5/24/11

1

VANCOUVER ISLAND SUNSHINE COAST

AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK 2011

Purpose of the Outlook   Agriculture – where the industry is now, where it is going

and how it will get there?   Area includes Sunshine Coast, Powell River and Vancouver

Island north of the Malahat   Living document

  Why?   Provincial government promoting agricultural plans, several

areas have completed plans   Outlook ties them together at a Regional level   Common message - growing interest in producing food close to

home   Plenty of potential – no single lead organization to do it!

State of the Industry   Generates $112 million in economic activity (2006)

  Trend growing steadily – up from $98 million (2001)

  Significant potential to increase production   Using about 25% of existing farm land base

  Excellent climate, soils and water for production

  Potential to intensify (irrigation, higher value crops, etc)   $1108 per ha in ALR now; Fraser Valley generates $12,550

per ha in ALR

  Industry is “more organic” than other South Coastal areas – matching consumer demand for products

Types of Farms

  1928 farms total

  Horticultural Crops

  38.4% of revenue

  1.3% of ALR

  Trend - increasing

  Livestock

  59.2% of revenue

  22.1% of ALR

  Declining

ALR - 101,007ha (100%)

Horticulture - 1.3%

Livestock fodder/pasture - 22.1%

Other (unimproved) land

- 14.0%

Overview – Farm Receipts RD #Farms Gross ($) Expense Margin % Margin $ all farms

Ave GM/Farm

Gross $/Farm

CVRD 700 47,554,455 43,503,736 8.5% 4,050,719 5,787 67,935

NRD 461 21,186,317 21,274,867 -0.4% -88,550 -192 45,957

ACRD 89 5,491,456 5,068,237 7.7% 423,219 4,755 61,702

RDCS 497 32,975,655 30,237,884 8.3% 2,737,771 5,509 66,649

PRRD 85 1,921,378 2,253,346 -17.3% -331,968 -3,906 22,604

SCRD 96 2,583,742 2,486,876 3.7% 96,866 1,009 26,914

TOTAL 1928 111,713,003 104,824,946 6.2% 6,888,057 3,573 57,942

•  Low margin industry – Farmers keep 6.2 cents of every dollar sold so •  Need high levels of management to improve margins •  Or increase scale of operations – produce more

Why? – Food Self-sufficiency $Produced vs $Consumed - 8.2%

0.524 ha is the area required to produce a healthy diet for one

individual - 10.9%

Desired Level of Self‐Sufficiency Current (2006) prod. 

(10.9%)  20% Revenue generated ‐ gross ($millions)  $112  $175 Revenue generated ‐ per ALR ha  $1,106  $2,135 Water requirements (acre I)  13,376  23,347 Greenhouse area (ha)  17.3  26.0 Cleared land (for food) required (ha)  23,224  42,992 Cleared land as % of ALR  28%  52% 

A football field (between the goal lines) is 1.36 acres (0.55 ha)

5/24/11

2

Profile of Industry   3 types of farms

  Part time – not economically motivated   <$10,000 per year

  62% of farms - <5% of total revenue

  Developing farm “businesses”   $10,000 to $100,000+/-

  28% of farms - 14% of revenue

  Established Commodity Farms   $100,000+

  10% of farms - >80% of revenue

Scale of Farms

1206

313

145 80 73 47 38 24 2

$0

$5,000,000

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$15,000,000

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

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<$10,000 $10,000 - $24,999

$25,000 - $49,999

$50,000 - $99,999

$100,000 - $249,999

$250,000 - $499,999

$500,000 - $999,999

$1m - $2m >$2m

Tota

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Num

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Revenue Category

Gross revenue 2006 Gross revenue 2001 Farms 2006

Examples

Drainage

Irrigation & Soil Fertility

Higher Value Crops

Farmers’ Markets

Value-added

Agri-tourism, Culinary, Direct Market

Observations and Conclusions   Three themes emerge

  Theme 1 improving the capacity of farm organizations

  Theme 2 improving the profitability of farming enterprises

  Theme 3 improving the capacity of the resource base

Suggested Strategies   Theme 1 Improving the Capacity of Farm

Organizations

1.  Need for an coordinating body to connect the various farm organizations, support organizations and geographic areas.

2.  Need to improve communication flow within industry and between industry and community

3.  Need to develop a critical mass to achieve the threshold of sustainability

Suggested Strategies Theme 2 Improving the Profitability of Farming

Enterprises

  Increase use of business planning

  Training to improve management capacity   Recruit new farmers with management capacity   Increase direct farm marketing and local farm

markets   Increase local production   Increase market share through processing

  Develop safer, more secure food supply

5/24/11

3

Suggested Strategies Theme 3 Improving the Physical Capacity of the

Resource Base

  Develop agriculture capacity with First Nations

  Increase access to water for agriculture purposes

  Improve infrastructure

  Map soils capability

What can you do?

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108

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183

385

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3687 2DT

3778 2D

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3097 4PA

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1747 4TP

495 5PT

5338 2D

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116

6007 2D

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6976 7R

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160 5AP

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2997 2D

5047 2DT

1510 2DT

7768 5TP

1546 4PT

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5298 2DT

8508 1

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2810 5PA

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4037 3TP

1976 3PA

4526 2DT

3960 7T

2846 3PA

2538 5AP

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5827 3PT

7040 2DT

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727 3PA

465 4TP

2977 5A

498

3327 3TP

6507 3PT

7008 4TP

3658 3TP

7965 3A

8308 1

1046 3PT

178

1527 4PT

4468 3TP

7930 2D

1376 3AP

7850 5AP

2498 4PR

316 5T

1235 5TP

1280 O3WL

198 5TP

3377 3TP

3737 3PA

222

5070 5TP

681

448

5240 5AP

471

9106 7RT

1217 2T

6927 3PT

30 5T

280

8576 7T

4247 5PA

942

786

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6607 5TP

1427 3D

6057 4PA

1126 5TP

5670 2DT

1727 3D

273

240 5PA

6340 1

7558 2D

6025 O5W

304

6497 3TP

2958 4TP

3906 3PT

3458 2AT

2727 2AT

1270 5PA

4257 3PA

891

2850 5PT

7308 2A

1198 4TP

448 3PDT

386 4PA

2458 3TA

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6855 3D

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9200 6N

1650 4PA

7985 2TA

1310 3PA

4058 5TP

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3988 4TP

4376 3TP

2387 3TA

200 2C

8690 2TD

169

3888 2D

932

810 3AP

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8386 4T

2678 5AP

676 3PA

2237 4T

8560 2DT

3660 2D

7570 3TD

3867 4TP

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426 4PA

6577 3PA

3610 5TP

2466 3PW

1647 2AC

916 3PT

7730 3A

625 7T

9167 4PA

4707 3PT

3160 5PA

2330 4PR

1136 2P

421

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768 3DW

6757 7T

6996 5R

5696 4P

8190 4PT

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5920 3TP

5306 2DT

6427 3PAT

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2770 2DT

5834 3PT

1586 3AT

7620 O3W

7355 5T

30

7060 4P

1100 4TP

292

50 2C

162

758

6917 2TA

307

1110 5PA

837

3060 4P

1960 2DC

9159 5AP

7237 2AT

458 3WC

855 5P

328

965 5T

944

5687 2DT

1710 4PD

8418 4PT

6416 3PA

1855 2AP

3307 2PA

595 5PT

14

6397 3PT

1820 5T

5815 4PA

240

3140 5AP

8397 2TD

2885 2D

3546 3TA

3720 3PT

2446 2DC

8030 3T

3346 2DT

11

2260 2DT

490

4140 5PT

6206 3TP

786 4PA

5497 3PT

598

6290 3PT

3190 2A

882

940 O3W

2070 3T

923

5388 7T

5026 4T

3438 4T

922

4016 3T

4737 3PT

436

1030 3PW

5940 3PT

707 5T

6636 5AR

6966 2PT

338

5097 1

5630 3PT

2030 4RA

528 3PA

853

4457 1

846 3D

624

7207 2D

167

8629 2DT

295 3A

395

510 4T

6116 5T

7837 7T

8716 3AT

8587 4PA

379

7280 5T

210

5160 3PT

416

406 4PA

5770 5T

4688 3A

3567 2WD

9130 5PT

9147 2DT

4517 O7W

8496 5P

1350 2A

3576 5PA

5487 3TP

7660 1

8228 4PT

672

7477 2TD

3216 5A

5398 3TP

4470 3AR

4325 2DC

800 5P

1766 2DC

3808 5T

870 3PT

4408 3AP

2636 5T

6520 O3WL

3007 O3WL

9030 2DT

2430 2DT

6440 2DT

2255 4PA

5560 2D

93

6310 2D

4720 4T

6377 5AT 653

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108 5TP

2488 5W

5508 3PT

7090 1

930

4547 4PA

4266 2DT

7686 3PT

9360 2D

1390 3PD

8450 2DT

6787 2DP

8597 4PA

805

750 4P

2198 4PT

264

6335 2T

394

3085 4P

7647 3T

769

4380 5T

7908 2D

6957 7T

9405 3T

4397 3A

92

2187 2TC

820 3PW

1150 3DW

265 7T

2150 2CD

6258 5T

7437 2D

147

5910 3APT

1938 3T

2560 2TA

1700 2DC

650 3PW

659

2650 O3WL

8900 4T

5787 4TP

3120 O3BL

270 2AC

753

880 2PD

2877 2W

2350 2T

6617 3PT

835 3PA

1250 3WD

4188 3TP

7390 4TP

6488 2TA

6360 2T

1450 O3WL

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7326 2WD

2050 4PT

340 2CW

482

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7567 3D

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660 O4WB

5647 4P

102

556 O3WL

2660 3PA

1297 3A

369

336

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6566 4T

5596 3A

6327 7T

4200 3WD

7380 3PT

5896 3A

7150 3WD

579

4220 3A

1590 2DT

8460 5TP

415

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7018 4PR

1860 O3W

4086 2D

3538 2AT

635 3W

1380 2TA

1360 7W

7450 4P

9450 4TP

419

6658 5T

606 5P

4490 3TD

4790 4PA

4100 3DW

6807 3PR

8430 3TD

572

7265 3TD

150 5AP

1530 3PA

7168 7R

4430 3WD

5448 3TP

6947 3DP

2360 2AC

4656 4T

4605 3P

3056 5T

9057 3TA

6160 4P

8515 3PAT

8135 4TP

148

3937 4PA

7468 3PT

4006 2DC

7376 3TA

860 4PA

114

7875 2D

3710 3TP

4230 5T

4675 O3L

417 3DP

173

1916 5W

5620 2D

2168 5W

293

740 3WD

260

7240 5T

1770 2DC

2280 2TA

2130 3D

9120 O3WL

6888 3TP

5660 3DP

5266 5RT

6356 4T

161

5718 3TP

837

4758 2TD

8940 2T

224

4060 5PA

6687 7R

9040 2DT

2688 O5W

3176 4P

5550 3TP

4350 2A

4626 2A

5148 3A

6707 2AT

8800 2DT

3028 4PR

1000 2T

1180 2C

2390 4R

6450 2DW

996 5P

5080 5T

3846 3AP

2345 O3WL

389

8920 3WD

184

2540 5T

3260 4W

4640 2AT

3838 2DC

346

7140 2DW

1756 2AC

956

8880 2DP

607

567 O3W

122

4740 3W

3427 4PT

455

259

323

370 2AC

4910 4TR

7410 3A

6740 3T

8655 4TP

2718 2A

3270 3PA

2747 O5W

348

617

8340 3AT

3677 2PA

651

2218 O4W

3036 2DW

7078 2D

2966 5W

73

453

3630 5PT

3996 5T

5317 5T

5950 3A

4278 3TP

8700 4TP

6270 2AT

604

6227 3PT

9310 3T

7726 3TA

3296 O4W

3336 2DT

1575 3TA

1800 2A

3598 2AT

530 3PT

3878 O4W

2625 2C

2837 2DC

2270 3W

5527 3PT

7346 3TR

2707 4PT

1460 O3W

8070 2DT

521

3586 3TA

7220 2DT

844

456

2020 O4LW

941

9537 4PA

364

9218 5T

8976 7T

7290 2D

3700 3TP

917

923

9260 2AD

3310 4P

3818 4W

7546 2DT

1980 2A

540 2T

179

6770 3TA

6540 3TP

4760 2AT

2175 2AC

8140 2D

873

290

1200 O3W

525

6237 2DW

7590 2D

817

5750 5T

2060 3AP

5937 4PA

7485 2DT

9390 5TP

3228 O2WL

900 4PT

5607 5T

8120 5T

570 2DC

155

3440 4PA

220

938

9280 O2W

8740 4T

2378 2A

1950 3W

4967 4PA

3520 2D

80 2WA

8350 2DT

200

8727 5T

4580 2D

9090 3T

476 4PA

2827 3PA

7316 3AT

3910 4TP

8550 3TP

7190 3T

4440 3WD

5478 3TP

9007 1

6640 5T

770 2C

6696 3TP

5996 3A

1300 2DW

5976 4RT

1330 3TA

4807 3DT

3768 2D

3926 2D

2520 3TA

4850 5P

8088 3D

3418 4T

291

1340 2PT

500 3PA

8680 3WD

286

8200 4P

7050 3APT

117

241

980 2W

614

8217 5A

1400 2AC

430 2C

4610 5W

929

2425 2D

4170 3WD

1810 O3WL

7898 2DW

1870 7T

8955 3TP

9460 3TP

4047 3PA

4420 5AP

7976 3PT

6180 4PT

33

3750 2D

9480 3TD

6676 2WD

311

680 3DW

7670 3DP

3256 3P

5766 3A

8167 5PA

2690 2AC

2557 3WD

247

1897 2AC

5120 2AT

168

942

4830 7W

230

180 5T

3626 2D

7170 2D

1260 5PA

9470 3W

6195 O5W

8960 3WD

335

7490 3DT

2120 2A

918

7827 5A

7506 2DT

5700 2DW

5058 2TD

4660 4T

7136 2A

2310 2DT

5800 4PA

2760 5PA

7880 3TD

190

506

3130 3T

2040 4RA

4028 4RT

3248 3D

5880 2TA

6130 2TA

258

5530 4TR

8110 2D

397

6430 3PAT

5655 O3L

780

5960 4PA

2325 O3W

6890 3A

3398 O3WL

554

823

4770 3DW

4500 5AP

5418 7T

608

959

7750 2D

8870 4PA

457

211

1050 3D

4070 5T

261

628

4410 X

194

2947 4PT

7120 2D

9117 5TP

7100 O3WL

590

5518 3PT

7420 2TP

3550 2AP

6837 3PT

8420 3WD

610

8330 2WD

5220 2AT

163

4630 3W

58

7840 3PT

5850 3WD

6930 3D

8847 3TA

5110 3W

7510 3DP

7940 2W

804

7026 2PT

4950 3WD

320 O3WL

229

573

7210 O3WL

5238 2D

4120 3W

8010 3TD

1500 O3W

279

4930 5T

7650 2D

3788 2AT

3828 O4W

257

8290 O3WL

1447 2D

3740 2WD

8770 2DT

1060 3D

5740 3A

7277 2D

5377 3DT

170 2WA

4816 5RT

8930 3AP

2090 7P

6980 O3WL

251

5437 4T

8986 7RT

275

6580 3WD

5008 2TD

1497 2C

4690 3AR

7520 3DP

5408 2TD

950 4PT

4998 7T

4840 3W

626

5360 3TP

519

612

347

5465 O3L

8897 1

7780 3DP

4330 3WD

310

8267 5PA

925

4870 5AP 497

3188 O3WL

109

927

779

5570 4PA

431

5278 2D

687

4297 3TP

428

278

949

6620 3WD

1660 3PA

5170 7W

969

9620 5AT

964

4946 4T

827

5010 3W

1320 7P

848

5357 3TP

963

5206 2A

5458 3PT

5427 4T

5037 2DT

5158 7T

4595 3P

951

214

5288 2D 534

5 O3L

875

35

298

8997 1

961

4118 O4W

736

5100 5AP

6556 2D

790 5PA

124

518

36

349

5328 3TP

9710 6N

160

143

301

156

711

413

8837 1

320

4348 2D

7917 3TP

199

973

6157 3PA

974

492

208

141

488

350

351

836

7917 3TP

919

7718 3PA

092F.017

092F.026 092F.027

092F.035 092F.036 092F.037

092F.046

Reference Map:

Datum:Projection:Drafted By:Date:

92F017, 92F026, 92F027 92F035, 92F036, 92F037 92F046NAD 83UTM 10ECON consultingAugust 31, 2010

LEGEND

PRIME SOILS - excess water

PRIME SOILS - moisture deficient

PRIME SOILS - other limitations

PRIME ORGANIC SOILS - excess water

ALR

NON-PRIME SOILS (class 4 - 7)

0 500 1,000250Meters

!1:20,000

1230 3AP

Polygon ID

A Moisture Deficient Sub Class W Excess Water(Improved Rating) P Stoniness

% of Polygon(Improved Rating) Soil Class

(Improved Rating)

Alberni-ClayoquotRegional District

Soils Capability MappingIMPROVED CAPABILITY -

PRIME AGRICULTURAL SOILS (CLASS 1,2 or 3)

Northern Section

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Points to Ponder   The farming community is here to stay

  The industry could benefit greatly from support from government (all levels) the public and institutions in every region

  There is an opportunity to see the industry flourish and strategies to help it do so

Next Steps   Complete the Agricultural Outlook

  Living document

  Seeking input from AVICC

  Looking for suggestions for short term projects that benefit the entire study area

  Develop a long-term strategy to assist the agriculture sector

  Celebrate the industry

  Questions?

Contacts Ministry of Jobs, Tourism and Innovation ruralbc@gov.bc.ca

Island Coastal Economic Trust line.robert@islandcoastaltrust.ca

BC Ministry of Agriculture and Lands jill.hatfield@gov.bc.ca