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Bloomberg Wealth Management Solutions Solutions John Bridge, CFA

Bloomberg - CFA Institute Bios Synopsis... · 2015-06-30 · RMBS structured pay down with loss Model assumptions losses using 13% annual default rate, and a 30% severity. 2A1 loses

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  • BloombergWealth Management

    SolutionsSolutionsJohn Bridge, CFA

  • ECONOMIC IMPROVEMENT

    FIXED INCOME TRADING

    AGENDA11

    2

    FIXED INCOME VALUATION FOR STRUCTURED ASSETS

    PORTFOLIO RISK MANAGEMENT

    3

    4

  • Changes in the housing market, debt and savings rates, as well as borrowing and lending liquidity have

    1ECONOMIC IMPROVEMENT

    borrowing and lending liquidity have altered the wealth management landscape. They are now showing signs of improvement

    Fixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation Portfolio Risk ManagementEconomic Improvement

  • Housing Market Turn?

    Case Shiller 10 city housing price index

    New Home Sales

    Existing Home Sales

    Fixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation Portfolio Risk ManagementEconomic Improvement

    First increase in housing prices since June 2006

  • Consumer Debt and Personal Savings

    Consumer debt has dropped for the first time since 1992

    Personal Savings are at an all time high.

    1992

    Fixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation Portfolio Risk ManagementEconomic Improvement

  • Overnight Index SwapOIS spread hovered around 8 basis points from 2001 to July of 2008.

    Spread hit an all time high of 364 basis points on 10/10/08.

    Lending liquidity between banks is improving

    Fixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation Portfolio Risk ManagementEconomic Improvement

    We are now below 30 basis points

  • Find bonds that have been issued or trade under the various rescue programs so that you can take

    2FIXED INCOME TRADING

    programs so that you can take advantage of government sponsored guarantees and meet due diligence requirements by ensuring that you are quoted a fair price.

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • Bloomberg Bailout and Rescue Program Transparency Menu

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • TARP and Temporary Liquidity Guarantee Bonds

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • Live Execution for FDIC Guaranteed Bonds

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • MSRB and TRACE reporting

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • The potential overhaul of regulatory oversight is heightening the awareness and importance of fiduciary responsibility. Proper and detailed valuation methods for structured products are

    3FIXED INCOME VALUATION

    valuation methods for structured products are critical to due diligence. Bloomberg has the proper tools that you need to value MBS and structured notes so that you meet or exceed these requirements.

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • RMBS structured pay down withoutloss assumptions

    Historical Constant Default rate is 12.98, loss severity is 27.18.

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • RMBS structured pay down with loss assumptionsModel

    losses using 13% annual default rate, and a 30% severity.

    2A1 loses 2.12% with first loss in March 2013.

    2A2 loses 23.35% with first loss date in June 2011

    Reasonable default and severity assumptions produce very different return results.

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • “Super Yield Table” stratifies the collateralPerform loss

    analysis by varying loss assumptions for subsets of your collateral. In this case, we are using

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

    are using days delinquent.

  • Select all loans with a debt service coverage ratio < 1.2.

    Resulting loans with a debt service coverage ratio < 1.2.

    CMBS Advanced Scenarios

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • CMBS Advanced Scenarios

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

    Three independent loan groups with custom loss assumptions

  • CMBS Advanced ScenariosStructure Pay down

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • Bloomberg’s Structured Notes Menu

    Structure, price, and search for equity, fx, interest rate structured notes.

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • “Capital Protected” Structured Note

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • The potential overhaul of regulatory oversight is heightening the awareness and importance of fiduciary responsibility. Proper and detailed valuation methods for structured products are

    4Portfolio Risk Management

    valuation methods for structured products are critical to due diligence. Bloomberg has the proper tools that you need to value MBS and structured notes so that you meet or exceed these requirements.

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • Portfolio Slice and Dice

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • Portfolio Slice and DiceIndustry and Single Security Breakdown

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • Portfolio Slice and DiceDistribution

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • Key Rate DurationIndustry Breakdown

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • Key Rate DurationSingle Security Breakdown

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • Value at RiskIndustry Breakdown

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • Value at RiskIndustry Breakdown

    Economic Improvement Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income Trading Fixed Income Valuation

  • Questions?Questions?

    Portfolio Risk ManagementFixed Income ValuationFixed Income TradingEconomic Improvement