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Analysis of road safety hazards in area of pedestrian crossings on rural roads and road passages through the small towns
Stanislaw GACA, Mariusz KIECCracow University of Technology
Chair of Highway and Traffic Engineering
25th ICTCT Workshop in Hasselt, Belgium on 8th – 9th November 2012
Overview of presentation:
• Characteristics of pedestrian problemson Polish roads
• Pedestrian safety determinants
• Methods of analyses
• Accident and speed analyses
• Conclusion
Objective of analyses
Quantitative assessment of the impact of
different types of pedestrian crossings on
pedestrian safety based on statistical analyses
and research on vehicles speed.
Pedestrian safety problems in Poland
• Percentage of traffic accidents involving pedestrians was
27.3%
• Pedestrians make up ca. 33% (1394 ped.) of all recorded
traffic accident fatalities
• 9.2% of traffic accidents involving pedestrians on roads
in built‐up areas and rural roads still took place at
pedestrian crossings
• Every year ca. 5.5% of all fatalities die at pedestrian
crossings.
‐ Low intensity of pedestrian traffic, distributed originsand pedestrians’ destinations
‐ Lack of pedestrians and vehicles segregation
‐ Lack of continuity of separate facilities for pedestrians,
‐ Lack of lighting features for pedestrian facilities
‐ High speed in „pedestrian – vehicle” conflict zones
Characteristics of facilities and pedestrian traffic in rural areas
• Main means of improving safety are mid‐block pedestrian crossings
• Usage of different type of crossings with: traffic islands,traffic signals, flashers and non‐standard markings and signs
• Speed enforcement at pedestrian crossings
Despite of measures introduced, there are no studies evaluating their performance and effectiveness on traffic safety.
Solutions to pedestrian problems
Determinants of research on pedestrian safety
Frequency of accidents with pedestrians depends on many factors:
‐ associated with driver
‐ associated with vehicle
‐ associated with pedestrian
‐ associated with roadway and environment (vehicle speeds, roadway design, midblock crossing issues, roadway lighting, signs and markings)
‐ demographic, social and political
Methods
• Statistical analysis of accident data
• Modeling analyses evaluating the relative risk pedestrians and their potential causes (odds ratio)
• Assessment of crossing designs with application of surrogate measures describing the drivers’ behavior
Pedestrian safetyselected statistics of national roads
built‐up area rural area total
share of accidents with pedestrians 30,80% 12,20% 19,80%
severity of accidents with pedestrians [fatalities/100 acc.]
17,8 46,7 28,3
severity of accidents with pedestrians [fatalities/100 acc.] – at pedestrian crossing
10,4 (day) 29,2 (day) 12,2 (day)
25,9 (night) 49,1 (night) 36,9 (night)
pedestrian as offender of accident 15,20% 8,90% 11,50%
drunk pedestrian as offender of accident 25,1% 29,9% 27,3%
pedestrian accident occurrence at pedestrian crossing
37,40% 6,70% 26,30%
Impact of crossing type on accident ratein comparison to „zebra” crossing
Based on a random sample of 925 crossings on national roads in built‐up areas
Factors estimated by accident rate ratio
(…) - 95% confidence interval
type of pedestrian crossing
“zebra” (58%)with refuge island (21,2%)
with traffic signal (7,4%)
with flashers(13,4%)
total accidents 1.0 1.033 1.118 1.192accidents with pedestrian
1.00.394
(0.359 ; 0.429)0.142
(0.114 ; 0.170)0.266
(0.232 ; 0.300)accidents fatalities with
pedestrian1.0
0.299(0.265 ; 0.332)
0.052(0.03 ; 0.07)
0.234(0.201 ; 0.266)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120
Prędkość na dojeździe do przejścia V1 [km/h]
Pred
kość
zde
rzen
ia V
o [k
m/h
]
L=30 m L=40 m L=50 m L=60 m L=80 m
P<0,1
P>0,99
bVV
tVL r 2
20
21
1
−+⋅=
tr = 1.5 sb = 6 m/s2
Model for assessing the impact of speed on accidents with pedestrians and their
effects
speed on the approach to crossing [km/h]
speed km/h
P=0
50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130
speed [km/h]
0,0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
0,8
0,9
1,0Cum
ulative frequency
speed before pedestrian crossing speed at the pedestrian crossingP>0,99
P= 0
P<0,10
tr = 1,5 s, b = 6 m/s2, L=50 m
Example of risk assessment of fatality occurrence in accidents with pedestrians during collision with vehicle
Example of risk assessment of fatality occurrence in accidents with pedestrians during collision with vehiclebuilt‐up areas on roads passing through village
P>0,99P<0,10
P=0
„zebra” crossing
flashers
refuge traffic island
0102030405060708090
100110120
85%
KW
AN
TYL
PRĘD
KOŚC
I [k
m/h
]
SYMBOL PRZEJŚCIA
Przed przejściem Na przejściu
wyspa azylu bez wyspy azylu
FF
dwie jezdnie - wyspa azylu
Pedestrian crossing on rural areas
Before crossing At crossing
Refuge island „zebra” crossingTwo roadways - median
Crossing symbol
SCSC
Share estimation of speed causing the risk of fatality
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
perc
enta
ge o
f the
gro
up P
i
SYMBOL PRZEJŚCIA
Pi < 0,10 Pi > 0,99
wyspa azylu bez wyspy azylu
FF
dwie jezdnie - wyspa azyluRefuge island „Zebra” crossing
Two roadways - median
Crossing symbol
SC
SC
Conclusion• Type of pedestrian crossings has impact on the behavior of drivers and the risk of accidents involving pedestrians
• Risk of accidents with pedestrians can be estimated based on surrogate measures, including speed
• Speed recorded near crossings causes very high, potential risk of fatal accidents, related to the type of crossing
• It is necessary to introduce additional measures enforcing the reduction of vehicles speed around pedestrian crossings