Upload
asian-development-bank
View
217
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
1/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
2/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
3/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
4/32
Rep. of Korea
Philippines
Thailand
1999199819971996 Feb-00
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
5/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
6/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
7/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
8/32
Net Portfolio InvestmentNet Direct Investment
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
9/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
10/32
Nov 99
Dec 97
Rep. of Korea
Malaysia
Philippines
Thailand
0 3 6 9 12 15 18
Dec 97
Dec 99
Dec 97
Feb 00
Dec 97
Dec 99
Latest estimate available
Peak level since the crisis
Indonesia
Rep. of Korea
Malaysia
Philippines
Thailand
Mar 99
Jun 99
Dec 99
Nov 98
Jan 00
Nov 99
Feb 00
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Dec 99
Feb 00
May 99
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
11/32
Dec 99
NPLs disposed(as % of NPLs purchased)
NPLs purchased(as % of total NPLs)
Indonesia
Rep. of Korea
Malaysia
Thailand
0 25 50 75 100
Dec 99
Dec 99
Dec 99
Feb 00
Dec 99
Feb 00
Disposal discount
Purchase discount
Rep. of Korea
Malaysia
Thailand
0 25 50 75 100
Feb 00
Feb 00
Dec 99
Dec 99
Dec 99
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
12/32
Indonesia
Rep. of Korea
Malaysia
Thailand
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Indonesia
Rep. of Korea
Malaysia
Thailand
0 20 40 60 80
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
13/32
Indonesia
Rep. of Korea
Malaysia
Thailand
Mar 00
0 20 40 60 80
% of cases resolved
Mar 00
Dec 99
Mar 00
Mar 00
Mar 00
Mar 00
% of debt restructured
Indonesia
Rep. of Korea
Malaysia
Philippines
Thailand
CompletedAcceptedFiled
0 20 40 60 80 100
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
14/32
Indonesia
Rep. of Korea
Malaysia
Philippines
Thailand
0 1 2 3 4 5
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
15/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
16/32
Note: Moodys: Baa bonds are considered medium-grade obligations. Interest payments and principal security appear adequate for the present. Ba bondsare judged to have speculative elements, their future cannot be well assured. B bonds generally lack characteristics of the desirable investments. Standard& Poor's: BBB bonds have adequate protection parameters, but adverse economic conditions could lead to weakened repayment capacity. BB bonds havea speculative element. B bonds are more vulnerable to nonpayment than BB bonds. CCC bonds are currently vulnerable to nonpayment. Fitch IBCA: BBBbonds are investment grade, good credit quality bonds. BB bonds are speculative with a possibility of credit risk developing. B bonds are highly speculative,with a significant credit risk.Source: Bloomberg.
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
17/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
18/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
19/32
Indonesia
Rep. of Korea
Malaysia
Philippines
Thailand
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
20001999199819971996
Indonesia
Rep. of Korea
Malaysia
Philippines
Thailand
20001999199819971996
0 2 4 6 8 10
20001999199819971996
Indonesia
Malaysia
Philippines
Thailand
0 2 4 6 8
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
20/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
21/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
22/32
Note: Data for 1996-1999 are from ARIC Indicators.1 Consensus Economics Inc., Asia Pacific Consensus Forecasts, March 2000; Figures in parentheses represent the range of forecasts.2 Official government projections were obtained from the following sources: IndonesiaBank Indonesia, Policy Implementation in 1999 and Policy Direction
for 2000, January 2000; Rep. of KoreaMinistry of Finance and Economy, Korea Economic Update, 24 January 2000; MalaysiaBank Negara Malaysia,2000 Budget Speech, 25 February 2000; PhilippinesNational Economic and Development Authority, 1999 Economic Performance and 2000 Prospects,28 January 2000; ThailandBank of Thailand, Revised Economic Forecasts for the Thai Economy, 29 February 2000.
3 ADB, Asian Development Outlook 2000, April 2000.4 IMF, World Economic Outlook, April 2000.5 World Bank, East Asia and Pacific Quarterly Brief, 22 March 2000.
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
23/32
EMBIPLUS Asia Latin America
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
24/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
25/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
26/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
27/32
Note: Data for 1996-1999 are from the Asian Development Outlook 2000.1 Consensus Economics Inc., Asia Pacific Consensus Forecasts, March 2000; Figures in parentheses represent the range of forecasts.2 ADB, Asian Development Outlook 2000, April 2000.
3 IMF, World Economic Outlook, April 2000.4 World Bank, East Asia and Pacific Quarterly Brief, 22 March 2000.
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
28/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
29/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
30/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
31/32
8/14/2019 Asia Recovery Report - May 2000
32/32