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Anchor Group LtdListing
September 2014
What is Anchor Group?• Primarily Anchor Capital
• SA’s “fastest growing” asset manager, with over R5.2bn of assets
• Minority stakes in other asset management ventures• Different focus or geography; they leverage off AC structure
• Cartesian Capital (19.9%) – black-owned institutional asset manager• Anchor Securities (25%) – private client stockbroking business• Anchor Capital Cape Town (18%) – CT private client business
• Ripple Effect 4• The business of financial services knowledge, providing education
and online research services
• Offices in Sandton, Durban, Irene, Cape Town• 40 degreed staff across group (4 CA(SA)’s, 12 CFA’s/CFA delegates)
2
Anchor Group structure
Anchor Group Ltd
Anchor Capital (Pty) Ltd
Cartesian Capital (Pty)
Ltd
Anchor Securities (Pty) Ltd
Anchor Capital Cape Town
(Pty) Ltd
Ripple Effect 4 (Pty) Ltd
100%
19.9% 25%
65%
18%
• 25% Todd Kaplan• 10% Peter Armitage
• 52% Harold Hopking• 18% Other 1• 12% Other 2
• 40% Lephatsi Holdings• 35% Staff
• 30% Mike Teke• 35% Black staff• 15% Other staff
POST LISTING• 19.2% Peter Armitage• 11.6% Ivan Clark• 10% Mike Teke• 21.5% Other staff• 37.7% free-float
Board of directors (executive)
Peter Armitage (CEO) (45)
• CA (SA) – Founded business in current form Former CIO of Investec Wealth and deputy CEO of Nedbank Securities
• 21 number one ratings in FM Analyst Ratings, Head of Research at Merrill Lynch and Nedbank
Todd Kaplan (CFO and COO) (41)
• B Sc
• Run operations since 2000, with 14 years of experience
• Co-founder of Ripple Effect 4
Board of directors (non-executive)Ivan Clark (non-executive) (70)
• CA (SA) - Former Chairman and CEO of Grindrod and former Chairman on Grindrod Bank
• Founder investor in Anchor Group, been chairman since inception
Mike Teke, Chairman (non-executive) (50)
• Former CEO of Optimum Coal and currently President of Chamber of Mines and Chairman of RBCT
• Invested in business since 2013
Paul Nkuna (independent non-executive) (62)
• Former CEO of Mineworkers’ Investment Company, Chairman of Metrofile, Primedia, Peermont , Nimble Group
• Served as non-executive director of Firstrand and Optimum Coal
Alastair Adams (independent non-executive) (35)
• B Comm LLB, practiced as an attorney for 10 years
• Director of many private companies and has over 30 corporate clients
Keypeople
• 21 years
Person Age Years exp.
Qualification Role / title Special skills
Peter Armitage 45 21 CA (SA) CEO of Anchor Group and Capital
Market experience
Anthea Gardner 43 12 B Soc Sci, MBA CEO, Cartesian Capital Multi-skilled, fixed income
Matthew N-Young 31 11 B Comm Head: Marketing Best fetcher in the market
Sean Ashton 33 12 B Comm (Hons), CFA Chief Investment Officer
Among the best investment minds
Todd Kaplan 41 14 BSC (Hons) Chief of Operations The most efficient around
Darryl Hannington 31 10 B Comm (Hons), CFA Head: Portfoliomanagement
Great client service
Glen Baker 50 26 B Comm (Hons) Head: Alternative Investments
Alternative markets legend
Lee Cairns 41 12 BA (Econ), CFP Head: Wealth management
Can operate at highest level
Fransoa Swart 38 15 BA, MBA Candidate Head: Trading Great reliable trader
David Gibb 48 20 CA (SA), CFA Fund manager Deep thinker, ran Stanlib’sequity investment team
The Anchor TeamPeter Armitage CEO and head of investments
Research and fund
management
Sean Ashton, CIO
Tamzin Nel, Consumer
Fran Lesar, Retail
Darryl Hannington, Insurance,
Construction
David Gibb, Global
Matt Stroucken, IT
FJ Veldman, Resources
Bryan Rudd, Global
Liam Hechter, Banks
Ant Turner, Telecomms
Portfolio management
Darryl Hannington
Tamzin Nel
Fran Lesar
Ewald Fourie
Glen Baker, Alternative
Investments
Trading
Fransoa Swart
Bradford Gauldie
Marketing
Matthew Norwood-
Young, head of marketing
Mariska Uys
Thlope Motsepe
Lee Cairns
Support
Todd Kaplan, COO
Yvandra van Jaarsveld
Siyanda Nkosi
Logistics
Sarah Shaw,
Trainee analyst
Martin Smith
Trainee analyst
Compliance
Fransoa Swart
Tenfour, outsourced
Reasons for listing and application of funds• Raising R60m by issue of 30 million shares @ R2 (92.6 million shares)• Retention, attraction and incentivisation of staff members;• Enhancing its profile as a leading and growing asset manager;• Customers can participate in the growth of the entity with whom they are
doing business;• Confidence and transparency espoused through the JSE listing
environment; • Flexibility and depth of funding options available to listed entities; • External capital to fund the growth aspirations of the Group, which might
involve the establishment of offshore offices and operations;• Repayment of shareholder loans, increased working capital and expansion
of the Ripple Effect 4 IT business globally Expected use of listing proceeds
Payment of shareholders loans 5,338,667
Listing costs 2,000,000
Anchor Capital additional working capital 3,500,000
Purchase of property 6,666,667
Ripple Effect 4 development and expansion 2,000,000
Available for acquisitions 40,494,666
60,000,000
Timetable
* Still subject to change, depending on CIPC approval
Listing valuation and comparatives
• 2015 earnings assumes cash not yet invested• Listing valuation considerably lower than comparatives• But … much smaller business with limited liquidity
* Anchor Capital forecasts
Share metrics - Dec y/e
Share price 200
2013 2014 % growth 2015 % growth
PAT (R'm) 3.75 15.89 324% 25.61 61%
HEPS 6.20 21.7 250% 27.7 27%
DPS 0 10.9 n/a 13.8 27%
PE 32.3x 9.2x 7.2x
DY 5.4% 6.9%
NAV 10 74 102
P/Book 2.7 2.0
12-month fwd PE 7.6x
12-month fwd DY 6.5%
Comparable listed companies
Peregrine Coronation PSG Konsult Anchor
Year end March Sept June Dec
Share price 22.35 97.19 6.78 2.00
Mkt cap (R'm) 4767 34000 8559 185
2013 EPS 1.38 4.16 0.20 0.08
2014 EPS 1.79 5.52 0.25 0.22
2015 EPS 2.15 5.80 0.31 0.28
2013 PE 16.2x 23.4x 33.9x 26.6x
2014 PE 12.5x 17.6x 27.1x 9.2x
2015 PE 10.4x 16.8x 21.7x 7.2x
12-mnth fwd PE 9.7x 16.8x 21.7x 7.6x
Anchor Group forecasts
• Assumes cash raised of R60 million earns interest and is not spent on acquisitions etc.
Historical and forecast financial informationAnticipated profit expected to be achieved by directors
R60 million fully subscribed
Assume: Opening shares in issue: 60.6 million
Shares issued on 30 Sept: 30 million (R60 million raised)
Interest earned on cash: 10%
(interest reflected in Anchor Capital income statement)
Group
Dec y/e 2013 2014 %ch 2015 %ch
Actual Forecast Forecast
Turnover 31,574,478 58,414,000 85% 75,982,000 30%
Costs 24,453,181 37,968,000 55% 48,470,000 28%
Operating profit 7,121,297 20,446,000 187% 27,512,000 35%
Post tax profit 3,754,453 15,896,330 323% 25,607,000 61%
No of shares 60,560,000 92,600,000 53% 92,600,000 0%
Weighted no of shares 60,560,000 70,100,000 16% 92,600,000 32%
Weighted HEPS 6.20 22.7 27.7 22%
PE @ 200c 32.3 8.8 7.2
Operating margin 22.6% 35.0% 36.2%
Post-tax margin 11.9% 27.2% 33.7%
Shareholders equity 8,952,190 68,560,206 94,535,610
Cash pre-distributions 10,339,724 64,435,194 81,004,052
Who is Anchor Capital?• SA’s fastest growing asset manager• 5 year-old asset management and broking business
• FSB-registered Cat II FSP
• Purchased in 2011 by:• Peter Armitage and management team• Chairman Ivan Clark• Grindrod Bank
• Growing rapidly - advises and manages over R5.2bn• Local and offshore equity investment• Minority stake in Anchor Cape Town• Offices in Sandton, Durban, Irene
• 30 degreed staff, 14 analysts
12
Anchor Capital forecasts
• Well on track after first six months of year; with asset base growing by +/-R150m per month / R2bn a year
• Does not include any contribution from Cartesian or Anchor Securities
Anchor Capital
Dec y/e 2013 2014 %ch 2015 %ch
Actual Forecast Forecast
Opening AUM (R'm) 950 2,842 5,523
Closing AUM (R'm) 2,842 5,523 7,491
Average assets 1,896 4,182 6,507
% ch 199% 121% 56%
R
Turnover 31,182,398 56,595,191 81% 79,416,572 40%
Costs 22,096,942 34,448,720 56% 44,796,541 30%
Operating profit 9,085,456 22,146,470 144% 34,620,031 56%
Post tax profit 6,541,528 15,945,459 144% 24,926,422 56%
Operating margin 29.1% 39.1% 43.6%
Post-tax margin 21.0% 28.2% 31.4%
Yield on assets 1.6% 1.4% 1.2%
Shareholders equity 6,945,966 70,391,525 95,317,947
Cash pre-distributions 8,162,096 64,110,045 79,428,157
The SA asset management universe
• Grown from number 150 to +/- number 25 asset manager in SA in 2 years (0.1% market share, Coronation is 120x bigger)
• Objective: Mid-size category in 1 year and Big Player category in 3 years
• Note: This analysis includes all asset managers who run public unit trusts. Perfect information is not available for all of the above and is based on estimates and industry knowledge; certain players might not be correctly allocated above
1 Absa 1 Fairtree 1 36One 1 Aylett
2 Allan Gray 2 Kagiso 2 Afena 2 Bateleur
3 Ashburton/FNB 3 Melville Douglas 3 Grindrod 3 Noble
4 Coronation 4 Oasis 4 Mazi Capital 4 Cannon
5 Discovery 5 Plexus 5 Cadiz 5 ClucasGray
6 Investec 6 Prescient 6 Sasfin 6 Community Growth
7 Momentum 7 Prudential 7 Sesfikile 7 First Avenue
8 Nedgroup 8 PSG 8 Verso 8 Imara
9 Old Mutual 9 RE:CM 9 Peregrine 9 Harvard House
10 Sanlam 10 Citadel 10 Anchor 10 Laurium
11 Stanlib 11 Visio 11 Kruger
12 MitonOptimal
13 Rezco
14 Rootstock
15 Truffle
The giants
(R100bn+) (11)
Big players (R30bn-
R100bn) (11)
Mid-sized (R5bn-
R30bn) (8)
The challengers (R2bn-
R5bn) (16)
1 4D
2 Aeon
3 Alternative Real Estate
4 Amity
5 Ampersand
6 Atlantica
7 Autus
8 Capstone
9 Catalyst
10 Celtis
11 Centaur
12 Clarus
13 Consilium
14 Contego
15 Cordatus
16 Counterpoint
17 Dolberg Spencer
18 Dotport
19 Dynasty
20 Efficient
21 Element
22 EMH
23 Flagship
24 Foster
25 Futurity
26 GCI
27 Global
28 Graviton
29 Gryphon
30 GTC
31 Huysamer
32 Imalivest
33 Indequity
34 Insight
35 Integre
36 IP
37 JM Busha
38 Kanaan
39 Lion of Africa
40 Lynx
41 Maestro
42 Maitland
43 Mergence
44 MiPlan
45 Montrose
46 NeFG
47 NFB
48 NGI
49 Obsidian
50 Olympiad
51 Pan-African
52 Personal Trust
53 Platinum
54 Prime
55 Quantum
56 RCI
57 Saffron
58 Seed
59 Select
60 Simplisiti
61 Skyblue
62 Southern Charter
63 Stewart
64 Stringfellow
65 Sygnia
66 Third Circle
67 Trillian
68 Warwick
Smaller players (68)
• Grown assets by 63% in the first half of 2014 (160% year-on-year) to R4.6 billion• Grown from number 150 to +/- number 25 asset manager in SA in 2 years• Consistently adding +/-R150m per month/ R2bn per year for last 8 quarters• Pipeline indicates that this can be sustained
Why have we achieved success so far?• We take investment very seriously
• We investigate every opportunity thoroughly and have a very big investment team for our size
• Culture• We own the business and have had immense drive to secure and deliver for clients
• Trust• We have earned the trust of clients and a great deal of our business has come from
referrals• Making clients money
• We have performed well and added to market performance through innovative money-making ideas (eg. Attacq and BEE schemes)
• Extremely active marketing• Big focus on cold calls, TV, radio, internet and biggest success has been daily
newsletter, with 6,000 recipients. We put out regular high quality research• Tick all the boxes
• We got the story right: Right shareholders, investment team, product, pedigree etc.
• Willingness of market to support new player• Market fatigue with vanilla offerings of big existing players
• Nimble – Appropriate range of product• We have grown the product range in response to where we see market demand
Anchor asset mix
• Equity-centric, but aggressively growing other asset classes• Fairly resilient to any market conditions• Less than 15% of assets have performance fees• Segregated portfolio business is typically accompanied by a
relationship with a client, resulting in “stickier” asset base
Why Anchor Capital?“AN EMERGING PLAYER WITH BIG COMPANY
DISCIPLINES AND PROCESSES”
• 14-person investment team• Individuals with strong track records• Blend of youth and experience• Research and documentation culture• Team built “with blank sheet of paper”• Global expertise is key in today’s markets
• Big corporate shareholding• Managed and controlled by employees• Chairman Ivan Clark and director Grindrod Bank CEO David Polkinghorne
• Investment sweetspot - from R2bn to R10bn• Well past critical mass• Can still make midcap picks count
• Well-established investment process• Drawn from experience at big investment companies
• Strong compliance culture• No issues in first FSB full audit in 2012
Our core areas of expertise
• SA Equities• Big cap and mid cap
• Offshore Equities• Well established process
• Yield space• Property• Preference shares• High dividend equities• Other instruments
• Hedge• Unique combination of equity and derivatives
expertise
Current client base- “we have gained the trust of SA’s elite”
• Dominated by Ultra High Net Worth clients• 550 clients altogether• Numerous listed company CEOs and directors• Biggest >R500m, average R8m• +/-25 clients in R20m-R250m range• Big clients receive high-touch service, smaller clients
invested in unit trusts• R575m in unit trusts• +/-R800m offshore in +/-50 accounts• Doing business with the big SA advisors • Corporate/ institutional: Various, including top 40
companies
Attractions of business and model• Business has built-in “inflation” of 15% per annum, on average• All profits in cash, virtually no working capital• Simple business
• 5 invoices per month, paid within 15 days• Expenses 80% rent and staff
• Around 70% Rand hedge• Very little fixed investment required• Fixed costs now in place
• Some step-up with growth, but in principle only sales and PM costs (direct revenue drivers) will be added
• Business model has 50% operating margin, already at >40%• Largely annuity earnings, +/-20% of assets have performance fees• Sticky, diversified base which will be resilient to market fluctuations
The basic model
Assets (R'm) 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 15,000
Yield 1.20% 1.15% 1.10% 1.05% 1.00%
TO 48 69 88 105 150
Margin 40.0% 42.0% 45.0% 47.5% 50.0%
Op profit 19.2 28.98 39.6 49.875 75
PAT 15.7 23.8 32.5 40.9 61.5
Turnover 100
Fixed costs 30
Margin 70
Incentives 21
Profit margin 49
How the business is built …- “leveraging off the investment process”
The investment process
• Local and global, across asset classes, 20 contributors• Investment views formed, consumed by investment community in different forms
Local model portfolios• Forms base of
segregated portfolios, Portfolio Managers tailor to individuals
Global model portfolios• Forms base of
segregated portfolios, PotrfolioManagers tailor to individuals
Unitised products• Portfolios created for
unit trusts and institutional mandates, using base of ideas from investment process
Hedge funds• Investment ideas
implemented (long and short) in hedge fund products
New ideas• Ideas generated in
process developed into new money making structures
Stages of life cycle of AM company- “We are at the end of Phase II”
Phase Nature of phase Indicative assets under management
I Obtain licensing, build investment team, attract initial private client assets
<R1bn (usually 2 years)
II Build private client critical mass assets, build out team, start unit trusts, initial corporate and IFA support
R1bn – R4bn (years 3-4)
III Start to get meaningful IFA support and unitised business grows
R4bn-R10bn (need 3 year track record)
IV Get taken seriously by institutional market,risk consultants and multi-managers
R10bn-R20bn
V Become a big player R20bn-R100bn
Anchor Equity CIS (unit trust)
• Regularly in top 10 out of 180 (no 6 in 12 months to June 2014)• A bespoke approach focussed on needs and risk of individual client• A strong bottom-up focus on quality investments at an attractive price
24
Anchor Equity fund
Source: Morningstar
Anchor Capital Risk assessmentRisk Likelihood
and severity
Nature of risk Way addressed
Market risk High, will occur on average every 7 years
Market crashes or performs poorly for protracted period
This risk will always prevail. We have managed businesses through these circumstances before. Surprisingly few assets are lost in a crash, and the approach is to position for the recovery. A protracted low-return period is worse and this has been somewhat addressed by a broad range of products with a focus on yield.
Performancerisk
Medium Anchor Capitalunderperforms peers for extended period.
We have a wide range of mandates and it is unlikely that they will all underperform. We maintain strong client relationships and our client base is significantly more loyal than an institutional base.
Staff retention ST – lowLT - med
Key staff leave Certainly not a risk at this stage, but staff need to be properly incentivized via payment equation and equity incentivisation. In process.
Client liability Low Client sues business for loss of funds, or not following instructions.
We have R10m liability insurance. Processes are followed and client sign FSB-approved mandates giving Anchor discretion over investment and acknowledging that investments can lose money.
Regulatory Low FSB fines Anchor Capital
Regular compliance meetings and internal audits.
Other asset management initiatives
• 19.9% owned• Separate FSB license• Newly formed black-owned
institutional asset manager• Superb CEO – Anthea Gardner• Running R130m and starting to pitch
to clients
• 25% owned by Anchor Capital, 35% owned by staff and 40% by Lephatsi Investments
• Intention to increase stake• Separate FSB license • 10-person Nedbank Private Wealth
Stockbroking team joined as one• Launched in May 2014• Already signed >250 High Net Worth
accounts (>R1.5bn in assets)• Adds a trading offering• Assuming break-even in 2014
Ripple Effect 4 – 65%-owned
• Online education courses in financial services
• Outsourced research to global listed companies
• Launching in June 2014• Also Anchor Capital research system
• FAIS face-to-face education
• Online wildlife education – over 10,000 registered students
Ripple Effect forecasts
28
Dec y/e 2013 2014 %ch 2015
Actual Forecast Forecast
Turnover 2,759,835 3,469,405 26% 4,721,169
Costs 3,301,160 3,518,534 7% 3,672,187
Operating profit (541,325) (49,129) -91% 1,048,982
Post tax profit (541,325) (49,129) -91% 1,048,982
Operating margin -19.6% -1.4% 22.2%
Post-tax margin -19.6% -1.4% 22.2%
Shareholders equity (1,782,190) (1,831,319) (782,337)
Cash pre-distributions 179,951 325,149 1,575,895
• A small business with a great deal of potential• Has largely been servicing Anchor Capital• Has not received enough attention due to growth of AC• Some of the products could be extremely valuable
BEE plan
• Anchor is fully committed to compliance with codes in law and in spirit
• Not currently rated – been in “small business mode”
• Current status:• By end July group will have five BEE individuals
in senior positions (all appointed this year)• Anchor has funded and nurtured black-owned
asset management business (19.9%-owned)
30