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ALPHA BANK:
AGENDA 2010 REVISITED
Capital Markets Day
Bucharest, April 20, 2007
Retail Banking
G. Aronis, Executive General Manager
2
Strategic Emphasis on Retail Banking
Rationalize product offering
Apply sales oriented approach
Leverage on branch network: competitive advantage
Streamline multi-channel banking
Improve risk management
Centralize credit approval
Further enhance customer service quality
3
Action Plan is Already Paying Off in Household Lending
1.4 1.9 2.7 3.23.9
5.06.8
8.4
2003 2004 2005 2006
Consumer Credit Mortgages
(€ billion)
Mortgages & Consumer Credit Balances
5.36.9
9.411.6
30%CAGR 2004-2006
4
… Which is Further Evidenced by a Very Strong Q1 in 2007
208
126153 160
Q1 2004 Q1 2005 Q1 2006 Q1 2007Consumer Credit
(€ million)
385327320
174
Q1 2004 Q1 2005 Q1 2006 Q1 2007
Mortgages
(yoy growth)
(€ million)
(yoy growth)
21.4%4.6%
30%
83.9%2.2%
17.8%
5
… Setting the Stage for Meeting the 2010 Targets
3.2
2006 2010
Consumer Credit
8.4
2006 2010
Mortgages
CAGR 20% - 22%
CAGR 17% - 19%
(€ billion)
(€ billion)
6
14.7%
24.0%
13.8%
9.5%7.4% 7.1%
Alpha Bank National Eurobank Emporiki Piraeus Agricultural
8.47.9
7.16.8 7.5
Dec. 2005 Mar. 2006 Jun. 2006 Sep. 2006 Dec. 2006
(spreads bps)(*)
Mortgages: Rapid Growth
(€ billion)
236
197
Outstandings and Growth (yoy)- Greece -
23.8%
Market Shares (2006)
(*) Quarter ending in month indicated
Main points 2006 - MarketMarket growth peaked at the end of 2005 and has been declining since
Aggressive competition from smaller players attempts to shift market balance
Competition focused on mortgage refinancing
Customer preference shifts to fixed rates
Alpha BankMaintained market share in the face of fierce competition
Avoided excessive margin reduction despite market trend
Capitalized on its strong corporate image of Reliability
Started to exploit systematically its advantage of a large under-penetrated customer base
235 23327.3%
219
31.2%
34.2%36.3%
From 9.5% market share in 2001
to almost 15% in 2006
7
Mortgages: The Way Forward
Sales &
Market Share Growth
Regular offering of innovative productsEmphasis in maintaining existing portfolioContinuous advertising Cross-selling through promotional offers, direct marketingStaff performance evaluation & incentives Further growth of direct sales (i.e. sales agreements with developers, brokers, etc)
Efficiency
Business Process
Re-engineering
Full centralization of credit approval & operationsReview of collections operationsSimplification of branch operations to increase productivity
8
Consumer Loans
Consumer Loans Disbursements
Outstanding Balances have doubled in the last two years (€2.2 vs €1.1 billion)
Focus on improving / transforming the business
Highly competitive environment
Emphasis on balance transfer programs
New entries
0
100
200
300
400
Q1/03Q2/03
Q3/03Q4/03
Q1/04Q2/04
Q3/04Q4/04
Q1/05Q2/05
Q3/05Q4/05
Q1/06Q2/06
Q3/06Q4/06
Q1/07(est)
(€ million)
Market Overview Alpha Bank
Personal Loans
Market leading customer propositions(All in One - Effie award)
Multi channel lender (Branch Network - Direct mail –SMS Gate – Telemarketing )
Development through diversification of our strategic business model in order to focus and approach quantity and quality loan volumes among middle size auto dealers
Expansion with full installation of Bank’s sales representatives all over Greece (starting with large cities)
Auto Loans
9
Maintain a profitable growth modelRetain and grow our market share Maintain low rates in delinquencies flows and arrears level
Personal Loans72%
Retail Factoring -
Other17%
Auto Loans11%
Auto Loans14%
Retail Factoring -
Other11%Personal
Loans75%
Personal Loans76%
Retail Factoring -
Other9%
Auto Loans15%
Outstanding Balance Origination
2004 2005 2006
Growing in the most profitable segment
2005 2006 change
107 147
1,880
782
1,360
37.3%
38.3%
778
NII (€ mn)
Average Balance (€ mn)
Spread (bps)
Consumer Loans
Key Initiatives Consumer Loans Business Results
10
Consumer Credit Risk: Quality is Top Priority
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
Dec-04 Mar-05 Jun-05 Sep-05 Dec-05 Mar-06 Jun-06 Sep-06 Dec-06
Prob
abili
ty
Ten scorecards for credit applications of new customers
Internal rating system, based on behavioral data
Application fraud detection tool
Overall acceptance rate at 63% in line with prudent credit policy
Credit strategies for each type of distribution channel risk
(Instant credit, Auto loans, Branches, Merchants)
Delinquencies on a declining trend (flow rates charts)
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
Dec-04 Mar-05 Jun-05 Sep-05 Dec-05 Mar-06 Jun-06 Sep-06 Dec-06
Pro
babi
lity
Flow Rates Credit Cards(Probability to default 4 months forward)
Flow Rates Consumer Loans(Probability to default 4 months forward)
11
Sole Issuer & Acquirer of all three major international brands(Visa, MasterCard, American Express)
Cards: A Comprehensive Portfolio for All Market Segments
Debit Products
Premium Market
Mass Market
Entry Level
•Kalogirou Gold- Silver
•Nutrimetics
•Amway
•Tim
•Carrefour
Co-Branded Cards
Store Cards
12
AMEX37%
MASTERCARD14%
VISA49%
Growth focus on credit through carefully designed portfolio mix
Business growth outpacing the market (9.4% in balances vs. market 3.2%)
The largest Visa Issuer in the country
Sole American Express issuer
Cards: Fast Growing Business
MASTERCARD16%
AMEX22%
VISA62%
9.1% growth in 2006 while maintaining premium in commissions over competition
One of the largest merchant networks (110,000 merchants – 45,000 POS)
Sole acquirer of American Express products
EMV rollout on-going
Acquiring Market Share 28%
Acquiring Business by Brand€1.75 billion in 2006
Credit Cards In Force by Brand1 million cards (year end 2006)
Issuing Market Share 20%(Billed Business and CIF)
13
Continuous increase in revenues and balances
High retainable spreads (900 bps)
(€ million)2005 2006 %
change
117.0
77.3
39.7
Average Card Balance 845.2 950.0 12.4%
13.9%
17.9%138.0
86.2
51.8
11.5%
30.5%
14.6%
Total Income
- NII
- Commissions
Gross Revenue Margin
Cards: Fast Growing Business
Innovative Product Development
Value proposition reinforcement with latest technology chip based loyalty schemes
Customer Segmentation – niche segments
Increase penetration though cross selling
Accelerate sales through more efficient use of alternative channels
Key ActionsHigh Profitable Sector
Card Business Income
14
The BonuS Loyalty / Reward Scheme
Leading Private Retail Bank
Leading Car Rental Agency
Leading Greek Airline
Leading Grocery Retailer
LeadingMobile Phone
Operator
LeadingFuel Retailer
Instant rewardsPoints collectionOne scheme for allTechnologically innovativeFocussed on customer insight
Customer Loyalty – Merchant Loyalty – Card Loyalty
Scheme Partners Other Participating Merchants
15
Instant rewardsRelevant promotionsConvenience & Simplicity
Generate higher turnoverAcquire new customersHigher business profileBetter customer knowledge
Increased credit card volumes, spend & activationReduced attritionStrengthening the AcquiringbusinessGreater value to merchants
The BonuS Loyalty / Reward Scheme
BonuS achieves a win-win-win situation between all participants …
Merchants
6 Partners, 100+ Retailers
Customers
360,000 customers/cards to date
Alpha Bank
Amex, Visa, MasterCard
16
Approximately 880.000 businesses operating in the Greek market
SBL targets a large group of professionals such as doctors, dentists etc., who are not included in the
880,000 businesses
14%1%
85%
< € 150.000 € 150.000 - € 1.500.000€ 1.500.000 - € 5.000.000
84%
5%11%
Sole Proprietors SA & LTD Partnerships & Joint Ventures
The “Business Market” in Greece
Greek Companies’ Allocation(by Turnover)
Greek Companies’ Allocation(by Legal Status)
17
Customer Segmentation– Establishment of Small Business Financing Division, targeting:
• Small Businesses (turnover up to €2.5 million or credit limits of up to €1 million) and • Self-Employed Professionals
Advertising – Launch of a new Advertising Campaign focused on SBL– Targeted Promotional Activities (direct marketing)
Targets and performance evaluation for key products New Product Development
Small Business Lending
545 658 818 900 1,017
2,904 2,908 2,901 2,9092,928
534578 576 565 555
Dec. 2005 Mar. 2006 June 2006 Sept. 2006 Dec. 2006
New loan facilities to businesses with turnover up to € 1 millionSpreads (quarter ending in month indicated)
Growing use of alternative channels – Emphasis on third party salesforce– Collaboration with the Credit Guarantee Fund
of Small & Very Small EnterprisesCentralization of operations
– Standardized process – Effective credit administration support
Small business advisors in Branches
Specialised department to handle financing for pleasure boats
Key Drivers For Success
Small Business Loans (credit limits < 1 million) Outstanding and Growth
3,473 3,726 3,9263,562 3,801
18
Offer an array of privileges and potentialsFull complement of competitive deposit accounts with high cross – selling potential
- Alpha 1|2|3 Youth Line: Build loyalty to future active customers (children & young people) and increase cross – selling potentials to guardians
- Alpha Payroll: Dynamic launch of new competitive product to increase deposit market share. Develop new long standing relationships and Cross – selling potential
- E-Savings: Drive digital innovation capitalizing on Alpha’s predominant Web Banking position
Deposit & Investment Products: Dynamic & Innovative Approach
25.0%22.0%21.3%
19.4%
115
10393
79
2004 205 2006 2010F
Market Share in Non-Money Market Mutual FundsGross Revenue Margin (quarter ending in month indicated)
Deposit Products
Investment Products
Develop Integrated Investment Solutions for Customers’ ProfilesDeliver wealth management solutions to satisfy the increasing risk appetite of retail investors
Pioneer unique investment products to domestic market
- Alternative Investments
- Mutual Funds with preservation of capital product range
- Emerging Market Mutual Funds
Offer Bundled/Life Event propositions
Further increase market share and average management fees
Asset Management
185 298 341856 1,168 1,379
2,309
3,1003,637
Dec. 04 Dec. 05 Dec. 06
Discretionary Advisory Prime Brokerage
3,350
4,566 5,356
20% 2007-2010 CAGR
Alpha Private Bank
(bps)
(€ million)
19
3.0 4.0
14.6 14.6
10.113.3
5.2
4.24.4
5.1 Private Banking andInstitutional Money
Mutual Funds
Time Deposits plusAlpha Bank Bonds
Savings and SightDeposits (Domestic)
Deposits (abroad)
€ 37.3 bn
€ 41.2 bn
Stable funding base
Successful placement of Alpha Bank bonds with retail
Still high liquidity preference despite low returns
Gradual shift to higher margin investment products
Financial planning advisory services for mass affluent customers (> € 60,000)
Customer Assets
31.7%
(3.2%)
8.1%
10.4%
Investment Balances
Liquidity
Transaction Balances
Dec. 2005 Dec. 2006
From Deposits to Investments
CAGR 2007-2010
10% - 14%
20
A New Banking Experience
Approach
Targets the Mass Affluent segment• Market size* : € 20 bln• No. Clients* : 200,000
Mass Affluent Market (60-300)**Levels of Wealth
HNW
Retail
Mass Affluent
(300+)**
(0-60)**
** amounts in thousands €
ALPHAPrime Goal• 20% of market size• Presence in approx. 120 Branches • 140 Investment Advisors
• The establishment of long term relationships with clients• Specialized personnel in selected branches (Investment Advisors)• Excellence in customer experience (Convenience & Flexibility)• Specialized area in the Branch hosting the Service
• Specially designed Investment Offering with products targeting the specific market aiming at higher profitability
• Specially designed Banking Offering enriched with preferential terms• Use of the Private Banking infrastructure (Sales Approach, Back Office, IT, MIS-
Client Profitability, Specialized Intranet Applications)• Use of a specialized call center• Continuous training of Investment Advisors
Offering & Infrastructure
Present Status & Future Deployment
• 30 Branches already operational aiming at a total of 70 Branches operational by the end of 2007
• Full deployment by mid 2008*source: ALPHA PRIVATE BANK estimates
21
Bancassurance: Significant Growth Opportunities
Sale of Insurance subsidiary to AXA
Long term (20 years) cooperation agreement in Bancassurance
Agreement covers both Greek and SE Europe operations
Benefit form the support and expertise of one of the major international insurance companies
Redesign of products – processes – personnel training
5.9 6.4
>30
2005 2006 Target 2010
Substantial margin for increase in insurance cross selling ratio for Consumer Credit, Mortgages and SME loans
Substantial margin for increase in Pensions –Savings
Target to achieve € 30 million in insurance fees by 2010 (Bank and Asset Management)
Insurance Fees & Commissions
(€ million)
CAGR 2007
-2010
~50%
22
Retail Branch Network (Greece): Types, Size & Distribution
2006 2007
Athens and suburbs 171 180
Salonica 37 42
Other areas 167 173
Total 375 395
Ideal Country size
Strong urban concentration
GIS optimized (next slide)
TRANSACTIONS
INDIVIDUALS Prime Banking(selected branches)
SMALL ENTERPRICES (selected branches)
Non - Teller Branches are currently under consideration
BRANCH STRUCTURE: A modular approach
Key PointsBranches per Area
23
Retail Branch Network (Greece): Planning
Demographic data Economic data
Product specific data
ANNUAL GOALS
Competition data
BRANCHES & STAFF DISTRIBUTION
Geographical Information Systems &
Methodology
24
Retail Branch Network (Greece): Annual Targets & Evaluation
ANNUAL TARGETS are set for:
• Deposits (per category)
• Loans (per category)
• Mortgages
• Credit cards
• Prime & Private Banking
• Bonds & Mutual Funds
• Insurance (per category)
• Bancassurance
• Small Enterprises attracted
• Per product methodology
• GIS optimized
• Goals are reevaluated if necessary
• Performance is monthly monitored
• Products are weighted according to their importance
• Specific product campaigns are launched during the year if necessary
Branch Evaluation is currently based on annual goals
achievement
APPLICABLE within 2007
A more detailed evaluation to be based on:
• Impairments
• Spreads
• Quality of Service (complains, internal audit reports, etc.)