ACRS MEETING WITH THE U.S. NUCLEAR REG ULATORY COMMISSION

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    U.S.NRCUnited States Nuclear Regulatory CommissionProtectingPeopleand theEnvironment

    ACRS MEETING WITHTHE U.S. NUCLEAR

    REGULATORYCOMMISSION

    June 6, 2011.1

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    SU.S.NRCUnited States Nuclear Regulatory CommissionProtectingPeopleand theEnvironment

    Overview

    Said Abdel-Khalik

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    Events at Fukushima* ACRS has been actively engagedon event follow-up and discussion

    of lessons-learnedandrecommendations for appropriatefollow-up actions for NRC

    * ACRS Fukushima Subcommitteehas been formed

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    Events at Fukushima (cont.)* ACRS has received briefings fromNRC staff and other stakeholders and

    plans to hold additionalSubcommittee meetings- Overview on April 7, 2011- Near term review on May 26, 2011- Additional briefings to be scheduled

    *ACRS report to the Commission onstaff's Lessons-Learned report-Prior to February28, 2012

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    Accomplishmentsi Since our last meeting with the

    Commission on November 5, 2010,we issued 32 Reports:

    i Topics:- CurrentState of Licensee Efforts toTransition to NFPA-805- Comparison of ISA and PRA for Fuel

    Cycle Facilities- Use of Risk Insights to Enhance theSafety Focus of Small ModularReactor

    Reviews5

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    * Topics (cont.):- APIO00

    " Design CertificationAmendmentApplication

    " Long-Term Core Cooling" Aircraft Impact Assessment" Vogtle Units 3 & 4 Reference COLA" VC Summer Unit 2 &3 SubsequentCOLA

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    Topics (cont.):- Use of CAP in Analyzing ECCS andContainment Heat Removal System

    Pump Performance n PostulatedAccidents- Emergency PlanningRule and Related

    Regulatory Guidance- Safety Culture Policy Statement- SRP for Renewal of Spent FuelDryCask Storage Licenses andCertificatesof Compliance

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    * Topics (cont.):- PointBeach Extended Power Uprate- RAMONA5-FA Code for Use in BWR

    Stability Calculations- Revisions to Generic License

    Renewal Guidance Documents- FinalSERs Associated with theLicense Renewal Applications for:

    " Palo Verde NuclearStation* Kewaunee Power Station"Salem Nuclear GeneratingStation

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    * Topics (cont.):- SER Related to the Calvert CliffsCQLA Referencing the EPR Design- Response to EDO Regarding Closure

    of DAC for New Reactors- QualityAssessment of Selected NRCResearch Projects- Advanced Reactor Research Plan- GroundwaterProtection Task Force

    Efforts- Human FactorsConsiderations

    Associated with EmergingTechnologies

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    * Topics (Cont.):- Regulatory Guides" RG 1. 174, An Approach for UsingPRA in Risk-Informed Decisions onPlant-Specific Changes to the

    Licensing Basis" RG 1. 177, An Approach for Plant-Specific, Risk-InformedDecisionmaking:TechnicalSpecifications" RG In 152, Criteria or the Use ofComputers in Safety Systems ofNuclearPower Plants

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    * Topics (Cont.):- Regulatory Guidesa RG 1.34, Controlof ElectroslagWeld Properties

    w RG 1.43, Controlof Stainless SteelWeld Cladding of Low-Alloy SteelComponents

    mRG 1.44, Controlof the Processingand Use of Stainless Steelv RG 1.50, Controlof PreheatTemperature for Welding of Low-Alloy Steel

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    New PlantActivities* Reviewing:

    DC applicationsand SERs associatedwith the U.S. EPR and U.S. APWRdesigns-Adequacy of Long-Term Core Cooling

    Approach for the ABWR-Reference COLAs for ABWR, ESBWR,U.SM-APWR, and U.S. EPR

    - Subsequent COLAs for API00* Continuing to complete reviews ofavailablematerialpromptly

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    License Renewal* Interim reviews performed for

    Diablo Canyon and CrystalRiver* Will perform interim reviews of

    Seabrook and Columbia in CY 2011

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    Power Uprates* Will review the Turkey Point,NineMile Point, Grand Gulf, andMonticello Extended Power UprateApplications

    Will review Supplements to NEDC-33173P-A, "Applicabilityof GEMethods to Extended OperatingDomains"

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    Other OngoinglFutureActivities* SOARCA* Watts Bar 2* DigitalI&C* 10 CFR 50.46(b)e Small ModularReactorse Revision to the Construction Reactor

    Oversight ProcessAssessmentProgram

    o Blending of Low-Level RadioactiveWaste

    e Emerging technical issues15

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    cUIS.NRCUnited States Nuclear Regulatory CommissionProtectingPeople and theEnvironment

    CurrentState of LicenseeEfforts to Transition to

    NationalFire ProtectionAssociation (NFPA)Standard805

    John.W. Stetkar

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    10 CFR 50.48(c)" Issued in 2004, allows licensees toadopt and maintain a risk-informed,

    performance-basedFire ProtectionProgram that meets therequirementsof NFPA Standard805 (2001 Edition)

    * Alternative to 10 CFR 50.48(b) orthe plant-specific fire protectionlicense conditions

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    June 25, 2010 SRM" The ACRS should conduct a review

    and reportback to the Commissionon the currentstate of licenseeefforts to transition o NFPAStandard805" The review should includemethodologicaland other issues thatmay be impeding the transitionprocess, lessons learned from thepilot projects, and recommendationsto address any issues identified

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    June 25, 2010 SRMi The review should determine

    whether the level ofconservatism of themethodology is appropriateandwhether any adjustmentsshould be considered

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    Pilot PlantLicense Amendments Shearon Harrisrequest submittedMay 2008; final safety evaluation

    issued June 2010" Oconee request submitted May2008, revised April 2010; final

    safety evaluation issued December2010

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    ACRS Review of Transition"Consultantinterviewed industry

    fire PRA practitionersand NRCstaff

    "Reliability and PRASubcommittee m et in Novemberand December 2010

    * Committee completed reviewduring February2011 meeting

    February17, 2011 report21

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    NUREGICR-6850; EPRI 1011989 Provides a sound technicalbasisfor the development of fire PRA

    models and analyses to supportthe transition o NFPA 805

    * Focused departures rom generalguidance will be necessary toaddress som e plan t-specificissues* Staff has accepted departures

    with adequate technicaljustification22

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    Baseline Fire PRA for Transition" Simplified models and boundingvalues often used for screening" Best estimate models and valuesused for refinements* Supports determination ofassurance tha t overall safety willbe maintainedunder risk-informedframework

    Baseline fire PRA may retainconservative simplificationsandassumptions

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    Post-TransitionApplications* Excessive PRA conservatism mayaffect quality of decisions forpost-transitionrisk-informed

    applications Especially important for licenseeself-approved changes* Furtherrefinements of modelsand data needed for more realisticestimates of absolute risk andrelative contributors

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    Analytical Conservatism Sourcese Arbitraryunilateraldecisions andinflexible guidance:not evident

    from our reviews* Maturity of currentstate-of-the-

    practicemethods: enhancedmethods in NUREGICR-6850; allPRA methods continue to evolve Analysts' choices regardingappliedPRA refinements: plant-specific

    decisions25

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    Numerical Conservatism Sources-System atic bias in parametricvalues: conservatism m ay beintroducedby interpretationandapplicationof limited test data

    * Large uncertainties:do notrepresent"conservatism" f theuncertaintiesaccuratelyaccountfor our currentstate of knowledge

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    Quantificationof Uncertainties* Uncertaintiesare not quantified inthe pilot plant PRAs or in-progress"mature"studies* Uncertainties hould be quantified

    consistently with currentmethodsand guidance* Understandingof perceived

    conservatism and its sources* Characterization f post-transitionrisk-informed changes

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    Overall PlantRisk Profile* Fire and internalevents PRAresults should be combined* Understandingof contributors o

    overallplant risk profile* Post-transitionanalyses shouldcompare changes to risk fromfires and internalevents* Risk-informed decisions should

    considercontext of proposedchange and PRA analyses

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    Sequential Submittal Schedule* The staff,should considera firmschedule for sequentialsubmittalsof license amendment requests fortransitionconsistent with theindustry target of June 2012

    - Fully incorporate essons learned frompilot projects- Time for industrypeer reviews and issue

    resolutions- Improved technical quality of subsequentsubmittals- Improved staff reviews of plant-specifictechnicalissues

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    Departures rom NUREGICR-6850" Industry peer reviews are effective,but schedules are limited bynumber of technically qualifiedindependent experts* Encourageactive engagement ofindustry senior technical review

    group" Timely staff communications of

    technicalpositions with genericapplicability30

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    Fire Events Database" Careful treatment of most recentoperatingexperience"Explicitly account for plant-to-plant variabilityas a contributor

    to uncertainties* Expedite data for "component-level" fire frequencies

    " Caution that supplemental datam ay not significantlyreduceoverall fire risk estimates

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    ElectricalCabinetFires* Typically most importantcontribution to fire risk" Propagation o nearby cables"Risk is. determined by location-

    specific fire hazards, geom etry,cables, and circuits* Realistic analyses of fire ignition,

    growth, detection, andsuppression are complex

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    ElectricalCabinetFires"NUREGICR-6850 defines onegeneralcategory of "electricalcabinets"" Approach is retained n near-term

    researchactivities" Cabinets should be divided intofunctional subgroups

    " Facilitate mproved treatment offire ignition frequencies,potentialfire severities, and risk from plant-specific locations

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    Interesting Observations Limited use of fire models forpost-ignitiongrowth, severity,andpropagation* Reliance on parametricvalues inNUREGICR-6850 and simplifiedempiricalcorrelations

    * Limited test data to support moredetailed analyses (e.g.., heatrelease rates)

    * Limited location-specificdetails34

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    Interesting Observations* Multiple spurious operations ("hotshorts") are often important torisk, but were not identified as asignificant impediment toNFPA 805 transition* Comparableeffort is required orcable identification and circuitanalysis for compliance with10.CFR 50.48(b)

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    US.NRCUnited States Nuclear Regulatory CommissionProtectingPeopleand theEnvironment

    AP IO00 DesignCertificationAmendment,Reference COLA, and

    Subsequent COLAHaroldB. Ray

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    ACRS Reports Issued* APIO00 Design Certification

    Amendment (DCA) - December 2010" APIO00 Long-Term Core Cooling -December 2010

    * APIO00 Aircraft Impact AssessmentJanuary2011" Vogtle Units 3&4 Reference COLA -

    January2011" V C. Summer Units 2&3 SubsequentCOLA - February2011

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    18-Month Review Period* Both staff and app licantscommitted to supportive andresponsive interactionwith ACRS* Reference COLA initiallyBellefonte - Revised to Vogtle by

    design center during review" Initiallyparallelreview processchanged to priority-based eview Scheduling flexibility by allconcerned essential to success

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    DCA Review Process* Definition of changes is vital to effectiveACRS review Chapter-by-chapter eview of textrevisions makes change definition verydifficult where many changes are beingmade

    " Late-submitted changes were reviewedindividually-not as chapter-by-chaptertext revisions

    * Chapter-by-chapter taff reviews andACRS review of individualchanges wouldrequire more time

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    ParallelDCA and COLA Reviews ,ACRS establishedreview priorities

    placing DCA ahead of ReferenceCOLA and then Subsequent COLA* The design center greatlyfacilitatedmanagement of reviews

    during the evolving process* COLAs requiredrevisions followingACRS review to reflect finalizedDCA

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    Conclusions* Changes to certified designs

    should be presented to ACRS asindividualchanges, rather hanrevisions to affected text on achapter-by-chapterbasis

    * COLAs referencing an amendedcertified design should bereviewed after the DCA review iscompleted

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    < U.S.NRCUnited States Nuclear Regulatory CommissionProtectingPeopleand theEnvironment

    Comparisonof ISA andPRA for Fuel CycleFacilities

    Michael T Ryan

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    May 12, 2010 SRM* Directed the staff to prepare a

    paper that compares ISAs forFCFs to PRA methods used forpower reactors

    * Directed that the staff provide acopy to the ACRS for review

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    ACRSIACNW Reports* January 14, 2002, ACNWrecommended that NRC move theISA process in the direction ofquantitativerisk assessment

    * February22, 2010, ACRSrecommended that the staffcontinue to move FCF reviews inthe direction of risk-informedregulationsconsistent with otherAgency applications

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    ISAIPRA ComparisonPaper Transmitted to the ACRS for

    review on December 15, 2010* Concluded that ISAs were

    acceptable for meeting10 CFR Part 70, but m ay needPRA approach to determ ine risksignificance of inspectionfindings

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    Comparisonof ISA and PRAISA:" Used extensively in the chemical

    industry" Conservativeanalysis* Identifies:

    Accident sequencesHigh and intermediateconsequenceeventsItems Relied On ForSafetyManagement measures

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    Comparison of ISA and PRA(cont.)

    PRA:* Used extensively by the reactorindustry

    * Realistic assessment* PRA also analyzes:- Human reliability- Dependencies- Relative risk importance of

    contributors47

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    Comparison of ISA and PRA.(cont.)Advantages of PRA:" Ability to rank IROFS in terms of

    risk importance* More rigorous treatment ofdependencies and human error* Ability to analyze complex

    facilities" Provides an integratedriskperspective

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    Conclusions* Staff's comparisonpaperprovided an

    exposition of the advantagesanddisadvantagesof the use of ISA andPRA methods

    ISAs, in combination with practicesrequiredby currentregulations,areadequate for licensing FCFs under10 CFR Part 70

    * PRA is advantageousbecause itprovides a basis for prioritizationofsafety systems and maintenanceactivities 49

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    Recommendation* The staff should continue todevelop and test the use of

    focused PRA -like analyses tohelp assess the risk significanceof inspection findings in FCFs

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    Path Forward0 Move ISA towards PRA for

    complex facilities with highconsequences

    * ACRS -willcontinue to interactwith the staff on cornerstonesfor the Fuel Cycle OversightProcess and choice of analyticmethods for implementation

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    U.S.NRCUnited States Nuclear Regulatory CommissionProtectingPeople and theEnvironment

    Use of Risk Insights toEnhance the SafetyFocus of Small Modular

    ReactorReviewsDennis C. Bley

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    Background* August 31, 2010 SRM

    - Integraterisk insights and develop risk-informed (R-l) licensing review plans forSMRs- Build on SMR and NGNP review insights andNUREG-1860 to develop a new R-I licensingframework for the longer term

    - Identify resolution strategies or policyissues* SECY-11-0024 Risk Insights in SMR reviews

    - R-1 framework for iPWR reviews- R-I design-specific review plans for each iPWR- New R-1 regulatory ramework

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    ProposedStaff Approach-iPWRs* Developed R-l review framework for

    near-term iPWR designs* Develop design-specific review plans

    - SRP tailored to each iPWR design

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    ProposedStaff Approach Develop a longer term R-I

    performance-based P-B) regulatoryframeworkpilot review iPWR design applicationcompare and contrast the proposedNGNP approach with NUREG-1860principlesCompare and contrastproposed LiquidMetal Reactor (LMR) approacheswithNUREG-1860 principlesConsolidate insights for R-I, P-Bframework recommendation

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    March

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    2011 ACRS Letter" Draft framework is appropriate" Design-specific iPWR review plansis crucialstep" ConsiderPIRT-like processes to

    guide development" Longer-term approach for licensereview of non-LWR SMRs is thelogicalextension of NUREG-1860

    * Proposedpilot studies essential

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    Additional Considerations

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    * Lessons learned from recentdesign certificationreviews

    * Risk-informed aspects ofanticipatedSMR applicationsrequire more complete PRAs

    * Bound the external events for potentialsites

    Application in remote and harshenvironments could requirespecializationof data and designassumptions

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    Going Forward

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    * Implementation of new frameworks" Novel designs of some SMRshighlightneed for criteriadefining

    when experimental demonstration ofpredictedplant performance isneeded to provide confidence incomplex computer models

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    AbbreviationsABWRACNWACRSAPWRAPIO00BWRCAPCFRCOLACYDACDCDCAECCSEDOEP REPRIESBWRFCFsGEiPWR

    Advanced Boiling Water ReactorAdvisory Committee on Nuclear WasteAdvisory Committee on ReactorSafeguardsAdvanced Pressurized-waterReactorAdvanced Passive 1000Boiling Water ReactorContainmentAccident PressureCode of FederalRegulationsCombined License ApplicationCalendarYearDesignAcceptance CriteriaDesign CertificationDesign CertificationAmendmentEmergency Core Cooling SystemExecutive Director or OperationsEvolutionaryPower ReactorElectric Power Research InstituteEconomic Simplified Boiling WaterReactorFuel Cycle FacilitiesGeneralElectricIntegratedPressurizedWaterReactors

    IROFsISAI&CLMRLWRNFPANGNPNRCNUREGICRPBPIRTPRARGR-ISECYSE RSMRSOARCASRMSRP

    Items Relied on for SafetyIntegrated Safety AnalysisInstrumentation& ControlLiquid Metal Cooled ReactorLight Water ReactorNationalFire ProtectionAssociationNext GenerationNuclearPlantNuclear Regulatory CommissionNUREG Contractor eportPerformancebasedPhenomena IdentificationandRanking TablesProbabilisticRisk AssessmentRegulatory GuideRisk InformedSecretary of CommissionSafety Evaluation ReportSmall ModularReactorState-of-the-Art ReactorConsequence AnalysesStaff RequirementsMemorandumlMemorandaStandard Review Plan

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