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Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed-landuse watershed Lessons from field data & modeling Shreeram Inamdar & Anthony Friona SUNY Buffalo State College

Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

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Page 1: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Assessment of sediment loads

for a Great Lakes mixed-landuse

watershed

Lessons from field data & modeling

Shreeram Inamdar & Anthony Friona SUNY Buffalo State College

Page 2: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Motivation

1. Determine the sediment yield at the

watershed outlet (Tons/ha/yr or mg/L)

USCOE – dredging of navigable portion of Buffalo

River

2. Identify source catchments and reaches

USDA-NRCS – BMP implementation

TMDL plan for the watershed

Funded by Great Lakes Commission & COE Contract grant

Page 3: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Model selection

Model:

• SWAT – Soil Water Assessment Tool

– Spatially-distributed continuous simulation model

– EPA promoted public domain GIS model

– Simulate watershed conditions by providing appropriate data and parameter values

– Daily time step

– Sediment, nutrients, pesticides, organics, biological variables

Page 4: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Watershed description

Buffalo River Watersheds

Cazenovia

Creek Buffalo Creek

Cayuga Creek

Buffalo River Watersheds

Cazenovia

Creek Buffalo Creek

Cayuga Creek

Buffalo

Active USGS

discharge gage

142 mi2

96 mi2

424 mi2

136 mi2

Page 5: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Model implementation

1

8

5

7

23

9

3

15

2

21

4

22

24

19

20

11

25

18

1214

6

13

17

10

16

26

Buffalo River Watersheds

Cazenovia

Creek Buffalo Creek

Cayuga Creek

Buffalo River Watersheds

Cazenovia

Creek Buffalo Creek

Cayuga Creek

Model implemented

first for

Cazenovia

Once calibrated,

values

will be extended

for the full

Buffalo watershed

Page 6: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Model – GIS layers

10 DEM &

NHD drainage

LULC – 2002 DOQs

STASGO

SSURGO

Page 7: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Sediment data collection

Buffalo River Watersheds

Cazenovia

Creek Buffalo Creek

Cayuga Creek

Buffalo River Watersheds

Cazenovia

Creek Buffalo Creek

Cayuga Creek

discharge

sediment

Page 8: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Sediment data collection

• Turbidity recorded as a surrogate

for suspended sediment

• Continuously logging (15 minutes)

data sondes

• Grab samples of sediment collected

to generate sediment-turbidity

relationship

• Provides – important event sediment

dynamics

Page 9: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Sediment data collection

Turbidity versus sediment

relationship

Page 10: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Model calibration -data

Period – 1997 to 2003 (daily time step)

• Comparison of simulated versus observed time series –

• Annual

• Seasonal

• Daily

• Frequency analysis

Page 11: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Model calibration methods

1. Monte Carlo simulations – 1000 model runs – to identify sensitive

parameters – dotty plots

2. Once parameter values were constrained – ArcView based model

runs

Page 12: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Discharge results

Annual totals – within 10%

Page 13: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Discharge Results

Daily discharge comparisons

- Visual

- fits (Nash Sutcliffee, bias, …)

Page 14: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Discharge Results

Frequency analysis

Page 15: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Sediment Calibrations

Sediment calibration:

1. Much more difficult that discharge

2. First objective - constrain model predictions within the same order

of magnitude as observed

Page 16: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Sediment Results

Daily sediment comparisons

Page 17: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Sediment Results

Frequency analysis:

20

50

Page 18: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Sediment Yields

Buffalo River Watersheds

Cazenovia

Creek Buffalo Creek

Cayuga Creek

Buffalo River Watersheds

Cazenovia

Creek Buffalo Creek

Cayuga Creek

Buffalo

0.8 t/ha/yr (96-2003)

Page 19: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Sediment Source Areas

Subcatchment sediment conc. in mg/L Ag land

slope

Page 20: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Key Lessons

1. Monte-Carlo simulations were very important – narrowed us down to

few key parameters and ranges

Page 21: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Key Lessons

2. Recommended (default) C & P values generated very high sediment

yields!

3. C & P values had to be reduced considerably to match observed

sediment yields (simulation based on LULC)

Page 22: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Key Lessons

4. When only “active” cropland was used, C & P values were not

reduced!

Resolution and accuracy of LULC extremely important!

LULC – 2002 DOQs Active cropland - NRCS

Page 23: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Key Lessons

5. Sediment calibrations against a single observed station at

watershed outlet may not guarantee correct values for internal

nodes.

Buffalo River Watersheds

Cazenovia

Creek Buffalo Creek

Cayuga Creek

Buffalo River Watersheds

Cazenovia

Creek Buffalo Creek

Cayuga Creeksediment

Page 24: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Key Lessons

6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour bank erosion – could be an

important contributor for Great Lakes tributaries!

Ice scour

Page 25: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Conclusions

1. SWAT provides a tool to generate yields, however realistic

predictions are only generated after considerable calibration.

2. Multiple measurements (in time and space) and data quality are

very critical.

Page 26: Assessment of sediment loads for a Great Lakes mixed ... · Buffalo River Watersheds Cazenovia Creek Buffalo Creek Cayuga Creek sediment . Key Lessons 6. SWAT cannot simulate ice-scour

Questions?