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Analyst Meet Third Quarter – 2005-06

Analyst Meet Third Quarter – 2005-06. Contents Operations Financials Outlook Industry Company

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  • Analyst MeetThird Quarter 2005-06

  • ContentsOperationsFinancialsOutlookIndustryCompany

  • Operations highlights Volume growth of 5.5% in crude steel and 18% in galvanised products

    Converter life crosses 9500 heats

    Blast furnace production 72,000 MT in Dec-05

    Average Coke price $ 180 / ton vs $ 250 / ton in the previous quarter

  • Operations highlights contd./..Significant reduction in fuel rate consumption as compared to the previous quarter

    Channel financing facility for dealers

  • Operations Production Q3 (In mln. tons)

    Chart6

    0.9480.9610.942

    0.5390.570.553

    0.5060.5330.549

    0.1750.2060.203

    Q3, 05

    Q3, 06 Current quarter

    Q2, 06

    Sheet5

    Results Q3

    Q3, 06Q3, 05Q2, 06

    Goss sales164318211688

    Net sales151817151540

    EBIDTA438591393

    EBIDTA Margin29%34%26%

    Interest9011699

    Depreciation118105126

    Profit before tax231369168

    Profir after tax139225106

    EPS:

    - Basic9177

    - Diluted8156

    Upto Dec. 05Upto Dec, 04

    Goss sales50314744

    Net sales45974497

    EBIDTA13381493

    EBIDTA Margin29%33%

    Interest279362

    Depreciation351315

    Profit before tax709813

    Profir after tax446466

    EPS:

    - Basic2934

    - Diluted2731

    pdtn 9 mth vol

    ProductionUpto Dec, 04Upto Dec, 05

    Pellets2.6252.811

    Crude steel1.3171.655

    HR Coils / sheets1.2411.594

    GP / GC0.5040.569

    SalesUpto Dec, 04Upto Dec, 05

    Pellets0.5760.382

    HR Coils / sheets0.6830.877

    GP / GC0.4970.541

    pdtn 9 mth vol

    00

    00

    00

    Upto Dec, 04

    Upto Dec, 05

    cost curve

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Upto Dec, 04

    Upto Dec, 05

    Sheet2

    RankCountry (source WSD June 2005 report)Average operating cost($/ton)

    1Russia250

    2Brazil266

    3India266

    4China335

    5USA343

    6Taiwan353

    7South Korea362

    8E. Europe363

    9Canada365

    10Australia375

    11Japan378

    12USA388

    13Europe445

    Sheet2

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Average operating cost($/ton)

    Sheet4

    Sheet1

    MEPS - ASIAND class=main12 vAlign=top align=left width=912>

    MEPS - ASIAN CARBON STEEL PRODUCT PRICE INDEX - WITH INDIVIDUAL PRODUCT FORECASTS

    (Based on US$ values)

    JAN 1997 = 100

    All tables and forecasts are updated monthly.

    DateHot Rolled CoilHot Rolled PlateCold Rolled CoilHD Galv. Coil*Wire Rod (mesh)Structural Sections & BeamsReinforcing Bar

    Nov-03102.496.795.288.889.392.797.4

    Dec102.496.795.489.789.393.598.7

    Jan-04104.8102.596.794.694.5101.2104.3

    Feb111.8104.9101.198.6109.8111.6120.5

    Mar128.7119.3108.9104.4121.7118.4135.3

    Apr136.6127115110.5124.8124138

    May137.8128.6112110.7120.5121.1134.3

    Jun134.1127.2111.1110.7119.3119.1128.1

    Jul139.9130.2114.8111.6119.3118.2130

    Aug138.4128.6113.5110118116.7128.7

    Sep149.8137.3120.3115.2122.6118.6133.3

    Oct151.1138.1123.5115.8124.2119.6140.3

    Nov155.9144.7130.7123.1126.3122.8143.2

    Dec161.9149.9135.7128.5127.8125.7146.5

    Jan-05167.1153.7143.4129.4126.3127.4142.9

    Feb167.4155149.5133.3130.3126.6146.9

    Mar174.6162.9155.3139.2136.7128.1150.8

    Apr174162.7154.2134.7132.4127.1146.9

    May175.5164.9155.6138133127.8146.5

    Jun162.2156.9144.9130.8127.5124.5133.3

    Jul148149136.8121.9121.7117.4127.7

    Aug150.2151.2138.8123.8123.9119.1129.7

    Sep144.4146.6133.6121.9123.5120.8134

    Oct135.3141.7125.7116.8119.9118.6135

    Nov NOVEMBER & DECEMBER STEEL PRICES ARE NOW AVAILABLE TO SUBSCRIBERS

    Purchase the above table with latest monthly price updates for only GBP 90 per annum.

    CLICK HERE TO PURCHASE LATEST STEEL PRICES AND FORECASTS

    Dec

    Jan-06

    Feb

    Mar

    Apr

    May

    Jun

    Jul

    Aug

    Sep

    Oct

    Nov

    Dec

    Subscriber Login to MEPS Steel Prices On-line

    * - China not included.

    Note:- Prices are derived from an arithmetic average of the low transaction values identified in Japan, Taiwan, South Korea and China - collected in national currencies and converted into US dollars using currency exchange rates effective at the start of

    Steel prices are also available for Japan, Taiwan, South Korea and China in MEPS

    International Steel Review

    Click here for product and price definitions

    The information in the tables, charts and commentaries have been calculated from respondents who we consider provide accurate intelligence on the relevant steel markets. We make our best endeavors to be assured that the information is correct and that our

    Our predictions are based on a wide experience of steel consumption patterns. However, steel prices can be influenced by a number of factors. These include currency exchange rates, raw material costs, trade regulations including import safeguard measures,

    (see license Terms and Conditions)

    CLICK HERE TO PURCHASE LATEST STEEL PRICES AND FORECASTS

    Subscriber Login to MEPS Steel Prices On-line

    International Steel Review

    Click here for product and price definitions

    (see license Terms and Conditions)

    pdtnQ3 vol

    DateHot Rolled CoilHot Rolled PlateCold Rolled CoilHD Galv. CoilElectro Zinc=53>HD Galv. CoilElectro Zinc CoilWire Rod (mesh)Structural Sections & BeamsRebarMerchant Bar

    Nov-03343361427490475315390318342

    Dec354367434502488323403327353

    Jan-04386400474546524348443355391

    Feb414432501573547396482404422

    Mar474506563650631479544503511

    Apr513540596682654498585517543

    May549575614706681498594511547

    Jun571602649739715492591496541

    Jul585633665754736483584474535

    Aug580627659747728478578470530

    Sep640704709796768494616511546

    Oct644717723799779500633508547

    Nov653734735824808511651510562

    Dec648750737830823512667510566

    Jan-05650756746824828494651493539

    Feb635740739809815489634486528

    Mar638753750818834487632478529

    Apr619744725788814474615468517

    May598729706766811472606464513

    Jun545696649720769433566426487

    Jul493655599674727422536420469

    Aug503668611687738428547428479

    Sep518680621705728474608483531

    Oct517676615698709472614484535

    Nov NOVEMBER & DECEMBER STEEL PRICES ARE NOW AVAILABLE TO SUBSCRIBERS

    Purchase the above table with latest monthly price updates for only GBP 60 per annum.

    CLICK HERE TO PURCHASE LATEST STEEL PRICES AND FORECASTS

    Dec

    Jan-06

    Feb

    Mar

    Apr

    May

    Jun

    Jul

    Aug

    Sep

    Oct

    Nov

    Dec

    Subscriber Login to MEPS Steel Prices On-line

    Note:- Prices are an arithmetic average of the low transaction values identified in three regions (EU, Asia, and North America), converted into US dollars.

    Steel transaction prices are also available for USA, Canada, China, Japan, South Korea Taiwan, Germany, France, Italy, UK, Spain, Czech Rep, and Poland in MEPS

    International Steel Review

    Click here for product and price definitions

    The information in the tables, charts and commentaries have been calculated from respondents who we consider provide accurate intelligence on the relevant steel markets. We make our best endeavours to be assured that the information is correct and that ou

    Our predictions are based on a wide experience of steel consumption patterns. However, steel prices can be influenced by a number of factors. These include currency exchange rates, raw material costs, trade regulations including import safeguard measures,

    (see license Terms and Conditions)

    CLICK HERE TO PURCHASE LATEST STEEL PRICES AND FORECASTS

    Subscriber Login to MEPS Steel Prices On-line

    International Steel Review

    Click here for product and price definitions

    (see license Terms and Conditions)

    Demand

    ProductionQ3, 05Q3, 06 Current quarterQ2, 06

    Pellets0.9480.9610.942

    Crude steel0.5390.5700.553

    HR Coils / sheets0.5060.5330.549

    GP / GC0.1750.2060.203

    SalesQ3, 05Q3, 06 Current quarterQ2, 06

    Pellets0.1920.1210.149

    HR Coils / sheets0.2900.2780.321

    GP / GC0.1650.2040.207

    Demand

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Q3, 05

    Q3, 06 Current quarter

    Q2, 06

    price & production

    IISI apparent steel demand forecast

    20052006200420052006

    Africa2021World9719981050

    Middle East2931Asia Pacific502534570

    Cntral and South america3336534570

    CIS4548

    NAFTA145149

    Europe190198

    Asia Pacific534570

    World998965

    price & production

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    2005

    2006

    00

    00

    00

    &A

    Page &P

    World

    Asia Pacific

    MarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovember

    200520052005200520052005200520052005

    European Union (25)16.416.016.215.514.413.215.016.415.9

    Other Europe2.42.42.42.42.32.52.52.52.4

    C.I.S.9.79.49.68.18.49.38.89.19.6

    North America11.010.811.110.010.210.510.510.710.3

    South America3.93.93.93.63.73.83.63.83.8

    Africa1.51.51.61.61.61.51.51.51.4

    Middle East1.21.21.31.21.21.21.21.21.3

    Asia/Oceania (ex. China)19.218.719.618.719.319.018.619.718.9

    Total Above65.364.065.761.261.161.061.864.963.6

    China27.528.129.728.529.230.530.431.730.5

    MonthMarch, 05April, 05May, 05June, 05July, 05August, 05September, 05October, 05November, 05

    Total 61 countries92.992.195.489.790.391.492.196.694.1

    China27.528.129.728.529.230.530.431.730.5

    MonthMarch, 05April, 05May, 05June, 05July, 05August, 05September, 05October, 05November, 05

    Total 61 countries92.992.195.489.790.391.492.196.694.1

    Prices638619598545493503518517

    MonthMar, 05Apr, 05May, 05Jun, 05Jul, 05Aug, 05Sep, 05Oct, 05Nov, 05

    Prices(World)638619598545493503518517

    Prices(India)812839824782736679682675678

    Jan-05167.1

    Feb167.4

    Mar174.6

    Apr174

    May175.5

    Jun162.2

    Jul148

    Aug150.2

    Sep144.4

    Oct135.3

    92.8587

    92.0679

    95.3911

    89.7308

    90.3196

    91.434

    92.1211

    96.6068

    94.1116

    Total 61 countries

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Prices(World)

    92.858727.5439

    92.067928.0858

    95.391129.7296

    89.730828.5474

    90.319629.2438

    91.43430.4563

    92.121130.3571

    96.606831.6729

    94.111630.4776

    &A

    Page &P

    Total 61 countries

    China

    92.8587638

    92.0679619

    95.3911598

    89.7308545

    90.3196493

    91.434503

    92.1211518

    96.6068517

    94.1116November, 05

    &A

    Page &P

    Total 61 countries

    Prices

    167.1

    167.4

    174.6

    174

    175.5

    162.2

    148

    150.2

    144.4

    135.3

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    &A

    Page &P

    Prices(World)

    Prices(India)

    MBD0004CD6F.xls

    Chart2

    8.27214.33216.26625.095

    7.39213.23815.10624.806

    8.12114.3416.40427.544

    7.95214.12115.96728.086

    8.08214.26216.17629.73

    7.2513.72215.45128.547

    7.55712.75614.40629.244

    7.7411.57713.16430.456

    7.7913.27414.98430.357

    8.00414.5116.40431.673

    7.713.8515.89330.479

    USA

    EU-15

    EU-25

    CHINA

    COUNTRYWISE CRUDE STEEL PROD. (MnT)

    CHINA CRUDE STEEL PROD. (MnT)

    WORLD STEEL PROD. TREND (2)

    USAEU-15EU-25CHINAWORLD

    JAN-05$8$14$16$25$90

    FEB-05$7$13$15$25$84

    MAR-05$8$14$16$28$93

    APR-05$8$14$16$28$92

    MAY-05$8$14$16$30$95

    JUN-05$7$14$15$29$90

    JUL-05$8$13$14$29$90

    AUG-05$8$12$13$30$91

    SEPT-05$8$13$15$30$92

    OCT-05$8$15$16$32$97

    NOV-05$8$14$16$30$94

    WORLD STEEL PROD. TREND (2)

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    &A

    Page &P

    WORLD

    GLOBAL CRUDE STEEL PROD. (MnT)

    WORLD STEEL PROD. TREND (1)

    USAEU-15EU-25CHINAWORLD

    JAN-05$8$14$16$25$90

    FEB-05$7$13$15$25$84

    MAR-05$8$14$16$28$93

    APR-05$8$14$16$28$92

    MAY-05$8$14$16$30$95

    JUN-05$7$14$15$29$90

    JUL-05$8$13$14$29$90

    AUG-05$8$12$13$30$91

    SEPT-05$8$13$15$30$92

    OCT-05$8$15$16$32$97

    NOV-05$8$14$16$30$94

    WORLD STEEL PROD. TREND (1)

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    &A

    Page &P

    USA

    EU-15

    EU-25

    CHINA

    COUNTRYWISE CRUDE STEEL PROD. (MnT)

    WORLD CRUDE STEEL PROD. (MnT)

    USA_DOM. SHIPMENTS

    US SHIPMENTS

    JAN-OCT, 2005 v/s 2004

    SEGMENT%-VAR

    AUTO2.5%

    CONSTRUCTION3.3%

    OIL & GAS7.4%

    STOCKISTS-7.5%

    IND. EQUIP.-3.0%

    WHITE-GOODS-3.7%

    CAN / CONTAINERS-15.5%

    ELECT. EQUIP.-5.5%

    TOTAL-9.2%

    USA_DOM. SHIPMENTS

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    %-VAR

    %-VAR._JAN-OCT, 2005 SHIPMENTS (Y-O-Y)

    India_GDP

    2004-05Q-1, 2005-06Q-2, 2005-06

    AGRICULTURE1.12.02.0

    INDUSTRY7.79.77.5

    SERVICE8.99.810.1

    TOTAL6.98.18.0

    India_GDP

    0000

    0000

    0000

    AGRICULTURE

    INDUSTRY

    SERVICE

    TOTAL

    %-VARIANCE

    CIS EXPORT PRICES

    CIS : EXPORT PRICES FOR SHIPMENT AS OF 28TH NOV-05

    (Price in USD / mt)

    PRODUCTSIZE (MM)UKRAINE_FOB BLACK SEARUSSIA_FOB BLACK SEARUSSIA_FOB FAR EAST

    HRC2 - 8335-350365-370330-350

    REBAR12 - 25350-365350-365340-345

    WIRE-ROD6.5 - 8350-360350-360330-350

    BILLET100 - 150290-300300-310315-320

    world_capacity_proj.

    GLOBAL : SURPLUS CAPACITY

    (Qty's in Mt)

    20052004200520042004200520042005 (E)%-VAR.2010 (P)%-CAGR_2005 v/s 2010

    DEMANDN.A.N.A.0.050.12971N.A.N.A.9982.8%12073.9%

    PRODUCTION2.852.350.960.091057-1053.190.0011256.4%13603.9%

    CAPACITY7.085.480.230.101184-1176.680.0012505.6%16005.1%

    SURPLUS CAPACITY1.671.410.560.38127-124.770.00125-1.6%24013.9%

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    china_Oct-05 (2)

    CHINA

    (Qty's in mt)

    OCTOBERJANUARY - OCTOBER

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET IMPORTEXPNET IMPORT

    20052004200520042005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.0.050.120.160.69N.A.N.A.0.110.576.143.52-5.010.20

    M / H PLATES2.852.350.960.090.270.243.552.20-0.690.153.391.43-2.181.99

    HR_STRIPS7.085.480.230.100.060.167.265.42-0.180.061.341.041.261.74

    CR1.671.410.560.380.030.062.211.73-0.54-0.320.460.385.545.64

    GP0.600.500.320.270.030.070.890.69-0.29-0.190.630.332.713.38

    CC0.120.110.030.030.010.010.150.13-0.03-0.020.070.040.260.39

    ELECT. STEEL0.240.150.080.120.010.010.310.27-0.07-0.120.080.070.961.33

    STEEL PRODUCTS33.1026.771.931.631.341.5133.6926.89-0.59-0.1217.1510.144.7915.42

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.1.981.751.502.20N.A.N.A.-0.480.4523.2913.66-0.2215.62

    COKE20.3316.860.000.000.821.6819.5115.190.8207641.67717710.6112.05-10.61-12.05

    IRON ORE38.2728.2222.2716.330.000.0060.5544.55-22.274-16.3318010.000.00221.21167.40

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    china_Jan-Oct, 2005 (2)

    CHINA

    PERIOD : JAN-OCT(Qty's in mt)

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET IMPORT

    2005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.1.133.726.143.52N.A.N.A.-5.010.20

    M / H PLATES25.8221.581.213.423.391.4323.6423.57-2.181.99

    HR_STRIPS65.2646.502.602.781.341.0466.5248.241.261.74

    CR16.2612.536.006.020.460.3821.8118.175.545.64

    GP4.453.403.343.710.630.337.166.782.713.38

    CC1.360.900.330.430.070.041.621.290.260.39

    ELECT. STEEL1.981.361.041.400.080.072.942.680.961.33

    STEEL PRODUCTS301.92240.2821.9325.5617.1510.14306.70255.694.7915.42

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.23.0629.2823.2913.66N.A.N.A.-0.2215.62

    COKE188.76148.710.000.0010.6112.05178.15136.66-10.61-12.05

    IRON ORE318.96243.89221.21167.400.000.00540.16411.29221.21167.40

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    china_Oct-05

    CHINA

    (Qty's in mt)

    OCTOBER(Qty's in mt)JANUARY - OCTOBER

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET IMPORTOUTPUTAPP. CONSUMP.

    20052004200520042005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.0.050.120.160.69N.A.N.A.0.110.57N.A.N.A.N.A.N.A.

    M / H PLATES2.852.350.960.090.270.243.552.20-0.690.1525.8221.5823.6423.57

    HR_STRIPS7.085.480.230.100.060.167.265.42-0.180.0665.2646.5066.5248.24

    CR1.671.410.560.380.030.062.211.73-0.54-0.3216.2612.5321.8118.17

    GP0.600.500.320.270.030.070.890.69-0.29-0.194.453.407.166.78

    CC0.120.110.030.030.010.010.150.13-0.03-0.021.360.901.621.29

    ELECT. STEEL0.240.150.080.120.010.010.310.27-0.07-0.121.981.362.942.68

    STEEL PRODUCTS33.1026.771.931.631.341.5133.6926.89-0.59-0.12301.92240.28306.70255.69

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.1.981.751.502.20N.A.N.A.-0.480.45N.A.N.A.N.A.N.A.

    COKE20.3316.860.000.000.821.6819.5115.190.8207641.677177188.76148.71178.15136.66

    IRON ORE38.2728.2222.2716.330.000.0060.5544.55-22.274-16.331801318.96243.89540.16411.29

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    china_Jan-Oct, 2005

    CHINA

    PERIOD : JAN-OCT(Qty's in mt)(Qty's in mt)

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET IMPORT

    2005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.1.133.726.143.52N.A.N.A.-5.010.20

    M / H PLATES25.8221.581.213.423.391.4323.6423.57-2.181.99

    HR_STRIPS65.2646.502.602.781.341.0466.5248.241.261.74

    CR16.2612.536.006.020.460.3821.8118.175.545.64

    GP4.453.403.343.710.630.337.166.782.713.38

    CC1.360.900.330.430.070.041.621.290.260.39

    ELECT. STEEL1.981.361.041.400.080.072.942.680.961.33

    STEEL PRODUCTS301.92240.2821.9325.5617.1510.14306.70255.694.7915.42

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.23.0629.2823.2913.66N.A.N.A.-0.2215.62

    COKE188.76148.710.000.0010.6112.05178.15136.66-10.61-12.05

    IRON ORE318.96243.89221.21167.400.000.00540.16411.29221.21167.40

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    iNDIA_Auto

    PRODUCTION

    PERIOD : JAN - NOV

    CATEGORY

    20042005%-VAR.

    PASSENGER VEHICLES785$840$(55)7%

    MED. / HVY. COMML. VEHICLES$130$108$22-17%

    LIGHT COMML. VEHICLES$84$139$(55)65%

    TOTAL AUTOMOBILE (4-WH.)$999$1,087$(88)9%

    2 & 3 - WHEELERS$4,478$5,266$(788)18%

    $5,477$6,35316%

    iNDIA_Auto

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    &A

    Page &P

    2004

    2005

    %-VAR.

    PRODUCTION ('000 UNITS)

    %-VARIANCE

    us_IMP._COATED

    INDIA-US

    20002001200220032004JAN-SEPT, 2004JAN-SEPT, 2005

    TOTAL186154206157277251228

    INDIA243116545126

    %-SAHRE1%3%15%10%20%20%12%

    us_IMP._COATED

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    &A

    Page &P

    TOTAL

    INDIA

    %-SAHRE

    US_COATED STEEL_AVG. MTHLY IMPORTS ('000 mt)

    %-SHARE OF COATED STEEL IMPORTS FROM INDIA

    India-Exp-US_Jan-Oct-05

    Indian exports to US ---- Qty. in Metric Tonnes (2005)

    5-Jan5-Feb5-Mar5-Apr5-May5-Jun5-Jul5-Aug5-Sep5-OctTotal 2005

    1Semis20.4818.129.516.449.5612.44089.122.770.91239.28

    2Plates in Coils..........0

    3Sheets Hot Rolled88.4123405.64,034946.4432.1....6,030

    4CR1,6091,5466467785918357781,2357041,91010,632

    5Sheets & Strip Galv Hot Dipped26,18327,20042,16247,66730,75223,9392,02427,3169,23028,294264,767

    6Sheets & Strip All Other Metalic Coat..246.9......295.2542

    7Electrical SteelNot Available

    8Bars-Hot rolled681.1369.2281.9471.9336.5220.7349.7322.9211.15493,794

    9Bars-Cold Finished1,1231,2511,4501,2601,7609261,2451,1241,2011,03912,379

    10Total Bars1,8041,6201,7321,7322,0971,1471,5951,4471,4121,58816,173

    11Bars-Reinforcing42.8........4386

    12Wire Rods.52.134.933.518.334.817.5...191

    13Standard Pipe6,5092,5312,3022,588827.22,2881,1262,1031,0943,91225,280

    All Products44,17940,21655,10361,04443,04573,0609,89836,45039,49943,170445,664

    Coated_Jan-Oct, 20041109801193381921801921802195062331163160813454013697653541133262302,778,890

    All Products

    Sheets & Strip Galv Hot Dipped

    Standard Pipe

    Bars-Cold Finished

    Sheets Hot Rolled

    Bars-Hot rolled

    Wire Rods

    Plates in Coils

    Bars-Reinforcing

    Sheets & Strip All Other Metalic Coat

    US_Imp_NOV, 2005

    US DATA

    Y-O-Y

    NOV-04NOV-05 (P)% Var

    1Semis686421-39%

    2Plates204135-34%

    3HR439211-52%

    4CR297160-46%

    5HDG299180-40%

    6Electrical Steel106-44%

    7Hot Rolled Bars121105-13%

    8Rebars1531594%

    9Wire-Rods203109-46%

    10Total Steel31152145-31.1%

    -970

    -31%

    US_Imp_NOV, 2005

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    NOV-04

    NOV-05 (P)

    US_Imp_Jan-Nov, 2005

    US DATA

    Y-O-Y

    JAN-NOV, 2004JAN-NOV, 2005% Var

    1Semis62275564-11%

    2Plates172117653%

    3HR36752632-28%

    4CR21901719-22%

    5HDG23941889-21%

    6Electrical Steel7370-5%

    7Hot Rolled Bars14501388-4%

    8Rebars17001188-30%

    9Wire-Rods31522116-33%

    10Total Steel2983226439-11.4%

    -3393

    -11%

    0-970

    0-0

    US_Imp_Jan-Nov, 2005

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    JAN-NOV, 2004

    JAN-NOV, 2005

    US_Imp_Jan-OCT, 2005_W.S.

    US DATA

    Y-O-Y

    Jan-Oct-04Jan-Oct-05% Var

    1Semis55415142-7%

    2Plates151616297%

    3HR32352421-25%

    4CR18921559-18%

    5HDG20951708-18%

    6Electrical Steel63641%

    7Hot Rolled Bars13291283-3%

    8Rebars15471029-33%

    9Wire-Rods29492007-32%

    10Total Steel2671624294-9%

    0-970

    0-0

    USD-INR_Sept_Oct, 2005

    1st Sept-0510th Oct-05VARIANCE%-VARIANCE

    USD ~ INR44.1344.630.51.1%

    EU ~ USD1.23361.2111-0.02-1.8%

    USD ~ YEN110.71113.813.12.8%

    USD-INR_Sept_Oct, 2005

    0

    0

    0

    Sheet7

    INDICATIVE HOME PRICE : FOB_MILL (USD / mt)

    PRODUCTUSEUCHINAINDIA

    HR550385-505384470-505

    CR680560-645604636

    GP770580-645609659

    Sheet6 (2)

    DOMESTIC : HR - MATERIAL BALANCE ESTIMATE & PROJECTION

    PRODUCERS2005-06_EXPECTED2006-07_PROJECTED

    CAPACITYHR-DOM.CAPTIVEDOMESTICIMPORTSTOTALBALANCECAPACITYHR-DOM.CAPTIVEDOMESTICIMPORTSTOTALBALANCE

    SAIL5500370015005200N.A.52003005500370015005200N.A.5200300

    TATA310089019202810N.A.28102903200100020003000N.A.3000200

    ESSAR300014702301700N.A.170013004100180015003300N.A.3300800

    JSW220010002001200N.A.120010003000150010002500N.A.2500500

    ISPAT25001740601800N.A.1800700360015005002000N.A.20001600

    TOTAL16300880039101271012001391035901940095006500160001200172003400

    2004-051407077753349111248001192421461630088003910127101200139103590

    %-VAR.16%13%17%14%50%17%67%19%8%66%26%0%24%-5%

    Sheet6

    DOMESTIC : HR - MATERIAL BALANCE ESTIMATE & PROJECTION

    PRODUCERS2005-06_EXPECTED2006-07_PROJECTED

    CAPACITYHR-DOM.CAPTIVEIMPORTSTOTALBALANCECAPACITYHR-DOM.CAPTIVEIMPORTSTOTALBALANCE

    SAIL550037001500N.A.5200300550037001500N.A.5200300

    TATA31008901920N.A.2810290320010002000N.A.3000200

    ESSAR30001470230N.A.17001300410018001500N.A.3300800

    JSW22001000200N.A.12001000300015001000N.A.2500500

    ISPAT2500174060N.A.180070036001500500N.A.20001600

    TOTAL1630088003910120013910359019400950065001200172003400

    Y-O-Y140707775334980011924214616300880039101200139103590

    %-VAR.16%13%17%50%17%67%19%8%66%0%24%-5%

    CHINA VS INDIA_PRICE_MKT PRICE

    LOCAL MARKET PRICES (INCL. E.D. / VAT)0

    PRODUCTCHINAlesslessINDIADIFF.

    YUAN / mtUSD / mtINR / mtUSD / mtUSD / mt

    IRON ORE_Fe-63%75092100650575105624-68

    BILLET29803671002880239022500511144

    SLAB300037010029002406N.A.N.A.N.A.

    HR_3.0mm CTL38504751003750311227300620146

    CR_0.6mm6000740100590048963475079050

    HDG_0.4mm6150758100605050203550080748

    Sheet2

    SEPT-05 .. PRODUCTION / SHIPMENTSSEPT-05 .. BOOKINGS

    USEUROPEMIDDLE EASTCHINAUSEUROPEMIDDLE EASTCHINA

    0.3mm0.6mm0.7mm0.21-0.29mm0.3mm0.6mm0.7mm0.21-0.29mm

    120-GSM275-GSM225-GSM120-GSM120-GSM275-GSM225-GSM120-GSM

    CNF610573630620790620660670

    OCEAN FREIGHT6050252760502527

    FOB550523605593730570635643

    USD ~ INR43.543.543.543.543.543.543.543.5

    2392522768263182579631755247952762327971

    DEPB95791110531032127099211051119

    2488223679273702682733025257872872729089

    LOCAL FRT500500500500500500500500

    NET REALISATION2438223179268702632732525252872822728589

    IND. PRICE2160021600216002160021600216002160021600

    SPREAD278215795270472710925368766276989

    =

    DOMESTIC PRICE_0.4mm30750270002675032250

    INDIA_PRICE_IMPORT PARITY

    PRODUCTLOCAL MARKET PRICEIMP. PARITYIMP. OFFERS

    INR / mtUSD / mtUSD / mtUSD / mt

    HR_SHEET GUAGE26500602472420-460

    HR_PLATE GUAGE27200618485420-460

    CRCA_0.6mm34750790619N.A.

    HDG_0.4mm35500807633N.A.

    China_Import Equv. Price

    PRODUCTLOCAL MARKET PRICE (INCL. VAT)lesslessIMP. EQUV. PRICEEXP. EQUV. PRICEREBATEEXP. EQUV. PRICE

    YUAN / mtUSD / mtCFR_USD / mtUSD / mtFOB_USD / mt

    IRON ORE_Fe-63%6908510059052264750N.A.

    BILLET2980367100288023902953140314

    SLAB3000370100290024062973160316

    HR_3.0mm CTL38504751003750311238440645361

    CR_0.7mm60007401005900489660463270563

    HDG_0.5mm60507461005950493760963870567

    China_Iron Ore Imports_H-1' (2)

    Jan-Jul .. 7-Months .. %-SHARE

    2004200420052005

    AUSTRALIA40.523561.4640

    INDIA29.942637.0424

    BRAZIL24.652129.6119

    S. AFRICA7.0566.474

    TOTAL_IMPORTS115.93100152.82100

    China_Iron Ore Imports_H-1' (2)

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    2005

    2005

    2004

    2004

    IRON ORE_IMPORT_QTY (Mt)

    China_Iron Ore Imports_H-1'05

    Jan-Jul .. 7-Months

    20042005

    AUSTRALIA40.5261.4661.46

    INDIA29.9437.0437.04

    BRAZIL24.6529.6129.61

    S. AFRICA7.056.476.47

    TOTAL_IMPORTS115.93152.82152.82

    China_Iron Ore Imports_H-1'05

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    2004

    2005

    IRON ORE_IMPORT_QTY (Mt)

    china_sept. 2005

    CHINA

    PERIOD : SEPT(Qty's in mt)

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET EXPORT

    2005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.0.1140.0940.1380.639N.A.N.A.0.0240.545

    M / H PLATES2.712.200.280.150.310.272.692.080.0220.12

    HR_STRIPS6.645.310.370.150.130.146.895.32-0.245-0.01

    CR1.781.390.720.400.040.042.461.75-0.68-0.36

    GP0.500.320.370.300.040.050.830.57-0.33-0.25

    CC0.160.090.040.030.010.010.190.12-0.033-0.027

    STEEL PRODUCTS30.3524.822.501.781.361.3131.4925.29-1.14-0.47

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.2.611.871.501.95N.A.N.A.-1.1160.075

    COKE18.8116.170.000.000.752.1018.0714.070.7452.1

    IRON ORE34.3127.5423.0218.720.000.0057.3346.26-23.02-18.72

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    china_jan-sept. 2005

    CHINA

    PERIOD : JAN-SEPT(Qty's in mt)

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET EXPORT

    2005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.1.083.605.992.83N.A.N.A.4.91-0.77

    M / H PLATES22.9819.231.654.674.051.4620.5822.442.4-3.21

    HR_STRIPS58.2541.032.372.681.280.8859.3442.83-1.09-1.8

    CR14.5611.125.445.640.440.3219.5616.44-5-5.32

    GP3.852.903.023.440.600.266.276.08-2.42-3.18

    CC1.240.800.300.400.060.031.481.17-0.24-0.37

    STEEL PRODUCTS255.28200.4019.9923.9315.808.63259.47215.70-4.19-15.3

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.21.0727.5321.7911.46N.A.N.A.0.72-16.07

    COKE167.80131.860.000.009.7910.37158.01121.499.7910.37

    IRON ORE279.65215.78198.93151.070.000.00478.58366.85-198.93-151.07

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    Sheet4

    Sheet3

    JAN-05FEB-05MAR-05APR-05MAY-05JUN-05JUL-05AUG-05

    2.0mm_COIL2725027500275002900029000265002400022500

    5-10mm_CTL3250032900341003550035500320002850026500

    Sheet3

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    2.0mm_COIL

    5-10mm_CTL

    Rs. / mt

    DOMESTIC PRICE TREND

    US-Import

    PRODUCTMONTHLYJAN - JUN

    20052004Y-O-Y20052004Y-O-Y

    SEMIS448640-30%3161.43087.32%

    TOTAL STEEL23273045.8-24%15120.2114128.787%

    HR207375-45%1547.81530.31%

    CR127231-45%1022.0587317%

    HDG161253-36%1140.194621%

    China-Import & Exports

    PRODUCTEXPORT (MnT)IMPORT (MnT)NET IMPORT (MnT)

    20052004Y-O-Y20052004Y-O-Y20052004Y-O-Y

    SEMIS4.71.3262%0.80.4100%-3.9-0.9333%

    STEEL PRODUCTS11.64.6152%13.218.1-27%1.613.5-88%

    TOTAL STEEL16.35.9176%1418.5-24%-2.312.6-118%

    FLAT STEEL5.31.4279%11.515.6-26%6.214.2-56%

    AUTO_DOM.

    CATEGORYPRODUCTION

    20052004VARIANCE

    NO'S%

    PASSENGER VEHICLES$515,446$473,349$42,0979%

    MED. / HVY. COMML. VEHICLES$81,855$78,735$3,1204%

    LIGHT COMML. VEHICLES$62,511$50,615$11,89624%

    TOTAL COMML. VEHICLES$144,366$129,350$15,01612%

    TOTAL AUTO VEHICLES$659,812$602,699$57,1139%

    2 & 3 - WHEELERS$3,023,338$2,611,667$411,67116%

    GRAND TOTAL$3,683,150$3,214,366$468,78415%

    IISI_CRUDE STEEL-1

    COUNTRYJUN-05JUN-04%-VAR.JAN-JUN

    20052004%-VAR.

    ASIA46.63919%273233.617%

    %-SHARE52%46%50%46%

    BRIC38.532.319%230.7192.120%

    %-SHARE43%38%42%38%

    EU-2515.516.6-7%96.598.2-2%

    %-SHARE17%19%18%19%

    NAFTA9.910.9-9%63.664.7-2%

    %-SHARE11%13%12%13%

    CHINA28.521.533%164.9128.528%

    %-SHARE32%25%30%25%

    WORLD89.785.35%546.3507.98%

    WORLD (-) CHINA61.263.8-4%381.4379.41%

    %-SHARE68%75%70%75%

    IISI_CRUDE STEEL-2

    COUNTRYJUN-05JUN-04%-VAR.JAN-JUN

    20052004%-VAR.

    CHINA28.521.533%164.9128.528%

    INDIA2.92.612%17.815.912%

    RUSSIA4.65.4-15%32.131.62%

    BRAZIL2.52.8-11%15.916.1-1%

    JAPAN9.59.41%56.755.82%

    THE US7.28.2-12%4748.3-3%

    EU-1513.714.5-5%85.285.4-0%

  • Operations Sales Q3Mn ton (In mln. tons)

    Chart7

    0.1920.1210.149

    0.290.2780.321

    0.1650.2040.207

    Q3, 05

    Q3, 06 Current quarter

    Q2, 06

    Sheet5

    Results Q3

    Q3, 06Q3, 05Q2, 06

    Goss sales164318211688

    Net sales151817151540

    EBIDTA438591393

    EBIDTA Margin29%34%26%

    Interest9011699

    Depreciation118105126

    Profit before tax231369168

    Profir after tax139225106

    EPS:

    - Basic9177

    - Diluted8156

    Upto Dec. 05Upto Dec, 04

    Goss sales50314744

    Net sales45974497

    EBIDTA13381493

    EBIDTA Margin29%33%

    Interest279362

    Depreciation351315

    Profit before tax709813

    Profir after tax446466

    EPS:

    - Basic2934

    - Diluted2731

    pdtn 9 mth vol

    ProductionUpto Dec, 04Upto Dec, 05

    Pellets2.6252.811

    Crude steel1.3171.655

    HR Coils / sheets1.2411.594

    GP / GC0.5040.569

    SalesUpto Dec, 04Upto Dec, 05

    Pellets0.5760.382

    HR Coils / sheets0.6830.877

    GP / GC0.4970.541

    pdtn 9 mth vol

    00

    00

    00

    Upto Dec, 04

    Upto Dec, 05

    cost curve

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Upto Dec, 04

    Upto Dec, 05

    Sheet2

    RankCountry (source WSD June 2005 report)Average operating cost($/ton)

    1Russia250

    2Brazil266

    3India266

    4China335

    5USA343

    6Taiwan353

    7South Korea362

    8E. Europe363

    9Canada365

    10Australia375

    11Japan378

    12USA388

    13Europe445

    Sheet2

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Average operating cost($/ton)

    Sheet4

    Sheet1

    MEPS - ASIAND class=main12 vAlign=top align=left width=912>

    MEPS - ASIAN CARBON STEEL PRODUCT PRICE INDEX - WITH INDIVIDUAL PRODUCT FORECASTS

    (Based on US$ values)

    JAN 1997 = 100

    All tables and forecasts are updated monthly.

    DateHot Rolled CoilHot Rolled PlateCold Rolled CoilHD Galv. Coil*Wire Rod (mesh)Structural Sections & BeamsReinforcing Bar

    Nov-03102.496.795.288.889.392.797.4

    Dec102.496.795.489.789.393.598.7

    Jan-04104.8102.596.794.694.5101.2104.3

    Feb111.8104.9101.198.6109.8111.6120.5

    Mar128.7119.3108.9104.4121.7118.4135.3

    Apr136.6127115110.5124.8124138

    May137.8128.6112110.7120.5121.1134.3

    Jun134.1127.2111.1110.7119.3119.1128.1

    Jul139.9130.2114.8111.6119.3118.2130

    Aug138.4128.6113.5110118116.7128.7

    Sep149.8137.3120.3115.2122.6118.6133.3

    Oct151.1138.1123.5115.8124.2119.6140.3

    Nov155.9144.7130.7123.1126.3122.8143.2

    Dec161.9149.9135.7128.5127.8125.7146.5

    Jan-05167.1153.7143.4129.4126.3127.4142.9

    Feb167.4155149.5133.3130.3126.6146.9

    Mar174.6162.9155.3139.2136.7128.1150.8

    Apr174162.7154.2134.7132.4127.1146.9

    May175.5164.9155.6138133127.8146.5

    Jun162.2156.9144.9130.8127.5124.5133.3

    Jul148149136.8121.9121.7117.4127.7

    Aug150.2151.2138.8123.8123.9119.1129.7

    Sep144.4146.6133.6121.9123.5120.8134

    Oct135.3141.7125.7116.8119.9118.6135

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    * - China not included.

    Note:- Prices are derived from an arithmetic average of the low transaction values identified in Japan, Taiwan, South Korea and China - collected in national currencies and converted into US dollars using currency exchange rates effective at the start of

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    pdtnQ3 vol

    DateHot Rolled CoilHot Rolled PlateCold Rolled CoilHD Galv. CoilElectro Zinc=53>HD Galv. CoilElectro Zinc CoilWire Rod (mesh)Structural Sections & BeamsRebarMerchant Bar

    Nov-03343361427490475315390318342

    Dec354367434502488323403327353

    Jan-04386400474546524348443355391

    Feb414432501573547396482404422

    Mar474506563650631479544503511

    Apr513540596682654498585517543

    May549575614706681498594511547

    Jun571602649739715492591496541

    Jul585633665754736483584474535

    Aug580627659747728478578470530

    Sep640704709796768494616511546

    Oct644717723799779500633508547

    Nov653734735824808511651510562

    Dec648750737830823512667510566

    Jan-05650756746824828494651493539

    Feb635740739809815489634486528

    Mar638753750818834487632478529

    Apr619744725788814474615468517

    May598729706766811472606464513

    Jun545696649720769433566426487

    Jul493655599674727422536420469

    Aug503668611687738428547428479

    Sep518680621705728474608483531

    Oct517676615698709472614484535

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    Jun

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    Aug

    Sep

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    Nov

    Dec

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    Note:- Prices are an arithmetic average of the low transaction values identified in three regions (EU, Asia, and North America), converted into US dollars.

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    International Steel Review

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    The information in the tables, charts and commentaries have been calculated from respondents who we consider provide accurate intelligence on the relevant steel markets. We make our best endeavours to be assured that the information is correct and that ou

    Our predictions are based on a wide experience of steel consumption patterns. However, steel prices can be influenced by a number of factors. These include currency exchange rates, raw material costs, trade regulations including import safeguard measures,

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    Demand

    ProductionQ3, 05Q3, 06 Current quarterQ2, 06

    Pellets0.9480.9610.942

    Crude steel0.5390.5700.553

    HR Coils / sheets0.5060.5330.549

    GP / GC0.1750.2060.203

    SalesQ3, 05Q3, 06 Current quarterQ2, 06

    Pellets0.1920.1210.149

    HR Coils / sheets0.2900.2780.321

    GP / GC0.1650.2040.207

    Demand

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Q3, 05

    Q3, 06 Current quarter

    Q2, 06

    price & production

    000

    000

    000

    Q3, 05

    Q3, 06 Current quarter

    Q2, 06

    IISI apparent steel demand forecast

    20052006200420052006

    Africa2021World9719981050

    Middle East2931Asia Pacific502534570

    Cntral and South america3336534570

    CIS4548

    NAFTA145149

    Europe190198

    Asia Pacific534570

    World998965

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    2005

    2006

    00

    00

    00

    &A

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    World

    Asia Pacific

    MarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovember

    200520052005200520052005200520052005

    European Union (25)16.416.016.215.514.413.215.016.415.9

    Other Europe2.42.42.42.42.32.52.52.52.4

    C.I.S.9.79.49.68.18.49.38.89.19.6

    North America11.010.811.110.010.210.510.510.710.3

    South America3.93.93.93.63.73.83.63.83.8

    Africa1.51.51.61.61.61.51.51.51.4

    Middle East1.21.21.31.21.21.21.21.21.3

    Asia/Oceania (ex. China)19.218.719.618.719.319.018.619.718.9

    Total Above65.364.065.761.261.161.061.864.963.6

    China27.528.129.728.529.230.530.431.730.5

    MonthMarch, 05April, 05May, 05June, 05July, 05August, 05September, 05October, 05November, 05

    Total 61 countries92.992.195.489.790.391.492.196.694.1

    China27.528.129.728.529.230.530.431.730.5

    MonthMarch, 05April, 05May, 05June, 05July, 05August, 05September, 05October, 05November, 05

    Total 61 countries92.992.195.489.790.391.492.196.694.1

    Prices638619598545493503518517

    MonthMar, 05Apr, 05May, 05Jun, 05Jul, 05Aug, 05Sep, 05Oct, 05Nov, 05

    Prices(World)638619598545493503518517

    Prices(India)812839824782736679682675678

    Jan-05167.1

    Feb167.4

    Mar174.6

    Apr174

    May175.5

    Jun162.2

    Jul148

    Aug150.2

    Sep144.4

    Oct135.3

    92.8587

    92.0679

    95.3911

    89.7308

    90.3196

    91.434

    92.1211

    96.6068

    94.1116

    Total 61 countries

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Prices(World)

    92.858727.5439

    92.067928.0858

    95.391129.7296

    89.730828.5474

    90.319629.2438

    91.43430.4563

    92.121130.3571

    96.606831.6729

    94.111630.4776

    &A

    Page &P

    Total 61 countries

    China

    92.8587638

    92.0679619

    95.3911598

    89.7308545

    90.3196493

    91.434503

    92.1211518

    96.6068517

    94.1116November, 05

    &A

    Page &P

    Total 61 countries

    Prices

    167.1

    167.4

    174.6

    174

    175.5

    162.2

    148

    150.2

    144.4

    135.3

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    &A

    Page &P

    Prices(World)

    Prices(India)

    MBD0004CD6F.xls

    Chart2

    8.27214.33216.26625.095

    7.39213.23815.10624.806

    8.12114.3416.40427.544

    7.95214.12115.96728.086

    8.08214.26216.17629.73

    7.2513.72215.45128.547

    7.55712.75614.40629.244

    7.7411.57713.16430.456

    7.7913.27414.98430.357

    8.00414.5116.40431.673

    7.713.8515.89330.479

    USA

    EU-15

    EU-25

    CHINA

    COUNTRYWISE CRUDE STEEL PROD. (MnT)

    CHINA CRUDE STEEL PROD. (MnT)

    WORLD STEEL PROD. TREND (2)

    USAEU-15EU-25CHINAWORLD

    JAN-05$8$14$16$25$90

    FEB-05$7$13$15$25$84

    MAR-05$8$14$16$28$93

    APR-05$8$14$16$28$92

    MAY-05$8$14$16$30$95

    JUN-05$7$14$15$29$90

    JUL-05$8$13$14$29$90

    AUG-05$8$12$13$30$91

    SEPT-05$8$13$15$30$92

    OCT-05$8$15$16$32$97

    NOV-05$8$14$16$30$94

    WORLD STEEL PROD. TREND (2)

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

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    Page &P

    WORLD

    GLOBAL CRUDE STEEL PROD. (MnT)

    WORLD STEEL PROD. TREND (1)

    USAEU-15EU-25CHINAWORLD

    JAN-05$8$14$16$25$90

    FEB-05$7$13$15$25$84

    MAR-05$8$14$16$28$93

    APR-05$8$14$16$28$92

    MAY-05$8$14$16$30$95

    JUN-05$7$14$15$29$90

    JUL-05$8$13$14$29$90

    AUG-05$8$12$13$30$91

    SEPT-05$8$13$15$30$92

    OCT-05$8$15$16$32$97

    NOV-05$8$14$16$30$94

    WORLD STEEL PROD. TREND (1)

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    &A

    Page &P

    USA

    EU-15

    EU-25

    CHINA

    COUNTRYWISE CRUDE STEEL PROD. (MnT)

    WORLD CRUDE STEEL PROD. (MnT)

    USA_DOM. SHIPMENTS

    US SHIPMENTS

    JAN-OCT, 2005 v/s 2004

    SEGMENT%-VAR

    AUTO2.5%

    CONSTRUCTION3.3%

    OIL & GAS7.4%

    STOCKISTS-7.5%

    IND. EQUIP.-3.0%

    WHITE-GOODS-3.7%

    CAN / CONTAINERS-15.5%

    ELECT. EQUIP.-5.5%

    TOTAL-9.2%

    USA_DOM. SHIPMENTS

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    %-VAR

    %-VAR._JAN-OCT, 2005 SHIPMENTS (Y-O-Y)

    India_GDP

    2004-05Q-1, 2005-06Q-2, 2005-06

    AGRICULTURE1.12.02.0

    INDUSTRY7.79.77.5

    SERVICE8.99.810.1

    TOTAL6.98.18.0

    India_GDP

    0000

    0000

    0000

    AGRICULTURE

    INDUSTRY

    SERVICE

    TOTAL

    %-VARIANCE

    CIS EXPORT PRICES

    CIS : EXPORT PRICES FOR SHIPMENT AS OF 28TH NOV-05

    (Price in USD / mt)

    PRODUCTSIZE (MM)UKRAINE_FOB BLACK SEARUSSIA_FOB BLACK SEARUSSIA_FOB FAR EAST

    HRC2 - 8335-350365-370330-350

    REBAR12 - 25350-365350-365340-345

    WIRE-ROD6.5 - 8350-360350-360330-350

    BILLET100 - 150290-300300-310315-320

    world_capacity_proj.

    GLOBAL : SURPLUS CAPACITY

    (Qty's in Mt)

    20052004200520042004200520042005 (E)%-VAR.2010 (P)%-CAGR_2005 v/s 2010

    DEMANDN.A.N.A.0.050.12971N.A.N.A.9982.8%12073.9%

    PRODUCTION2.852.350.960.091057-1053.190.0011256.4%13603.9%

    CAPACITY7.085.480.230.101184-1176.680.0012505.6%16005.1%

    SURPLUS CAPACITY1.671.410.560.38127-124.770.00125-1.6%24013.9%

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    china_Oct-05 (2)

    CHINA

    (Qty's in mt)

    OCTOBERJANUARY - OCTOBER

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET IMPORTEXPNET IMPORT

    20052004200520042005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.0.050.120.160.69N.A.N.A.0.110.576.143.52-5.010.20

    M / H PLATES2.852.350.960.090.270.243.552.20-0.690.153.391.43-2.181.99

    HR_STRIPS7.085.480.230.100.060.167.265.42-0.180.061.341.041.261.74

    CR1.671.410.560.380.030.062.211.73-0.54-0.320.460.385.545.64

    GP0.600.500.320.270.030.070.890.69-0.29-0.190.630.332.713.38

    CC0.120.110.030.030.010.010.150.13-0.03-0.020.070.040.260.39

    ELECT. STEEL0.240.150.080.120.010.010.310.27-0.07-0.120.080.070.961.33

    STEEL PRODUCTS33.1026.771.931.631.341.5133.6926.89-0.59-0.1217.1510.144.7915.42

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.1.981.751.502.20N.A.N.A.-0.480.4523.2913.66-0.2215.62

    COKE20.3316.860.000.000.821.6819.5115.190.8207641.67717710.6112.05-10.61-12.05

    IRON ORE38.2728.2222.2716.330.000.0060.5544.55-22.274-16.3318010.000.00221.21167.40

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    china_Jan-Oct, 2005 (2)

    CHINA

    PERIOD : JAN-OCT(Qty's in mt)

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET IMPORT

    2005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.1.133.726.143.52N.A.N.A.-5.010.20

    M / H PLATES25.8221.581.213.423.391.4323.6423.57-2.181.99

    HR_STRIPS65.2646.502.602.781.341.0466.5248.241.261.74

    CR16.2612.536.006.020.460.3821.8118.175.545.64

    GP4.453.403.343.710.630.337.166.782.713.38

    CC1.360.900.330.430.070.041.621.290.260.39

    ELECT. STEEL1.981.361.041.400.080.072.942.680.961.33

    STEEL PRODUCTS301.92240.2821.9325.5617.1510.14306.70255.694.7915.42

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.23.0629.2823.2913.66N.A.N.A.-0.2215.62

    COKE188.76148.710.000.0010.6112.05178.15136.66-10.61-12.05

    IRON ORE318.96243.89221.21167.400.000.00540.16411.29221.21167.40

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    china_Oct-05

    CHINA

    (Qty's in mt)

    OCTOBER(Qty's in mt)JANUARY - OCTOBER

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET IMPORTOUTPUTAPP. CONSUMP.

    20052004200520042005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.0.050.120.160.69N.A.N.A.0.110.57N.A.N.A.N.A.N.A.

    M / H PLATES2.852.350.960.090.270.243.552.20-0.690.1525.8221.5823.6423.57

    HR_STRIPS7.085.480.230.100.060.167.265.42-0.180.0665.2646.5066.5248.24

    CR1.671.410.560.380.030.062.211.73-0.54-0.3216.2612.5321.8118.17

    GP0.600.500.320.270.030.070.890.69-0.29-0.194.453.407.166.78

    CC0.120.110.030.030.010.010.150.13-0.03-0.021.360.901.621.29

    ELECT. STEEL0.240.150.080.120.010.010.310.27-0.07-0.121.981.362.942.68

    STEEL PRODUCTS33.1026.771.931.631.341.5133.6926.89-0.59-0.12301.92240.28306.70255.69

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.1.981.751.502.20N.A.N.A.-0.480.45N.A.N.A.N.A.N.A.

    COKE20.3316.860.000.000.821.6819.5115.190.8207641.677177188.76148.71178.15136.66

    IRON ORE38.2728.2222.2716.330.000.0060.5544.55-22.274-16.331801318.96243.89540.16411.29

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    china_Jan-Oct, 2005

    CHINA

    PERIOD : JAN-OCT(Qty's in mt)(Qty's in mt)

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET IMPORT

    2005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.1.133.726.143.52N.A.N.A.-5.010.20

    M / H PLATES25.8221.581.213.423.391.4323.6423.57-2.181.99

    HR_STRIPS65.2646.502.602.781.341.0466.5248.241.261.74

    CR16.2612.536.006.020.460.3821.8118.175.545.64

    GP4.453.403.343.710.630.337.166.782.713.38

    CC1.360.900.330.430.070.041.621.290.260.39

    ELECT. STEEL1.981.361.041.400.080.072.942.680.961.33

    STEEL PRODUCTS301.92240.2821.9325.5617.1510.14306.70255.694.7915.42

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.23.0629.2823.2913.66N.A.N.A.-0.2215.62

    COKE188.76148.710.000.0010.6112.05178.15136.66-10.61-12.05

    IRON ORE318.96243.89221.21167.400.000.00540.16411.29221.21167.40

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    iNDIA_Auto

    PRODUCTION

    PERIOD : JAN - NOV

    CATEGORY

    20042005%-VAR.

    PASSENGER VEHICLES785$840$(55)7%

    MED. / HVY. COMML. VEHICLES$130$108$22-17%

    LIGHT COMML. VEHICLES$84$139$(55)65%

    TOTAL AUTOMOBILE (4-WH.)$999$1,087$(88)9%

    2 & 3 - WHEELERS$4,478$5,266$(788)18%

    $5,477$6,35316%

    iNDIA_Auto

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    &A

    Page &P

    2004

    2005

    %-VAR.

    PRODUCTION ('000 UNITS)

    %-VARIANCE

    us_IMP._COATED

    INDIA-US

    20002001200220032004JAN-SEPT, 2004JAN-SEPT, 2005

    TOTAL186154206157277251228

    INDIA243116545126

    %-SAHRE1%3%15%10%20%20%12%

    us_IMP._COATED

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    &A

    Page &P

    TOTAL

    INDIA

    %-SAHRE

    US_COATED STEEL_AVG. MTHLY IMPORTS ('000 mt)

    %-SHARE OF COATED STEEL IMPORTS FROM INDIA

    India-Exp-US_Jan-Oct-05

    Indian exports to US ---- Qty. in Metric Tonnes (2005)

    5-Jan5-Feb5-Mar5-Apr5-May5-Jun5-Jul5-Aug5-Sep5-OctTotal 2005

    1Semis20.4818.129.516.449.5612.44089.122.770.91239.28

    2Plates in Coils..........0

    3Sheets Hot Rolled88.4123405.64,034946.4432.1....6,030

    4CR1,6091,5466467785918357781,2357041,91010,632

    5Sheets & Strip Galv Hot Dipped26,18327,20042,16247,66730,75223,9392,02427,3169,23028,294264,767

    6Sheets & Strip All Other Metalic Coat..246.9......295.2542

    7Electrical SteelNot Available

    8Bars-Hot rolled681.1369.2281.9471.9336.5220.7349.7322.9211.15493,794

    9Bars-Cold Finished1,1231,2511,4501,2601,7609261,2451,1241,2011,03912,379

    10Total Bars1,8041,6201,7321,7322,0971,1471,5951,4471,4121,58816,173

    11Bars-Reinforcing42.8........4386

    12Wire Rods.52.134.933.518.334.817.5...191

    13Standard Pipe6,5092,5312,3022,588827.22,2881,1262,1031,0943,91225,280

    All Products44,17940,21655,10361,04443,04573,0609,89836,45039,49943,170445,664

    Coated_Jan-Oct, 20041109801193381921801921802195062331163160813454013697653541133262302,778,890

    All Products

    Sheets & Strip Galv Hot Dipped

    Standard Pipe

    Bars-Cold Finished

    Sheets Hot Rolled

    Bars-Hot rolled

    Wire Rods

    Plates in Coils

    Bars-Reinforcing

    Sheets & Strip All Other Metalic Coat

    US_Imp_NOV, 2005

    US DATA

    Y-O-Y

    NOV-04NOV-05 (P)% Var

    1Semis686421-39%

    2Plates204135-34%

    3HR439211-52%

    4CR297160-46%

    5HDG299180-40%

    6Electrical Steel106-44%

    7Hot Rolled Bars121105-13%

    8Rebars1531594%

    9Wire-Rods203109-46%

    10Total Steel31152145-31.1%

    -970

    -31%

    US_Imp_NOV, 2005

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    NOV-04

    NOV-05 (P)

    US_Imp_Jan-Nov, 2005

    US DATA

    Y-O-Y

    JAN-NOV, 2004JAN-NOV, 2005% Var

    1Semis62275564-11%

    2Plates172117653%

    3HR36752632-28%

    4CR21901719-22%

    5HDG23941889-21%

    6Electrical Steel7370-5%

    7Hot Rolled Bars14501388-4%

    8Rebars17001188-30%

    9Wire-Rods31522116-33%

    10Total Steel2983226439-11.4%

    -3393

    -11%

    0-970

    0-0

    US_Imp_Jan-Nov, 2005

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    JAN-NOV, 2004

    JAN-NOV, 2005

    US_Imp_Jan-OCT, 2005_W.S.

    US DATA

    Y-O-Y

    Jan-Oct-04Jan-Oct-05% Var

    1Semis55415142-7%

    2Plates151616297%

    3HR32352421-25%

    4CR18921559-18%

    5HDG20951708-18%

    6Electrical Steel63641%

    7Hot Rolled Bars13291283-3%

    8Rebars15471029-33%

    9Wire-Rods29492007-32%

    10Total Steel2671624294-9%

    0-970

    0-0

    USD-INR_Sept_Oct, 2005

    1st Sept-0510th Oct-05VARIANCE%-VARIANCE

    USD ~ INR44.1344.630.51.1%

    EU ~ USD1.23361.2111-0.02-1.8%

    USD ~ YEN110.71113.813.12.8%

    USD-INR_Sept_Oct, 2005

    0

    0

    0

    Sheet7

    INDICATIVE HOME PRICE : FOB_MILL (USD / mt)

    PRODUCTUSEUCHINAINDIA

    HR550385-505384470-505

    CR680560-645604636

    GP770580-645609659

    Sheet6 (2)

    DOMESTIC : HR - MATERIAL BALANCE ESTIMATE & PROJECTION

    PRODUCERS2005-06_EXPECTED2006-07_PROJECTED

    CAPACITYHR-DOM.CAPTIVEDOMESTICIMPORTSTOTALBALANCECAPACITYHR-DOM.CAPTIVEDOMESTICIMPORTSTOTALBALANCE

    SAIL5500370015005200N.A.52003005500370015005200N.A.5200300

    TATA310089019202810N.A.28102903200100020003000N.A.3000200

    ESSAR300014702301700N.A.170013004100180015003300N.A.3300800

    JSW220010002001200N.A.120010003000150010002500N.A.2500500

    ISPAT25001740601800N.A.1800700360015005002000N.A.20001600

    TOTAL16300880039101271012001391035901940095006500160001200172003400

    2004-051407077753349111248001192421461630088003910127101200139103590

    %-VAR.16%13%17%14%50%17%67%19%8%66%26%0%24%-5%

    Sheet6

    DOMESTIC : HR - MATERIAL BALANCE ESTIMATE & PROJECTION

    PRODUCERS2005-06_EXPECTED2006-07_PROJECTED

    CAPACITYHR-DOM.CAPTIVEIMPORTSTOTALBALANCECAPACITYHR-DOM.CAPTIVEIMPORTSTOTALBALANCE

    SAIL550037001500N.A.5200300550037001500N.A.5200300

    TATA31008901920N.A.2810290320010002000N.A.3000200

    ESSAR30001470230N.A.17001300410018001500N.A.3300800

    JSW22001000200N.A.12001000300015001000N.A.2500500

    ISPAT2500174060N.A.180070036001500500N.A.20001600

    TOTAL1630088003910120013910359019400950065001200172003400

    Y-O-Y140707775334980011924214616300880039101200139103590

    %-VAR.16%13%17%50%17%67%19%8%66%0%24%-5%

    CHINA VS INDIA_PRICE_MKT PRICE

    LOCAL MARKET PRICES (INCL. E.D. / VAT)0

    PRODUCTCHINAlesslessINDIADIFF.

    YUAN / mtUSD / mtINR / mtUSD / mtUSD / mt

    IRON ORE_Fe-63%75092100650575105624-68

    BILLET29803671002880239022500511144

    SLAB300037010029002406N.A.N.A.N.A.

    HR_3.0mm CTL38504751003750311227300620146

    CR_0.6mm6000740100590048963475079050

    HDG_0.4mm6150758100605050203550080748

    Sheet2

    SEPT-05 .. PRODUCTION / SHIPMENTSSEPT-05 .. BOOKINGS

    USEUROPEMIDDLE EASTCHINAUSEUROPEMIDDLE EASTCHINA

    0.3mm0.6mm0.7mm0.21-0.29mm0.3mm0.6mm0.7mm0.21-0.29mm

    120-GSM275-GSM225-GSM120-GSM120-GSM275-GSM225-GSM120-GSM

    CNF610573630620790620660670

    OCEAN FREIGHT6050252760502527

    FOB550523605593730570635643

    USD ~ INR43.543.543.543.543.543.543.543.5

    2392522768263182579631755247952762327971

    DEPB95791110531032127099211051119

    2488223679273702682733025257872872729089

    LOCAL FRT500500500500500500500500

    NET REALISATION2438223179268702632732525252872822728589

    IND. PRICE2160021600216002160021600216002160021600

    SPREAD278215795270472710925368766276989

    =

    DOMESTIC PRICE_0.4mm30750270002675032250

    INDIA_PRICE_IMPORT PARITY

    PRODUCTLOCAL MARKET PRICEIMP. PARITYIMP. OFFERS

    INR / mtUSD / mtUSD / mtUSD / mt

    HR_SHEET GUAGE26500602472420-460

    HR_PLATE GUAGE27200618485420-460

    CRCA_0.6mm34750790619N.A.

    HDG_0.4mm35500807633N.A.

    China_Import Equv. Price

    PRODUCTLOCAL MARKET PRICE (INCL. VAT)lesslessIMP. EQUV. PRICEEXP. EQUV. PRICEREBATEEXP. EQUV. PRICE

    YUAN / mtUSD / mtCFR_USD / mtUSD / mtFOB_USD / mt

    IRON ORE_Fe-63%6908510059052264750N.A.

    BILLET2980367100288023902953140314

    SLAB3000370100290024062973160316

    HR_3.0mm CTL38504751003750311238440645361

    CR_0.7mm60007401005900489660463270563

    HDG_0.5mm60507461005950493760963870567

    China_Iron Ore Imports_H-1' (2)

    Jan-Jul .. 7-Months .. %-SHARE

    2004200420052005

    AUSTRALIA40.523561.4640

    INDIA29.942637.0424

    BRAZIL24.652129.6119

    S. AFRICA7.0566.474

    TOTAL_IMPORTS115.93100152.82100

    China_Iron Ore Imports_H-1' (2)

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    2005

    2005

    2004

    2004

    IRON ORE_IMPORT_QTY (Mt)

    China_Iron Ore Imports_H-1'05

    Jan-Jul .. 7-Months

    20042005

    AUSTRALIA40.5261.4661.46

    INDIA29.9437.0437.04

    BRAZIL24.6529.6129.61

    S. AFRICA7.056.476.47

    TOTAL_IMPORTS115.93152.82152.82

    China_Iron Ore Imports_H-1'05

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    2004

    2005

    IRON ORE_IMPORT_QTY (Mt)

    china_sept. 2005

    CHINA

    PERIOD : SEPT(Qty's in mt)

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET EXPORT

    2005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.0.1140.0940.1380.639N.A.N.A.0.0240.545

    M / H PLATES2.712.200.280.150.310.272.692.080.0220.12

    HR_STRIPS6.645.310.370.150.130.146.895.32-0.245-0.01

    CR1.781.390.720.400.040.042.461.75-0.68-0.36

    GP0.500.320.370.300.040.050.830.57-0.33-0.25

    CC0.160.090.040.030.010.010.190.12-0.033-0.027

    STEEL PRODUCTS30.3524.822.501.781.361.3131.4925.29-1.14-0.47

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.2.611.871.501.95N.A.N.A.-1.1160.075

    COKE18.8116.170.000.000.752.1018.0714.070.7452.1

    IRON ORE34.3127.5423.0218.720.000.0057.3346.26-23.02-18.72

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    china_jan-sept. 2005

    CHINA

    PERIOD : JAN-SEPT(Qty's in mt)

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET EXPORT

    2005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.1.083.605.992.83N.A.N.A.4.91-0.77

    M / H PLATES22.9819.231.654.674.051.4620.5822.442.4-3.21

    HR_STRIPS58.2541.032.372.681.280.8859.3442.83-1.09-1.8

    CR14.5611.125.445.640.440.3219.5616.44-5-5.32

    GP3.852.903.023.440.600.266.276.08-2.42-3.18

    CC1.240.800.300.400.060.031.481.17-0.24-0.37

    STEEL PRODUCTS255.28200.4019.9923.9315.808.63259.47215.70-4.19-15.3

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.21.0727.5321.7911.46N.A.N.A.0.72-16.07

    COKE167.80131.860.000.009.7910.37158.01121.499.7910.37

    IRON ORE279.65215.78198.93151.070.000.00478.58366.85-198.93-151.07

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    Sheet4

    Sheet3

    JAN-05FEB-05MAR-05APR-05MAY-05JUN-05JUL-05AUG-05

    2.0mm_COIL2725027500275002900029000265002400022500

    5-10mm_CTL3250032900341003550035500320002850026500

    Sheet3

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    2.0mm_COIL

    5-10mm_CTL

    Rs. / mt

    DOMESTIC PRICE TREND

    US-Import

    PRODUCTMONTHLYJAN - JUN

    20052004Y-O-Y20052004Y-O-Y

    SEMIS448640-30%3161.43087.32%

    TOTAL STEEL23273045.8-24%15120.2114128.787%

    HR207375-45%1547.81530.31%

    CR127231-45%1022.0587317%

    HDG161253-36%1140.194621%

    China-Import & Exports

    PRODUCTEXPORT (MnT)IMPORT (MnT)NET IMPORT (MnT)

    20052004Y-O-Y20052004Y-O-Y20052004Y-O-Y

    SEMIS4.71.3262%0.80.4100%-3.9-0.9333%

    STEEL PRODUCTS11.64.6152%13.218.1-27%1.613.5-88%

    TOTAL STEEL16.35.9176%1418.5-24%-2.312.6-118%

    FLAT STEEL5.31.4279%11.515.6-26%6.214.2-56%

    AUTO_DOM.

    CATEGORYPRODUCTION

    20052004VARIANCE

    NO'S%

    PASSENGER VEHICLES$515,446$473,349$42,0979%

    MED. / HVY. COMML. VEHICLES$81,855$78,735$3,1204%

    LIGHT COMML. VEHICLES$62,511$50,615$11,89624%

    TOTAL COMML. VEHICLES$144,366$129,350$15,01612%

    TOTAL AUTO VEHICLES$659,812$602,699$57,1139%

    2 & 3 - WHEELERS$3,023,338$2,611,667$411,67116%

    GRAND TOTAL$3,683,150$3,214,366$468,78415%

    IISI_CRUDE STEEL-1

    COUNTRYJUN-05JUN-04%-VAR.JAN-JUN

    20052004%-VAR.

    ASIA46.63919%273233.617%

    %-SHARE52%46%50%46%

    BRIC38.532.319%230.7192.120%

    %-SHARE43%38%42%38%

    EU-2515.516.6-7%96.598.2-2%

    %-SHARE17%19%18%19%

    NAFTA9.910.9-9%63.664.7-2%

    %-SHARE11%13%12%13%

    CHINA28.521.533%164.9128.528%

    %-SHARE32%25%30%25%

    WORLD89.785.35%546.3507.98%

    WORLD (-) CHINA61.263.8-4%381.4379.41%

    %-SHARE68%75%70%75%

    IISI_CRUDE STEEL-2

    COUNTRYJUN-05JUN-04%-VAR.JAN-JUN

    20052004%-VAR.

    CHINA28.521.533%164.9128.528%

    INDIA2.92.612%17.815.912%

    RUSSIA4.65.4-15%32.131.62%

    BRAZIL2.52.8-11%15.916.1-1%

    JAPAN9.59.41%56.755.82%

    THE US7.28.2-12%4748.3-3%

    EU-1513.714.5-5%85.285.4-0%

  • Production upto Dec, 05 vs Dec, 04Volume mt7%26%28%13%

    Chart1

    2.6252.811

    1.3171.655

    1.2411.595

    0.5040.569

    Upto Dec, 04

    Upto Dec, 05

    Sheet5

    Capacity availableAt 2.5 mtpaAt 3.8 mtpa

    Pellet4.25.0

    Slabs2.63.9

    HR Coils2.02.5

    HR Plates0.10.2

    CR Products1.01.0

    GP / GC0.90.9

    Colour coated0.10.1

    Upto 31st Dec. 04Key financial ratiosUpto 31st Dec. 05

    ROCE

    ROE

    Cash EPS

    Book value per share

    Market value per share

    Book value per MT

    Implementation cost per MT

    Results Q3

    Q3, 05Current quarterQ2, 06

    Goss sales182116431688

    Net sales171515181540

    EBIDTA591438393

    EBIDTA Margin34%29%26%

    Interest1169099

    Depreciation105118126

    Profit before tax369231168

    Profir after tax225139106

    EPS:

    - Basic1797

    - Diluted86

    Upto Dec. 05Upto Dec, 04

    Goss sales50314744

    Net sales45974497

    EBIDTA13381493

    EBIDTA Margin29%33%

    Interest279362

    Depreciation351315

    Profit before tax709813

    Profir after tax446466

    EPS:

    - Basic2934

    - Diluted2731

    pdtn 9 mth vol

    ProductionUpto Dec, 04Upto Dec, 05

    Pellets2.6252.811

    Crude steel1.3171.655

    HR Coils / sheets1.2411.595

    GP / GC0.5040.569

    SalesUpto Dec, 04Upto Dec, 05

    Pellets0.5760.382

    HR Coils / sheets0.710.877

    GP / GC0.4970.541

    pdtn 9 mth vol

    00

    00

    00

    Upto Dec, 04

    Upto Dec, 05

    cost curve

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Upto Dec, 04

    Upto Dec, 05

    Sheet2

    RankCountry (source WSD June 2005 report)Average operating cost($/ton)

    1Russia250

    2Brazil266

    3India266

    4China335

    5USA343

    6Taiwan353

    7South Korea362

    8E. Europe363

    9Canada365

    10Australia375

    11Japan378

    12USA388

    13Europe445

    Sheet2

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Average operating cost($/ton)

    Sheet4

    Sheet1

    MEPS - ASIAND class=main12 vAlign=top align=left width=912>

    MEPS - ASIAN CARBON STEEL PRODUCT PRICE INDEX - WITH INDIVIDUAL PRODUCT FORECASTS

    (Based on US$ values)

    JAN 1997 = 100

    All tables and forecasts are updated monthly.

    DateHot Rolled CoilHot Rolled PlateCold Rolled CoilHD Galv. Coil*Wire Rod (mesh)Structural Sections & BeamsReinforcing Bar

    Nov-03102.496.795.288.889.392.797.4

    Dec102.496.795.489.789.393.598.7

    Jan-04104.8102.596.794.694.5101.2104.3

    Feb111.8104.9101.198.6109.8111.6120.5

    Mar128.7119.3108.9104.4121.7118.4135.3

    Apr136.6127115110.5124.8124138

    May137.8128.6112110.7120.5121.1134.3

    Jun134.1127.2111.1110.7119.3119.1128.1

    Jul139.9130.2114.8111.6119.3118.2130

    Aug138.4128.6113.5110118116.7128.7

    Sep149.8137.3120.3115.2122.6118.6133.3

    Oct151.1138.1123.5115.8124.2119.6140.3

    Nov155.9144.7130.7123.1126.3122.8143.2

    Dec161.9149.9135.7128.5127.8125.7146.5

    Jan-05167.1153.7143.4129.4126.3127.4142.9

    Feb167.4155149.5133.3130.3126.6146.9

    Mar174.6162.9155.3139.2136.7128.1150.8

    Apr174162.7154.2134.7132.4127.1146.9

    May175.5164.9155.6138133127.8146.5

    Jun162.2156.9144.9130.8127.5124.5133.3

    Jul148149136.8121.9121.7117.4127.7

    Aug150.2151.2138.8123.8123.9119.1129.7

    Sep144.4146.6133.6121.9123.5120.8134

    Oct135.3141.7125.7116.8119.9118.6135

    Nov NOVEMBER & DECEMBER STEEL PRICES ARE NOW AVAILABLE TO SUBSCRIBERS

    Purchase the above table with latest monthly price updates for only GBP 90 per annum.

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    Dec

    Jan-06

    Feb

    Mar

    Apr

    May

    Jun

    Jul

    Aug

    Sep

    Oct

    Nov

    Dec

    Subscriber Login to MEPS Steel Prices On-line

    * - China not included.

    Note:- Prices are derived from an arithmetic average of the low transaction values identified in Japan, Taiwan, South Korea and China - collected in national currencies and converted into US dollars using currency exchange rates effective at the start of

    Steel prices are also available for Japan, Taiwan, South Korea and China in MEPS

    International Steel Review

    Click here for product and price definitions

    The information in the tables, charts and commentaries have been calculated from respondents who we consider provide accurate intelligence on the relevant steel markets. We make our best endeavors to be assured that the information is correct and that our

    Our predictions are based on a wide experience of steel consumption patterns. However, steel prices can be influenced by a number of factors. These include currency exchange rates, raw material costs, trade regulations including import safeguard measures,

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    pdtnQ3 vol

    DateHot Rolled CoilHot Rolled PlateCold Rolled CoilHD Galv. CoilElectro Zinc=53>HD Galv. CoilElectro Zinc CoilWire Rod (mesh)Structural Sections & BeamsRebarMerchant Bar

    Nov-03343361427490475315390318342

    Dec354367434502488323403327353

    Jan-04386400474546524348443355391

    Feb414432501573547396482404422

    Mar474506563650631479544503511

    Apr513540596682654498585517543

    May549575614706681498594511547

    Jun571602649739715492591496541

    Jul585633665754736483584474535

    Aug580627659747728478578470530

    Sep640704709796768494616511546

    Oct644717723799779500633508547

    Nov653734735824808511651510562

    Dec648750737830823512667510566

    Jan-05650756746824828494651493539

    Feb635740739809815489634486528

    Mar638753750818834487632478529

    Apr619744725788814474615468517

    May598729706766811472606464513

    Jun545696649720769433566426487

    Jul493655599674727422536420469

    Aug503668611687738428547428479

    Sep518680621705728474608483531

    Oct517676615698709472614484535

    Nov NOVEMBER & DECEMBER STEEL PRICES ARE NOW AVAILABLE TO SUBSCRIBERS

    Purchase the above table with latest monthly price updates for only GBP 60 per annum.

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    Dec

    Jan-06

    Feb

    Mar

    Apr

    May

    Jun

    Jul

    Aug

    Sep

    Oct

    Nov

    Dec

    Subscriber Login to MEPS Steel Prices On-line

    Note:- Prices are an arithmetic average of the low transaction values identified in three regions (EU, Asia, and North America), converted into US dollars.

    Steel transaction prices are also available for USA, Canada, China, Japan, South Korea Taiwan, Germany, France, Italy, UK, Spain, Czech Rep, and Poland in MEPS

    International Steel Review

    Click here for product and price definitions

    The information in the tables, charts and commentaries have been calculated from respondents who we consider provide accurate intelligence on the relevant steel markets. We make our best endeavours to be assured that the information is correct and that ou

    Our predictions are based on a wide experience of steel consumption patterns. However, steel prices can be influenced by a number of factors. These include currency exchange rates, raw material costs, trade regulations including import safeguard measures,

    (see license Terms and Conditions)

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    Demand

    ProductionQ3, 05Q3, 06 Current quarterQ2, 06

    Pellets0.9480.9610.942

    Crude steel0.5390.5700.553

    HR Coils / sheets0.5060.5330.549

    GP / GC0.1750.2060.203

    SalesQ3, 05Q3, 06 Current quarterQ2, 06

    Pellets0.1920.1210.149

    HR Coils / sheets0.2900.2780.321

    GP / GC0.1650.2040.207

    Demand

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Q3, 05

    Q3, 06 Current quarter

    Q2, 06

    price & production

    000

    000

    000

    Q3, 05

    Q3, 06 Current quarter

    Q2, 06

    IISI apparent steel demand forecast

    20052006200420052006

    Africa2021World9719981050

    Middle East2931Asia Pacific502534570

    Cntral and South america3336534570

    CIS4548

    NAFTA145149

    Europe190198

    Asia Pacific534570

    World998965

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    2005

    2006

    00

    00

    00

    &A

    Page &P

    World

    Asia Pacific

    MarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovember

    200520052005200520052005200520052005

    European Union (25)16.416.016.215.514.413.215.016.415.9

    Other Europe2.42.42.42.42.32.52.52.52.4

    C.I.S.9.79.49.68.18.49.38.89.19.6

    North America11.010.811.110.010.210.510.510.710.3

    South America3.93.93.93.63.73.83.63.83.8

    Africa1.51.51.61.61.61.51.51.51.4

    Middle East1.21.21.31.21.21.21.21.21.3

    Asia/Oceania (ex. China)19.218.719.618.719.319.018.619.718.9

    Total Above65.364.065.761.261.161.061.864.963.6

    China27.528.129.728.529.230.530.431.730.5

    MonthMarch, 05April, 05May, 05June, 05July, 05August, 05September, 05October, 05November, 05

    Total 61 countries92.992.195.489.790.391.492.196.694.1

    China27.528.129.728.529.230.530.431.730.5

    MonthMarch, 05April, 05May, 05June, 05July, 05August, 05September, 05October, 05November, 05

    Total 61 countries92.992.195.489.790.391.492.196.694.1

    Prices638619598545493503518517

    MonthMar, 05Apr, 05May, 05Jun, 05Jul, 05Aug, 05Sep, 05Oct, 05Nov, 05

    Prices(World)638619598545493503518517

    Prices(India)812839824782736679682675678

    Jan-05167.1

    Feb167.4

    Mar174.6

    Apr174

    May175.5

    Jun162.2

    Jul148

    Aug150.2

    Sep144.4

    Oct135.3

    92.8587

    92.0679

    95.3911

    89.7308

    90.3196

    91.434

    92.1211

    96.6068

    94.1116

    Total 61 countries

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Prices(World)

    92.858727.5439

    92.067928.0858

    95.391129.7296

    89.730828.5474

    90.319629.2438

    91.43430.4563

    92.121130.3571

    96.606831.6729

    94.111630.4776

    &A

    Page &P

    Total 61 countries

    China

    92.8587638

    92.0679619

    95.3911598

    89.7308545

    90.3196493

    91.434503

    92.1211518

    96.6068517

    94.1116November, 05

    &A

    Page &P

    Total 61 countries

    Prices

    167.1

    167.4

    174.6

    174

    175.5

    162.2

    148

    150.2

    144.4

    135.3

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    &A

    Page &P

    Prices(World)

    Prices(India)

    MBD0004CD6F.xls

    Chart2

    8.27214.33216.26625.095

    7.39213.23815.10624.806

    8.12114.3416.40427.544

    7.95214.12115.96728.086

    8.08214.26216.17629.73

    7.2513.72215.45128.547

    7.55712.75614.40629.244

    7.7411.57713.16430.456

    7.7913.27414.98430.357

    8.00414.5116.40431.673

    7.713.8515.89330.479

    USA

    EU-15

    EU-25

    CHINA

    COUNTRYWISE CRUDE STEEL PROD. (MnT)

    CHINA CRUDE STEEL PROD. (MnT)

    WORLD STEEL PROD. TREND (2)

    USAEU-15EU-25CHINAWORLD

    JAN-05$8$14$16$25$90

    FEB-05$7$13$15$25$84

    MAR-05$8$14$16$28$93

    APR-05$8$14$16$28$92

    MAY-05$8$14$16$30$95

    JUN-05$7$14$15$29$90

    JUL-05$8$13$14$29$90

    AUG-05$8$12$13$30$91

    SEPT-05$8$13$15$30$92

    OCT-05$8$15$16$32$97

    NOV-05$8$14$16$30$94

    WORLD STEEL PROD. TREND (2)

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    &A

    Page &P

    WORLD

    GLOBAL CRUDE STEEL PROD. (MnT)

    WORLD STEEL PROD. TREND (1)

    USAEU-15EU-25CHINAWORLD

    JAN-05$8$14$16$25$90

    FEB-05$7$13$15$25$84

    MAR-05$8$14$16$28$93

    APR-05$8$14$16$28$92

    MAY-05$8$14$16$30$95

    JUN-05$7$14$15$29$90

    JUL-05$8$13$14$29$90

    AUG-05$8$12$13$30$91

    SEPT-05$8$13$15$30$92

    OCT-05$8$15$16$32$97

    NOV-05$8$14$16$30$94

    WORLD STEEL PROD. TREND (1)

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    &A

    Page &P

    USA

    EU-15

    EU-25

    CHINA

    COUNTRYWISE CRUDE STEEL PROD. (MnT)

    WORLD CRUDE STEEL PROD. (MnT)

    USA_DOM. SHIPMENTS

    US SHIPMENTS

    JAN-OCT, 2005 v/s 2004

    SEGMENT%-VAR

    AUTO2.5%

    CONSTRUCTION3.3%

    OIL & GAS7.4%

    STOCKISTS-7.5%

    IND. EQUIP.-3.0%

    WHITE-GOODS-3.7%

    CAN / CONTAINERS-15.5%

    ELECT. EQUIP.-5.5%

    TOTAL-9.2%

    USA_DOM. SHIPMENTS

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    %-VAR

    %-VAR._JAN-OCT, 2005 SHIPMENTS (Y-O-Y)

    India_GDP

    2004-05Q-1, 2005-06Q-2, 2005-06

    AGRICULTURE1.12.02.0

    INDUSTRY7.79.77.5

    SERVICE8.99.810.1

    TOTAL6.98.18.0

    India_GDP

    0000

    0000

    0000

    AGRICULTURE

    INDUSTRY

    SERVICE

    TOTAL

    %-VARIANCE

    CIS EXPORT PRICES

    CIS : EXPORT PRICES FOR SHIPMENT AS OF 28TH NOV-05

    (Price in USD / mt)

    PRODUCTSIZE (MM)UKRAINE_FOB BLACK SEARUSSIA_FOB BLACK SEARUSSIA_FOB FAR EAST

    HRC2 - 8335-350365-370330-350

    REBAR12 - 25350-365350-365340-345

    WIRE-ROD6.5 - 8350-360350-360330-350

    BILLET100 - 150290-300300-310315-320

    world_capacity_proj.

    GLOBAL : SURPLUS CAPACITY

    (Qty's in Mt)

    20052004200520042004200520042005 (E)%-VAR.2010 (P)%-CAGR_2005 v/s 2010

    DEMANDN.A.N.A.0.050.12971N.A.N.A.9982.8%12073.9%

    PRODUCTION2.852.350.960.091057-1053.190.0011256.4%13603.9%

    CAPACITY7.085.480.230.101184-1176.680.0012505.6%16005.1%

    SURPLUS CAPACITY1.671.410.560.38127-124.770.00125-1.6%24013.9%

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    china_Oct-05 (2)

    CHINA

    (Qty's in mt)

    OCTOBERJANUARY - OCTOBER

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET IMPORTEXPNET IMPORT

    20052004200520042005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.0.050.120.160.69N.A.N.A.0.110.576.143.52-5.010.20

    M / H PLATES2.852.350.960.090.270.243.552.20-0.690.153.391.43-2.181.99

    HR_STRIPS7.085.480.230.100.060.167.265.42-0.180.061.341.041.261.74

    CR1.671.410.560.380.030.062.211.73-0.54-0.320.460.385.545.64

    GP0.600.500.320.270.030.070.890.69-0.29-0.190.630.332.713.38

    CC0.120.110.030.030.010.010.150.13-0.03-0.020.070.040.260.39

    ELECT. STEEL0.240.150.080.120.010.010.310.27-0.07-0.120.080.070.961.33

    STEEL PRODUCTS33.1026.771.931.631.341.5133.6926.89-0.59-0.1217.1510.144.7915.42

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.1.981.751.502.20N.A.N.A.-0.480.4523.2913.66-0.2215.62

    COKE20.3316.860.000.000.821.6819.5115.190.8207641.67717710.6112.05-10.61-12.05

    IRON ORE38.2728.2222.2716.330.000.0060.5544.55-22.274-16.3318010.000.00221.21167.40

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    china_Jan-Oct, 2005 (2)

    CHINA

    PERIOD : JAN-OCT(Qty's in mt)

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET IMPORT

    2005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.1.133.726.143.52N.A.N.A.-5.010.20

    M / H PLATES25.8221.581.213.423.391.4323.6423.57-2.181.99

    HR_STRIPS65.2646.502.602.781.341.0466.5248.241.261.74

    CR16.2612.536.006.020.460.3821.8118.175.545.64

    GP4.453.403.343.710.630.337.166.782.713.38

    CC1.360.900.330.430.070.041.621.290.260.39

    ELECT. STEEL1.981.361.041.400.080.072.942.680.961.33

    STEEL PRODUCTS301.92240.2821.9325.5617.1510.14306.70255.694.7915.42

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.23.0629.2823.2913.66N.A.N.A.-0.2215.62

    COKE188.76148.710.000.0010.6112.05178.15136.66-10.61-12.05

    IRON ORE318.96243.89221.21167.400.000.00540.16411.29221.21167.40

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    china_Oct-05

    CHINA

    (Qty's in mt)

    OCTOBER(Qty's in mt)JANUARY - OCTOBER

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET IMPORTOUTPUTAPP. CONSUMP.

    20052004200520042005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.0.050.120.160.69N.A.N.A.0.110.57N.A.N.A.N.A.N.A.

    M / H PLATES2.852.350.960.090.270.243.552.20-0.690.1525.8221.5823.6423.57

    HR_STRIPS7.085.480.230.100.060.167.265.42-0.180.0665.2646.5066.5248.24

    CR1.671.410.560.380.030.062.211.73-0.54-0.3216.2612.5321.8118.17

    GP0.600.500.320.270.030.070.890.69-0.29-0.194.453.407.166.78

    CC0.120.110.030.030.010.010.150.13-0.03-0.021.360.901.621.29

    ELECT. STEEL0.240.150.080.120.010.010.310.27-0.07-0.121.981.362.942.68

    STEEL PRODUCTS33.1026.771.931.631.341.5133.6926.89-0.59-0.12301.92240.28306.70255.69

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.1.981.751.502.20N.A.N.A.-0.480.45N.A.N.A.N.A.N.A.

    COKE20.3316.860.000.000.821.6819.5115.190.8207641.677177188.76148.71178.15136.66

    IRON ORE38.2728.2222.2716.330.000.0060.5544.55-22.274-16.331801318.96243.89540.16411.29

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    china_Jan-Oct, 2005

    CHINA

    PERIOD : JAN-OCT(Qty's in mt)(Qty's in mt)

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET IMPORT

    2005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.1.133.726.143.52N.A.N.A.-5.010.20

    M / H PLATES25.8221.581.213.423.391.4323.6423.57-2.181.99

    HR_STRIPS65.2646.502.602.781.341.0466.5248.241.261.74

    CR16.2612.536.006.020.460.3821.8118.175.545.64

    GP4.453.403.343.710.630.337.166.782.713.38

    CC1.360.900.330.430.070.041.621.290.260.39

    ELECT. STEEL1.981.361.041.400.080.072.942.680.961.33

    STEEL PRODUCTS301.92240.2821.9325.5617.1510.14306.70255.694.7915.42

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.23.0629.2823.2913.66N.A.N.A.-0.2215.62

    COKE188.76148.710.000.0010.6112.05178.15136.66-10.61-12.05

    IRON ORE318.96243.89221.21167.400.000.00540.16411.29221.21167.40

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    iNDIA_Auto

    PRODUCTION

    PERIOD : JAN - NOV

    CATEGORY

    20042005%-VAR.

    PASSENGER VEHICLES785$840$(55)7%

    MED. / HVY. COMML. VEHICLES$130$108$22-17%

    LIGHT COMML. VEHICLES$84$139$(55)65%

    TOTAL AUTOMOBILE (4-WH.)$999$1,087$(88)9%

    2 & 3 - WHEELERS$4,478$5,266$(788)18%

    $5,477$6,35316%

    iNDIA_Auto

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    &A

    Page &P

    2004

    2005

    %-VAR.

    PRODUCTION ('000 UNITS)

    %-VARIANCE

    us_IMP._COATED

    INDIA-US

    20002001200220032004JAN-SEPT, 2004JAN-SEPT, 2005

    TOTAL186154206157277251228

    INDIA243116545126

    %-SAHRE1%3%15%10%20%20%12%

    us_IMP._COATED

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    &A

    Page &P

    TOTAL

    INDIA

    %-SAHRE

    US_COATED STEEL_AVG. MTHLY IMPORTS ('000 mt)

    %-SHARE OF COATED STEEL IMPORTS FROM INDIA

    India-Exp-US_Jan-Oct-05

    Indian exports to US ---- Qty. in Metric Tonnes (2005)

    5-Jan5-Feb5-Mar5-Apr5-May5-Jun5-Jul5-Aug5-Sep5-OctTotal 2005

    1Semis20.4818.129.516.449.5612.44089.122.770.91239.28

    2Plates in Coils..........0

    3Sheets Hot Rolled88.4123405.64,034946.4432.1....6,030

    4CR1,6091,5466467785918357781,2357041,91010,632

    5Sheets & Strip Galv Hot Dipped26,18327,20042,16247,66730,75223,9392,02427,3169,23028,294264,767

    6Sheets & Strip All Other Metalic Coat..246.9......295.2542

    7Electrical SteelNot Available

    8Bars-Hot rolled681.1369.2281.9471.9336.5220.7349.7322.9211.15493,794

    9Bars-Cold Finished1,1231,2511,4501,2601,7609261,2451,1241,2011,03912,379

    10Total Bars1,8041,6201,7321,7322,0971,1471,5951,4471,4121,58816,173

    11Bars-Reinforcing42.8........4386

    12Wire Rods.52.134.933.518.334.817.5...191

    13Standard Pipe6,5092,5312,3022,588827.22,2881,1262,1031,0943,91225,280

    All Products44,17940,21655,10361,04443,04573,0609,89836,45039,49943,170445,664

    Coated_Jan-Oct, 20041109801193381921801921802195062331163160813454013697653541133262302,778,890

    All Products

    Sheets & Strip Galv Hot Dipped

    Standard Pipe

    Bars-Cold Finished

    Sheets Hot Rolled

    Bars-Hot rolled

    Wire Rods

    Plates in Coils

    Bars-Reinforcing

    Sheets & Strip All Other Metalic Coat

    US_Imp_NOV, 2005

    US DATA

    Y-O-Y

    NOV-04NOV-05 (P)% Var

    1Semis686421-39%

    2Plates204135-34%

    3HR439211-52%

    4CR297160-46%

    5HDG299180-40%

    6Electrical Steel106-44%

    7Hot Rolled Bars121105-13%

    8Rebars1531594%

    9Wire-Rods203109-46%

    10Total Steel31152145-31.1%

    -970

    -31%

    US_Imp_NOV, 2005

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    NOV-04

    NOV-05 (P)

    US_Imp_Jan-Nov, 2005

    US DATA

    Y-O-Y

    JAN-NOV, 2004JAN-NOV, 2005% Var

    1Semis62275564-11%

    2Plates172117653%

    3HR36752632-28%

    4CR21901719-22%

    5HDG23941889-21%

    6Electrical Steel7370-5%

    7Hot Rolled Bars14501388-4%

    8Rebars17001188-30%

    9Wire-Rods31522116-33%

    10Total Steel2983226439-11.4%

    -3393

    -11%

    0-970

    0-0

    US_Imp_Jan-Nov, 2005

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    JAN-NOV, 2004

    JAN-NOV, 2005

    US_Imp_Jan-OCT, 2005_W.S.

    US DATA

    Y-O-Y

    Jan-Oct-04Jan-Oct-05% Var

    1Semis55415142-7%

    2Plates151616297%

    3HR32352421-25%

    4CR18921559-18%

    5HDG20951708-18%

    6Electrical Steel63641%

    7Hot Rolled Bars13291283-3%

    8Rebars15471029-33%

    9Wire-Rods29492007-32%

    10Total Steel2671624294-9%

    0-970

    0-0

    USD-INR_Sept_Oct, 2005

    1st Sept-0510th Oct-05VARIANCE%-VARIANCE

    USD ~ INR44.1344.630.51.1%

    EU ~ USD1.23361.2111-0.02-1.8%

    USD ~ YEN110.71113.813.12.8%

    USD-INR_Sept_Oct, 2005

    0

    0

    0

    Sheet7

    INDICATIVE HOME PRICE : FOB_MILL (USD / mt)

    PRODUCTUSEUCHINAINDIA

    HR550385-505384470-505

    CR680560-645604636

    GP770580-645609659

    Sheet6 (2)

    DOMESTIC : HR - MATERIAL BALANCE ESTIMATE & PROJECTION

    PRODUCERS2005-06_EXPECTED2006-07_PROJECTED

    CAPACITYHR-DOM.CAPTIVEDOMESTICIMPORTSTOTALBALANCECAPACITYHR-DOM.CAPTIVEDOMESTICIMPORTSTOTALBALANCE

    SAIL5500370015005200N.A.52003005500370015005200N.A.5200300

    TATA310089019202810N.A.28102903200100020003000N.A.3000200

    ESSAR300014702301700N.A.170013004100180015003300N.A.3300800

    JSW220010002001200N.A.120010003000150010002500N.A.2500500

    ISPAT25001740601800N.A.1800700360015005002000N.A.20001600

    TOTAL16300880039101271012001391035901940095006500160001200172003400

    2004-051407077753349111248001192421461630088003910127101200139103590

    %-VAR.16%13%17%14%50%17%67%19%8%66%26%0%24%-5%

    Sheet6

    DOMESTIC : HR - MATERIAL BALANCE ESTIMATE & PROJECTION

    PRODUCERS2005-06_EXPECTED2006-07_PROJECTED

    CAPACITYHR-DOM.CAPTIVEIMPORTSTOTALBALANCECAPACITYHR-DOM.CAPTIVEIMPORTSTOTALBALANCE

    SAIL550037001500N.A.5200300550037001500N.A.5200300

    TATA31008901920N.A.2810290320010002000N.A.3000200

    ESSAR30001470230N.A.17001300410018001500N.A.3300800

    JSW22001000200N.A.12001000300015001000N.A.2500500

    ISPAT2500174060N.A.180070036001500500N.A.20001600

    TOTAL1630088003910120013910359019400950065001200172003400

    Y-O-Y140707775334980011924214616300880039101200139103590

    %-VAR.16%13%17%50%17%67%19%8%66%0%24%-5%

    CHINA VS INDIA_PRICE_MKT PRICE

    LOCAL MARKET PRICES (INCL. E.D. / VAT)0

    PRODUCTCHINAlesslessINDIADIFF.

    YUAN / mtUSD / mtINR / mtUSD / mtUSD / mt

    IRON ORE_Fe-63%75092100650575105624-68

    BILLET29803671002880239022500511144

    SLAB300037010029002406N.A.N.A.N.A.

    HR_3.0mm CTL38504751003750311227300620146

    CR_0.6mm6000740100590048963475079050

    HDG_0.4mm6150758100605050203550080748

    Sheet2

    SEPT-05 .. PRODUCTION / SHIPMENTSSEPT-05 .. BOOKINGS

    USEUROPEMIDDLE EASTCHINAUSEUROPEMIDDLE EASTCHINA

    0.3mm0.6mm0.7mm0.21-0.29mm0.3mm0.6mm0.7mm0.21-0.29mm

    120-GSM275-GSM225-GSM120-GSM120-GSM275-GSM225-GSM120-GSM

    CNF610573630620790620660670

    OCEAN FREIGHT6050252760502527

    FOB550523605593730570635643

    USD ~ INR43.543.543.543.543.543.543.543.5

    2392522768263182579631755247952762327971

    DEPB95791110531032127099211051119

    2488223679273702682733025257872872729089

    LOCAL FRT500500500500500500500500

    NET REALISATION2438223179268702632732525252872822728589

    IND. PRICE2160021600216002160021600216002160021600

    SPREAD278215795270472710925368766276989

    =

    DOMESTIC PRICE_0.4mm30750270002675032250

    INDIA_PRICE_IMPORT PARITY

    PRODUCTLOCAL MARKET PRICEIMP. PARITYIMP. OFFERS

    INR / mtUSD / mtUSD / mtUSD / mt

    HR_SHEET GUAGE26500602472420-460

    HR_PLATE GUAGE27200618485420-460

    CRCA_0.6mm34750790619N.A.

    HDG_0.4mm35500807633N.A.

    China_Import Equv. Price

    PRODUCTLOCAL MARKET PRICE (INCL. VAT)lesslessIMP. EQUV. PRICEEXP. EQUV. PRICEREBATEEXP. EQUV. PRICE

    YUAN / mtUSD / mtCFR_USD / mtUSD / mtFOB_USD / mt

    IRON ORE_Fe-63%6908510059052264750N.A.

    BILLET2980367100288023902953140314

    SLAB3000370100290024062973160316

    HR_3.0mm CTL38504751003750311238440645361

    CR_0.7mm60007401005900489660463270563

    HDG_0.5mm60507461005950493760963870567

    China_Iron Ore Imports_H-1' (2)

    Jan-Jul .. 7-Months .. %-SHARE

    2004200420052005

    AUSTRALIA40.523561.4640

    INDIA29.942637.0424

    BRAZIL24.652129.6119

    S. AFRICA7.0566.474

    TOTAL_IMPORTS115.93100152.82100

    China_Iron Ore Imports_H-1' (2)

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    2005

    2005

    2004

    2004

    IRON ORE_IMPORT_QTY (Mt)

    China_Iron Ore Imports_H-1'05

    Jan-Jul .. 7-Months

    20042005

    AUSTRALIA40.5261.4661.46

    INDIA29.9437.0437.04

    BRAZIL24.6529.6129.61

    S. AFRICA7.056.476.47

    TOTAL_IMPORTS115.93152.82152.82

    China_Iron Ore Imports_H-1'05

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    2004

    2005

    IRON ORE_IMPORT_QTY (Mt)

    china_sept. 2005

    CHINA

    PERIOD : SEPT(Qty's in mt)

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET EXPORT

    2005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.0.1140.0940.1380.639N.A.N.A.0.0240.545

    M / H PLATES2.712.200.280.150.310.272.692.080.0220.12

    HR_STRIPS6.645.310.370.150.130.146.895.32-0.245-0.01

    CR1.781.390.720.400.040.042.461.75-0.68-0.36

    GP0.500.320.370.300.040.050.830.57-0.33-0.25

    CC0.160.090.040.030.010.010.190.12-0.033-0.027

    STEEL PRODUCTS30.3524.822.501.781.361.3131.4925.29-1.14-0.47

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.2.611.871.501.95N.A.N.A.-1.1160.075

    COKE18.8116.170.000.000.752.1018.0714.070.7452.1

    IRON ORE34.3127.5423.0218.720.000.0057.3346.26-23.02-18.72

    &L&F&CPage &P of &N&R&A

    china_jan-sept. 2005

    CHINA

    PERIOD : JAN-SEPT(Qty's in mt)

    OUTPUTIMPEXPAPP. CONSUMP.NET EXPORT

    2005200420052004200520042005200420052004

    SEMISN.A.N.A.1.083.605.992.83N.A.N.A.4.91-0.77

    M / H PLATES22.9819.231.654.674.051.4620.5822.442.4-3.21

    HR_STRIPS58.2541.032.372.681.280.8859.3442.83-1.09-1.8

    CR14.5611.125.445.640.440.3219.5616.44-5-5.32

    GP3.852.903.023.440.600.266.276.08-2.42-3.18

    CC1.240.800.300.400.060.031.481.17-0.24-0.37

    STEEL PRODUCTS255.28200.4019.9923.9315.808.63259.47215.70-4.19-15.3

    TOTAL STEEL / SEMISN.A.N.A.21.0727.5321.7911.46N.A.N.A.0.72-16.07

    COKE167.80131.860.000.009.7910.