Assessing the Latvia Energy Sector in the Context of Climate Change EconomicsWorld Bank Prototype Carbon Fund WorkshopRiga, LatviaJanuary 24-27, 2000

Gary A. Goldstein, Lorna A. GreeningInternational Resources Group, Ltd.Janis RekisLatvian Development Agency, Department of EnergyLAA/DoE

_983097600.doc

Presentation TopicsRelevance of Latvia MARKALImplications of Economic Growth on the Energy System and Carbon EmissionsEvaluating the Value of Latvia Carbon PermitsMARKAL Methodology OverviewConclusionsLDA

_983097600.doc

Relevance of Latvia MARKALIFE-Norway CollaborationPreliminary Results Presented at IEA-ETSAPMEPRD Report on SO2Policies and Measures to Mitigate GHG Emissions and Increase SinksSecond National Communication to the UNFCCCEnergy Trading and CO2 Mitigation in the Nordic and Baltic CountriesLDA

_983097600.doc

Latvia MARKAL Baseline AssumptionsGDP = Optimistic National Energy Program Scenario (1997)Energy Prices for Imports from International Energy Agency (Other than Electricity)Individual Power Plants RepresentedTechnology Progress with Regard to Efficiency ImprovementsNo Limits on Fuel Imports No Nuclear PowerForestry and Non-CO2 GHG are Not Accounted ForLDA

_983097600.doc

Latvia GDP ForecastsLDA

Sheet1

CURRENTGDP 1993GDP 19951993/1995RatesCURRENTGDP 1993, US$ 1993GDP 1995, US$ 1995iedz.Per capita, LsPer capita, US$PPPUS$ per capita at PPP

mill. Lsmill. Lsmill. Ls-Ls/US$mill. US$mill. US$mill. US$CURRENTGDP 1993GDP 1995CURRENTGDP 1993GDP 1995

199062.4402952.8654736.5790.623404381.1058970.794267347023.361104.511771.700.001638.733355.490

1991143.3252645.3974243.3820.623403924.9218036.708266787053.72991.581590.550.001471.183012.410

19921004.5551723.2442764.1910.62340.6801477.2872556.7425235.2102656958378.08648.581040.36556.01962.281970.380.0755054.61

19931467.0121467.0122353.1790.62340.6742176.5762176.5764456.7782606176562.90562.90902.92835.16835.161710.080.00

19942042.5551476.5232368.4350.62340.5603647.4202190.6874485.6722565854796.05575.45923.061421.52853.781748.220.00

19952349.2231464.5462349.2230.62340.5284449.2862172.9174449.2862529543928.71578.98928.711758.93859.021758.930.53453290.79

19962829.1351513.47292427.7050.62340.55105134.5462245.5094597.92625016601130.90604.99970.442052.46897.611837.950.58913484.05

19973275.4561643.79772636.7540.62340.58105637.6182438.8694993.85224799001320.80662.851063.252273.32983.452013.730

19983773.5221702.24682730.5100.62340.59006395.8002525.5895171.42024584001534.95692.421110.692601.611027.332103.57

Exchange rate, period average, LS/US$YEARat current prices,mill. Lsat average prices of 1993,mill. LsGDP at average prices1990=1percentage over the preceding yearMinistry of Economy (Slow Development Scenario, 1999)Annual increase rateMinistry of Economy (Optimistic Development Scenario, 1999)Annual increase rateLatvian National Energy Program (Base Scenario, 1997)Annual increase rateLatvian National Energy Program (Optimistic Scenario, 1997)Annual increase rateForecast for MARKAL (1996)Iincrease rate for 5 year periodForecast for MARKAL 2Annual increase rate

?199062.442952.8654381.1050.00%

?1991143.3252645.3973924.921-10.41%-10.41%

0.680019921004.5551723.2442556.742-41.64%-34.86%

0.674019931467.0121467.0122176.576-50.32%-14.87%

0.560019942042.5551476.5232190.687-50.00%0.65%

0.528019952349.2231464.5462172.917-50.40%-0.81%

0.551019962829.1351513.4732245.509-48.75%3.34%2281.5635.00%

0.581019973275.4561643.7982438.869-44.33%8.61%2290.422.00%2346.564.50%2395.6415.00%

0.590019983773.5221702.2472525.589-42.35%3.56%2525.5893.56%2525.5893.56%2336.232.00%2468.585.20%2513.932515.4235.00%

1999-100.00%2576.1002.00%2576.1002.00%2382.952.00%2616.696.00%2635.302641.1945.00%

2000-100.00%2653.3833.00%2704.9055.00%2430.612.00%2752.765.20%2756.6826.87%2773.2545.00%

20012759.5194.00%2853.6755.50%2503.533.00%2876.634.50%2884.512884.1844.00%

20022869.9004.00%3024.8966.00%2578.643.00%3006.084.50%3012.342999.5514.00%

20033013.3955.00%3206.3906.00%2655.993.00%3141.364.50%3140.183119.5334.00%

20043164.0645.00%3430.8377.00%2735.673.00%3282.724.50%3268.013244.3144.00%

20053322.2675.00%3670.9957.00%2817.743.00%3430.444.50%3395.8523.19%3374.0874.00%

20063481.7364.80%3913.2816.60%2936.094.20%3581.384.40%3559.853509.0514.00%

20073648.8604.80%4171.5586.60%3059.414.20%3738.964.40%3723.863649.4134.00%

20083824.0054.80%4446.8806.60%3187.904.20%3903.474.40%3887.863795.3894.00%

20094007.5574.80%4740.3756.60%3321.794.20%4075.234.40%4051.873947.2054.00%

20104199.9204.80%5053.2396.60%3461.314.20%4254.544.40%4215.8824.15%4105.0934.00%

20114384.7164.40%5351.3805.90%3530.532.00%4382.173.00%4348.584228.2463.00%

20124577.6444.40%5667.1125.90%3601.142.00%4513.643.00%4481.284355.0933.00%

20134779.0604.40%6001.4715.90%3673.172.00%4649.053.00%4613.984485.7463.00%

20144989.3394.40%6355.5585.90%3746.632.00%4788.523.00%4746.684620.3183.00%

20155208.8704.40%6730.5365.90%3821.562.00%4932.173.00%4879.3815.74%4758.9283.00%

20165422.4334.10%7080.5245.20%3894.171.90%5035.752.10%4982.314854.1062.00%

20175644.7534.10%7448.7115.20%3968.161.90%5141.502.10%5085.254951.1882.00%

20185876.1884.10%7836.0445.20%4043.561.90%5249.472.10%5188.195050.2122.00%

20196117.1124.10%8243.5195.20%4120.381.90%5359.712.10%5291.135151.2162.00%

20206367.9134.10%8672.1825.20%4198.671.90%5472.272.10%5394.0710.55%5254.2412.00%

20216622.6304.00%9105.7915.00%5501.95

20226887.5354.00%9561.0805.00%5611.99

20237163.0374.00%10039.1345.00%5724.23

20247449.5584.00%10541.0915.00%5838.71

20257747.5404.00%11068.1455.00%5955.4810.41%

20266044.82

20276135.49

20286227.52

20296320.93

20306415.757.73%

20316511.98

20326609.66

20336708.81

20346809.44

20356911.587.73%

Inflation, cumulative since the end of the preciding yearInflation, average for year

%% to previous year

1990

1991262.4172.2

1992958.6951.2

199334.9109.2

199426.335.9

199523.125.0

199613.117.6

19977.08.4

19982.84.6

&A

Page &P

Chart1

4381.1053412463199019901990199019901990

3924.9213649852199119911991199119911991

2556.7418397626199219921992199219921992

2176.5756676558199319931993199319931993

2190.6869436202199419941994199419941994

2172.9167799632199519951995199519951995

2245.5088049541199619961996199619961996

2438.868941448199719972290.41898105322346.55670117719971997

2525.58867202362525.58867202362525.58867202362336.22736067422468.57764963822513.92685727021998

19992576.10044546412576.10044546412382.95190788772616.69230861652635.30170756691999

20002653.3834588282704.90546773732430.61094604552752.76030866462756.67655786352000

20053322.26746549033670.99537478022817.74425446033430.44017534623395.84569732942005

20104199.91988806415053.23924999343461.3073749814254.53737570684215.87537091992010

20155208.86977337826730.53615157753821.56302669114932.17487779734879.37685459942015

20206367.91338153298672.18153525444198.67197737325472.26571610755394.06528189912020

20257747.540297873811068.1454000982202520255955.4839289524

203020302030203020306415.7475720509

203520352035203520356911.5822323304

&A

Page &P

All data given in average prices of 1993 at exchange rate 0.674 LS/US$

GDP at average prices

Ministry of Economy (Slow Development, 1999)

Ministry of Economy (Optimistic Development, 1999)

Latvia National Energy Program (Base, 1997)

Latvia Natioinal Energy Program (Optimistic, 1997)

Forecast for MARKAL (1996)

Forecast for MARKAL 2

mill.US$

Inflation calculator

http://woodrow.mpls.frb.fed.us/economy/calc/cpihome.html

LVLUSD1990199119921993199419951996199719981999

?19901.133890

?19911.088110

10.68019921.36997080641.42761787441.47058846951.51461788831.5533971.59741201911.64458849721.68336791521.7095738017

10.67419931.34198813061.39845697331.44054896141.48367952521.5216771.56479228491.61099406531.64899109791.6746587537

10.56019941.57485714291.6411251.69051785711.7411251.7857141.83632142861.89053571431.9351251.96525

10.52819951.62426136361.69261363641.74356060611.79575757581.8417421.89393939391.94986742421.99585227272.0269128788

10.55119961.5118148821.57544464611.62286751361.67145190561.7142471.7628312161.81488203271.8576769511.8866061706

10.58119971.40072296221.45967305131.503611.54862314181.5882791.63328751791.68151471481.72117048271.7479691071

10.59019981.3582203391.41537288141.45798305081.50162711861.5400851.58372881361.63049152541.66893220341.6949152542

10.59019991.513169

http://woodrow.mpls.frb.fed.us/economy/calc/cpihome.html

Chart2

1.36997080641.34198813061.57485714291.62426136361.5118148821.40072296221.358220339

1.42761787441.39845697331.6411251.69261363641.57544464611.45967305131.4153728814

1.47058846951.44054896141.69051785711.74356060611.62286751361.50361453371.4579830508

1.51461788831.48367952521.7411251.79575757581.67145190561.54862314181.5016271186

1.55339730621.52167655791.78571428571.84174242421.7142468241.58827890971.5400847458

1.59741201911.56479228491.83632142861.89393939391.7628312161.63328751791.5837288136

1.64458849721.61099406531.89053571431.94986742421.81488203271.68151471481.6304915254

1.68336791521.64899109791.9351251.99585227271.8576769511.72117048271.6689322034

1.70957380171.67465875371.965252.02691287881.88660617061.74796910711.6949152542

0.680 1992

0.674 1993

0.560 1994

0.528 1995

0.551 1996

0.581 1997

0.590 1998

_983097600.doc

What are the Implications of Economic Growth for Carbon Emissions?Expanded Trade with the EU will Result in GDP Growth Rates Similar to the EU by 2005Industrial Structure will Shift to Light Manufacturing and Commercial ServicesCarbon Emissions will Increase, but Economy will be Less Carbon Intensive Over TimeLDA

_983097600.doc

LDA

Chart1

131.8131.8131.8

142.1128.3116.2

161.7129.7103.5

190.1152.1116.8

210.6168.4127.2

222.2177.8133.5

229.9183.9137.9

Base Case

Mid Growth

Low Growth

Years

PJ

Energy Services According to GDP GrowthWorld Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

Energy Services

Energy Services According to GDP Growth

1994199920042009201420192024TOTAL

Base CaseLATV0R..USEFULUSEFUL131.80142.10161.70190.10210.60222.20229.906441.400.000.00

Mid GrowthLATV1R..USEFULUSEFUL131.80128.30129.70152.10168.40177.80183.905359.600.000.00

Low GrowthLATV2R..USEFULUSEFUL131.80116.20103.50116.80127.20133.50137.904334.100.000.00

SCENCASEENTRYTYPETAB_ROWNAMECOL1COL2COL3COL4COL5COL6COL7COL8COL9COL10

Base Case -5%CO2

Mid Growth -5%CO2

Low Growth -5%CO2

1994199920042009201420192024

AgricultureDMSERVRAgricultureLATV010.8211.6712.6314.3815.4915.7815.920.000.000.00AT..AGR

Commercial and ServicesDMSERVRCommercial and ServicesLATV035.0336.2941.8649.6656.1560.3362.960.000.000.00CT..COM

IndustryDMSERVRIndustryLATV035.0639.9746.8355.8962.6066.2768.400.000.000.00IT..IND

ResidentialDMSERVRResidentialLATV040.2240.6944.7652.4957.0259.0560.700.000.000.00RT..RC

TransportDMSERVRTransportLATV010.6613.4615.6217.6719.2920.8221.880.000.000.00TT..TRN

AgricultureDMSERVRAgricultureLATV110.8210.5010.1011.5012.3912.6212.730.000.000.00AT..AGR

Commercial and ServicesDMSERVRCommercial and ServicesLATV135.0332.6633.4939.7344.9248.2650.370.000.000.00CT..COM

IndustryDMSERVRIndustryLATV135.0636.3837.7744.7150.0853.0254.720.000.000.00IT..IND

ResidentialDMSERVRResidentialLATV140.2236.6535.8141.9945.6247.2448.560.000.000.00RT..RC

TransportDMSERVRTransportLATV110.6612.1112.4914.1415.4316.6517.500.000.000.00TT..TRN

AgricultureDMSERVRAgricultureLATV210.829.347.588.639.299.479.550.000.000.00AT..AGR

Commercial and ServicesDMSERVRCommercial and ServicesLATV235.0329.0325.1229.7933.6936.2037.780.000.000.00CT..COM

IndustryDMSERVRIndustryLATV235.0634.2234.0436.2438.3839.9341.040.000.000.00IT..IND

ResidentialDMSERVRResidentialLATV240.2232.8627.3331.4934.2235.4336.420.000.000.00RT..RC

TransportDMSERVRTransportLATV210.6610.799.4110.6011.5812.4913.120.000.000.00TT..TRN

Energy Services by Demand According to GDP Growth

Energy Services

Base Case

Mid Growth

Low Growth

Years

PJ

Energy Services According to GDP GrowthWorld Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

T27CO2

0000000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

Base Case

Mid Growth

Low Growth

Agriculture

Commercial and Services

Industry

Residential

Transport

PJ

Energy Services by Demand According to GDP GrowthWorld Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

F CO2

1994199920042009201420192024

SCENCASEENTRYTYPETAB_ROWNAMECOL1COL2COL3COL4COL5COL6COL7COL8COL9COL10

LATV0R..DISCEMT27CO29144.416322.755548.324784.643848.032965.092130.390.000.000.00

LATV0C05R..DISCEMT27CO29144.416329.055409.474545.333655.612816.882023.910.000.000.00

LATV1R..DISCEMT27CO29144.415716.354316.383637.732835.892186.241628.020.000.000.00

LATV1C05R..DISCEMT27CO29144.415716.354208.533455.762694.182076.911546.630.000.000.00

LATV2R..DISCEMT27CO29144.415056.703661.822568.911872.901534.141116.310.000.000.00

LATV2C05R..DISCEMT27CO29144.415095.343570.182434.481779.251457.441060.590.000.000.00

LATV_DC1R..DISCEMT27CO29144.406315.105409.474545.333655.612816.882023.910.000.000.00

LATV_DC2R..DISCEMT27CO29144.406315.105409.473455.762694.182076.911546.630.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R..DISCEMT27CO29144.406315.105409.472440.321779.251457.441060.590.000.000.00

Base CaseLATV0R..TOTEFFT27CO211534.8711186.1913767.5316651.8818783.2520299.6720456.400.000.000.00

Base Case -5%CO2LATV0C05R..TOTEFFT27CO211534.8711197.3213423.0015819.0017844.0019285.0019434.000.000.000.00

Mid GrowthLATV1R..TOTEFFT27CO211534.8710113.3410710.6112660.3013842.7514967.4715632.510.000.000.00

Mid Growth -5%CO2LATV1C05R..TOTEFFT27CO211534.8710113.3410443.0012027.0013151.0014219.0014851.000.000.000.00

Low GrowthLATV2R..TOTEFFT27CO211534.878946.299086.398940.529142.1410503.0710718.970.000.000.00

Low Growth -5%CO2LATV2C05R..TOTEFFT27CO211534.879014.668859.008472.678685.009978.0010184.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC1R..TOTEFFT27CO211534.8611172.6513423.0015819.0017844.0019285.0019434.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC2R..TOTEFFT27CO211534.8611172.6513423.0012027.0013151.0014219.0014851.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R..TOTEFFT27CO211534.8611172.6513423.008493.008685.009978.0010184.000.000.000.00

LATV0R.IMPCOK1T27CO224.6744.3747.1349.8852.6455.4058.150.000.000.00

LATV0C05R.IMPCOK1T27CO224.6744.3747.1349.8852.6455.4058.150.000.000.00

LATV1R.IMPCOK1T27CO224.6744.3747.1349.8852.6455.4058.150.000.000.00

LATV1C05R.IMPCOK1T27CO224.6744.3747.1349.8852.6455.4058.150.000.000.00

LATV2R.IMPCOK1T27CO224.6744.3747.1349.8852.6455.4058.150.000.000.00

LATV2C05R.IMPCOK1T27CO224.6744.3747.1349.8852.6455.4058.150.000.000.00

LATV_DC1R.IMPCOK1T27CO224.6744.3747.1349.8852.6455.4058.150.000.000.00

LATV_DC2R.IMPCOK1T27CO224.6744.3747.1349.8852.6455.4058.150.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R.IMPCOK1T27CO224.6744.3747.1349.8852.6455.4058.150.000.000.00

LATV0R.IMPDSH1T27CO24913.491632.261313.061052.14789.80631.80405.490.000.000.00

LATV0C05R.IMPDSH1T27CO24913.491632.261313.061052.14789.80631.80405.480.000.000.00

LATV1R.IMPDSH1T27CO24913.481604.921255.03989.17722.95562.60334.120.000.000.00

LATV1C05R.IMPDSH1T27CO24913.481604.921255.03989.17722.95562.60334.120.000.000.00

LATV2R.IMPDSH1T27CO24913.481577.801197.00926.19656.10493.40256.790.000.000.00

LATV2C05R.IMPDSH1T27CO24913.481583.601197.00926.19656.10493.40256.790.000.000.00

LATV_DC1R.IMPDSH1T27CO24913.491632.081313.061052.14789.80631.80405.490.000.000.00

LATV_DC2R.IMPDSH1T27CO24913.491632.081313.06989.17722.95562.60334.140.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R.IMPDSH1T27CO24913.491632.081313.06926.19656.10493.40256.800.000.000.00

LATV0R.IMPDSL1T27CO21955.662076.292165.222302.732353.032412.612473.170.000.000.00

LATV0C05R.IMPDSL1T27CO21955.662076.292165.222302.732353.032412.532472.590.000.000.00

LATV1R.IMPDSL1T27CO21955.661899.491783.591857.601866.131894.091940.650.000.000.00

LATV1C05R.IMPDSL1T27CO21955.661899.491783.591857.601866.131894.091940.650.000.000.00

LATV2R.IMPDSL1T27CO21955.661719.501490.241491.271446.431436.861484.040.000.000.00

LATV2C05R.IMPDSL1T27CO21955.661719.501490.241491.271446.431436.861484.040.000.000.00

LATV_DC1R.IMPDSL1T27CO21955.662076.292172.322302.732353.032412.642473.170.000.000.00

LATV_DC2R.IMPDSL1T27CO21955.662076.292172.321857.601866.131894.091941.110.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R.IMPDSL1T27CO21955.662076.292172.321621.271404.521436.861482.740.000.000.00

LATV0R.IMPGSL1T27CO21362.651217.131473.311710.571857.281981.042023.790.000.000.00

LATV0C05R.IMPGSL1T27CO21362.651217.131473.311710.571857.281981.042023.400.000.000.00

LATV1R.IMPGSL1T27CO21362.651126.231206.451403.461524.851627.191661.660.000.000.00

LATV1C05R.IMPGSL1T27CO21362.651126.231206.451403.461524.851627.191661.660.000.000.00

LATV2R.IMPGSL1T27CO21362.651043.53873.051018.161125.781212.511225.040.000.000.00

LATV2C05R.IMPGSL1T27CO21362.651043.53873.051018.161125.781212.511225.040.000.000.00

LATV_DC1R.IMPGSL1T27CO21362.651048.811296.421549.101857.281981.042023.790.000.000.00

LATV_DC2R.IMPGSL1T27CO21362.651048.811296.421315.741524.851627.191661.560.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R.IMPGSL1T27CO21362.651048.811296.42890.381177.261212.511227.080.000.000.00

LATV0R.IMPHCO1T27CO21171.941110.261614.483096.854689.195310.645513.890.000.000.00

LATV0C05R.IMPHCO1T27CO21171.941110.261499.242972.644550.065068.335507.440.000.000.00

LATV1R.IMPHCO1T27CO21171.941089.66792.571590.922901.003447.533885.480.000.000.00

LATV1C05R.IMPHCO1T27CO21171.941089.66872.861747.342916.013426.033847.170.000.000.00

LATV2R.IMPHCO1T27CO21171.94489.031140.32713.431517.462696.643022.900.000.000.00

LATV2C05R.IMPHCO1T27CO21171.94723.021259.77866.201549.322280.832673.370.000.000.00

LATV_DC1R.IMPHCO1T27CO21171.941096.851787.233147.394725.915511.505712.040.000.000.00

LATV_DC2R.IMPHCO1T27CO21171.941096.851787.231748.652925.363429.013843.360.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R.IMPHCO1T27CO21171.941096.851787.23678.46972.061952.592466.370.000.000.00

LATV0R.IMPLPG1T27CO2141.63111.2278.5874.9370.4165.8760.250.000.000.00

LATV0C05R.IMPLPG1T27CO2141.63111.2278.5874.9370.4165.9460.740.000.000.00

LATV1R.IMPLPG1T27CO2141.63110.5078.5074.8470.3165.6960.100.000.000.00

LATV1C05R.IMPLPG1T27CO2141.63110.5078.5074.8470.3165.6960.100.000.000.00

LATV2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2141.63110.4378.4274.7570.2165.5960.000.000.000.00

LATV2C05R.IMPLPG1T27CO2141.63110.4378.4274.7570.2165.5960.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC1R.IMPLPG1T27CO2141.63111.2781.8574.9370.4165.8460.250.000.000.00

LATV_DC2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2141.63111.2781.8574.8470.3165.6960.100.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R.IMPLPG1T27CO2141.63111.2781.8574.7570.2165.5960.000.000.000.00

LATV0R.IMPMET1T27CO20.000.070.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV0C05R.IMPMET1T27CO20.000.070.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV1R.IMPMET1T27CO20.000.070.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV1C05R.IMPMET1T27CO20.000.070.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV2R.IMPMET1T27CO20.000.070.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV2C05R.IMPMET1T27CO20.000.070.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC1R.IMPMET1T27CO20.00171.75168.28165.010.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC2R.IMPMET1T27CO20.00171.75168.2889.640.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R.IMPMET1T27CO20.00171.75168.280.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV0R.IMPNGA1T27CO21768.164022.384014.305399.765309.865482.295754.670.000.000.00

LATV0C05R.IMPNGA1T27CO21768.164033.514134.675421.565762.745952.566107.130.000.000.00

LATV1R.IMPNGA1T27CO21768.163266.532818.343988.144119.054246.744351.200.000.000.00

LATV1C05R.IMPNGA1T27CO21768.163266.532823.353969.254404.484555.094688.340.000.000.00

LATV2R.IMPNGA1T27CO21768.162990.572534.032974.233100.513171.303246.860.000.000.00

LATV2C05R.IMPNGA1T27CO21768.162799.302508.212972.543199.983218.333292.590.000.000.00

LATV_DC1R.IMPNGA1T27CO21768.144019.024141.805409.275776.395923.086123.460.000.000.00

LATV_DC2R.IMPNGA1T27CO21768.144019.024141.803984.474413.784560.344699.400.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R.IMPNGA1T27CO21768.144019.024141.802789.703362.033478.083514.420.000.000.00

LATV0R.MINPEM1T27CO2196.69972.223061.442965.013661.044360.014166.990.000.000.00

LATV0C05R.MINPEM1T27CO2196.69972.222711.792234.532408.053117.392799.080.000.000.00

LATV1R.MINPEM1T27CO2196.69971.552728.982706.282585.823068.243341.150.000.000.00

LATV1C05R.MINPEM1T27CO2196.69971.552376.071935.461593.622032.922260.810.000.000.00

LATV2R.MINPEM1T27CO2196.69970.991726.181692.591173.011371.381365.200.000.000.00

LATV2C05R.MINPEM1T27CO2196.69990.831405.161073.67584.541215.081134.020.000.000.00

LATV_DC1R.MINPEM1T27CO2196.69972.222414.912068.532218.522703.692577.630.000.000.00

LATV_DC2R.MINPEM1T27CO2196.69972.222414.911917.001574.972024.682253.170.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R.MINPEM1T27CO2196.69972.222414.911462.36990.171283.571118.430.000.000.00

LATV0R.MINPES1T27CO20.000.000.010.000.000.010.000.000.000.00

LATV0C05R.MINPES1T27CO20.000.000.010.000.000.010.000.000.000.00

LATV1R.MINPES1T27CO20.000.000.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV1C05R.MINPES1T27CO20.000.000.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV2R.MINPES1T27CO20.000.000.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV2C05R.MINPES1T27CO20.000.000.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC1R.MINPES1T27CO20.000.000.010.010.010.010.010.000.000.00

LATV_DC2R.MINPES1T27CO20.000.000.010.010.010.010.010.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R.MINPES1T27CO20.000.000.010.010.010.010.010.000.000.00

YearabcdeCO2

1994CoalBase CaseR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D24.67Sum of CO2aSum of CO2a

1994Heavy OilBase CaseR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D4913.49bYearCoalDiselGasolineHeavy OilLPGNatural GasPeatGrand TotalbYearCoalDiselGasolineHeavy OilLPGMethanolNatural GasPeatGrand Total

1994DiselBase CaseR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1955.66Base Case19941196.611955.661362.654913.49141.631768.16196.6911534.89Base Case -5%CO219941196.611955.661362.654913.49141.6301768.16196.6911534.89

1994GasolineBase CaseR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1362.6519991154.632076.291217.131632.26111.224022.38972.2211186.1319991154.632076.291217.131632.26111.220.074033.51972.2211197.33

1994CoalBase CaseR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1171.9420041661.612165.221473.311313.0678.584014.33061.4513767.5320041546.372165.221473.311313.0678.5804134.672711.813423.01

1994LPGBase CaseR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D141.6320093146.732302.731710.571052.1474.935399.762965.0116651.8720093022.522302.731710.571052.1474.9305421.562234.5315818.98

1994MethanolBase CaseR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.0020144741.832353.031857.28789.870.415309.863661.0418783.2520144602.72353.031857.28789.870.4105762.742408.0517844.01

1994Natural GasBase CaseR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D1768.1620195366.042412.611981.04631.865.875482.294360.0220299.6720195123.732412.531981.04631.865.9405952.563117.419285

1994PeatBase CaseR.MINPEM1T27CO2D196.6920245572.042473.172023.79405.4960.255754.674166.9920456.420245565.592472.592023.4405.4860.7406107.132799.0819434.01

1994PeatBase CaseR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00Base Case Total22839.4915738.7111625.7710738.04602.8931751.4219383.42112679.74Base Case -5%CO2 Total22212.1515738.0511625.3810738.03603.450.0733180.3314439.77108537.23

1994CoalBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D24.67Mid Growth19941196.611955.661362.654913.48141.631768.16196.6911534.88Mid Growth19941196.611955.661362.654913.48141.6301768.16196.6911534.88

1994Heavy OilBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D4913.4919991134.031899.491126.231604.92110.53266.53971.5510113.2519991134.031899.491126.231604.92110.50.073266.53971.5510113.32

1994DiselBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1955.662004839.71783.591206.451255.0378.52818.342728.9910710.62004839.71783.591206.451255.0378.50.012818.342728.9910710.61

1994GasolineBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1362.6520091640.81857.61403.46989.1774.843988.142706.2812660.2920091640.81857.61403.46989.1774.8403988.142706.2812660.29

1994CoalBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1171.9420142953.641866.131524.85722.9570.314119.052585.8213842.7520142953.641866.131524.85722.9570.3104119.052585.8213842.75

1994LPGBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D141.6320193502.931894.091627.19562.665.694246.743068.2414967.4820193502.931894.091627.19562.665.6904246.743068.2414967.48

1994MethanolBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.0020243943.631940.651661.66334.1260.14351.23341.1515632.5120243943.631940.651661.66334.1260.104351.23341.1515632.51

1994Natural GasBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D1768.16Mid Growth Total15211.3413197.219912.4910382.27601.5724558.1615598.7289461.76Mid Growth Total15211.3413197.219912.4910382.27601.570.0824558.1615598.7289461.84

1994PeatBase Case -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D196.69Mid Growth -5%CO219941196.611955.661362.654913.48141.631768.16196.6911534.88Mid Growth -5%CO219941196.611955.661362.654913.48141.6301768.16196.6911534.88

1994PeatBase Case -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.0019991134.031899.491126.231604.92110.53266.53971.5510113.2519991134.031899.491126.231604.92110.50.073266.53971.5510113.32

1994CoalMid GrowthR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D24.672004919.991783.591206.451255.0378.52823.352376.0810442.992004919.991783.591206.451255.0378.50.012823.352376.0810443

1994Heavy OilMid GrowthR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D4913.4820091797.221857.61403.46989.1774.843969.251935.461202720091797.221857.61403.46989.1774.8403969.251935.4612027

1994DiselMid GrowthR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1955.6620142968.651866.131524.85722.9570.314404.481593.6213150.9920142968.651866.131524.85722.9570.3104404.481593.6213150.99

1994GasolineMid GrowthR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1362.6520193481.431894.091627.19562.665.694555.092032.9214219.0120193481.431894.091627.19562.665.6904555.092032.9214219.01

1994CoalMid GrowthR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1171.9420243905.321940.651661.66334.1260.14688.342260.811485120243905.321940.651661.66334.1260.104688.342260.8114851

1994LPGMid GrowthR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D141.63Mid Growth -5%CO2 Total15403.2513197.219912.4910382.27601.5725475.211367.1386339.12Mid Growth -5%CO2 Total15403.2513197.219912.4910382.27601.570.0825475.211367.1386339.2

1994MethanolMid GrowthR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00Low Growth19941196.611955.661362.654913.48141.631768.16196.6911534.88Low Growth19941196.611955.661362.654913.48141.6301768.16196.6911534.88

1994Natural GasMid GrowthR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D1768.161999533.41719.51043.531577.8110.432990.57970.998946.221999533.41719.51043.531577.8110.430.072990.57970.998946.29

1994PeatMid GrowthR.MINPEM1T27CO2D196.6920041187.451490.24873.05119778.422534.031726.199086.3820041187.451490.24873.05119778.4202534.031726.199086.38

1994PeatMid GrowthR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.002009763.311491.271018.16926.1974.752974.231692.68940.512009763.311491.271018.16926.1974.7502974.231692.68940.51

1994CoalMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D24.6720141570.11446.431125.78656.170.213100.511173.019142.1420141570.11446.431125.78656.170.2103100.511173.019142.14

1994Heavy OilMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D4913.4820192752.041436.861212.51493.465.593171.31371.3810503.0820192752.041436.861212.51493.465.5903171.31371.3810503.08

1994DiselMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1955.6620243081.051484.041225.04256.79603246.861365.210718.9820243081.051484.041225.04256.796003246.861365.210718.98

1994GasolineMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1362.65Low Growth Total11083.96110247860.7210020.76601.0319785.668496.0668872.19Low Growth Total11083.96110247860.7210020.76601.030.0719785.668496.0668872.26

1994CoalMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1171.94Low Growth -5%CO219941196.611955.661362.654913.48141.631768.16196.6911534.88Low Growth -5%CO219941196.611955.661362.654913.48141.6301768.16196.6911534.88

1994LPGMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D141.631999767.391719.51043.531583.6110.432799.3990.839014.581999767.391719.51043.531583.6110.430.072799.3990.839014.65

1994MethanolMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.0020041306.91490.24873.05119778.422508.211405.178858.9920041306.91490.24873.05119778.4202508.211405.178858.99

1994Natural GasMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D1768.162009916.081491.271018.16926.1974.752972.541073.688472.672009916.081491.271018.16926.1974.7502972.541073.688472.67

1994PeatMid Growth -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D196.6920141601.961446.431125.78656.170.213199.98584.54868520141601.961446.431125.78656.170.2103199.98584.548685

1994PeatMid Growth -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.0020192336.231436.861212.51493.465.593218.331215.08997820192336.231436.861212.51493.465.5903218.331215.089978

1994CoalLow GrowthR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D24.6720242731.521484.041225.04256.79603292.591134.021018420242731.521484.041225.04256.796003292.591134.0210184

1994Heavy OilLow GrowthR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D4913.48Low Growth -5%CO2 Total10856.69110247860.7210026.56601.0319759.116600.0166728.12Low Growth -5%CO2 Total10856.69110247860.7210026.56601.030.0719759.116600.0166728.19

1994DiselLow GrowthR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1955.66Grand Total75394.7364181.1347172.1951549.93008.09121329.5561445.34424080.93Grand Total74767.3964180.4747171.851549.893008.650.37122758.4656501.69419938.72

1994GasolineLow GrowthR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1362.65

1994CoalLow GrowthR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1171.94

1994LPGLow GrowthR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D141.63

1994MethanolLow GrowthR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

1994Natural GasLow GrowthR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D1768.16

1994PeatLow GrowthR.MINPEM1T27CO2D196.69

1994PeatLow GrowthR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

1994CoalLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D24.67

1994Heavy OilLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D4913.48

1994DiselLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1955.66

1994GasolineLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1362.65

1994CoalLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1171.94

1994LPGLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D141.63

1994MethanolLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

1994Natural GasLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D1768.16

1994PeatLow Growth -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D196.69{Do as stacked cumulative so can see source??}

1994PeatLow Growth -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

1999CoalBase CaseR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D44.37

1999Heavy OilBase CaseR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D1632.26

1999DiselBase CaseR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D2076.29

1999GasolineBase CaseR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1217.13

1999CoalBase CaseR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1110.26

1999LPGBase CaseR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D111.22

1999MethanolBase CaseR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.07

1999Natural GasBase CaseR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D4022.38

1999PeatBase CaseR.MINPEM1T27CO2D972.22

1999PeatBase CaseR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

1999CoalBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D44.37

1999Heavy OilBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D1632.26

1999DiselBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D2076.29

1999GasolineBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1217.13

1999CoalBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1110.26

1999LPGBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D111.22

1999MethanolBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.07

1999Natural GasBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D4033.51

1999PeatBase Case -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D972.22

1999PeatBase Case -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

1999CoalMid GrowthR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D44.37

1999Heavy OilMid GrowthR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D1604.92

1999DiselMid GrowthR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1899.49

1999GasolineMid GrowthR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1126.23

1999CoalMid GrowthR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1089.66

1999LPGMid GrowthR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D110.50

1999MethanolMid GrowthR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.07

1999Natural GasMid GrowthR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D3266.53

1999PeatMid GrowthR.MINPEM1T27CO2D971.55

1999PeatMid GrowthR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

1999CoalMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D44.37

1999Heavy OilMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D1604.92

1999DiselMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1899.49

1999GasolineMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1126.23

1999CoalMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1089.66

1999LPGMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D110.50

1999MethanolMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.07

1999Natural GasMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D3266.53

1999PeatMid Growth -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D971.55

1999PeatMid Growth -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

1999CoalLow GrowthR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D44.37

1999Heavy OilLow GrowthR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D1577.80

1999DiselLow GrowthR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1719.50

1999GasolineLow GrowthR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1043.53

1999CoalLow GrowthR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D489.03

1999LPGLow GrowthR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D110.43

1999MethanolLow GrowthR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.07

1999Natural GasLow GrowthR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D2990.57

1999PeatLow GrowthR.MINPEM1T27CO2D970.99

1999PeatLow GrowthR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

1999CoalLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D44.37

1999Heavy OilLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D1583.60

1999DiselLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1719.50

1999GasolineLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1043.53

1999CoalLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D723.02

1999LPGLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D110.43

1999MethanolLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.07

1999Natural GasLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D2799.30

1999PeatLow Growth -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D990.83

1999PeatLow Growth -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2004CoalBase CaseR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D47.13

2004Heavy OilBase CaseR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D1313.06

2004DiselBase CaseR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D2165.22

2004GasolineBase CaseR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1473.31

2004CoalBase CaseR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1614.48

2004LPGBase CaseR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D78.58

2004MethanolBase CaseR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.01

2004Natural GasBase CaseR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D4014.30

2004PeatBase CaseR.MINPEM1T27CO2D3061.44

2004PeatBase CaseR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.01

2004CoalBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D47.13

2004Heavy OilBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D1313.06

2004DiselBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D2165.22

2004GasolineBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1473.31

2004CoalBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1499.24

2004LPGBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D78.58

2004MethanolBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2004Natural GasBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D4134.67

2004PeatBase Case -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D2711.79

2004PeatBase Case -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.01

2004CoalMid GrowthR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D47.13

2004Heavy OilMid GrowthR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D1255.03

2004DiselMid GrowthR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1783.59

2004GasolineMid GrowthR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1206.45

2004CoalMid GrowthR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D792.57

2004LPGMid GrowthR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D78.50

2004MethanolMid GrowthR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.01

2004Natural GasMid GrowthR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D2818.34

2004PeatMid GrowthR.MINPEM1T27CO2D2728.98

2004PeatMid GrowthR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.01

2004CoalMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D47.13

2004Heavy OilMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D1255.03

2004DiselMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1783.59

2004GasolineMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1206.45

2004CoalMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D872.86

2004LPGMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D78.50

2004MethanolMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.01

2004Natural GasMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D2823.35

2004PeatMid Growth -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D2376.07

2004PeatMid Growth -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.01

2004CoalLow GrowthR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D47.13

2004Heavy OilLow GrowthR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D1197.00

2004DiselLow GrowthR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1490.24

2004GasolineLow GrowthR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D873.05

2004CoalLow GrowthR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1140.32

2004LPGLow GrowthR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D78.42

2004MethanolLow GrowthR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2004Natural GasLow GrowthR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D2534.03

2004PeatLow GrowthR.MINPEM1T27CO2D1726.18

2004PeatLow GrowthR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.01

2004CoalLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D47.13

2004Heavy OilLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D1197.00

2004DiselLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1490.24

2004GasolineLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D873.05

2004CoalLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1259.77

2004LPGLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D78.42

2004MethanolLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2004Natural GasLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D2508.21

2004PeatLow Growth -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D1405.16

2004PeatLow Growth -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.01

2009CoalBase CaseR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D49.88

2009Heavy OilBase CaseR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D1052.14

2009DiselBase CaseR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D2302.73

2009GasolineBase CaseR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1710.57

2009CoalBase CaseR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D3096.85

2009LPGBase CaseR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D74.93

2009MethanolBase CaseR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2009Natural GasBase CaseR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D5399.76

2009PeatBase CaseR.MINPEM1T27CO2D2965.01

2009PeatBase CaseR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2009CoalBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D49.88

2009Heavy OilBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D1052.14

2009DiselBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D2302.73

2009GasolineBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1710.57

2009CoalBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D2972.64

2009LPGBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D74.93

2009MethanolBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2009Natural GasBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D5421.56

2009PeatBase Case -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D2234.53

2009PeatBase Case -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2009CoalMid GrowthR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D49.88

2009Heavy OilMid GrowthR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D989.17

2009DiselMid GrowthR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1857.60

2009GasolineMid GrowthR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1403.46

2009CoalMid GrowthR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1590.92

2009LPGMid GrowthR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D74.84

2009MethanolMid GrowthR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2009Natural GasMid GrowthR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D3988.14

2009PeatMid GrowthR.MINPEM1T27CO2D2706.28

2009PeatMid GrowthR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2009CoalMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D49.88

2009Heavy OilMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D989.17

2009DiselMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1857.60

2009GasolineMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1403.46

2009CoalMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1747.34

2009LPGMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D74.84

2009MethanolMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2009Natural GasMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D3969.25

2009PeatMid Growth -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D1935.46

2009PeatMid Growth -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2009CoalLow GrowthR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D49.88

2009Heavy OilLow GrowthR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D926.19

2009DiselLow GrowthR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1491.27

2009GasolineLow GrowthR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1018.16

2009CoalLow GrowthR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D713.43

2009LPGLow GrowthR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D74.75

2009MethanolLow GrowthR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2009Natural GasLow GrowthR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D2974.23

2009PeatLow GrowthR.MINPEM1T27CO2D1692.59

2009PeatLow GrowthR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.01

2009CoalLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D49.88

2009Heavy OilLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D926.19

2009DiselLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1491.27

2009GasolineLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1018.16

2009CoalLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D866.20

2009LPGLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D74.75

2009MethanolLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2009Natural GasLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D2972.54

2009PeatLow Growth -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D1073.67

2009PeatLow Growth -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.01

2014CoalBase CaseR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D52.64

2014Heavy OilBase CaseR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D789.80

2014DiselBase CaseR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D2353.03

2014GasolineBase CaseR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1857.28

2014CoalBase CaseR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D4689.19

2014LPGBase CaseR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D70.41

2014MethanolBase CaseR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2014Natural GasBase CaseR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D5309.86

2014PeatBase CaseR.MINPEM1T27CO2D3661.04

2014PeatBase CaseR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2014CoalBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D52.64

2014Heavy OilBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D789.80

2014DiselBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D2353.03

2014GasolineBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1857.28

2014CoalBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D4550.06

2014LPGBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D70.41

2014MethanolBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2014Natural GasBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D5762.74

2014PeatBase Case -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D2408.05

2014PeatBase Case -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2014CoalMid GrowthR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D52.64

2014Heavy OilMid GrowthR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D722.95

2014DiselMid GrowthR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1866.13

2014GasolineMid GrowthR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1524.85

2014CoalMid GrowthR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D2901.00

2014LPGMid GrowthR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D70.31

2014MethanolMid GrowthR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2014Natural GasMid GrowthR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D4119.05

2014PeatMid GrowthR.MINPEM1T27CO2D2585.82

2014PeatMid GrowthR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2014CoalMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D52.64

2014Heavy OilMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D722.95

2014DiselMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1866.13

2014GasolineMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1524.85

2014CoalMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D2916.01

2014LPGMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D70.31

2014MethanolMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2014Natural GasMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D4404.48

2014PeatMid Growth -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D1593.62

2014PeatMid Growth -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2014CoalLow GrowthR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D52.64

2014Heavy OilLow GrowthR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D656.10

2014DiselLow GrowthR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1446.43

2014GasolineLow GrowthR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1125.78

2014CoalLow GrowthR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1517.46

2014LPGLow GrowthR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D70.21

2014MethanolLow GrowthR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2014Natural GasLow GrowthR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D3100.51

2014PeatLow GrowthR.MINPEM1T27CO2D1173.01

2014PeatLow GrowthR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2014CoalLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D52.64

2014Heavy OilLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D656.10

2014DiselLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1446.43

2014GasolineLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1125.78

2014CoalLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D1549.32

2014LPGLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D70.21

2014MethanolLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2014Natural GasLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D3199.98

2014PeatLow Growth -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D584.54

2014PeatLow Growth -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2019CoalBase CaseR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D55.40

2019Heavy OilBase CaseR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D631.80

2019DiselBase CaseR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D2412.61

2019GasolineBase CaseR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1981.04

2019CoalBase CaseR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D5310.64

2019LPGBase CaseR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D65.87

2019MethanolBase CaseR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2019Natural GasBase CaseR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D5482.29

2019PeatBase CaseR.MINPEM1T27CO2D4360.01

2019PeatBase CaseR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.01

2019CoalBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D55.40

2019Heavy OilBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D631.80

2019DiselBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D2412.53

2019GasolineBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1981.04

2019CoalBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D5068.33

2019LPGBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D65.94

2019MethanolBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2019Natural GasBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D5952.56

2019PeatBase Case -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D3117.39

2019PeatBase Case -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.01

2019CoalMid GrowthR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D55.40

2019Heavy OilMid GrowthR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D562.60

2019DiselMid GrowthR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1894.09

2019GasolineMid GrowthR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1627.19

2019CoalMid GrowthR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D3447.53

2019LPGMid GrowthR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D65.69

2019MethanolMid GrowthR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2019Natural GasMid GrowthR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D4246.74

2019PeatMid GrowthR.MINPEM1T27CO2D3068.24

2019PeatMid GrowthR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2019CoalMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D55.40

2019Heavy OilMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D562.60

2019DiselMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1894.09

2019GasolineMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1627.19

2019CoalMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D3426.03

2019LPGMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D65.69

2019MethanolMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2019Natural GasMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D4555.09

2019PeatMid Growth -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D2032.92

2019PeatMid Growth -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2019CoalLow GrowthR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D55.40

2019Heavy OilLow GrowthR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D493.40

2019DiselLow GrowthR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1436.86

2019GasolineLow GrowthR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1212.51

2019CoalLow GrowthR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D2696.64

2019LPGLow GrowthR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D65.59

2019MethanolLow GrowthR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2019Natural GasLow GrowthR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D3171.30

2019PeatLow GrowthR.MINPEM1T27CO2D1371.38

2019PeatLow GrowthR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2019CoalLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D55.40

2019Heavy OilLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D493.40

2019DiselLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1436.86

2019GasolineLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1212.51

2019CoalLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D2280.83

2019LPGLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D65.59

2019MethanolLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2019Natural GasLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D3218.33

2019PeatLow Growth -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D1215.08

2019PeatLow Growth -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2024CoalBase CaseR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D58.15

2024Heavy OilBase CaseR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D405.49

2024DiselBase CaseR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D2473.17

2024GasolineBase CaseR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D2023.79

2024CoalBase CaseR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D5513.89

2024LPGBase CaseR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D60.25

2024MethanolBase CaseR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2024Natural GasBase CaseR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D5754.67

2024PeatBase CaseR.MINPEM1T27CO2D4166.99

2024PeatBase CaseR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2024CoalBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D58.15

2024Heavy OilBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D405.48

2024DiselBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D2472.59

2024GasolineBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D2023.40

2024CoalBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D5507.44

2024LPGBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D60.74

2024MethanolBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2024Natural GasBase Case -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D6107.13

2024PeatBase Case -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D2799.08

2024PeatBase Case -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2024CoalMid GrowthR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D58.15

2024Heavy OilMid GrowthR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D334.12

2024DiselMid GrowthR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1940.65

2024GasolineMid GrowthR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1661.66

2024CoalMid GrowthR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D3885.48

2024LPGMid GrowthR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D60.10

2024MethanolMid GrowthR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2024Natural GasMid GrowthR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D4351.20

2024PeatMid GrowthR.MINPEM1T27CO2D3341.15

2024PeatMid GrowthR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2024CoalMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D58.15

2024Heavy OilMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D334.12

2024DiselMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1940.65

2024GasolineMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1661.66

2024CoalMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D3847.17

2024LPGMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D60.10

2024MethanolMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2024Natural GasMid Growth -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D4688.34

2024PeatMid Growth -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D2260.81

2024PeatMid Growth -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2024CoalLow GrowthR.IMPCOK1T27CO2D58.15

2024Heavy OilLow GrowthR.IMPDSH1T27CO2D256.79

2024DiselLow GrowthR.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1484.04

2024GasolineLow GrowthR.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1225.04

2024CoalLow GrowthR.IMPHCO1T27CO2D3022.90

2024LPGLow GrowthR.IMPLPG1T27CO2D60.00

2024MethanolLow GrowthR.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2024Natural GasLow GrowthR.IMPNGA1T27CO2D3246.86

2024PeatLow GrowthR.MINPEM1T27CO2D1365.20

2024PeatLow GrowthR.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

2024CoalLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPCOK1T27CO2D58.15

2024Heavy OilLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSH1T27CO2D256.79

2024DiselLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPDSL1T27CO2D1484.04

2024GasolineLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPGSL1T27CO2D1225.04

2024CoalLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPHCO1T27CO2D2673.37

2024LPGLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPLPG1T27CO2D60.00

2024MethanolLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPMET1T27CO2D0.00

2024Natural GasLow Growth -5%CO2R.IMPNGA1T27CO2D3292.59

2024PeatLow Growth -5%CO2R.MINPEM1T27CO2D1134.02

2024PeatLow Growth -5%CO2R.MINPES1T27CO2D0.00

F CO2

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

Base Case

Base Case -5%CO2

Mid Growth

Mid Growth -5%CO2

Low Growth

Low Growth -5%CO2

Years

Th Tons CO2

Total CO2 EmissionsWorld Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

F CO2 Stocastics

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

Base Case

Mid Growth

Low Growth

Years

Th Tons CO2

Total CO2 EmissionsWorld Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

Cont2Reduce

1196.611955.661362.654913.49141.631768.16196.69

1154.632076.291217.131632.26111.224022.38972.22

1661.612165.221473.311313.0678.584014.33061.45

3146.732302.731710.571052.1474.935399.762965.01

4741.832353.031857.28789.870.415309.863661.04

5366.042412.611981.04631.865.875482.294360.02

5572.042473.172023.79405.4960.255754.674166.99

1196.611955.661362.654913.48141.631768.16196.69

1134.031899.491126.231604.92110.53266.53971.55

839.71783.591206.451255.0378.52818.342728.99

1640.81857.61403.46989.1774.843988.142706.28

2953.641866.131524.85722.9570.314119.052585.82

3502.931894.091627.19562.665.694246.743068.24

3943.631940.651661.66334.1260.14351.23341.15

1196.611955.661362.654913.48141.631768.16196.69

1134.031899.491126.231604.92110.53266.53971.55

919.991783.591206.451255.0378.52823.352376.08

1797.221857.61403.46989.1774.843969.251935.46

2968.651866.131524.85722.9570.314404.481593.62

3481.431894.091627.19562.665.694555.092032.92

3905.321940.651661.66334.1260.14688.342260.81

1196.611955.661362.654913.48141.631768.16196.69

533.41719.51043.531577.8110.432990.57970.99

1187.451490.24873.05119778.422534.031726.19

763.311491.271018.16926.1974.752974.231692.6

1570.11446.431125.78656.170.213100.511173.01

2752.041436.861212.51493.465.593171.31371.38

3081.051484.041225.04256.79603246.861365.2

1196.611955.661362.654913.48141.631768.16196.69

767.391719.51043.531583.6110.432799.3990.83

1306.91490.24873.05119778.422508.211405.17

916.081491.271018.16926.1974.752972.541073.68

1601.961446.431125.78656.170.213199.98584.54

2336.231436.861212.51493.465.593218.331215.08

2731.521484.041225.04256.79603292.591134.02

Coal

Disel

Gasoline

Heavy Oil

LPG

Natural Gas

Peat

TH Tons CO2

CO2 Emissions by FuelWorld Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

PRIMARY

1196.611955.661362.654913.49141.6301768.16196.69

1154.632076.291217.131632.26111.220.074033.51972.22

1546.372165.221473.311313.0678.5804134.672711.8

3022.522302.731710.571052.1474.9305421.562234.53

4602.72353.031857.28789.870.4105762.742408.05

5123.732412.531981.04631.865.9405952.563117.4

5565.592472.592023.4405.4860.7406107.132799.08

1196.611955.661362.654913.48141.6301768.16196.69

1134.031899.491126.231604.92110.50.073266.53971.55

839.71783.591206.451255.0378.50.012818.342728.99

1640.81857.61403.46989.1774.8403988.142706.28

2953.641866.131524.85722.9570.3104119.052585.82

3502.931894.091627.19562.665.6904246.743068.24

3943.631940.651661.66334.1260.104351.23341.15

1196.611955.661362.654913.48141.6301768.16196.69

1134.031899.491126.231604.92110.50.073266.53971.55

919.991783.591206.451255.0378.50.012823.352376.08

1797.221857.61403.46989.1774.8403969.251935.46

2968.651866.131524.85722.9570.3104404.481593.62

3481.431894.091627.19562.665.6904555.092032.92

3905.321940.651661.66334.1260.104688.342260.81

1196.611955.661362.654913.48141.6301768.16196.69

533.41719.51043.531577.8110.430.072990.57970.99

1187.451490.24873.05119778.4202534.031726.19

763.311491.271018.16926.1974.7502974.231692.6

1570.11446.431125.78656.170.2103100.511173.01

2752.041436.861212.51493.465.5903171.31371.38

3081.051484.041225.04256.796003246.861365.2

1196.611955.661362.654913.48141.6301768.16196.69

767.391719.51043.531583.6110.430.072799.3990.83

1306.91490.24873.05119778.4202508.211405.17

916.081491.271018.16926.1974.7502972.541073.68

1601.961446.431125.78656.170.2103199.98584.54

2336.231436.861212.51493.465.5903218.331215.08

2731.521484.041225.04256.796003292.591134.02

Coal

Disel

Gasoline

Heavy Oil

LPG

Methanol

Natural Gas

Peat

TH Tons CO2

CO2 Emissions by FuelWorld Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

F Primary

11534.8711534.8711534.8711534.8711534.8711534.87

11186.1911197.3210113.3410113.348946.299014.66

13767.531342310710.61104439086.398859

16651.881581912660.3120278940.528472.67

18783.251784413842.75131519142.148685

20299.671928514967.471421910503.079978

20456.41943415632.511485110718.9710184

LATV0

LATV0C05

LATV1

LATV1C05

LATV2

LATV2C05

YEAR

Th. ton of CO2

CO2 emissions per case

F Primary Stcastic

11534.8711534.8711534.8711534.8611534.8611534.86

11197.3210113.349014.6611172.6511172.6511172.65

13423104438859134231342313423

15819120278472.6712027849315819

1784413151868513151868517844

1928514219997814219997819285

194341485110184148511018419434

FIG

LATV0C05

LATV1C05

LATV2C05

LATV_DC2

LATV_DC3

LATV_DC1

YEAR

Th. ton of CO2

CO2 emissions per case

ELC

1994199920042009201420192024

SCENCASEROWLABELNROWIDCOL1COL2COL3COL4COL5COL6COL7COL8COL9COL10ORIG_RECNO

LATV0C05REMAININGRESTCO211534.8711197.3213423.0015819.0017844.0019285.0019434.000.000.000.002

LATV0C05LESS CO2/FOSSILCO2/FOS0.000.00151.25252.60523.36540.45490.080.000.000.005

LATV0C05MOVE TO NUCLEARFOS/TNUC0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.008

LATV0C05MOVE TO RENEWFOS/TREN0.000.0096.55365.0479.54125.84420.830.000.000.0011

LATV0C05EFF IMPROVEMENTTPER/UED0.000.0096.73215.24336.36348.38102.600.000.000.0014

LATV0C10REMAININGRESTCO211534.8711181.7013079.0014987.0016905.0018270.0018411.000.000.000.003

LATV0C10LESS CO2/FOSSILCO2/FOS0.000.00242.50467.59766.68821.17927.520.000.000.006

LATV0C10MOVE TO NUCLEARFOS/TNUC0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.009

LATV0C10MOVE TO RENEWFOS/TREN0.001.19130.06584.18412.47806.52796.500.000.000.0012

LATV0C10EFF IMPROVEMENTTPER/UED0.005.50315.98613.11699.10401.97312.480.000.000.0015

LATV0C05LESS CO2/FOSSILCO2/FOS0.00-11.13151.25252.60523.36540.45490.080.000.000.005

LATV0C10LESS CO2/FOSSILCO2/FOS0.00-2.19242.50467.59766.68821.17927.520.000.000.006

{Change scale 10000 - 22000}

ELC

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

REMAINING

LESS CO2/FOSSIL

MOVE TO NUCLEAR

MOVE TO RENEW

EFF IMPROVEMENT

Years

Th Tons CO2

Contribution to 5%CO2 ReductionWorld Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

F ELC

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

REMAINING

LESS CO2/FOSSIL

MOVE TO NUCLEAR

MOVE TO RENEW

EFF IMPROVEMENT

Years

Th Tons CO2

Contribution to 10% CO2 ReductionWorld Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

F ELC Stocastic

1994199920042009201420192024

SCENCASEROWLABELNROWIDCOL1COL2COL3COL4COL5COL6COL7COL8COL9COL10ORIG_RECNO

LATV0COAL&COKEHCO&COK12.8512.3817.8333.8251.0057.7159.930.000.000.001

LATV0OIL PRODUCTSOIL112.8969.0969.3471.2070.5170.9969.380.000.000.002

LATV0NATURAL GAST.NGA31.5771.8371.6896.4294.8297.90102.760.000.000.003

LATV0PEATPEA1.899.3629.4728.5435.2441.9640.110.000.000.004

LATV0BIOMASSBIO24.2226.2518.4618.6526.5127.7633.050.000.000.005

LATV0RENEWABLESRENUT11.909.889.899.919.929.869.860.000.000.006

LATV0SYNTHETICSYNTHETI0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.007

LATV0IMPORTED ELCNETIMP7.674.65-3.20-3.20-3.20-3.20-3.200.000.000.008

LATV0CONSERVATIONT..CONSV0.006.6219.0621.8521.6621.3020.820.000.000.009

LATV0C05COAL&COKEHCO&COK12.8512.3816.5932.4849.5055.1059.860.000.000.0010

LATV0C05OIL PRODUCTSOIL112.8969.0969.3471.2070.5171.0069.380.000.000.0011

LATV0C05NATURAL GAST.NGA31.5772.0373.8396.81102.91106.30109.060.000.000.0012

LATV0C05PEATPEA1.899.3626.1021.5123.1830.0026.940.000.000.0013

LATV0C05BIOMASSBIO24.2226.2519.9926.2429.8431.1838.360.000.000.0014

LATV0C05RENEWABLESRENUT11.909.889.899.919.929.869.860.000.000.0015

LATV0C05SYNTHETICSYNTHETI0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0016

LATV0C05IMPORTED ELCNETIMP7.674.44-3.20-3.20-3.20-3.20-3.200.000.000.0017

LATV0C05CONSERVATIONT..CONSV0.006.7419.1822.2321.8921.4020.820.000.000.0018

LATV1COAL&COKEHCO&COK12.8512.158.9817.6031.7437.6542.390.000.000.0019

LATV1OIL PRODUCTSOIL112.8964.9859.5059.8458.1757.8855.930.000.000.0020

LATV1NATURAL GAST.NGA31.5758.3350.3371.2273.5575.8377.700.000.000.0021

LATV1PEATPEA1.899.3526.2726.0524.8929.5332.160.000.000.0022

LATV1BIOMASSBIO24.2226.2520.2317.9826.5127.7627.970.000.000.0023

LATV1RENEWABLESRENUT11.909.889.899.919.929.869.860.000.000.0024

LATV1SYNTHETICSYNTHETI0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0025

LATV1IMPORTED ELCNETIMP7.674.32-3.20-3.09-3.19-3.20-3.200.000.000.0026

LATV1CONSERVATIONT..CONSV0.005.7614.9920.5721.6621.3020.820.000.000.0027

LATV1C05COAL&COKEHCO&COK12.8512.159.8419.2931.9037.4141.980.000.000.0028

LATV1C05OIL PRODUCTSOIL112.8964.9859.5059.8458.1757.8855.930.000.000.0029

LATV1C05NATURAL GAST.NGA31.5758.3350.4270.8878.6581.3483.720.000.000.0030

LATV1C05PEATPEA1.899.3522.8718.6315.3419.5721.760.000.000.0031

LATV1C05BIOMASSBIO24.2226.2522.5523.9930.1932.2132.730.000.000.0032

LATV1C05RENEWABLESRENUT11.909.889.899.919.929.869.860.000.000.0033

LATV1C05SYNTHETICSYNTHETI0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0034

LATV1C05IMPORTED ELCNETIMP7.674.32-3.20-3.20-3.20-3.20-3.200.000.000.0035

LATV1C05CONSERVATIONT..CONSV0.005.7615.2020.5721.6621.3020.820.000.000.0036

LATV2COAL&COKEHCO&COK12.855.6912.728.1516.8429.5633.100.000.000.0037

LATV2OIL PRODUCTSOIL112.8960.9849.8948.4145.7844.7042.340.000.000.0038

LATV2NATURAL GAST.NGA31.5753.4045.2553.1155.3756.6357.980.000.000.0039

LATV2PEATPEA1.899.3516.6116.2911.2913.2013.140.000.000.0040

LATV2BIOMASSBIO24.2226.2518.3817.8426.5127.7627.970.000.000.0041

LATV2RENEWABLESRENUT11.909.889.899.919.929.869.860.000.000.0042

LATV2SYNTHETICSYNTHETI0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0043

LATV2IMPORTED ELCNETIMP7.674.78-3.03-3.08-2.81-3.11-3.120.000.000.0044

LATV2CONSERVATIONT..CONSV0.003.533.5316.9720.1819.5320.820.000.000.0045

LATV2C05COAL&COKEHCO&COK12.858.2114.019.8017.1825.0829.340.000.000.0046

LATV2C05OIL PRODUCTSOIL112.8961.0649.8948.4145.7844.7042.340.000.000.0047

LATV2C05NATURAL GAST.NGA31.5749.9944.7953.0857.1457.4758.800.000.000.0048

LATV2C05PEATPEA1.899.5413.5210.335.6311.6910.910.000.000.0049

LATV2C05BIOMASSBIO24.2226.2521.3721.3229.6527.7628.960.000.000.0050

LATV2C05RENEWABLESRENUT11.909.889.899.919.9210.8410.880.000.000.0051

LATV2C05SYNTHETICSYNTHETI0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0052

LATV2C05IMPORTED ELCNETIMP7.675.55-3.20-3.10-2.83-3.13-3.150.000.000.0053

LATV2C05CONSERVATIONT..CONSV0.003.533.7216.9720.1820.2620.820.000.000.0054

LATV_DC1COAL&COKEHCO&COK12.8512.2319.6934.3651.3959.8762.060.000.000.0055

LATV_DC1OIL PRODUCTSOIL112.8966.6466.9168.8570.5170.9969.380.000.000.0056

LATV_DC1NATURAL GAST.NGA31.5771.7773.9696.59103.15105.77109.350.000.000.0057

LATV_DC1PEATPEA1.899.3623.2419.9121.3526.0224.810.000.000.0058

LATV_DC1BIOMASSBIO24.2226.2522.4026.7230.2231.3838.230.000.000.0059

LATV_DC1RENEWABLESRENUT11.909.889.899.919.929.869.860.000.000.0060

LATV_DC1SYNTHETICSYNTHETI0.002.452.402.360.000.000.000.000.000.0061

LATV_DC1IMPORTED ELCNETIMP7.674.76-3.20-3.20-3.20-3.20-3.200.000.000.0062

LATV_DC1CONSERVATIONT..CONSV0.006.6218.1421.8521.6621.3020.820.000.000.0063

LATV_DC2COAL&COKEHCO&COK12.8512.2319.6919.3032.0037.4541.940.000.000.0064

LATV_DC2OIL PRODUCTSOIL112.8966.6466.9158.5658.1757.8855.940.000.000.0065

LATV_DC2NATURAL GAST.NGA31.5771.7773.9671.1578.8281.4383.920.000.000.0066

LATV_DC2PEATPEA1.899.3623.2418.4515.1619.4921.690.000.000.0067

LATV_DC2BIOMASSBIO24.2226.2522.4023.9930.0732.1032.680.000.000.0068

LATV_DC2RENEWABLESRENUT11.909.889.899.919.929.869.860.000.000.0069

LATV_DC2SYNTHETICSYNTHETI0.002.452.401.280.000.000.000.000.000.0070

LATV_DC2IMPORTED ELCNETIMP7.674.76-3.20-3.20-3.20-3.20-3.200.000.000.0071

LATV_DC2CONSERVATIONT..CONSV0.006.6218.1420.5721.6621.3020.820.000.000.0072

LATV_DC3COAL&COKEHCO&COK12.8512.2319.697.7810.9721.5527.110.000.000.0073

LATV_DC3OIL PRODUCTSOIL112.8966.6466.9148.3245.9644.7042.350.000.000.0074

LATV_DC3NATURAL GAST.NGA31.5771.7773.9649.8260.0462.1162.760.000.000.0075

LATV_DC3PEATPEA1.899.3623.2414.079.5312.3510.760.000.000.0076

LATV_DC3BIOMASSBIO24.2226.2522.4022.4626.5127.7628.540.000.000.0077

LATV_DC3RENEWABLESRENUT11.909.889.899.919.929.869.860.000.000.0078

LATV_DC3SYNTHETICSYNTHETI0.002.452.400.000.000.000.000.000.000.0079

LATV_DC3IMPORTED ELCNETIMP7.674.76-3.20-2.90-1.67-2.97-2.200.000.000.0080

LATV_DC3CONSERVATIONT..CONSV0.006.6218.1417.3520.3121.3020.820.000.000.0081

LATV0.{TOTAL}.{TOTAL}202.99210.06232.53277.19306.46324.28332.710.000.000.00

LATV0C05.{TOTAL}.{TOTAL}202.99210.17231.72277.18304.55321.64331.080.000.000.00

LATV1.{TOTAL}.{TOTAL}202.99191.02186.99220.08243.25256.61263.630.000.000.00

LATV1C05.{TOTAL}.{TOTAL}202.99191.02187.07219.91242.63256.37263.600.000.000.00

LATV2.{TOTAL}.{TOTAL}202.99173.86153.24167.60183.08198.13202.090.000.000.00

LATV2C05.{TOTAL}.{TOTAL}202.99174.01153.99166.72182.65194.67198.900.000.000.00

LATV_DC1.{TOTAL}.{TOTAL}202.99209.96233.43277.35305.00321.99331.310.000.000.00

LATV_DC2.{TOTAL}.{TOTAL}202.99209.96233.43220.01242.60256.31263.650.000.000.00

LATV_DC3.{TOTAL}.{TOTAL}202.99209.96233.43166.81181.57196.66200.000.000.000.00

Perhaps better is stacked by component for less cases?}

F ELC Stocastic

202.99202.99202.99202.99202.99202.99

210.06210.17191.02191.02173.86174.01

232.53231.72186.99187.07153.24153.99

277.19277.18220.08219.91167.6166.72

306.46304.55243.25242.63183.08182.65

324.28321.64256.61256.37198.13194.67

332.71331.08263.63263.6202.09198.9

LATV0 .{TOTAL} .{TOTAL}

LATV0C05 .{TOTAL} .{TOTAL}

LATV1 .{TOTAL} .{TOTAL}

LATV1C05 .{TOTAL} .{TOTAL}

LATV2 .{TOTAL} .{TOTAL}

LATV2C05 .{TOTAL} .{TOTAL}

Years

PJ

CO2$$$

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

Base Case

Mid Growth

Low Growth

COAL&COKE

OIL PRODUCTS

NATURAL GAS

PEAT

BIOMASS

RENEWABLES

SYNTHETIC

IMPORTED ELC

CONSERVATION

PJ

Total Primary EnergyWorld Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

CO2 Emissions

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

Base Case

Base Case -5%CO2

COAL&COKE

OIL PRODUCTS

NATURAL GAS

PEAT

BIOMASS

RENEWABLES

SYNTHETIC

IMPORTED ELC

CONSERVATION

PJ

Total Prymary EnergyWorld Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

SUMMARY

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

Mid Growth

Mid Growth -5%CO2

COAL&COKE

OIL PRODUCTS

NATURAL GAS

PEAT

BIOMASS

RENEWABLES

SYNTHETIC

IMPORTED ELC

CONSERVATION

PJ

Total Primary EnergyWorld Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

T01

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

Low Growth

Low Growth -5%CO2

COAL&COKE

OIL PRODUCTS

NATURAL GAS

PEAT

BIOMASS

RENEWABLES

SYNTHETIC

IMPORTED ELC

CONSERVATION

PJ

Total Primary EnergyWorld Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

GDP

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

Base Case -5%CO2

Mid Growth -5%CO2

Low Growth -5%CO2

COAL&COKE

OIL PRODUCTS

NATURAL GAS

PEAT

BIOMASS

RENEWABLES

SYNTHETIC

IMPORTED ELC

CONSERVATION

PJ

Total Primary EnergyWorld Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

Permit Price

202.99202.99202.99202.99202.99202.99

210.06210.17191.02191.02173.86174.01

232.53231.72186.99187.07153.24153.99

277.19277.18220.08219.91167.6166.72

306.46304.55243.25242.63183.08182.65

324.28321.64256.61256.37198.13194.67

332.71331.08263.63263.6202.09198.9

LATV0

LATV0C05

LATV1

LATV1C05

LATV2

LATV2C05

YEAR

PJ

Total Primary by Case

202.99202.99202.99202.99202.99202.99

210.17174.01191.02209.96209.96209.96

231.72153.99187.07233.43233.43233.43

277.18166.72219.91277.35220.01166.81

304.55182.65242.63305242.6181.57

321.64194.67256.37321.99256.31196.66

331.08198.9263.6331.31263.65200

LATV0C05

LATV2C05

LATV1C05

LATV_DC1

LATV_DC2

LATV_DC3

YEAR

PJ

Total Primary by Case

1994199920042009201420192024

SCENCASEENTRYTYPETAB_ROWNAMECOL1COL2COL3COL4COL5COL6COL7

Base CaseLATV0RTOT..TELELC14.6018.7728.3231.8534.6236.5737.33

Base Case -5%CO2LATV0C05RTOT..TELELC14.6018.9828.4131.8434.5936.5537.40

Mid GrowthLATV1RTOT..TELELC14.6017.8925.5628.6531.1532.9833.66

Mid Growth -5%CO2LATV1C05RTOT..TELELC14.6017.8925.6428.9031.1832.9833.66

Low GrowthLATV2RTOT..TELELC14.6016.4523.3425.9627.5329.4930.02

Low Growth -5%CO2LATV2C05RTOT..TELELC14.6015.6723.6526.0627.5829.5630.09

LATV_DC1RTOT..TELELC14.6018.6528.5531.8934.6636.7037.48

LATV_DC2RTOT..TELELC14.6018.6528.5528.9431.1832.9833.66

LATV_DC3RTOT..TELELC14.6018.6528.5525.6426.0829.1128.87

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

Base Case

Base Case -5%CO2

Mid Growth

Mid Growth -5%CO2

Low Growth

Low Growth -5%CO2

Years

PJ

Total ElectricityWorld Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

14.614.614.614.614.614.6

18.7718.9817.8917.8916.4515.67

28.3228.4125.5625.6423.3423.65

31.8531.8428.6528.925.9626.06

34.6234.5931.1531.1827.5327.58

36.5736.5532.9832.9829.4929.56

37.3337.433.6633.6630.0230.09

LATV0

LATV0C05

LATV1

LATV1C05

LATV2

LATV2C05

YEAR

PJ

Electricity Production by Case

14.614.614.614.614.614.6

18.9817.8915.6718.6518.6518.65

28.4125.6423.6528.5528.5528.55

31.8428.926.0631.8928.9425.64

34.5931.1827.5834.6631.1826.08

36.5532.9829.5636.732.9829.11

37.433.6630.0937.4833.6628.87

BASE Det

Mid Demand Det

Low Demand Det

BASE Stoch

Mid Demand Stoch

Low Demand Stoch

YEAR

PJ

Deterministic vs Stochastic w/ 5% CO2 ReductionElectricity Production by Case

1994199920042009201420192024

SCENCASEROWLABELNROWIDCOL1COL2COL3COL4COL5COL6COL7COL8COL9COL10ORIG_RECNO

LATV0CO2 PERMIT $CO2$0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.001

Base Case -5%CO2LATV0C05CO2 PERMIT $CO2$0.000.001.423.451.900.000.000.000.000.002

LATV1CO2 PERMIT $CO2$0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.003

Mid Growth -5%CO2LATV1C05CO2 PERMIT $CO2$0.000.001.421.632.540.000.000.000.000.004

LATV2CO2 PERMIT $CO2$0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.005

Low Growth -5%CO2LATV2C05CO2 PERMIT $CO2$0.000.001.740.003.240.000.000.000.000.006

LATV_DC1CO2 PERMIT $CO2$0.000.000.890.651.901.480.240.000.000.007

LATV_DC2CO2 PERMIT $CO2$0.000.000.890.842.531.480.240.000.000.008

LATV_DC3CO2 PERMIT $CO2$0.000.000.891.846.541.133.860.000.000.009Probably do not want the _DC runs, if particular as I'm not sure why LATV_DC2 has such a high 2014 marginal?

Need to add axis labels ($/ton CO2)

1.420.651.901.130.24

LATV0U..TOTSYSUMMARY164123652869280434003462294997441

LATV0C05U..TOTSYSUMMARY164023662868280634003460294897444

LATV1U..TOTSYSUMMARY164120772261232127172762237480764

LATV1C05U..TOTSYSUMMARY164120772263232127162763237480769

LATV2U..TOTSYSUMMARY164018031704190520692067178864874

LATV2C05U..TOTSYSUMMARY164018041711190020652071177564824

LATV_DC1U..TOTSYSUMMARY164023582871281834013465294697493

LATV_DC2U..TOTSYSUMMARY164023582871194528032930224483956

LATV_DC3U..TOTSYSUMMARY164023582871131320282400165271303

LATV0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

LATV0C05100.0%100.0%100.0%100.1%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

LATV1100.0%87.8%78.8%82.8%79.9%79.8%80.5%82.9%

LATV1C05100.0%87.8%78.9%82.8%79.9%79.8%80.5%82.9%

LATV2100.0%76.2%59.4%67.9%60.9%59.7%60.6%66.6%

LATV2C05100.0%76.3%59.6%67.8%60.7%59.8%60.2%66.5%

LATV_DC1100.0%99.7%100.1%100.5%100.0%100.1%99.9%100.1%

LATV_DC2100.0%99.7%100.1%69.4%82.5%84.6%76.1%86.2%

LATV_DC3100.0%99.7%100.1%46.8%59.6%69.3%56.0%73.2%

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

LATV0

LATV0C05

LATV1

LATV1C05

LATV2

LATV2C05

LATV_DC1

LATV_DC2

LATV_DC3

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

000000000

LATV0

LATV0C05

LATV1

LATV1C05

LATV2

LATV2C05

LATV_DC1

LATV_DC2

LATV_DC3

YEAR

% from BASE (high) Total System Cost

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

Base Case -5%CO2

Mid Growth -5%CO2

Low Growth -5%CO2

Year

$/ton CO2

Marginal Costs for ton of CO2World Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

1994199920042009201420192024

ENTRYTYPENAMESCENCASETAB_ROWCOL1COL2COL3COL4COL5COL6COL7COL8COL9COL10

RT27CO2LATV0..DISCEM9144.416322.755548.324784.643848.032965.092130.39000

RT27CO2LATV0C05..DISCEM9144.416329.055409.474545.333655.612816.882023.91000

RT27CO2LATV1..DISCEM9144.415716.354316.383637.732835.892186.241628.02000

RT27CO2LATV1C05..DISCEM9144.415716.354208.533455.762694.182076.911546.63000

RT27CO2LATV2..DISCEM9144.415056.73661.822568.911872.91534.141116.31000

RT27CO2LATV2C05..DISCEM9144.415095.343570.182434.481779.251457.441060.59000

Base CaseRT27CO2LATV0..TOTEFF11534.8711186.1913767.5316651.8818783.2520299.6720456.4000

Base Case -5%CO2RT27CO2LATV0C05..TOTEFF11534.8711197.321342315819178441928519434000

Mid GrowthRT27CO2LATV1..TOTEFF11534.8710113.3410710.6112660.313842.7514967.4715632.51000

Mid Growth -5%CO2RT27CO2LATV1C05..TOTEFF11534.8710113.341044312027131511421914851000

Low GrowthRT27CO2LATV2..TOTEFF11534.878946.299086.398940.529142.1410503.0710718.97000

Low Growth -5%CO2RT27CO2LATV2C05..TOTEFF11534.879014.6688598472.678685997810184000

RT27CO2LATV0.IMPCOK124.6744.3747.1349.8852.6455.458.15000

RT27CO2LATV0C05.IMPCOK124.6744.3747.1349.8852.6455.458.15000

RT27CO2LATV1.IMPCOK124.6744.3747.1349.8852.6455.458.15000

RT27CO2LATV1C05.IMPCOK124.6744.3747.1349.8852.6455.458.15000

RT27CO2LATV2.IMPCOK124.6744.3747.1349.8852.6455.458.15000

RT27CO2LATV2C05.IMPCOK124.6744.3747.1349.8852.6455.458.15000

RT27CO2LATV0.IMPDSH14913.491632.261313.061052.14789.8631.8405.49000

RT27CO2LATV0C05.IMPDSH14913.491632.261313.061052.14789.8631.8405.48000

RT27CO2LATV1.IMPDSH14913.481604.921255.03989.17722.95562.6334.12000

RT27CO2LATV1C05.IMPDSH14913.481604.921255.03989.17722.95562.6334.12000

RT27CO2LATV2.IMPDSH14913.481577.81197926.19656.1493.4256.79000

RT27CO2LATV2C05.IMPDSH14913.481583.61197926.19656.1493.4256.79000

RT27CO2LATV0.IMPDSL11955.662076.292165.222302.732353.032412.612473.17000

RT27CO2LATV0C05.IMPDSL11955.662076.292165.222302.732353.032412.532472.59000

RT27CO2LATV1.IMPDSL11955.661899.491783.591857.61866.131894.091940.65000

RT27CO2LATV1C05.IMPDSL11955.661899.491783.591857.61866.131894.091940.65000

RT27CO2LATV2.IMPDSL11955.661719.51490.241491.271446.431436.861484.04000

RT27CO2LATV2C05.IMPDSL11955.661719.51490.241491.271446.431436.861484.04000

RT27CO2LATV0.IMPGSL11362.651217.131473.311710.571857.281981.042023.79000

RT27CO2LATV0C05.IMPGSL11362.651217.131473.311710.571857.281981.042023.4000

RT27CO2LATV1.IMPGSL11362.651126.231206.451403.461524.851627.191661.66000

RT27CO2LATV1C05.IMPGSL11362.651126.231206.451403.461524.851627.191661.66000

RT27CO2LATV2.IMPGSL11362.651043.53873.051018.161125.781212.511225.04000

RT27CO2LATV2C05.IMPGSL11362.651043.53873.051018.161125.781212.511225.04000

RT27CO2LATV0.IMPHCO11171.941110.261614.483096.854689.195310.645513.89000

RT27CO2LATV0C05.IMPHCO11171.941110.261499.242972.644550.065068.335507.44000

RT27CO2LATV1.IMPHCO11171.941089.66792.571590.9229013447.533885.48000

RT27CO2LATV1C05.IMPHCO11171.941089.66872.861747.342916.013426.033847.17000

RT27CO2LATV2.IMPHCO11171.94489.031140.32713.431517.462696.643022.9000

RT27CO2LATV2C05.IMPHCO11171.94723.021259.77866.21549.322280.832673.37000

RT27CO2LATV0.IMPLPG1141.63111.2278.5874.9370.4165.8760.25000

RT27CO2LATV0C05.IMPLPG1141.63111.2278.5874.9370.4165.9460.74000

RT27CO2LATV1.IMPLPG1141.63110.578.574.8470.3165.6960.1000

RT27CO2LATV1C05.IMPLPG1141.63110.578.574.8470.3165.6960.1000

RT27CO2LATV2.IMPLPG1141.63110.4378.4274.7570.2165.5960000

RT27CO2LATV2C05.IMPLPG1141.63110.4378.4274.7570.2165.5960000

RT27CO2LATV0.IMPMET100.070.010000000

RT27CO2LATV0C05.IMPMET100.0700000000

RT27CO2LATV1.IMPMET100.070.010000000

RT27CO2LATV1C05.IMPMET100.070.010000000

RT27CO2LATV2.IMPMET100.0700000000

RT27CO2LATV2C05.IMPMET100.0700000000

RT27CO2LATV0.IMPNGA11768.164022.384014.35399.765309.865482.295754.67000

RT27CO2LATV0C05.IMPNGA11768.164033.514134.675421.565762.745952.566107.13000

RT27CO2LATV1.IMPNGA11768.163266.532818.343988.144119.054246.744351.2000

RT27CO2LATV1C05.IMPNGA11768.163266.532823.353969.254404.484555.094688.34000

RT27CO2LATV2.IMPNGA11768.162990.572534.032974.233100.513171.33246.86000

RT27CO2LATV2C05.IMPNGA11768.162799.32508.212972.543199.983218.333292.59000

RT27CO2LATV0.MINPEM1196.69972.223061.442965.013661.044360.014166.99000

RT27CO2LATV0C05.MINPEM1196.69972.222711.792234.532408.053117.392799.08000

RT27CO2LATV1.MINPEM1196.69971.552728.982706.282585.823068.243341.15000

RT27CO2LATV1C05.MINPEM1196.69971.552376.071935.461593.622032.922260.81000

RT27CO2LATV2.MINPEM1196.69970.991726.181692.591173.011371.381365.2000

RT27CO2LATV2C05.MINPEM1196.69990.831405.161073.67584.541215.081134.02000

RT27CO2LATV0.MINPES1000.01000.010000

RT27CO2LATV0C05.MINPES1000.01000.010000

RT27CO2LATV1.MINPES1000.010000000

RT27CO2LATV1C05.MINPES1000.010000000

RT27CO2LATV2.MINPES1000.010.01000000

RT27CO2LATV2C05.MINPES1000.010.01000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

Base Case

Base Case -5%CO2

Mid Growth

Mid Growth -5%CO2

Low Growth

Low Growth -5%CO2

Year

Th Tons CO2

Total CO2 EmissionsWorld Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

Base Case

Mid Growth

Low Growth

Year

Th Tons CO2

Total CO2 EmissionsWorld Bank PCF Latvia Workshop

SCENCASEENTRYTYPETAB_ROWNAMECOL1COL2COL3COL4COL5COL6COL7COL8COL9COL10

LATV0R..EXPSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV0C05R..EXPSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV1R..EXPSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV1C05R..EXPSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV2R..EXPSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV2C05R..EXPSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC1R..EXPSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC2R..EXPSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R..EXPSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV0R..EXPELCSUMMARY1.902.903.203.203.203.203.20103.600.000.00

LATV0C05R..EXPELCSUMMARY1.902.903.203.203.203.203.20103.700.000.00

LATV1R..EXPELCSUMMARY1.902.803.203.103.203.203.20102.900.000.00

LATV1C05R..EXPELCSUMMARY1.902.803.203.203.203.203.20103.500.000.00

LATV2R..EXPELCSUMMARY1.902.803.003.102.803.103.1099.200.000.00

LATV2C05R..EXPELCSUMMARY1.902.803.203.102.803.103.10100.200.000.00

LATV_DC1R..EXPELCSUMMARY1.902.803.203.203.203.203.20103.600.000.00

LATV_DC2R..EXPELCSUMMARY1.902.803.203.203.203.203.20103.600.000.00

LATV_DC3R..EXPELCSUMMARY1.902.803.202.901.703.002.2088.200.000.00

LATV0R..IMPSUMMARY157.30153.30158.90201.40216.30226.60232.106729.600.000.00

LATV0C05R..IMPSUMMARY157.30153.50159.80200.50222.90232.40238.306823.400.000.00

LATV1R..IMPSUMMARY157.30135.50118.80148.70163.50171.40176.005355.400.000.00

LATV1C05R..IMPSUMMARY157.30135.50119.80150.00168.70176.60181.605447.700.000.00

LATV2R..IMPSUMMARY157.30120.10107.90109.70118.00130.90133.404386.100.000.00

LATV2C05R..IMPSUMMARY157.30119.20108.70111.30120.10127.30130.504371.900.000.00

LATV_DC1R..IMPSUMMARY157.30153.10163.00202.20225.10236.60240.806890.100.000.00

LATV_DC2R..IMPSUMMARY157.30153.10163.00150.30169.00176.80181.805756.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R..IMPSUMMARY157.30153.10163.00105.90116.90128.40132.204784.100.000.00

LATV0R..IMPELCSUMMARY9.507.500.000.000.000.000.0085.200.000.00

LATV0C05R..IMPELCSUMMARY9.507.300.000.000.000.000.0084.200.000.00

LATV1R..IMPELCSUMMARY9.507.200.000.000.000.000.0083.400.000.00

LATV1C05R..IMPELCSUMMARY9.507.200.000.000.000.000.0083.400.000.00

LATV2R..IMPELCSUMMARY9.507.600.000.000.000.000.0085.600.000.00

LATV2C05R..IMPELCSUMMARY9.508.300.000.000.000.000.0089.300.000.00

LATV_DC1R..IMPELCSUMMARY9.507.600.000.000.000.000.0085.700.000.00

LATV_DC2R..IMPELCSUMMARY9.507.600.000.000.000.000.0085.700.000.00

LATV_DC3R..IMPELCSUMMARY9.507.600.000.000.000.000.0085.700.000.00

LATV0R..MINSUMMARY1.909.4029.5028.5035.2042.0040.10932.800.000.00

LATV0C05R..MINSUMMARY1.909.4026.1021.5023.2030.0026.90694.900.000.00

LATV1R..MINSUMMARY1.909.4026.3026.0024.9029.5032.20750.700.000.00

LATV1C05R..MINSUMMARY1.909.4022.9018.6015.3019.6021.80547.000.000.00

LATV2R..MINSUMMARY1.909.3016.6016.3011.3013.2013.10408.900.000.00

LATV2C05R..MINSUMMARY1.909.5013.5010.305.6011.7010.90317.600.000.00

LATV_DC1R..MINSUMMARY1.909.4023.2019.9021.4026.0024.80632.900.000.00

LATV_DC2R..MINSUMMARY1.909.4023.2018.5015.2019.5021.70546.400.000.00

LATV_DC3R..MINSUMMARY1.909.4023.2014.109.5012.4010.80406.100.000.00

LATV0R..NIGAZSUMMARY31.6071.8071.7096.4094.8097.90102.802834.900.000.00

LATV0C05R..NIGAZSUMMARY31.6072.0073.8096.80102.90106.30109.102962.500.000.00

LATV1R..NIGAZSUMMARY31.6058.3050.3071.2073.6075.8077.702192.700.000.00

LATV1C05R..NIGAZSUMMARY31.6058.3050.4070.9078.7081.3083.702274.600.000.00

LATV2R..NIGAZSUMMARY31.6053.4045.3053.1055.4056.6058.001766.600.000.00

LATV2C05R..NIGAZSUMMARY31.6050.0044.8053.1057.1057.5058.801764.200.000.00

LATV_DC1R..NIGAZSUMMARY31.6071.8074.0096.60103.10105.80109.302960.800.000.00

LATV_DC2R..NIGAZSUMMARY31.6071.8074.0071.2078.8081.4083.902463.100.000.00

LATV_DC3R..NIGAZSUMMARY31.6071.8074.0049.8060.0062.1062.802060.100.000.00

LATV0R..NILIQSUMMARY112.9069.1069.3071.2070.5071.0069.402667.100.000.00

LATV0C05R..NILIQSUMMARY112.9069.1069.3071.2070.5071.0069.402667.000.000.00

LATV1R..NILIQSUMMARY112.9065.0059.5059.8058.2057.9055.902345.900.000.00

LATV1C05R..NILIQSUMMARY112.9065.0059.5059.8058.2057.9055.902345.900.000.00

LATV2R..NILIQSUMMARY112.9061.0049.9048.4045.8044.7042.302024.900.000.00

LATV2C05R..NILIQSUMMARY112.9061.1049.9048.4045.8044.7042.302025.300.000.00

LATV_DC1R..NILIQSUMMARY112.9069.1069.3071.2070.5071.0069.402667.000.000.00

LATV_DC2R..NILIQSUMMARY112.9069.1069.3059.8058.2057.9055.902415.600.000.00

LATV_DC3R..NILIQSUMMARY112.9069.1069.3048.3045.9044.7042.402163.100.000.00

LATV0R..NISLDSUMMARY12.9012.4017.8033.8051.0057.7059.901227.600.000.00

LATV0C05R..NISLDSUMMARY12.9012.4016.6032.5049.5055.1059.901193.800.000.00

LATV1R..NISLDSUMMARY12.9012.209.0017.6031.7037.6042.40816.800.000.00

LATV1C05R..NISLDSUMMARY12.9012.209.8019.3031.9037.4042.00827.200.000.00

LATV2R..NISLDSUMMARY12.905.7012.708.2016.8029.6033.10594.600.000.00

LATV2C05R..NISLDSUMMARY12.908.2014.009.8017.2025.1029.30582.400.000.00

LATV_DC1R..NISLDSUMMARY12.9012.2019.7034.4051.4059.9062.101262.300.000.00

LATV_DC2R..NISLDSUMMARY12.9012.2019.7019.3032.0037.4041.90877.300.000.00

LATV_DC3R..NISLDSUMMARY12.9012.2019.707.8011.0021.5027.10560.900.000.00

LATV0R..NONENGSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV0C05R..NONENGSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV1R..NONENGSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV1C05R..NONENGSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV2R..NONENGSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV2C05R..NONENGSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC1R..NONENGSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC2R..NONENGSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R..NONENGSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV0R..STKSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV0C05R..STKSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV1R..STKSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV1C05R..STKSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV2R..STKSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV2C05R..STKSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC1R..STKSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC2R..STKSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R..STKSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV0R..SUPNUCSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV0C05R..SUPNUCSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV1R..SUPNUCSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV1C05R..SUPNUCSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV2R..SUPNUCSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV2C05R..SUPNUCSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC1R..SUPNUCSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC2R..SUPNUCSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R..SUPNUCSUMMARY0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

LATV0R..SUPRENSUMMARY36.1036.1028.3028.6036.4037.6042.901230.500.000.00

LATV0C05R..SUPRENSUMMARY36.1036.1029.4033.2036.8038.6048.201292.200.000.00

LATV1R..SUPRENSUMMARY36.1036.1030.1027.9036.4037.6037.801210.500.000.00

LATV1C05R..SUPRENSUMMARY36.1036.1031.1032.6038.8042.1042.601297.000.000.00

LATV2R..SUPRENSUMMARY36.1036.1028.3027.7036.4037.6037.801200.500.000.00

LATV2C05R..SUPRENSUMMARY36.1036.1031.3031.2039.6038.6039.801263.500.000.00

LATV_DC1R..SUPRENSUMMARY36.1036.1030.9033.0036.5039.0048.101299.300.000.00

LATV_DC2R..SUPRENSUMMARY36.1036.1030.9032.5038.6042.0042.501294.100.000.00

LATV_DC3R..SUPRENSUMMARY36.1036.1030.9031.0035.1037.6038.401226.200.000.00

LATV0R..TFINALSUMMARY168.70171.90184.60221.60250.00265.70274.907687.000.000.00

LATV0C05R..TFINALSUMMARY168.70171.70183.90220.90248.30264.40273.907658.700.000.00

LATV1R..TFINALSUMMARY168.70155.30146.80171.60194.70207.40215.006297.400.000.00

LATV1C05R..TFINALSUMMARY168.70155.30146.50171.60193.50206.40214.106281.100.000.00

LATV2R..TFINALSUMMARY168.70143.40126.50127.70140.30151.20154.405061.500.000.00

LATV2C05R..TFINALSUMMARY168.70143.40126.30127.70140.30150.20154.405055.100.000.00

LATV_DC1R..TFINALSUMMARY168.70171.90185.60221.60248.60264.50273.807673.300.000.00

LATV_DC2R..TFINALSUMMARY168.70171.90185.60171.60193.50206.40214.106559.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R..TFINALSUMMARY168.70171.90185.60127.10138.90147.50153.405465.800.000.00

LATV0R..TPRIMSUMMARY203.00203.40213.50255.30284.80303.00311.908874.400.000.00

LATV0C05R..TPRIMSUMMARY203.00203.40212.00252.00279.70297.80310.208791.000.000.00

LATV1R..TPRIMSUMMARY203.00185.30172.00199.50221.60235.30242.807297.100.000.00

LATV1C05R..TPRIMSUMMARY203.00185.30170.50198.00219.70235.10242.807271.600.000.00

LATV2R..TPRIMSUMMARY203.00170.30149.70150.60162.90178.60181.305981.900.000.00

LATV2C05R..TPRIMSUMMARY203.00170.50150.30149.70162.50174.40178.105942.000.000.00

LATV_DC1R..TPRIMSUMMARY203.00203.30213.90251.90279.80298.50310.508804.600.000.00

LATV_DC2R..TPRIMSUMMARY203.00203.30213.90198.10219.60235.00242.807578.600.000.00

LATV_DC3R..TPRIMSUMMARY203.00203.30213.90148.10159.90175.40179.206413.900.000.00

LATV0R..UFINALSUMMARY168.70171.90184.60221.60250.00265.70274.907687.000.000.00

LATV0C05R..UFINALSUMMARY168.70171.70183.90220.90248.30264.40273.907658.700.000.00

LATV1R..UFINALSUMMARY168.70155.30146.80171.60194.70207.40215.006297.400.000.00

LATV1C05R..UFINALSUMMARY168.70155.30146.50171.60193.50206.40214.106281.100.000.00

LATV2R..UFINALSUMMARY168.70143.40126.50127.70140.30151.20154.405061.500.000.00

LATV2C05R..UFINALSUMMARY168.70143.40126.30127.70140.30150.20154.405055.100.000.00

LATV_DC1R..UFINALSUMMARY168.70171.90185.60221.60248.60264.50273.807673.300.000.00

LATV_DC2R..UFINALSUMMARY168.70171.90185.60171.60193.50206.40214.106559.000.000.00

LATV_DC3R..UFINALSUMMARY168.70171.90185.60127.10138.90147.50153.405465.800.000.00

LATV0R..USEFULSUMMARY131.80142.10161.70190.10210.60222.20229.906441.400.000.00

LATV0C05R..USEFULSUMMARY131.80142.10161.70190.10210.60222.20229.806441.400.000.00

LATV1R..USEFULSUMMARY131.80128.30129.70152.10168.40177.80183.905359.600.000.00

LA