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January 2017

Aperçu 2017-01 VA - | RTE France · Demand recorded a peak on 20/01/2017 at 94.2 GW. It is the highest peak ... Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 2017 ... Nuclear generation

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Page 1: Aperçu 2017-01 VA - | RTE France · Demand recorded a peak on 20/01/2017 at 94.2 GW. It is the highest peak ... Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 2017 ... Nuclear generation

January 2017

Page 2: Aperçu 2017-01 VA - | RTE France · Demand recorded a peak on 20/01/2017 at 94.2 GW. It is the highest peak ... Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 2017 ... Nuclear generation

The cold spell of January 2017 caused a strong increase in gross electricity

demand (+14.3%) compared to January 2016. The French exchange balance

was in favour of imports for the second consecutive month.

Demand recorded a peak on 20/01/2017 at 94.2 GW. It is the highest peak

since February 2012. Corrected electricity demand trend stabilised in

January 2017.

Fossil fuel thermal generation was 8.3 TWh up by 71% compared to January

2016.

Solar production grew significantly compared to last year with a 37.7%

increase.

The balance of exchanges was in favour of imports for the second

consecutive month with a total of 0.95 Twh of electricity imported.

4 new installations went into service in January 2017.

2Monthly Overview - January 2017

Monthly Electrical Energy Overview

January 2017

The regions whose gross electricity demand increased the strongest as a result

of the cold spell in January, were Occitanie, Nouvelle-Aquitaine and

Bourgogne-Franche-Comté.

French prices were at their highest since February 2012.

Page 3: Aperçu 2017-01 VA - | RTE France · Demand recorded a peak on 20/01/2017 at 94.2 GW. It is the highest peak ... Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 2017 ... Nuclear generation

GENERATIONFossil fuel thermal generation has increased constantly since May 2016. It reached a new record level since February 2012

at 8.3 TWh. At the same time, hydraulic production fell by 8.1%. Nuclear generation fell only by 2.6% compared with

January 2016.

WIND AND SOLARSince wind conditions were not favourable enough for wind generation, it again fell by 29% compared to January 2016.

Solar generation increased significantly by nearly 38%.

INTERNATIONAL EXCHANGESThe balance of exchanges was in favour of imports for the second consecutive month and reached a new record with a

total of 0.95 TWh of electricity imported. 516 hourly points were in favour of imports which is an historic record. Since

November 2016, the export balance for France has become increasingly in favour of imports with respect to Great Britain.

The balance became in favour of imports with Spain for the first time since April 2016. In terms of physical exchanges, this

was the highest import balance since January 1980.

3Monthly Overview - January 2017

Monthly Electrical Energy Overview

January 2017

NEW INSTALLATIONSThe purpose of the 4 installations commissioned in January 2017 was firstly to increase and secure the power supply in the

territories in question and secondly, to connect a customer distributor.

DEMANDGross demand increased by 14.3% compared to January 2016, due to the cold spell that persisted in the month. This cold

spell triggered a demand peak on 20/01/2017 at 94.2 GW, the highest since 2012. Demand corrected for weather vagaries,

which was moving slightly downwards since November 2016, stabilised in January 2017. The increase in demand by large

industry seen since September 2016 slowed a little in January 2017.

TERRITORIES AND REGIONSThe regions of Occitanie and Nouvelle-Aquitaine were those which increased more significantly their gross demand in

comparison to January 2016 with respectively +21% and 19%. The most important increase were for the regions for

which the difference of temperature compared to January 2016 were better than 4°C. Grand-Est and Auvergne-Rhône-

Alpes managed to moderate the increase in their demand compared to the drop record in temperatures that they

suffered.

ELECTRICITY MARKETSPrices are very high in most countries, in particular during the cold spell which affected Europe in the third and fourth

weeks of the month. It reached €78/MWh as the monthly average in France, but also exceeded €70/MWh in Italy,

Belgium, Spain, Slovenia and Portugal. The reduced availability of the nuclear base in France but also in Germany, the

poor wind conditions and the increase in gas and coal prices were also factors contributing to the price increases.

Page 4: Aperçu 2017-01 VA - | RTE France · Demand recorded a peak on 20/01/2017 at 94.2 GW. It is the highest peak ... Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 2017 ... Nuclear generation

*without energy sector

* Perimeter France excl. Corsica, losses included

Monthly energy consumption

Peak consumption*January 2017

57 325

0

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

50 000

60 000

70 000

Feb

-16

Ma

r-1

6

Ap

r-1

6

Ma

y-1

6

Jun

-16

Jul-

16

Au

g-1

6

Sep

-16

Oct

-16

No

v-1

6

De

c-1

6

Jan

-17

Monthly gross consumption

Period 2015-16

Period 2016-17

GWh

-0,1%

-0,5%

0,0%

-2%

-1%

-1%

0%

1%

1%

2%

Feb

-16

Ma

r-1

6

Ap

r-1

6

Ma

y-1

6

Jun

-16

Jul-

16

Au

g-1

6

Sep

-16

Oct

-16

No

v-1

6

De

c-1

6

Jan

-17

Trend by sector in sliding year

adjusted from the climate effect

Adjusted national consumption

Direct RTE customers *

Adjusted consumption on PDN

94,2 GW

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

ma 1 je 3 sa 5 lu 7 me 9 ve 11 di 13 ma 15 je 17 sa 19 lu 21 me 23 ve 25 di 27 ma 29

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

Gross monthly consumption at the peak and actual temperature

Deviation from norm (°C) Gross consumption : daily peak (GW) Actual temperature

°CGW

102,1 GW 94,2 GW

29,5 GW

56,7 GW

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110GW Evolution of monthly power extrema

Max power Min Power Absolute max Absolute min

4Monthly Overview - January 2017

Monthly electrical energy overview

January 2017

Page 5: Aperçu 2017-01 VA - | RTE France · Demand recorded a peak on 20/01/2017 at 94.2 GW. It is the highest peak ... Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 2017 ... Nuclear generation

January 2017January 2017Installed capacity (MW) Energy generated (GWh)

Focus on generation sectors

Nuclear

63 130

Wind

11 710

Solar

6 772

Other RES

1 918

Conventional

Thermal

21 847

Hydro-electric

25 484

Nuclear

40 499Wind

1 996

Solar

366

Other RES

797

Conventional

Thermal

8 256

Hydro-electric

5 250

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

Feb

Ma

r

Ap

r

Ma

y

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

Nuclear generation

Period 2015-16 Period 2016-17

GWh

GWh

5Monthly Overview - January 2017

Monthly electricical energy overview

January 2017

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

Feb

Ma

r

Ap

r

Ma

y

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

Hydro-electric generation

Period 2015-16 Period 2016-17

GWh

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

Feb

Ma

r

Ap

r

Ma

y

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

Fossil-fuel thermal generation

Period 2015-16 Period 2016-17

GWh

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

Feb

Ma

r

Ap

r

Ma

y

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

RES generation excl. hydro-electric

Period 2015-16 Period 2016-17

GWh

Page 6: Aperçu 2017-01 VA - | RTE France · Demand recorded a peak on 20/01/2017 at 94.2 GW. It is the highest peak ... Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 2017 ... Nuclear generation

* Refer to glossary for category definitions

Wind capacity awaiting connection at Enedis as of 31/12/2016: 5 552 MW

** data available up to December 2016 Solar capacity awaiting connection at Enedis as of 31/12/2016: 2 089 MW

101 MW 3

30

571 MW 4

0 MW 14

7

3 192 MW 0 0 MW

Wind

Monthly generation

Planned fleet on the PTNFleet development in France

661 MW

Installed

capacity*

at

31/01/17

Technology

Cumulative

powerNb

Cumulative

powerNb

Projects in

preparation*

Queued

projects *

58 MW

of which

Offshore

Photovoltaic

2211 MW 272 MW

0

1 169

2 338

3 508

4 677

5 846

7 015

8 184

9 354

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

01

-ja

nv.

03

-ja

nv.

05

-ja

nv.

07

-ja

nv.

09

-ja

nv.

11

-ja

nv.

13

-ja

nv.

15

-ja

nv.

17

-ja

nv.

19

-ja

nv.

21

-ja

nv.

23

-ja

nv.

25

-ja

nv.

27

-ja

nv.

29

-ja

nv.

31

-ja

nv.

MW

Load factor of wind generation

January 2017

Mean load factor by half-hour interval (%) and associated power

Mean monthly load factor (%) and associated power

11 710

6 772

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

Jan

10

Ma

y 1

0

Sep

10

Jan

11

Ma

y 1

1

Sep

11

Jan

12

Ma

y 1

2

Sep

12

Jan

13

Ma

y 1

3

Sep

13

Jan

14

Ma

y 1

4

Sep

14

Jan

15

Ma

y 1

5

Sep

15

Jan

16

Ma

y 1

6

Sep

16

Development of generating fleets in France**

Wind farm Solar photovoltaic

MW

6Monthly Overview - January 2017

Monthly electrical energy overview

January 2017

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

Feb

Ma

r

Ap

r

Ma

y

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

Wind generation

Period 2015-16 Period 2016-17

GWh

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Feb

Ma

r

Ap

r

Ma

y

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

Photovoltaic generation

Period 2015-16 Period 2016-17

GWh

3,5%

11,5%

0,3%

0,0%

5,0%

10,0%

15,0%

20,0%

Jan

12

Fe

b 1

2M

ar

12

Ap

r 1

2M

ay

12

Jun

12

Jul

12

Au

g 1

2S

ep

12

Oct

12

No

v 1

2D

ec

12

Jan

13

Fe

b 1

3M

ar

13

Ap

r 1

3M

ay

13

Jun

13

Jul

13

Au

g 1

3S

ep

13

Oct

13

No

v 1

3D

ec

13

Jan

14

Fe

b 1

4M

ar

14

Ap

r 1

4M

ay

14

Jun

14

Jul

14

Au

g 1

4S

ep

14

Oct

14

No

v 1

4D

ec

14

Jan

15

Fe

b 1

5M

ar

15

Ap

r 1

5M

ay

15

Jun

15

Jul

15

Au

g 1

5S

ep

15

Oct

15

No

v 1

5D

ec

15

Jan

16

Fe

b 1

6M

ar

16

Ap

r 1

6M

ay

16

Jun

16

Jul

16

Au

g 1

6S

ep

16

Oct

16

No

v 1

6D

ec

16

Jan

17

Rate of coverage of consumption by wind

generation (%)

Average value Maximal value Minimal value

Monthly electrical energy overview

January 2017

Page 7: Aperçu 2017-01 VA - | RTE France · Demand recorded a peak on 20/01/2017 at 94.2 GW. It is the highest peak ... Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 2017 ... Nuclear generation

Distribution of regional generationDistribution of regional

consumption

Impact of the cold spell of January 2017 on gross regional demand

8

Aperçu mensuel sur l'énergie électrique

Septembre 2015

7Monthly Overview - January 2017

Monthly electrical energy overview

January 2017

GWh

5 000

4 000

3 000

2 000

87

During January 2017, all regions felt a cold spell with difference temperatures compared to January between -2°C and -6°C.

The increase in regional demand varies from 8% to 21%.

It's worth noting that the regions that suffered the most important drop in temperatures, Grand-Est and Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes, are not those

that had the strongest increase in their demand. It seems then, that eco-citizen gestures have been more applied in these regions.

Demand of the regions of the South of France increased the most

GWh

6 000

3 000

1500

500

Page 8: Aperçu 2017-01 VA - | RTE France · Demand recorded a peak on 20/01/2017 at 94.2 GW. It is the highest peak ... Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 2017 ... Nuclear generation

Daily average value evolution of the spot prices during the month

Moyenne sur le mois

Spot prices in Europe Actuality ofMonthly average value Market mechanisms

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1-Jan 4-Jan 7-Jan 10-Jan 13-Jan 16-Jan 19-Jan 22-Jan 25-Jan 28-Jan 31-Jan

€/MWh

Belgium Netherland France Germany/Austrich Great Britain Spain Italia (north)

8Monthly Overview - January 2017

Monthly electrical energy overview

January 2017

78,00

72,65

50,7752,37

61,37

71,4971,52

61,36

62,91

58,9761,36

73,87

78,1976,80

37,00

31,00

33,55

33,99

31,93

30,26

29,9031,29

price < FR price

0

Spread direction

78,00

price > FR price

The hourly French price exceeded €100/MWh 113

times in the month (almost always between 8.00

and 20.00), including 102 times between 16 and

26 January, the most difficult period in the French

market. These peaks are more frequent but lower

than in the last quarter of 2016: the hourly price

reached a maximum of €206 /MWh on

Wednesday 25 January between 8.00 and 9.00.

Very frequent price peaks in France in January

Price(€/MWh)

Page 9: Aperçu 2017-01 VA - | RTE France · Demand recorded a peak on 20/01/2017 at 94.2 GW. It is the highest peak ... Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 2017 ... Nuclear generation

The energy values described correspond to contracted exchanges on Euronext.

Commercial exchangesJanuary 2017

Monthly exchange balances on each border

-1000

-500

0

500

1000

1500

2000

feb

ma

r

ap

r

ma

y

jun

jul

au

g

sep

oct

no

v

de

c

jan

GWh With Great Britain

2015-16 2016-17

-500

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

feb

ma

r

ap

r

ma

y

jun

jul

au

g

sep

oct

no

v

de

c

jan

GWh With Switzerland

2015-16 2016-17

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

feb

ma

r

ap

r

ma

y

jun

jul

au

g

sep

oct

no

v

de

c

jan

GWh With Italy

2015-16 2016-17

-600-400-200

0200400600800

10001200140016001800

feb

ma

r

ap

r

ma

y

jun

jul

au

g

sep

oct

no

v

de

c

jan

GWh With Spain

2015-16 2016-17

9Monthly Overview - January 2017

Monthly electrical energy overview

January 2017

1 340

1 011

768

281

EXPORT : 3 433 GWh

IMPORT : 4 383 GWh

GWh

BALANCE : -951 GWh

-3000

-2000

-1000

0

1000

2000

3000

feb

ma

r

ap

r

ma

y

jun

jul

au

g

sep

oct

no

v

de

c

jan

GWh With CWE zone

2015-16 2016-17

-8 537

8 128

-10 000

-5 000

0

5 000

10 000

1/1

1/2

1/3

1/4

1/5

1/6

1/7

1/8

1/9

1/1

0

1/1

1

1/1

2

1/1

3

1/1

4

1/1

5

1/1

6

1/1

7

1/1

8

1/1

9

1/2

0

1/2

1

1/2

2

1/2

3

1/2

4

1/2

5

1/2

6

1/2

7

1/2

8

1/2

9

1/3

0

1/3

1

MW Daily extrema of the export balance

Minimal balance Maximal blance

Page 10: Aperçu 2017-01 VA - | RTE France · Demand recorded a peak on 20/01/2017 at 94.2 GW. It is the highest peak ... Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 2017 ... Nuclear generation

10Monthly Overview - January 2017

Monthly electrical energy overview

January 2017

Overhead line Underground line Substation

63 to 150 kV

63 kV substation

63 kV underground cable

Messimy-Nemoz

Messimy-Nemoz - Piquage à

Chaponost

Rhône (69)

connection of a distributor

customer

63 kV underground cable

Remise - Trie-Château

Oise (60)

Strengthening of the electricity

supply of the Trie-Château

substation

225 kV overhead-underground line

Plessis-Gassot - Villiers-Le-Bel

Val d'oise (95)

Partial burial of cables as part of the

reconstruction of the 225 kV

substation of Villiers-le-Bel

Page 11: Aperçu 2017-01 VA - | RTE France · Demand recorded a peak on 20/01/2017 at 94.2 GW. It is the highest peak ... Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 2017 ... Nuclear generation

11Monthly Overview - January 2017

Monthly electrical energy overview

January 2017

Data sourcesThis document relies on metered data collected by RTE and also on data sent by the french DSOs, especially eRDF and EDF SEI.

Gross national demands and actual temperatures

Daily peak for perimeter France excl. Corsica

For more information on how actual

temperatures and reference temperatures are

calculated, visit RTE's website:

http://www.rte-

france.com/lienrapide/media_apercus_an

Extreme capacity value trend

Max/Min Power:

Maximum/minimum power consumption in France over the month,

excluding Corsica

Absolute extreme value:

Extreme value for consumption observed since 1st January 2008

GenerationThe "Hydro-electric" category includes all types of hydro plants (impoundment, run-of-river, etc.). Consumption for pumping by pumped storage facilities is not deducted from generation.

The "Nuclear" category includes all nuclear units. Consumption by auxiliary units is deducted from generation.

The "Fossil-fuel thermal" category includes Coal, Oil and Gas-fired technologies.

The "Other RES" category includes PV solar, Biomass, Biogas and paper/card waste.

The installed capacity values are valid for the end of the month, with the exception of the "Other RES" category, which is valid for the start of the month.

Monthly gross consumption

Perimeter : France with Corsica, losses included

Wind Generation Coverage of demand

Load factor :

Ratio of wind power generated to nominal installed

wind capacity

Coverage rate :

Ratio of wind power generated to gros national consumption

at a given time

Generation

Nb

Puissance

installéePuissance

cumulée

Projets en file

d'attente

Projets en

préparation

NbPuissance

cumulée

Filière

Eolien

dont Offshore

Photovoltaïque

361 MW 22

24 MW 9

42% 80%

238 MW 1 30 MW

2131 MW 9 2559 MW

Wind: onshore and offshore wind projects. The share of offshore capacity is indicated in the row below

Installed capacity:

Cumulative capacity of installations for which a connection agreement has been signed.

Queued projects:

Projects which have entered the connection queue under RTE's connection procedure, i.e. projects which have signed a "queuing proposal" with RTE, following a detailed

connection study or a "technical and financial proposal".

Projects in preparation:

Connection projects for which RTE has been asked to provide a detailed study or technical and financial proposal, currently being examined by RTE, or for which the

Trend by sector in sliding year adjusted from the climate effect

Total consumption: Consumption of France, with Corsica, losses included.

Adjusted from climate effect.

Adjusted consumption on PDN: Represents the consumption of

resditential and SMEs/SMIs sector. Data adjusted from weather effect.

Direct RTE customers : Industrial sites connected directly to the PTN

(excluding consumption at source). Energy sector is excluded

Trend in sliding year : growth between the last 12 cumulative monthly

values and the previous 12

International exchanges

Glossary

Prices in EuropeMonthly average of spot prices in the different price zones of the coupled area. France is always represented in white, the other areas are coloured based on the difference

in price compared with France (blue: lower price, red: higher price, the deeper the colour, the greater the difference).

Daily spot price changes

Change of the spot price in France and in the coupled neighbouring

regions, over a month in daily average, (NB: for Italy the price of

the northern area is shown, for Nordic countries the average of the

areas displayed on the map is shown).

Spot price: Wholesale price of electricity, determined by the power exchanges the day

before for delivery the following day, for each hour of the day.

Spread : Price differential between two price areas (here between each price area and

France).

Price area: Geographic area inside which the electricity price is identical and where

exchanges are done with no allocation of capacity. A price area may combine several

countries (for example: Germany, Austria, Luxembourg) and a country may be subdivided

into more than one price area (for example: Italy, Norway).

Daily extrema :

Extrema of the half hour mean power value of the global international

commercial exchanges, observed daily.

Type of installation

Name of installation

(or substation)

Département

Nature of work

Page 12: Aperçu 2017-01 VA - | RTE France · Demand recorded a peak on 20/01/2017 at 94.2 GW. It is the highest peak ... Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 2017 ... Nuclear generation