Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
Assessing Progress
Towards the SDGs
Arman Bidarbakhtnia
UNESCAP
Regional Workshop on National SDG Reporting Mechanisms: An End-to-End Process Framework
Bangkok, Thailand, 10-13 September 2019
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
Whose progress towards what and
compared to whom?
indicator– target
SD (indicator)
indicator– base value
Target– base value
indicator– worst value
Target–worst valueSDSN:
UNESCAP:
OECD:
How our
countries
progress
towards the SDG
targets?
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
A comparison
2000 2015 SDSN UNESCAP OECD
Country A 13% 13% 8 0 8
Country B 9% 16% 7 -9 7
Country C 46% 23% 6 6 6
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
Two questions for Asia-Pacific region
❑Where does the region stand for each of the
goals?
❑How far will the region be from
targets by 2030?
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
UNESCAP’s methodology for measuring progress
Current status index:
Where does the region stand for each of the Goals?
B+
=IndexBA
A B
B+
=IndexBA
A B
Expected Achievement:
How far the region will be from targets by 2030?
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
Two methodological challenges
60% of SDG targets have no target value
No single method for predicting future values
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
Setting regional targets: Champion
area
Data efficient ObjectiveAspirational, but
feasible
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
Setting regional targets: Champion area
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
Predictions
Weighted regression
oApplied a time-related weighting system
oMore recent data, greater weights
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
Goal
target 1
indicator1 indicator2
Type 1
total
Vulnerable group
Type 2
target2
indicator1
Aggregating indicators
Goal
Weight=1
1/2 1/2
1/4
1/8
1/8
1/4
Weight=1
1
Leave
no one
behind
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
example
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
Current status: Asia-Pacific snapshot
2018
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
Expected Achievement: Asia-Pacific dashboard
2018
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
Progress Gap at indicator level
Accelerate
Reverse
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
SDG data availability in
Asia-Pacific
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
By goal
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
By source
• Sufficient data on half of indicators sourced from
administrative
• Large share of "insufficient" sourced from surveys
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
19
References
Asia and the Pacific SDG Progress Report 20179
Bidarbakhtnia. A. (2017): “A weighted extrapolation method for measuring the
SDGs progress”, ESCAP working paper series SD/WP/04/March 2017.
Bidarbakhtnia. A. (2017): “Tracking progress towards the SDGs: measuring the
otherwise ambiguous progress”, ESCAP working paper series SD/WP/05/May
2017.
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
Asia-Pacific SDG Gateway
Statistics Divisionhttp://www.unescap.org/our-work/statistics
Thank YOU!
