Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey

7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey

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RIZON

V

OTER



Open Primaries is a movement of diverse Americans w

simple, yet radical idea: no American should be requ

political party to exercise his or her right to vote.

The mission of Open Primaries is to advocate for open an

primary systems, counter efforts to impose closed primvoters, train and support spokespeople, and participate

of local, state and national open primaries coalitions.

Open Primaries36 West 25th Street – 9th Floor

New York, NY 10010

646.205.0202

www.openprimaries.org

Op

w



M

ETHODOLOGY

Study of Arizona Latino Voters

Methodology Statement

The Open Primaries - Arizona Latino Voter Study was a survey of 1500 Latino Registered Voters conducted f

through November 15th, 2015 by Bendixen & Amandi International. The 1500 completed interviews w

between high frequency voters (defined as those who had participated in 3 or 4 of the last 4 elections) and lo

(defined as those who had participated in 0, 1 or 2 of the last 4 elections) and were further divided in each

represent Latino voter registration in each of Arizona’s 9 Congressional Districts. Registered Democrat

Independent voters were all included in the sample.

The sample selection process for this study was a representative random sample of registered Latino votersselection process including both landlines and cell phones across the Arizona database of registered vote

selecting Latino registered voters from these voter files is extremely accurate. The respondents we

professionally trained bi-lingual interviewers and were provided with language of choice interviewing either

conducted in English or Spanish. This study has a margin of error of +/- 2.5% at a 95% level of confidence.

Respondents were advised that the survey is being conducted by an independent research organization a

attempt to sell anything to them. Additionally, respondents were advised that all responses are kept stric

none of the answers they provided will be attributed to them personally or associated with their name or pe

All respondents were screened to ensure that they were Latino, over the age of 18 and registered to vote.



K

EY

F

INDINGS

Latino voters in Arizona are disillusioned with the state of politics. 75% believe that

are mainly loyal to their party, not their constituents. 93% support changes to the

that would foster more accountability. 90% of Latinos think their community need

and new ways of empowerment.

Latinos respect the electoral gains they have made within the Democratic Party, bis important to make inroads within the Republican Party. They understand th

towards independence (41% of Arizona Latinos are now registered to vote as ind

express a strong desire to vote for the best candidates, regardless of party.

Latinos are critical of government leaders for failing to bring Arizonans together acr

67% express concern that they are rarely if ever contacted by candidates asking for

ARIZONA LATINO VOTER SURVEY



LATINO VOTER PERCEPTIONS OF

POLITICAL LANDSCAPE IN ARIZO



ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEYNOVEMBER 2015

What do you consider to be the top issues facing the State of

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

E duc at io n Im mi gr ati on J ob s & Ec on om y H ea lth ca re S ta te b ud ge t T ax es C om mun ity D iv is io n Y ou th P ro gr am s T

54%48%

36%

16%

9%6% 4% 4%

UP TO THREE RESPONSES ACCEPTED , TOTAL EXCEEDS 100%

6




0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Don't know/No answer

Fair/Poor

Excellent/Good

1%

37%

5%

36%

21% 26%

Arizona is a state with many different communities and cultures. How would you rate how

Arizona’s government leaders have been in respecting all cultures in bringing people in th

together: Excellent, Good, Fair, or Poor?

7




INDEPENDENT DEMOCRAT RE

Excellent/Good 23% 18%

Fair/Poor 75% 80%

Don’t know/No answer 2% 2%

BY P ARTY

Arizona is a state with many different communities and cultures. How would you rate how

Arizona’s government leaders have been in respecting all cultures in bringing people in th

together: Excellent, Good, Fair, or Poor?

8




27%

67%

6%

Do you think the Latino community has the elected political

that it needs?

9




BY P ARTY

INDEPENDENT DEMOCRAT

Yes 24% 32%

No 70% 62%


10

Do you think the Latino community has the elected political

that it needs?




Do you think your elected officials in the state legislature and in Conloyal to their community or mainly loyal to the political party they b

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Party Community Both No answer

75%

9% 10%6%

11




Would you support changes to our election system that wou

elected officials being more loyal and accountable to the vote

93%

4% 3%

12




Do you think we need new strategies and new ways for empo

90%

8%2%

13




A group of Latino Republican leaders held a press conference recentRepublican presidential candidates for demeaning remarks about imDo you expect the Republican Party will take action in response?

39%

53%

8%

14



Latinos are the fastest growing segment of the populatand represent a large portion of Arizona’s registered vote

eligible voters in Arizona are Latino and that number is p

25% by 2030. However, Latinos only represented 14% of

the last election.

I’d like to read you a few statements about why Latinos innot be voting. For each statement please tell me whet

the statement is true or false.




31%

68%

1%

People are too busy to vote.

16



ARIZONA

LATINO

VOTERS

SURVEY

NOVEMBER 2015

The important political decisions are made before

get to vote. So it doesn’t matter who the people vo

47%50%

3%

17



ARIZONA

LATINO

VOTERS

SURVEY

NOVEMBER 2015

INDEPENDENT DEMOCRAT RE

True 50% 49%

False 47% 47%


BY P ARTY

The important political decisions are made before people get

So it doesn’t matter who the people vote for.

18

M li i i d ’ d d b h L i



ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY

NOVEMBER 2015

51%46%

3%

Most politicians don’t understand or care about the Latino

community, so why bother to vote?

19

M t liti i d ’t d t d b t th L ti




NOVEMBER 2015

INDEPENDENT DEMOCRAT REPU

True 50% 61% 3

False 46% 37% 6


BY P ARTY

20



M t liti i d ’t d t d b t th L ti




NOVEMBER 2015

ENGLISH SPANISH

True 48% 60%

False 49% 37%


BY L ANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW

21



d d l d d ’ ll




NOVEMBER 2015

67%31%

2%

Candidates rarely contact us, and we don’t really

understand the choices.

22




NOVEMBER 2015 23

TRUE

Candidates rarely contact us, and we don’t really understand

the choices.67%


community, so why bother to vote?51%

The important political decisions are made before people get

to vote. So it doesn’t matter who the people vote for.47%

People are too busy to vote 31%

WHY ARE LATINO VOTERS UNDERPERFORMISUMMARY



Historically, the majority of the Latino electorate in Arizosupport the Democratic Party and Democratic candidates a

important element of the Democratic coalition in the state. Th

number of elected Latino members of Congress, the state le

government.

I’d like to ask you a few questions about the historic linkages community and the Democratic Party in Arizona. For eac

statements, please tell me whether you agree or disagree wit

The Democrats in Arizona have no power so even when Latin




NOVEMBER 2015


elected as Democrats they cannot accomplish anything.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%


Somewhat/Strongly disagree

Strongly/Somewhat agree

3%

21%

25%

32%

19% 44%

25





NOVEMBER 2015



BY AGE

18-34 35-49 50-64

Strongly/Somewhat agree 36% 41% 46%

Somewhat/Strongly disagree 62% 57% 51%

Don’t know/No answer 1% 2% 4%

26





NOVEMBER 2015



BY L ANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW

ENGLISH SP

Strongly/Somewhat agree 40%

Somewhat/Strongly disagree 58%

Don’t know/No answer 2%

27

R bli th j it t i A i d d 't b t L ti i




NOVEMBER 2015

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%




4%

14%

36%

27%

19%

41%

28

Republicans are the majority party in Arizona and don't care about Latino is

should become more active in the Republican Party because there is power





NOVEMBER 2015


should become more active in the Republican Party because there is power

INDEPENDENT DEMOCRAT

Strongly/Somewhat agree 56% 50%

Somewhat/Strongly disagree 40% 48%


29

BY P ARTY

L i h i h k i A i I ’ j f i b




NOVEMBER 2015

Latinos are on the right track in Arizona. It’s just a matter of time begain more influence. The Latino community should stick with the De

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%




5%

14%

32%

22%

27%

36%

30

Whil L ti D t h b l t d t ffi th




NOVEMBER 2015

While many Latino Democrats have been elected to office th

been able to deliver on the issues the Latino community care

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%




5%

16%

37%

11%

31%

27%

31



INSIGHTS INTO THE

INDEPENDENT VOTER



41% of Arizona Latinos are registered to vote as indepenAmong young voters, it is even higher.

I’d like to read you a few statements about why Lat

Arizona may be registering as independents. For each sta

please tell me whether you think the statement is true or f

ASKED ONLY OF REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS

People register as independent because they feel they don’t




NOVEMBER 2015

about politics to join one or the other party.


54%43%

3%

34




NOVEMBER 2015

Being an independent is a way to focus on the candidates an


61%34%

5%

35

The major political parties spend too much time fighting and




NOVEMBER 2015

enough time solving problems so it makes sense not to join. ASKED ONLY OF REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS

76%22%

2%

36




NOVEMBER 2015

Latinos want to see good candidates, regardless of what part


88%

10%

2%

37



41% of Latino voters in Arizona are now reg

Independents. Speaking from your own ex

we would like to learn what the motivat

deciding to become an independent.

ASKED ONLY OF INDEPENDENTS

Which of the following best describes why you chose to regi

d d




NOVEMBER 2015

an Independent?

ASKED ONLY OF INDEPENDENTS , UP TO TWO RESPONSES ACCEPTED – TOTALS EX

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

I want to be able to

vote for the best

candidate

I don't want any party

telling me who to

vote for

I am Independent The political climate

in Arizona is too

partisan and negative

I did not know much

about either party

I don't want to get

mail or phone calls

51%

21%

15%12%

7% 2%

39



PROFILE OF THE

ARIZONA LATINO VOTE

A




NOVEMBER 2015

Age

19%

27%30%

24%

41

G d




NOVEMBER 2015

47%53%

42

Gender

What is the highest level of education that you have complet




NOVEMBER 2015

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Elementary school Highschool/GED Two-year or technical

school

College graduate Don't know/No

answer

7%

25%

31%

35%

2%

43

What is the highest level of education that you have complet

What is your total annual household income before taxes?




NOVEMBER 2015

What is your total annual household income before taxes?

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Less than $25K $25-50K $50-75K $75-100K $100K+ Don't know/

answer

17%

25%

20%

13% 14%

11

44

How long have you lived in Arizona?




NOVEMBER 2015

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Less than 5 years 6-10 years 11-15 years 16-20 years 20+ years Don't know/

answer

3% 7% 8% 7%

73%

2%

45

How long have you lived in Arizona?

Congressional District




NOVEMBER 2015

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 CD 7 CD 8 C

9%

16%

27%

7%

5% 4%

15%

8%

46

Congressional District

Do you consider yourself to be conservative moderate




NOVEMBER 2015

Do you consider yourself to be conservative, moderate

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%


Somewhat/Very liberal

Moderate

Very/Somewhat conservative

4%

11%

32%

24%

14%

15%

25%

47



FERNAND R.

30FAMANDI@BENDIXEN

FOR MORE INFORMATION,

CONTACT:

Documents

Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey