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    AdditionalMathematics

    Project Work 4

    Lukmanulhakim awaluddin

    930423125069

    S.m.k agama kota kinabalu

    lukman

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    Acknowledgement..................................................

    Objectives...............................................................

    Introduction ...........................................................

    Part 1......................................................................

    Part 2......................................................................

    Part 3......................................................................

    Further Explorations...............................................

    Reflections............................................................

    Conclusion..............................................................

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    AcknowledgementFirst of all, I would like to say Alhamdulillah, for giving me the strength and healthto do this project work and finish it on time.

    Not forgotten to my parents for providing everything, such as money, to buy

    anything that are related to this project work, their advise, which is the most needed for

    this project and facilities such as internet, books, computers and all that. They also

    supported me and encouraged me to complete this task so that I will not procrastinate in

    doing it.

    Then I would like to thank to my teacher, Mdm Fazilah for guiding me throughout

    this project. Even I had some difficulties in doing this task, but she taught me patiently

    until we knew what to do. She tried and tried to teach me until I understand what Im

    supposed to do with the project work.

    Besides that, my friends who always supporting me. Even this project is

    individually but we are cooperated doing this project especially in disscussion and

    sharing ideas to ensure our task will finish completely.

    Last but not least, any party which involved either directly or indirect in

    completing this project work. Thank you everyone.

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    The aims of carrying out this project work are:

    i. To apply and adapt a variety of problem-solving strategies to solve

    problems.

    ii. To improve thinking skills.

    iii. To promote effective mathematical communication.

    iv. To develop mathematical knowledge through problem solving

    in a way that increases students interest and confidence.

    v. To use the language of mathematics to express mathematical

    ideas precisely.

    vi. To provide learning environment that stimulates and enhances

    effective learning.

    vii. To develop positive attitude towards mathematics.

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    IntroductionA Brief History Of Statistic

    By the 18th century, the term " statistics" designated the systematic

    collection of demographic and economic data by states. In the early 19th

    century, the meaning of "statistics" broadened, then including the discipline

    concerned with the collection, summary, and analysis of data. Today statistics is

    widely employed in government, business, and all the sciences. Electronic

    computers have expedited statistical computation, and have allowed statisticians

    to develop "computer -intensive" methods.

    The term "mathematical statistics" designates the mathematical theories

    of probability and statistical inference, which are used in statistical practice. Therelation between statistics and probability theory developed rather late, however.

    In the 19th century, statistics increasingly used probability theory, whose initial

    results were found in the17th and 18th centuries, particularly in the analysis of

    games of chance (gambling). By 1800, astronomy used probability models and

    statistical theories, particularly the method of least squares, which was invented

    by Legendre and Gauss. Early probability theory and statistics was systematized

    and extended by Laplace; following Laplace, probability and statistics have been

    in continual development.

    In the 19th century, social scientists used statistical r easoning and

    probability models to advance the new sciences of experimental psychology and

    sociology; physical scientists used statistical reasoning and probability models to

    advance the new sciences of thermodynamics and statistical mechanics.

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    The development of statistical reasoning was closely associated with the

    development of inductive logic and the scientific method. Statistics is not a field

    of mathematics but an autonomous mathematical science , like computer science

    or operations research. Unlike mathematics, statistics had its origins in public

    administration and maintains a special concern with demography and economics.

    Being concerned with the scientific method and inductive logic, statistical theory

    has close association with the philosophy of science ; with its emphasis on

    learning from data and making best predictions, statistics has great overlap with

    the decision science and microeconomics. With its concerns with data, statistics

    has overlap with information science and computer science .

    Statistics Today

    During the 20th century, the creation of precise instruments for

    agricultural research, public health concerns (epidemiology, biostatistics,

    etc.),industrial quality control, and economic and social purposes (unemployment

    rate, econometry, etc.) necessitated substantial advances in statistical practices.

    Today the use of statistics has broadened far beyond its origins.

    Individuals and organizations use statistics to understand data and make

    informed decisions throughout the natural and social sciences, medicine,

    business, and other areas. Statistics is generally regarded not as a subfield of

    mathematics but rather as a distinct, albeit allied, field. Many universities

    maintain separate mathematics and stati stics departments. Statistics is alsotaught in departments as diverse as psychology, education, and public health.

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    Index Number

    Index numbers are today one of the most widely used statistical indicators.

    Generally used to indicate the state of the economy, index numbers are aptly

    called barometers of economic activity. Index numbers are used in comparing

    production, sales or changes exports or imports over a certain period of time.

    The role-played by index numbers in Indian trade and industry is impossible to

    ignore. It is a very well known fact that the wage contracts of workers in our

    country are tied to the cost of living index numbers.

    By definition, an index number is a statistical measure designed to show

    changes in a variable or a group or related variables with respect to time,

    geographic location or other characteristics such as income, profession, etc.

    Characteristics of an Index Numbers

    1. These are expressed as a percentage: Index number is calculated as a ratio

    of the current value to a base value and expressed as a percentage. It must be

    clearly understood that the index number for the base year is always 100. An

    index number is commonly referred to as an index.

    2. Index numbers are specialized averages: An index number is an average

    with a difference. An index number is used for purposes of comparison in cases

    where the series being compared could be expressed in different units i.e. a

    manufactured products index (a part of the whole sale price index) is constructed

    using items like Dairy Products, Sugar, Edible Oils, Tea and Coffee, etc. These

    items naturally are expressed in different units like sugar in kgs, milk in liters, etc.

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    The index number is obtained as a result of an average of all these items, which

    are expressed in different units. On the other hand, average is a single figure

    representing a group expressed in the same units.

    3. Index numbers measures changes that are not directly measurable: An

    index number is used for measuring the magnitude of changes in such

    phenomenon, which are not capable of direct measurement. Index numbers

    essentiallycapture the changes in the group of related variables over aperiod of

    time. For example, if the index of industrial production is 215.1 in 1992-93 (base

    year 1980-81) it means that the industrial production in that year was up by 2.15times compared to 1980-81. But it does not, however, mean that the net increase

    in the index reflects an equivalent increase in industrial production in all sectors

    of the industry. Some sectorsmight have increased their production more than

    2.15 times while other sectors may have increased their production only

    marginally.

    Uses of index numbers

    1. Establishes trends

    Index numbers when analyzed reveal a general trend of the phenomenon under

    study. For eg. Index numbers of unemployment of the country not only reflects

    the trends in the phenomenon but are useful in determining factors leading to

    unemployment.

    2. Helps in policy making

    It is widely known that the dearness allowances paid to the employees is linked

    to the cost of living index, generally the consumer price index. From time to time

    it is the cost of living index, which forms the basis of many a wages agreement

    between the employees union and the employer. Thus index numbers guide

    policy making.

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    3. Determines purchasing power of the rupee

    Usually index numbers are used to determine the purchasing power of the rupee.

    Suppose the consumers price index for urban non-manual employees increased

    from 100 in 1984 to 202 in 1992, the real purchasing power of the rupee can be

    found out as follows: 100/202=0.495 It indicates that if rupee was worth 100

    paise in 1984 its purchasing power is 49.5 paise in 1992.

    4. Deflates time series data

    Index numbers play a vital role in adjusting the original data to reflect reality. For

    example, nominal income(income at current prices) can be transformed into realincome(reflecting the actual purchasing power) by using income deflators.

    Similarly, assume that industrial production is represented in value terms as a

    product of volume of production and price. If the subsequent years industrial

    production were to be higher by 20% in value, the increase may not be as a

    result of increase in the volume of production as one would have it but because

    of increase in the price. The inflation which has caused the increase in the series

    can be eliminated by the usage of an appropriate price index and thus making

    the series real.

    Types of index numbers

    Three are three types of principal indices. They are:

    1. Price Index

    The most frequently used form of index numbers is the price index. A priceindex compares charges in price of edible oils. If an attempt is being made to

    compare the prices of edible oils this year to the prices of edible oils last year, it

    involves, firstly, a comparison of two price situations over time and secondly, the

    heterogeneity of the edible oils given the various varieties of oils. By constructing

    a price index number, we are summarizing the price movements of each type of

    oil in this group of edible oils into a single number called the price index. The

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    Whole Price Index (WPI). Consumer Price Index (CPI) are some of the popularly

    used price indices.

    2. Quantity Index

    A quantity index measures the changes in quantity from one period to

    another. If in the above example, instead of the price of edible oils, we are

    interested in the quantum of production of edible oils in those years, then we are

    comparing quantities in two different years or over a period of time. It is the

    quantity index that needs to be constructed here. The popular quantity indexused in this country and elsewhere is the index of industrial production (HP). The

    index of industrial production measures the increase or decrease in the level of

    industrial production in a given period compared to some base period.

    3. Value Index

    The value index is a combination index. It combines price and quantity

    changes to present a more spatial comparison. The value index as suchmeasures changes in net monetary worth. Though the value index enables

    comparison of value of a commodity in a year to the value of that commodity in a

    base year, it has limited use. Usually value index is used in sales, inventories,

    foreign trade, etc. Its limited use is owing to the inability of the value index to

    distinguish the effects of price and quantity separately.

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    Calculating index number

    Index numberIs a measure used to show the change of a certain quantity for astated period of time by choosing a specific time as the base year. In general an

    index number is the comparison of a quantity at two different times and is

    expressed as a percentage.

    H = 1

    0100

    I = index number

    Q1 = quantity at specific time

    Qo = quantity at base time

    The composite index is the weighted mean for all the items in a certain situation.

    = = Composite index

    W = weightage

    H = index number

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    Part 1

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    The prices of good sold in shops are vary from one shop to another. Shoppers

    tend to buy goods which are not only reasonably priced but also give value for their

    money. I had carried out a survey on four different items based on the following

    categories which is food, detergent and stationery. The survey was done in three

    different shops. Informations below shows the results from my research.

    Question (a)

    Picture

    Stationery

    Food

    Detergent

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    Question (b)

    DataCategory Item Price

    Giant Servay khidmat

    Food 1.self-raising flour 2.70 3.70 3.30

    2.sugar 1.80 1.60 1.35

    3.butter 3.60 2.90 3.00

    4.Eggs(grade A) 3.60 2.90 3.00

    Total price 11.70 12.00 12.15Detergent 1.Washing powder 19.00 21.00 20.50

    2.dish washer 4.00 3.20 2.10

    3.liquid bleach 6.00 5.50 4.90

    4.tile cleaner 10.20 9.80 9.50

    Total price 39.20 39.50 38.00

    Stationary 1.pencil(shaker) 8.90 9.20 8.20

    2.highlighter 3.50 2.90 3.80

    3.permenent marker 3.50 2.90 3.80

    4.card indexing 14.70 15.00 16.00

    Total price 30.60 30.50 32.00

    GRAND TOTAL 81.50 82.00 82.15

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    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    1214

    giant

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    giant

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    giant

    servay khidmat

    Food

    S

    S

    B

    E

    servay khidmat

    Detergent

    li

    t

    servay khidmat

    Stationery

    pen

    hig

    per

    car

    lf Raising Flour

    gar

    utter

    ggs

    ashing powder

    ish washer

    quid bleach

    ile cleaner

    cil

    lighter

    menant marker

    d indexing

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    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    food

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    food

    detergent stationary

    detergent stationary

    giant

    servay

    khidmat

    giant

    servay

    khidmat

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    Question (D)

    Based on all the graph in question 1(C) , we can conclude that giant hypermarketoffers the lowest price for their customers. Then followed by servayl and Khidmat. This

    is because the supplier of the giant gives the special price for it as it buy by bulk.

    servay offer the normal price for their customer as it does not get special price from the

    supplier. While, khidmat have to sold the items at the higher price because the shop buy

    the items by bulk from Giant.

    Other factors that influenced the prices of goods in the shops is such as the

    location of the shop, the population of the customers, the status of the shop, the size of

    the shop, and the rent for the shop.

    Giant can offer the lowest price because it is situated at stratergic place so

    indirectly this factor can attract customer buy at the mall. When there are many

    customers, the demand of the items will be high and the mall can buy by bulk directly

    with the supplier to get the special price. The status of the shop also influenced the

    price of the goods sold. As example the shop with status mall will offer the lowest pricethan the shop with status mini market. The size of the shop also will influenced the

    price. When the size of the shop is bigger its mean it can sell many different items in the

    shop. Indirectly the shop will known as one stop center and it will attract many

    customers as the people nowadays are very busy. Giant is a bigmall and it provides

    many items that we need in our life. Eventhough Giant have to pay rent for the place,

    but it not gives too much effects to the price of goods sold as it has many buyers.

    Servay and khidmat cannot offer the prices as giant because they are situated

    outside the urban area like giant . So the population of the customer will not be as many

    as customer in giant. These shops get the supply for their goods from giant. Even they

    buy by bulk with giant but their prices still will be higher than giant. The size of these

    shop also small and cannot provide too much goods for their customers. They just sold

    basic needed for their customers. As they not have too much customers, so the rent

    that they have to pay will influenced the price of the goods sold.

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    As a conclusion, the

    a shop. So, we must be a

    graph below will show the

    the shops grand total.

    81.1

    81.2

    81.3

    81.4

    81.5

    81.6

    81.7

    81.8

    81.9

    82

    82.1

    82.2

    giant

    re are many factors that affect the price

    smart customer to ensure we can get t

    conclusion of the difference among th

    servay khidmat

    grand total

    f the goods solds in

    e lowest price. The

    shops based upon

    grand total

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    Question (e)

    The item that has large price different among the shops is marker. Mydin Mallsold it at RM 3.00, Si Comel sold it at RM3.90 while Embat Shop sold it at RM 3.60.

    Calculate the mean

    =

    =#$#$".'

    %

    =20.20 Calculate the standard deviation

    = $Or

    =

    I)$

    = # $#($".')% ($# )$

    = 0.8498

    The difference of the price of the marker in these three shops is maybe due to the

    price given by the supplier to the shops. giant can sold it at lowest prices because the

    demand of the buyers for the the item is high so it can buy by bulk with the supplier. So the

    shop can get the special price. The demand of the item in servay and Khidmat are low. This

    is because the customers are more interested to buy the stationery items in mall or

    stationery shops as there are more options to choose. So servay and khidmat cannot buy by

    bulk the stationery items with their supplier.

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    Part2

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    Every year my school organises a carnival to raise funds for the school. This year

    my school plans to install air conditioners in the school library. Last year, during the

    carnival, my class made and sold butter cakes. Because of the popularity of butter

    cakes, my class has decided to carry out the same project for this years carnival.

    Question (a)

    From the data in Part 1, I would go to Giant to purchase the ingredients for the butter

    cakes. This is because giant offers the lowest price among the shops for the items I

    want to buy. So my class will able to sold the butter cakes at the low price and get some

    profits form the sale. Futhermore, giant is located not far from my school. So it is easier

    to my friends and I to go there.

    Ingredient Quantity

    per cake

    Price in

    2009 (Rm)

    Price in

    2010 (Rm)

    Price index 2010 based 2009

    Self-raising flour 250g 0.90 0.675

    75

    Sugar 200g 0.35 0.36102.86

    Butter 250g 3.30 3.60

    109.10

    Eggs(grade A) 5 (300g) 1.20 1.80

    144

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    (i) Calculate Price Index

    H = 10 100 Self raising-four

    = 1.000.90 100

    = 111.11 Sugar

    =0

    .36

    0.35 100=102.86

    Butter

    = 3.503.30 100=106.06

    Eggs (Grade A)

    =1

    .37

    1.25 100=109.60

    (ii) Composite index

    =

    = ('###.##) ("$.) ('#".") (#".")'&' =107.74

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    To calculate composite index firstly use the formula of composite index. Get

    the value for the formula. Lets quantity per cake be as weightage, W. Obtain the

    price index from the calculation in question (i). Then, calculate by using the

    calculator.

    (iii)

    On 2009, RM 15.00

    On 2010, suitable price is :

    15 100=107.74 100= 107.74 15

    = 1616.10100 =16.20

    Thus, the suitable price for the butter cake for the year 2010 is RM 16.20. The

    increase in price is also suitable because of the rise in the price of the ingredients.

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    Question (c)

    (i) To determine suitable capacity of air conditioner to be installed based on

    volume/ size of a room

    For common usage, air conditioner is rated according to horse power

    (1HP), which is approximately 700W to 1000W of electrical power. It is

    suitable for a room size 1000ft which is around 27m of volume. If we buy an

    air conditioner with 3HP, it is suitable for a room around 81m.

    (ii) Estimate the volume of school library

    By using a measuring tape, the dimension for the library is:

    Height=3.6mWidth=9.0m

    Length=20.12m

    Volume of the room=3.6 x 9.0 x 20.12

    =651.90m%One unit of air conditioner with 3HP is for 81 m%For651.90m% = '#."#

    = 8.048This means our school library needs 8 unit of air conditioner.

    (iii) My class intends to sponsor one air conditioner for the school library. The

    calculation below is to find how many butter cakes we must sell in order to

    buy the air conditioner.

    1 unit of 3 HP air conditioner = RM 1800Cost for a cake = RM 6.23Selling price = RM 16.20Profit =RM 16.20- RM6.23

    = RM 9.97

    Number of cakes to buy 1 unit of air conditioner =

    18009.97 = 180.54 = 181 cakes

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    As a committee member for the carnival, I am required to prepare an estimatedbudget to organise this years carnival. I has taken into consideration the increases

    in expenditur from the previous year due to inflationThe price of food, transportation

    and tents has increased by 15%. The cost of games, prizes and decorations remains

    the same,whereas the cost of miscellaneous items has increase by 30%.

    (a)Table 3 has been completed based on the above information.

    Expenditure Ammount in 2009

    (RM)

    Amount in 2010

    (RM)

    Index Weightage

    Food 1200 1.15 x 1200 =1380 115 12

    Games 500 1 x 500 =500 100 5

    Transportation 1300 1.15 x 1300 =345 115 3

    Decoration 200 1 x 200 =200 100 2

    Prizes 600 1 x 600 =600 100 6

    Tonts 800 1.15 x800 =920 115 8

    miscellaneous 400 1.3 x400 =520 130 4

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    Composite Index

    =

    = ##'(#$) #""(') ##'(%)#""($) #""() ##'() #%"(&)(#$'%$&) = 446540 =111.625

    The total price for the year 2010 increase by 111.625%. This is because some price

    in the year 2009 increased in the year 2010.

    (a) The change in the composite index for the estimate budget for the carnivalfrom the year 2009 to the year 2010 is the same as the change from the

    year

    2010 to the year 2011. Below are the calculation to determine the

    composite index of the budget for the year 2011 based on the year 2009.

    Composite index for the year 2009 to the year 2010

    =111.625Composite index for the year 2010 to the year 2011

    =111.625

    $"##$"" 100 = $"#"$"" $"##$"#"

    $"##

    $"" =111.625 111.625

    1

    100

    =124.60

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    Further Explorations

    History of early price indices

    No clear consensus has emerged on who created the first price index. The

    earliest reported research in this area came from Welshman Rice Vaughan

    who examined price level change in his 1675 bookA Discourse of Coin and

    Coinage. Vaughan wanted to separate the inflationary impact of the influx of

    precious metals brought bySpain from the New Worldfrom the effect due

    to currency debasement. Vaughan compared labor statutes from his own timeto similar statutes dating back to Edward III. These statutes set wages for

    certain tasks and provided a good record of the change in wage levels.

    Vaughan reasoned that the market for basic labor did not fluctuate much with

    time and that a basic laborers salary would probably buy the same amount of

    goods in different time periods, so that a laborer's salary acted as a basket of

    goods. Vaughan's analysis indicated that price levels in England had risen six

    to eightfold over the preceding century.[1]

    While Vaughan can be considered a forerunner of price index research, hisanalysis did not actually involve calculating an index.[1] In 1707

    Englishman William Fleetwoodcreated perhaps the first true price index. An

    Oxford student asked Fleetwood to help show how prices had changed. The

    student stood to lose his fellowship since a fifteenth century stipulation barred

    students with annual incomes over five pounds from receiving a fellowship.

    Fleetwood, who already had an interest in price change, had collected a large

    amount of price data going back hundreds of years. Fleetwood proposed an

    index consisting of averaged price relatives and used his methods to showthat the value of five pounds had changed greatly over the course of 260

    years. He argued on behalf of the Oxford students and published his findings

    anonymously in a volume entitled Chronicon Preciosum.[2]

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    Formal calculation

    Further information: List of price index formulas

    Given a setCof goods and services, the total market value of transactionsin Cin some periodtwould be

    where

    represents the prevailing price ofc in periodt

    represents the quantity ofc sold in periodt

    If, across two periods t0

    andtn, the same quantities of each good

    or service were sold, but under different prices, then

    and

    would be a reasonable measure of the price of the set in one period relative to

    that in the other, and would provide an indexmeasuring relative prices overall,

    weighted by quantities sold.

    Of course, for any practical purpose, quantities purchased are rarely if ever

    identical across any two periods. As such, this is not a very practical index

    formula.

    One might be tempted to modify the formula slightly to

    This new index, however, doesn't do anything to distinguish growth or

    reduction in quantities sold from price changes. To see that this is so, consider

    what happens if all the prices double between t0andtn while quantities staythe same:Pwill double. Now consider what happens if allthe quantities double between t0 andtn while all the prices stay thesame:Pwill double. In either case the change inPis identical. As such,Pisas much a quantity index as it is a price index.

    Various indices have been constructed in an attempt to compensate for thisdifficulty.

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    Paasche and Laspeyres price indices

    The two most basic formulas used to calculate price indices are the Paasche

    index(after the German economistHermann Paasche[pa]) and

    the Laspeyres index(after the German economistEtienneLaspeyres[laspejres]).

    The Paasche index is computed as

    while the Laspeyres index is computed as

    wherePis the change in price level, t0 is the base period (usually the firstyear), andtn the period for which the index is computed.

    Note that the only difference in the formulas is that the former uses period n

    quantities, whereas the latter uses base period (period 0) quantities.

    When applied to bundles of individual consumers, a Laspeyres index of 1

    would state that an agent in the current period can afford to buy the same

    bundle as he consumed in the previous period, given that income has not

    changed; a Paasche index of 1 would state that an agent could have

    consumed the same bundle in the base period as she is consuming in the

    current period, given that income has not changed.

    Hence, one may think of the Laspeyres index as one where the numeraire is

    the bundle of goods using base year prices but current quantities. Similarly,

    the Paasche index can be thought of as a price index taking the bundle of

    goods using current prices and current quantities as the numeraire.

    The Laspeyres index systematically overstates inflation, while the Paascheindex understates it, because the indices do not account for the fact that

    consumers typically react to price changes by changing the quantities that

    they buy. For example, if prices go up for goodc then, ceteris paribus,quantities of that good should go down.

    Fisher index and Marshall-Edgeworth index

    A third index, the Marshall-Edgeworth index(named for economistsAlfred

    MarshallandFrancis Ysidro Edgeworth), tries to overcome these problems of

    under- and overstatement by using the arithmethic means of the quantities:

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    A fourth, the Fisher index(after the American economistIrving Fisher), is

    calculated as the geometric mean ofPPandPL:

    Fisher's index is also known as the ideal price index.

    However, there is no guarantee with either the Marshall-Edgeworth index or

    the Fisher index that the overstatement and understatement will thus exactly

    one cancel the other.

    While these indices were introduced to provide overallmeasurementof

    relative prices, there is ultimately no way of measuring the imperfections ofany of these indices (Paasche, Laspeyres, Fisher, or Marshall-Edgeworth)

    against reality.

    Normalizing index numbers

    Price indices are represented as index numbers, number values that indicate relative change but not

    absolute values (i.e. one price index value can be compared to another or a base, but the numberalone has no meaning). Price indices generally select a base year and make that index value equal to

    100. You then express every other year as a percentage of that base year. In our example above,

    let's take 2000 as our base year. The value of our index will be 100. The price

    2000: original index value was $2.50; $2.50/$2.50 = 100%, so our new index value is 100

    2001: original index value was $2.60; $2.60/$2.50 = 104%, so our new index value is 104

    2002: original index value was $2.70; $2.70/$2.50 = 108%, so our new index value is 108

    2003: original index value was $2.80; $2.80/$2.50 = 112%, so our new index value is 112

    When an index has been normalized in this manner, the meaning of the number 108, for instance, is

    that the total cost for the basket of goods is 4% more in 2001, 8% more in 2002 and 12% more in

    2003 than in the base year (in this case, year 2000).

    Relative ease of calculating the Laspeyres index

    As can be seen from the definitions above, if one already has price and quantity data (or,

    alternatively, price and expenditure data) for the base period, then calculating the Laspeyres index for

    a new period requires only new price data. In contrast, calculating many other indices (e.g., the

    Paasche index) for a new period requires both new price data and new quantity data (or, alternatively,

    both new price data and new expenditure data) for each new period. Collecting only new price data is

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    often easier than collecting both

    index for a new period tends to r

    new period.[3]

    Calculating indices from e

    Sometimes, especially for aggre

    data.[4]For these cases, we can

    expenditures, rather than quantit

    Here is a reformulation for the L

    Let be the total expenditu

    have an

    into our Laspeyres formula as fol

    A similar transformation ca

    Chained vs non-chaine

    So far, in our discussion, we hav

    alternative is to take the base pe

    period. This can be done with an

    index, where tn is the period for

    anchors the value of the series:

    Each term

    answers the question "by what f

    When you multiply these all toge

    increased since periodt0.

    Nonetheless, note that, when ch

    prices.

    new price data and new quantity data, so calcula

    quire less time and effort than calculating these

    penditure data

    ate data, expenditure data is more readily availa

    ormulate the indices in terms of relative prices a

    ies.

    speyres index:

    re on good c in the base period, then (by definiti

    d therefore also . We can substi

    lows:

    be made for any index.

    calculations

    e always had our price indices relative to some fi

    riod for each time period to be the immediately p

    y of the above indices, but here's an example wit

    hich we wish to calculate the index andt0 is a r

    ctor have prices increased between periodtn 1

    ther, you get the answer to the question "by what

    in indices are in use, the numbers cannot be sai

    ting the Laspeyres

    other indices for a

    ble than quantity

    d base year

    n) we

    ute these values

    xed base period. An

    eceding time

    h the Laspeyres

    ference period that

    and periodtn".

    factor have prices

    d to be "in periodt0"

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    Index number th

    Price index formulas can

    properties per se. Severa

    proposed in index numbresearch in a list of nine

    whereP0 andPn are vec

    period while and

    1. Identity test:

    The identity test ba

    quantities remain ian item is multiplie

    or, for the later p

    2. Proportionality tes

    If each price in the

    should increase by

    3. Invariance to chan

    The price index sh

    increased by a fact

    by another factor. I

    quantities and pric

    4. Commensurability

    The index should

    prices and quantiti5. Symmetric treatm

    treatment of place)

    Reversing the orde

    index value. If the i

    to the earlier time

    going from the earl

    ory

    be evaluated in terms of their mathe

    l different tests of such properties ha

    r theory literature. W.E. Diewert sumuch tests for a price index

    tors giving prices for a base period a

    give quantities for these periods.[5]

    sically means that if prices remain th

    the same proportion to each other (by the same factor of either, for th

    riod) then the index value will be on

    :

    original period increases by a factor

    the factor .

    ges in scale test:

    uld not change if the prices in both p

    or and the quantities in both periods

    n other words, the magnitude of the v

    s should not affect the price index.

    test:

    ot be affected by the choice of units

    s.nt of time (or, in parity measures, sy

    :

    r of the time periods should produce

    ndex is calculated from the most rece

    eriod, it should be the reciprocal of th

    ier period to the more recent.

    atical

    e been

    arized past,

    d a reference

    same and

    ach quantity ofe first period,

    .

    then the index

    riods are

    re increased

    alues of

    sed to measure

    metric

    reciprocal

    nt time period

    e index found

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    6. Symmetric treatment of commodities:

    All commodities should have a symmetric effect on the index.

    Differentpermutations of the same set of vectors should not change the

    index.7. Monotonicity test:

    A price index for lower later prices should be lower than a price index

    with higher later period prices.

    8. Mean value test:

    The overall price relative implied by the price index should be between

    the smallest and largest price relatives for all commodities.

    9. Circularity test:

    Given three ordered periods tm, tn, tr, the price index for

    periods tm andtn times the price index for periods tn andtr should be

    equivalent to the price index for periods tm andtr.

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    Quality change

    Price indices often capture changes in price and quantities for goods and services, but they often fail

    to account for improvements (or often deteriorations) in the quality of goods and services. Statisticalagencies generally use matched-model price indices, where one model of a particular good is priced

    at the same store at regular time intervals. The matched-model method becomes problematic when

    statistical agencies try to use this method on goods and services with rapid turnover in quality

    features. For instance, computers rapidly improve and a specific model may quickly become obsolete.

    Statisticians constructing matched-model price indices must decide how to compare the price of the

    obsolete item originally used in the index with the new and improved item that replaces it. Statistical

    agencies use several different methods to make such price comparisons.[6]

    The problem discussed above can be represented as attempting to bridge the gap between the pricefor the old item in time t,P(M)t, with the price of the new item in the later time period,P()t + 1.

    [7]

    The overlap method uses prices collected for both items in both time periods, t and t+1. The price

    relative P(N)t+ 1/P(N)t is used.

    The direct comparison method assumes that the difference in the price of the two items is not due

    to quality change, so the entire price difference is used in the index. P(N)t+ 1/P(M)t is used as the

    price relative.

    The link-to-show-no-change assumes the opposite of the direct comparison method; it assumes

    that the entire difference between the two items is due to the change in quality. The price relative

    based on link-to-show-no-change is 1.[8]

    The deletion method simply leaves the price relative for the changing item out of the price index.

    This is equivalent to using the average of other price relatives in the index as the price relative for

    the changing item. Similarly, class mean imputation uses the average price relative for items with

    similar characteristics (physical, geographic, economic, etc.) to M and N.[9]

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