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ANALYTICAL REPORT REVIEW OF NATIONAL EMISSION CONTRIBUTIONS IN GH-NDC UNDER THE PARIS AGREEMENT Disaggregation of Energy Sector and Waste Sector Categories GHANA Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) Energy and Waste Sectors

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Page 1: ANALYTICAL REPORT - UNDP · 2020-05-04 · ANALYTICAL REPORT REVIEW OF NATIONAL EMISSION CONTRIBUTIONS IN ... List of Tables 3 List of Figures 3 Abbreviations and Acronyms 4 1 INTRODUCTION

ANALYTICAL REPORTREVIEW OF NATIONAL EMISSION CONTRIBUTIONS IN GH-NDC UNDER THE PARIS AGREEMENT

Disaggregation of Energy Sector and Waste Sector Categories

GHANANationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)

Energy and Waste Sectors

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TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Tables 3List of Figures 3Abbreviations and Acronyms 4

1 INTRODUCTION 5

2 SCOPE 5

3 ENERGY SECTOR 63.1 Sectoral disaggregated categories 63.1.1 Disaggregated key categories3.1.2 Increasingly important disaggregated non-key categories3.1.3 Emerging disaggregated sector categories not considered in the NDC-BAU that are likely to be key by 20303.2 Revised energy sector BAU emissions projection 93.2.1 The conventional BAU scenario3.2.2 The accelerated economic growth (AEG) scenario3.2.3 Comparison of the traditional BAU and AEG projection scenarios3.3 Share of sectoral key disaggregated categories and important non-key categories of AEG projections 113.4 Projected mineral and metal industries non-energy process-related emissions and additional projected fossil-based energy-related emissions considered (not included in the AEG scenario) 123.4.1 Planned production of extractive industry under development 3.4.2 Electricity demand emissions and non-energy process-related emissions projection 3.4.3 The growing importance of the extractive industry in national BAU emissions3.4.4 AEG electricity generation mix projections 3.5 Sectoral emission reduction strategies 173.5.1 Sectoral emission reduction strategies achieved and investments by 20193.5.2 On-going and planned Sectoral emission reduction strategies, 2020-2-20303.5.3 Potential key sources of Investment for the implementation of sectoral emission reduction actions

4 WASTE SECTOR 214.1 Sectoral disaggregated key categories and important non-key categories 214.2 Waste sector BAU emission projections4.2.1 Waste resources with value-addition potential 4.2.2 4A1 and 4A2 BAU emission projections4.3 Sector MAPs and emissions reduction projection 274.3.1 MSW management systems (SWMS) emission reduction projection parameters 4.3.2 Sector disaggregated key categories emission reduction actions and projections

5. SECTORAL EMISSION REDUCTION STRATEGIES AND KEY STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENTS 33

6. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 336.2 Recommendations 35

ANNEX 37Annex 1a:2006 IPCC National GHG inventory Guidelines - Energy Sector Disaggregated CategoriesAnnex 1b:2006 IPCC National GHG inventory Guidelines – Industrial Processes and Product Use (IPPU) Disaggregated CategoriesAnnex 2: 2006 IPCC National GHG inventory Guidelines - Waste Sector Disaggregated CategoriesAnnex 3: Energy Sector AEG Electricity Demand Emissions Projection (kt CO2)Annex 4: Non-Energy Process Emissions and Electricity Demand Emissions Projections (GIADEC programme) for the Extractive Industry (Mt CO2e) not included in the AEG Annex 5: Decarbonized electricity supply estimation to meet AEG demand projectionsAnnex 6: Country-specific CO2 intensity of Natural Gas -Thermal power generation (tonne CO2 per MWh) Estimation, 2012-2014Annex 7: Energy sector emission reduction strategiesAnnex 8: Energy Sector StakeholdersAnnex 9: Waste Sector StakeholdersAnnex 10: Grid Electricity Generation by Plant (GWh) and Total Installed Generation Capacity (MW)

2

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LIST OF TABLES

LIST OF FIGURES

Table 1: Energy sector disaggregated key categories, 2016 (Source NIR 4) 7

Figure 1: Comparison of BAU and AEG emissions projection of electricity demand for 2020-2030 10

Table 2: Emission contribution (tCO2) of energy sector key disaggregated categories and important non-key categories, from 2020-2030 11

Table 3 : AEG and GIADEC projected production of cement, iron and steel and aluminium (tonnes), 2020-2030 13

Table 4: Energy-related and non-energy process emissions projection for extractive industry, not included in AEG 14

Table 5: Electricity demand emissions and associated non-energy industrial process-related emissions from extractive industries under development (kt CO2-e) 15

Table 6a: Individual key and non-key categories emission reduction actions and GHG emission potential 18

Table 6b: Individual key and non-key categories emission reduction actions and GHG emission potential 19

Table 6c: Individual key and non-key categories emission reduction actions and GHG emission potential 19

Table 7: Waste sector disaggregated key categories (2016) 22

Table 8: 4.A.1 and 4.A.2 BAU emission projection parameters 23

Table 9: Waste sector mitigation action parameters 28

Table 10: Revised sector mitigation actions and cumulative emission reduction potential by 2020 29

Figure 1: Comparison of BAU and AEG emissions projection of electricity demand for 2020-2030 10

Figure 2: Energy sector AEG emission projections by key disaggregated categories and important non-key categories (2020-2030) 12

Figure 3: Non-energy process-related emissions and energy-related emissions projection under GIADEC initiatives not included in AEG 14

Figure 4: Historical and AEG electricity generation (GWh) mix 2010-2030 16

Figure 5: Carbon intensity (tCO2/MWh) trend with declining hydropower fraction, 2010-2030 17

Figure 6: Waste resource streams and potential 3 R-MINT under NESSAP 23

Figure 7: BAU emission projections of methane from SWDS without gas recovery 24

Figure 8: Trend of historical emissions and BAU emission projections (%) by type of degradable 3R waste resources 25

Figure 9: Trend of degradable waste resources’ (food, paper, textile wastes) share of historical emissions and BAU emission projections, 2000-2030 (MtCO2e) 25

Figure 10: Share of SWDS BAU emissions by disaggregated key categories and critical non-key category 26

Figure 11: Mitigation actions: Material balance of 3R-MINT waste resources 27

Figure 12: Annual SWDS emission reduction projection relative to business-as-usual from 2019-2030 30

Figure 13: Trend of weighted MCF of methane emission with increasing fraction of managed SWDS 31

Figure 14: Net emission reduction potential from 3R-composting plants’ mitigation actions relative to BAU 32

3

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ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS

AD Activity Data

AD-STPs Anaerobic Digester-Septage Treatment Plants

AEG Accelerated Economic Growth

AFJ Aquaculture for Food and Jobs

AFOLU Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use

ALU Agriculture and Land Use

BAU Business as Usual

BUR Biennial Update Report

BRT Bus Rapid Transit

CC Climate Change

COP Conference of the Parties

CPESDP President’s Coordinated Programme of Economic and Social Development Policies

DFO Distillate Fuel Oil

DOC Degradable Organic Content

EFs Emission Factors

EPA Environmental Protection Agency

FOLU Forestry and Land Use

GCF Green Climate Fund

GDP Gross Domestic Product

GEF Global Environment Facility

GIADEC Ghana Integrated Aluminium Development Corporation

GIP Ghana Infrastructure Plan

GH Ghana

GHG Greenhouse Gas

GNPP Ghana’s Nuclear Power Programme

GVC Global Value Chain

GWh Giga Watt Hour

HDDVs Heavy Duty Diesel Vehicles

HFO Heavy Fuel Oil

iNDC Intended Nationally Determined Contribution

IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

IPPU Industrial Processes and Product Units

IPPs Independent Power Producers

KCA Key Category Analysis

KIIs Key Informant Interviews

LCDS Low Carbon Development Strategy

LCO Light Crude Oil

LDDVs Light Duty Diesel Vehicles

LEAP Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning

LTNDP Long-term National Development Plan

MAP Mitigation Action plans

MINT Materials-in-transition

MESTI Ministry of Environment, Science, Technology and Innovation

MM&E Ministry of Monitoring and Evaluation

MSW Municipal Solid Waste

MTDPs Medium Term Development Plans

MVC Manufacturing Value Chain

MW Megawatt

MtCO2 Million tonne Carbon Dioxide

NAMAs Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions

NCCP National Climate Change Policy

NCs National Communications

NDCs Nationally Determined Contributions

NE Not Estimated

NESSAP National Environment Sanitation Strategy Action Plan

NIR National Inventory Report

NG Natural Gas

NPP Ghana’s Nuclear Power Programme

PaMs Policies and Measures

PERD Planting for Export and Rural Development programme

PFCs Perfluorocarbons

PFJs Planting for Food and Jobs

1D1F One-District, One-Factory

1V1D One-Village-One-Dam

RE Renewable Energy

RFJ Rearing for Food and Jobs

SDGs Sustainable Development Goals

SWDS Solid Waste Disposal Sites

TOR Term of Reference

UNDP United Nations Development Programme

UNFCCC United Nations Framework for Convention on Climate Change

USD Unites States dollars

WWTD Waste Water Treatment and Discharge

3Rs Reduce, Reuse and Recycle

4

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5

1 INTRODUCTIONGhana submitted its intended nationally determined contribution (GH-iNDC)1 to the United Nations Framework

Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) on 21st September 2015. Pursuant to Articles 4.2 and 4.9 of the Paris

Agreement, “Each Party shall prepare, communicate and maintain successive nationally determined contributions

that it intends to achieve. Parties that have submitted their NDCs shall provide the first update by 2020 and every five

years thereafter. Parties shall pursue domestic mitigation measures, with the aim of achieving the objectives of such

contributions.”

This report serves as an input for the preparatory work Ghana would undertake in 2020 to update its NDC which was

submitted in 2015.

2 SCOPE The energy sector and the waste sector NDC BAU projections have been revised based on the disaggregated key

categories and disaggregated non-key categories identified by the authors and that are of particular importance in the

respective sectors. In addition, energy-related and associated non-energy process-related emissions, which were not

considered in the 2015 NDC projections that would result, during the NDC implementation period, from the extractive

industry categories’ productive activities, have also been considered in the revised BAU projections.

The BAU projections have also been informed by the Ghana Infrastructure Plan (GIP) currently being developed and

implemented (see Section 3.4). These emission projections are based on new and emerging projects, policies and

measures (PaMs) to bridge the gap between resource endowment and resource use within the framework of the GIP

to support national development efforts. These initiatives are deemed to contribute substantially to achieving the

objectives of the government’s Ghana Beyond Aid policy. The projections also considered Ghana’s emissions reduction

policies, programmes and projects as contained in its Low Carbon Development Strategy (LCDS) and National Climate

Change Master Plan documents.

The disaggregated sectoral categories considered are based on the NIR 4 Key Categories Analysis (2019). The

contributions of the disaggregated key categories and important non-key categories to the BAU projections and the

emissions reductions planned, implemented and ongoing have guided the identification of relevant public and private

sector organizations that would be key to implementing individual category emission reduction plans, programmes

and projects towards the realization of Ghana’s NDCs under the Paris Agreement.

The emission reduction contributions projected to be realized by the identified stakeholders shall be provided during

the stakeholder consultation to engage and guide the private and public sector in the working group discussion and

development of the plan to implement the individual mitigation actions.

1 https://www4.unfccc.int/sites/ndcstaging/PublishedDocuments/Ghana%20First/GH_INDC_2392015.pdf

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In 2016, energy sector emissions accounted for 15.02 MtCO2e, representing 79 percent of total national emissions

of 29.28 MtCO2e (excluding net emissions from Forestry and Land Use (FOLU)). Emissions increased by 10.9 percent

relative to 2012 historical national emissions, which were the basis of the NDC BAU projections. The rising emission

trend in the energy sector is driven by the increasing use of liquid fuels in transport and by thermal power generation

for electricity production. Light crude oil was the dominant fuel for electricity generation until 2010, when natural gas

joined the group of fossil fuels, due primarily to its cost effectiveness. The transport category accounted for 48 percent,

followed by the energy industry (35 percent) and manufacturing and construction (7.2 percent).

The relatively low contribution of the energy industry, the manufacturing industry and construction to national emissions

reflects very low exploitation and use of the country’s mineral resource endowments for national development. However,

based on implementation of Ghana’s ambitious national energy infrastructure plan, the accelerated resource-based

industrial development of the national economy’s manufacturing and construction sectors could alter the current

situation. Those sectors could significantly increase energy-related emissions and associated non-energy process-

related emissions, particularly from the metal and non-metallic mineral production categories, by 2030 (see Section 3.2).

3.1 SECTORAL DISAGGREGATED CATEGORIESThe energy sector’s revised BAU and emission reduction projections have considered disaggregated key categories,

increasingly important non-key categories and emerging categories. Both of the latter two could become key by trend/

level by 2030 based on their increasing importance under Ghana’s accelerated economic growth (AEG) agenda.

3.1.1 DISAGGREGATED KEY CATEGORIES

The 2006 IPCC national inventory guidelines’ energy sector disaggregation is provided in Annex 1a. The disaggregated

key categories identified by the key category analysis (KCA) in 2016 NIR 4 and BUR 2 are summarized in Table 1. By

level of contribution, they are:

• 1A3b-road transport and 1A3c-railways under 1A3-Transport;

• 1A1ai-electricity generation (thermal power plants);

• 1A2-maniufacturing and construction industry disaggregated categories; and,

• 1A4b-residential energy-use.

6

3 ENERGY SECTOR

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3.1.2 INCREASINGLY IMPORTANT DISAGGREGATED NON-KEY CATEGORIES

In 2016, emissions from disaggregated non-key categories under 1B2-fugitive emissions in the oil and natural gas

industry, particularly venting and flaring (see Table 1 and Annex 2), represented 0.2 percent of total national emissions.

The small contribution of the oil and natural gas category is attributed to implementation of the national emission

reduction policy on the capture, processing and use of natural gas. This is in accordance with Ghana’s zero-flaring

and venting policy and the substitution of high-carbon intensity light crude oil (LCO) with natural gas in thermal power

generation, as outlined in its LCDS and the NCC master plan.

Another important disaggregated non-key category discussed is 1A1c-manufacture of solid fuel (charcoal and wood

fuel). Both remain the largest primary source of heating fuel in Ghana, accounting for 67 percent of primary energy

in 2016, followed by crude oil (22.8 percent) and natural gas (3.5 percent)2. These solid fuels could be produced as

renewable energy products that could help transform a predominantly non-renewable product (99.5 percent) into an

increasingly renewable one. This could drive agroforestry for renewable biomass production within the charcoal value

chain, offering emission reduction opportunities, and address relevant SDGs (See Section 3.5, MAP 8).

The disaggregated non-key categories under 1A4 – that is, commercial and institutional (1A4a) and residential (1A4b)

- have also been considered based on ongoing energy efficiency and renewable technology transfer programmes

offering significant emission reduction opportunities in the residential, industry and services sectors of the economy

(see Table 1).

3.1.3 EMERGING DISAGGREGATED SECTOR CATEGORIES NOT CONSIDERED IN THE NDC-BAU THAT ARE LIKELY TO BE KEY BY 2030

The energy sector’s disaggregated categories under 1A2 Manufacturing and construction industry category (that is, 1A2a

Ferrous metals - iron and steel from iron ore, and 1A2b non-ferrous metals - aluminium production from bauxite; 1A2c

chemicals - ammonia and petrochemicals from oil and gas, and 1A2f non-metallic minerals - cement from limestone)

were not included in the NDC-BAU in 2015. They could become key categories by 2030 and have also been integrated

in the BAU projections. This is in consideration of Ghana’s increasing commitment to implement its AEG plan under

the emerging policy, Ghana Beyond Aid.

The revised BAU emissions projection for the energy sector has also considered and accounted for disaggregated

categories in industrial processes and product use (IPPU) associated with the emerging energy sector disaggregated

categories. They could become key categories during the NDC implementation period, given their increasing importance

under the AEG scenario. These include 2A1-Cement/clinker production, 2C1 Iron and steel production, and 2C3-

Aluminium production (see Annex 1b and Section 3.4).

Table 1: Energy sector disaggregated key categories, 2016 (Source NIR 4)

IPCC CATEGORY/ECONOMIC SECTORS GAS

STATUS BY TREND/LEVEL ASSESSMENT

EMISSIONS LEVEL (MTCO2E)

CONTRIBUTION TO LEVEL, 2016

KEY CATEGORIES DISAGGREGATION

1A3 1A3b Road transport CO2 L, T 5.92 11.11%

1.A3bi Passenger cars

1.A3bii Light-duty truck

1.A3biii Heavy-duty & buses

1.A3biv Motorcycle

2 NIR 4, 2016 pg. 111 of 318

7

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IPCC CATEGORY/ECONOMIC SECTORS GAS

STATUS BY TREND/LEVEL ASSESSMENT

EMISSIONS LEVEL (MTCO2E)

CONTRIBUTION TO LEVEL, 2016

1A1 1A1ai Electricity generation (thermal power plants) CO2 L, T 5.04 9.46%

1A1ai (a) Light crude oil (LCO)

1A1ai (b) Diesel (No.6 Fuel Oil)

1A1ai (c) Heavy fuel oil (HFO)

1A1ai (d) Distillate fuel oil (DFO)

1A1ai (e) Natural gas (NG)

1A2 Manufacturing industries and construction (existing) CO2 L, T 1.94 3.64%

1.A2a Iron and steel (scrap recycle)

1 A 2bNon-ferrous metals: aluminium production from alumina imports

1.A2c Chemicals

1.A2d Pulp, paper & print

1.A2e Food processing, beverage & tobacco

1.A2i Mining & quarrying

1A3 1A3c Railways CO2 L, T 0.94 1.77%

1A4 1A4b Residential CH4 L, T 0.85 1.59%

IMPORTANT DISAGGREGATED NON-KEY CATEGORIES

1A1 1.A1ci Manufacture of solid fuel (renewable & non-renewable)

1.A1ci (a)Woody biomass for charcoal production (renewable and non-renewable)

N2O, CH4

Non-key 0.096 0.18%

1A4 Other energy consumption categories/demand side

1 A 4a Commercial and Industrial CO2 Non-key 1.08 2.04%

1B Fugitive emissions

1B2 Oil and natural gas CO2 Non-key 0.024 0.05%

IMPORTANT DISAGGREGATED NON-KEY CATEGORIES

1A1 1.A1ci Manufacture of solid fuel (renewable & non-renewable)

1.A1ci (a)Woody biomass for charcoal production (renewable and non-renewable)

N2O, CH4

Non-key 0.0963 0.18%

1A4 Other energy consumption categories/demand side

1 A 4a Commercial and Industrial CO2 Non-key 1.084 2.04%

1B Fugitive emissions

1B2 Oil and natural gas CO2 Non-key 0.0245 0.05%

3 Section 3.6.5.1.1.3 Manufacture of solid fuels (1. A1ci), NIR 4 (2016) page 138.4 Section 3.6.5.4.1 Overview of fuel consumption and emissions in “other sectors”, NIR 4 (2016), page 155.5 Section 3.7.1.1 Emissions from Oil and Natural gas (1.B2), NIR 4 (2016), page 158.

8

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9

IPCC CATEGORY/ECONOMIC SECTORS GAS

STATUS BY TREND/LEVEL ASSESSMENT

EMISSIONS LEVEL (MTCO2E)

CONTRIBUTION TO LEVEL, 2016

EMERGING DISAGGREGATED CATEGORIES LIKELY TO BE KEY BY 2030

1A2Manufacturing industries & construction (on-going and planned under AEG & GIP)

1 A 2aFerrous metals: iron and steel production from iron ore

CO2

1 A 2bNon-ferrous metals: aluminium production from bauxite and alumina

CO2

1 A 2cChemicals: ammonia and fertilizer from natural gas

CO2

1 A 2f Non-metallic minerals: cement from limestone CO2

3.2 REVISED ENERGY SECTOR BAU EMISSIONS PROJECTION The revised energy sector BAU projection is based on both the conventional business-as-usual (BAU) scenario and

an accelerated economic growth (AEG) scenario for 2010-2030. The projections take 2010 as their base year. The

Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) simulation tool has been used for the revised BAU and AEG scenario

projections. This methodology is built on the Energy Commission’s energy sector modelling programme. The LEAP

model has been used to simulate plausible AEG energy demand emission scenarios (see Annex 3).

Preliminary estimates of the electricity supply requirements to meet the AEG demand projections have been conducted

consistent with the LCDS objectives to decarbonize activities throughout the entire economy (see Annex 5). The results

indicate the country’s future electricity supply requirements to achieve the AEG and the transition from the current

energy basket to a mix of hydropower, natural gas, renewable energy and nuclear power by 2030. The substitution of

natural gas for light crude oil (LCO), penetration of renewable energy (RE), and integration of nuclear power are key

strategic mitigation actions that can help to decarbonize the AEG, via equivalent ambitious emission reduction actions

to meet Ghana’s nationally determined commitments under the Paris Agreement.

3.2.1 THE CONVENTIONAL BAU SCENARIO

The conventional BAU scenario is normally based on historical trends (2010-2015) and progress in implementing

sectoral PaMs and the socioeconomic policy goals outlined in the MTDPs. The energy sector PaMs that drive energy

demand include: (a) achieving universal access to the national electricity grid by 2020; and, (b) increasing power

generation capacity to 5,000 MW by 2020 to meet the energy demand, responding to Ghana’s projected socioeconomic

development indicators by 2030, namely:

• population expected to increase from 24.7 million in 2010 to 38 million in 2030, at an average annual rate of 2.17 percent6 ;

• urbanization projected to increase from 50.9 percent in 2010 to 65.0 percent in 2030, at an average annual rate of

1.2 percent; and

• GDP projected to increase at an average annual rate of 7.1 percent, from US$ 32.2 billion (current prices) in 2010 at to

US$ 126.9 billion (current prices) in 2030 7.

3.2.2 THE ACCELERATED ECONOMIC GROWTH (AEG) SCENARIO

The AEG scenario is premised on implementation of the government’s additional PaMs to achieve the Ghana Beyond

Aid vision outlined in the assessment report. They are based on the GIP8, a companion document to the draft Long-term

National Development Plan (LTNDP, 2020-2040) and the President’s Coordinated Programme of Economic and Social

6 Ghana Statistical Service, Ghana Population Projection, October 2014. 7 In the Ghana Long Term National Development Plan (2018-2057) concept paper 2016, real GDP in 2030 would be US$ 29.73 billion. The average annual

growth rate of 7.1 percent from 2010 to 2030 for the BAU scenario is also in line with the Ministry of Finance’s 2017-2019 average annual growth rate of 7.4 percent (with oil) and 5.6 percent (without oil) (20th April 2017 letter, referenced MOF/RSD/ADMIN/03/17).

8 https://s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/new-ndpc-static1/CACHES/PUBLICATIONS/2017/10/24/Presentation1.pdf

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MIL

LIO

N T

ON

NE

S O

F C

O2

30.0

40.0

50.0

70.0

60.0

80.0

90.0

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20302029202820272026

48.2

33.4

50.3

34.4

52.4

35.6

54.9

36.8

57.6

38.0

65.8

39.4

69.7

40.8

69.0

42.4

73.7

44.1

78.6

45.9

83.7

47.8

YEAR

Accelerated Economic Growth Business as Usual

10

Development Policies (CPESDP) for 2017-20249. The revised projections under the AEG scenario are thus driven by

the Ghana Energy and Transport Infrastructure Frameworks; the flagship industrial development initiatives and projects,

including the strategic anchor initiatives, One-District-One-Factory (1D1F), One-Village-One-Dam (1V1D), Planting for Food

and Jobs and Aquaculture for Food and Jobs (AFJ); and, crucially, the energy intensive extractive industry, namely iron

and steel development and the integrated aluminium and clinker/cement industries.

The revised BAU projection refers to industrial process-related CO2 emissions from the mineral (limestone mining and

clinker production) and metal industries (iron and steel and aluminium production). Mineral industry emissions result from

the calcination of carbonate compounds, during which a metallic oxide is formed and CO2 is released.10 The process-

related CO2 emissions from the metal industry, on the other hand, result from the use of carbon as a process reactant

and heat source to drive the chemical reactions involved in the metallurgical processes.11 Both process-related emissions

are in addition to fossil-based electricity demand emissions in the mineral and metal industries. As the Government

of Ghana pursues implementation of its extractive industry development framework, the projected process-related

emissions associated with the industrial sector development would be significant (see section 3.4). These issues were

not considered during formulation of the NDC in 2015.

3.2.3 COMPARISON OF THE TRADITIONAL BAU AND AEG PROJECTION SCENARIOS

This revised BAU and AEG projections approach highlights the challenges of the AEG projected energy and non-energy

process-related CO2 emissions relative to the traditional BAU in achieving the Ghana Beyond Aid vision. It also provides

the basis for decarbonizing the national economy under the AEG, in accordance with the LCDS, to meet the LCDS and

the NCC master plan for emissions reduction. It is intended to form the basis for building national consensus among all

economic development actors, both state and non-state, during the 2020 NDC update and subsequent implementation.

Figure 1 compares emission projections under the BAU and AEG scenarios. The results indicate that the sectoral AEG

scenario may contribute 83.7MtCO2 emissions, compared to the BAU sectoral total of 47.8MtCO2, by 2030. The energy

sector AEG emission projection is substantially higher than the total NDC emission, projected at 73MtCO2-e in 2015.

The share of emissions from electricity demand for the disaggregated key and important non-key categories under the

AEG scenario is discussed in Section 3.3.

Figure 1: Comparison of BAU and AEG emissions projection of electricity demand for 2020-2030

9 Section 4: Final Assessment Report: Potential drivers of future emissions and corresponding emission reduction opportunities that must be reflected in the 2020 NDCs.

10 Industrial processes sector (mineral production category), IPCC 2006 guidelines, Chapter 4: Metal Industry Emissions Section 2.1 pg. 2.6 https://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/pdf/3_Volume3/V3_2_Ch2_Mineral_Industry.pdf

11 Industrial processes sector (metal production category), IPCC 2006 guidelines, Volume 3: Industrial Processes and Product Use, Chapter 4: Metal Industry Emissions Section 4.1 pg. 4.8 https://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/pdf/3_Volume3/V3_4_Ch4_Metal_Industry.pdf

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11

3.3 SHARE OF SECTORAL KEY DISAGGREGATED CATEGORIES AND IMPORTANT NON-KEY CATEGORIES OF AEG PROJECTIONS

Figure 2 shows the trend in share of emissions from electricity demand for the disaggregated key and important non-

key categories from 2020-2030. Table 2 also summarizes the key disaggregated categories with identifiable activities

occurring and those that would occur in Ghana during NDC implementation (2020-2030).

The analysis of the AEG projections indicates the economic sectors that would drive emissions and also provide

technology transfer and emission reduction opportunities. Cumulative sectoral emissions from 2020 to 2030 are

estimated at 684 MtCO2, with annual emissions increasing by 73.8 percent, from 48.181 MtCO2 (2020) to 83.720

MtCO2 (2030).

Residential energy demand will contribute 24.5 percent of cumulative emissions by 2030, followed by the road transport

disaggregated categories, with passenger cars (20.3 percent) and the expanding railway category sharing 10.8 percent.

Residential solar PV systems using mini-wind energy instead of electricity to charge batteries would be a significant

emissions reduction action in the on-going national rooftop solar programmes. Vehicle fuel efficiency, mass public

transport and introduction of electric vehicles would help transform the road transport sector and offer significant

benefits in terms of emission reductions. Transitioning from LCO thermal power generation with NG-power generation,

followed by nuclear energy by 2030, would achieve the decarbonization of energy-intensive extractive industries.

Table 2: Emission contribution (tCO2) of energy sector key disaggregated categories and important non-key categories, from 2020-2030

ENERGY SECTOR KEY AND IMPORTANT NON-KEY CATEGORIES 2020 2025 2030

CUMULATIVE EMISSIONS 2020-2030

% SHARE OFCUMULATIVE EMISSIONS

1A2 Manufacturing and Construction Industries 2,004 8,731 17,567 88,446 12.6%

1A2a Iron and steel 14.8 3,022 7,403 30,072 4.3%

1A2b Integrated aluminium industry (excluding GIADEC (see Section 3.4))

6.4 2,75 6,298 26,676 3.8%

1.A2i Mining & quarrying 1,184 1,661 2,249 18,251 2.6%

Other 799 1,293 1,617 13,447 1.9%

1A3 Transport 17,11 24,096 31,330 261,407 37.1%

1.A.3b Road transport 13,813 17,290 18,716 181,494 25.8%

1.A3bi Passenger cars 10,212 12,843 16,049 142,575 20.3%

1.A3bii Light duty diesel vehicles (LDDVs) truck 1,665 1,958 2,295 21,636 3.1%

1.A3biii Heavy duty diesel vehicles (HDDVs) & buses 1,630 2,151Phased

out13,554 1.9%

1.A3c Railways 3,117 6,475 12,054 76,087 10.8%

Others 185 331 560 3,826 0.5%

1A4 Other 15,249 15,692 16,107 172,581 24.52%

1.A4b Residential 15,242 15,682 16,090 172,464 24.50%

Others 6.24 10.22 16.34 117.11 0.02%

TOTAL (ALL CATEGORIES) 48,181 65,810 83,720 683,927

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Mt

C0

2e

YEAR

70.00

60.00

50.00

40.00

30.00

20.00

10.00

0.002020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20302029202820272026

1A2 Manufacturing and Construction I ndustries 1A4 Other Energy demand/consumption categories1A3 Transport

12

Figure 2: Energy sector AEG emission projections by key disaggregated categories and important non-key categories (2020-2030)

3.4 PROJECTED MINERAL AND METAL INDUSTRIES NON-ENERGY PROCESS-RELATED EMISSIONS AND ADDITIONAL PROJECTED FOSSIL-BASED ENERGY-RELATED EMISSIONS CONSIDERED (NOT INCLUDED IN THE AEG SCENARIO)

3.4.1 PLANNED PRODUCTION OF EXTRACTIVE INDUSTRY UNDER DEVELOPMENT

The CO2 emissions associated with electricity demand from the 2 million-tonne integrated aluminium industry, as well as

non-energy process-related CO2e emissions not included in the AEG and NDC, have been estimated for the emerging

industrial process categories that are either under development and/or being implemented. They include 2A1: Cement

production from limestone12; 2C1: Iron and steel production from iron ore13; and 2C3: Aluminium smelter from bauxite-

alumina plants (See Annex 4). Table 3 provides an overview of the AEG and GIADEC projected production based on the

Ghanaian government’s industrial development programme as outlined in the 1D1F policy and Ghana Beyond Aid vision.

12 0.44Mta cement factory in Buipe, in the northern region of Ghana. The new US$90m project was officially inaugurated https://www.cemnet.com/News/story/156638/savanna-diamond-cement-launches-new-ghana-plant.html The $50 million investment produces one million tonnes of Portland Limestone Cement of 42.5R, 42.5N and 32.5R grades per year at Bokoro, in the Ahanta West District near Takoradi. https://www.graphic.com.gh/news/general-news/president-mahama-inaugurates-cement-factory-in-wr.html

13 Commissioning of US$8m 60,000-tonne capacity iron and steel factory under 1D1F. https://www.graphic.com.gh/news/general-news/ghana-news-80m-iron-steel-factory-commissioned-at-kpone.html // https://www.graphic.com.gh/business/business-news/sod-cut-for-80m-steel-factory-under-1d1f-programme.html

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Table 3 : AEG and GIADEC projected production of cement, iron and steel and aluminium (tonnes), 2020-2030

IPCC DISAGGREGATED CATEGORY 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

2A1 CEMENT PRODUCTION

Limestone mining 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,100

Clinker production 839 839 839 839 839 839 839

2C1 IRON AND STEEL

Iron production 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,667 10,333 12,000

Pig iron production 3,000 3,600 4,200 5,200 6,200 7,200

Steel production 2,400 2,880 3,360 4,160 4,960 5,760

Steel milling production 205 225 245 266 286 2,706 3,216 3,727 4,557 5,388 6,218

2C3 INTEGRATED ALUMINIUM INDUSTRY

Bauxite mining 1,422 1,458 1,494 1,530 1,566 1,602 1,638 1,674 1,710 1,746 1,782

Alumina production 510 522 534 546 558 570 582 594

Aluminium production 120 160 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200

GIADEC projected aluminium production (not included in AEG)

200 200 800 800 1,600 1,600 1,800

3.4.2 ELECTRICITY DEMAND EMISSIONS AND NON-ENERGY PROCESS-RELATED EMISSIONS PROJECTION

Based on the average electricity requirement of 15.5MWh per tonne of aluminium for pre-baked cathode pot operation,

the current aluminium technology, the total natural gas baseload electricity demand for the aluminium smelters for an

additional 1,800kt in addition to VALCO (200kt) is estimated at 27,900 GWh (4,000 MW) by 2030. Based on the derived

CS-NG-thermal power supply carbon intensity (755tCO2/GWh), energy-related emissions are estimated at 21.06 MtCO2

(derived baseline power generation efficiency of 32 percent)14 (see Annex 6).

The industrial process non-energy process-related emissions from important non-key categories as at 2015 are: 2A1:

Cement production from limestone; 2C1- Iron and steel production from iron ore (22.104 MtCO2); and, 2C3: Aluminium

production from alumina - are estimated in Table 4. The three categories under development could potentially contribute

a total of 53.30MtCO2 in energy and non-energy process-related emissions in 2030. Figure 3 gives the non-energy

process-related emissions and additional energy related-emissions from use of NG-based power for GIADEC aluminium

production initiatives. These categories, which were not considered in the NDCs, could potentially become key

categories during the NDC implementation period.

14 Volume 2: Energy, Table 1.3 (2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories) https://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/pdf/2_Volume2/V2_1_Ch1_Introduction.pdf

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Mt

C0

2e

YEAR

60.00

50.00

40.00

30.00

20.00

10.00

0.002020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20302029202820272026

0.97 2.34

9.21

0.44

22.10

53.30

21.06

9.69

0.44

2A1 Cement/Clinker Production - MtCO2

2C1 Iron and Steel Production - MtCO2

2C3 Aluminum Production

1A2b Projected electricity emissions: Aluminium Production under GIADEC-NtCO2-e initiatives (not included in AEG)

Total (1A2b+2A1+2C1+2C3)

14

Table 4: Energy-related and non-energy process emissions projection for extractive industry not included in AEG

DISAGGREGATED CATEGORY UNITS 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

2A1 Cement /Clinker Production

MtCO2 0.436 0.436 0.436 0.436 0.436 0.436 0.436

2C1 Iron and Steel Making

MtCO2 9.21 11.05 12.89 15.96 19.03 22.10

2C3 Aluminium Production

MtCO2-e 0.969 0.969 0.969 0.969 1.94 1.94 4.85 4.85 8.72 8.72 9.69

CO2 MtCO2 0.350 0.350 0.350 0.350 0.700 0.700 1.750 1.750 3.150 3.150 3.500

PFC-CF4 MtCO2-e 0.530 0.530 0.530 0.530 1.061 .061 2.652 2.652 4.774 4.774 5.304

PFC-C2F6 MtCO2-e 0.089 0.089 0.08 0.0889 0.178 177.6 0.444 0.444 0.799 0.799 0.888

Non-energy process-related emissions

MtCO2-e 0.969 0.969 0.969 0.969 2.37 11.58 16.33 18.18 25.12 28.19 32.23

1A2b Energy-related emissions: aluminium production (GIADEC projected)

MtCO2 2.34 2.34 9.36 9.36 18.72 18.72 21.06

Total extractive industry emissions (1A2b, 2A1, 2C1, 2C3)

0.969 0.969 0.969 0.969 4.715 13.925 25.696 27.538 43.847 46.917 53.297

Figure 3: Non-energy process-related emissions and energy-related emissions projection under GIADEC initiatives not included in AEG

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3.4.3 THE GROWING IMPORTANCE OF THE EXTRACTIVE INDUSTRY IN NATIONAL BAU EMISSIONS

The total electricity demand emissions projection (not covered in the AEG projection) and associated mineral and metal

industries process-related emissions from the emerging extractive industry under development – that is, cement, iron

and steel and integrated aluminium industry - is summarized in Table 5. The projected emissions suggest that the

extractive industry could contribute 34.77MtCO2 in energy-related emissions and 32.23 MtCO2 in non-energy industrial

process emissions to Ghana’s BAU emissions. This should be reflected in the 2020 update.

Table 5: Electricity demand emissions and associated non-energy industrial process-related emissions from extractive industries under development (kt CO2-e)

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

CUMULATIVE EMISSIONS 2020-2030

Energy and non-energy emerging emissions (kt)

990.40 992.50 994.70 1,240.9 4,995.03 19,702.13 32,598.33 35,572.53 53,758.53 58,717.23 66,997.83 276,560.12

Energy sector disaggregated categories (see Annex 1a)

1A2 Manufacturing and Construction Industries

1A2aIron and steel (AEG)

14.80 16.70 18.70 20.90 23.10 3,021.70 3,640.20 4,264.80 5,300.60 6,346.60 7,403.40 30,071.50

1A2b

Integrated aluminium industry (bauxite, alumina, aluminium)

6.40 6.60 6.80 250.80 256.70 2,755.20 3,261.80 3,769.40 4,610.80 5,453.50 6,297.60 26,675.60

1A2bGIADEC aluminium production

2,340.50 2,340.50 9,362.00 9,362.00 18,724.00 18,724.00 21,064.50 81,917.50

Energy emission subtotal 21.20 23.30 25.50 271.70 2,620.30 8,117.40 16,264.00 17,396.20 28,635.40 30,524.10 34,765.50 138,664.60

Industrial processes disaggregated categories (See Annex 1b)

2A Mineral Industry

2A1 Cement /clinker production

- - - 436.33 436.33 436.33 436.33 436.33 436.33 436.33 3,054.32

2C Metal Industry

2C1 Iron and steel

9,210.00 11,052.00 12,894.00 15,964.00 19,034.00 22,104.00 90,258.00

2C3 Aluminium production (VALCO & GIADEC)

969.20 969.20 969.20 969.20 1,938.40 1,938.40 4,846.00 4,846.00 8,722.80 8,722.80 9,692.00 44,583.20

Non-energy process-related emissions 969.20 969.20 969.20 969.20 2,374.73 11,584.73 16,334.33 18,176.33 25,123.13 28,193.13 32,232.33 137,895.52

The potentially significant increase in the AEG emissions projection does offer ambitious emission reduction

opportunities in baseload energy generation options to limit emissions from implementation of extractive industry

projects under the industrial development framework. These include nuclear energy (to avoid coal power production

without carbon capture and storage technology) and industrial process optimization and energy efficiency mitigation

technologies in integrated iron and steel production and integrated aluminium industry (including PFCs mitigation in

aluminium smelting operations).

3.4.4 AEG ELECTRICITY GENERATION MIX PROJECTIONS

Annex 5 provides the electricity generation requirements to meet AEG electricity demand projections. The power

generation mix was derived based on the following:

• Hydropower production capacity expansion is limited to 6,950 GWh from 2020, based on remaining limited exploitable

hydropower resources;

• Renewable energy penetration rate will grow steadily to 10 percent of total electricity generation by 2030, in accordance

with Ghana’s SE4ALL national plan and decarbonization of the electricity mix;

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• Natural gas thermal generation will substitute LCO-power generation, with some plants maintaining dual-firing systems

(NG and LCO) for generation security purposes;

• 1,000MW nuclear energy comes on stream by 2029 as part of electricity decarbonization programme, as Ghana

continues to implement its energy and infrastructure frameworks with projected 50,000 MW power installation by

2040; and,

• The national average carbon intensity (MWh/t CO2) has been estimated using three-year NG-only electricity generation

(GWh/y) from 2015-2017, the share of electricity generation emissions of the total national emissions for the period, and

IPCC default NCV (net calorific value) of NG (Annex 6).

The electricity generation required to implement the AEG is estimated at 12,000MW by 2030 (additional capacity is

approximately 7,600MW). Ghana’s electricity mix will shift substantially from hydropower production (37 percent) and

thermal generation (63 percent) in 2018 to hydropower production (6.3 percent), thermal generation (77.2 percent),

renewable energy (10 percent) and nuclear (6.5 percent). Figure 4 presents the electricity mix and carbon intensity

trend, based on the baseline average generation efficiency of 30-32% of NG-fired thermal power plants.

Figure 4: Historical and AEG electricity generation (GWh) mix 2010-2030

EN

ER

GY

GE

NE

RA

TIO

N (G

Wh

)

YEAR

120,000

100,000

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

0.002020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20302029202820272026

Hydro GWh Thermal GWh RE-Solar GWh Nuclear

The carbon intensity of the increasing NG-baseload electricity generation peaks at 0.669 tCO2/MWh in 2021, from

0.252 tCO2/MWh in 2010 when the hydropower fraction was 68.8 percent (2010) and thermal power, 31.2 percent (see

Annex 10 and Figure 5). It decreases gradually to 0.583 tCO2/MWh as solar penetration reaches 10 percent and nuclear

integration reaches 6.5 percent. The increasing carbon intensity with NG-baseload power generation offers emission

reduction opportunities to develop GCF projects that can generate the additional 7,500MW by 2030 by:

• Generating additional NG-thermal power (75,500 GWh) through:

• retrofitting existing single-cycle thermal power plants (30-32%) to combined cycle power plants with benchmark

generation efficiency of 60-62% (see Section 3.5);15

• installation of new combined cycle power plants with benchmark generation efficiency of 60-62%. (see Section 3.5) ;

15 GE Power : Breaking the power plant efficiency record https://www.ge.com/power/about/insights/articles/2016/04/power-plant-efficiency-record

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PE

RC

EN

T E

NE

RG

Y

CA

RB

ON

INTE

NS

ITY

YEAR

100.0% 0.800

0.700

0.600

0.500

0.400

0.300

0.200

90.0%

80.0%

70.0%

60.0%

50.0%

40.0%

30.0%

20.0%

10.0%0.100

0.0%2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20302029202820272026

% Hydro % Thermal % RE-Solar % Nuclear Carbon intensity

17

• 10% RE (11,100 GWh), composed of 75 percent solar PV (8,316 GWh) and 25 percent other (2,773 GWh); and,

• 6.5 percent nuclear (7,200GWh).

Figure 5: Carbon intensity (tCO2/MWh) trend with declining hydropower fraction, 2010-2030

3.5 SECTORAL EMISSION REDUCTION STRATEGIES

3.5.1 SECTORAL EMISSION REDUCTION STRATEGIES ACHIEVED AND INVESTMENTS BY 2019

Ghana has adopted a variety of national and sector mitigation policies to promote achievement of the national

emission reduction commitments in its NDC 2015 and the country’s sustainable development objectives. Energy

sector investments, which have increased since 2015 to implement a National Climate Change Policy and Low Carbon

Development Strategy, that seek to unlock the investment opportunities in mitigation actions16 include:

a. Ramped-up investments $13.2 billion to expand production, processing and use of natural gas, with adoption of the

National Gas Master Plan to back it;

b. Increased annual installed capacity of renewable energy from 2.9 MW in 2013 to 42.7MW in 2017; and,

c. Implementation of the National Railway Master Plan to modernize railway network nationwide by mobilizing $7.8 billion

investments into the 1,394-km rail network.

16 Section 4.2 Policies and measures for the achievement of emission targets Ghana’s Second Biennial Update Report (BUR-2). https://unfccc.int/documents/193159; https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/gh_bur2_rev-2.pdf

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3.5.2 ON-GOING AND PLANNED SECTORAL EMISSION REDUCTION STRATEGIES, 2020-2-2030

Ghana’s carbon emissions would increase substantially relative to the NDCs’ projection of 73 MtCO2e under the AEG

scenario, which is aimed at achieving the Ghana Beyond Aid vision. The ambitious resource-based development during

the NDC implementation period poses both greater emissions-related challenges and emission reduction opportunities,

in accordance with its low-carbon development policies and strategies and Ghana’s emissions reduction master plan.

The identified emission reduction strategies consistent with SE4All, LCDS, and the NCCP master plans for 2020, 2025

and 2030 are outlined in Annex 7. The individual key and non-key categories emission reduction actions to decarbonize

the energy sector (mitigation action plans), and associated GHG emission potentials17 are summarized in Table 6:

MAP-1: 1A1-category: decarbonizing the increasing baseload energy generation from 3,795 MW (2018) to 25,000MW

(2030) as the contribution from hydropower sources declines and natural gas production capacity increases;

MAP-2: scaling-up low-emission factor renewable energy (RE) (on-grid and off-grid utility scale solar PV);

MAP-3: integrating no-carbon energy sources;

MAP-4: Category 1A2 - installing higher efficiency manufacturing and construction industrial plants;

MAP-5: Category 1A3b - decarbonizing road transport;

MAP-6: Category 1A3c - decarbonizing railway transport;

MAP-7: Category 1A4 - energy efficiency and sustainable consumption of residential energy; and,

MAP-8: Category 1 B - oil and natural gas and solid fuels fugitive emissions reduction.

Table 6a: Individual key and non-key categories emission reduction actions and GHG emission potential

MITIGATION ACTION PLAN (MAP)

DISAGGREGATED

CATEGORIES CODESEMISSION REDUCTION ACTION

EMISSION REDUCTION/CONTRIBUTION AVOIDED

ktCO2-E/YR2014-2017

ACHIEVEMENT

MAP-1 1A1 Decarbonizing increasing baseload electricity generation (1A1) in energy industry

1.1 1A1aiNew natural gas thermal power plants at relatively higher prices - alternative to coal/LCO plants

NE

1.2 1A1aiExisting single cycle to combined cycle power plants, raising baseline NG-fired efficiency of 30-32% to 55-60% (old bench mark)

398.5 3.3

1.3 1A1ai Switch from LCO to natural gas NE

1.4 1A1ai Switch from fuel oil to natural gas NE

17 Mitigation Progress Tracker, Ghana’s Second Biennial Update Report (BUR 2), 2019 pgs. 25-27. https://unfccc.int/documents/193159; https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/gh_bur2_rev-2.pdf

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Table 6b: Individual key and non-key categories emission reduction actions and GHG emission potential

MITIGATION ACTION PLAN (MAP)

DISAGGREGATED

CATEGORIES CODESEMISSION REDUCTION ACTION

EMISSION REDUCTION/CONTRIBUTION AVOIDED

ktCO2-E/YR2014-2017

ACHIEVEMENT

MAP-2 Scale-up low emission factor renewable energy (RE)

2.1 Solar PV-RE

2.1.1 Utility-scale renewables (PV/solar PVs, large grid) 27.8 39

2.1.2 Distributed solar PV/ solar home PVs 0.0

2.1.3 Hybrid solar/diesel mini-grid 0.0

2.1.4 Solar LED lamps 0.0

2.1.5 Solar street lights NE

2.2 Other RE

2.2.1 Mini hydro power connected to main grid 6.9 4

2.2.2 Mini hydro power off grid NE

2.2.3 Wind turbines, on-shore 0.0

MAP-3 Integrating no-carbon energy sources

3.1 New nuclear power plant NE

Table 6c: Individual key and non-key categories emission reduction actions and GHG emission potential

MITIGATION ACTION PLAN (MAP)

DISAGGREGATED

CATEGORIES CODESEMISSION REDUCTION ACTION

EMISSION REDUCTION/CONTRIBUTION AVOIDED

ktCO2-E/YR2014-2017

ACHIEVEMENT

MAP-4 1A2 Installing higher efficiency manufacturing and construction industrial plants (1A2)

4.1 1A2aLower energy-intensive primary iron and steel production

NE

4.2 1A2aDecommissioning and replacing existing EAF plants with more efficient unit operations

NE

4.3 1A2bLower energy intensive aluminium smelter/production plants

NE

4.4 1A2bLower energy-intensive cement/clinker production plants

NE

MAP-5 1A3b Decarbonizing road transport

5.1 1A3bi Bus rapid transit (BRT) 0.0

5.2 1A3bi Electric cars (Drive Electric Vehicle Initiative) 0.0

5.3 1A3b (i-iii) Switch from fuel oil to natural gas in industry 0.0

5.4 1A3b (i-iii) Vehicle fuel efficiency improvement NE

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MITIGATION ACTION PLAN (MAP)

DISAGGREGATED

CATEGORIES CODESEMISSION REDUCTION ACTION

EMISSION REDUCTION/CONTRIBUTION AVOIDED

ktCO2-E/YR2014-2017

ACHIEVEMENT

MAP-6 1A3c Decarbonizing railway transport (1A3c)

6.1 1A3c Switch from fuel-oil to electric railway trains NE

MAP-7 1A4 Energy efficiency and sustainable consumption - residential energy

7.1 1A4b Residential lighting

7.1.1 Efficient domestic lighting-LEDs 0.0

7.1.2 Efficient lighting with LEDs replacing CFL 0.0

7.2 1A1aiiiSteam boiler energy efficiency improvement from baseline 70-75% to 85-90% (benchmark)

7.3 1A4b Residential heating efficiency

7.3.1 Efficient wood stoves 8757.9 1200

7.3.2 LPG stoves replacing wood stoves NE

7.3.3 Clean cooking/ Efficient cookstoves (domestic) NE

7.3.4 Clean cooking/ Efficient cookstoves (institutional) NE

7.4 1A4bResidential, commercial and industry cooling efficiency under Kigali amendment

7.4.1 Efficient refrigerators 0.0

7.4.2 Efficient chillers in industry 0.0

7.4.3Efficient air conditioning (Kigali Amendment Response)

NE

MAP-8 1B Oil and natural gas and solid fuels fugitive emissions reduction

8.1 1B2ai & 1B2 aii Reduced venting and flaring in oil production 64.3 2.8

8.2 1B2bi & 1B2 bii Reduced venting and flaring in natural gas 64.3 2.8

8.3 1B3Renewable charcoal production (local consumption)

NE

8.4 1B3 Renewable charcoal production (export) NE

3.5.3 POTENTIAL KEY SOURCES OF INVESTMENT FOR THE IMPLEMENTATION OF SECTORAL EMISSION REDUCTION ACTIONS

Ghana is committed to using its increasing investment to leverage funds from the Green Climate Fund (GCF) to support

implementation of sectoral mitigation projects. Additional resources are envisaged under the G-20 compact with Africa

for Sustainable Economic Development. The Government of Germany has agreed to promote private investments in

renewable energy and vocational training18.

18 Ghana’s Second Biennial Update Report (BUR-2), 2019 pgs. 25-27. https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/gh_bur2_rev-2.pdf // https://unfccc.int/documents/193159

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4 WASTE SECTOR

In general, CH4 emissions from solid waste disposal sites (SWDS) are the largest source of greenhouse gas emissions

in the waste sector. CH4 emissions from wastewater treatment and discharge may also be significant. Incineration and

open burning of waste containing fossil carbon, e.g. plastics, are the most important sources of CO2 emissions in this

sector (2006 IPCC GLs).

The waste sector contributed 3.2MtCO2e to Ghana’s national greenhouse gas emissions in 2016, representing 8 percent

of the national total of overall national emissions of 42.2 MtCO2e.19 Waste sector emissions grew by 17 percent in 2016.

In 2016, methane and nitrous oxide emissions from wastewater treatment and discharge (4D) represented the largest

share (57.98 percent) of total sector emissions, followed by solid waste disposal (36.47 percent), biological treatment

of solid waste (3.06 percent), and incineration and open burning of waste (2.49 percent) (NIR 4, 2019).

4.1 SECTORAL DISAGGREGATED KEY CATEGORIES AND IMPORTANT NON-KEY CATEGORIES

The 2006 IPCC national inventory guidelines disaggregation of the waste sector is provided in Annex 2 key category

analysis (KCA) in the 2o12 NIR 3. The report identified the aggregated 4A-SWDS and aggregated 4D -wastewater

handling as key categories by Level and/or Trend assessment in the waste sector. In 2016, the NIR 4 and BUR 2

reports further disaggregated the categories (see Table 7). In response to UNDP’s request to the author to consider

other important categories which may not be key at present, incineration has been identified as an important source

of energy as the percentage of plastic in waste composition increases, making waste-to-energy resources and sources

of non-biogenic CO2 emissions from plastics as fossil carbon significant.

19 https://unfccc.int/resource/docs/natc/ghanir.pdf

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Table 7: Waste sector disaggregated key categories (2016)

WASTE SECTOR DISAGGREGATED KEY AND NON-KEY CATEGORIES

IPCC 2006 GUIDELINES DISAGGREGATION GAS KCA ASSESSMENT STATUS

EMISSION REDUCTION/CONTRIBUTION AVOIDED

ktCO2-E/YR2014-2017

ACHIEVEMENT

1.0 Disaggregated key categories

1.1 4A-1 SWDS, managed semi-aerobic CH4 L 0.924 1.73%

1.2 4A-2 Unmanaged SWDS CH4 T O.231 1.6%

1.3 4D-1 WWTD-domestic wastewater CH4 L 1.1295 2.43%

1.4 4D-1 WWTD-domestic wastewater N2O L 0.541 1.02%

2.0 Important disaggregated non-key categories

2.1 4B-1 Composting CH4, NO2

Non-key 0.09720 0.18%

2.2 4C-1 Incineration with energy recovery

CH4, NO2

Non-key 0.003 21 0.01%

4.2 WASTE SECTOR BAU EMISSION PROJECTIONS

This section estimates the BAU emissions of the disaggregated key categories and important non-key categories based

on their potential emission reduction opportunities and response to relevant SDGs. The disaggregated key categories

are 4A1, 4A2, 4D1 and 4B, the disaggregated non-key category that would become significant with an expected increase

in recycling and composting plants required to produce fertilizer to meet Ghana’s need for Planting for Food (security)

and Jobs (PFJs).

4.2.1 WASTE RESOURCES WITH VALUE-ADDITION POTENTIAL

The potential waste resources materials-in-transition (MINT) - that is, waste resource streams with potential added-value,

valorisation and revenue generation under Ghana’s national environmental sanitation strategy action plan (NESSAP)

– are shown in Figure 6. Indeed, the food waste resource stream in transition, which is a source of biodegradation,

odour nuisance, and public-health related risks and hazards, is also a potential source of valuable organic materials

for compost and fertilizer for agriculture.

The recovery, processing and reuse of this waste in agriculture, is a driver in developing low- emission municipal

solid waste (MSW) management systems, while addressing very important SDGs: SDG 1-Zero Hunger; SDG

3-Health; SDG 6-Water and Sanitation; SDG 12-Responsible Consumption and production and SDG 13-Climate

Action. Other 3R MINT materials with value-addition and emissions reduction potential include plastics,

textile and paper that pr0vide opportunities for energy and material resource efficiency in recycling plants.

20 Section 6.9.2 Biological treatment of solid waste (4B), page 285, NIR (2019), https://unfccc.int/resource/docs/natc/ghanir.pdf21 Section 6.9.3 Incineration and Open Burning (4C) page 285, NIR (2019), https://unfccc.int/resource/docs/natc/ghanir.pdf

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PE

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(metal, food, paper, textile, plastics)

Non-3Rs MINT

(inert + non-3R plastic)-(kt)

MSW to SWMS (kt)

23

Figure 6: Waste resource streams and potential 3 R-MINT under NESSAP

4.2.2 4A1 AND 4A2 BAU EMISSION PROJECTIONS

4.2.2.1 EMISSION PROJECTION PARAMETERS

Ghana’s LCDS and BUR-2 included waste resources recycling, composting, incineration and SWDS under solid waste

management systems in the BAU and emission reduction projections for 2012-2030 in developing sectoral contributions

to the NDCs. The SWDS was categorized into 80 percent semi-aerobic management and 20 percent unmanaged

shallow (<5m depth). Per capita waste generation was revised from 0.60 KPD in 2012 (LCDS, 2016) to 0.45-0.49 in

BUR-2 and projected the MSW composition. The key activity data for the BAU and emission reduction projection for

category 4A- SWDS (CH4) are summarized in Table 7.

Table 8: 4.A.1 and 4.A.2 BAU emission projection parameters

ITEM UNITLCDS/ FIRM

BASELINE NIR 4 BUR-2 BAU PROJECTIONS

Year 2012 2016 2020 2025 2030

Per capita waste generation KPD 0.60 0.40 0.47 0.49 0.49

Population Millions

4A- SWDS

MSW generation kt 5,674 4,906 5,310 4,786 6,842

Collection efficiency % MSW 82% 82% 90% 95% 98%

Fraction of MSW to SWDS % MSW 80% 80% 85% 90% 98%

SWDS handling types and fractions

4.A.1: Managed with gas collection % SWDS 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

4.A.1: Managed without gas collection % SWDS 0.0%- 0.0%- 0.0%- 0.0%- 0.0%-

4.A.1: Semi-aerobic management %SWDS 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

4.A.2: Unmanaged shallow %SWDS 15% 20% 20% 20% 20%

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CH

4M

tCO

2e

PO

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(M

IL)

YEAR

0.200

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Net-Methane emission - SWDS MtCO2-e

Population Mil

24

Figure 7 shows the BAU emission projection trend based on the BAU emission parameters in Table 8, for a mixed of

unmanaged SWDS and unmanaged, semi-aerobic for 2012-2030 without methane from SWDS without gas recovery.

The emission estimate was based on the IPCC Waste Model (Annex 2). The BAU parameters show solid waste collection

efficiency increasing from about 82 percent in 2016 to 98 percent by 2030. However, solid waste disposal handling

would be limited to operating 20 percent unmanaged shallow SWDS estimated and 80 percent managed, semi-aerobic

SWDS for 2016-2030 (see Table 8) This implies that the methane correction factor (MCF) would not change. SWDS

emissions under the BAU would thus be driven mainly by a projected population increase, a 5 percent per capita

waste generation increase, and a corresponding projected increase of 72 percent of the amount disposed at SWDS.

Additionally, variations in the waste composition projected would affect the emissions levels as food waste declines from

38 percent to 30 percent and the fraction of textile and paper increases by 7-10 percent and 6-8 percent, respectively,

by 2030. Waste inventory in 2020, 2025 and 2030 would be critical to establishing changes in waste composition,

which drives degradable organic content (DOC) and methane generation potential.

Figure 7: BAU emission projections of methane from SWDS without gas recovery

4.2.2.2 TREND ANALYSIS OF SHARE OF SWDS BAU EMISSION PROJECTIONS BY TYPE OF

WASTE RESOURCE

Figure 8 shows the percentage share of historical and BAU emissions of SWDS methane by type of potential 3R

degradable waste resources (food, paper and textile) for 2016-2030. Figure 9 provides the projected food, paper and

textile contributions to the SWDS emission profile. Food waste continues to fall significantly, while paper and textile

increases over the period. Paper and textile recovery and recycling and composting would offer opportunities for

ambitious emission reduction in terms of solid waste disposal activities.

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YEAR

YEAR

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Food - CH4 Paper - CH4 Textile - CH4

Food - CH4 Paper - CH4 Textile - CH4

25

Figure 8: Trend of historical emissions and BAU emission projections (%) by type of degradable 3R waste resources

Figure 9: Trend of degradable waste resources’ (food, paper, textile wastes) share of historical emissions and BAU emission projections, 2000-2030 (MtCO2e)

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4.2.2.3 4A DISAGGREGATED KEY CATEGORIES’ CONTRIBUTION TO SWDS-BAU EMISSIONS

Figure 10 shows the contribution of the disaggregated key categories (managed, semi aerobic and unmanaged

shallow (<5m)) and non-key category (composting occurring during the period) to SWDS BAU emission projections. The

transition from predominantly unmanaged shallow SWDS (MCF-0.4) to the managed, semi-aerobic classification with

relatively higher MCF (0.5) in NIR 4 increased the weighted MCF of SWDS from 0.44 to 0.48. In addition to increased

collection efficiency from 85 percent (2012) to population, this factor is expected to drive BAU emission projections from

0.752MtCO2e (2012) to 1.972MtCO2e, representing a 2.6-fold increase by 2030. This offers key ambitious emission

reduction opportunities, identified in Ghana’s LCDS and highlighted in its BUR-2. They include:

• Increased collection efficiency from 85 percent to 98 percent;

• Reduction of amount deposited at SWDS from 80 percent to 53 percent;

• Phase-out of unmanaged and managed, semi-aerobic SWDS by 2030;

• Investment in 24 engineered SWDS to treat 1.785Mt MSW with 40 percent methane gas capture facilities; and,

• Investment in installation of 3R- plants to recover, recycle, and reuse 3R-MINT from 35 percent total MSW generated,

delivering 1,278 Mt of compost by 2030.

Figure 10: Share of SWDS BAU emissions by disaggregated key categories and critical non-key category

Total emissions

YEAR

MtC

O2e

4 A 1 Managed, semi aerobic (Mt CO2e)

4 A 2 Unmanged, shallow<5m (Mt CO2e)

4B- Composting (MtCO2e)

-

0.500

1.000

1.500

2.000

2.500

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

4 A 1 Managed, semi aerobic ( MtCO2e) 4 A 2 Unmanged, shallow<5m (Mt CO2e) 4B- Composting (MtCO2e) Total Emissions

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4.3 SECTOR MAPS AND EMISSIONS REDUCTION PROJECTIONThis section presents a summary of emission reduction opportunities under the mitigation actions identified in Ghana’s

LCDS and highlighted in the BUR-2 under the key disaggregated categories 4.A.1, 4.A.2, 4.D.1 and the important non-key

category 4B-composting that occurs at 3R solid waste resource plants. Figure 11 presents a detailed material balance for

the baseline and specific mitigation actions identified in Ghana’s LCDS and highlighted in the BUR-2. The actions include:

• 4A1: collection efficiency increased from 85 percent to 98 percent, amount of MSW deposited at SWDS reduced from

80 percent to 53 percent, and 24 engineered managed SWDS built and operating to treat 1.785Mt MSW with 40 percent

methane gas capture facilities;

• 4A2: unmanaged, and managed, semi-aerobic SWDS phased out by 2030 and replaced with managed sites only by

2030;

• 4B: 3R-plants to recover, recycle, and reuse 3R-MINT waste resources installed and operating in accordance with

NESSAP principles from 0.11 percent (2012) to 35 percent total MSW generated, delivering 1,278 Mt compost and 0.48Mt

plastics with added value by 2030; and,

• 4D: institutional human waste anaerobic digester-septage treatment plants (AD-STPs) with methane capture to phase

out septic tank emissions directly to the atmosphere.

Figure 11: Mitigation actions: Material balance of 3R-MINT waste resources

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4.3.1 MSW MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS (SWMS) EMISSION REDUCTION PROJECTION PARAMETERS

The parameters of the individual mitigation actions in Table 9 have been quantified using the constructed detailed

material balance provided in Figure 11. The material balance provided the basis for verifying the availability of the

mitigation technologies’ requisite capacities for the managed SWDS with/without gas recovery, recycling and compost

plants, and incineration. The emission reduction actions (see Table 10) are driven by the National Environment

Sanitation Strategy Action Plan (NESSAP), the low-carbon development strategy (FIRM) and the NCC Master Plan.

Table 9: Waste sector mitigation action parameters

ITEMMANAGEMENT AND

DISAGGREGATED CATEGORIESUNIT

BASELINE MITIGATION TARGETS

2012 2016 2020 2025 2030

1 SWDS handling efficiency improvement

1.1 Reduced MSW amount deposited at SWDS % 80% 80% 78% 68% 53%

1.2 Increased collection efficiency % MSW 85% 85% 93% 98% 98%

2 Ambitious transformational SWDS technology deployment by disaggregated key categories

2.1 4A-1Increased managed SWDS w/gas collection

%MSW 0.0% 0.0% 6% 12% 26%

Decreased managed SWDS w/o gas collection

%MSW 0.0% 0.0% 15% 29% 27%

Phased-out managed, semi-aerobic

%MSW 2% 2% 12% 34% 0%

2.2 4A-2 Phased out unmanaged SWDS %MSW 56% 20% 15% 10% 0%

2.2 4D-1Institutional human waste bio

digestion with biogas recovery

% institutional human waste treated and

3 Important disaggregated non-key categories

3.1 4BIncreased recycling and compost Plant

%MSW 0.11% 0.11% 10.0% 25.0% 35.0%

3.2 4C-1Relatively low penetration of incineration with energy recovery

%MSW 1.7% 1.7% 2.0% 2.5% 7.0%

4.3.2 SECTOR DISAGGREGATED KEY CATEGORIES EMISSION REDUCTION ACTIONS AND PROJECTIONS

The relevant data for the mitigation actions for individual SWDS key categories 4A-1 and 4D are presented in the GACMO

model (originally developed by UNEP-DTU) data set (see Table 10). It summarizes information on the individual actions

used to estimate GHG emissions reduction for each key category and critical non-key categories. Table 10 provides an

overview of potential GHG emission reductions under the LCDS, the NCCP master plan and NESSAP.

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Table 10: Revised sector mitigation actions and cumulative emission reduction potential by 2020

IPCC 2006 guidelines categories Emission

reduction technologies

Baseline Mitigation action

Cumulative unit PenetrationTOTAL plant capacity

Baseline emission projected

Mitigation action cumulative emission (2012-2030)

Cumulative emission reduction (2012-2030)

No of plants 2030

20302012-2030

TotalGas recovery

Net emissions

Net emissions

Net emissions

WASTE SECTOR2016 Sub-

type unit

2020 2025 2030kt MSW/y

MtCO2e /year

MtCO2e /year

MtCO2e /year

MtCO2e /year

MtCO2e /year

MtCO2e /yearkt/y

1 Disaggregated key categories

4A Solid waste disposal on land

4A1 Managed waste disposal sites (SWDS)

Increased managed SWDS and landfill gas collection and utilization

5.4 230 t MSW /day

3

24 752 25.269 27.343 10.937 16.406 -8.863 -8.863

200 t MSW /day

7 14

4D1 Anaerobic digester septage treatment plants adopted in NDC

Treatment and discharge of institutional sources of human waste/sewage with biogas capture and use

2 Important disaggregated non-key categories

4B Biological treatment of solid waste

4 B-1

Solid waste composting and other biological treatment

Increased composting of MSW organic waste resources

500 t w Compost /day

1 1 1 3 1,425 25.269 25.005 NA 25.005 -0.26 -0.26

500 t w Compost /day

1 2 2 5 2,380 25.269 24.902 NA 24.902 -0.37 -0.37

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0.500

1.000

1.500

2.000

2.500

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

BAU Emissions MtCO2e Total SWDS Transition to Managed Sites MtCO2e

Gas Recovery MtCO2e Net Emission for transition to Managed SWDS MtCO2e

t

YEAR

MtC

O2e

BAU Emissions (Mt CO2e)

Gas Recovery (Mt CO2e)

Net Emission for transition to Managed SWDS

Total SWDS Transition to Managed Sites

30

4.3.2.1 4A1 DISAGGREGATED KEY CATEGORY EMISSION REDUCTION PROJECTION CONTRIBUTION

The revised SWDS emission reduction projection is estimated for the transition from 4A2: Unmanaged shallow (<4m)

(56 percent) and 4A1: Managed, semi-aerobic (44 percent) in 2012 to 100 percent 4A1: Managed SWDS in 2030. Of that,

49 percent would have integrated methane gas collection and use and 51 percent would be without gas collection. The

emission reduction potential for this individual mitigation action relative to the BAU is given in Figure 12.

The total cumulative emission reduction by 2030 is estimated at 8.8 MtCO2-e. This could be achieved by

establishing and operating a mix of total of 230t/day (three) and 200t/day plants (21) with total operating

capacity of SWD 0.752 Mt/y by 2030. A more ambitious emission reduction option would involve

increasing the managed sites from three plants to five by 2030, with total capacity of 2.380Mt MSW.

Figure 12: Annual SWDS emission reduction projection relative to business-as-usual from 2019-2030

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0.500

1.000

1.500

2.000

2.500

20122013

20142015

20162017

20182019

20202021

20222023

20242025

20262027

20282029

2030

Maximum Aggregate/weigthed MCF Unmanaged shallow weighted MCF

Managed, semi-aerobic weighted MCF Managed weighted MCF

YEAR

Met

han

e C

orr

ecti

on

Fac

tor

Unmanaged shallow weighted MCF

Maximum Aggregate/weigthed MCF

Managed, semi-aerobic /weighted MCF

Managed weighted MCF

31

The projected SWDS emission trends are consistent with the generally observed increase in methane emissions, with

improved efficiency of collection and transition to managed, engineered SWDS. This is because the weighted MCF that

determines the level of methane emission increases with penetration of managed systems (Figure 13) from 2012-2030.

The installation of engineered SWDS without gas recovery thus results in emissions above the BAU.

The projected cumulative emissions from the phase-out of unmanaged and managed, semi- aerobic to fully-managed

SWDS in 2030 is estimated at 27.343 MtCO2-e, compared to BAU emissions of 25.269 Mt CO2-e for the same

2012-2030 period (see Table 10). Improved SWDS management responds to relevant sustainable development

goals SDG 3-Health, SDG 6-Water and Sanitation, and SDG 12-Responsible consumption and production. However,

SDG 13-Climate action contribution to the NDC commitment is achieved only by integrating gas recovery, resulting

in 10.937MtCO2-e cumulative emissions reduction from 27.343MtCO2-e to 16.406 MtCO2-e by 2030. Indeed,

the most ambitious mitigation action would be to incorporate gas collection in all managed SWDS development

to maximize the contribution of the 4A1 -SWDS category to the NDC commitment under the Paris Agreement.

Figure 13: Trend of weighted MCF of methane emission with increasing fraction of managed SWDS

4.3.2.2 4 B: COMPOSTING AND 3R-MINT RECYCLE EMISSION REDUCTION OPPORTUNITIES

The potential contribution of the waste sector to the NDC emission reduction commitment has been broadened to

include composting under 4B biological treatment of solid waste as an important non-key category. This is based

on the increasing adoption of SWDS recycling and compost plants to meet the organic fertilizer needs under the

government’s PFJs policy. Composting facilities for organic fractions are a significant value-addition to the organic

MSW load resources that could limit the amount of food waste disposed at managed SWDS and reduce equivalent

emissions from such engineered landfill sites.

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0.500

1.000

1.500

2.000

2.500

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

Ambitious compost-Net emissions / Mt CO2e BUR-less ambitious compost-net emissions / Mt CO2e

BAU emissions W/O compost plants / Mt CO2eYEAR

MtC

O2e

BUR-less ambitious compost-net emissions (Mt CO2e)

Ambitious compost-Net emissions (Mt CO2e)

BAU emissions W/O compost plants (Mt CO2e)

32

The net emissions contribution of the 4B category to the waste sector emissions reduction through composting 35

percent MSW by 2030 has been estimated by comparing SWDS BAU emissions and emissions from SWDS without

the 35 percent MSW to compost, as well as emissions from methane and nitrous oxide from the compost. The revised

mitigation action considered the recommended 3No 5oot/day plants with composting capacity of 1500 t/day (1.425 Mt

MSW per year) by 2030 and an ambitious 5No 500t per day with total operating composting capacity of 2500t per day

by 2030, equivalent to 2.38Mt MSW processing. The potential net emissions reduction (after accounting for composting

emissions) relative to BAU by 2030 are 0.954 MtCO2-e for the BUR-target and 1.466 MtCO2-e for the revised ambitious

target, representing 3.8 percent and 5.8 percent emission reduction respectively (see Figure 14).

Figure 14: Net emission reduction potential from 3R-composting plants’ mitigation actions relative to BAU

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5 SECTORAL EMISSION REDUCTION STRATEGIES AND KEY STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENTS

To facilitate the achievement of Ghana’s NDC goals for 2020 -2030 under an AEG scenario, a clearly defined

iterative process for the collection and analysis of additional data and information and provisions for feedback

must be put in place. This will allow key stakeholders (including government, private sector and non-governmental

entities) to engage fully in helping to prepare new plans/updates of existing energy and waste sectors’ NDC

implementation plans, including the allocation of sectoral emissions and reduction contributions/targets. This

process should clearly demonstrate Ghana’s commitment to nationally appropriate and ambitious mitigation

actions commensurate with the country’s AEG efforts to achieve Ghana’s Beyond Aid vision.

Annex 8 and Annex 9 provide a list of some of the key energy and waste sector stakeholders respectively. Other

key stakeholders include government ministries, departments and agencies, and metropolitan, municipal and

district assemblies.

6 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

6.1 CONCLUSIONS

ENERGY SECTOR

The AEG emissions projections approach has been used instead of the traditional BAU emissions projection

methodology. The AEG envisages the country’s future development ambition under Ghana Beyond Aid, which is driven

by the goal of bridging the gap between Ghana’s resource endowment and resource use industrialization envisaged

under the national GIP frameworks. This approach is deemed to better reflect Ghana’s potential to meet its relevant

SDGs, including SDG13 - Climate action, while offering emissions reduction opportunities consistent with the national

LCDS and NCCP implementation master plan.

The existing disaggregated key categories as well as the increasingly important disaggregated non-key categories

and emerging disaggregated non-key categories could become key by trend/level or both by 2030 under Ghana’s

accelerated economic growth (AEG) agenda.

Based on the NIR 4 (2016) and the AEG projected emissions from energy demand required for to implement Ghana’s

future industrialization development agenda, which seeks to bridge resource endowment and resource use, some energy

sector disaggregated key categories by level of contribution to national total emissions have been identified. They

include: 1A3b-road transport and 1A3c-railways, 1A1ai-electricity generation (thermal power plants), 1A2-manufacturing

and construction industry disaggregated categories, and 1A4b-residential energy-use. The following increasingly

important categories could also become key by trend/level or both by 2030: 1A1ci-Manufacture of solid fuel (renewable

and non-renewable charcoal); 1A4a Commercial Industrial energy end-use. Emerging categories that could become

key as a result of on-going and planned mineral and metal industry programmes and projects under AEG are: 1A2-

Manufacturing Industries and Construction categories (planned under AEG & GIP), specifically 1A2a-Ferrous metals:

Iron and steel production from iron Ore; 1A2b -Non-ferrous metals: aluminium production from bauxite and alumina;

and 1A2f-non-metallic minerals - cement from clinker and limestone (see Section 3, Table 1).

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34

Revised projected energy sectoral emissions accounting for energy sector disaggregated categories that could

become key by 2030 are significantly higher than total national BAU emissions projected in the 2015 NDC.

The energy sector emissions projection based on the AEG scenario resulted in 83.7 MtCO2 energy-related emissions

and an additional 32.23 MtCO2 from associated non-energy process-related emissions industrial process emissions, as

well as 21.06 MtCO2 of energy emissions from GIADEC projected production that is not included in the AEG projections

(see Figure 3). The AEG projection is significantly higher compared to the revised traditional sectoral BAU projection

(47.8MtCO2) by 2030 (see Figure 1). This is because the AEG emissions projection considered the production profiles

(see Table 3) of planned and ongoing programs and projects (see 3.4.1 footnote on page 17) in the extractive industry

(1A2- Manufacturing and construction categories envisaged under the AEG and GIP frameworks (see Annex 1a).

Challenges related to activity data availability, data gaps and high uncertainties contribute to the exclusion of the

extractive industry sector emissions projection from the NDC 2015.

Important data gaps exist in GHG emissions-related activities that should be considered in the construction of the 2020

NDC BAU emission projections. They relate essentially to the planned and on-going implementation of the frameworks

under the GIP and the President’s CPESDP (2017-2024), an Agenda for Jobs: Creating Prosperity and Equal Opportunity,

developed in the assessment report. The activity data challenges and high uncertainty explain why they were excluded

from the 2015 NDC.

Planned and on-going decarbonization and emission reduction programmes (transition to NG & integration of nuclear

power) in baseload energy generation offer opportunities for ambitious LCD of on-going and planned energy-intensive

extractive industries under the AEG.

Electricity generation and supply required to meet baseload power for the extractive industries under the manufacturing

and construction categories is projected to reach 110,890 GWh. This is composed of: 77.2% predominantly NG-thermal

power plants given limited hydropower expansion; 10% renewable energy target under the SE4ALL programme; and,

6.5% nuclear power integration in 2030; and 6% hydropower. This implies that power generation will increase from

4,889MW in 2018 to 12,000MW in 2030, a 2.5-fold increase in energy production (see Annex 3).

On-going and planned decarbonization strategies in the national electricity generation system (see Section 3.5 Table

6a) could help achieve LCD of energy-intensive extractive industries. These strategies include switching from light crude

oil (LCO) thermal power generation to combined cycle NG-thermal (CCGT) power generation with increasing natural

gas production in Ghana (see Section 3.4.4 para 34). The transition could improve current country-specific average

thermal power baseline efficiency estimated at 30-32 percent (see Annex 6) to a recently demonstrated benchmark

efficiency of 62-65 percent for the additional projected 7000MW NG-thermal power plant. Other strategies include 10

percent renewable energy (RE) penetration (1800MW), followed by 1000MW nuclear energy by 2030. This is in keeping

with the LCDS, with the aim of achieving the NDC commitments to the Paris Agreement.

Ghana has an opportunity to use its increasing investments in low-carbon intensity NG-baseload power generation to

leverage GCF resources. This would help achieve reasonable power tariff rates for desired low carbon development

for its on-going and planned extractive industries.

The average national grid end-user tariff of 10-15 cents per kWh for the period 2009-2018 (Ghana Energy Statistics,

2019) is much higher than the economic rates of 5-7 cents per kWh for many extractive industry plants. However, Ghana

has been making significant energy sector investments to decarbonize the energy sector. The increasing sectoral

investments since 2015 in implementing a National Climate Change Policy and Low Carbon Development Strategy

include ramp-up investments of $13.2 billion to expand the production, processing and utilisation of natural gas under

the adopted National Gas Master Plan (see Section 3.5.1).

Thus, Ghana has the opportunity to leverage on-going and planned investments in low carbon intensity NG-baseload

power generation for green climate funds (GCF) so as to achieve the desired power tariff rates for low carbon

development of its emerging extractive industries (see Annex 1b and Section 3.4).

Solar and wind hybrid renewable energy (RE) in residential energy supply-side and energy efficiency measures in

transport offer significant emission reduction opportunities.

Residential energy demand will contribute 24.5 percent of cumulative emissions by 2030, followed by passenger cars

(20.3 percent) in the road transport category and the expanding railway category at 10.8 percent. Residential solar PV

systems with mini-wind energy to charge batteries instead of relying on electricity would be a major emission reduction

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programme to foster ongoing national rooftop solar programmes. Improved vehicle fuel efficiency, mass public transport

and introduction of electric vehicles would transform the road transport sector and reduce emissions significantly.

Ghana’s projected GHG emissions could substantially increase relative to the NDC projection of 73 MtCO2e under

the adopted AEG scenario. This would require creating adequate facilitative and enabling environment to implement

the ambitious sectoral mitigation action plans (MAPs).

Ghana’s carbon emissions could increase substantially relative to the NDC projection of 73 MtCO2e under the AEG

scenario, which is aimed at realizing the Ghana Beyond Aid vision. The ambitious resource-based development during

the NDC implementation period does pose higher emissions-related challenges, but also provides emission reduction

opportunities as outlined in the country’s mitigation action plans (see Section 3.5 Table 6a) in keeping with Ghana’s

low-carbon development policies and strategies and Ghana’s NCC emission reduction master plan.

WASTE SECTOR

The waste sector’s revised BAU emissions projection identified disaggregated key categories and important non-key

categories based on their potential for emission reduction opportunities and response to relevant SDGs, particularly SDG

6 - Water and sanitation and SDG 13 - Climate action. The disaggregated non-key category would become significant

with the expected increase in recycling and composting plants required to produce fertilizer to meet Ghana’s need for

the PFJs programme. The concept of MINT as waste resources has been highlighted as a key driver of value-addition

and emission reduction in traditional waste management practices.

The disaggregated key categories include methane emissions from both managed (semi-aerobic) and unmanaged

solid waste disposal sites, as well as methane and nitrous oxide emissions from waste water treatment and discharge

activities. The very important disaggregated non-key categories within the sector identified are 4B-composting under

biological treatment of solid waste and the increasing bio-digestion of institutional and commercial sewage generation

for biogas production.

Biodegradable waste materials are sources of odour nuisance and public-health related risks and hazards. However,

they remain important food waste resources stream in transition as potential source of valuable organic materials for

compost and fertilizer production for agriculture. Composting facilities for organic fractions are a significant value-

addition to the organic MSW load resources that could limit the amount of food waste disposed at managed SWDS

and reduce equivalent emissions from such engineered landfill sites.

Phasing out of unmanaged and managed, semi aerobic with fully managed -engineered SWDS, which constitutes the

key sectoral mitigation actions plans (MAPs) must include methane capture and use to increase Ghana’s emission

reduction goal in the sector.

The projected solid waste disposal site emissions trend is consistent with the generally observed increase in methane

emissions, with improved efficiency of collection and the transition to managed, engineered SWDS. This is because

the weighted methane correction factor that determines the level of methane emission increases with the penetration

of managed systems from 2012-2030. Accordingly, projected cumulative emissions from the phase-out of unmanaged

and managed, semi-aerobic to fully managed SWDS in 2030 is estimated at 27.3 MtCO2e, compared to BAU emissions

of to 25.27 Mt CO2e for the same period of 2012-2030. The phasing out of unmanaged and managed, semi aerobic

with fully managed engineered SWDS, which constitutes the key sectoral mitigation actions plans (MAPs), must include

methane capture and use to increase Ghana’s emission reduction goal in the sector.

6.2 RECOMMENDATIONSThe following recommendations are based on the conclusions outlined in Section 6.1. They are presented to facilitate

the revision of Ghana’s NDC in 2020.

ENERGY SECTOR

An energy sector AEG scenario emissions projection should be developed and considered when the country’s NDC

is revised in 2020. This recommendation is made following: (i) the Government of Ghana’s strong commitment to

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implement the energy and transport infrastructure frameworks under the GIP developed in the assessment report;

(ii) the enabling legislation passed by the Parliament of the 4th Republic; (iii) the national institutions’ arrangement

to implement the extractive industry program under 1D1F and their indicative production plans; and, (iv) ongoing

establishment of iron and steel industries and cement/clinker plants. The EPA and the Energy Commission should carry

out this recommendation.

Based on their roles and responsibilities, the key stakeholders in the extractive industry - particularly the Ministry of

Planning and Monitoring, Ghana Integrated Aluminium Development Corporation (GIADEC), Ghana Iron and Steel

Development Authority (GISDA) and the Minerals Commission - should be mandated to provide the necessary activity

data to address the existing data gaps and associated high uncertainties in the mineral and metal industries. This will

improve confidence in the emissions accounting, based on approved implementation plans and programmes or other

relevant documents, in order to calculate comprehensive 2020 NDC update BAU emission projections. The provision

of data should be enforced/supervised by the EPA under the existing national climate action MRV system and the

NDPC’s Annual Progress Report.

Through its Ministries of Energy and Petroleum and Environment, Science, Technology and Innovation, the Government

of Ghana should ensure that the emission reduction opportunity offered by natural gas thermal power generation

technologies, which can increase the current baseline efficiency of power plants from approximately 30-32 percent to

60-65 percent – constituting the new benchmark for combined cycle efficiency for economy-wide decarbonization - is

leveraged with resources from the Green Climate Fund (GCF) to support implementation of Ghana’s unconditional NDC

commitments under the Paris Agreement.

The EPA CC Unit and the NDPC, in conjunction with relevant stakeholders including the Energy Commission, should

increase awareness among policymakers and decisionmakers at all relevant levels of government and the private

sector, as appropriate, of opportunities for emission reduction and direct green investments in the economy’s energy

sector. This initiative will help drive and sustain national will, commitment and buy-in to the natural gas master plan for

base-load power generation in the medium term, the 10 percent renewable energy penetration and nuclear power

generation in the country’s energy mix by 2030.

Through its Ministries of Energy and Petroleum and Environment, Science, Technology and Innovation, the Government

of Ghana should facilitate and create an enabling environment to implement the sectoral decarbonization MAPs outlined

(see Section 3.5) by the identified stakeholders (see Annex 8) in accordance with the SE4All, LCDS, and NCCP master

plan implementation programmes.

WASTE SECTOR

Based on their respective roles and responsibilities, the Ministry of Local Government and Rural Development,

Environmental Protection Agency and MMDAs should work collaboratively to ensure that the policy to phase out

unmanaged and managed, semi-aerobic and adopt fully managed SWDS must necessarily include methane capture

and use in the development of all managed solid waste disposal sites.

While the emission reduction potential within the waste sector appears small, the relevant institutions and

agencies identified above must make every effort to work together to ensure that the sector’s MAP is implemented

comprehensively, as their outcomes yield multiple development benefits. These include achieving important sustainable

development goals such as SDG 1 - Zero Hunger; SDG 3 - Good Health and well-being, SDG 6 - Water and sanitation;

and SDG 12 - Responsible consumption and production in the recovery, reuse and recycling of waste resource MINT,

such as metal, plastics, textile and paper.

The Government of Ghana must drive and support the increasing adoption of SWDS recycling and composting plants

to meet the organic fertilizer needs under the government’s PFJs policy, in accordance with the NESSAP principles as

a major MAP. This will help to deliver about 1,278 Mt of compost and 0.48Mt of plastics by-products with added value

by 2030.

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ANNEX

ANNEX 1A:2006 IPCC NATIONAL GHG INVENTORY GUIDELINES - ENERGY SECTOR DISAGGREGATED CATEGORIES

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ANNEX 1B:2006 IPCC NATIONAL GHG INVENTORY GUIDELINES – INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES AND PRODUCT USE (IPPU) DISAGGREGATED CATEGORIES

ANNEX 2: 2006 IPCC NATIONAL GHG INVENTORY GUIDELINES - WASTE SECTOR DISAGGREGATED CATEGORIES

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ANNEX 3: ENERGY SECTOR AEG ELECTRICITY DEMAND EMISSIONS PROJECTION (KT CO2)

IPCC Codes

Energy Sector Categories 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

1A2Manufacturing and Construction Industries

2,003.88 2,113.72 2,226.55 2,593.65 3,002.16 8,731.29 10,022.54 11,324.63 13,389.68 15,470.33 17,567.44

1A2a Iron and Steel 14.80 16.70 18.70 20.90 23.10 3,021.70 3,640.20 4,264.80 5,300.60 6,346.60 7,403.40

Iron Ore Mining 104.80 125.80 146.90 182.00 217.10 252.30

Pig Iron (primary) Production

2,492.60 2,993.40 3,495.00 4,330.50 5,167.30 6,005.50

Steel Production 199.4 246.1 295.3 376.1 461.2 550.9

Steel Mills and Fabrication

14.8 16.7 18.7 20.9 23.1 224.9 274.9 327.6 412 501 594.7

1A2b Integrated Aluminium Industry

6.40 6.60 6.80 250.80 256.70 2,755.20 3,261.80 3,769.40 4,610.80 5,453.50 6,297.60

Bauxite Mining 6.4 6.6 6.8 7 7.2 7.4 7.5 7.7 7.9 8.1 8.3

Alumina Production 243.8 249.5 255.2 260.9 266.7 272.4 278.1 283.8

Aluminium Production/VALCO

2,492.60 2,993.40 3,495.00 4,330.50 5,167.30 6,005.50

1.A2c Chemicals 12.36 13.77 15.18 16.59 17.99 19.4 21.08 22.75 24.43 26.1 27.77

1.A2dPulp, Paper & Print 9.78 10.84 11.89 12.93 13.96 14.98 16.36 17.72 19.08 20.42 21.75

1.A2e Food Processing, Beverage & Tobacco

335.08 365.25 395.85 426.87 458.33 490.22 534.21 578.81 624 669.8 716.19

1.A2f Non-metallic Minerals 254.92 254.92 254.92 254.92 254.92 254.92 254.92

Limestone Mining 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.5

Clinker Production 233.42 233.42 233.42 233.42 233.42 233.42 233.42

1.A2i Mining & Quarrying 1,183.70 1,244.49 1,307.73 1,380.82 1,478.08 1,661.44 1,764.03 1,869.75 1,992.76 2,119.24 2,249.34

1.A2j Wood & Wood Products 114.52 120.65 126.89 133.23 139.68 146.23 155.02 163.95 173.03 182.25 191.63

1.A2k Construction 259.22 262.41 265.6 268.8 271.99 275.18 278.38 281.57 284.76 287.96 291.15

1.A2l Textiles & Leather 68.02 73.01 77.91 82.71 87.41 92.02 96.54 100.96 105.3 109.54 113.69

1A3 Transport 30,928.34 32,805.74 34,747.72 36,819.13 19,028.66 41,386.55 43,902.97 41,778.03 44,344.82 47,112.71 50,045.75

1.A3ai International Aviation Bunkers

1.A3aii Domestic Aviation 179.89 203.68 229.76 258.36 289.68 323.99 361.55 402.66 447.63 496.81 550.57

1.A.3b Road Transport

1.A3bi Passenger cars 10,212.15 10,715.19 11,212.06 11,731.75 2,274.88 12,842.51 13,435.29 14,053.86 14,687.73 15,360.54 16,048.56

1.A3bii Light-duty truck 1,664.95 1,719.95 1,776.76 1,835.39 1,895.83 1,958.07 2,022.10 2,087.89 2,155.41 2,224.62 2,295.48

1.A3biii Heavy-duty & buses

1,629.58 1,721.91 1,819.83 1,923.67 2,033.77 2,150.50 2,274.24

1.A3biv Motorcycle 306.17 312.68 319.25 325.86 332.5 339.14 345.77 352.35 358.85 365.26 371.53

1.A3c Railways 3,117.38 3,656.90 4,256.11 4,921.01 5,658.20 6,474.88 7,378.93 8,378.99 9,484.51 10,705.81 12,054.20

1A3d Water-Borne Navigation

1.A3dii Domestic water-borne navigation

5.37 5.7 6.05 6.42 6.82 7.24 7.69 8.18 8.7 9.25 9.84

1A 4Other Energy Demand/Consumption Categories

15,248.73 15,347.74 15,439.77 15,522.61 15,607.02 15,691.95 15,777.97 15,865.74 15,944.26 16,028.63 16,106.59

1.A4a Commercial/ Institutional 6.24 6.9 7.62 8.42 9.28 10.22 11.25 12.36 13.58 14.9 16.34

1.A4b Residential 15,242.49 15,340.84 15,432.15 15,514.19 15,597.74 15,681.73 15,766.72 15,853.38 15,930.68 16,013.73 16,090.25

ANNUAL TOTAL (All Categories) 48,180.95 50,267.20 52,414.04 54,935.39 37,637.84 65,809.79 69,703.48 68,968.40 73,678.76 78,611.67 83,719.78

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ANNEX 4: NON-ENERGY PROCESS EMISSIONS AND ELECTRICITY DEMAND EMISSIONS PROJECTIONS (GIADEC PROGRAMME) FOR THE EXTRACTIVE INDUSTRY (MT CO2E) NOT INCLUDED IN THE AEG

Disaggregated Category Units 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

2A1 Cement /Clinker Production

Production kt 839.1 839.1 839.1 839.1 839.1 839.1 839.1

IEF (CO2) t/t 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52

Total Non-energy process-related emissions

Mt CO2 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44

2A1 Cement /Clinker Production

Production

Pig Iron kt 3000 3600 4200 5200 6200 7200

Steel Production

kt 3000 3600 4200 5200 6200 7200

Implied Emission factors (IEFs-CO2)

Blast Furnace-IEF-CO2

t/t 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35

OHF-Steel Making-IEF CO2

t/t 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72

EAF-IEF-CO2 t/t 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08

Non-Energy Process Emissions

Pig Iron kt 4050 4860 5670 7020 8370 9720

Steel Making kt 5160 6192 7224 8944 10664 12384

Total Non-energy process-related emissions

MtCO2 9.21 11.052 12.894 15.964 19.034 22.104

2C3 Aluminium Production

Production

VALCO kt 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200

GIADEC kt 200 200 800 800 1600 1600 1800

Total kt 200 200 200 200 400 400 1000 1000 1800 1800 2000

Implied Emission factors (IEFs-CO2)

IEF-CO2 t/t 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75

IEF-PFC-CF4 kg/t 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4

IEF-PFC-C2F6 kg/t 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04

GWP-CO2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

GWP-PFC-CF4- 6630 6630 6630 6630 6630 6630 6630 6630 6630 6630 6630

GWP-PFC-C2F6 11100 11100 11100 11100 11100 11100 11100 11100 11100 11100 11100

Non-Energy Process Emissions

CO2 kt 350 350 350 350 700 700 1750 1750 3150 3150 3500

PFC-CF4 kt 530.4 530.4 530.4 530.4 1060.8 1060.8 2652 2652 4773.6 4773.6 5304

PFC-C2F6 kt 88.8 88.8 88.8 88.8 177.6 177.6 444 444 799.2 799.2 888

Total Primary Aluminium Emissions

Mt CO2-e

0.969 0.969 0.969 0.969 1.94 1.94 4.85 4.85 8.73 8.73 9.69

TOTAL NON-ENERGY PROCESS-RELATED EMISSIONS

0.969 0.969 0.969 4.715 2.37 11.58 16.33 18.18 25.12 28.19 32.23

1A2b NG-Energy-related emissions for GIADEC programme not included in AEG

Energy Supply projections

MWh 3.100 3,100 12,400 12,400 24,800 24,800 27,900

NG-IEF (CO2) -3-year average

tCO2/GWh

755 755 755 755 755 755 755

Energy-related Emissions

MtCO2 2.34 2.34 9.36 9.36 18.72 18.72 21.06

TOTAL EXTRACTIVE INDUSTRY EMISSIONS [not included in AEG)

MtCO2 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 4.715 13.93 25.67 27.54 43.85 46.92 53.30

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ANNEX 5: DECARBONIZED ELECTRICITY SUPPLY ESTIMATION TO MEET AEG DEMAND PROJECTIONS

YEAR

1A1-Energy Industry emissions

1A1a Electricity Emissions

Total Generation Hydro Thermal Electricity Total RE

Solar PV (75%)

Other REs (25%) Nuclear

Installed and Projected Capacity

Additional Annual Generation Capacity

Mt CO2 tCO2 GWh GWh % Total GWh % Total GWh % Total GWh GWh GWh% Total

MW @85% Capacity Utilization

Historical electricity generation

2010 2.83 2,646,915 10,167 6,995 68.8% 3,172 31.2% 0.00% - - - - 2,165 -

2011 2.91 2,720,868 11,200 7,561 67.5% 3,639 32.5% 0.00% - - - - 2,170 -

2012 3.52 3,287,616 12,024 8,071 67.1% 3,953 32.9% 0.00% - - - - 2,280 -

2013 3.58 3,350,693 12,870 ,233 64.0% 4,637 36.0% 3 0.02% 2.3 0.8 - - 2,831 -

2014 3.47 3,247,499 12,963 8,387 64.7% 4,576 35.3% 4 0.03% 3.0 1.0 - - 2,831 -

2015 3.72 3,474,648 11,491 5,844 50.9% 5,647 49.1% 3 0.03% 2.3 0.8 - - 3,656 -

2016 5.15 4,813,389 13,023 5,561 42.7% 7,462 57.3% 27 0.21% 20.3 6.8 - - 3,795 -

2017 10.62 6,380,505 14,067 ,61 39.9% 8,451 60.1% 28 0.20% 21.0 7.0 - - 3,795 -

2018 12.27 7,722,895 16,246 6,017 37.0% 10,229 63.0% 33 0.20% 24.8 8.3 - - 4,398 -

AEG projections

2020 48.18 48,180,950 63,816 6,950 10.9% 56,547 88.6% 319 0.5% 239.3 79.8 - - 7,854 2,965

2021 50.27 50,267,200 66,579 6,950 10.4% 58,963 88.6% 666 1.0% 499.0 166.4 - - 8,189 336

2022 52.41 52,414,040 69,423 6,950 10.0% 61,084 88.0% 666 2.0% 1,041.3 347.1 - - 8,484 295

2023 54.94 54,935,390 72,762 6,950 9.6% 63,629 87.4% 1,388 3.0% 1,637.1 545.7 - - 8,837 353

2024 57.64 57,637,840 76,342 6,950 9.1% 66,338 86.9% 2,183 4.0% 2,290.2 763.4 - - 9,21 376

2025 65.81 65,809,790 87,165 6,950 8.0% 75,857 87.0% 3,054 5.0% 3,268.7 1,089.6 - - 10,536 1,322

2026 69.70 69,703,480 92,322 6,950 7.5% 79,833 86.5% 5,539 6.0% 4,154.5 1,384.8 - - 11,088 552

2027 68.97 68,968,400 91,349 ,950 7.6% 78,004 85.4% 6,394 7.0% 4,795.8 1,598.6 - - 10,834 -

2028 73.68 73,678,760 97,588 6,950 7.1% 82,831 84.9% 7,807 8.0% 5,855.3 1,951.8 - - 11,504 670

2029 78.61 78,611,670 104,121 6,950 6.7% 80,600 77.4% 9,371 9.0% 7,028.2

2,342.7 7,200 6.9% 11,195 -

2030 83.72 83,719,780 110,887 6,950 6.3% 85,648 77.2% 11,089 10.0% 8,316.5

2,772.2 7,200 6.5% 11,896 701

Source of 1A1 Historical CO2 Emissions 2010-2016 (NIR 4,2019); Source of Historical power generation data, 2010-2018 (Energy Commission 2019 Energy Statistics)

ANNEX 6: COUNTRY-SPECIFIC CO2 INTENSITY OF NATURAL GAS -THERMAL POWER GENERATION (TONNE CO2 PER MWH) ESTIMATION, 2012-2014

PARAMETER UNITS 2012 2013 2014 3-YEAR CS- AVG

COUNTRY-SPECIFIC NG THERMAL POWER GENERATION -CO2-EMISSION FACTOR (TCO2/GWH)

1A1-Energy industry emissions (NIR 4) Mt CO2 3.52 3.58 3.47 3.52

1A1a NG-based ONLY electricity generation emissions (93.5% 1A1) tCO2 3,287,616 3,350,693 3,247,499 3,295,269

Total electricity generation GWh 12,024 12,870 12,963 12,619

NG-ONLY THERMAL GENERATION GWh 3,953 4,635 4,572 4,387

% NG ONLY THERMAL GENERATION % 32.9% 36.0% 35.3% 34.7%

Carbon intensity of the NG thermal generation (Country specific)

tCO2/GWh 831.7 722.9 710.3 755

COUNTRY-SPECIFIC NG -THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION EFFICIENCY

Total thermal energy generated Tj 14,231 16,686 16,459 15,792

NG-CO2 emission per energy generation by thermal plants tCO2/Tj 231 201 197 209

Net calorific value of NG tC/Tj 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5

CO2 emission per energy generation @ 100% efficiency tCO2/Tj 64.2 64.2 64.2 64.2

Average Thermal Energy Conversion Efficiency (Country-Specific)

Tj @100% Efficiency/ Actual Tj

28% 32% 33% 31%

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ANNEX 7: ENERGY SECTOR EMISSION REDUCTION STRATEGIES

MITIGATION ACTION PLAN (MAP)

DISAGGREGATED CATEGORIES CODES

EMISSION REDUCTION ACTION

SUB-TYPE UNIT

PLAN OF IMPLEMENTATION (POI)

EMISSION REDUCTION/AVOIDED CONTRIBUTION

2020 2025 2030 ktCO2-e/yr.

2014-2017 ACHIEVEMENT

MAP-1 1A1 Decarbonizing increasing baseload energy generation (1A1) in Energy Industry

1.1 1A1ai New natural gas thermal power plants at relatively higher prices- Alternative to Coal/LCO plants

MW 6,800 7,236 7,389 NE

1.2 1A1ai Existing single cycle to combined cycle power plants raising baseline NG -fired efficiency of 30-32% to 55-60% (old bench mark)

100 MW increase

3.3 3.3 3.3 398.5 3.3

1.3 1A1ai Switch from LCO to natural gas

350MW 19.276 NE

1.4 1A1ai Switch from fuel oil to natural gas

1 MW 0 100 0

MAP-2 Scale up Low Grid Emission Factor Renewable Energy sources

2.1 Solar PV-RE

2.1.1 Utility-scale renewables PV/solar PVs, large grid

1 MW 50 150 250 27.8 39

2.1.2 Distributed solar PV/ solar home PVs

50 W 50,000 100,000 200,000 0.0

2.1.3 Hybrid solar/diesel mini-grid 40 kW from solar

5 50 138 0.0

2.1.4 Solar LED lamps 1000 lamps 500 1000 2000 0.0

2.1.5 Solar street lights 0.05 MW 500 500

2.2 Other RE

2.2.1 Mini hydro power connected to main grid

1 MW 50 150 300 6.9 4

2.2.2 Mini hydro power off grid 1 kW 50 NE

2.2.3 Wind turbines, on-shore 1 MW 20 50 150 0.0

MAP-3 Integrating No-carbon energy sources

3.1 New nuclear power plant

MW 1000 NE

MAP-4 1A2 Installation of higher efficiency manufacturing and construction industrial Plants (1A2)

4.1 1A2a Lower energy-intensity primary Iron and steel production

NE

4.2 1A2a Decommissioning and replacement of existing EAF plants with more efficient unit operations

NE

4.3 1A2b Lower energy intensive aluminium smelter /production plants

NE

4.4 1A2b Lower energy intensive Cement/Clinker production plants

NE

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43

MITIGATION ACTION PLAN (MAP)

DISAGGREGATED CATEGORIES CODES

EMISSION REDUCTION ACTION

SUB-TYPE UNIT

PLAN OF IMPLEMENTATION (POI)

EMISSION REDUCTION/AVOIDED CONTRIBUTION

2020 2025 2030 ktCO2-e/yr.

2014-2017 ACHIEVEMENT

MAP-5 1A3b Decarbonizing of Road Transport

5.1 1A3bi Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) 1 km BRT line

55 100 200 0.0

5.2 1A3bi Electric cars (Drive Electric Vehicle Initiative)

1000 cars 0 0 0 0.0

5.3 1A3b (i-iii) Switch from fuel oil to natural gas in industry

100 TJ fuel use/year

50 50 50 0.0

5.4 1A3b (i-iii) Vehicle fuel efficiency improvement

MAP-6 1A3c Decarbonizing railway transport (1A3c)

6.1 1A3c Switch from fuel-oil to electric railway trains

NE

MAP-7 1A4 Energy efficiency and sustainable consumption - Residential energy

7.1 1A4b Residential lighting

7.1.1 Efficient domestic lighting-LEDs

1000 Bulbs 2,500 5,000 7,000 0.0

7.1.2 Efficient lighting with LEDs replacing CFL

1000 Bulbs 13,000 13,000 13,000 0.0

7.2 1A1aiii Steam boiler energy efficiency improvement from baseline 70-75% to 85-90% (benchmark)

7.3 1A4b Residential heating efficiency

7.3.1 Efficient wood stoves 1000 stoves 100 500 2,000 8757.9 1200

7.3.2 LPG stoves replacing wood stoves

1000 stoves 10 50 134 NE

7.3.3 Clean cooking/efficient cookstoves (Domestic)

500,000 500,000 1,200,000 NE

7.3.4 Clean cooking/efficient cookstoves (Institutional)

1,200 7,000 8,000 NE

7.4 1A4b Residential, commercial and industry cooling efficiency under Kigali-amendment

7.4.1 Efficient refrigerators 1000 refrigerators

200 1,000 2,000 0.0

7.4.2 Efficient chillers in industry 1000 refrigerators

200 1,000 2,000 0.0

7.4.3 Efficient air conditioning (Kigali-Amendment Response)

1000 Air conditioners

120.0 700.0 1,800.0 NE

MAP-8 1B Oil and natural gas, and solid fuels Fugitive emissions reduction

8.1 1B2ai & 1B2 aii

Reduced venting and flaring in oil production

1 MMSCF/day

118 200 200 64.3 2.8

8.2 1B2bi & 1B2 bii

Reduced venting and flaring in natural gas

1 MMSCF/day

118 200 200 64.3 2.8

8.3 1B3 Renewable charcoal production (local consumption)

100,000 tonne charcoal/yr.

94,017 93,947 100,877 NE

8.4 1B3 Renewable charcoal production (export)

100,000 tonne charcoal/yr.

59,550 100,000 78,000 Ne

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44

ANNEX 8: ENERGY SECTOR STAKEHOLDERS

SOLAR22

NO NAME ADDRESS, PHONE & EMAIL PLANT LOCATION PLANT CAPACITY PLANT TYPE

1 Greengen Sg Ghana Ltd P.O.Box. YK860, Kanda, Accra. 0207149021 GomoaFetteh, Gomoa East, Central Region

20MW Solar

2 Turkuaz Energy Limited Movenpick Ambassador Hotel, Emporium, Independence Avenue Ridge. +233 (0) 302745555 [email protected]

Navrongo, Upper East Region

50MW Solar

3 Savanna Solar Limited P.O.Box AF491, Adenta, Accra. +233 (0) 200792676 [email protected]

Kusawgu, Northern Region

150MW Solar

4 Volta River Authority Electro-Volta House, 28th February Road. P.O.Box MB77, Accra (SITING PERMIT). +233 (0) 30266037 [email protected]

Navrongo, Upper East Region

2MW Solar

5 Energy Resources Projects Ghana

P.O.Box GP 1791, Accra-Ghana. +233 (0) 302979012 [email protected]

Prampram, Greater Accra Region

10MW Solar

6 Reroy Energy Ltd P.O. Box AN 8503, Accra North. +233 (0) 303305273 [email protected]

Kpone, Greater Accra Region

50MW Solar

7 Atlas Business and Energy Systems

PMB 4 TUC Post Office Accra Ghana. +233 (0) 302682417 [email protected]

Dawhwenya, Ningo- Prampram Greater Accra Region

10MW Solar PV

8 Raana Energy Ghana Ltd P.O. Box KA 9244 Airport Accra. +233 (0) 303234382 [email protected]

Buipe, Northern Region 100MW Solar PV

9 HEA Solar Limited Trade Fair Site, LA, P.O. Box T.F 549 Accra. +233 302 963588 [email protected]

Sankana Nadowli District Upper West Region

100MW Solar PV

10 Total Petroleum Ghana Limited Head Office, Total House, 25 Liberia Road, Accra. P.O. Box 553, Accra, Ghana +233 (0) 302611530; [email protected]

Zebilla, Upper East Region

20MW Solar

11 Total Petroleum Ghana Ltd Head Office, Total House, 25 Liberia Road, Accra P. O. Box 553 , Accra, Ghana

Tumu, Upper West Region

20MW Solar

12 Fast Power Solutions H/N C 143 Tema (Community 3) P. O. Box CT 2559, Cantonments Accra. 0204002015

Ningo-Prampram, Greater Accra Region.

5MW Solar

13 Orion Energy Ghana Limited P.O. Box GP21060, GPO, Accra +233 (0) 244828897, [email protected]

Tsopoli, Greater, Accra Region

75MW Solar

14 Savannah Accelerated Development Authority (SADA)

P.O. Box TL883, Tamale; +233 (0) 302772000; [email protected]

Gushie, Northern Region

40MW Solar

15 Savannah Accelerated Development Authority (SADA

P.O. Box TL883, Tamale; +233 (0) 302772000; [email protected]

Gushie, Northern Region

40MW Solar

16 Selexos Power Ghana Limited P.O. Box CT 3675 Cantonments-Accra, Ghana. +233 (0) 302763980 [email protected]

Tarkwa, Western Region 30MW Solar

17 Scatec Solar Ghana Limited Upper Floor, 11 Lamb Street, Adabraka, Accra. +233 (0) 302264453 [email protected]

Ningo, Greater Accra Region

50MW Solar

18 Volta River Authority Electro-Volta House,28th February Road. P.O.Box MB77, Accra +233 (0) 30 266037; [email protected]

Lawra, Upper West Region

4MW Solar

19 Volta River Authority Electro-Volta House, 28th February Road. P.O.Box MB77, Accra; +233 (0) 30266037; [email protected]

Lawra, Upper West Region

70MW Solar

20 Avior Energy Ghana Ltd HNo. U85, Tema Com. 8; P. O. Box KS 1227, Tema. +233 (0) 205140518 [email protected]

Nante, Brong Ahafo Region

70MW Solar

21 Wilkins Engineering Ltd P.O.Box KA 9314, Airport, Accra, +233 (0) 302235671, [email protected]

Yendi, Northern Region 5MW Solar

22 Sun Investment Ghana Limited P.O.Box KN 239, North Kaneshie, Accra/Sege, Greater Accra Region; +233 (0) 246218508; [email protected]

Sege, Greater Accra Region

100MW Solar

23 Alpha Power Ghana Limited P.O.Box ST 438, Accra. +233 (0) 202540542 [email protected]

Buipe, Nothern Region 100MW Solar

22 http://www.energycom.gov.gh/files/ENERGY_STATISTICS--2019.pdf

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NO NAME ADDRESS, PHONE & EMAIL PLANT LOCATION PLANT CAPACITY PLANT TYPE

24 Solaris Kage Ghana Ltd P.O.Box KN 2663 Kaneshie. Accra. +233 (0) 547342081 [email protected]

Koforidua, Eastern Region

5MW Solar

25 Great West Solar House No. ;H/N F/2396, Labadi-Osu Road P.O.Box 8962, Accra

Sambu, Northern Region

50MW Solar PV

26 Great West Solar House NO. ;H/N F/2396 Labadi- Osu Road P.O.Box 8962, Accra

Zabzugu, Northern Region

20MW Solar PV

27 Great West Solar House No. ;H/N F/2396, Labadi-Osu Road P.O.Box 8962, Accra

Zabzugu, Northern Region

20MW Solar

28 IEDG Ghana Limited HNO. A410/4 3RD Loop 7TH Sakumo Crescent, Lartebiokorshie, Accra, Ghana P.O.Box LT 721, Lartebio

Tema, Greater Accra Region

20MW Solar

29 Umawa Arkolia West Africa P.O.Box KA 16261 KIA - Accra HNo. 37 Adabraka, Amusudai Road

Ahiasan/Kaasi, Ashanti Region

5MW Solar

30 Ada Solar Energy Ltd P.O.Box 14916 North Accra. +233 (0) 283700000 [email protected]

Ada, Ada East District, Greater Accra Region

50MW Solar PV

31 Energyone P.O.Box YK 1530 Kanda-Accra. +233 (0) 203301202 [email protected]

Pakyi No.2 Amansie West, Ashanti Region

157MW Solar PV

32 Hermon Renewable Energy Solutions Ltd

Plot 34 Kotobabi No. 2 Batsonaa-Accra, P.O.Box TN 2127 Accra. +233 (0)302815824; [email protected]

Shai Hills Greater Accra Region

40MW Solar PV

33 Global Innovative Consulting Ltd HNo. 18, Wood Lane, Ayigbe town, Accra P.O.Box KN 464 Accra. +233 (0) 263999881/+233 (0) 27823335936 [email protected]

Tamale, Northern Region

50MW Solar PV

34 Whitecap Development Limited D68, C18 Salamander close Sakumono - Accra. P.O.Box AT 154 Achimota Accra. +233 (0) 244777380 [email protected]

Zoggu, Savelugu Nanton. Nothern Region

100MW Solar PV

35 Kwamoka Energy Ghana Ltd P.O.Box KS 6416 Kumasi. +233 (0) 208110828; [email protected]

Kwamang, Jeduako, Asanti Region

50MW Solar PV

36 Axcon Group Ltd HNO,92 Site C Danfa, Accra P.O.Box AN.263, Accra- North Ghana. 0277473839

Volta Region 20MW Solar

37 Sanwar Blue Ray Ghana Limited P.O.Box NM 256 Nima-Accra Ghana Tel: 0302241258. Number 1/24 Faanofa Link Kusuntu Line Kokomlemle, Accra

Mankpan, Northern Region

1000MW Solar

38 Meinergy Technology Limited P. O. Box CT 11045 Accra House/Plot Number: Unnumbered House near OIC School, Travi Township Cantoment, Accra

Onyandze, Central Region

20MW Solar

39 Gushie Northern Solar Company Limited

F28/8b Fifth Circular Road Extension Labone Accra P. O. Box CT 6449 Cantonments, Accra Ghana. +233 (0) 302766832

Gushie, Northern Region

20MW Solar

40 Budimpeks Holdings Limited First Floor Central Block Pentagon University of Ghana - Accra. +233 (0) 20 451 1231

Dawa, Greater Accra Region

15MW Solar

41 Upwind Ayitepa Odam House C875A/3 Kanda Highway Extension, Accra. P. O. Box KA 9116, Accra. Ghana

Ayitepa, Greater Accra Region.

20MW Solar

42 Green Electric Power Ghana P. O. Box CT 860 Cantoments, Accra Ghana. +233 (0) 202077700. [email protected]

Tamale, Northern Region

40MW Solar

43 Tropical Power Ghana Limited PMB MD 2010 Madina, Accra. Old AOCL Building, after Kpong Power House, Torgome, Akuse. +233 (0)549940606 / +233 (0)544314619 [email protected]

Akuse, Eastern Region 10MW Solar

44 Kajulu Energy Ghana Limited P.O.Box CT 3140 Cantonments, Accra, Ghana No. 01/19 Madina Market. +233 (0)274 69 8511 [email protected]

Gushie, Northern Region

50MW Solar

45 Whitecap Development Limited P.O.Box AT 154,Accra, Ghana No. D68 Community 18, Salamander Close, Tema. +233 (0) 24477 7380. [email protected]

Tampion Within Savelugu/Nanton Municipality, Northern Region

100MW Solar

46 Windiga IDC Energy Ltd Hse. No. 7 Oyarifa Street East legon, Accra P.O.Box AN 8204, Accra-North. +233 (0) 302 22 4612 +233 (0) 303 22 1171

Tilli, Upper East Region 20MW Solar

47 Perfect Company Electricity Limited

Elite Apartment, Emmanuel Street, Shiashie East Legon. P.O Box CT 11045, Cantonments Accra. +233 (0) 247680590. eaughana.gmail/ hotmail.com/[email protected]

Adidome, central Tongu District, Volta Region

25MW Solar PV Plant

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NO NAME ADDRESS, PHONE & EMAIL PLANT LOCATION PLANT CAPACITY PLANT TYPE

48 TFI Power Company Limited 48 Blohum 2nd Floor Dzorwulu Accra P.O. Box KIA 117

Accra Ghana. +233 (0) 547007033 +233 (0) 302769559 [email protected]

Mahe-Obom, Ga Dangme District, Greater Accre Region

60MW Solar

49 Allied Power Ghana Ltd Locational Address H/N 564/3 Coconut Avenue-Accra. Postal Address P. O. Box GP20841 Accra, Ghana

Bui hydro power plant 100MW Solar

50 Fast Power Solutions H/N C 143 Tema (Community 3) P. O. Box CT 2559 Cantonments Accra

Ningo-Prampram, Greater Accra Region

5MW Solar

51 Wawa Energy Solutions Limited House No. 1 Kay Billie Klaer Academy, East Legon Accra. 2 Kay Billie Klaer Academy, East Legon. Ghana. [email protected]

Jawiah, Upper West Region

20MW Solar

52 Sunrise Power Development Limited

House No. 574/3 Coconut Avenue Asylum down Accra. P.O Box GP 20841 Accra. 0560823242 [email protected] / [email protected]

Teye Kwame, Shai Osudoku, Greater Accra

20MW Solar PV

53 BTSA Buipe Solar Limited H/No. 13/18 Doboro Road Opposite BlueSkies Nsawam, Greater Accra Region. 0303962196 [email protected]

Buipe, Brong-Ahafo Region

20MW Solar

54 Cape Coast Marina City Limited C470/26 Avery Scott Abotsi Street, East Legon Accra; P.O. Box 118 Accra. +223 (0) 244724307 / +223 (0) 244724307 / +233 (0) 504504504 [email protected]

Dehia, Cape Coast North District, Central Region

200MW Solar

55 Planet Core Ghana Limited No. 4, Airport Residential Street, Agbaamo Street; P.O. Box MP 4117, Accra. 0261346661 / 0302782028 [email protected]

Mafi Zongo, Central Tongu District, Volta Region

20MW Solar

56 Armbo Power & Renewable Energy Limited

Plot 0143 Papao-Haatso Numoo Nii Sai Avenue Accra; P.O. Box WY 1180, Kwabenya - Accra. 0244111592/ 0266322786 / 0541153938 [email protected]

Dawa, Dangme East District, Greater Accra Region

100MW Solar

57 UDM Power Stelin House North Industrial Area Accra; P.O Box AN 6354 Accra

Sokode Ando; Ho District - Volta Region

200MW Solar

58 Energy Green Power Ghana Ltd H/No. M88 Kwame Ofori Close, Airport West Accra; P.O. Box AN 12050, Accra Ghana. +233 (0) 202011122

Kokoligu - Lawra District; Upper West Region

100MW Solar (Concentrated Solar Power)

59 Axcon Energy Limited H/No. W/E White House Dodowa Road, Adamorebe, Oyibi Accra P.O Box KY 1488, Kanda Accra. +233 (0) 270888835/+233 (0) 244656555 [email protected]

Asiekpe, Volta Region 20MW Solar

60 Sinohydro Ghana Limited PMB CT 152 Accra GA/R. Airway Street, Airport Residential Area, Accra. 0302781870 0249424099 0247367396 [email protected]

Carpenter, Bole District, Northern Region

50MW Solar PV Plant

61 TTE ENERGY GHANA LIMITED H/No 21, Asylum Down; 3rd Crescent Road – Accra, P. O. Box GP 1365, GA/R Accra. +233 302230705

Ofoase Kokoben, Ashanti Region

25MW Solar PV Plant

62 TTE ENERGY GHANA LIMITED H/No 21, Asylum Down; 3rd Crescent Road – Accra, P. O. Box GP 1365, GA/R Accra. +233 302230705

Nsuta, Ashanti Region 25MW Solar PV Plant

63 Crossboundary Energy Ghana Limited

H/No 6, Airport Residential Area – Accra. Postal Address: P. O. Box CT 6217, Cantonments-Accra. +233 302770447/ +233 553588195 [email protected]

Accra; Unilever Ghana Breweries Limited

1.4MW Solar PV Plant

64 Crossboundary Energy Ghana Limited

H/No 6, Airport Residential Area – Accra. Postal Address: P. O. Box CT 6217, Cantonments-Accra. +233 302770447/ +233 553588195 [email protected]

Accra; Guinness Ghana Breweries Limited

1.0MW Solar PV Plant

65 Northpark Power Limited Plot No. 128, Near Coca Cola Roundabout, Spintex Road, P. O. Box MP 1487, Accra +233 207369027/ +233 206369462 [email protected]

Bolgatanga, Bolgatanga District, Upper East Region

100MW Solar PV

66 Northpark Power Limited Plot No. 128, Near Coca Cola Roundabout, Spintex Road, P. O. Box MP 1487, Accra. +233 207369027/ +233 206369462 [email protected]

Tamale, Tolon District, Northern Region

200MW Solar PV

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NO NAME ADDRESS, PHONE & EMAIL PLANT LOCATION PLANT CAPACITY PLANT TYPE

67 RD Savannah Solar Ghana Limited

Plot No. 18 South West McCarthy Hill, P. O. Box GP 17166, Accra. +233 263711121 / +233 276090873 [email protected]

Daboya, West Gonja District, Northern Region

200MW Solar PV Plant

68 Habadul Energy Ghana Limited Hno. 452, Malabul Avenue, East Legon. Accra P .O . Box CT 197 Cantoment Accra. +233 (0) 266364618 [email protected]

Osudoku 260MW Solar PV plant

69 ISO Energy Ghana Limited P.O.Box SC 152, Sekondi HNo. A7/2 SSNIT Flat. 0244456424 0244475505 [email protected]

Pigu 45MW Solar PV

70 Crossboundary Energy Ghana Limited

H/No 6, Airport Residential Area – Accra. Postal Address: P. O. Box CT 6217, Cantoments-Accra. +233 302770447/ +233 553588195 [email protected]

Accra; Kasapreko Company Limited

1.3MW Solar PV Plant

71 Crossboundary Energy Ghana Limited

H/No 6, Airport Residential Area – Accra. Postal Address: P. O. Box CT 6217, Cantoments-Accra. +233 302770447/ +233 553588195. [email protected]

Accra; Coca-Cola Bottling Company Limited

1.3MW Solar PV Plant

72 Simbrofo Light Ghana Limited H/No.10 Lower McCarthy Hill, Winneba Road, Accra; P.O. Box AN 6475 Accra North. 020 421 8532 / 0302923818

Gomoa Simbrofo, Central Region

20 MW Solar PV

73 Siginik Energy Limited P.O. Box CS 9125 Tema. 0573 236943 / 0246 442626

Bodi, Bole District; Northern Region

50MW Solar PV

74 Saltpond Solar Ltd. P.O Box WJ 845 Weija-Accra, H/No. 30 Professor Mills Bypass, Aplaku Old Barrier Accra. +233 (0) 243171761 / (0) 244266182 [email protected]

Saltpond, Mfantseman District, Central Region

40MW Solar PV

75 Oak lynk limited P.O Box SK 1080 Sakumono, Green Oak Street, Huni Akrowa, Katamanso, Ghana +233 (0) 244380359 [email protected]/ [email protected]

Katamanso (Tema), Greater Accra Region.

55MW Solar PV

76 Ultimate Trust Holdings Limited P.O Box 9233 Accra, Cargo Door, Kotoka International Airport Accra. +233 (0) 207050060 /+233 (0) 201622594

Kpone-Katamanso District of the Greater Accra Region.

20MW Solar PV

77 Mere Power Nzema Limited No. 100, Off Cantonments Road,PMB CT 40 Cantonments, Accra Ghana. +233 (0) 302730390 [email protected]

Awiaso-Akpandue, Western Region

155MW Solar

78 All Afra Electric Company Limited

Plot 3 Block 5, Dadeban Road North Industrial Area, Accra P.O.Box 5766, Accra-North. +233 (0) 302222 958/ +233 (0) 3022236572

Savelugu, Northern Region

20MW Solar

79 BXC Company Ghana Ltd P.O.Box 5273 Kaneshie, Accra. +233 (0) 244321288 [email protected]

Gomoa Onyadze, Central Region

20MW Solar

80 All-Africa Energy Limited HNO.8Onyianase Lane, Accra P.O.Box GP 22361, Accra, Ghana. +233 (0) 576301591

Apirede Akuapim, Eastern Region

2MW Solar

81 Yingli Namene West Africa Ltd. H/No. 33/55 near the Commercial Bank, Alogboshie Link Accra; P.O. Box 9335 K.I.A, Accra Ghana. 0302 776638 / 0263 706080 [email protected]

Kpong, Lower Manya Krobo District, Eastern Region

50MW Solar

82 Halo International Ghana Limited

H/N 2 10th Street, New Achimota Accra. P. O. Box 6373 Accra-North. 0261550166 / 0262650058; [email protected]

Prampram Greater Accra Region

20MW Solar

TOTAL 5,255 MW

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WIND

NO NAME ADDRESS, PHONE & EMAIL PLANT LOCATION PLANT CAPACITY

PLANT TYPE

1 Volta River Authority (WPP1) Electro Volta House 28th February Road Accra P. O. Box MB 77 Accra

Anloga and Anyanui, Volta Region

75MW Wind

2 ElecQtra (West Africa) Limited ElecQtra (West Africa) Limited F28/8b Circular Road Extention Labone P.O.Box CT 6449 Cantoments, +233 (0) 302766832 [email protected]

Afiadenyingba-Ada, Greater Accra

50MW Wind

3 Volta River Authority (WPP1) Electro Volta House 28th February Road Accra P. O. Box MB 77 Accra.

Anloga and Anyanui, Volta Region

75MW Wind

4 Volta River Authority (WPP2) Electro Volta House 28th February Road Accra P. O. Box MB 77 Accra

Wokumagbe and Goi, Greater Accra Region

75MW Wind

5 TC's Energy P.O.Box Co 756 Tema Ghana +233 (0) 546249071 [email protected]

Ada Foah, Greater Accra Region

1,000MW Wave

6 Upwind Prampram Ltd Odam House C875A3 Kanda Highway Extension, Accra. P.O.Box KA 9116. +233 (0) 302228214 [email protected]

Prampram - Ningo District Greater Accra Region

86MW Wind

7 Upwind Ayitepa Ltd P.O.Box KA 9116. +233 (0) 030 2223175, +233 (0) 302228214 [email protected]

Prampram - Ningo District Greater Accra Region

300MW Wind

8 Upwind Akplabnya Ltd P.O.Box. KA 9116. +233 (0) 302 228214. [email protected]

Ada West District Greater Accra Region

50MW Wind

9 Kalahari Investments Limited (Independent Power Production Ltd)

P.O.Box 8962, Accra House No. H/N F/2396 Labadi-Osu Road. +233 (0) 244735144

Gyengyenadze, Winneba, Central Region.

150MW Wind

10 EBB Volta Eolica Ghana Ltd No. 1 NTHC Estate Ajiringanor East Legon, Accra. Postal Address P.O.Box CT435, Accra, Ghana. +233 241998254

Sege, Greater Accra Region

100MW Wind

11 Upwind Amlakpo Ltd Upwind Amlakpo Ltd. P.O.Box KA 9116 Accra. +233 (0)302228214 [email protected]

Amlapko, Ada West District

140MW Wind

12 Energhana Energy Production Limited

No. 9 Cantonments 5 circular road - Accra P. O. Box 118, Accra. +233 (0) 303413084/ +233 (0) 200199696

Keta District, Volta Region

51MW Wind

13 BTSA Volta Wind Limited c/o Senet Corporate Solicitors P. O. Box CT 5347, Cantonments Accra. HNo. 13/18 Doboro Road Opposite. +233 (0) 303962196 [email protected]

Abetifi in the Kwahu East District of the Eastern Region.

60MW Wind Powered Plant

14 Emerging Markets Power Limited P. O. Box GP 1682 Accra. 4 Momotse Avenue, Adabraka, Accra, Ghana. +233 (0) 553251371 / +233 (0) 244239190 [email protected]

Osudoku in the Shai- Osudoku District of the Greater Accra Region

50MW Wind Powered Plant

15 Solarpark Ghana Project Development Ltd

P. O. Box CT 5811 Cantonments Accra. H/No. G14, Spintex Road Manet Ville, Accra. +233 (0) 244326364. [email protected]

Anyamam, sege, Ada West, Greater Accra

28MW Wind Powered Plant

16 Upwind Konikablo Water Road, Kanda Highway Extension, P.O.BOX KA 16058 Accra. +233(0) 30 2223 175. [email protected]

Dawa, Ningo- Prampram Greater Accra

200MW Wind Plant

17 Heptagon Wind Farms Limited H/No. 71 American House 1st Boundary Road East Accra; P. O. Box DTD LG 10096 Legon - Accra. 0244313660 / 0302 522477 [email protected]

Alakple/Tregui - Keta Municipality District; Volta Region

70MW Wind

TOTAL 2,560 MW

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WASTE-TO-ENERGY

NO NAME ADDRESS, PHONE & EMAIL PLANT LOCATION PLANT CAPACITY

PLANT TYPE

1 Nehlsen WtE Power Plant Limited P.O.Box CT 4679, Cantonments, Accra. +233 (0) 509 696629 [email protected]

Kpone in the Greater Accra RegionPlot No. 1 & 2 Block 1 Community 22 Annex, Tema.

100MW Waste-to-energy (WtE)

2 New Commercial Energy Ltd P.O.Box AN 15902, Accra-North H/No. A912/1 Kwashie, Kojo Korley Street Accra. +233 (0) 244735144 +233 (0) 249565498

Adense-Ejusu, Ashanti Region.

150MW Waste-to-Energy

3 Biojoule Ghana Limited H/NO : Old ADCL Building Kpong Power House Torgorme-Todzoku Rd Akuse PM BMD 2010 Madina Accra

Kpong, Eastern Region 2.5MW Waste-to-Energy

4 Slamson Ghana Limited 22 Arabella Easte Cantoments Accra Kpone, Greater Accra Region

100kW waste-to-energy

5 Safi Sana (Ghana) Limited H/No. 749C, Baatsona, Accra P.O.Box29, Tema Nungua, Accra. 0302 972 380

Ashiaman, Greater Accra Region

100kW Waste-to-Energy

6 West Africa Power Plant FH GH.Ltd

P.O.Box CO 2027, Tema, Ghana Behind next flight Hotel M-Road Com. 9 Tema. 0264786100

Lakpeleku near Ningo on the Tema- Aflao Road

100kW Waste-to-Energy

7 Mama Lee Beach Resort Ent.Ltd P.O.Box 1373, Teshie- Nungua, Accra +233 (0)542345319 [email protected]

Location not specified. To be based on ECG’s advise

4.31MW Waste-to-energy (WtE)

8 APSD Corporate Office: 2nd Floor, Carlton House, Anumase Street, Osu, Accra Ghana Representative Office; +491725406815

Atebubu, Brong Ahafo 60MW Biomass

9 Emugen Ghana Limited P.O.Box CT 3237 Accra. +233 (0) 302 238622/ +233 (0) 244632234 [email protected]

Mafi - Kumase Volta Region

8MW Biomass

10 Global Environmental Energy Gh.Ltd

P.O.Box 1103 Accra +233 (0) 509742693 [email protected]

Dodowa/Shai Greater Accra Region

250MW Waste-to-Energy

11 Sweep Ghana Limited Plot 44, 6th Circular Road, Cantonments – Accra. Postal Address: P. O. Box CT 10387, Cantonments. +233 244335855 / +233 244331460 [email protected]

Dormeabra, Ga South Municipality, Greater Accra Region

15MW Waste-to-Energy

12 Asutsuare Sugar & Power Limited H/No. 100, George Kuffour Estate, East Airport Residential Area, P. O. Box CT 6314, Cantonments, Accra.+233 271591111 [email protected]

Asutsuare 3.5MW Waste-to-Energy

13 Kwamoka Energy Ghana Limited P. O.Box KS 6416, Kumasi. +233(0)208110828 [email protected]

Oti, Near Kumasi, Ashanti Region

6MW Waste-to-Energy

14 Adomno WTE Power Plant Limited

P.O.BOX WJ 642,Weija-Accra No. 36, 1st Aplaku Street, Near Old Weija Barrier. Weija-Accra. +233(0) 244 - 588713 [email protected]

Kasoa, Awutu Senya East, Central Region

100MW Waste-to-Energy

15 Smart Energies Ghana Limited Peeble Law Consult Behind Mamprobi P.O Box CT 217, Accra. +233244541327 [email protected]

Accra, Greater Accra Region

30MW Waste-to-Energy

16 Arrow Green Ecology Ghana Limited

Hse No. 14 Trakor Link Abeka- Accra P. O. Box 5512 Accra North Accra 0235950002 [email protected]

West Oyibi, Greater Accra Region

10.8MW Waste-to-Energy

17 GBI- Hanjer GBI-Hanjer Gh Limited P.O.Box 5235 Accra North Accra. 0302400540 / 0504060044 / 0208166072

HNO 2, Ist Kportuphy Avenue, West Legon Accra

30MW Waste-to-Energy

18 Armech Africa Ltd P.O.Box CT 5053 Cantoments, Accra, No. 8 Texpo Road, Tema. +233 (0) 240 14 0700. [email protected]

Kpone, Greater Accra Region.

17MW waste-to-energy (WtE)

19 Renergenc Limited HNo. 14 Block U, Kwaddea Street, Santasi New Site, Kumasi, P. O. Box SA 2501, Sunyani. +233 (0) 203236083. [email protected]

Sowutuom, Ga Central District, Greater Accra region

250MW Waste-to-Energy

20 Safisana Biogas H/No. 749C, Baatsona, Accra P.O.Box29, Tema Nungua, Accra. 0302 972 380

Ashiaman, Greater Accra Region

0.32 MW Waste-to-Energy

TOTAL 1,038 MW

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50

HYDRO PLANTS

NO NAME ADDRESS, PHONE & EMAIL PLANT LOCATION PLANT CAPACITY

PLANT TYPE

1 Small Hydro Development Company Limited

P. M. Bag 23, Accra-North No. 11 saflo Street, Ablelenkpe. +233 (0) 244 63 6563

Maham, Western Region

41MW Hydro

2 Chrispod Hydro Power Limited P.O.Box AN 7959 Accra North Accra Ghana. +233 (0) 244597612 [email protected]

Tofoi, Twifo Praso District

30MW hydro

3 Lighting & Construction Africa Company Limited

14th Floor, World Trade Center, Independence Avenue – Accra, P. O. Box KA 16446, Accra +233 244322808 / +233 243071877

Wawa River, Ahamansu (I), Kadjebi District, Volta Region

770kW Hydro-power plant

4 Lighting & Construction Africa Company Limited

14th Floor, World Trade Center, Independence Avenue – Accra, P. O. Box KA 16446, Accra +233 244322808 / +233 243071877

Wawa River at Ahamansu (II), Kadjebi District, Volta Region

770kW Hydro-power plant

5 Lighting & Construction Africa Company Limited

14th Floor, World Trade Center, Independence Avenue – Accra, P. O. Box KA 16446, Accra +233 244322808 / +233 243071877

Wawa River, Dodi Papase, Kadjebi District, Volta Region

770kW Hydro-power plant

6 Lighting & Construction Africa Company Limited

14th Floor, World Trade Center, Independence Avenue – Accra, P. O. Box KA 16446, Accra. +233 244322808 / +233 243071877

Dayi River, Hohoe, Hohoe Municipal District, Volta Region

600kW Hydro-power plant

7 Lighting & Construction Africa Company Limited

14th Floor, World Trade Center, Independence Avenue – Accra, P. O. Box KA 16446, Accra. +233 244322808 / +233 243071877

Dayi River, Likpe Kukurantumi, Hohoe Municipal District, Volta Region

800kW Hydro-power plant

8 Lighting & Construction Africa Company Limited

14th Floor, World Trade Center, Independence Avenue – Accra, P. O. Box KA 16446, Accra. +233 244322808 / +233 243071877

Menu River, Menusu, Kadjebi District, Volta Region

580kW Hydro-power plant

9 Lighting & Construction Africa Company Limited

14th Floor, World Trade Center, Independence Avenue – Accra, P. O. Box KA 16446, Accra. +233 244322808 / +233 243071877

Dayi River, Afegame, Hohoe District, Volta Region

750kW Hydro-power plant

10 Lighting & Construction Africa Company Limited

14th Floor, World Trade Center, Independence Avenue – Accra, P. O. Box KA 16446, Accra. +233 244322808 / +233 243071877

Kplikpa River, Afife, Ketu North District, Volta Region

70kW Hydro-power plant

11 Lighting & Construction Africa Company Limited

14th Floor, World Trade Center, Independence Avenue – Accra, P. O. Box KA 16446, Accra. +233 244322808 / +233 243071877

Dayi River, Afegame, Hohoe District, Volta Region

750kW Hydro-power plant

12 Bui Power Authority No. 11 Dodi Link, Airport Residential Area – Accra, PMB 62 Kanda – Accra. +233 302522444/5. [email protected]

Tsatsadu River, Alavanyo-Abehenease, Hohoe District, Volta Region

30kW Hydro Power

13 Zoetic Power Ghana Ltd C/O SAS Finance Group World Trade Centre Independence Avenue Accra P.O.Box KA 16446, Airport

Akosombo, Eastern Region

100MW Hydro

14 Akosombo Hydro Plant - Volta River Authority

Akosombo, Eastern Region

4273 MW Hydro-power plant

15 Kpong Hydro Plant - Volta River Authority

Kpong, Eastern Region 771 MW Hydro-power plant

16 Chrispod Hydro Power Limited P.O.Box AN 7959 Accra North Accra Ghana. +233 (0) 244597612 [email protected]

Sekyere Odumase, Twifo Praso District

30MW Hydro

THERMAL

NO NAME ADDRESS, PHONE & EMAIL PLANT LOCATION PLANT CAPACITY

PLANT TYPE

1 Takoradi Power Company (TAPCO)

Takoradi, Western Region

Thermal plant

2 Takoradi International Company (TICO)

Takoradi, Western Region

3 Tema Thermal 1 Power Plant (TT1PP)

Tema, Greater Accra Region

4 Tema Reserve Power Plant (TRPP)

Tema, Greater Accra Region

5 Emergency Reserve Power Plant (ERPP)

6 Kumasi Reserve Power Plant (KRPP)

Kumasi, Ashanti Region

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51

NO NAME ADDRESS, PHONE & EMAIL PLANT LOCATION PLANT CAPACITY

PLANT TYPE

7 Mines Reserve Plant (MRP)

8 Tema Thermal 2 Power Plant (TT2PP)

Tema, Greater Accra Region

9 Sunon Asogli Power (Ghana) Ltd (SAPP)

10 Cenit Energy Ltd (CEL)

11 Takoradi T3 Takoradi, Western Region

12 Karpowership

13 Ameri Plant

14 Trojan*

15 Kpone Thermal Power Plant (KTPP)

Tema, Greater Accra Region

16 AKSA Enery Ltd

17 Genser*

18 Cenpower

HYBRID

NO NAME ADDRESS, PHONE & EMAIL PLANT LOCATION PLANT CAPACITY

PLANT TYPE

1 Strategic Security Systems International Limited

PMB 157 Tema Community 1 Plot No. 53/3A & 3B Kpone Kokompe, +233 (0) 303521266. [email protected]

Kpone Industrial Estate, Tema

50MW hydro-solar hybrid plant

2 HPSG Ghana Limited P.O.Box CT 2552, Cantoments, Accra. Fourth Floor, Pyramid House. Ring Road, Accra. +233(0)202222100 [email protected]

Ningo-Prampram District in the Greater Accra Region

100MW Hybrid System (Solar and Wind)

3 Bui Power Authority No. 11 Dodi Link, Airport Residential Area PMB 62, Kanda Accra. +2330302 522444/5 [email protected]

Bui, Banda District, Brong Ahafo Region

10MW hydro-solar hybrid power plant

TOTAL 160 MW

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52

ANNEX 9: WASTE SECTOR STAKEHOLDERS

NO NAME ADDRESS, PHONE OR EMAIL LOCATION

1 Universal Waste Concept Postal address is DK366 Darkuman, Accra. 0243178886, 0573928644

Mataheko, Greater Accra Region

2 Zoompak Ghana Limited Postal Address is 117, Madina-Accra, 050 1453394. Teshie SSNIT Greda Estates, Greater Accra

3 J. Stanley-Owusu & Company Ltd 0233-302-306912/244-34-0

4 Erksarp Ventures 0244469473/0200472315 Teshie Nungua, Greater Accra Region

5 Zesta Environmental Solutions Ltd 0209458768 Agbogba, Greater Accra Region

6 Y.N.O Enterprise 032 20- 81782

7 City Waste Management Co. Ltd. 0244315069 Accra, Greater Accra Region

8 BIOLAND LTD 0302816582

9 New Era Waste Management Concept 0242154594 Achimota, Greater Accra Region

10 Keen 2 Clean Services 0240974237

11 Golden Falcon Company Limited 0302-239099

12 Early Sunrise Trading Co Ltd 0302 66508 Accra Central, Greater Accra Region

13 PREMKO Waste Management 00233 205114580 / 00233 202044592

14 Asadu Royal Seed & Waste Management 0244670732 Taifa, Greater Accra Region

Plastic waste management companies

15 3G plastic limited company 0264544888 Accra, Greater Accra Region

16 GP waste recycle co.Ltd 024426891 Accra, Greater Accra Region

17 Universal royal paper limited 030266467 Accra, Greater Accra Region

18 Polytex Ind.Ltd 0242873205 Accra, Greater Accra Region

19 Nelplast Ghana limited (Accra) Plot No. 78 Katamansu, Ashaiman, P.O. BOX 2340, Tema – Ghana. Tel: 030 970873

Accra, Greater Accra Region

20 Super paper product co. Ltd 03302665016 Accra, Greater Accra Region

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53

ANNEX 10: GRID ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY PLANT (GWH) AND TOTAL INSTALLED GENERATION CAPACITY (MW)

YEAR TOTAL GENERATION THERMAL THERMAL

CO2 EMISSIONS FROM THERMAL

CARBON INTENSITY OF TOTAL POWER GENERATION

GENERATION CAPACITY (POWER)

GWh GWh MWh tCO2 tCO2/MWh MW

2010 10,167 3,172 3,172,000 2,565,068 0.252 2165

2011 11,200 3,639 3,639,000 2,635,785 0.235 2170

2012 12,024 3,953 3,953,000 3,196,188 0.266 2280

2013 12,870 4,637 4,637,000 3,252,710 0.253 2831

2014 12,963 4,576 4,576,000 3,148,823 0.243 2831

2015 11,491 5,647 5,647,000 3,378,009 0.294 3656

2016 13,023 7,462 7,462,000 4,710,971 0.362 3795

2017 14,067 8,451 8,451,000 6,380,505 0.454 4398

2018 16,246 10,229 10,229,000 7,722,895 0.475 4889

2019 18,763 12,008 12,008,019 9,179,380 0.489 4889

2020 63,816 56,547 56,546,749 42,692,795 0.669 7,854

2021 66,579 58,963 58,963,282 44,517,278 0.669 8,189

2022 69,423 61,084 61,084,118 46,118,509 0.664 8,484

2023 72,762 63,629 63,629,243 48,040,078 0.660 8,837

2024 76,342 66,338 66,337,850 50,085,076 0.656 9,214

2025 87,165 75,857 75,857,021 57,272,051 0.657 10,536

2026 92,322 79,833 79,833,141 60,274,021 0.653 11,088

2027 91,349 78,004 78,004,453 58,893,362 0.645 10,834

2028 97,588 82,831 82,830,741 62,537,209 0.641 11,504

2029 104,121 80,600 80,600,490 60,853,370 0.584 11,195

2030 110,887 85,648 85,648,413 64,664,552 0.583 11,896

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UNDP NDC SUPPORT PROGRAMME United Nations Development Programme (UNDP)

304 E 45th Street, New York, NY 10017www.ndcs.undp.org @UNDPClimate

IN CONTRIBUTION TO THE