Air New Zealand Cup Round 11

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Sports analysis and predictions for round 11 of the Air New Zealand Cup. Which team will come out on top? Only ASAP can tell. Check it out.

Text of Air New Zealand Cup Round 11

  • AIR NEW ZEALAND CUP Round Eleven

    Form Teams Latest Match P W L DLastMet

    Win%

    TABOdds

    ValueOdds

    ASAPMargin Ratings Trend Match Day Form

    30-07-09 04-10-09

    Round 11 - 7:35pm Thursday October 8, Napier - Sky Sport 1

    The Bay took advantage of BOPserratic defence to just get up. Theycould possibly drop one and still makethe semis but it wouldnt want to bethis. With Waldrom, Guilford and Daggexcelling and Berquists accuracythats unlikely, albeit the carelesshandling and option issues. Countiesagain showed their talent for turningscraps into points out wide vCanterbury, but lack 80 minute grunt.

    Round 11 - 7:35pm Friday October 9, Christchurch - Sky Sport 1

    Despite an 11th table position andearly positives, the ASAP Ratingshave Manawatu second last. Theyvefought hard and got a few individualsbut they couldnt compete up front orout back with Wellington. Canterburywere patchy away v Counties but willplan their run at the title now. Withplenty of ABs back and at home witha shield to protect youd expect acomfortable win.

    Round 11 - 7:35pm Friday October 9, Nplymouth - Sky Sport 2 (Replayed 9.30pm Sky Sport 1)

    This should end the slim semi chancesof one. Taranaki brought cohesion,defence and some width v Otago ledby Tony Penn and Jason Eaton.Ripias territorial grasp continues togrow and that game would reallytrouble Auckland. The latter broughtsome urgency for a change and foundenough running chances to get over aflat Southland. Kaino. Afoa, andMoeke looked good but the team willface real unity here.

    Round 11 - 2:35pm Saturday October 10, Dunedin - Sky Sport 1

    Otago fought hard on Taranakis day.With Thompson inspiring they bringplenty to the breakdown and thelineout. Down south theyll make ittough for Waikato who are now 5 from6. Theyre looking more stable withLeonard, Donald and De Malmancheback. Sweeney is in everything and ifthey can lower the error rate and closesome holes they could make thesemis.

    Round 11 - 5:30pm Saturday October 10, Invercargill - Sky Sport 1

    Expect a gut buster. Both desperatelyneed this for the semis and playsimilar no nonsense rugby. Southlandwere flat, even Robinsons kicking wasoff, v Auckland. Back home theyllshow, driven by the work rates ofRutledge and McIntosh. Tasmanagain adapted best to ugly conditionsin Whangarei. MacDonald, Goodman,Petenise and Cook are firing butmainly they bring team and can winthis too.

    Round 11 - 7:35pm Saturday October 10, Albany - Sky Sport 1

    BOP are another who remain in thesemi race. They battled tough v theBay, but defensive lapses eventuallycost them. NH were also downed in aclose one v Waikato. They pounce onerrors, can find wide and will havetargeted this. Still, youd think theability of Bourke and Delaney tocontrol options will give them territoryand theyll look to expose Harboursoften sleepy defence.

    Round 11 - 2:35pm Sunday October 11, Whangarei - Sky Sport 1

    The stiff 1st half wind didnt fazeNorthland who put in again vCanterbury. The reality is they lack theclass to break good line defences.They havent beaten Wellington since2000 and its difficult to see thatchanging here. The latter are findingsome shape despite missing ABs andinjury forced re-shuffles. Schwalger,Vito, Ramasy, Leuia, and Mathewsonare all standing up and Jane isexceptional.

    WLWWWW Hawke's Bay W 22-19 v BOP 10 6 3 1 45 - 14 60% $1.05 $1.30 W by 16

    LLWLLL C-Manukau L 17-28 v Canterbury 10 2 8 0 14/9/08 20% $8.00 $4.00

    WLWWWW Canterbury W 28-17 v Counties 10 8 2 0 24 - 25 80% $1.05 $1.15 W by 21

    LLLLLL Manawatu L 15-43 v Wellington 10 3 7 0 2/8/08 30% $8.00 $8.00

    WWWLLW Taranaki W 38-10 v Otago 10 5 4 1 6 - 22 50% $1.90 $2.10

    WWWLLW Auckland W 27-13 v Southland 10 5 5 0 10/8/08 50% $1.85 $1.90 W by 1

    WLLLWL Otago L 10-38 v Taranaki 10 3 7 0 10 - 39 30% $2.35 $2.10

    WWLWWW Waikato W 33-22 v N Harbour 10 6 4 0 26/9/08 60% $1.55 $1.90 W by 1

    WDWWLL Southland L 13-27 v Auckland 10 6 3 1 6 - 3 60% $1.55 $2.10

    LWWLWW Tasman W 21-16 v Northland 10 6 4 0 19/9/08 60% $2.35 $1.90 W by 2

    LLLWWL Nth Harbour L 22-33 v Waikato 10 3 7 0 31 - 38 30% $2.00 $2.10

    LWLWLL BOP L 19-22 v Hawkes Bay 10 6 4 0 16/8/08 60% $1.75 $1.90 W by 8

    LDLWLL Northland L 16-21 v Tasman 10 3 6 1 27 - 43 30% $5.50 $4.00

    LWLLWW Wellington W 43-15 v Manawatu 10 6 4 0 13/8/05 60% $1.13 $1.30 W by 13

    Source: The All Sports and Prices Index (ASAP Index) produced by Cogito Limited. ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ASAP Ratings. After each game teams record a computerised rating. This rating is based on the scoring mechanism of the sport. Factors which go towards the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The Graph: The graph tracks the trend of the ratings between the displayed dates and predicts the future margin before the addition of home advantage points for todays game. Key: The form column indicates the last 6 matches. The home team is listed first. The Value odds column indicates the odds required to gain value according to the ASAP Ratings. The ASAP Margin forecasts the likely winning margin based on the ASAP Ratings. All Sports And Prices Index Copyright 2009.

  • AIR NEW ZEALAND CUP Round Eleven

    Form Teams Latest Match P W L DLastMet

    Win%

    TABOdds

    ValueOdds

    ASAPMargin Ratings Trend Match Day Form

    30-07-09 04-10-09

    Round 11 - 7:35pm Thursday October 8, Napier - Sky Sport 1

    The Bay took advantage of BOPserratic defence to just get up. Theycould possibly drop one and still makethe semis but it wouldnt want to bethis. With Waldrom, Guilford and Daggexcelling and Berquists accuracythats unlikely, albeit the carelesshandling and option issues. Countiesagain showed their talent for turningscraps into points out wide vCanterbury, but lack 80 minute grunt.

    Round 11 - 7:35pm Friday October 9, Christchurch - Sky Sport 1

    Despite an 11th table position andearly positives, the ASAP Ratingshave Manawatu second last. Theyvefought hard and got a few individualsbut they couldnt compete up front orout back with Wellington. Canterburywere patchy away v Counties but willplan their run at the title now. Withplenty of ABs back and at home witha shield to protect youd expect acomfortable win.

    Round 11 - 7:35pm Friday October 9, Nplymouth - Sky Sport 2 (Replayed 9.30pm Sky Sport 1)

    This should end the slim semi chancesof one. Taranaki brought cohesion,defence and some width v Otago ledby Tony Penn and Jason Eaton.Ripias territorial grasp continues togrow and that game would reallytrouble Auckland. The latter broughtsome urgency for a change and foundenough running chances to get over aflat Southland. Kaino. Afoa, andMoeke looked good but the team willface real unity here.

    Round 11 - 2:35pm Saturday October 10, Dunedin - Sky Sport 1

    Otago fought hard on Taranakis day.With Thompson inspiring they bringplenty to the breakdown and thelineout. Down south theyll make ittough for Waikato who are now 5 from6. Theyre looking more stable withLeonard, Donald and De Malmancheback. Sweeney is in everything and ifthey can lower the error rate and closesome holes they could make thesemis.

    Round 11 - 5:30pm Saturday October 10, Invercargill - Sky Sport 1

    Expect a gut buster. Both desperatelyneed this for the semis and playsimilar no nonsense rugby. Southlandwere flat, even Robinsons kicking wasoff, v Auckland. Back home theyllshow, driven by the work rates ofRutledge and McIntosh. Tasmanagain adapted best to ugly conditionsin Whangarei. MacDonald, Goodman,Petenise and Cook are firing butmainly they bring team and can winthis too.

    Round 11 - 7:35pm Saturday October 10, Albany - Sky Sport 1

    BOP are another who remain in thesemi race. They battled tough v theBay, but defensive lapses eventuallycost them. NH were also downed in aclose one v Waikato. They pounce onerrors, can find wide and will havetargeted this. Still, youd think theability of Bourke and Delaney tocontrol options will give them territoryand theyll look to expose Harboursoften sleepy defence.

    Round 11 - 2:35pm Sunday October 11, Whangarei - Sky Sport 1

    The stiff 1st half wind didnt fazeNorthland who put in again vCanterbury. The reality is they lack theclass to break good line defences.They havent beaten Wellington since2000 and its difficult to see thatchanging here. The latter are findingsome shape despite missing ABs andinjury forced re-shuffles. Schwalger,Vito, Ramasy, Leuia, and Mathewsonare all standing up and Jane isexceptional.

    WLWWWW Hawke's Bay W 22-19 v BOP 10 6 3 1 45 - 14 60% $1.05 $1.30 W by 16

    LLWLLL C-Manukau L 17-28 v Canterbury 10 2 8 0 14/9/08 20% $8.00 $4.00

    WLWWWW Canterbury W 28-17 v Counties 10 8 2 0 24 - 25 80% $1.05 $1.15 W by 21

    LLLLLL Manawatu L 15-43 v Wellington 10 3 7 0 2/8/08 30% $8.00 $8.00

    WWWLLW Taranaki W 38-10 v Otago 10 5 4 1 6 - 22 50% $1.90 $2.10

    WWWLLW Auckland W 27-13 v Southland 10 5 5 0 10/8/08 50% $1.85 $1.90 W by 1

    WLLLWL Otago L 10-38 v Taranaki 10 3 7 0 10 - 39 30% $2.35 $2.10

    WWLWWW Waikato W 33-22 v N Harbour 10 6 4 0 26/9/08 60% $1.55 $1.90 W by 1

    WDWWLL Southland L 13-27 v Auckland 10 6 3 1 6 - 3 60% $1.55 $2.10

    LWWLWW Tasman W 21-16 v Northland 10 6 4 0 19/9/08 60% $2.35 $1.90 W by 2

    LLLWWL Nth Harbour L 22-33 v Waikato 10 3 7 0 31 - 38 30% $2.00 $2.10

    LWLWLL BOP L 19-22 v Hawkes Bay 10 6 4 0 16/8/08 60% $1.75 $1.90 W by 8

    LDLWLL Northland L 16-21 v Tasman 10 3 6 1 27 - 43 30% $5.50 $4.00

    LWLLWW Wellington W 43-15 v Manawatu 10 6 4 0 13/8/05 60% $1.13 $1.30 W by 13

    Ratings Performance MeterRANKINGS RATINGS ODDSRatings

    RankLast

    Week Teams P W L D StreakPtsFor

    PtsAgst

    AveScore

    %Win