10
Air Transportation Testbed Hamsa Balakrishnan Joint work with H. Khadilkar, H. Lee, P. Park, V. Ramanujam, I. Simaiakis and C. Tomlin

Balakrishnan FORCES AT Testbed Oct2013 - …...Page4$ * Modelparameters$identified$from$2011$data,predictions$carried$out$on$2010$ data$(pushback$schedules) * Similar$prediction$performance$shown$for$BOS,CLT,DTW

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Balakrishnan FORCES AT Testbed Oct2013 - …...Page4$ * Modelparameters$identified$from$2011$data,predictions$carried$out$on$2010$ data$(pushback$schedules) * Similar$prediction$performance$shown$for$BOS,CLT,DTW

Air  Transportation  Test-­‐bed  Hamsa  Balakrishnan  

 

Joint  work  with    H.  Khadilkar,  H.  Lee,  P.  Park,  V.  Ramanujam,  I.  Simaiakis  and  C.  Tomlin  

Page 2: Balakrishnan FORCES AT Testbed Oct2013 - …...Page4$ * Modelparameters$identified$from$2011$data,predictions$carried$out$on$2010$ data$(pushback$schedules) * Similar$prediction$performance$shown$for$BOS,CLT,DTW

Page  2  

Data-­‐Driven  Modeling  

10/28/13  

Page 3: Balakrishnan FORCES AT Testbed Oct2013 - …...Page4$ * Modelparameters$identified$from$2011$data,predictions$carried$out$on$2010$ data$(pushback$schedules) * Similar$prediction$performance$shown$for$BOS,CLT,DTW

Page  3  

Queuing  Models  of  Airport  Operations    

10/28/13  

Pushbacks

Departure queue

Departure throughput

Ramp and Taxiway delays

Travel time

Module 2 Module 1

Queuing delay Taxi-out time = +

Runway  schedule  

Learn  from  data    Learn  from  data  

R(t)    

Simaiakis  and  Balakrishnan,  under  review,  2013  

Page 4: Balakrishnan FORCES AT Testbed Oct2013 - …...Page4$ * Modelparameters$identified$from$2011$data,predictions$carried$out$on$2010$ data$(pushback$schedules) * Similar$prediction$performance$shown$for$BOS,CLT,DTW

Page  4  

*  Model  parameters  identified  from  2011  data,  predictions  carried  out  on  2010  data  (pushback  schedules)  

*  Similar  prediction  performance  shown  for  BOS,  CLT,  DTW,  LGA,  PHL,  …  

Queuing  Models  of  Airport  Operations    

10/28/13  

2010  (independent  test  set)  

Simaiakis  and  Balakrishnan,  under  review,  2013  

Page 5: Balakrishnan FORCES AT Testbed Oct2013 - …...Page4$ * Modelparameters$identified$from$2011$data,predictions$carried$out$on$2010$ data$(pushback$schedules) * Similar$prediction$performance$shown$for$BOS,CLT,DTW

Page  5  

Design,  Field-­‐Testing  and  Evaluation  of  Control  Algorithms  

10/28/13  

Departure Queue (D)

Aircr

aft tra

velin

g to the r

unw

ay

(G)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10111213141516171819202122230

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

15

1412

03

68

Delta&Connec+on&Carriers,&34%&

Delta&Air&Lines,&13%&

American&Eagle,&11%&

American,&8%&

US&Airways,&7%&

United&Airlines,&5%&

Air&Canada,&3%&

AirTran,&3%&

JetBlue,&3%&

Air&Wisconsin,&2%&

Spirit&Airlines,&2%&Southwest,&2%&Comair,&1%&WestJet,&1%&

Other&4%&

Page 6: Balakrishnan FORCES AT Testbed Oct2013 - …...Page4$ * Modelparameters$identified$from$2011$data,predictions$carried$out$on$2010$ data$(pushback$schedules) * Similar$prediction$performance$shown$for$BOS,CLT,DTW

Page  6  

Fast-­‐Time  Simulations  

[Le  Ny  &  Balakrishnan,  AIAA  JGCD  2010]  [Kannan,  BS  Thesis,  Harvard  Univ.  2009]  

[Khadilkar  &  Balakrishnan,  ECC  2013]  

[FACET,  courtesy  NASA]  

*  Validated  fast-­‐time  simulations  of  airport  and  airspace  operations  

[Khadilkar  &  Balakrishnan,  AIAA  JGCD  2013]  

Page 7: Balakrishnan FORCES AT Testbed Oct2013 - …...Page4$ * Modelparameters$identified$from$2011$data,predictions$carried$out$on$2010$ data$(pushback$schedules) * Similar$prediction$performance$shown$for$BOS,CLT,DTW

Page  7  

High-­‐Fidelity  Fast-­‐Time  Simulations  using  SIMMOD  

10/28/13  

Scheduled   Optimized  

Page 8: Balakrishnan FORCES AT Testbed Oct2013 - …...Page4$ * Modelparameters$identified$from$2011$data,predictions$carried$out$on$2010$ data$(pushback$schedules) * Similar$prediction$performance$shown$for$BOS,CLT,DTW

Page  8  

Simulation  of  Control-­‐Communication  Integration  

10/28/13  

Park  et  al.,  IEEE  Trans.  on  Intelligent  Transp.  Sys.  2013  

!600 !400 !200 0 200 400 600

!600

!400

!200

0

200

400

600

x

y

Arr fixesDep fixesAirport

Centralized zone

Handover zone

Distributed zone

Park  and  Tomlin,  ICCPS  2012  

Page 9: Balakrishnan FORCES AT Testbed Oct2013 - …...Page4$ * Modelparameters$identified$from$2011$data,predictions$carried$out$on$2010$ data$(pushback$schedules) * Similar$prediction$performance$shown$for$BOS,CLT,DTW

Page  9  

*  Simulations  of  (re)allocation  mechanisms  with  realistic  demand,  capacity  and  operating  cost  data  *  LGA  case  study    *  10-­‐hr  Ground  Delay  Program  *  27  airlines  *  20%  coefficient  of  variation  in  delay  

costs  *  Demonstrate  a  tradeoff  between  

adaptability  (ability  to  dynamically  replan)  and  flexibility  (available  slot  swaps  for  airline)  

Evaluation  of  Incentives  in    Collaborative  Decision  Making  

10/28/13  

Single  Airport  Ground  Holding  Problem  

(Stochastic  Optimization)  Initial  

ground  holds    +  

slot  allocations  

Collaborative  Decision  Making  (CDM)  

Final  slot  allocation  

+  ground  holds  

Intra-­‐airline  substitutions  

Slot  Credit  Substitution  

Reduced  capacity  forecast  

Flight  schedule  

Cancellations  

Airline-­‐proprietary  

costs  

Ramanujam  &  Balakrishnan  2013,  submitted  

Page 10: Balakrishnan FORCES AT Testbed Oct2013 - …...Page4$ * Modelparameters$identified$from$2011$data,predictions$carried$out$on$2010$ data$(pushback$schedules) * Similar$prediction$performance$shown$for$BOS,CLT,DTW

Page  10  

*  Design  and  evaluation  of  algorithms  to  improve  air  transportation  system  performance  *  Safety,  security,  efficiency,  resilience  *  EI  +  RC  integration  for  resource  allocation  *  Risk  assessment  and  incentives  for  information-­‐sharing  *  Strategies  to  incentivize  equipage  *  Identification  of  “true”  utility  functions  of  human  elements  *  Resilient  &  secure  ATC  and  CNS  protocols  *  Evaluation  of  ADS-­‐B  protocols    *  Layered,  adaptive  security  for  NextGen  *  Safe  integration  of  unmanned  aircraft  into  the  civilian  airspace  

Opportunities  

10/28/13