apresentação jose luis cordeiro

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    Jos Cordeiro, PhD

    (www.cordeiro.org)The Millennium Project

    Director, Venezuela Node

    Singularity UniversityNASA Ames, California, USA

    The Future of the

    Future

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Rotating_earth_(small).gifhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Rotating_earth_(small).gifhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Rotating_earth_(small).gifhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Rotating_earth_(small).gifhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Rotating_earth_(small).gif
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    FutureThe Millennium Project

    Global futurist think-tank with 50 nodes

    around the world

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    Education and Learning in 2030:1. National programs for improving collective intelligence

    2. Just in time knowledge and learning

    3. Individualized education

    4. Use of simulations

    5. Continuous evaluation to prevent instability and/or becoming mentally ill.

    6. Improved individual nutrition

    7. Genetically increased intelligence

    8. Use of global on-line simulations as a primary social science research

    9. Use of public communications to reinforce pursuit of knowledge

    10. Portable artificial intelligence

    11. Complete mapping of human synapses to discover how learning occurs

    12. Means for keeping adult brains healthier for longer

    13. Chemistry for brain enhancement14. Web 17.0

    15. Integrated life-long learning systems

    16. Programs aimed at eliminating prejudice and hate

    17. e-Teaching

    18. Smarter than human19. Artificial microbes enhance intelligence

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    Singularity University

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    Not for Duplication/Distribution | Copyright Singularity University| 2009-2011

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    Innovation Engine

    10 Week Program phases:

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    Darcy Ribeiro and the civilizatory process

    Agricultural revolution Urban revolution

    Irrigation revolution Metallurgic revolution

    Livestock revolution

    Mercantile revolution

    Industrial revolution

    Thermonuclear revolution

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    Ray Kurzweil (MIT):The Singu lar i ty is Near

    www.singularity.com

    Bill Gates

    Ley de Moore

    http://media.kurzweilai.net/sin/pub/SIN_dustjacket.pdf
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    Sequencing the genome: cost and time

    Year Cost (US$) Time

    2003 1,000,000.000 13 years

    2007 100,000,000 4 years

    2008 1,000,000 2 months

    2010 10,000 4 weeks

    2015 1,000 5 days

    2020 100 1 hour

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    Qu es el futuro?

    El fu tu ro ya no eslo que era an tes !

    Mafalda

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    From manufacturing to mindfacturing

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    We need to add value

    http://rds.yahoo.com/_ylt=A9G_RtgOb9hFcMcA6HOJzbkF;_ylu=X3oDMTBjMHZkMjZyBHBvcwMxBHNlYwNzcg--/SIG=1gu92mh89/EXP=1171898510/**http:/images.search.yahoo.com/search/images/view?back=http://images.search.yahoo.com/search/images?p=starbucks&ei=UTF-8&fr=slv1-wave&x=wrt&w=520&h=520&imgurl=www.uky.edu/~rjpowe0/jou497/pages/assignments/ai_02/starbucks.gif&rurl=http://www.uky.edu/~rjpowe0/jou497/pages/assignments.htm&size=25.9kB&name=starbucks.gif&p=starbucks&type=gif&no=1&tt=116,836&oid=9f704e97340c57ca&ei=UTF-8
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    Passive (ostrich) Suffer the future

    Reactive (fire fighter) Respond

    Preactive (insurer) Prepare

    Proactive (builder) Create

    Attitudes towards the future

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    Sir Arthur C. Clarke with Jose Cordeiro

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    The Three Laws of Sir Arthur C. Clarke

    First Law:When a distinguished butelderly scientist states that something ispossible, he is almost certainly right.When he states that something isimpossible, he is very probably wrong.

    Second Law:The only way of discoveringthe limits of the possible is to venture a

    little way past them into the impossible. Third Law:Any sufficiently advanced

    technology is indistinguishable from

    magic.

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    Technologies of the past

    30 years agoPersonal computers

    20 years ago

    Cell phones

    10 years ago

    Google What will happen in 10 years? In 20

    years? In 30 years?

    Immortal (ageless) cells!

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    Aging as a disease? And curable?

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    Life extension results: today, now!

    x 3 times

    x 4 times

    x 6 times

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    NBIC (Nano-Bio-Info-Cogno)

    http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/
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    NBIC (Nano-Bio-Info-Cogno)National Science Foundation

    Department of Commerce

    http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/
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    Neurons

    Cogno

    NBIC

    Bio

    Info

    Cells

    Technological Convergence NBIC

    Nano

    Bits

    Atoms

    1 N (NBIC)

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    1. Nano (NBIC)

    S S

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    3D Printing in NASA: Made in Space

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    Nanotechnology: www.nano.gov

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    2. Bio (NBIC)

    Th l fi h i fi h (T i )

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    The glo-fish: transgenic fish (Taiwan)

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    D ti ti

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    De-extinction

    Dolly: the clone

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    Dolly: the clone

    Singapore: Biopolis

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    Singapore: Biopolis

    http://images.google.com.br/imgres?imgurl=http://www.healingems.com/Ganesha.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.healingems.com/AboutHealingGems.html&h=250&w=200&sz=17&tbnid=p-TYxLrpsqIJ:&tbnh=106&tbnw=84&hl=pt-BR&start=9&prev=/images?q=ganesha&svnum=10&hl=pt-BR&lr=&sa=Nhttp://images.google.com.br/imgres?imgurl=http://perso.wanadoo.fr/nathalie.heraut/yoga/images/nataraj.jpg&imgrefurl=http://perso.wanadoo.fr/nathalie.heraut/yoga/tarifs.html&h=174&w=165&sz=10&tbnid=hUuRhiQXb8YJ:&tbnh=95&tbnw=90&hl=pt-BR&start=2&prev=/images?q=nataraj&svnum=10&hl=pt-BR&lr=
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    Synthetic biology is born

    http://images.google.com.br/imgres?imgurl=http://www.healingems.com/Ganesha.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.healingems.com/AboutHealingGems.html&h=250&w=200&sz=17&tbnid=p-TYxLrpsqIJ:&tbnh=106&tbnw=84&hl=pt-BR&start=9&prev=/images?q=ganesha&svnum=10&hl=pt-BR&lr=&sa=Nhttp://images.google.com.br/imgres?imgurl=http://perso.wanadoo.fr/nathalie.heraut/yoga/images/nataraj.jpg&imgrefurl=http://perso.wanadoo.fr/nathalie.heraut/yoga/tarifs.html&h=174&w=165&sz=10&tbnid=hUuRhiQXb8YJ:&tbnh=95&tbnw=90&hl=pt-BR&start=2&prev=/images?q=nataraj&svnum=10&hl=pt-BR&lr=
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    Synthetic biologyis born Variola virus (smallpox)

    Genes: 197

    Base pairs: 185,000

    Mycoplasma genitalium (bacteria)

    Genes: 485

    Base pairs: 580,000

    Homo sapiens sapiensGenes: ~25,000

    Base pairs: ~3,000,000,000

    3 Info (NBIC)

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    3. Info (NBIC)

    $

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Laptop-crank.jpghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Laptop-crank.jpghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Laptop-crank.jpg
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    MITMedia Lab: $100 laptop

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Laptop-crank.jpghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Laptop-crank.jpghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Laptop-crank.jpg
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    Global brain?

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    Global brain?

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    65

    IBMs Watsonwon in Jeopardy!

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    p yFebruary 14-16, 2011

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    Google Glass

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    Google Glass

    4 C (NBIC)

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    4. Cogno (NBIC)

    The triune brain:

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    The triune brain:Paul MacLean, 1973

    Reptilian (primitive):instincts

    Limbic (paleomammalian):emotions

    Neocortex(neomammalian):intelligence

    Riken Brain Institute

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    www.brain.riken.go.jp

    Riken Brain Institute

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    www.brain.riken.go.jp

    http://www.brain.riken.go.jp/english/a_about/a4_table3.htmlhttp://www.brain.riken.go.jp/english/a_about/a4_table2.htmlhttp://www.brain.riken.go.jp/english/a_about/a4_table1.html
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    Wh t i b i ?

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    1 brain

    1011neurones

    1014synapsis

    1017computations

    (per second)

    And the mind? And the spirit?

    And the soul?

    What is a brain?

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    Internal brain implants: Cyberkinetics Inc.

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    Internal brain implants: Cyberkinetics Inc.

    External brain implants

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    External brain implants

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    Robots in Japan and Korea

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    Robots in Japan and Korea

    Asimo (Honda) evolution

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    Asimo (Honda) evolution

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    Robots are goodin Japan

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    Humans or machines!

    HumansANDmachines?

    Oscar Pistorius: Blade runner inLondon 2012 Olympic Games

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    London 2012 Olympic Games

    World Cup in Brazil: 2014

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    Superman?

    Christopher

    Reeve(paraplegic)

    Stephen Hawking

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    109/122Michael J. Fox: Back to the Future

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    110/122Ronald Reagan:

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    Alzheimers

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    112/122Yin-yang (and more yin-yang)

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    y g ( y y g)

    Light up the world

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    115/122The world is one

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    Guru Cordeiromeditating in India(Hinduism) and in Japan (Buddhism)

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    (Hinduism) and in Japan (Buddhism)

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    Muchas gracias!