 £509.90 £481.00 £510.90

% of GB Median 94.5% 91.7% 92.9% 94.8% 93.1% 97.9% 90.9% 94.4%

Median gross full-time weekly earnings (Workplace-Based) (ASHE)

£490.20 £425.90 £440.70 £479.10 £479.80 £468.40 £479.50 £531.70

% of GB Median 100.1% 85.1% 88.1% 94.3% 92.7% 90.0% 90.6% 98.4% *provisional

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Environment (Area protected by an environmental designation)

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

International 76 ha 76 ha 76ha 76ha 76ha 76ha 76ha 76ha 76ha

National 274 ha 274 ha 274ha 274ha 274ha 274ha 274ha 274ha 274ha

Local 429 ha 438 ha 436ha 439ha 439ha 439ha 439ha 439ha 439ha

Environment (Bathing Water Quality)

Bathing Water Quality (Environment Agency) 2016

Alum Chine Excellent

Boscombe Pier Good

Bournemouth Pier Good

Durley Chine Excellent

Fisherman’s Walk Excellent

Hengistbury West Excellent

Southbourne Excellent

Transport (2011 Census) Car Ownership

Households with no car 25.9%

Households with one car 44.7%

Households with 2+ cars 29.4%

All cars/vans in the area 92,927

Transport (2011 Census) Travel to work

Work mainly at or from home 6.6%

Underground, metro, light rail, tram 0.1%

Train 1.1%

Bus, minibus or coach 5.6%

Taxi 0.2%

Motorcycle, scooter or moped 0.7%

Driving a car or van 36.0%

Passenger in a car or van 3.2%

Bicycle 3.0%

On foot 7.9%

Other method of travel to work 0.3%

Not in employment 35.2%

Source: Census 2011 commissioned table CT0045

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Education (DFES/DCSF)

Percentage of pupils achieving 5 or more A*-C grades at GCSE or equivalent including English and Maths

2006/

07 2007/

08 2008/

09 2009/

10 2010/

11 2011/

12 2012/

13 2013/ 14*

2014/ 15

2015/16**

England (state funded schools)

45.9% 48.4% 50.9% 55.3% 58.4% 59.1% 60.8% 56.8% 57.1% 57.0%

Bournemouth LA

48.2% 48.9% 51.5% 56.5% 57.4% 60.7% 63.0% 61.1% 60.3% 61.1%

*It is not possible to directly compare 2013/14 figures with earlier years due to changes in the methodology. *Provisional

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Appendix 2 Schedule of Core Indicators

The Core Output Indicators listed below are fully described in the relevant chapters of this annual monitoring report. It is no longer a statutory requirement for Local Authorities to report on these indicators as shown below. Many of the indicators, however, are useful for the monitoring process and will still be recorded in the same manner as in previous years.

Economy

BD1 Total amount of additional employment floorspace - by type

BD2 Total amount of additional employment floorspace on previously built land - by type

BD3 Employment land available - by type

BD4 Total amount of floorspace for 'town centre uses'

B1a B1b B1c B2 B8 Total

BD1 Gross (sq m) 2,367 0 0 634 518 3,519

Net (sq m) (7,585) 0 (800) 510 (142) (8,017)

BD2 Gross (sq m) 2,367 0 0 634 518 3,519

% gross on PDL 100 - - 100 100 100

BD3 Hectares 1.62 0.18 - 0.00 0.00 1.8

BD4 A1 A2 B1a D2 Total

(i) Town centre Gross (sq m) 54 0 1,784 9,158 10,996

Net (sq m) (1,316) (56) (7,616) 298 (8,690)

(ii) Local authority Gross (sq m) 509 55 2,367 10,781 14,122

Net (sq m) (1,847) (493) (7,585) 1,148 (8,777)

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Housing

H1 Plan period and housing targets

H2 (a) Net additional dwellings - in previous years

H2 (b) Net additional dwellings - for the reporting year

H2 (c) Net additional dwellings - in future years

H3 New and converted dwellings - on previously developed land

H4 Net additional pitches (Gypsy and Traveller)

H5 Gross affordable housing completions

H6 Housing Quality - Building for Life Assessments

Start of plan period

End of plan period

Total housing required

Source of plan target

H1 2006 2026 14,600 (within the built-up area)

Core Strategy

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Rep Rep Rep Rep Rep Rep

H2a 1,089 1,534 1,218 622 492 555

H2b

H2c Net additions

Annual Target 730 730 730 730 730 730

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Rep Rep Rep Current 1 2

H2a 639 394 964

H2b 730

H2c Net additions 636 636

Annual Target 730 730 730 730 730 730

2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24

3 4 5 6 7 8

H2a

H2b

H2c Net additions 636 636 636 636 636 636

Annual Target 730 730 730 730 730 730

*3 short due to rounding residual figure

2024/25 2025/26 Total

9 10

H2a 7,507

H2b 730

H2c Net additions 636 636 6,360

Annual Target 730 730 14,597*

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Number on PDL % gross on PDL

H3 812 99%

Permanent Transit Total

H4 0 0 0

Social rent homes

provided Intermediate homes

provided Affordable homes

total

H5 29 0 29