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Running Head: BCA: Insect Feed for Sustainable Aquaculture in South Africa 1 Benefit Cost Analysis: Insect Feed for Sustainable Aquaculture in South Africa Iver Marjerison Marylhurst University

Benefit Cost Analysis: Insect Feed for Sustainable Aquaculture

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BCA conducted on environmental, social, and economic factors affecting the implementation of a project to utilize insects as a source of protein for fish farms in South Africa

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Page 1: Benefit Cost Analysis: Insect Feed for Sustainable Aquaculture

Running  Head:  BCA:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa     1  

 

                                     

Benefit  Cost  Analysis:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa  

Iver  Marjerison  

Marylhurst  University  

                                       

Page 2: Benefit Cost Analysis: Insect Feed for Sustainable Aquaculture

BCA:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa     2        Executive  Summary  

The  Insect  Feed  for  Aquaculture  Sustainability  Project  (IFAS)  is  a  

hypothetical  project  that  is  being  suggested  as  a  means  to  improve  efficiency  and  

sustainability  of  the  14  rainbow  trout  farms  located  in  the  Western  Cape  province  of  

South  Africa.  Although  technological  innovation  and  infrastructural  improvements  

in  the  area  have  vastly  increased  the  efficiency  of  these  farms,  they  still  rely  on  

conventional  fish  feed  that  comes  at  a  high  cost  economically,  environmentally,  and  

socially.  

 The  currently  used  fish  feeds  consist  of  an  estimated  44%  fishmeal,  with  the  

majority  of  this  fishmeal  being  sourced  from  small  open  ocean  fisheries.  With  global  

human  population  rising,  there  has  been  a  significant  increase  in  the  demand  for  

fish,  which  has  resulted  in  fishmeal  prices  more  than  doubling  in  the  last  decade  

(World  Bank,  2013).  Along  with  the  economic  strain,  the  energy  intensive  sourcing  

of  wild  fish  to  fuel  aquaculture  causes  a  myriad  of  sustainability  concerns.  IFAS’s  

proposed  solution  is  the  utilization  of  insects  as  an  alternative  to  fishmeal  due  to  

their  efficient  energy  conversion,  high  protein  levels,  and  capability  of  recycling  

waste.    

Although  there  are  a  wide  range  of  potential  costs  and  benefits  to  the  

utilization  of  insects  as  fish  feed,  this  Benefit  Cost  Analysis  (BCA)  focuses  on  the  

three  aspects  projected  to  be  most  significant  in  terms  of  social,  environmental,  and  

economic  sustainability.  Benefits  analyzed  include:  food  waste  recycling,  reduced  

nitrogen  pollution,  reduced  Co2  emissions,  and  feed  cost  reduction.  Costs  include  

the  implementation  cost,  the  feed  consulting  cost,  and  the  difference  in  annual  

production.  Due  to  there  being  very  few  aquaculture  systems  currently  utilizing  

insects,  there  is  very  little  research  on  their  long-­‐term  effectiveness,  making  the  

evaluation  of  the  full  range  of  potential  benefits  and  costs  of  this  implementation  out  

of  the  scope  of  this  project.  

This  BCA  has  drawn  information  and  estimations  from  a  large  amount  of  

different  sources.  Primarily  data  regarding  the  Western  Cape’s  rainbow  trout  

production  has  been  drawn  from  reports  from  the  Aquaculture  Association  of  South  

Page 3: Benefit Cost Analysis: Insect Feed for Sustainable Aquaculture

BCA:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa     3        Africa  (AASA,  2009).  Information  regarding  the  cost  and  efficiencies  of  insects  as  a  

replacement  for  fishmeal  is  based  on  reports  from  AgriProtein  Technologies,  a  

company  based  in  South  Africa  that  specializes  in  insect  meal  to  be  used  as  livestock  

feed  (Agriprotein,  2014a).  While  data  used  to  determine  the  effects  of  insect  

utilization  on  fish  production,  pollution,  waste  recycling,  and  emission  reduction  has  

been  drawn  from  reports  by  the  United  Nations  Department  of  Food  and  Agriculture  

(FAO)  and  independent  peer  reviewed  scientific  studies  (Hilarie,  2007)  (Newton,  

2009).  It  should  be  noted  that  calculations  used  were  based  on  global  aquaculture  

data  that  may  not  apply  specifically  to  South  Africa.  Based  on  the  15-­‐year  time  

horizon  with  a  discount  rate  of  5.75%  the  BCA  estimate  showed  a  Benefit  Cost  Ratio  

(BCR)  of  2.395  with  net  benefits  of  $5,576,763.39.  The  initial  costs  associated  with  

transferring  the  aquaculture  systems  to  the  new  feed  resulted  in  a  negative  net  

benefit  of  $7904.32  in  year  zero,  with  the  benefits  accumulated  giving  a  payback  

period  of  one  year.    

The  positive  BCR  of  this  project  reflects  the  massive  potential  benefits  that  

insect  feed  utilization  by  aquaculture  systems  in  the  province  would  have,  and  

because  of  this  should  strongly  be  considered  by  the  rainbow  trout  farming  industry  

as  a  means  to  improve  efficiency.  Encouragement  of  this  project  by  local  regulatory  

bodies  could  work  to  improve  regional  sustainability,  while  coinciding  with  the  

FAO’s  (2013)  most  recent  urge  for  countries  to  implement  insects  into  their  food  

systems.  Due  to  the  current  gaps  in  the  data  making  many  of  the  presumed  benefits  

are  unable  to  be  monetized  properly,  but  it  is  assumed  that  further  research  on  the  

topic  will  reveal  significant  additional  social,  economic,  and  environmental  benefits  

associated  with  the  use  of  insects  as  livestock  feed.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

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BCA:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa     4        

 

 

Introduction     This  BCA  on  the  Insect  Feed  for  Aquaculture  Sustainability  project  analyzes  

the  various  costs  and  benefits  associated  with  the  regions  farms  replacing  half  of  

their  current  fishmeal  with  insect  meal.  Rainbow  trout  farming  makes  up  the  largest  

portion  of  South  Africa’s  aquaculture  production,  with  the  majority  of  these  farms  

located  in  the  Western  Cape  province  with  an  estimated  14  farms  producing  550t  of  

fish  annually  (AASA,  2009).  Over  the  years  technological  advances  have  made  these  

systems  increasingly  resource  efficient,  with  an  average  Feed  Conversion  Ratio  

(FCR)  of  1.5  (AASA,  2009).    

Based  on  this  FCR  the  region’s  farms  input  825t  of  fish  feed  annually.  This  

formulation  of  fish  feed  in  the  region  varies  slightly,  but  is  estimated  to  be  44%  

fishmeal  (Hereinafter  referred  to  as  FM)  with  the  remaining  being  made  up  of  a  

combination  of  vegetable  oils,  maize,  wheat,  vitamins,  and  minerals  (PGWC,  2010).  

The  fishmeal,  which  makes  up  a  large  percentage  of  the  total  fish  feed,  is  generally  

made  up  of  75%  or  more  small  open  ocean  fish  that  are  either  sourced  by  

commercial  fisheries  specifically  to  be  used  as  fish  meal,  or  are  indirectly  sourced  as  

by-­‐catch  (FAO,  2013a).  The  FM  is  by  far  the  most  expensive  and  resource  intensive  

aspect  of  current  fish  feed  production  and  its  methods  have  long  been  questioned  in  

terms  of  their  efficiency  (MCI,  2014).  By  sourcing  wild  fish  in  order  to  feed  farmed  

fish,  these  systems  often  times  are  able  to  financially  benefit  in  the  short  run,  but  

accumulate  massive  external  costs  that  make  them  inefficient  in  the  long  run  (FAO,  

2014).  The  issue  that  has  drawn  international  attention  to  the  topic  of  FM  has  been  

the  steady  increase  in  prices.  The  global  average  price  of  FM  has  more  than  doubled  

over  the  past  10  years  alone  (World  Bank,  2013).  Currently  70-­‐90%  of  fish  farm  

expenses  come  from  the  cost  of  fish  feed,  and  with  this  growing  price  many  farms  

find  it  difficult  to  financially  compete.    

  These  economic  issues  compounded  with  the  energy  intensive  nature  of  FM  

production  has  gotten  many  organizations  searching  for  more  a  sustainable  way  to  

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BCA:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa     5        feed  livestock,  including  the  recent  encouragement  of  the  use  of  insects  as  a  form  of  

livestock  feed.  The  FAO  (2013)  released  a  comprehensive  study  in  2013,  identifying  

the  potential  of  insects  as  feed,  and  encouraging  their  implementation  into  food  

systems.  The  reason  for  this  is  that  insects  are  extremely  efficient  energy  converters,  

require  very  little  natural  resources,  grow  quickly,  are  rich  in  protein,  and  are  able  

to  recycle  waste.  This  means  that  insects  are  able  to  feed  on  organic  waste  products  

such  as  manure  and  food  scraps,  converting  them  into  protein  that  can  then  be  used  

as  an  input  to  feed  livestock.  Although  this  method  is  being  internationally  

recognized  for  it’s  sustainability  benefits,  there  have  been  very  few  cases  of  large  

scale  implementation,  largely  due  to  the  lack  of  industrial  sized  insect  farming  

operations  to  cultivate  the  insects.  AgriProtein  is  the  premier  company  in  this  

market  that  has  their  facility  based  in  South  Africa  where  they  are  able  to  take  in  

110t  of  waste  and  create  7t  of  high  protein  insect  meal  (as  well  as  special  insect  oil  

concentrates  and  fertilizers)  daily  (Agriprotein,  2014a).  

  The  economic  focus  of  this  analysis  is  on  the  change  in  expenses  for  the  

farms,  as  well  as  the  difference  in  production  quantity  of  fish  annually.  This  analysis  

also  identifies  and  monetizes  the  primary  environmental  and  social  implications.  

The  benefits  that  will  be  analyzed  deal  with  the  Co2  emissions  associated  with  FM  

production,  and  IM  production  and  it’s  ability  to  recycle  food  waste,  and  reduce  

nitrogen  pollution  from  livestock  manure.  Costs  associated  with  this  project  deal  

with  the  farm  personnel  switching  feed  formulations  and  the  required  feed  expert  

consultation  to  ensure  the  new  formulations  are  calculated  efficiently.    

Literature  Review  The  potential  value  of  this  proposed  project  was  given  recent  international  

attention  by  the  FAO  in  their  report  Edible  Insects  Future  Prospects  for  Food  and  

Feed  Security  (2013),  that  highlighted  the  unsustainable  practices  of  current  

livestock  rearing,  and  the  impressive  potential  that  insects  may  have  as  a  feed  

source.  The  report  pointed  out  the  energy  conversion  ratio  for  insects  is  nearly  2:1  

compared  to  10:1  for  beef.  This  ratio  points  out  the  efficiency  of  insects  as  food  

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BCA:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa     6        converters,  following  up  with  the  fact  that  the  feed  required  for  insects  is  often  

times  organic  waste  that  can  be  deterred  from  landfills.    

Due  to  the  current  lack  of  research  and  scientific  literature  on  the  specific  

topic  of  insect  feed  usage  in  aquaculture,  I  have  collected  data  from  multiple  

scientific  facets  for  this  proposed  projects  that  are  able  to  be  combined  to  give  an  

estimation  as  to  the  economic  impacts  that  the  proposed  plan  would  have  on  the  

regions  fish  farms,  the  environmental  impacts  of  FM  reduction  and  IM  utilization,  

and  the  social  impacts  associated  with  the  proposed  project.  

Economic  Impacts  

The  economic  information  that  relates  to  the  global  current  price  and  

projected  increases  in  FM  are  based  on  the  Bank’s  (2013)  report  “Fishing  to  2030”.  

This  report  outlines  current  global  price  trends,  and  makes  projections  for  prices  up  

to  year  2030.  The  report  explains  that  some  of  the  key  factors  attributed  to  the  

sharp  global  increase  in  price  are  due  to  the  increasing  global  population  and  the  

resulting  demand  for  farmed  fish,  as  well  as  the  over  fishing  of  many  areas  resulting  

in  decreased  available  wild  fish  stocks.    Research  conducted  on  IM  production  was  

based  largely  one  of  the  sole  companies  in  the  world  currently  producing  IM  on  a  

large  scale,  Agriprotein  Technologies’,  and  their  official  website,  reports,  statements,  

and  CEO  interviews  (2014a).  Based  on  the  comparison  of  these  prices  the  literature  

reveals  an  obvious  decrease  in  cost  of  IM  compared  to  FM.    

Data  collected  regarding  the  potential  impact  of  IM  on  annual  fish  yields  was  

taken  from  the  study  published  in  the  Journal  of  World  Aquaculture  Society  

(Hilaries.  2007)  which  conducted  a  9  week  experiment  using  different  ratios  of  IM  

as  a  replacement  for  FM  in  aquaculture  trout.  This  experiment  concluded  that  there  

was  only  a  slight  FCR  increase  in  the  fish  that  were  fed  50%  IM.  However  the  

accuracy  of  the  utilization  of  this  data  is  questionable  based  on  this  study  only  being  

conducted  over  a  9-­‐week  period,  while  the  trout  in  the  projects  proposed  trout  

require  64  weeks  to  grow.  The  FAO’s  online  feed  resource  Feedipedia  (2015),  also  

supplied  a  wealth  of  relvent  information  estimating  impacts  of  IM  use  in  trout  farms  

being  a  similar  slight  decrease  in  yield.  Although  site  specific  research  would  need  

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BCA:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa     7        to  be  conducted  to  best  determine  the  effects  that  the  implementation  of  IM  will  

have,  these  studies  and  reports  show  that  a  decrease  in  weight  gain  from  the  use  of  

IM  is  probable.  

Environmental  Impacts  

According  to  the  FAO  (2014)  current  FM  production  relies  largely  on  the  

sourcing  of  small  open  ocean  fish,  which  largely  refers  to  low  trophic  level  fish  such  

as  sardines  and  herrings.  According  to  research  done  by  Dr.  HIllborne  at  the  

University  of  Washington’s  School  of  Aquatic  and  Fishery  Sciences,  the  commercial  

harvesting  of  these  fish  are  responsible  for  .07  to  .36  tons  of  carbon  per  ton  of  live  

weight  fish  (Hilborne,  2011).  This  carbon  footprint  can  then  be  directly  applied  to  

the  production  of  FM  in  regards  to  sourcing,  but  fails  to  bring  into  account  other  

aspects  of  FM  production  such  as  the  energy  intensive  requirements  for  the  

processing  of  the  fish  meal.  Other  environmental  impacts  associated  with  the  type  of  

fishing  required  to  source  FM  include  the  depletion  of  wild  populations  of  fish,  and  

the  resulting  marine  ecosystem  damage  (FAO,  2014).  Unfortunately,  a  full-­‐scale  

report  of  each  of  these  costs  and  benefits  associated  with  FM  production  was  out  of  

the  scope  of  this  analysis.    

The  data  regarding  the  environmental  impacts  of  IM  usage  are  limited  by  the  

lack  of  companies  producing  the  product  and  livestock  systems  utilizing  it  as  feed.  

Based  on  current  estimates  by  the  IM  producer  AgriProtein  (2014a),  on  a  daily  basis  

the  company  is  able  to  recycle  an  estimated  100t  of  organic  waste,  and  in  turn  

produce  7t  of  IM.  According  to  the  company  the  majority  of  this  waste  comes  from  

uneaten  food  scraps  from  hotels  and  restaurants  and  animal  manure.  The  food  

waste  is  the  majority  of  the  waste  that  the  company  recycles,  and  therefore  is  a  key  

component  to  the  environmental  impacts  of  IM.  Research  done  on  food  wastage  for  

this  project  was  based  on  the  FAO’s  Food  Wastage  Report    (2014b),  which  

conducted  a  global  account  of  food  waste,  and  it’s  associated  environmental,  social,  

and  financial  values.  This  comprehensive  study  outlined  numerous  impacts  and  

effects  that  food  waste  have,  however  the  majority  of  these  were  unable  to  be  

accurately  applied  to  the  small  regional  scale  of  this  project.  The  research  for  this  

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BCA:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa     8        analysis  focused  on  the  reports  economic  data,  which  put  food  waste  globally  at  an  

estimated  1.3  billion  tons  annually,  with  an  economic  value  of  the  waste  estimated  

at  $696  billion.    

Another  enviornmental  impact  analized  for  this  project  is  based  on  the  

Sustainability  of  South  Africa’s  Livestock  (2013)  report  which  indicates  the  majority  

of  current  infrastructures  lack  the  ability  to  efficiently  cycle  the  nutrients  in  the  

regions  livestock  waste.  This  improperly  treated  waste  results  in  wide  spread  

environmental  issues,  with  nitrogen  pollution  being  identified  as  one  of  the  most  

detrimental  by  the  European  Environment  Agencies  2013  report  evaluating  the  

topic.  The  high  concentrations  of  nitrogen  in  animal  manure  are  able  to  leach  into  

waterways  as  well  as  contaminate  soils.  Lens  (2004)  in  his  book  Resource  Recovery  

and  Reuse  in  Organic  Solid  Waste  Management  conducted  a  comprehensive  study  

outlining  these  different  variables  and  estimated  the  cost  of  nitrogen  between  .09  

and  .16/kg.  The  EEA  (2013)  concluded  a  similar  value  of  nitrogen  at  .29/kg.  The  

potential  role  of  IM  in  mitigating  this  environmental  impact  is  outlined  in  the  study  

conducted  by  Lewton  (2004).  This  study  done  on  black  soldier  flies  breeding  on  

cattle  manure  could  effectively  recycle  nutrients,  and  concluded  that  the  amount  of  

Nitrogen  (along  with  other  potential  pollutants)  can  be  reduced  by  50-­‐60%.    

Methodology  and  Data     The  scope  of  this  analysis  is  based  on  the  2009  report  by  the  Aquaculture  

Association  of  South  Africa,  which  estimated  total  fish  production  of  the  province’s  

14  rainbow  trout  farms  at  550t  annually  with  a  farm  gate  value  of  $4.82/kg.  Based  

on  AASA  (2009)  and  FAO  (2014a)  the  assumption  was  made  that  the  average  FCR  of  

these  farms  is  currently  1.5,  which  results  in  an  annual  use  of  825t  of  fish  feed.  Of  

this  total  amount,  it  is  assumed  based  on  FAO  (2014a)  feed  formulation  reports  that  

44%  of  the  fish  feed  would  be  made  up  of  FM  (364t).  Current  research  on  the  use  of  

insects  to  feed  rainbow  trout  indicates  that  50%  of  the  FM  can  be  replaced  with  IM  

with  only  a  slightly  negative  effect  on  the  FCR  (Hilarie,  2007).  Based  on  this  data,  the  

proposed  project  assumes  that  22%  of  the  total  825t  of  fish  feed  will  be  made  up  of  

IM,  resulting  in  the  usage  of  182t  of  both  IM  and  FM  annually.  The  estimates  for  FM  

Page 9: Benefit Cost Analysis: Insect Feed for Sustainable Aquaculture

BCA:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa     9        are  assumed  to  be  $2000/t  (World  Bank,  2013).  The  price  of  IM  is  taken  directly  

from  the  local  producers  current  price  listing  and  assumed  to  be  $1400/t.  The  time  

horizon  for  this  BCA  is  based  on  15  years,  due  to  the  extreme  variables  effecting  

future  supplies  of  FM  and  IM  production  limiting  the  ability  to  accurately  estimate  

further  into  the  future.  The  discount  rate  is  based  on  the  South  African  Reserve  

Bank’s  (2015)  current  rate  of  5.75%.  

Food  Waste  Recycling  

  The  benefits  calculated  for  food  waste  in  this  analysis  focus  exclusively  on  

the  economic  value  of  the  wasted  products  based  on  the  2014  FAO  report  that  

estimates  the  value  of  global  waste  calculated  to  $535.38  per/t.  The  amount  of  food  

waste  that  is  recycled  per  ton  of  IM  used  is  based  on  AgriProtein’s  (2014)  estimate  

that  every  single  ton  of  IM  is  responsible  for  the  recycling  of  15.7t  of  total  waste.  Of  

this  waste  it  is  assumed,  based  on  company  estimates,  that  59%  is  food  waste.  The  

14  farms  assumed  annual  usage  of  182t  of  IM  was  calculated  to  recycle  2,857.4t  of  

waste,  with  a  total  of  1,685.87t  being  from  food  waste.    

Reduced  Nitrogen  Pollution  

  The  value  of  nitrogen  pollution  reduced  by  this  project  is  based  on  the  

assumption  that  every  single  ton  of  IM  is  responsible  for  the  recycling  of  15.7t  of  

waste.  Of  this  waste  it  is  assumed,  based  on  Agriprotein’s  estimates,  that  36%  is  

livestock  manure.  Of  the  assumed  annual  usage  of  182  of  IM  by  the  farms,  this  

results  in  the  recycling  of  1028.67t  of  manure  annually.  This  amount  of  animal  

waste  was  then  converted  to  dry  weight,  based  on  the  semi-­‐solid  to  dry  weight  

manure  conversion  ratio  of  .25.  This  dry  weight  is  assumed  to  contain  44g/kg  of  

nitrogen  based  on  the  EPA  (2013a)  estimate  for  for  sheep  manure,  which  according  

to  Meissner  (2013)  make  up  the  majority  of  the  regions  livestock.  This  amount  was  

then  assumed  to  be  reduced  by  55%  by  the  insect  recycling  based  on  Newton’s  2005  

study  results.  The  reduced  amount  of  nitrogen  pollution  was  then  monetized  by  the  

EEA’s  estimated  total  cost  of  nitrogen  valued  at  $.32/kg.  

Reduced  Co2  Emissions  

Page 10: Benefit Cost Analysis: Insect Feed for Sustainable Aquaculture

BCA:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa     10           The  benefits  of  the  projects  reduction  in  Co2  emissions  focuses  exclusively  

on  the  carbon  footprint  associated  with  current  FM  production.  By  replacing  50%  of  

the  current  364t  of  FM  used  with  IM,  the  annual  FM  usage  will  decrease  by  182t.  

Based  on  FAO  (2014)  estimates  75%  of  this  FM  is  sourced  from  small  open  ocean  

fish.  The  estimated  Co2  emissions  for  this  type  of  commercial  fishing  (Hillborne,  

2011)  are  between  .07  to  .36t  per  ton  of  live  weight.  For  this  analysis  the  average  of  

this  is  used,  .22t  of  Co2  per  ton  of  live  weight.  The  monetization  of  the  reduced  Co2  

emissions  is  based  on  the  EPA’s  (2015)  Social  Carbon  Cost,  which  is  currently  

valued  at  $61  per  ton  of  Co2.  

Feed  Cost  Reduction  

  The  value  of  feed  cost  reduction  is  based  on  the  difference  in  price  associated  

with  the  replacing  of  50%  of  the  farms  current  FM  with  IM.  Of  the  assumed  364t  of  

FM  used  annually  valued  at  $2,000.00/t,  the  project  would  replace  182t  with  IM  

valued  at  $1,400.00/t.    

Implementation  Costs  

  The  implementation  costs  associated  with  this  project  focus  on  the  estimated  

amount  of  time  that  workers  on  the  farms  would  need  to  spend  in  order  to  adjust  

their  current  systems  to  the  new  feed  formulation,  and  familiarize  themselves  with  

slight  variations  in  their  supply  chain  logistics.  Of  the  projects  14  farms,  it  is  

assumed  that  3  workers  on  each  farm  would  need  to  dedicate  a  total  of  14  days  each  

on  the  implementation  and  familiarization  of  the  new  feed  formulation.  This  data  is  

based  on  an  interview  with  a  aquaculture  consulting  firm  and  their  estimations  

(Frese,  2015).    Based  on  aquaculture  worker  salary  estimates  contained  in  a  report  

by  the  BFAP  (2012)  it  is  assumed  that  the  daily  wage  for  these  aquaculture  workers  

is  80R.  These  numbers  were  calculated  based  on  the  current  USD  exchange  rate  of  

$.083.  

Production  Costs  

  Production  costs  for  this  project  are  based  on  the  projected  decrease  in  

productivity  associated  with  replacing  half  of  the  current  FM  with  IM.  The  

assumption  is  that  the  FCR  of  these  aquaculture  systems  will  increase  by  .284,  

Page 11: Benefit Cost Analysis: Insect Feed for Sustainable Aquaculture

BCA:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa     11        decreasing  the  annual  production  of  rainbow  trout.  This  FCR  increase  is  based  on  

Hilarie's  2007  study  which  found  that  replacing  50%  of  FM  with  IM  would  result  in  

an  increase  in  FCR  of  .04  every  9  weeks.  This  is  then  compounded  based  on  the  

current  growing  season  for  rainbow  trout  in  this  region  at  64  weeks,  based  on  AASA  

(2009)  reports.  This  assumed  decrease  in  efficiency  results  in  the  annual  production  

of  the  systems  being  462.44t,  compared  to  the  previous  550t.  The  difference  in  

production  was  then  monetized  based  on  the  AASA  (2009)  estimated  farm  gate  

value  of  $4.82/kg.    

Feed  Consulting  Cost  

  The  feed  consulting  cost  is  based  on  the  estimated  amount  that  the  farms  will  

have  to  spend  on  consultation  from  a  feed  formulation  expert  in  order  to  ensure  that  

the  proper  ratios  of  nutrients  and  protein  are  met  with  the  new  IM  based  fish  feed.  

The  cost  is  based  on  an  interview  conducted  with  an  aquaculture  specialized  

consulting  firm  (Frese,  2015)  that  estimated  each  consultation  would  cost  $2,000.  

The  assumption  is  that  the  consultation  could  be  conducted  on  one  of  the  14  total  

farms  in  order  to  determine  the  proper  application  and  feed  formulation.  The  

consulting  company  suggested  that  this  type  of  consultation  would  need  to  be  

carried  out  initially,  and  then  annually  for  the  following  three  years  to  ensure  that  

the  feed  formulation  is  maximizing  efficiency.  This  results  in  a  total  of  four  

consultations  required  for  the  proposed  project.      

BCA  Findings  The  BCA  data  below  shows  the  results  of  the  proposed  Insect  Feed  for  

Aquaculture  Sustainability  Project  on  the  14  rainbow  trout  farms  in  the  Western  

Cape  province  of  South  Africa.  The  results  show  that  the  implementation  of  this  

proposed  project  would  be  economically,  environmentally,  and  socially  beneficial  to  

the  region  over  a  15-­‐year  time  horizon.  The  project’s  total  discounted  benefits  are  

$9,574,330.54  and  discounted  costs  are  $3,497,566.61,  resulting  in  a  BCR  of  2.395  

with  net  benefits  of  $5,576,763.39.  The  initial  implementation  and  cost  of  consulting  

result  in  a  negative  net  benefit  during  year  zero,  however  following  that,  each  year  

Page 12: Benefit Cost Analysis: Insect Feed for Sustainable Aquaculture

BCA:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa     12        reflects  positive  net  benefits.  The  only  continuous  cost  is  the  resulting  decrease  in  

annual  fish  production,  which  is  grossly  offset  by  the  compounded  annual  benefits.  

 

 

 

 

 

Policy  Analysis For  this  particular  case  the  project  itself  is  a  policy  instrument,  which  seeks  

to  incentivize  the  market  through  an  assumed  increase  in  efficiency.  This  project  

aims  to  incentivize  aquaculture  companies  to  source  more  environmentally  

sustainable  feed  (insects)  by  showing  them  the  potential  financial  benefits  

associated  with  switching  over  to  a  feed  formulation  that  utilizes  IM.  This  would  

Page 13: Benefit Cost Analysis: Insect Feed for Sustainable Aquaculture

BCA:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa     13        reduce  the  areas  reliance  on  conventional  FM,  in  turn  reducing  the  demand  for  the  

highly  energy  and  resource  intensive  process  of  sourcing  wild  fish  to  produce  FM.  

This  type  of  market  based  incentive  approach  would  differ  greatly  from  current  

environmental  policies  aimed  to  limit  wild  fish  harvesting,  which  rely  on  command  

and  control  style  policy  instruments.  

The  primary  target  for  intervention  for  this  project  is  resource  conservation,  

and  since  the  current  fish  farming  industry  consumes  such  an  alarming  amount  of  

resources  this  target  is  quite  broad.  Primarily  this  projects  strategy  would  focus  on  

the  reduced  usage  of  FM,  subsequently  reducing  the  amount  of  wild  fish  required  for  

its  production.  This  strategy  more  indirectly  targets  the  habitats  and  marine  

ecosystems  that  are  destroyed  during  the  commonly  used  bottom  trawling  method  

of  this  commercial  fishing  (MCI,  2014).    

The  addressees  for  this  specific  project  are  the  14  rainbow  trout  farms  based  

in  the  Western  Cape  Province  of  South  Africa.  However,  the  operations  of  these  

farms  are  quite  standard  for  the  industry,  meaning  that  this  project  could  

potentially  provide  information  relevant  to  conventional  aquaculture  operations  in  

most  parts  of  the  developed  world.  The  regulation  area  is  technically  the  Western  

Cape  province,  however  conventional  FM  is  often  times  sourced  from  

internationally  waters  complicating  the  actual  regulations  of  this  project  and  it’s  

impacts.  

Primary  and  Secondary  Criteria  

Cost  Effectiveness  and  Economic  Efficiency  

By  proposed  plan  to  utilize  IM  in  aquaculture  systems  promises  to  decrease  annual  

fish  feed  expenses  which  is  estimated  to  account  for  70-­‐90%  of  aquaculture  systems    

total  expenses.  The  only  negative  financial  implication  is  seen  initially  due  to  the  

cost  of  implementing  the  new  feed  formulation.  In  terms  of  efficiency  there  is  also  

the  estimated  reduction  in  annual  fish  production,  resulting  in  less  value  of  their  

harvested  fish,  however  the  benefits  grossly  outweigh  this  cost.    

Page 14: Benefit Cost Analysis: Insect Feed for Sustainable Aquaculture

BCA:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa     14        Fairness  

The  project  is  proposed  to  encompass  all  of  the  trout  farms  in  the  province  in  order  

to  reduce  the  potential  conflicts  that  can  arise  from  competition  between  the  farms.  

This  cooperation  between  the  farms  will  also  work  to  mutually  benefit  each  of  the  

farms  involved  as  they  can  split  the  cost  of  the  expenses  associated  with  formulating  

the  need  fish  feed.    

Dynamic  Efficiency  

The  project  focuses  on  the  utilization  of  IM  to  reduce  the  regions  dependence  on  FM,  

but  does  so  in  a  way  that  promotes  innovation  and  further  research  to  be  done.  By  

only  reducing  the  farms  FM  use  by  50%  the  systems  are  able  to  continue  operation  

in  a  fairly  similar  manner,  while  at  the  same  time  being  made  aware  of  the  potential  

financial  benefits  associated  with  the  far  cheaper  IM  replacement.    

Dependability  

Currently  the  infrastructure  for  insect  farms  is  quite  limited,  but  it  is  growing.  This  

means  that  on  a  large  scale  the  dependability  of  sourcing  insects  for  fish  farms  could  

be  difficult  at  this  time.  For  this  specific  project  this  is  not  an  issues  as  the  worlds  

most  advanced  producer  of  IM  is  based  in  the  targeted  region,  however  application  

of  this  projects  findings  in  other  regions  could  prove  problematic  for  this  reason.    

Flexibility  

The  projects  proposed  replacing  of  current  FM  with  50%  IM  is  based  on  current  

research  findings  that  suggest  this  to  be  the  maximum  amount  of  IM  that  can  be  

used  well  insuring  continued  successful  yields  of  fish.  However,  after  this  initial  

implementation  the  farms  could  easily  adjust  their  percentage  of  IM  in  order  to  

better  adapt  to  their  own  systems  nutrient  and  financial  requirements.    

Political  Acceptability  

The  political  acceptability  is  another  unique  consideration  for  this  project.  For  this  

projects  region  of  South  Africa,  the  use  of  IM  as  feed  in  aquaculture  systems  has  

been  approved  along  each  portion  of  the  supply  chain.  However,  the  application  of  

Page 15: Benefit Cost Analysis: Insect Feed for Sustainable Aquaculture

BCA:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa     15        the  research  and  findings  of  this  project  in  other  regions  could  be  problematic.  For  

example,  in  the  United  States  currently  there  are  guidelines  regarding  insect  usage  

as  livestock  feed,  but  there  are  limited  policies  regarding  large  scale  insect  farms  

(FDA,  2014).    

 

 

Conclusion  Based  on  the  findings  of  this  analysis  it  would  be  socially,  environmentally,  

and  economically  beneficial  for  the  14  rainbow  trout  farms  in  the  Western  Cape  

province  to  adopt  the  IFSA  project.  This  analysis  revealed  that  the  only  negative  

costs  would  be  encountered  during  year  zero  of  implementation,  with  the  project  

becoming  profitable  by  the  end  of  year  one.  The  project  would  benefit  not  only  the  

business  aspects  of  the  farms,  but  would  also  provide  environmental  and  

agricultural  benefits  for  the  entire  region.  For  this  reason  it  is  recommended  that  

local  policy  makers  and  agricultural  interest  bodies  act  to  incentivize  and  encourage  

the  adaption  of  this  project  in  the  area.  

  On  a  wider  scale,  the  adaption  of  the  IFAS  project  in  these  provinces  could  

potentially  act  as  a  flag  ship  program  to  show  the  financial  efficiencies  and  

sustainability  benefits  associated  with  the  use  of  insect  meal  as  feed  for  aquaculture  

systems.  This  would  also  help  achieve  the  objectives  laid  out  by  the  South  African  

Aquaculture  Associations  (2009)  urging  aquaculture  systems  in  the  region  to  begin  

looking  for  innovative  methods  to  find  more  sustainable  feed  inputs.  On  a  more  

global  scale  the  implementation  of  this  project  would  directly  relate  to  the  FAO’s  

(2013)  recent  recommendation  that  local  food  systems  begin  utilizing  insects  as  a  

food  source,  and  would  put  South  Africa  on  the  cutting  edge  of  this  movement.    

Limitations  

  The  data  used  to  conduct  this  BCA  was  drawn  from  a  large  collection  of  

research  and  literature  that  differ  greatly  in  both  time  period  and  geographic  

relevance.  The  collecting  of  such  a  wide  range  of  information  is  due  to  the  current  

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BCA:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa     16        lack  of  research  and  studies  that  have  been  conducted  on  the  emerging  field  of  

insects  as  livestock  feed.  Currently  large-­‐scale  operations  for  insect  meal  

production,  as  well  as  livestock  farms  that  utilize  the  fishmeal  have  simply  not  been  

in  operation  long  enough  to  gather  significant  data  from.  There  are  also  the  

widespread  impacts  associated  with  the  reduction  of  FM  use  and  utilization  of  IM  

waste  recycling  in  terms  of  economic,  social,  and  environmental  sustainability  that  

were  simply  out  of  the  scope  of  this  project.  As  previously  mentioned  this  project  

also  benefits  from  focusing  on  a  region  with  the  most  technologically  advanced  

producer  of  IM  in  world,  in  many  other  regions  their  may  be  large  price  increases  

associated  with  transportation,  sourcing,  supply,  and  storage.    

Recommendations  for  Future  Study  

  This  BCA  focused  on  the  farming  of  rainbow  trout  which  have  scientifically  

been  suggested  to  lend  themselves  to  the  use  of  IM,  however  further  research  on  the  

utilization  if  IM  to  feed  other  species  may  vastly  improve  the  potential  value  of  

insects  as  a  source  of  fish  feed.  Another  aspect  of  fishmeal  that  this  analysis  did  not  

discuss  is  the  use  of  fish  oil  as  a  primary  component  in  conventional  fish  feed.  

Similar  to  FM,  fish  oil  production  also  requires  massive  amounts  of  wild  caught  fish  

and  is  energy  intensive  to  process.  There  are  currently  proposals  and  research  being  

done  on  the  production  of  an  insect  based  oil  that  could  replace  the  need  for  this  fish  

oil,  further  reducing  the  need  to  exploit  wild  fish  sources,  while  increasing  the  

potential  benefits  for  the  production  of  insect  based  fish  feed  supplements.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Appendix  A  Assumptions  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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BCA:  Insect  Feed  for  Sustainable  Aquaculture  in  South  Africa     19         Assumptions  

     Values     Units   Source   Notes  

Time  Horizon    15     Years    

Longest  time  window  of  accurate  data  available.  Based  on  World  Bank’s  2013  report.  

Discount  rate   5.75%      

South  African  Reserve  Bank  MPC,  2015   Current  interest  rate  in  South  Africa  

Base  year   2015              

Total  rainbow  trout  farms   14      

In  the  Western  Cape  Province-­‐Based  on  Aquaculture  Association  of  South  Africa  reports.  

Fish  feed  usage   825   t   AASA,  2009  

Current  annual  production  with  Estimated  Feed  Conversion  Ratio  of  1.5  

Reduction  in  percentage  of  fish  feed  as  FM   22%      

Replacing  half  of  the  previously  used  44%  FM  with  IM.  

Farm  gate  value  of  rainbow  trout     $5.82/kg  

 AASA,  2009    Farm  gate  value  of  rainbow  trout.  

Current  cost  of  Insect  Meal   $1400   Per  t  

Agriprotein,  2014a  

 Projected  cost  of  IM  by  local  producer.    

Current  cost  of  fish  meal    $2000     Per  t  

World  Bank,  2013  

 World  Bank  calculation  on  global  average  cost.  

                   Benefit  Elements  

    Values   Notes  

Food  Waste  Recycling  (annual)   $902,581.00  

Accounting  exclusively  for  the  estimated  economic  value  of  wasted  products.  

Reduced  Nitrogen  Pollution  (annual   $1987.20.00  

Accounting  exclusively  on  the  nitrogen  reduced  from  recycled  animal  manure  by  IM  production.  

Reduced  Co2  Emission  (annual)   $2,440.00  

Accounting  exclusively  for  the  Co2  emissions  associated  with  sourcing  of  wild  fish  for  FM  production.  

Reduced  Feed  Cost  (annual)   $107,200  Based  on  current  estimated  costs  of  IM  and  FM.  

                     

       

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Benefit-­‐Cost  Ratio   2.395      Net  Benefits    $5,576,763.39      

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cost  Elements       Values   Notes  

Implementation  Cost   $3,904.32  

Involving  the  worker  time  spent  adjusting  to  the  new  feed  formulating.  

Production  Cost   $422,039.00  Accounting  for  the  difference  in  annual  fish  yield.  

Feed  Consulting  Cost  (four  occurrences)   $2,000  

Based  on  aquaculture  consulting  estimates  required  to  implement  new  feed  formulation  efficiently.  

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Appendix  B  Benefit  Calculations  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Food  Waste  Recycling  Assumptions    Values     Units   Source  Annual  fish  feed  usage   825   t   AASA,  2009  Percent  fish  feed  as  IM   22%     Half  of  previous  FM    Annual  IM  usage   182   t   Calculated          Waste  recycled  per  single  t  of  IM  use.   15.7   t   Agriprotein,  2014a  Annual  waste  recycled   2,857.4   t   Calculated  Percentage  of  waste  as  food  waste   59%     Agriprotein,  2014a                  Calculations    Values     Units      Annual  food  waste  recycled   1685.87   t    Calculated  Value  of  wasted  food   $535.38   Per  t    Calculated                  Cost  of  Benefit    Values              Total  Food  waste  savings    $902,581.00     Annually                                                            

     

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Reduced  Nitrogen  Pollution    Assumptions    Values     Units   Source  Annual  Fish  feed  usage   825   t   AASA,  2009  Percent  fish  feed  as  IM   22%     Half  of  previous  FM  Annual  IM  usage   182   t   Calculated          Waste  recycled  per  single  t  of  IM  used   15.7   t   Agriprotein,  2014  Annual  total  waste  recycled   2,857.4   t   Agriprotein,  2014  Percentage  of  total  waste  as  semi-­‐wet  animal  waste     36%     Estimate  Dry  weight     25%  of  wet     Calculated  Nitrogen   44g   Per  kg  dry   EPA,  2013a  Total  Reduce  nitrogen     55%     Newton,(2005)  Nitrogen  total  estimated  internal  external  cost   $.32   Per  kg   EEA,  2013          Calculations    Values   Units   Source  Annual  semi-­‐wet  animal  waste  recycled   1028.67   t   Calculated  Annual  dry  weight  recycled   257.2   t   Calculated  Annual  nitrogen  treated   11.3   t   Calculated  Annual  nitrogen  reduced   6.21   t   Calculated  Annual  nitrogen  reduced-­‐  kg   6,210   kg   Calculated  Nitrogen  total  estimated  internal  external  cost   $.32   Per  kg   Calculated      

       

Cost  of  Benefit    Values            Value  of  nitrogen  reduced   $1987.20    Annually        

 

                           

         

 

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       Reduced  Co2  Emission    Assumptions    Values     Units   Source  Annual  fish  feed  usage    825     mt   AASA,  2009  Percentage  of  fish  feed  made  up  of  fish  meal   22%     Caluclated  Previous  percentage  of  fish  feed  made  up  of  fish  meal   44%     FAO,  2013  Percentage  of  FM  made  up  of  open  ocean  fish   75%     FAO,  2014          Tons  of  Co2  emitted  per  ton  of  live  weight  open  ocean  fish     .22   mt   Hilborne,  2011  Social  Cost  of  Carbon   $61.00   Per  mt   EPA,  2015      

       

Calculations    Values     Units      Annual  reduction  of  FM  usage   182   mt    Calculated  Annual  reduction  of  Co2  emitted   40   mt    Caluclated      

       

Cost  of  Benefit    Values            Total  social  carbon  costs  offset   $2,440   Annually      

       

 

                                         

   

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               Reduced  Feed  Cost  Assumptions    Values     Units   Source  Annual  Fish  feed  usage    825     t   AASA,  2009  Amount  of  FM   22%   Of  fish  feed   Calculated  Amount  of  IM   22%   Of  fish  feed   Calculated  Previous  amount  of  FM     44%   Of  fish  feed   FAO,  2014  Cost  of  fish  meal    $2,000.00     Per  t   World  Bank,  2013  Cost  of  IM   $1,400.00   Pet  t   Agriprotein,  2014a      

       

Calculations    Values     Units      Annual  IM  used   182   t    Calculated  Annual  FM  used   182   t    Calculated  

Cost  of  IM  used   $254,800.00   Annually   Calculated  

Cost  of  FM  used   $364,000.00   Annually   Calculated  

Total  cost  of  IM  and  FM   $618,800.00   Annually   Calculated  

       

Previous  annual  FM   364   t   Calculated  

Total  cost  of  previous  FM  used   $726,000   Annually   Calculated      

       

Cost  of  Benefit    Values            Reduced  cost   $107,200    Annually        

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Appendix  C  Cost  Calculations  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Implementation  Cost  Assumptions   Values   Units   Source  Wage  of  aquaculture  workers   80R   Per  day   BFAP,  2012  USD  exchange   $.083   Per  1R   Current  Exchange  Total  farms   14     AASA,  2009  Workers  involved  with  implementation   3   Per  farm   Frese,  2015  Time  spent  implementing  new  system   14   Days   Frese,  2015      

       

Cost   Values          Total  cost  of  Implementation   $3,904.32    One  time      

               Production  Costs  Assumptions   Values   Units   Source  

Annual  fish  feed  used   825   t     Calculated  Feed  Conversion  Ratio  with  50%  of  FM  replaced  with  IM   1.784%  

 Calculated  

Feed  Conversion  Ratio  with  no  FM  replaced   1.5%  

 Hilarie,  2007  

Farm  gate  value  of  rainbow  trout   $4.82   Per  kg   AASA,  2009          Annual  fish  produced  with  50%  of  FM  replaced  with  IM   462.44   t   Calculated  Annual  fish  produced  with  no  FM  replaced   550   t   AASA,  2009  Difference  in  fish  produced-­‐t   87.56   t   Calculated  Difference  in  fish  produced-­‐kg   87,560   kg   Calculated      

       

Cost   Values          Cost  of  production   $422,039.00    Annually      

       

 

         

   

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Feed  Consulting  Cost  Assumptions   Values   Units   Source  Consultation  for  formulation  analysis-­‐  initial   $2,000  

 

Fish  Farming  Consultant  Frese,  2015  

Follow  up  analysis   $2,000    

Fish  Farming  Consultant  Frese,  2015  

Analysis  needed  annually  for   3   Years        

       

Cost   Values          Total  cost  of  feed  Expert     $2,000   4  Occurrences      

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Appendix  D  Total  Annual  Benefits  and  Costs  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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     Benefits    

Year    Food  Waste  Recycling    

Reduced  Nitrogen  Pollution    

 Reduced  Co2  Emissions    

Reduced  Feed  Cost    Total  Benefits    

2015    $-­‐         $-­‐    $-­‐          $-­‐          $-­‐    2016   $902,581.00    $1,987.20     $2,400.00   $107,200.00   $1,014,168.20  2017   $902,581.00    $1,987.20     $2,400.00   $107,200.00   $1,014,168.20  2018   $902,581.00    $1,987.20     $2,400.00   $107,200.00   $1,014,168.20  2019   $902,581.00    $1,987.20     $2,400.00   $107,200.00   $1,014,168.20  2020   $902,581.00    $1,987.20     $2,400.00   $107,200.00   $1,014,168.20  2021   $902,581.00    $1,987.20     $2,400.00   $107,200.00   $1,014,168.20  2022   $902,581.00    $1,987.20     $2,400.00   $107,200.00   $1,014,168.20  2023   $902,581.00    $1,987.20     $2,400.00   $107,200.00   $1,014,168.20  2024   $902,581.00    $1,987.20     $2,400.00   $107,200.00   $1,014,168.20  2025   $902,581.00    $1,987.20     $2,400.00   $107,200.00   $1,014,168.20  2026   $902,581.00    $1,987.20     $2,400.00   $107,200.00   $1,014,168.20  2027   $902,581.00    $1,987.20     $2,400.00   $107,200.00   $1,014,168.20  2028   $902,581.00    $1,987.20     $2,400.00   $107,200.00   $1,014,168.20  2029   $902,581.00    $1,987.20     $2,400.00   $107,200.00   $1,014,168.20  2030   $902,581.00    $1,987.20     $2,400.00   $107,200.00   $1,014,168.20  

 

     Costs    

Year    Implementation  

Cost      Production  

 Cost      Feed  Consulting  Cost     Total  Costs  2015   $3,904.32    $-­‐         $2,000.00   $5,904.32  2016    $-­‐          $422,039.00      $2,000.00     $424,039  2017    $-­‐          $422,039.00      $2,000.00     $424,039  2018    $-­‐          $422,039.00      $2,000.00     $424,039  2019    $-­‐          $422,039.00      $-­‐          $422,039.00    2020    $-­‐          $422,039.00      $-­‐          $422,039.00    2021    $-­‐          $422,039.00      $-­‐          $422,039.00    2022    $-­‐          $422,039.00      $-­‐          $422,039.00    2023    $-­‐          $422,039.00      $-­‐          $422,039.00    2024    $-­‐          $422,039.00      $-­‐          $422,039.00    2025    $-­‐          $422,039.00      $-­‐          $422,039.00    2026    $-­‐          $422,039.00      $-­‐          $422,039.00    2027    $-­‐          $422,039.00      $-­‐          $422,039.00    2028    $-­‐          $422,039.00      $-­‐          $422,039.00    2029    $-­‐          $422,039.00      $-­‐          $422,039.00    2030    $-­‐          $422,039.00      $-­‐          $422,039.00    

 

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Appendix  E  Discounted  Annual  Benefits  and  Costs  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Discounted  Annual  Benefits  and  Costs  Year   Total  Benefits   Total  Costs   Discounted  Benefits   Discounted  Costs   Annual  Net  Benefit  

0   0   7904.32   0   7904.32   -­‐7904.32  1    $1,014,168.00      $424,039.00      $959,024.11      $400,982.51      $558,041.61    2    $1,014,168.00      $424,039.00      $906,878.59      $379,179.67      $527,698.92    3    $1,014,168.00      $424,039.00      $857,568.41      $358,562.34      $499,006.07    4    $1,014,168.00      $422,039.00      $810,939.40      $337,466.82      $473,472.57    5    $1,014,168.00      $422,039.00      $766,845.76      $319,117.56      $447,728.20    6    $1,014,168.00      $422,039.00      $725,149.66      $301,766.02      $423,383.64    7    $1,014,168.00      $422,039.00      $685,720.72      $285,357.93      $400,362.78    8    $1,014,168.00      $422,039.00      $648,435.67      $269,842.02      $378,593.65    9    $1,014,168.00      $422,039.00      $613,177.94      $255,169.76      $358,008.18    10    $1,014,168.00      $422,039.00      $579,837.29      $241,295.28      $338,542.01    11    $1,014,168.00      $422,039.00      $548,309.50      $228,175.20      $320,134.29    12    $1,014,168.00      $422,039.00      $518,495.98      $215,768.52      $302,727.46    13    $1,014,168.00      $422,039.00      $490,303.52      $204,036.42      $286,267.10    14    $1,014,168.00      $422,039.00      $463,643.99      $192,942.24      $270,701.75    

     Present  Value      $9,574,330.54      $3,997,566.61    

 

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