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Teorema Bayes adalah suatu aplikasi probabilitas bersyarat dimana harus diberikan atau disediakan satu parameter awal atau syarat awal atau kondisi awal, yang disebut peluang apriori (peluang yang mendahului keterangan lainnya yang mungkin dihasilkan oleh suatu pemeriksaan). Teorema Bayes digunakan dalam inferensial statistika atau statistika penarikan kesimpulan.
Citation preview
Data Sheet of Regular Repetitions No. .....
Qwest.i.onF;ield l\nswer Flelldt
ApakahTEOREMAbAVE6 T
*
8:ieWtlpsws WgesLtTot - tl6t)
buau ofl)v<cs, Cttnp,n\ p@bhi-Q;taS Verg4a$v drrnona hAt\giiirair.on 'xat di*aiakan gucq^
wrflmLror awal a(otl t'$rwr alN&l
fo;"'ffil di1,r aut at, $ng di eLutDolUong apnon (pMcng garY fliu-
m#i.Yffi f,i^'\\?N*trfgnftnlrsaan)
&UMU5TEOREMAbAqe6
tQfras a*a
B,esw< L:?(ars\ =
P(A). P(BIA)@'
PCBIA)c)fiatw"Pra, ")
= gn"Alk%*. 8;fr"R,A qglla,n $ dibedkanr
?Cil = pd.uarp t\dc& A= t- PCA)
ffi*g
tExxg
aeNvk ilrnum:Nigatran P{1, H2,.... Hn ad.a'QnL,, Uqaaian glnnqteru6*U (,maa'
?;'$ilnf)#&^'ww"poiwbaa'n; Mi sizll<an O. a,.d'a!ttt'gtatu keldic*, WMrvL,n4 dar-, 5donw,n -P(=) *oo ffi61<a:P(riltr)=ffi
"""+ ?(Hn?e-)
afiit?ilF[ti\
r{aal gang idenau bql^&a u^fr&H2, He, . "., Hn . t .-
e*gs^d 6
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Inlecane fiuq-wdal<ati wfrgfv\6ws
Wfnsrbami WWb,lqn Kepuh,leon
dlm rnffilgndco'
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Data Sheet of Regular Repetitions No. .....
Questi.onlFsielld .Answen Flelld
btta g&6{axV
barl^.eryn^oli'bas da,ff&'rgz-ffiIan po5lb"rf,
nya wtefi*enakitt
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wewunw;i*+Sl,tatlt N.lnalkgaan o\aA^ WSd"iada!<dn LA*u Evafr.L petco&u,
ffi ,o *m5 t eS. il.r;A pi.rwtuil
"ltt lika $.Rts@twl @Aotekst ',
to.s meni.mxtA&0/rt h'aal Q4"/"n bQnara " -zof o-(z) -l @i z f" t<a gr,l.g'e,l
"l).r jQ*fltkt o d)ma,not/oaden vWnqti@,be,n1p*a d,iwgt *akdn-o0httf +SOLUgl rnenaawtalra^
IEoREMA ufte@rcb^Lr%,Ias Batw,r"* d owo,v,
Wh^anw apncr; dw, Be,reo#.an)
Alrrr,n diea; DtuL\Ulas ^
#&frtrMe,ffi#
//"-FrF-.t\ilas,l Perc*oitor4in Atu 0^o) I
[AasataT gs.matt d,;Wnks:aadal"aX;P(AtA)o
SOL9ST z
PCA\ = O$WUras Wsra'fi rne-' hgido,p W4e Can"kd<eS
PCa) = pobai,Alas $aal ce's' 'w6q poaeft ^
PcBrA)'= WwlM,#nWProLrlVn?'ftast<se0fvnabellcrz--tme-
Rit a.dp.tbtla-Aasi.l.'p,Csnga
ngidap ,Cf*l
^ft aP.Dtta
Posibi{ " "\,
P(a I A) = prob,h'hks Aasttr, a-s' Wact! aila (akmervi-fup CtaI" tp,n n lekq'') dlatu' WSirtvE PatSil "
P(nt b)= . ?olbtsu /
ecril"el= ?
P(A lts) = ?
-Ql@s":-PROBAB|L|TA.S /A PRIOR,i
prncObAANatur, TES atatqEUEg!_(g1+1tt
;FaN =ffi;o.oorPC6IA) = O'990
_ 1-f )=o.o2
Data Sheet of Regular Repetitions No. .....
aASot{e"
A
Questi.onFien d Answer F:i.elld
btat tahal
9ffi1 @
Cari orcbaloi-Aut^x'mahn{Lpn6nwn 4
B6
(//////t A A fiLnrrl6,!"
B PG,ao"g) ?(6,,t^,s ?Cs)B ?A d!^B) ?6,ttn1', ? c6)
tur laA PTA) PTA) LHitu,vra
Prp@;Ws
d.a" b)
?CA') = Q.oOl + PCA)=gWPCBi A)-- o.sgo?(.r]A)= o.o2?(a a^ B) = ?(A). pCB tA)
= (o-@1)^ (a qW)=O.Wg
?Ca dr*-B) =?Cb)" F(atB),/'G p*bd;L;; fu*-^ ;^i jw.
rbQ,y" dat; ,
?Ca dan6) = PCA) - ?A&n€= O.OOI O"MW= e OOO01
ffiiYtWd'anB)pCA d,*, b);rc6:. p1{lg)= PCA) .pCet a)
a ?G).?c6lal -_ e6l..PcBtA)rDEN"r lk
@ffiv
Jadiz? ( 6 dan g\ = (o. ggg) " ( o. oz)' =O.OIWdan, ? CE dan W dtnrotd^ d^;?(Ado^B)= PCA) - Fcaacrra)
= o.gg9 -o.otggg= O.WgO2
W)W,ffitrWw:PCAIb) bt6^, lKarl ba'7ianz {ayr-datrWg4tWnlatn beNn'l
ffi*p(Alg)ffi
rournwa ANan 6 W!g$r4 ArJdl
oantl,,wahu6{anatr'rye:
Data Sheet of Regular Repetitions No. .....
Quest:ionlF:iend
<e,sirnOn0anAr,n?tk kaso{SALAF{ Dgrsrc
g*Lse f_q$!:u,E-
QonwQ 2".TgCREMAbAUss
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'rm -
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Havla .-!- da.r\puw*, lW G{bny ea&,ena
cpl\PdaUr,aQ
we
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Mt^una Selu0"A I/"aN w@,"^t^ry,,et !,?i\\ n,i,tyyralan
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fud^ n"0 kMt&mtu^ ilttw,A'ffiVu\ uhtuK 'l
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>abt:frobdcitlios .
APRIORI +tE6lPENteerSnnF{ +
Saat ^Oru,rg dari lW (,e,rl<enapengalrit. -
!l &,ffi,.ry5,#"'^Wr,?,:
Data Sheet of Regular Repetitions No. .....
,0lr*,t i
r@7sg"
?6'tL
ur tlbw'sfiKi
QuestiionField Answer Fleld
1
trwilsilwffiffiMI-"EU-*-TFIffi r { (}rr,/ rIwEilrel _@@Iil?.H'ril- t
w9
?'pxAur wrfi,fW,K"tg uiufut{\flKan Ta68)
O,IS, r.olcr4U8 fnUu$ltoat"C.lrn *';at',eruwlallVnrv^il"un z kdoyn
rEM4liA[! PENVAKn- TANTAgE a.rUak ,f n li2fl>L I
HSLA\IE5 L ('IBN-,LArr lc) 3 @
@ = 4y$ ampq)y 0o= lOo OU)
? t<anno,*On^qt*rnWn,t) naLa,,
:,ir:i ?l:l:
r:l';if i
1i:!ljii:
t::i,r:ri;I:t:,,,
,il;itll, ;
t:t lll;itiiiil
llilriiiir
9:l<-*lprn @- t(dono 6)= i<oloyn 64@CA)-{oO=9Q90(
8=@r@g=@)+@
Vlaka'+
ffiCIMcfl2g = Lm-@ fu.tc, r:, ,r)gtaik tetkena. c'&
tl;T' @ " [:smrh' P** qg cT)O
O: Kc[orn 6)- t<ctorn 6)I = q9go0-- QQQ = q85ot6)' ?n* i<Cl(tYT(D=
?*,rcl= 2
a=yr\y9:afiu,@ a
L i;,1 !
,:ri,rli. iirl ,
ri;tl,l
':'l'l'l,",rllili,l,,.1;
i',iilllliilli
:liiri:tlr
,tii;ltiiir
rilrliitili:i'lill/i r 'j
(a)"?efu^a{qAogtT "o6 @
P( Fe"inkkolHaer i -rps 6\ =Q =' &" =L€) tooT tt(t) P(I^q1,. redn[eli\s, I
:HaA t tes @)
=8=ffie-fitara,( r-fi = #rc),?Cfak tain{elx.h I tlae'l tes e)
3 =ffi=o,qqqJ4eg+ I- #o*
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irlil:':ii:,iI';'
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,/\gt\
f lm't IiGinr{,"*? 0r,..; =
?roAaiAns adadl, W'untcrm*l tp-ntang pdUavrg .'?d yang = ,rerfidn$,tt1ah = kelool €)Tadran" '
PPr:naBi u rrA.s a.to*r PELUAN Gad"a,lc^h Gu6"tu nMoI mavftv,-1: k4 Ltntu"L Pcrrth v,a1 a eak.ACr"x (.mndcrr) = {.f,}. d? a,Qey1t1
tgq$MDan lO06rttuJ'\M"awEhas,I
@" ha^ga
4B cs,ta*l dari tl94rybenar