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Aquaculture growth potential in Azerbaijan
Policy brief for FAO TCP/AZE/3702/C2 –Assessment of state-owned fish farms for sustainable development of the aquaculture sector in Azerbaijan (prepared by Junning Cai)November, 2018
1
Azerbaijan: a landlocked developing country
Slide #2Image source: @Google 2018
Countries (Year 2015) Population (million)
GDP per capita (current USD)
Azerbaijan 9.6 5 396
Armenia 2.9 3 529
Georgia 4.0 3 762
Iran (Islamic Republic of) 79.4 4 723
Kazakhstan 17.7 10 435
Russian Federation 143.9 9 521
Turkmenistan 5.6 6 690
Source: United Nations Population Division; International Monetary Fund
Russian Federation
Contribution of fish to food and nutrition
3
Highlights on the contribution of fish to food and nutrition in Azerbaijan
Slide #4
Fish contributes a small, declined portion of animal protein in Azerbaijan (slides #5, #6 and #7).• In 2013, per capita animal protein intake in Azerbaijan (30 g/capita/day) is close to the world average
(32 g/capita/day), yet the fish share in its animal protein (2 percent) is far below the world average 16percent. Indeed, the country’s fish share in animal protein was the lowest compared to its neighbouringcountries or the regional average (slide #5).
• The contribution of fish to animal protein in Azerbaijan declined from 5 percent to 2 percent during1993-2013 (slide #6), whereas the world average fish share remained stable at 16 percent during theperiod (slide #7).
While domestic fish production used to be the main source of fish supply in Azerbaijan, its fishconsumption in recent years relied nearly entirely on import (slides #8 and #9).• In 1993, domestic fish production was the dominant source of fish supply in Azerbaijan – the country
actually had a positive net export in 1994. Yet, because of the downward trend of the domesticproduction since the 2000s, the country’s fish supply relied mostly on net import in 2013 (slide #8).
• Azerbaijan people consumed 26 000 tonnes (live weight equivalent) of fish and seafood in 2013; nearlyall of which (96 percent) was from import. The contribution of domestic capture fisheries andaquaculture production was 3 percent and 1 percent, respectively (slide #9).
Low fish contribution to animal protein in Azerbaijan
Slide # 5Source: FAO WAPI Fish Consumption Module (WAPI-FISHCSP v.2018.1). www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/wapi/en
Azerbaijan-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Fish
shar
e in
ani
mal
pro
tein
inta
ke (%
)
Per capita animal protein intake (g/capita/day)
African countries Countries in the Americas Asian countries European countries Oceanian countries
Fish - Year 2013Bubble size measuring populationCoordinate origin represent the world average
Contribution of fish to animal protein in 2013
Countries
Per capita animal protein intake
g/capita/day Fish share (%)
Azerbaijan 30 2
Armenia 43 3
Georgia 29 11
Iran (Islamic Republic of) 22 13
Kazakhstan 57 3
Russian Federation 56 14
Turkmenistan 38 3
Western Asia 32 7 Landlocked developing countries 17 7
World 32 16
Azerbaijan: fish contribution to animal protein intake declined from 5 percent to 2 percent
Slide # 6Source: FAO WAPI Fish Consumption Module (WAPI-FISHCSP v.2018.1). www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/wapi/en
Meat35%
Milk & eggs60%
Fish & seafood5%
Bovine Meat20%
Pigmeat1%
Mutton & Goat Meat
7%
Poultry Meat7%
Other meat0%
Milk53%
Eggs7%
Finfish5%
Shellfish0% Azerbaijan
1993: 16.83 Per capita
protein intake (g/capita/day)
Meat40%
Milk & eggs58%
Fish & seafood2%
Bovine Meat18%
Pigmeat0%
Mutton & Goat Meat10%
Poultry Meat12%
Other meat0%
Milk50%
Eggs8%
Finfish2%
Shellfish0%
2013: 29.04 Per capita protein
intake (g/capita/day)
World: contribution of fish to animal protein intake remaining stable at around 17 percent
Slide #7Source: FAO WAPI Fish Consumption Module (WAPI-FISHCSP v.2018.1). www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/wapi/en
Meat48%
Milk & eggs36%
Fish & seafood16%
Bovine Meat15%
Pigmeat16%
Mutton & Goat Meat3%
Poultry Meat13%
Other meat1%
Milk28%
Eggs8%
Finfish14%
Shellfish2%
World
1993: 23.98 Per capita
protein intake (g/capita/day)
Meat47%
Milk & eggs36%
Fish & seafood17%
Bovine Meat11%
Pigmeat15%
Mutton & Goat Meat
2%
Poultry Meat17%
Other meat2%
Milk27%
Eggs9%
Finfish14%
Shellfish3%
2013: 30.79 Per capita protein
intake (g/capita/day)
Main source of fish supply: domestic production in the 1990s vs. import in the 2010s
Slide #8Source: FAO WAPI Fish Consumption Module (WAPI-FISHCSP v.2018.1); www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/wapi/en
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
tonn
esFish supply and utilization in Azerbaijan (1993-2013)
Domestic food supply Net import Total food consumption Net export
A snapshot in 2013: nearly all fish supply in Azerbaijan coming from import
Slide #9
Import, 24 877 ,
96% Capture fisheries, 796, 3%
Aquaculture, 325, 1%
Domestic production, 1121, 4%
Fish supply in Azerbaijan in 2013(total 26 000 tonnes; live weight equivalent)
Source: FAO WAPI Fish Consumption Module (WAPI-FISHCSP v.2018.1); FAO WAPI Aquaculture Production Module (WAPI-AQPRN v.2018.1). www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/wapi/en
Domestic fish market (fish consumption)
10
Highlights on the domestic fish market in Azerbaijan
Slide #11
Azerbaijan had a low yet declined per capita fish consumption (slides #13 and #14).
• Per capita fish consumption in Azerbaijan declined from 3.0 kg/capita/year (live weight equivalent) in 1993 to 2.8 kg/capita/year in 2013, which was lower than the neighbouring countries, the regional average and the world average (slides #13 and #14).
(Total) fish consumption in Azerbaijan increased because of population growth (slide # 15).
• While per capita fish consumption in Azerbaijan declined 9 percent during 1993-2013 from 3.0 kg/capita/year to 2.8 kg/capita/year, its total fish consumption nevertheless increased 13 percent during the period from 23 000 tonnes to 26 000 tonnes (live weight equivalent) because of its 24 percent population growth from 7.6 million to 9.4 million during the period (slide # 15).
Highlights on the domestic fish market in Azerbaijan (continued)
Slide #12
Various projections of future fish demand in Azerbaijan (slide #16). • Income and population growth in Azerbaijan would tend to drive the country’s total domestic
fish demand up from 26 000 tonnes in 2013 to 30 000 tonnes in 2020, 33 000 tonnes in 2025 and 36 000 tonnes in 2030.
• Suppose that per capita fish demand in Azerbaijan in 2025 reaches the baseline average level of landlocked developing countries (i.e. 4.24 kg/capita/year), its total fish demand in 2025 would be 44 000 tonnes.
• Suppose that per capita fish demand in Azerbaijan in 2030 reaches the baseline Western Asia average (i.e. 7.97 kg/capita/year), its total fish demand in 2030 would be 85 000 tonnes.
• Suppose that per capita fish demand in Azerbaijan in 2050 reaches the baseline world average (i.e. 19.86 kg/capita/year), its total fish demand in 2050 would be 219 000 tonnes.
Per capita fish consumption can rise with the expansion of fish production (slide #17). • As Armenia’s fish production increased more than 10 folds during 2006-2013 from 1 406 tonnes
to 16 390 tonnes, its per capita fish consumption tripled from 1.46 kg to 4.51 kg (slide #17). • This example indicates that the 4.24 kg/capita/year (i.e. landlocked developing countries
average) in 2025 tends to be an achievable target in Azerbaijan.
Low per capita fish consumption (both status and trend) in Azerbaijan
Slide #13Source: FAO WAPI Fish Consumption Module (WAPI-FISHCSP v.2018.1). www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/wapi/en
Azerbaijan
- 10- 8- 6- 4- 2 0 2 4 6 8
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
0 1 3 8 24 73Annu
al g
row
th ra
te o
f per
cap
ita fi
sh c
onsu
mpt
ion
from
19
93 to
201
3 (%
)
Per capita fish consumption in 2013 (kg/capita/year)
African countries Countries in the Americas Asian countriesEuropean countries Oceanian countries
Fish - Year 2013Bubble size measuring populationCoordinate origin represent the world average
Per capita fish consumption in 2013
Countries
Per capita fish consumption
kg/capita/yearAnnual growth
rate during 1993-2013 (%)
Azerbaijan 2.8 -0.4
Armenia 4.5 6.8
Georgia 8.6 4.1
Iran (Islamic Republic of) 10.0 3.3
Kazakhstan 4.7 1.3
Russian Federation 22.8 2.4
Turkmenistan 3.6 -1.1
Western Asia 8.0 0.1 Landlocked developing countries 4.2 1.7
World 19.9 1.7
Azerbaijan: per capita fish consumption lower than neighboring countries
Slide #14Source: FAO WAPI Fish Consumption Module (WAPI-FISHCSP v.2018.1). www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/wapi/en
Per capita fish consumption in 2013Countries kg/capita/year
Azerbaijan 2.8
Armenia 4.5
Georgia 8.6
Iran (Islamic Republic of) 10.0
Kazakhstan 4.7
Turkmenistan 3.6
Russian Federation 22.8
Western Asia 8.0
Landlocked developing countries 4.2
World 19.9
0
5
10
15
20
25Azerbaijan
Armenia
Georgia
Iran (Islamic Republic of)Kazakhstan
Turkmenistan
Russian Federation
1993 2013
Increased fish consumption in Azerbaijan driven by population growth
Slide #15Source: FAO WAPI Fish Consumption Module (WAPI-FISHCSP v.2018.1); www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/wapi/en
7.6 7.7 7.8 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.1 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.3 9.4
22 934
17 888
10 753
7 376 5 377
8 163
20 544
20 998
13 201
16 598
11 593
13 962 16 053
15 452
15 066
19 310
19 580
20 248
20 072
21 805
25 963
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Fish consumption in Azerbaijan (tonnes; live weight equivalent)
Population (million) Fish consumption (tonnes)
Domestic fish demand projections
Projections of future domestic fish demand in Azerbaijan
Fish demand projection 2013 (baseline)
Income-driven per capital demand growth1
Regional/global per capita consumption benchmark
2020 2025 2030 20252 20303 20504
Per capita fish demand (kg/capita/year) 2.77 3.01 3.19 3.36 4.24 7.97 19.86
% growth relative to the baseline - 9 15 21 53 188 618
Population (million)59.4 10.1 10.4 10.7 10.4 10.7 11.0
% growth relative to the baseline - 8 11 14 11 14 18 Domestic fish demand (tonnes/year)6 25 963 30 408 33 262 35 885 44 257 85 132 219 290
% growth relative to the baseline - 17 28 38 70 228 745 1. According to the estimation in FAO Fisheries and Aquaculture Technical Paper 607 Short-term projection of global fish demand and supply gaps, income growth in Azerbaijan (measured by growth in per capita GDP) would drive up its per capita fish demand by 6.3 percent during the five years from the mid-2010s to the early 2020s (i.e. 1.26 percent a year). Thus, the income-driven per capita fish demand growth would be 9 percent during 2013-2020 (7 year), 15 percent during 2013-2025 (12 year), and 21 percent during 2013-2030 (17 years).2. Per capita fish demand equal to the landlocked developing countries average in 2013.3. Per capital fish demand equal to the Western Asia average in 2013. 4. Per capita fish demand equal to the world average in 2013.5. Based on United Nations population projection (2017 revision)6. Equal to per capital fish demand x population Slide #16
An example of supply-driven growth in fish consumption
Slide #17
Source: FAO WAPI Fish Consumption Module (WAPI-FISHCSP v.2018.1); www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/wapi/en
1 406
16 390
1.46
4.51
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
45 000
50 000
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
kg/c
apita
/yea
r
tonn
esGrowth in per capita fish consumption in Armenia
Fish production (tonnes) Per capita fish consumption (kg/capita/year)
Foreign fish market (export)
18
Highlights on the fish export of Azerbaijan
Slide #19
Fish export has declined more than production in Azerbaijan (slide #20).• As the fish production in Azerbaijan declined from 20 000 tonnes in 1994 to 1 100 tonnes in 2013, its export
followed the downward trend declining from 3 230 tonnes (live weight equivalent) to 36 tonnes in 2013 (slide #20).
• Accordingly, the ratio of the export to the production declined from 16 percent to 3 percent (slide #20), which indicates that the export decline is proportionally greater than the production decline.
• In general, fish export accounted for a small portion of fish production in Azerbaijan with the 16 percent average ratio and 37 percent maximum ratio (slide #20).
Aquaculture species contribute little to Azerbaijan fish export (slides #21 and #22). • While Azerbaijan fish export in 2016 comprised only 110 tonnes (product weight) of sardines, multiple
species have been exported by the country during 1996-2016. Yet these species are primarily from capturefisheries (slide #21).
• It appears that Azerbaijan exported 480 tonnes (product weight) of salmons/trouts/smelts in 2008 (slide#21). This is puzzling because the production data indicate that the country had little production of thisspecies group in 2008.
• It appears that Azerbaijan exported 993 tonnes (product weight) of miscellaneous freshwater fishes in 1997(slide #21). Yet it is unclear what the exact species are. Similar to the previous case forsalmons/trouts/smelts, the trade data do not appear consistent with the production data.
• Although Azerbaijan has no past experience in exporting aquaculture products, experiences in othercountries (e.g. Armenia and Iran) indicate that when aquaculture product expands, export tend to follow(slide #22).
Declined fish export in Azerbaijan
Slide #20Source: FAO WAPI Fish Consumption Module (WAPI-FISHCSP v.2018.1); www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/wapi/en
3 230
36
19 939
1 121
16.2
36.8
3.2
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
%
tonn
esFish export of Azerbaijan (tonnes; live weight equivalent)
Export (tonnes) Production (tonnes) Ratio of export to production (%)
Species composition in Azerbaijan’s fish export
Slide #21
Source: FAO. 2018. Fishery and Aquaculture Statistics. Global Fisheries commodities production and trade 1976-2016 (FishstatJ). www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/fishstatj/en
Marine fishes not identified, 3362
Herrings, sardines,
anchovies, 1680
Herrings, sardines,
anchovies, 110
Miscellaneous freshwater fishes,
993
Salmons, trouts, smelts, 480
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
Azerbaijan fish export (tonnes; product weight)
Marine fishes not identified Herrings, sardines, anchoviesMiscellaneous freshwater fishes Cods, hakes, haddocksSalmons, trouts, smelts Flounders, halibuts, solesOthers
Azerbaijan fish export (tonnes; product weight)
1996-20162016
Average MaximumMarine fishes not identified 654 3 362 0 Herrings, sardines, anchovies 228 1 680 110 Miscellaneous freshwater fishes 87 993 0 Cods, hakes, haddocks 145 1 497 0 Salmons, trouts, smelts 99 480 0 Flounders, halibuts, soles 54 533 0 Others 16 83 0 All species 1 283 5 808 110
Trout production and export in Armenia and Iran
Slide #22
400
8960
76
911
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Armenia
Production (tonnes; live weight)
Export (tonnes; product weight)
73642
163325
956
8906
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
180000
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Production (tonnes; live weight)
Export (tonnes; product weight)
Source: FAO WAPI Aquaculture Production Module (WAPI-AQPRN v.2018.1). fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/wapi/en and UNCOMTRAD
Aquaculture production
23
Highlights on aquaculture development in Azerbaijan
Slide #24
Declined aquaculture production in Azerbaijan (slides #25 and #26).• Azerbaijan is one of a few countries with their aquaculture production declined during 1993-2016 (slide
#25).• Among the 6 neighbouring countries of Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan had declined
aquaculture production during 1993-2016, whereas Armenia, Iran (Islamic Republic of) and Russian Federation increased their production during the period (slide #26).
Increased share of aquaculture in fish production in Azerbaijan (slide #27).• While aquaculture production in Azerbaijan declined from 1 200 tonnes to 640 tonnes during 1993-
2016, the share of aquaculture in the country’s fish production nevertheless increased from 5 percentto nearly 50 percent during the period (slide #27).
Species composition in Azerbaijan’s aquaculture and fisheries (slides #28 and #29).• Carp species accounted for half of Azerbaijan’s 640 tonnes aquaculture production in 2016, and
rainbow trout accounted for the other half (slide #28).• Sprats/shads accounted for nearly 60 percent of Azerbaijan’s 676 tonnes of capture fisheries production
in 2016. Carp species accounted for 30 percent, and the rest are other freshwater species (slide #28).• Carps, trouts and sturgeons are three main aquaculture species groups in Azerbaijan and neighbouring
countries (slide #29).
Declined aquaculture production in Azerbaijan (1993-2016)
Slide #25Source: FAO WAPI Aquaculture Production Module (WAPI-AQPRN v.2018.1). www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/wapi/en
Azerbaijan
- 20
- 10
0
10
20
30
40
1 10 100 1 000 10 000 100 000 1 000 000 10 000 000 100 000 000
Annu
al g
row
th ra
te o
f aqu
acul
ture
pro
duct
ion
durin
g 19
93-2
016
(%)
Aquaculture production in 2016 (tonnes)
African countries Countries in the Americas Asian countries European countries Oceanian countries
Bubble size measuring population
Aquaculture development: Azerbaijan vs. neighboring countries
Slide #26Source: FAO WAPI Aquaculture Production Module (WAPI-AQPRN v.2018.1). www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/wapi/en
1 201
640
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
16 000
18 000
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Aquaculture production (tonnes)
Azerbaijan Armenia Georgia Kazakhstan Turkmenistan
Aquaculture production in 2016
Countries 1993 2016
Turkmenistan 2 163 30
Azerbaijan 1 201 640
Georgia 580 670
Kazakhstan 2 928 1 878
Armenia 2 250 16 381
Russian Federation 92 866 173 104 Iran (Islamic Republic of) 21 882 398 129
Increased contribution of aquaculture to total fish production in Azerbaijan
Slide #27Source: FAO WAPI Aquaculture Production Module (WAPI-AQPRN v.2018.1). www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/wapi/en
1 201 640
5
49
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Shar
e (%
)
Prod
uctio
n (t
onne
s)
Azerbaijan aquaculture and fisheries production
Aquaculture production (tonnes) Capture fisheries production (tonnes) % of aquaculture in fish production
Species composition in Azerbaijan’s aquaculture and fisheries production
Slide #28
Source: FAO WAPI Aquaculture Production Module (WAPI-AQPRN v.2018.1). www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/wapi/en
Azerbaijan aquaculture and fisheries production in 2016Aquaculture Capture fisheries
Species tonnes % Species tonnes % All 640 100.0 All 676 100 Rainbow trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss) 315 49 Shads 402 59 Carps 325 51 Black and Caspian Sea sprat (Clupeonella cultriventris) 316 47
Common carp (Cyprinus carpio) 198 30.9 Caspian shads (Caspialosa spp) 86 13 Freshwater bream (Abramis brama) 55 8.6 Carps 195 29 Crucian carp (Carassius carassius) 31 4.8 Kutum (Rutilus frisii) 93 13.8 Grass carp (Ctenopharyngodon idellus) 21 3.3 Roach (Rutilus rutilus) 50 7.4 Silver carp (Hypophthalmichthys molitrix) 20 3.1 Freshwater bream (Abramis brama) 27 4.0
Common carp (Cyprinus carpio) 19 2.8 Crucian carp (Carassius carassius) 4 0.6 Asp (Aspius aspius) 2 0.3
Others 79 12 Mullets nei (Mugilidae) 68 10.1 Freshwater gobies nei (Gobiidae) 4 0.6 Wels(=Som) catfish (Silurus glanis) 4 0.6 Pike-perch (Sander lucioperca) 3 0.4
Species composition in aquaculture: Azerbaijan vs. neighbouring countries
Slide #29Source: FAO WAPI Aquaculture Production Module (WAPI-AQPRN v.2018.1). www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/wapi/en
51 51
67
15
53 45
100
49 41
27
55
14 22
--
1 2
28
14 4
-8 5 2
18 28
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Azerbaijan Iran (IslamicRepublic of)
RussianFederation
Armenia Kazakhstan Georgia Turkmenistan
Species composition in terms of quantity (%)
Carps Salmons/trouts Sturgeons Others
Import
30
Fish import in Azerbaijan
Slide #31
Source: FAO. 2018. Fishery and Aquaculture Statistics. Global Fisheries commodities production and trade 1976-2016 (FishstatJ). www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/software/fishstatj/en
Azerbaijan fish import 2016
SpeciesTonnes(product weight)
%
Miscellaneous pelagic fishes 6 236 42
Salmons, trouts, smelts 2 631 18
Herrings, sardines, anchovies 1 578 11
Cods, hakes, haddocks 1 470 10
Marine fishes not identified 1 361 9
Miscellaneous freshwater fishes 642 4
Shrimps, prawns 474 3
Tilapias and other cichlids 220 1
Other species 387 3
All species 14 999 100
Most fish import in Azerbaijan is substitutable by domestic production.• Azerbaijan imported 15 000 tonnes (product
weight) of fish and seafood in 2016 (slide #31).• Most of the imported products (e.g. frozen
mackerels, frozen blue whitings, frozen trouts, frozen tilapia fillets, frozen catfish, etc.) are substitutable by domestic fish products.
• Some imported products (such as Atlantic salmon and shrimps/prawns) are less substitutable by domestic fish production. Yet the share of these products appear to be less than 20 percent of the total import.
• In other words, more than 80 percent of fish import in Azerbaijan could be substituted by domestic production.
Conclusion
32
Conclusion
Slide #33
Aquaculture growth potential in AzerbaijanIndicators 2025 NotesPer capita fish demand (kg/capita/year) 3.19
See slide #16 Population (million) 10.4
Domestic fish demand (tonnes/year) 33 262
minus 20 percent less substitutable import (tonnes/year)
6 652 See slide #31
minus potential capture fisheries production (tonnes/year)
5 675
Measured by the average capture fisheries production during 1999-2016) - see slide #27
Aquaculture production potential (tonnes/year) 20 935
Domestic fish demand minus import minus capture fisheries production
Carps (15 to 53 percent) 3140 - 11095 tonnes Based on aquaculture
species composition in Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia and Kazakhstan (see slide #29)
Trouts (14 to 55 percent) 2931 - 11514 tonnes
Sturgeons (4 to 28 percent) 837 - 5862 tonnes
• Aquaculture in Azerbaijan has declined nearly 50 percent in the past two decades.
• The decline in fish production (including both aquaculture and fisheries) in Azerbaijan has reduced its already low per capita fish consumption.
• Fish consumption in Azerbaijan depends primarily on import. This situation creates a great potential for aquaculture development in the country through import substitution.
• A rough estimation indicates that the demand for domestic aquaculture products in Azerbaijan could reach 21 000 tonnes in 2025, including 3 100 - 11 000 tonnes demand for carps, 2 900 - 12 000 tonnes for trouts, and 800 – 5 800 tonnes for sturgeons.
• The macro assessment here needs to be refined and supplemented by further assessment of the aquaculture value chain in Azerbaijan at the micro level in order to facilitate the design of appropriate policy and plans for its aquaculture development.
