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Accenture Plc (ACN). Analysts: Chris Landqvist , Justin Pippitt , Kelli Coldiron & Wei Pi . Macro Economic Outlook. Lagging, Coincident, Leading Indicators. Business Cycle Sectors. Current Portfolio Sector Weights. Company Overview. Overview. *3 Key Services: - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Accenture Plc (ACN)Analysts: Chris Landqvist, Justin Pippitt, Kelli Coldiron & Wei Pi
Macro Economic Outlook
Lagging, Coincident, Leading Indicators
Business Cycle Sectors
Current Portfolio Sector Weights
Company Overview
*3 Key Services: Global management consulting, technology services and outsourcing company
*5 Operating Groups:Communications and high tech, financial services,
health and public service, products, and resources
*236,000 employees in 54 countries
*Clients:Fortune Global 500, Fortune 1000, and mid-size
companies and governments
*Generated net revenues of US$25.5 billion in 2011 fiscal year.
Overview
Historical Performance Analysis
3-Year Compound Average Growth Rates
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2.06 2.77 2.55 2.79 3.530.42 0.50 0.75 0.83 1.132.74 3.51 3.28 3.24 3.992.31 2.62 2.82 2.80 2.35
Per Share Metrics
Earnings
NOPATFree Cash Flow
Dividends
Per Share Metrics
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%ACN ^SPX
Cumulative Stock Returns vs. Market
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Total Revenue Net Income
Total Revenue and Net Income
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Total Revenue Net Income
Total Revenue and Net Income
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Total Revenue Net Income
Total Revenue and Net Income
$0$500
$1,000$1,500$2,000$2,500$3,000$3,500$4,000$4,500
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
EBITDA EBIT
Operating Profit
Earnings Per Share and Dividends Per Share
Estimated Range
Actual Earnings
Estimated and Actual Earnings Per Share
Gross and Operating Margin
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Gross Profit Margin Operating Profit Margin
Gross and Operating Profit Margin
0%2%4%6%8%
10%12%14%16%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Net Profit Margin Free Cash Flow Margin
Net and Free Cash Flow Margin
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Earnings Yield Dividend Yield
Earnings and Dividend Yield
0%
0%
0%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Total Debt to Assets Long-Term Debt to Equity
Total Debt to Assets, Long-Term Debt to Equity
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
ROA ROE ROIC
Return on Assets, Equity and Capital
Spread WACC
ROIC/WACC Spread
35.3%
Economic and Market Value Added
Porter’s 5 Forces
SP • Numerous suppliers• Price sensitivity is high• Similarity in products
• Low
Porter’s – Supplier Power
SP • Numerous suppliers• Price sensitivity is high• Similarity in products
• Low
BP • Excess demand• High switching costs• Brand name
• Low
Porter’s – Buyer Power
SP • Numerous suppliers• Price sensitivity is high• Similarity in products
• Low
BP • Excess demand• High switching costs• Brand name
• Low
CR • Numerous competitors• Other strong brands• Specialized local competitors
• High
Porter’s – Competitive Rivalry
SP • Numerous suppliers• Price sensitivity is high• Similarity in products
• Low
BP • Excess demand• High switching costs• Brand name
• Low
CR • Numerous competitors• Other strong brands• Specialized local competitors
• High
TS • Lack of uniqueness • Competition more vertical integration
• High
Porter’s – Threat of Substitutes
SP • Numerous suppliers• Price sensitivity is high• Similarity in products
• Low
BP • Excess demand• High switching costs• Brand name
• Low
CR • Numerous competitors• Other strong brands• Specialized local competitors
• High
TS • Lack of uniqueness • Competition more vertical integration
• High
NE • Fairly cheap• Less regulation• Nature of technology
• Medium
Porter’s – Threat of New Entrants
SWOT
S • New contract structure• Increased need from US/EURO• No debt• Internal software solution
SWOT - Strengths
S • New contract structure• Increased need from US/EURO• No debt• Internal software solution
W • Foreign exchange loss• Domiciled in Ireland • Limited ability to protect Intellectual rights
SWOT – Weaknesses
S • New contract structure• Increased need from US/EURO• No debt• Internal software solution
W • Foreign exchange loss• Domiciled in Ireland • Limited ability to protect Intellectual rights
O • Growth in emerging markets• Increased demand for out-sourcing• Global footprint satisfies demand for increased
efficiency
SWOT - Opportunities
S • New contract structure• Increased need from US/EURO• No debt• Internal software solution
W • Foreign exchange loss• Domiciled in Ireland • Limited ability to protect Intellectual rights
O • Growth in emerging markets• Increased demand for out-sourcing• Global footprint satisfies demand for increased
efficiency
T • Qualified workers • Decreased government spending• SAP starts competing same market segment
SWOT - Threats
* ACN competes in the IT sector alongside several other strong players.
*Clients will pay a premium for working with brand name company with a global footprint.
*The nature of technology is volatile but requires low initial capital investment and faces limited government/industry regulation or policies.
*ACN is well positioned to quickly adhere to the needs of their clients worldwide through proprietary software.
*Hiring a skilled workforce is becoming increasingly difficult.With no debt, ACN is well positioned for M&A activity to acquire new talent or technology.
Strategic Position Summary
Forecasts
Income Statement Forecasts
Unadjusted Adjusted
Revenue Growth
Dividend Growth
Income Statement Forecast Graphs
Balance Sheet Forecasts
Balance Sheet Forecasts
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Over (Under) Valuation Per Share
Dividend Discount and Relative Valuation Models
Intrinsic vs. Current Price
PRVit Scores
PRVit Overall
PRVit Performance and Risk
PRVit vs. Industry and Market
PRVit Return on Capital vs. Cost of Capital
Investment Thesis
Despite slow growth in Total Revenue, ACN has been able to grow EBIT, NOPAT, and EPS during fierce economic conditions. In conjunction with a ROIC to WACC spread of 35.3%, ACN is able to create value for their shareholders while increasing their dividend on a sequential basis. ACN’s global footprint is essential to take advantage of the opportunities in growth markets. The increasing need for improved efficiency in both the U.S. and Europe, currently in a declining economic trend, further strengthens ACN’s position. The negative currency exchange risk is a concern, which partially explains the conservative forecast assumptions for this fundamentally robust corporation. Due to its historical performance, commitment to dividends and low valuation we recommend to BUY ACN.
Investment Thesis
Questions