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2011 Emerging Leaders Dialogue Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development

Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

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Page 1: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

2011 Emerging Leaders Dialogue

Alaska’s Population

Eddie HunsingerAlaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development

Page 2: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

St t id P l tiStatewide Population

Page 3: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

Components of Population Change for Alaska, 1947-2009

19471950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

Year

0

10

20

30

40

-10

-20

Thousands

Natural Increase Net Migration

Source: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section

Korean War

Pipeline ConstructionOil Boom

Oil BustPipelineCompleted

Base closures

Vietnam

1989-91Recovery

End of WWII

SteadyGrowth

Total Population for Alaska, 1947-2009

19471950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

Year

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800Thousands

Source: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section

Korean War

Pipeline Construction

Oil Boom

Oil Bust

PipelineCompleted

BaseClosures

Vietnam

1989-91Recovery

End of WWII

SteadyGrowth

Page 4: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

Components of Population Change for Alaska, 1947-2009

19471950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

Year

0

10

20

30

40

-10

-20

Thousands

Natural Increase Net Migration

Source: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section

Korean War

Pipeline ConstructionOil Boom

Oil BustPipelineCompleted

Base closures

Vietnam

1989-91Recovery

End of WWII

SteadyGrowth

Page 5: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population
Page 6: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population
Page 7: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

P l ti b R iPopulation by Region

Page 8: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

Population by Labor Market Region1960, 1970, 1980, 1990, 2000, 2010

Source: Alaska Department of Labor & Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 20100

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000 NorthernSouthwestGulf CoastSoutheastInteriorAnchorage/Mat-Su

Page 9: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

Alaska Borough Total Population, 2010

Skagway

Yukon-Koyukuk

North Slope

Bethel

Nome

Valdez-Cordova

Northwest Arctic

Denali

Dillingham

Lake andPeninsula

Kenai Peninsula

Matanuska-Susitna

Yakutat

WadeHampton

SoutheastFairbanks

Sitka

Aleutians East

Hoonah-Angoon

Kodiak Island

Petersburg

Juneau

Wrangell

Haines

FairbanksNorth Star

KetchikanGatewayPrince of Wales-

Hyder

Anchorage

Bristol Bay

Aleutians West

Source: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section

=100,000 residents

=1,000 residents =10,000 residents

Page 10: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

Skagway

Yukon-Koyukuk

North Slope

Bethel

Nome

Valdez-Cordova

Northwest Arctic

Denali

Dillingham

Lake andPeninsula

Kenai Peninsula

Matanuska-Susitna

Yakutat

WadeHampton

SoutheastFairbanks

Sitka

Aleutians East

Hoonah-Angoon

Kodiak Island

Petersburg

Juneau

Wrangell

Haines

FairbanksNorth Star

KetchikanGatewayPrince of Wales-

Hyder

Anchorage

Bristol Bay

Aleutians West

Source: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section

Average Annual Net Migration Rateby Borough, 2000 to 2009

Greater than 2% 0% to 2%-2% to 0%Less than -2%

Page 11: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

Skagway

Yukon-Koyukuk

North Slope

Bethel

Nome

Valdez-Cordova

Northwest Arctic

Denali

Dillingham

Lake andPeninsula

Kenai Peninsula

Matanuska-Susitna

Yakutat

WadeHampton

SoutheastFairbanks

Sitka

Aleutians East

Hoonah-Angoon

Kodiak Island

Petersburg

Juneau

Wrangell

Haines

FairbanksNorth Star

KetchikanGatewayPrince of Wales-

Hyder

Anchorage

Bristol Bay

Aleutians West

Source: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section

Average Annual Rate of Natural Increaseby Borough, 2000 to 2009

1.5% to 2.0% 1.0% to 1.5% 0.5% to 1.0% 0.0% to 0.5%

Page 12: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

Skagway

Yukon-Koyukuk

North Slope

Bethel

Nome

Valdez-Cordova

Northwest Arctic

Denali

Dillingham

Lake andPeninsula

Kenai Peninsula

Matanuska-Susitna

Yakutat

WadeHampton

SoutheastFairbanks

Sitka

Aleutians East

Hoonah-Angoon

Kodiak Island

Petersburg

Juneau

Wrangell

Haines

FairbanksNorth Star

KetchikanGatewayPrince of Wales-

Hyder

Anchorage

Bristol Bay

Aleutians West

Source: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section

Proportion Alaska Native by Borough, 2010

75% to 100% 25% to 75% 10% to 25% 3% to 10%

Page 13: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

Mi tiMigration

Page 14: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

Net Migration Across AgeAlaska, Stylized

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Age

00

0

-0-0

Sources: Alaska Department of Labor & Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section

Off to new places, college...

Come to work in Alaska

Moving south

Follow Mom and Dad

Page 15: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population
Page 16: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

TX

CA

MT

MI

AZ

ID

NV

NM

CO

OR

ILUT

WY

KS

MN

IA

SD

NE

FL

WI

ND

OK

WA

MO

GA

LA

AL

NY

NC

AR

IN

PA

MS

VA

TN

OH

KY

ME

SC

WV

VT

MD

NJ

MA

NH

CT

DE

RIRI

Source: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section

HI

AK

IRS Migration Counts,To Alaska: 2007 to 2008

1,500 or more 750 to 1,500 250 to 7500 to 250

Page 17: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

TX

CA

MT

MI

AZ

ID

NV

NM

CO

OR

ILUT

WY

KS

MN

IA

SD

NE

FL

WI

ND

OK

WA

MO

GA

LA

AL

NY

NC

AR

IN

PA

MS

VA

TN

OH

KY

ME

SC

WV

VT

MD

NJ

MA

NH

CT

DE

RIRI

Source: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section

HI

AK

IRS Migration Counts,From Alaska: 2007 to 2008

1,500 or more 750 to 1,500 250 to 7500 to 250

Page 18: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

Young Alaskans: gSchool and Work

Page 19: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

Skagway

Yukon-Koyukuk

North Slope

Bethel

Nome

Valdez-Cordova

Northwest Arctic

Denali

Dillingham

Lake andPeninsula

Kenai Peninsula

Matanuska-Susitna

Yakutat

WadeHampton

SoutheastFairbanks

Sitka

Aleutians East

Hoonah-Angoon

Kodiak Island

Petersburg

Juneau

Wrangell

Haines

FairbanksNorth Star

KetchikanGatewayPrince of Wales-

Hyder

Anchorage

Bristol Bay

Aleutians West

Source: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section

16% to 21% 13% to 16% 9% to 13% 0% to 9%

Proportion of Borough Population Ages 15 to 24, 2010

Page 20: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

What They Were Doing in 2007-2008Grades nine to twelve in 2004-2005, Alaska

Last reported High School Status in 2007-2008

Graduates

65%

Dropouts17% 7%

11%

Continuing StudentsDropouts with a GED

Sources: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section; Alaska Department of Education and Early Development

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Page 21: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population
Page 22: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population
Page 23: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

Sources: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section;Alaska Department of Education and Early Development; National Student Clearinghouse

TX

CA

MT

MI

AZ

ID

NV

NM

CO

OR

ILUT

WY

KS

MN

IA

SD

NE

FL

WI

ND

OK

WA

MO

GA

LA

AL

NY

NC

AR

IN

PA

MS

VA

TN

OH

KY

ME

SC

WV

VT

MD

NJ

MA

NH

CT

DE

RI

HI

AK

Where Alaskans Go to College,U.S., November 2009

300 to 1,000 100 to 300 50 to 100 0 to 50

(10,484)

Page 24: Alaska’s Populationlive.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/estimates/present/jun022011.pdf · Alaska’s Population Eddie Hunsinger Alaska Department of Labor ... Components of Population

Thank You!

Contact eddie h nsinger@alaska goContact: [email protected]

More information:More information: http://almis.labor.state.ak.us