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Alice de Brauer Environmental Strategy Plan January, 2008 Alice de Brauer V.P., Strategic Environmental Planning

Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

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Page 1: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

Alice de Brauer Environmental Strategy Plan January, 2008

Alice de BrauerV.P., Strategic Environmental Planning

Page 2: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

2Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

Page 3: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

3Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

Page 4: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

4Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

Page 5: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

5Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

RENAULT MANAGEMENT ON WHOLE LIFE CYCLE

Vehicle production Fuel production Vehicle use End of life

Abiotic DepletionPotential

Acidification Potential

Eutrophication Potential

Global WarmingPotential

Photochem. Ozone Creation Potential

- 10%

- 1%

- 40%

- 35%

- 9%

20% 40% 60% 80%

Laguna 3, 1,5dCi 110cv Euro4 Laguna 2, 1,9dCi 110cv Euro3 (ref 100%)

Laguna 2 (ref 100%)

Page 6: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

6Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2000 2010 2020 2040 2050

Glo

bal C

arbo

n Em

issi

ons,

GT

2030

WRE 450 ( IPCC)

WRE 550 ( IPCC)

WRE 1000 ( IPCC)

Theoretical carbon emissions profiles published in IPCC 3rd

Assessment Report

Theoretical carbon emissions profiles published in IPCC 3rd

Assessment Report

2002 IEA reported fossil emissions plus correction for unsustainable biomass & deforestation.

2002 IEA reported fossil emissions plus correction for unsustainable biomass & deforestation.

>900 ppm TrajectoryEnergy by 2050:• Coal over 2x, no Carbon Capture

& Storage (CCS), some coal to l iquids.

• Oil up 50%• Gas over 2x• Biofuels make up 10% of vehicle

fuel mix.• Electricity 1/3 of final energy.• Modest increase in nuclear.• Renewables provide 1/3 of

electricity generation.• Vehicle efficiency up 50%.

<550 ppm TrajectoryEnergy by 2050:• Coal up 50%, but half of power

stations use CCS.• Oil down 10-15%.• Gas nearly 3x• Biofuels make up 20% of vehicle

fuel mix.• Hydrogen has arrived.• Strong shift to electricity as final

energy (~50% final energy).• Strong increase in nuclear.• Renewables provide half of

electricity generation.• Vehicle efficiency up 100%• Sustainable biomass practices

KYOTO II FORECAST : HIGHT AND LOW CARBON PATHWAYS

Page 7: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

7Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

A further shift to natural gas

Nuclear power Renewables Bio-products Carbon capture and storage

Mass transportation

Road transport Buildings Low energy appliances

Doing things differently

Energy conservation and efficiencyEnergy conservation and efficiency

Emission reductionEmission reduction

OPTIONS FOR CHANGE

Page 8: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

8Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT

Petrol

Diesel

Clio I 1991 8,2 l

Clio II 1999 6,7 l

Clio III 2007 5,9 l

R19 1993 6,5 l

Mégane I 2000 5,2 l

Mégane II 2006 4,5 l

Page 9: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

9Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

IN FEBRUARY 2006 RENAULT COMMITMENT 2009

Be in the top three in terms of CO2 emissions

294,000 785,000

2006 120 g/km 140 g/km

333,330 1,000,000

2009 120 g/km 140 g/km

320,000 860,000

2007 120 g/km 140 g/km

Page 10: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

10Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

0,7HC g/km

NOx g/km

CO g/km

PM g/km

Euro 2

Euro 3

0,70,08

1,0

Euro 4

Euro

6 Euro5

Euro 11993 1996 2000

Euro 22005

Euro 3 Euro 42010

Euro 52015

Euro 6

DECREASE BOTH CO2 AND POLLUTANTS EMISSIONS

Page 11: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

11Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

2012 / 2015 EUROPEAN CO2 REGULATION PROJECT

! Feb. 2007 CO2 Cars Commission Communication was adopted : 120g CO2/km by 2012 broken up in :⇒130 g CO2/km vehicle technologies - OEM CAFE" 10 g/km : "additional measures" :

• Efficient air conditioning• Tire pressure monitoring• Low rolling resistance tire• Gear shift indicator• Bio-fuel compatible cars• LDV (N1) CAFE : 175 g/km (2012) and 160 g/km (2015)

" Other measures:• CO2 taxation reinforcement• Modification of Labeling directive• One level emission further (for example Euro6 in 2012) and ≤ 120 g/km

⇒New legislation should be adopted by 2009 at the soonest

presented :

Page 12: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

12Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

THE « CO2 » CHALLENGE MEETS CUSTOMERS

Fuel consumption

Oil Price

Global Warming

CO2 label & fiscal policy

Page 13: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

13Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

#(#)

2007-2008

ACT RT0

10

20

30+

0

20

40

80+

€/gCO2 / year €/gCO2

EU COUNTRIES INCREASE THE CO2 CUSTUMER VALUE WITH TAXES

# : project

Annual or Registration taxes based on CO2 / FE criterion :

Average indicative cost of one additional gCO2/km on mid-market [100g-200g CO2/km]

Page 14: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

14Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

CURRENT AVERAGE CO2 EUROPEAN CUSTOMER VALUE

1 g CO2 /km 52 €/g/km

Customervalue

Fuel consumptionsavings

Taxes

82 €/g/km

62 €/g/km

Future value with penalty

5 g/km x 200,000 km $ 1 ton CO25 g/km ≈ 0.2 liter/100 km

≈260 €/ton

≈410€/ton

≈360 €/ton

≈310 €/ton

72 €/g/km

Confidentiel Renault

Page 15: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

15Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

POSITIONING TECHNOLOGIES ACCORDINGTO CO2 VALUE …

0%0€/g

2% 4% 6% 8% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20%

20€/g

40€/g

60€/g

100€/g

80€/g

10%

Customer value

52€/g/km

62€/g/km

82€/g/km

Vehicle managementPowertrain technologies

CO2 benefit

Confidentiel Renault

Page 16: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

16Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

PICK UP THE RIGHT OPTIONS

0%0€/g

10% 20% 30% 40% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%50%

Customer value

100€/g

200€/g

300€/g

400€/g

Vehicle managementPowertrain technologiesHEV & EV

52€/g/km62€/g/km82€/g/km

CO2 benefit

Confidentiel Renault

Page 17: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

17Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

ONLY MASS MARKET FOR MASSIVE ECOLOGICAL ACHIEVEMENTSHEV IS NOT YET A CASE

USA

Europe

~ 37 000

~250 000Japan

~80 000

2006 SALES

Page 18: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

18Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

IN FEBRUARY 2006, RENAULT COMMITMENT 2009 ON BIOFUELS

Page 19: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

19Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

CONSIDER THE ENERGY CHALLENGE ALSO AT A REGIONAL SCALE

Local resources availability

Policy

Environmentalbenefits

• Bio

Etha

nol

• Bio

Dies

e l•C

NG

• Coa

l to

Liqu

ids

• Bio

mas

s to

liqu

ids

• LPG

•…• Die

sel

• Gas

oline

France

Brazil

ChinaIranSouth Korea

Germany

Page 20: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

20Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

Biofuels:Second generation

NOT A UNIQUE SOLUTION BUT A RANGE OF TECHNOGIES

2007 – 2009 2009 - 2011 2011 - 2015

Downsizing Diesel & Gasoline Engines

Biofuels: First generation

Electric drivetrains: from Stop & Start, hybrid up to electric cars

2015 – 20XX

Gas (LPG, CNG) in specific world regions

Fuel Cell car

Page 21: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

21Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

CHALLENGE 2012 – 2015European CAFE : 130 g CO2 /km

ACEA members 2006 159 g CO2

European CAFE

3 Market DriversCURRENT CUSTOMER VALUE

OEM TECHNOLOGIES COST / VALUE

- Transfer to lower segment

140 g < X < 145 gCO2

136g < X < 141g CO2

133 g < X < 136g CO2

About 130 g CO2

52 €/g CO2/km (average EU)

NATIONAL INCENTIVES AND EU PENALTY

- Energetic change

- Powertrain change

Technologies 62€ < X < 82 €/ g CO2/km

Page 22: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

22Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

Page 23: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

23Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

BIBENDUM CHALLENGEShanghaï, November 2007

71g/km of CO2 measured on real driving conditions(2.7 l /100 km)

Page 24: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

24Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

DIALOG WITH OUR CUSTOMERS

Page 25: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

25Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

Renault eco²: 3 criteria for ecological & economical vehicles

& &

Low fuel consumption, tax management, affordabilityto a wide majority of customers supported by the ecological efficiency.

Below 140 g/CO2or biofuel-compatible

Produced in anIso-14001-certified plant

PRODUCTION

95% reusable by weight &at least 5% of recycled plastics

END-OF-LIFECO2 EMISSIONS

Ecological & Economical

Page 26: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

26Alice de BrauerVP Environmental Strategy Plan

INVESTORS PRESENTATION CONFIDENTIAL January 21 st, 2008

Recycled plastics! 35 kgs equal to 17 wt-%! 90 parts

! 130 gCO2 per km (1.5dCi)! 158 g CO2 per km (2.0 dCi)

! Iso 14001 since 1998

Weight! - 15 kg in average! - 65 kg on 1.5 dCi

DEMONSTRATES THE PROGRESS FROM GENERATION TO GENERATION

Page 27: Alice de Brauer - Groupe Renault · FUEL ECONOMY IS AN HISTORICAL CONCERN FOR RENAULT Petrol Diesel Clio I 1991 8,2 l Clio II 1999 6,7 l Clio III 2007 5,9 l ... Alice de Brauer VP

Alice de Brauer Environmental Strategy Plan January, 2008

Thank you very much