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Initial Release Version AIAA Ground Testing Technical Committee Status of “Future of Ground Testing” Working Group Steven Dunn September, 2013

AIAA Ground Testing Technical Committee Status of “Future of Ground Testing” Working Group

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AIAA Ground Testing Technical Committee Status of “Future of Ground Testing” Working Group. Steven Dunn September, 2013. Need Statement. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: AIAA Ground Testing Technical Committee Status of “Future of Ground Testing” Working Group

Initial Release Version

AIAA Ground Testing Technical Committee

Status of “Future of Ground Testing” Working Group

Steven DunnSeptember, 2013

Page 2: AIAA Ground Testing Technical Committee Status of “Future of Ground Testing” Working Group

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Need StatementAerospace and aeronautical ground test (GT), or experimental fluid dynamics (EFD), facilities are used to simulate flight conditions and situations for fundamental research and system and product development. As part of the simulation triad of experimental ground testing, computational methods, and flight testing, GT capabilities are important for validating computer simulations, providing information for geometries and conditions where computational methods are weak, and for supporting development and risk reduction at all stages of an aero product life cycle.

The current and projected need for GT capabilities is based on the physics information needs for aero products across the research, development, test, and evaluation (RDT&E) process – which is based on robust hazard identification and analysis and appetite for risk. A combination of pressures is placed on GT capability owners that affects the cost/risk trade-off by researchers and producers, including aging facilities, declining workloads, lean and retiring workforce, cost models attempting to make facilities pay for themselves that increase unit costs, uneven maintenance, uneven and declining funding for development of new measurement and test techniques, lack of understanding of the roles and integration of GT capabilities and computational methods, and milestone driven (versus risk-based) development of new products.

The end-state of accomplishing modeling and simulation totally via computational methods requires extensive use of GT capabilities to get there. GT capabilities can be seen as expensive to sustain without an understanding of potential impacts from new research and from risk management during the product RDT&E process. It is clear that budget is driving decision making in many organizations and loss of existing capabilities and lack of investment in new capabilities could limit knowledge growth and cost many times more than is saved for the creating and fielding of new products. There is a need to define the environment-based need for experimental GT capabilities in term of risk versus cost over at least the next 25 years to assist government and industry decision makers as they determine what capabilities our country needs going forward.

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Founding a Working Group• The GTTC has long had a need, documented as a continuing action item, to produce an

analysis of the direction and future of ground testing• The nature of ground testing is evolving – greatly reduced government aero research,

aging infrastructure, leaned and retiring workforce, industry consolidation leading to fewer new products being developed, tightening budgets (combined with efforts to (make the GT facilities “pay for themselves) over the last 25 years, organizational and program structural changes that make ground testing more transactional, many facilities closed and few being created, and significantly decreased high speed (supersonic and hypersonic) work

• Recent studies have found that the US is at or near a basic, core level of GT capabilities and that further reductions in capability will impact the ability to produce research and new products

• The GTTC has sponsored a series of AIAA conference invited sessions related to sustaining and managing ground test infrastructure

• A NATO working group is being proposed to address the sustainment and investment needs for ground test infrastructure for member nations and wishes in interact with the GTTC on this common area of interest.

• The GTTC decided to form a working group to accomplish the longstanding need to produce an analysis of the direction and future of ground testing at the AIAA Fluids (Summer) conference in San Diego, CA in June 2013

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Working Group Charter [Needs Revision]FUTURE OF GROUND TESTING WORKING GROUP SCOPEGround Testing Facilities are in jeopardy of being closed due to budget restraints, perceived/actual cost savings, and short-term

vision/budget planning cycles. STRUCTURE

The Future of Ground Testing Working Group was formed under the auspices of the AIAA Ground Testing Technical Committee (GTTC), and will involve liaisons from other TC’s, including but not limited to AMT – and hopefully CFD/analysis users that can provide insight into their current and expected needs. The working group is staffed by selected volunteers from academia, industry and government and is not limited to members of the GTTC or AIAA. The Chairperson for the working group shall be a member of the GTTC and will be appointed by the GTTC Chairperson. An individual's service on the working group will continue until the objectives for which they were selected have been completed.

OBJECTIVESDocument how others have defined the future of propulsion and aerodynamic (wind tunnel) ground testing (will be defined more

specifically below)Gather public domain reports, formal and white papers, briefings, news articles, industry and facility publications Using data above, conduct SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, threats, opportunities) analysis.Produce (at least) an AIAA conference paper on the results of this effort by ASM 2015. Prepare a political advocacy briefing, and establish connections with the AIAA Public Policy and Management Working Groups. OPERATIONThe working group will meet at least twice a year at the times and locations concurrent with scheduled GTTC meetings – as well as

several conference call meetings between conferences to keep to proposed schedule. A formal report will be presented at each GTTC meeting.The working group will organize and chair technical sessions germane to the scope of the working group as requested by the GTTC.

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Work Products• Formal AIAA paper (or multiple papers) that captures the above work

– Target presenting in GT invited session at 2015 SciTech• Prepare an informational advocacy briefing

– Full briefing is focused on the USA, with ability to adapt to EU and Japan– Focus is on logic of importance of GT role in industry RDT&E process and aero

industry role and contribution to the Nation -- not addressing any particular political viewpoint or criticizing or supporting any particular stated political agenda

– Put in terms financial and political (non-engineer) people can understand and act upon

• Interact with educator and political functionaries for advise, review, and input -- need to produce in a form that will be understood

– Utilize and support AIAA public policy function– Look at tying in with the Aerospace Industries Association House and Senate

Aerospace Caucuses• Determine how AIAA and AIA can (or do) work together for areas of common interest

– Engage at state and local levels

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ApproachLogistics

• Prepare charter and gain approval from GTTC (complete)• Define chair and co-chair (Complete; Dunn is chair and Canacci is co-

chair)• Create a web site on the AIAA GTTC home page (Dunn action)• Build the working group membership (start with attendees in San

Diego)• Develop a project-type process plan that will map process to

products• Define, specifically, how data will be acquired and analyzed• Develop support network for product reviews• Define how products will be released and expectations for how they

will be used• Determine what, if any, follow-up or additional work will be needed

after the product releases

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ApproachTopic Areas to Explore

• Projected aeronautics/aerospace RDT&E needs• Integration with computational methods, including the maturation of computational processes and how GT techniques and

processes must evolve to support integration• Integration with and support to flight testing• Integration with measurement and instrumentation technologies maturation, including teaming to define needs to

measurement developers and producers (again, integrated with CFD and flight test)• Integration of government and industry development, proprietary versus open source• Interdependencies within the RDT&E process and risks associated with potential loss of GT capabilities

– Example: Accepting higher risk by not understanding product performance such that defects appear late in the RDT&E life cycle -- very costly to fix late

– Transitioning fundamental research to technology demonstrations to product applications• Facility owner needs and issues

– Mission requirements and priorities– Condition of facilities– Capability sustainment efficacy (maintenance, investments, skill management, operations and maintenance processes, budgets and

business processes– Improvement and modernization alignment with future market needs– Customer focus (for all customers)

• Market environment and needs• Economic impacts

– United States, EU and Great Britain, Japan– Breakouts based on GDP, jobs, net imports/exports– Technology spin-offs, estimate of additional positive impact on GDP

• Education impact (STEM support, • Environmental headwinds and support (in addition to cited above, add geopolitical considerations, overall economic

indicators, national and international politics (regulations/laws, taxation, market support or not, more)

Page 8: AIAA Ground Testing Technical Committee Status of “Future of Ground Testing” Working Group

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ApproachCollecting Information/Data

• Gather public domain (unclassified, public distribution) reports: formal papers and reports, white papers, briefings, news articles, industry and facility publications, more

• Utilize the web site on the AIAA GTTC home page for document storage and access

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ApproachAnalysis

• Define primary topic areas• Develop document review template (using topic areas)• Collect documents• Assign document reviewers• Document review (using template to organize review inputs)• Organize review information into strengths, weaknesses,

opportunities, and threats (SWOT)– Include timeframe information

• Define (knowledgeable estimate) projected GT capability and capacity gaps and excesses looking forward twenty years in terms of SWOT

• Develop recommended actions to align GT capabilities and capacities to near- and long-term market needs

• Produce work products

Page 10: AIAA Ground Testing Technical Committee Status of “Future of Ground Testing” Working Group

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Schedule and Major MilestonesID Task Name Duration Start Finish

1 Working Group Start and Logistics 442 days? Wed 5/1/13 Thu 1/8/152 Draft approach 38 days? Wed 5/1/13 Fri 6/21/133 Present to TC 1 day Mon 6/24/13 Mon 6/24/134 Develop Charter 1 day Tue 6/25/13 Tue 6/25/135 Charter Approval 1 day? Wed 6/26/13 Wed 6/26/136 Develop working group membership 75 days Mon 6/24/13 Fri 10/4/137 Develop Plan 70 days Thu 6/27/13 Wed 10/2/138 Meetings and Calls(+ Email) 322 days Wed 10/16/13 Thu 1/8/159 Telecom 0.1 days Wed 10/16/13 Wed 10/16/1310 Telecom 0.1 days Wed 12/11/13 Wed 12/11/1311 2014 SciTech 5 days Mon 1/6/14 Fri 1/10/1412 Telecom 0.1 days Wed 3/26/14 Wed 3/26/1413 Telecom 0.1 days Wed 5/28/14 Wed 5/28/1414 Summer Conference 3 days Mon 6/23/14 Wed 6/25/1415 Telecom 0.1 days Wed 8/27/14 Wed 8/27/1416 Telecom 0.1 days Wed 9/24/14 Wed 9/24/1417 Telecom 0.1 days Wed 10/29/14 Wed 10/29/1418 2015 SciTech 4 days Mon 1/5/15 Thu 1/8/1519 Collect Information 205 days Thu 7/25/13 Wed 5/7/1420 Develop Review Template 15 days Thu 9/19/13 Wed 10/9/1321 Set up Web Site 40 days Thu 8/8/13 Wed 10/2/1322 Collect Information 130 days Thu 7/25/13 Wed 1/22/1423 Review Information and Post 130 days Thu 10/10/13 Wed 4/9/1424 Organize Review Information 130 days Thu 11/7/13 Wed 5/7/1425 Analysis 200 days Thu 1/2/14 Wed 10/8/1426 Align Topic Area Info from Review with SWOT 140 days Thu 1/2/14 Wed 7/16/1427 Organize SWOT by Decades 140 days Thu 1/30/14 Wed 8/13/1428 Document the State of GT at Time Slices 140 days Thu 2/27/14 Wed 9/10/1429 Develop Recommendations 20 days Thu 9/11/14 Wed 10/8/1430 Product Development 166 days Thu 5/22/14 Thu 1/8/1531 Document Analysis Findings in One or More Papers 166 days Thu 5/22/14 Thu 1/8/1532 Write Paper(s) 100 days Thu 5/22/14 Wed 10/8/1433 Peer Review and Revisions 30 days Thu 10/9/14 Wed 11/19/1434 ITAR/Export Control Review 30 days Thu 11/20/14 Wed 12/31/1435 Present Paper(s) at 2015 SciTech 4 days Mon 1/5/15 Thu 1/8/1536 Develop Advocacy Briefing 226 days Thu 5/22/14 Thu 4/2/1537 Develop Briefing Initial Draft 80 days Thu 5/22/14 Wed 9/10/1438 Multiple Reviews and Revisions 50 days Thu 9/11/14 Wed 11/19/1439 ITAR/Export Control Review 20 days Thu 11/20/14 Wed 12/17/1440 Present at 2015 SciTech 4 days Mon 1/5/15 Thu 1/8/1541 Utilize for Advocacy Purposes 60 days Fri 1/9/15 Thu 4/2/15

M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J2013 2014 2015

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Actions for Next Two Months

• Develop working group membership (by ~9/30), Action: Dunn and Canacci

• Develop Plan (by 9/30), Action: Dunn (draft), Canacci and team (review and improve)

• Telecom (mid-October), Action to Set Up: Dunn and Canacci• Develop Document Review Template (by mid-October), Action:

Dunn (draft) and Canacci (Review and Improve)• Set up Web Site (Complete), Action: Dunn, Leembruggen, and

AIAA• Collect, Post, and start reviewing Documents (started, keep going

into next year), Action: Dunn and Canacci to Facilitate, WG members to accomplish

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Team Member Time Commitment

• Everyone on this volunteer team is busy, so we’ll be very flexible• Time is whatever you can do, as long as you occasionally contribute

– we need your expertise!• We will utilize an AIAA web site specific to this effort (all

unclassified, non-proprietary information) as our information clearinghouse

• Planned interactions (each as you can support) until products ready:– Emails at least monthly– Bimonthly telecoms; review and status ongoing actions, will block out an

hour and try to take 30 minutes; agenda sent before each call.– Working meetings at conferences (4 hours at each), aligned with GTTC

meetings at the January 2014 ASM/SciTech (National Harbor, MD) and June 2014 Summer combined conference (Atlanta, GA)

– Present findings at January 2015 SciTech/ASM