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An Overview of the Proposed System-wide Adaptive Management Plan
2013 A.D. Latornell Conservation SymposiumThursday November 21, 2013
Dick Hibma, Conservation Ontario
Presentation Outline
• Background on the Great Lakes and Changing Water Levels
• The Proposed System-wide Adaptive Management Plan
Hudson Bay
LakeOntario
Lake St. Clair
St. Clair River
DetroitDetroit River
St. Marys River
Niagara River
Minnesota
WisconsinMichigan
Illinois
Indiana Ohio PENNSYLVANIA
Quebec
Ontario
Diversion Dam
Control Dam
Long Lake
LakeNipigon
Thunder Bay
Diversion Dam
AguasabonRiver
Albany
River
DuluthKeweenawPeninsula Canada
UnitedStates
Sault Ste. Marie
Sault Ste. MarieLake Superior Control Structure
StraitsOf Mackinac
Geo
rgia
nBay
Green Bay
Gre
enBay
Chicago Sanitary& Ship Canal
Illinois Waterway
Bay City
Toledo
Cleveland
Toronto
Buffalo
Oswego
Welland CanalNiagara Falls
Cape Vincent
Ottawa River
OttawaLAKE ST. LOUIS
Great Lakes - St. Lawrence River System
Ogoki Project
Long Lake ProjectControl Dam
Nipigon River
Kenogami River
Ogoki River
Albany
Riv
er
Bas in
Lake Superior
L ak e
Mi c
ha
ign
Chicago
Great
Drain
age
LakeH
uro
n
LakeErie
Missi
Ri
ssippi
aive
nr B s
Montreal
St. Lawrence River
Lakes
Bas i
n
Milwaukee
Pennsylvania
New York
Rochester
Kingston
St. Lawrence RiverControl structure
Cornwall
Massena
Climate regions in GL?
Chart Datum
Lakes Michigan/Huron Water Levels (IGLD 1985)
Long TermAverage
Water Levels are Always ChangingWater Levels are Always Changing
1974 1986
20111964
Water Level Decision Making is Complex
6
Shoreline development in the hazard zone
Situation of marinas and boat launches
Design of shore protection
Infrastructure decisions
Encroachment
Big boats (more dredging)
Ecosystem implications
Baird
Additional Challenges
Big storms
Glacial isostatic adjustment
Changing Ice conditions
Natural changes in conveyance
Erosion and deposition
Changes in demographics
Decisions by neighbors
7
Bing Maps
Glacial Isostatic Adjustment
8
No one organization or jurisdiction is fully responsible for managing impacts of water levels
Much fragmentation, duplication and overlap
Limited effort to coordinate approaches and share successful approaches
Little focus on long-term implications of climate extremes and planning for uncertain future
10
Response to Water Level Impacts
Task Team MembershipCanada U.S.
Wendy Leger, Canadian Co-ChairEnvironment Canada
Deborah Lee, U.S. Co-ChairUS Army Corps of Engineers
Jonathan Staples, Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources
Don Zelazny, New York Dept. of Environmental Conservation
Patricia Clavet, Quebec Ministry of Sustainable Development, Environment, Wildlife and Parks
Jen Read, University of Michigan Water Center and Great Lakes Observing System
Dick Hibma, Conservation Ontario Bill Werick, Great Lakes Observing System
Canadian Secretary U.S. Secretary
Sara Eddy, Fisheries and Oceans Canada
Drew Gronewold, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
11All members of the Task Team serve in their professional capacity and not as representatives of their agencies or employers.
Institutional
Arrangements
Adaptive Management
Collaboration
PlanAct
Monitor
EvaluateLearn
Adjust
Continuous, iterative, systematic process
Plan, Act, Monitor conditions, Evaluate, Learn (Review) and Adjust the plan if needed
Working together to solve problems
Source: International Joint Commission
13
New approach to addressing water level issues
Based on working with partners to gather and share critical information, develop adaptive strategies, collectively measure success at managing the impacts of extreme water levels and adapt accordingly
Goal is to support decision making aimed at reducing the impacts associated with extreme water levels
Questions?