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Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper Per Skoglund CEO Arctic Paper | Warsaw, 10.04.2018 Göran Eklund CFO Arctic Paper

Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

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Page 1: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

Arctic Paper S.A. 2017

A future in paper

Per Skoglund – CEO Arct ic Paper | Warsaw, 10.04.2018

Göran Eklund – CFO Arct ic Paper

Page 2: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com

This presentation (the ‘Presentation’) was prepared by Arctic Paper S.A. (the

‘Company’) for information purposes only for use by investors, banks and the Company’s

customers as well as market analysts and under no circumstances may it be treated as a

part of an invitation or offer to purchase securit ies, an invitation to make investments or

conduct transactions regarding securities, an inducement to make purchase offers or a

recommendation to conclude any transactions, in particular transactions regarding the

Company's securit ies.

The information contained in the Presentation was taken from publicly available sources

which the Company believes to be reliable. However, the Company cannot guarantee its

reliability or completeness, except for the information on the Company and its Group.

The Company shall not be held liable for the consequences of decisions made on the

basis of or in reliance on the information contained in this Presentation. The information

contained in the Presentation has not been independently verif ied and may be subject to

change at any time. The publication of the data contained in the Presentation by the

Company does not constitute a breach of the provisions of the law which apply to

companies whose shares are listed on the regulated market, in particular the regulated

market operated by the Warsaw Stock Exchange in Poland and NASDAQ OMX

Stockholm in Sweden. The information contained herein has been published by the

Company in its current and periodic reports, or constitutes a supplement thereto which

is not required to be published by the Company in order to comply with the Company’s

reporting requirements as a listed company.

Under no circumstances should information contained in this Presentation be construed

as the explicit or implicit submission of a representation or warranty of any type by the

Company or by persons acting on its behalf. Furthermore, neither the Company nor any

person acting on its behalf shall be held liable in any respect for any damage which may

arise as a result of negligence or for any other cause as a result of the use of this

Presentation or any information contained in it, or for damage which may otherwise arise

in connection with information constituting a part of this Presentation.

Disclaimer Please read the information below carefully

The Company is not obliged to publish updates and amendments to the information,

data and representations contained in this Presentation as a result of a change of the

Company’s strategy or intentions or the appearance of unexpected facts or

circumstances which affect such strategy or intentions of the Company, unless such an

obligation arises from the provisions of law.

This Presentation contains information on the paper industry. With the exception of

information indicated as originating from a specified source, the market information

referred to above has been prepared on the basis of data received from third parties

who are named in this Presentation and contains estimates, assessments, corrections

and opinions based on the Company's experience and knowledge of the sector in which

it conducts business. Because the market information referred to above may have been

partially prepared with the use of estimates, assessments, corrections and opinions and

has not been verif ied by independent entit ies, to a certain extent, this information is of

a subjective nature, with the exception of the information which has been indicated as

information originating from third parties from a specified source. It is presumed that

estimates, assessments, corrections and opinions are based on reasonable grounds and

that the market information which has been prepared duly reflects the situation of the

industry on the markets on which the Company conducts business. However, there is

no certainty that the estimates, assessments, corrections and opinions are the most

appropriate basis for drawing conclusions on the market information or that market

information taken from other sources may not differ significantly from the market

information contained in this Presentation.

The Company would like to point out to the readers of this Presentation that the only

reliable source of data on Arctic Paper's financial results, forecasts and events, as well

as the Company’s indicators, is the current and periodic reports submitted by the

Company in compliance with reporting requirements under Polish and Swedish law.

This Presentation should be read together with the 2017 consolidated and standalone

report and report for the Q4 of 2017.

Page 3: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com arcticpaper.com

Content

1. 2017 in brief

2. New strategy

3. Market environment

4. Operations and financial results

5. Summary

Page 4: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

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2017 in brief

2017 – Full year presentation

Page 5: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com

Important events

2017

• Developed new strategy

• Decision to increase capacity in APK

• Continued high pulp prices

• New CFO

2018

• Implementation of new strategy

• Decision to invest in hydro power in APM

2017 – Full year presentation

Page 6: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com

Financial Summary Q4: A strong final quarter of 2017

Arctic Paper Group Q4 2017 vs. Q4 2016

2017 – Full year presentation

Revenues ROCE Operating Cash Flow EBITDA

740,0 33,6 -0.46% 99,6

PLN PLN PLN PLN

m

+3.2% -12% +14.4%

m m

Page 7: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

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Financial Summary 2017: Stable results in a tough market

Arctic Paper Group FY, 2017 vs. FY, 2016

2017 – Full year presentation

Revenues ROCE Operating Cash Flow EBITDA

2,952,8 244,4 +8.27% 261,6

PLN PLN PLN PLN

m

-0.5% -2.1% +41.4%

m m

Page 8: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com arcticpaper.com arcticpaper.com 2017 – Full year presentation

The Management Board proposes a

dividend of PLN 0.2 per share

Page 9: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com arcticpaper.com

New strategy – A future in paper

2017 – Full year presentation

Page 10: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com

Turning ideas into experiences.

Our vision

2017 – Full year presentation

Page 11: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com

A future in paper – The new strategic agenda 2022

2017 – Full year presentation

Growth Innovation Branding

Efficiency Performance Sustainability

Strategic initiatives

Target 2022

10% EBIT

Page 12: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com

Central and

Eastern Europe

New markets

for high value

products

Future

innovation

and

expansion

Focus on

selected

and profitable

segments

Kraft papers

Digital papers

New grades

New

Ex

isti

ng

Existing

Ge

og

rap

hic

ma

rke

t

Customer Segment

Ne

w

2017 – Full year presentation

We go for growth

Page 13: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com 2017 – Full year presentation

Improved service offer

Develop new grades and surfaces

Optimize the R&D organization

We focus on innovation

arcticpaper.com

Page 14: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com

We build on our brands

2017 – Full year presentation

Premium Brands Brands

Amber G-Print Arctic Munken Arctic Volume

Page 15: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com

Building strong brands = higher profit per tonne

2017 – Full year presentation arcticpaper.com

Page 16: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com arcticpaper.com 2017 – Full year presentation

A lean company

Productivity improvements

Cost optimizations

We optimize our operations

arcticpaper.com

Page 17: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com 2017 – Full year presentation

Performance management

Leadership and employmentship

A common project process

We strive for a performance culture

arcticpaper.com

Page 18: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com 2017 – Full year presentation

Zero injuries

Setting KPI:s for progress

Communication

We care for people and the environment

arcticpaper.com

Page 19: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

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Market environment

2017 – Full year presentation

Page 20: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com

Fine paper prices are increasing

DEC 2017 compared to SEP 2017

• UWF segment average price change +2.1%

• CWF segment average price change +2.1%

DEC 2017 compared to DEC 2016

• UWF segment average price change +8.3%

• CWF segment average price change +9.4%

Change in price for graphic paper in EUR – Western Europe

12 17 vs. 09 17 12 17 vs. 12 16

Minimum price Average price Maximum price Minimum price Average price Maximum price

UWF 2.1% 2.1% 2.0% 8.4% 8.3% 8.6%

CWF 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 9.5% 9.4% 9.8%

Source: Arctic Paper based on RISI data.

Source: Arctic Paper based on RISI data.

Graphic fine paper prices – German market

600

700

800

900

1000

UWF 80g Sheets UWF 80g Reels CWF 90g Sheets CWF 90g Reels

2017 – Full year presentation

Page 21: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com

932

880853 839

803 789 806 810 809826

890 906

1 000

743 759797 810

789

737

682662 653

722

832

890

979

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

300

500

700

900

1 100

NBSK vs. BHKP NBSK PIX USD BHKP PIX USD

Pulp prices remains a challenge

Average price Q4 2017 compared to Q4 2016

• NBSK (long fibre): 17.8% higher

• BHKP (short fibre): 43.7% higher

Average price Q4 2017 compared to Q3 2017

• NBSK (long fibre): 6.6% higher

• BHKP (short fibre): 7.8% higher

Pulp PIX Indexes Europe

Arctic Paper YTD DEC 2017 Structure of pulp consumption

2017 – Full year presentation

CONSUMPTION

451.7 t TONS

BHKP

73%

CTMP

8%

NBSK

19%

Page 22: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

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4,1

4,2

4,3

4,4

4,5

4,6

2015 2016 2017

Currency exchange rates

Average exchange rate Q4 2017 compared to Q3 2017

• EUR/PLN -0.6%

• EUR/SEK +2.4%

• EUR/USD +0.2%

Average exchange rate Q4 2017 compared to Q4 2016

• EUR/PLN -3.3%

• EUR/SEK +0.4%

• EUR/USD +9.1%

EUR/PLN changes

EUR/SEK changes

EUR/USD changes

2017 – Full year presentation

9,0

9,3

9,5

9,8

10,0

10,3

2015 2016 2017

1,0

1,1

1,1

1,2

1,2

1,3

2015 2016 2017

REVENUE

2.197 mln

PLN

EUR

61% PLN

13%

GBP

9%

SEK

6%

COST

2.07 mln

PLN

USD

42%

SEK

20%

PLN

15%

EUR

22%

31/12

4.17

31/12

9.83

31/12

1.20

Arctic Paper YTD 2017 Revenue and costs structure

Page 23: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

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Operations and financial results

2017 – Full year presentation

Page 24: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

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158 164164172 167

181

159167

157172

160171

158

176160 164 164

0

60

120

180

240

168 174151

169 166 169 158 167 161 167 162 164 165

97% 99%

89%93%

95%98%

94% 95% 95%98% 98% 98% 98%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

0

150

300

450

600

Stable output from production

2017 – Full year presentation

* AP Mochenwangen excluded from sales revenue

* AP Mochenwangen excluded from revenue per tonne.

Average 2017 use of budget production capacity:

98%

• 2.0% higher than in 2016

2017 total production volume: 663k tonne

• 0.3% higher than in 2016

Production and use of production capacity for all paper mills*

Paper sales volume*

Page 25: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com

3,08 3,10 3,133,21

3,133,24

3,353,42 3,38

3,33 3,30 3,273,20

3,32 3,32

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

4,0

520543

504535 524

579

498542 525

590540

569520

575

513542 543

0

200

400

600

800

Paper sales revenue and revenue per tonne

Total 2017 (PLN 2,174m) down 2.1%

compared to 2016

Average 2017 (PLN 3,28k) decreased

by 2.4% compared to average in 2016

2017 – Full year presentation

* AP Mochenwangen excluded from sales revenue

* AP Mochenwangen excluded from revenue per tonne.

Paper sales revenue*

Paper sales revenue per tonne*

Page 26: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com

Key consolidated figures

• YTD DEC 2017 total revenues down -0.5% compared to YTD DEC 2016 (-2.1% paper segment,

+4.2% pulp segment revenue)

• YTD DEC 2017 EBITDA down by PLN 5,2m compared to YTD DEC 2016 (131m PLN paper

segment: -17,1m PLN; 113,4m PLN pulp segment: +11,9m PLN)

• YTD DEC 2017 Net result from continuing operations: -3,7m PLN compared to YTD DEC 2016

(26m PLN paper segment: -8,1m PLN, 44m PLN pulp segment: +4,3m PLN)

• CAPEX on the level of 181,4m PLN (73,8m PLN paper segment: +24,9m PLN; 107,7 PLN pulp

segment: -20,6m PLN)

• Cash on the level of 241.4m PLN (103m PLN paper segment: -19,6m PLN; 138,3m PLN pulp

segment: +130,9m PLN)

• Net debt on the level of 207,7m PLN vs 257,4 PLN in DEC 2016

2017 – Full year presentation

Page 27: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

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-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

+17

+19+3 -31

-1 -2

-18

-0,5-24

Q4 2017 EBIT

Arctic Paper (excluding Rottneros)

2017 – Full year presentation

Q4 2017 operating result -18m PLN

• -36,7m PLN less than Q3 2017

• -35,3m PLN less than Q4 2016

EBIT evolution

Q4 operating result Bridge

17

-18

-3

11

9

29

17

19

7

19

-18

Page 28: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

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22

-6-6

41

34

48

22

44

33

39

-6

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

+22

+19+3 -31

-1 -2

-6

-0,5-24

+7

Q4 2017 EBIT Arctic Paper Group – total

2017 – Full year presentation

Q4 2017 EBIT -6m PLN

• -44.6m PLN less than Q3 2017

• -8m PLN less than Q4 2016

EBIT evolution

Q4 EBIT Bridge

Page 29: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com

Overview of Q4 2017

Market environment

• Still unfavourable pulp prices development in Q4 2017 for paper segment, BHKP, short fibre average

Q4 2017 +43.7% and NBSK, long fibre average Q4 2017 +17.8% if compared to Q4 2016, accordingly

BHKP +7.8% and NBSK +6.6% if compared average Q4 2017 to Q3 2017;

• The EUR/USD exchange rate on more favourable for paper segment level in Q4 2017;

• Fine paper prices slightly up in Q4 2017;

Arctic Paper Group

• Continued high pulp prices affected the result of the period Q4 2017;

• EBITDA for Q4 2017 without Rottneros was 26,3m PLN vs. 38,8m PLN in Q4 2016;

• EBITDA for Q4 2017 of Arctic Paper Group with Rottneros was 31,4m PLN vs. 38,4m PLN in Q4 2016

(paper segment down by 12,5m PLN, pulp segment up by +4,6 m PLN)

• The Management Board propose a dividend of PLN 0.2 per share

2017 – Full year presentation

Page 30: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

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Summary

2017 – Full year presentation

Page 31: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

arcticpaper.com

Summary

2017 – Full year presentation

• Capacity increase in Kostrzyn

• Investing in hydro power in Munkedal

• New strategy – A future in paper

• Financial target 10% EBIT

Page 32: Arctic Paper S.A. 2017 A future in paper

Thank you