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First step to design sustainable agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability? Ing. Agr (Dr.) Sebastián Mazzilli

agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

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Page 1: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

First step to design sustainable agricultural systems:

How to measure sustainability?

Ing. Agr (Dr.) Sebastián Mazzilli

Page 2: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Work team

• Ing. Agr. Joaquín Echeverría.

• Dr. Armen Kemanian.

• Ing. Agr. Ignacio Buffa.

• Ing. Agr. Gonzalo Bugarín.

• Ing. Agr. Oswaldo Ernst.

Page 3: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA) (FAO Council, 1989).

The management and conservation of the natural resource base, and the orientation of technological and institutional change in such a manner as to ensure the attainment and continued satisfaction of human needs for present and future generations. Such sustainable

development (in the agriculture, forestry and fisheries sectors) conserves land, water, plant and animal genetic resources, is

environmentally non-degrading, technically appropriate, economically viable and socially acceptable”.

Page 4: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

What we demand from agriculture?(Commission European Communities, 1999; UN-SD, 2000)

•Competitive business.

•Productive (enough food).

•Products with standard of quality require by global consumers.

• Environmentally friendly.

Page 5: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Agricultural systems: factories to produce food, fibers and energy.

Emissions CO2

NOx

CH4

Effluents

Soil (erosion)

Nutrients

Agrochemicals

Production = Export of

- Nutrients

- C

- Water

Page 6: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Local decisions – global problems.

FarmCrop rotation, weeds, pests, diseases, fertilization.

Loss of soil productivity.

Site/Plot Cultivar, sowing date, weed, pest, disesases control/managment, fertilization

Ecosystem

Region Loss of biodiversity, loss of habitat, sedimentation, pollution.

Degradation.

Global Loss of biodiversity, loss of habitat, sedimentation, pollution.

Degradation.

Season

Year

Years

Decades

Decisions

Page 7: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

We need to evalute problems locally to avoidlocal and global problems.

• Much of the information that circulates is imperfect and biased.El País (8/06/2015)

El País (20/7/2015)

El País (20/04/2015)

Page 8: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Estimation systems in the world and the region

Page 9: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Main objective of the project

•Have signals (indicators and benchmark)

• Interpret them.

•Act

Page 10: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)
Page 11: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Farms that take part of the project

• 30 farms.

• Only agricultural period between 2011 al 2014.

• 485 management units (paddocks/plots).

• Average annual area evaluated = 15.574 ha

• Average area per farm = 601 has (115 a 4163 ha)

• Average area per management units = 42 has (4 a 290 has)

Page 12: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Average rotations (2011-2014)

Invierno

32%

Cobertura

7%

Soja 1

26%

Soja 2

24%

Sorgo+Maiz 1

5%

Sorgo+Maiz 2

6%

Soybean 1

Cover crop

Winter crop

Soybean 2

Sorghum+Maize 1Sorghum+Maize 2

Page 13: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Proportions of crops per year - farms

0.570.48 0.51 0.51

0.04

0.06

0.15 0.20

0.34 0.42

0.440.47

0.38 0.37

0.41

0.430.10 0.11

0.08

0.04

0.17 0.09

0.080.06

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

2011 2012 2013 2014

Pro

po

rtio

n o

f cr

op

s

Invierno Cobertura Soja 1 Soja 2 Sorgo+Maiz 1 Sorgo+Maiz 2Winter crops

Covercrops

Soybean1

Soybean2

SorghumMaize

1

SorghumMaize

2

Page 14: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Variability between farms

0.51

0.12

0.42 0.40

0.08 0.10

1.49

0.77

0.50

0.67 0.65

0.26 0.25

1.77

0.20

0.00

0.16 0.18

0.00 0.00

1.00

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

2.00

Pro

po

rtio

n o

f cr

op

s

Average Maximun

Page 15: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Residues and carbon input per farm.

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

15 17 14 2 21 23 16 3 29 30 13 10 27 18 8 24 1 22 4 19 6 28 12 25 7 20 26 11 5 9

Re

sid

ue

s an

d c

arb

on

inp

uts

(M

g h

a-1

)

Page 16: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Carbon balance estimation

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

0

26 10 9 13 27 20 19 28 12 24 5 7 23 25 21 1 22 4 2 17 16 8 29 3 15 6

Car

bo

n b

alan

e(k

g h

a-1y-1

)

Page 17: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Some comments of this indicator• The case of greater loss of carbon would imply an output of between

190 and 490 kg ha-1 year-1 (depending on the estimate used).

• It implies between 0.3 and 0.7% of its total carbon soil (68 Mg ha-1)

• In a period of 37 to 90 years carbon soil would decrease 1%.

• A change of this magnitude would imply the loss of 17 Mg ha-1 of carbon soil.

Page 18: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Main variables that explain carbon soil balance (R2 = 0.85)

Sites: 370Value: 13 Kg/ha

C Humif < 768 kg/haChacras: 236VALOR: -83 Kg/ha

C Humif >= 768 kg/haSites: 134Value: 182 Kg/ha

%C >= 3,3Sites: 58Value: -253 Kg/ha

%C < 3,3Sites: 87Value: 251 Kg/ha

%C >= 3,3Sites: 56Value: 251 Kg/ha

%C < 3,3Sites: 178Value: -27 Kg/ha

Page 19: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Aerial biomass production (% probability)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000

% P

rob

abili

ty

Aerial biomass (Kg MS ha-1 y-1)

Page 20: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

More intensity of crops, better indicators

y = 386x - 623R² = 0,27

P < 0,0001

-800

-600

-400

-200

0

200

400

600

800

1000

0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1

Car

bo

n b

alan

ce (

kg h

a-1y-1

)

Crop intensity (crop y-1)

Page 21: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Estimated soil erosion related to reference

4.2

8.1

6.0

8.2

7.5

6.4

15.3

4.23.4

2.2

6.9 6.8

4.1

2.8

5.3

9.4

6.0

6.8

5.4

7.8 7.5

3.8

10.4

6.9

8.2

10.3

7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.2 6.1 5.95.6 5.5 5.5

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

Soil

ero

sió

n(M

g h

a-1)

Erosión Tolerancia

In the 46% of farms the erosion estimated is greater than tolerance

Erosion Tolerance

Page 22: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

USE OF WATER - Frontier of use

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000

Po

ten

tial

wat

er

evap

ora

ted

(m

m)

Rainfall (mm)

-112 mm

-183 mm

Page 23: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Water use - farms

-112

-136 -136-144

-153

-164 -166-171 -175 -177 -180 -180 -180 -181 -182 -183 -185

-189 -189 -190 -193 -194 -196 -199 -201

-218 -221-226 -229

-237-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

0

14 21 17 2 29 30 3 24 23 18 10 25 13 8 6 16 1 27 4 12 28 15 26 11 20 22 5 19 9 7

Eff

icie

ncy

of

use

(m

m)

Page 24: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Soil nutrients balance (phosphorus and potassium)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

Ap

pa

ren

t b

ala

nce

(k

g h

a-1

)

Balance P2O5

Balance K2O

Page 25: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Nitrogen efficiency use1.51

1.391.311.31

1.271.241.241.221.221.211.191.191.191.171.131.121.121.111.111.111.101.10

1.051.051.041.031.021.000.95

0.90

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

5 22 8 2 1 7 6 11 25 10 12 24 18 4 3 30 14 9 15 23 17 21 13 26 27 28 16 20 19 29

Inp

utd

s/O

utp

uts

N

Page 26: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Agrochemicals

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

UT

be

es

UT

Mam

mal

UT MAMUT Abj

Page 27: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Toxicological units by crop

0

2000000

4000000

6000000

8000000

10000000

12000000

14000000

16000000

Trigo Cebada Maíz_1 Maíz_2 Soja_1 Soja_2 Sorgo_1 Sorgo_2

UT

BEE

S

2.9 2.4

6.1

3.8

10.8

8.0

4.3 4.7

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

20.0

Trigo Cebada Maíz_1 Maíz_2 Soja_1 Soja_2 Sorgo_1 Sorgo_2

UT

MA

MM

AL

Page 28: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Gross margin by crop and its variability

69%

166%

34%

45% 59%

44%

24%

53%

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

Trigo Cebada Soja_1 Soja_2 Maíz_1 Maíz_2 Sorgo_1 Sorgo_2

Gro

ss m

arg

in (

U$

S h

a-1

)

Page 29: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Final comments• Agriculture as was development in the last 10 years generated in average

terms:

• Loss of carbon

• Less use of water.

• Soil erosion.

• Positive balances of phosphorus.

• Negative balances of Potassium.

• Increasing inputs of Nitrogen.

• Increase in the use of Agrochemicals.

Page 30: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

BUT THERE IS EVIDENCE OF FARMS WITH:• Neutral to positive Carbon balance.

• Adequate use of water.

• Erosion below tolerance.

• Adequate nutrient balances.

• Low use of agrochemicals in the system.

• NO strong associations between the trajectory of the different environmental indicators and the economic results.

Page 31: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Available tools• The main result of this project, in addition to the information generated,

is the calculation platform available.

• https://decisorcrea.com/login

• http://hiedra.lit.com.uy/fucrea/

Page 32: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Funding for investigation• “Conservación del capital natural en la nueva agricultura” -

Fondo Multilateral de Inversiones del Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo (FOMIN-BID)

• Fondo de Promoción de la Tecnología Agropecuaria (INIA-FPTA) nº 327 «Sustentabilidad ambiental y económica en predios agrícola-ganaderos: un sistema de indicadores objetivos aplicable en el campo»

• Proyecto Manejo Sustentable de los Recursos Naturales y Cambio Climático. Proyecto DACC - MGAP Préstamo Banco Mundial Nº 8099-UY. Componente III. Generación de información de apoyo para la mejora en la gestión de los recursos naturales por parte de la Dirección General de Recursos Naturales del Ministerio de Ganadería, Agricultura y Pesca. ACUERDO DE COLABORACIÓN INIA y FUCREA

Page 33: agricultural systems: How to measure sustainability?caets2018.aniu.org.uy/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/5-Mazzilli.pdf · Sustainability Assessment of Food and Agriculture systems (SAFA)

Questions?