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“Arab Spring”
and Kingdom of Bahrain Reforms
Khalil Bin Ebrahim Hassan (Rasromani ) M.D., F.R.C.S.Ed.
1. Geography.
2. Oil & Wars.
3. Comprehending culture & understanding terrorism.
4. “Arab Spring” and Kingdom of Bahrain Reforms.
5. Learning from history:
“No one eats with immunity from the tree of immorality.”
6. Improving international relations.
7. Educating diplomats.
8. Conclusions.
First oil well
Oil production 1932
First shipment to Japan 1934
Oil production 300,000 B/ D
16 million barrels/day
Secured to energy market .
Bahrain is financial center
For GCC oil and gas finance.
We say:
“Your tongue is your horse,
if you control it,
it shall save you,
if you deceive it,
it shall deceive you.”
Sumerian
Akkadian
Babylonian
Assyria
Achaemenian
Alex. The Great
Seleucid
Parathion
Islam & Arabs
Mongol
Othman Empire
British Empire
Land of milk and honey
Origin of the world
Blessed by Gods
Graced with abundant fresh
water
International market place
Land of Eternal life
Saar Temple 1900BC Holy land of two
seas
God of Sumer
Enki
God of sweet water
Food offering
Burning incense
Seluicide Empire (Greek)
Abi’el Dynasty
Abyatha
Antiochus III (223-187)
Alexander the Great
Shamash Deities
Prophet 622-632 Rashidi Caliphate 632-660 Umayed Caliphate 660-749 Abbaside Caliphate 749-1258
Al-Khamis Mosque
The government
modernization between
1971 and 2001
changed Bahrain from
a small British colonial
village
to a peaceful international
financial center
by allaying with the West.
The political reforms
in 2001 changed
Bahrain
to a model for
constitutional
monarchy
in the Middle East.
There are moments in history
when people all over the world
seem to rise up,
to say that something is wrong
(1848 &1968),
marking the beginning of new era.
The year 2011 may prove to be
another such moment.
A youth uprising that
began in Tunisia…
Soon the people of
Spain, Greece, U.K. &
U.S. and other
countries around the
world,
had their own reason to
be on the streets .
The protesters were right,
the gap between what our
economic and political
systems
are supposed to do
and what actually do
became too large to be
ignored.
J. Stiglitz
Governments were not
addressing key economic
problems;
as universal values of fairness
became scarified
to the greed of a few,
the feeling of unfairness
became a feeling of betrayal.
J. Stiglitz
They had no opportunities to
call for change through
democratic processes.
But electoral politics had also
failed in Western democracies,
yet in U.S.& elsewhere,
J. Stiglitz
There were signs of hope in these
youthful protestors….
they still believe that the electoral
process might work,
if only governments remembered that
they are accountable to the people.
The protesters took to the streets in
order to push the system to change.
J. Stiglitz
40% unemployment among
Spanish youth,
One American family wealth is
equal to 110 millions U.S.
citizens savings,
46 million with no private health
insurance.
39 million below the line of
poverty.
“Free market proved
inefficient with its
deregulation. J. Stiglitz”
Review The History of
Deregulated Global Free
Market.
Margaret Thatcher 1979- 1990
Ronald Reagan 1981-1989
Soviet Union Collapsed 1991
This is the issue of this election:
whether we believe in our capacity
for self-government
or whether we abandon the
American Revolution and confess
that a little intellectual elite in a far-
distant capitol
can plan our lives for better than we
can plan them ourselves.
Ronald Reagan 1964
What does mean?????
Ronald Reagan 1981-1989
Government is not the
solution to our problems.
Government is the problems.
Very Special Political
Relationship for
“Deregulation” and “Small
Government” policies ended
with financial crisis of 2008.
“We may have democracy
or we may have wealth
concentrated in the hands of a
few,
but we can’t have both. “
Louis Brandeis Associate Justice
of U.S. Supreme Court 1916-1939
Eventually people who
controlled the wealth of the
country would come to control
the county itself.
One way or another the rich
will buy political influence, as
happened in Russia after the
fall of the Soviet Union .
A democracy would for all the
practical purposes become an
oligarch.
Soviet Union Collapsed
1991
Strengthen the political
believe in global free
market
with deregulation and
small government,
to end with “Corporate
Democracy.”
2012 U.S. Election Cost
$ 2.000,000,000
The Supreme Court Proved the
Role of Corporate Money in
U.S. Election.
“Every individual endeavors to
employ his capital so that its produce
may be of greatest value.
He generally neither intends to
promote the public interest, nor
knows how much he is
promoting it.
By pursuing his own interest he
frequently promotes that of society
more effectually than when he really
intends to promote it.”
Adam Smith
In Bahrain, after U.S. FTA &
deregulation of the free market,
land, rent and food prices
spiked in spite government’s
subsides,
and with minimal changes in
salaries.
The youth struggled to survive,
and many are under-employed.
In Feb 2011,the youth protested in
order to push for more reforms,
the opposition parties joined,
the Reformist Crown Prince
negotiated seven reform issues,
but some of the oppositions were
reluctant,
asking for revolution toward Islamic
Republic Theocracy,
not constitution monarchy that voted
for by 98.4% of the citizens in 2001.
Suddenly it became a
war off existence,
the GCC felt the danger
of Iranian theocracy
threat
and the government
called for their support.
On 29th June,
Independent Commission of
Inquiry
was established by the H.M. the
King
to investigate the response of the
government
to the Feb 2011 uprising.
The results of the investigation were
published on 23th November,
the government accepted its
responsibilities
and promised to work on more
reforms,
but the trust between the
government and the opposition was
shattered severely.
How the M.E. will progress
after “Arab Spring”?
Should we start reviewing
the history and avoid
repeating its mistakes?
Will traditional Western
democracy, with its super-
capitalism, solve M.E.
challenges?
Will Traditional Western
diplomacy bring peace &
stability?
How can the M.E. be positive
global player?
Do we need to breed new
diplomats?
How we are going to educate
them?
“The reasonable man adapts
himself to the world;
the unreasonable one persists
in trying to adapt the world to
himself.
Therefore, all the progress
depends on the unreasonable
man.”
George Bernard Shaw
600 700 1000 1400 1900 1948 1956 1967 2006 AC
Arab Islamic Empire
Ottoman Islamic Empire
European Colonialism
Nasser Nationalism
Creation of Israel Arab-Israeli Wars
Fu
nd
am
en
talis
m
5. Actualization
4. Status (esteem)
3. Love/belonging
2. Safety
1. Physiological
4. Status (esteem)
Achievement ,
recognition & sense
of contribution
creates self value.
5. Actualization
Needs of humans to be
creative, problem
solver to
appreciate life.
Creation of Israel in the most
sacred part of Arab land,
its continuous support with
most advanced war technology
and without any questioning of
Israeli leadership behaviors,
created anger, hopelessness,
between Palestinian,
which spread fundamentalism
and the unreasonable men in
the world.
Israeli Tank & Palestinian home
“In the Islamic state
(Al-Andalus),
the three religions of Judaism,
Christianity, and Islam
had been able to live together
in relative
harmony for over
six hundred years.”
Karen Armstrong
1086-1492 AC
“under Muslim rule the Jews of Spain
enjoyed a bloom….”
“Jews were ministers, poets,
scientists.”
“Christian, Jewish and
Muslim scholars worked
together and translated the
ancient Greek philosophical and
scientific texts. “
“That was, indeed, the Golden Age. “
Uri Avnery
“ When the King Ferdinand 1492
re-conquered Spain…..
The Jews were presented
with…………or to leave.”
Almost all of them were received
with open arms in the
Muslim countries. “
1086-1492 AC
1917
“"The Security Council...
Affirming a vision of a region where
two States, Israel and Palestine,
live side by side within
secure and recognized borders..."
03/12/02 UN Resolution 1937
“At four o'clock in the afternoon on 14
May 1948,…….,
David Ben-Gurion read out the
Declaration of Independence
and proclaimed the establishment of the
Jewish state in Palestine
to be called the State of Israel.”
Avi Shlaim
“ based on the principles of liberty, justice,
and peace …..;”
“ would uphold the full social and political
equality of all its citizens, without
distinction of religion, race, or sex;”
“….. It specifically promised
equal rights to the Arab
inhabitants of the State of Israel”
President Truman to be
reelected in 1943 he had to do
two things:
1.Finds an excuse for spending
one billion dollars on atomic
bomb, by bombing Hiroshima
and Nagasaki.
2. Approves creation of Israel
against US State Department
wish, to get American Jewish
votes.
“Bismarck saw the
seed of not only his
country’s achievement,
but of its twentieth century
tragedy.”
Henry Kissinger
What about Truman?
“No one eats with
immunity from the tree of
immorality.”
Von Roon, Bismarck’s friend
Is the world paying the price of
Truman “immorality”?????
Arabs Israelis
Americans
Losing a holy land Regaining existence
Politician: Gaining Jewish votes.
Jerusalem
Arab-Israel Conflicts
19 48,56,67,70,73,82
Iraq-Iran War
Iraq-Kuwait War
Afghanistan War
Iraq War
Israel-Lebanon War
Israel-Palestinian War
Fundamentalism
Terrorism
Iran-U.S. Conflict
Sept , 11th and terrorism
World War III
Armageddon
"Hamas believes that
no part of Palestine should
be compromised,
that the Zionist occupation
of Palestine should not be
recognized…”
“…. modern colonialism ..”
“…breaks the geographic
continuity of the central
Arab countries,
…. deplete the nation's
resources
. …..spearhead which
is ready to strike at any
project that aims to raise the
nation up."
02/27/03 Hamas
"The PLO recognizes the right
of the State of Israel to exist in
Peace and security...."
09/09/93 Yasser Arafat
“Palestinians,
whether they are Arabic or Hebrew
speakers, are members of
one indivisible
nation. “
1995 Adam Sabra
“Israelis & Palestinians
will draw on the spring of our
great spiritual resources
to forgive the anguish we caused
to each other,
to clear the minefields of that
divided us for so many years,
and to supplant it with fields of
plenty.”
Yitzhak Rabin
“ I would much rather see
reasonable agreement with the
Arabs on the basis of living
together in peace
than the creation of Jewish state with
borders, an army and a measure of
temporal power, no matter how
modest.
I am afraid of the inner damage
Judaism will suffer – especially
from the development of narrow
nationalism within our own ranks.”
Albert Einstein
“It was not too much
to ask of the Arabs,
who have other holy cities and
much land,
to make room for tiny Israel
in the only place it has ever truly
had home.”
Madeleine Albright
Jew Arab
How much do you think
the Palestinians and Israelis
might learn from black-white
harmony
in building new South Africa?
Does the West have the moral
responsibility to help?
Do you think adapting an
international relationship
Envision global international
order
based on human equity,
democracy,
free commerce,
international law,
governed by Reformed Powerful
United Nation (RPUN),
will make the world happier place
to live in?
“ the international system should be
based
not on the balance of power
but on ethnic self determination.”
Woodrow Wilson
The most powerful force today
is neither communism
nor capitalism,
nor guided missile-
it is man’s eternal desire to be free.
The great
enemy of that is imperialism,,
our foreign policy test is how to
meet that challenge.
John Kennedy 1957
How much wealth,
culture,
and loss of human happiness did it
cost?
Can we think of another way
of communication
for better international relationships
to manage global challenges?
How?
Can we think of
another way of diplomacy
to break the cycle of the
international violence
to manage global
challenges?
“Do we need a diplomat who
has the conscience of a saint,
the wisdom of a philosopher,
and prescience of
a prophet?”
“Do we need a diplomat who
does understand diplomacy as
the art of persuading
(not BULLYING) others
to act as we would wish?”
Madeleine Albright, 2006
“Do we need a diplomat who
does understand that foreign
policy requires to
comprehend why others act
as they do?”
Madeleine Albright.
“Do we need a diplomat
who does understand
that foreign policy
is an art of blending
realism with idealism,
placing morality in its
center?”
Madeleine Albright
Do we need a diplomat
who has the abilities for abstract thought,
communication, reasoning,
learning, planning,
controlling emotions,
applying morals pragmatically,
to solve global challenges?
Do we need a diplomat who
has intellectual intelligence
to be able to collect,
evaluate
& analyze data
to solve international challenges?
“ Do we need a diplomat who
has emotional intelligence
to be able to feel,
use, communicate,
recognize, remember,
learn from, manage and
understand emotions?”
Steve Hein
“Anyone can become angry-
that is easy.
But to be angry with the right
person,
to the right degree,
at the right time,
for the right purpose,
and in the right way- this is
not easy.”
Aristotle
“Do we need diplomat
whose thinking
is concerned with design
and creation
not only with research and
discovery?
“Do we need a diplomat
who does ask himself
about what truth is he
seeking?”
“How does he know that
he have found it?”
“Why does he believe
that there is a truth to be
found?”
“Is it possible that our
difficulty,
and sometimes inability to
put things right is due
to inadequate Socratic
thinking methods?”
Edward De Bono
“Do we need a diplomat that
master the art of parallel thinking
by laying down ideas alongside
each other
and evaluating them creatively
without previous judgment?
Edward De Bono
“ Do we have to prepared our
diplomats with PBL education,
an approaches involve harnessing
intelligence from within individuals,
from group of people and
from environment to solve
international problems
that are meaningful, relevant and
contextualized..”
Oon-Seng Tan
Christianity
Altruism
Honor-Integrity
Responsibility-accountability Excellence-scholarship
Respect
Caring-compassion
Leadership
“Military power is most impressive
when you achieve your objectives
without using it.”
Sun Tzu
“ Peace and political stability
are the basic foundation
for prosperity and economic
competitiveness
in
the global economy.”
Albrecht Schnabel
“No one eats with
immunity
from the tree of
immorality.”
Von Roon, Bismarck’s friend
“It is not the strongest
of the species that
survives,
nor the most intelligent,
it is the one that is the
most adaptable to
(global) changes.”
Evolutionary Theory
Israeli Arab
Japan is trusted in the M.E.
It can help with its experience
and wisdom to create a peaceful
M.E.
It is important for Japan
economy,
More than 500 million in peace,
M.E. will prosper and will need to
consume Japanese products,
that they trust,
and Japan will enjoy more global
security and prosperity.
“Harmony is to be cherished.”
Confucius
Christianity