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Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray Spectrum April 26-30, 2005

Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

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Page 1: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 1

What’s new and what questions remain since our previous

meeting?Workshop on

Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray Spectrum

April 26-30, 2005

Page 2: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 2

Outline

• Below the knee• Knee region• Sources & acceleration mechanisms• End of galactic cosmic-ray population?• Where is transition to extra-galactic?• What is the nature of the ankle?• Extra-galactic cosmic rays and GZK• Lessons from the heliosphere (2nd edition)

Page 3: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 3

Observed spectrum ~ E(-2.7) to 100 TeV

Final Results of RUNJOB and Related TopicsMakoto Hareyama, Toru Shibata and the Runjob collaboration (Aspen, 2005)

JACEE and results of other balloon experiments ~100 TeV reported by M. Cherry, Aspen 2005

Page 4: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 4

All particle spectrum

Note difference between JACEE and RUNJOB for ~100 TeV helium

Page 5: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 5

ATIC, John Wefel, Tokyo ’07 (also discussed in Cherry’s talk, Aspen 2005)

Helium more like JACEE ? Hard all-nucleon spectrum?

Page 6: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 6

= sum of TRACER: O + Ne + Mg + Si + S + Ar + Ca + Fe

TRACER(heavy nuclei only)

Page 7: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 7

HESS Direct Cherenkov measurement of Fe spectrum

F. Aharonian et al.PR D75 042004 (2007)

Method proposed by Kieda,Swordy & Wakely, 2001:Use ACT on ground.

Previously attempted from balloons, Sood, 1983;Clem, Evenson, Seckel, 2002

Page 8: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 8

H.E.S.S. Direct Cherenkov Fe spectrum measurement

Inferred spectrum with QGSjet

Inferred spectrum with SIBYLL

Consistent with RUNJOB

Page 9: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 9

Standard model of cosmic-rays to ~100 TeV

• Diffusive shock acceleration in galactic SNR– 15 % of energy goes into accelerated p & nuclei– dN / dE ~ E(-2.1) (source spectrum)

– secondary / primary nuclei esc ~ E(-0.6) to make dN / dE (observed) ~ E(-2.7)

• Problems: (e.g. Ptuskin et al., Jokipii)– strong energy dependence of esc violates observed

isotropy when extrapolated to PeV

– observed turbulence prefers esc ~ E(-0.3)

– high efficiency non-linear acceleration event flatter source spectrum

Page 10: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 10

Rigidity-dependence• Acceleration, propagation

– depend on B: rgyro = R/B– Rigidity, R = E/Ze– Ec(Z) ~ Z Rc

• rSNR ~ parsec Emax ~ Z * 1015 eV– 1 < Z < 30 (p to Fe)

• Slope change should occur within factor of 30 in energy

• With characteristic pattern of increasing A

• Problem: continuation of smooth spectrum to EeV

Peters cyclePeters cycle: systematic increase of < A > : systematic increase of < A > approaching Eapproaching Emaxmax

B. Peters, Nuovo Cimento 22 (1961) 800

Page 11: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 11

Composition in the knee region

EASTOP, M. Aglietta et al., Astropart. Phys. 20 (2004) 641

SPASE-AMANDAB10, superimposed on data summary of Swordy et al., Astropart. Phys. 18 (2002) 129.

Page 12: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

QGSJET

KASCADE: Energy spectra for individual elemental groups

distribution

!

distribution

!

SIBYLL

H. Ulrich et al., Int. J. Mod. Phys. A (in press)

Andreas Haungs Aspen, 2005

Page 13: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 13

What interaction model to use?

• In KASCADE data, both QGSjet01 and SIBYLL have problem areas

• The greater energy reach of KASCADE-Grande may help unscramble this– Xmax deeper in atmosphere, fluctuations less

severe– Gives a longer range of energy over which to

test the models– Hope to hear KASCADE-Grande results here

at Aspen 2007

Page 14: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 14

Maximum energy for acceleration by SNR shocks

• Magnetic field amplification (Bell et al.) much discussed at Aspen 2005 – See paper of Hillas, for example.

– Emax > PeV for protons no problem

• Non-linear diffusive shock acceleration– H. Völk et al. (also Blasi et al.)

– Most of energy content may be near Emax

• Do we need a galactic “component B”

Page 15: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 15

Cosmic-ray energy spectrum (Aspen, 2005)

?

according to Astropart. Phys. 19 (2003) 193

J Hörandel

Page 16: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

HILLAS (Aspen, 2005)

Page 17: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 17

Model: GRB origin of CRs at and above the knee

– Cosmic Rays below ≈ 1014 eV from SNe that collapse to neutron stars

– Cosmic Rays above ≈ 1014 eV from SNe that collapse to black holes

● CRs between knee and ankle/second knee from GRBs in Galaxy

● CRs at higher energy from extragalactic/ cosmological origin

(Wick et al. 2004)

Atoyan (Aspen, 2005)

Page 18: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 18

TRANSITIONThe galactic component at E ≥ 1×1017 eV is assumed to be iron nuclei. The spectrum is found as difference of the total (observed) spectrum and extragalactic proton spectrum (model).Ec is considered as a free parameter in a range (0.3 - 2)×1018 eV

BEREZINSKY

Page 19: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 19

(de) constructing the extra-galatic spectrum

Doug Bergman et al. (HiRes), Proc 29th ICRC, 7 (2005) 315

GZK feature

recovery (depends on source density)

dip (due to pair production)

End of Galactic population (not shown)

Distant sourcesContribution depends on evolution and propagation inBextra-galactic

Nearby sources clustering, anisotropy?

Page 20: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 20

Best USM Fit to HiRes

• Fit USM varying m and – = 2.38– m = 2.55– Galactic

spectrum falls steeply above 100 PeV

Galactic

Extragalactic

BERGMAN

Page 21: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 21

Bahcall & Waxman (GRB)

• Galactic extragalactic transition ~ 1019 eV

• Assume E-2 spectrum at source, normalize @ 1019.5

• 1045 erg/Mpc3/yr• ~ 1053 erg/GRB• Evolution ~ star-formation• GZK losses included

Physics Letters B556 (2003) 1

Bahcall & Waxman hep-ph/0206217

Page 22: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 22

N Busca, WG-4, Aug 29 Allard et al. astro-ph/0605327

Transition at 1019 eVTransition < 1018 eV

Page 23: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 23

Where is transition to extragalactic CR?

G. Archbold, P. Sokolsky, et al.,Proc. 28th ICRC, Tsukuba, 2003

HiRes new composition result: transition occurs before ankle

Original Fly’s Eye (1993): transition coincides with ankle

3 EeV

0.3 EeV

Page 24: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 24

Muon / electron ratio reflects nuclear composition of primaries

Calculations of Ralph Engel, presented at Aspen, April, 2005KASCADE-Grande

IceCube

Page 25: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 25

Simulations: Eat 2 km in IceCube vs Energy deposited in tanks

EA

0.64, 0.8, 1.0, 5.0, 6.25, 10, 12.5 PeV

Projection on mass axis

Projection on energy axis

Page 26: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 26

AGASA, HiRes, Auger

Auger spectrum, fromPaul Sommers’ talk at Pune

Page 27: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 27

HiRes GZK cutoff (astro-ph/0703099)

E3 x differential spectrum Integral spectrum / E-1.81

Page 28: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 28

Lessons from the heliosphere

• ACE energetic particle fluences:• Smooth spectrum

– composed of several distinct components:

• Most shock accelerated

• Many events with different shapes contribute at low energy (< 1 MeV)

• Few events produce ~10 MeV

– Knee ~ Emax of a few events– Ankle at transition from

heliospheric to galactic cosmic rays

R.A. Mewaldt et al., A.I.P. Conf. Proc. 598 (2001) 165

Page 29: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 29

Solar flare shock acceleration

Coronal mass ejectionCoronal mass ejection 09 Mar 200009 Mar 2000

Page 30: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 30

SOHO/LASCO

CME of 06-Nov 1997

Page 31: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 31

LASCO event of 23 Nov 97http://lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil/best_of_lasco_apr98/index.htm

Page 32: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 32

Heliospheric cosmic rays

• ACE--Integrated fluences:– Many events contribute to

low-energy heliospheric cosmic rays;

– fewer as energy increases.– Highest energy (75 MeV/nuc)

is dominated by low-energy galactic cosmic rays, and this component is again smooth

• Beginning of a pattern?R.A. Mewaldt et al., A.I.P. Conf. Proc. 598 (2001) 165

Page 33: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 33

Examples of power-law distributions(M.E.J. Newman, cond-mat/0412004)

Page 34: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

More examples from M.E.J. Newman, cond-mat/0412004

Page 35: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 35

Casualties per attack in Iraq(Neil F. Johnson, et al., from APS News, 8 Nov 2006)

Differential ~ 2.5

Page 36: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 36

Page 37: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 37

Three classes of sourcesPresenter at this conference

A (Rc,PV)

B Extra- galactic

Power

+ 1 m requiredAtoyan Galactic GRB ? ? ?Berezinsky 2.5 None if

Ec = 0.3 PeV 2.7 0 3.5 x 1046

erg/Mpc3/yr, for Ec = 1 PeV

Bergman - - 2.4 2.5 ?Biermann - Wolf-Rayet SNR ? ? ?Hillas 3 SNII into slow

wind 2.3 3 ?

Hörandel 4 UH nuclei - - -

Page 38: Aspen, April 16, 2007Tom Gaisser1 What’s new and what questions remain since our previous meeting? Workshop on Physics at the End of the Galactic Cosmic-ray

Aspen, April 16, 2007 Tom Gaisser 38

Outstanding issues

• Direct measurements for calibration

• Isotropy / propagation problem

• Non-linear acceleration hard spectrum

• How many sources?

• What interaction model to use?

• Is there a component “B”?

• Where is transition to extra-galactic