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ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING CAPABILITY AND SUFFICIENCY REVIEW Dr. B. John Garrick Chairman, ACNW March 22, 2001

ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

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Page 1: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO

EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING CAPABILITY

AND SUFFICIENCY REVIEW

Dr. B. John Garrick

Chairman, ACNW

March 22, 2001

Page 2: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Introduction

"* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's licensing review capability

"• Strategy integrates several ACNW first-tier priorities (Figure 1)

"* Strategy features a "vertical slice review" of DOE's technical basis documents for the site recommendation

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Page 3: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's
Page 4: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Introduction (Cont'd)

Strategy Integrates (Figure 2): - Vertical Slice Review of Technical

Basis Documents - Key Technical Issue (KTI)

Resolution - Specific Technical Issues

(e.g., Alloy 22)

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Page 5: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Introduction (Cont'd)

* Strategy Integrates (Figure 2) cont'd.

- Performance Assessment (PA) tools

- Proposed 10 CFR 63 - Draft YMRP and Guidance

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Page 6: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

I,Figure 2

S ite.; S uitabQ it

and

Verlical Slice

Re

Page 7: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

ACNW'S VERTICAL SLICE REVIEW

Dr. George M. Hornberger

ACNW

March 22, 2001

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Page 8: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Vertical Slice Review

"• ACNW's original approach to a sufficiency review (6/29/00) described an evaluation of DOE's technical basis documents

"* Current approach is not a comprehensive review of DOE's technical basis

"* Revised approach is a vertical slice review of NRC's sufficiency review

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Page 9: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Vertical Slice Objectives

"* Is NRC's sufficiency review risk informed and performance based?

"* Are the staff's sufficiency comments logical and defensible?

"* Are there gaps in the staff's tools, guidance, and capability to review a possible LA for Yucca Mountain?

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Page 10: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Vertical Slice Approach

"* Review selected KTIs to evaluate transparency, traceability, and defensibility

"* Evaluate whether the staff's approach is reasonable and RIPB

"• Become familiar with DOE's technical basis documents

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Page 11: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Vertical Slice Approach (Cont'd)

* Use YMRP guidance, IRSRs, and technical exchange agreements to guide review

• Interact with the NRC staff during review

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Page 12: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Vertical Slice Topics

* HLW chemistry review

* Saturated zone flow

• Thermal effects on flow

* Total system performance assessment

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Page 13: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Example of Vertical Slice Review

Saturated Zone KTI

* NRC subissue: ambient flow and dilution in the saturated zone flow

* NRC Status: closed-pending

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Page 14: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Example of Vertical Slice Review

Saturated Zone KTI

* ACNW Approach:

- Is the staff's basis for closedpending status transparent?

- Is NRC's approach RIPB?

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Page 15: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Example of Vertical Slice Review

Saturated Zone KTI

* DOE's current modeling approach - 3D flow and transport model

- principal axis oriented in SW-NE

direction

- anisotropic, stochastic parameters, alluvial uncertainty zone

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Page 16: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Some NRC staff concerns about SZ flow: - Anisotropy? - Flow paths in alluvium? - Alternative conceptual models?

NorthYucca Mountain

1 '~~' • . . . . . f. .

I m scale 100m scale\ 1/0 m scale

Porous Medium Large-scale, Vertical Larger effective porosity. Transverse

Longer groundwater Dispersion travel time (dilution)

Legend l - AdveC.on V Wirer Tabei

S.... . O is,11 11 i I FV3037-3

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Page 17: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Some NRC staff requests: - Detailed plan for alluvial testing - Justification for uncertainty of paths

'- E•-P•6D

, ,;NYE COUNTY, NEVADA

.... ]• ,-= EARLY WARNING DRILLING PROGRAM DRILLHOLE LOCATIONS

* Phase I Drillholes * Phase II DrIIholus * Phase II Monitoring Wells

Phase II injection Well / Phase MrllDillhtes

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Page 18: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Products

"* Status of Issue Resolution

"* Report on vertical slice reviews

"* Comments on DOE's technical basis documents

"* Report on the staff's sufficiency comments on DOE's technical basis documents

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Page 19: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

KEY TECHNICAL ISSUE (KTI)

RESOLUTION

Mr. Milton Levenson

ACNW

March 22, 2001

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Page 20: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

KTI Resolution

* Goal of issue resolution is to clarify what is needed for license application

* Based on technical exchange meetings, DOE submittals, and staff reviews

* Issue resolution is not compliance determination

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Page 21: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Observations

"* Issue resolution process appears to be working

"• Staff has capability to evaluate issue closure requirements

"* Progress has been made in adopting risk-informed and performance-based (RIPB) approach

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Page 22: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Concerns

"* Have all subissues been identified?

"* Has integration been achieved?

"* Has RIPB been implemented?

"* Has public participation been appropriate?

"* Will design evolution require major changes?

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Page 23: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Follow-up Questions

* Is the risk of the various KTI subissues and integrated subissues (ISIs) known or understood?

* Are the KTIs the most risksignificant issues identified by PA?

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Page 24: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

ALLOY 22 CORROSION

Dr. Raymond G. Wymer

ACNW

March 22, 2001

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Page 25: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Importance of Issue

* Longevity of waste packages is a key attribute of DOE's Repository Safety Strategy

* DOE expects Alloy 22 to contain radionuclides for more than 10,000 years

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Page 26: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Previous ACNW Advice

* Bound environmental conditions affecting corrosion

* Understand corrosion mechanisms (e.g., stress corrosion cracking and pitting)

• Develop confirmatory data

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Page 27: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Observations and Conclusions

"* Experiments by Nevada consultants not representative of Yucca Mountain

"* Role of trace elements in corrosion not yet thoroughly investigated by DOE and NRC

"* NRC and CNWRA identifying conditions where trace elements could influence results

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Page 28: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Recommendations

"• Verify that absence of trace elements in previous work did not bias conclusions

"* Evaluate key corrosion conditions at Yucca Mountain

"* Understand corrosion mechanisms

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Page 29: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Follow-up Questions

* Are expectations of waste package performance limiting study of other features or processes (multiple barriers) that affect performance?

* For example, is radionuclide transport in the near-field being adequately addressed?

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Page 30: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

NRC STAFF PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT CAPABILITY

Dr. B. John Garrick ACNW

March 22, 2001

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Page 31: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Previous Recommendations

"* Strengthen capability in specific disciplines

"* Improve methods for evaluating individual barrier performance

"* Ranking importance of risk contributors

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Page 32: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Previous Recommendations

(Cont'd)

"• Peer review NRC's TPA code

"* Utilize realistic models and parameters

"• Improve transparency of the analyses

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Page 33: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

TPA Peer Review

* Peer review of TPA Code conducted by independent team

* Peer members' comments currently being considered by staff

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Page 34: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Conclusions

"* Staff is addressing ACNW concerns and improving their overall PA capability

"* TPA code is evolving as an effective tool for evaluating DOE TSPA

"* Committee is satisfied with progress

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Page 35: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Follow-up Questions

* How has uncertainty been evaluated?

* Are the key issues treated with conservative bounding assumptions or assessed more realistically?

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Page 36: ACNW'S INTEGRATED STRATEGY TO EVALUATE THE STAFF'S LICENSING … › docs › ML0108 › ML010820257.pdf · 2012-11-17 · Introduction "* Strategy involves evaluating the staff's

Summary

"* Integrated strategy to evaluate staff's licensing capability and sufficiency review

"° Includes works in progress and past letters

"* Other aspects of the strategy include proposed 10 CFR 63 and draft YMRP

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