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Development of a comprehensive cell-free DNA (cfDNA) assay for early detection of multiple tumor types: The Circulating Cell-free Genome Atlas (CCGA) studyEric Klein1, Earl Hubbell2, Tara Maddala2, Alex Aravanis2, John F. Beausang2, Darya Filippova2, Samuel Gross2, Arash Jamshidi2, Kathryn Kurtzman2, Ling Shen2, Anton Valouev2, Oliver Venn2, Nan Zhang2, David A. Smith3, Timothy Yeatman4, Robert Tibshirani5, Mikkael Sekeres1, Richard Thomas Williams2*, Anne-Renee Hartman2, Michael Seiden6, Minetta C. Liu7
1Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH. 2GRAIL, Inc. Menlo Park, CA. 3Compass Oncology, Vancouver, WA. 4Gibbs Cancer Center and Research Institute, Spartanburg, SC. 5Stanford University, Stanford, CA. 6US Oncology Research, The Woodlands, TX. 7Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN. *Current affiliation: WuXi NextCODE
INTRODUCTION ¡ The Circulating Cell-free
Genome Atlas (CCGA) study (NCT02889978) is a prospective, multi center, longitudinal, observational study for the development of a noninvasive assay for cancer detection (Figure 1)
¡ >12,000 of 15,000 planned participants enrolled (~70% cancer, 30% non-cancer)
¡ A preplanned case-control substudy is reported here
BACKGROUND ¡ The majority of cancers are detected at advanced stages when treatment burden is high and cure rates are low1, thus
early diagnosis is likely to improve survival and improve quality of life2
¡ The use of circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) for early cancer detection would require very high specificity in a screening population to avoid false positives and thus unnecessary workups and follow-up testing
¡ Available cfDNA-based tests for cancer are almost exclusively focused on detecting later-stage tumors, when ctDNA levels are high
¡ Additionally, there are few studies of people without cancer to define specificity in the intended use population3,4
¡ Tumor fraction in cfDNA is lower in early stage cancers versus later-stage cancers, and can be low even in some metastatic disease5,6
¡ High levels of technical and biological specificity near the molecular limit of detection will be required to detect low-prevalence cfDNA shed from cancer across large genomic regions with confidence
¡ This is especially true for a test aimed at detecting multiple cancers from a single blood draw
METHODS ¡ Blood was prospectively collected (N=1,785) from 984 participants (pts, 878 with stage information) with newly-
diagnosed, untreated cancer (20 tumor types, all stages) and 749 participants with no cancer diagnosis (controls) for plasma cfDNA extraction (Figure 2).
¡ Three prototype sequencing assays were performed: paired cfDNA and white blood cell (WBC) targeted sequencing (507 genes, 60,000X) for single nucleotide variants/indels, paired cfDNA and WBC whole-genome sequencing (WGS, 30X) for copy number variation, and cfDNA whole-genome bisulfite sequencing (WGBS, 30X) for methylation; WBC sequencing identified the contribution of clonal hematopoiesis (CH) (Figure 3).
¡ Informative features were extracted for each assay: support for somatic variants in genes, variation in read depth, and unusually methylated fragments, respectively. ML classifiers were independently trained on each feature type to estimate probability of cancer. For each assay, a classification model using 10-fold cross-validation was developed to avoid over-fitting to the training data and to discriminate cancer from controls.
¡ Sensitivity was estimated at 98% specificity after accounting for clonal hematopoiesis.
1,785 Clinically Locked
1,733 Clinically Evaluable984 Cancer� 878 with stage
580 Non-cancer169 Non-cancer assaycontrols
� 52 (3%) excluded based on eligibility criteria
� 106 (6%) excluded due to missing stage
� 3 (<1%) excluded for other clinical reasons
� 49 (3%) excluded due to unevaluable assay data for one or more assays
� 169 (10%) non-cancer assay controls excluded
1,406 Analyzable with Assay Data
845 Cancer
� 539 with tumor tissue
561 Non-cancer
Figure 2. 2,800 participants sampled for first case-control sub-study. The training set (N=1,785, depicted here) was used to develop classifiers of cancer versus non-cancer. Analysis followed a pre-specified statistical analysis plan, with clinical and assay data blinded to each other prior to lock.
cfD
NA
WB
C g
DN
ATargeted
Methylation
WGS
Input Interference Final Features
Targeted
Classifier
WGS
Classifier
Methylation
Classifier
Classifiers
Tum
or
WGS
WB
C g
DN
A
� 507-gene panel� 60,000X depth� 3,000X unique coverage
� Bisulfite sequencing� 30X depth
� 30X depth
� 30X depth
� Variants from WBCs
� SCNA signals from WBCs
� Aging� Biological variation
� Non- synonymous SNVs/indels
� Somatic copy number
� Fragment- level CpG methylation status
� Tumor variants for comparison
Figure 3. Ultra-Deep Prototype Sequencing Assays Used in CCGA to Comprehensively Characterize the Cancer-Specific cfDNA Signals.
Blood samples
(from all participants)
Tissue samples
(cancer only)
Bl
(fr
15,000+ participants
70% with cancer
30% without
142 Active Sites
Targeted sequencing (cfDNA, WBCs)
Whole-genome sequencing (cfDNA, WBCs)
Targeted and whole-genome bisulfite sequencing (cfDNA)
Follow-up for 5 yrs
All participants
Fol
All
Whole-genome sequencing (tumor tissue)
Participants with cancer: Data on treatment, recurrence, mortality
Participants without cancer: Remain cancer-free or developnew cancer diagnosis, data on cancer status & treatment, mortality
FPI: 08/2016; 12,292 enrolled; Target: Complete Enrollment of all 15,000 Participants in 2018
Whole-transcriptome sequencing (cfRNA)
cfDNA = Cell-Free Deoxyribonucleic Acid; WBC = White Blood Cell; cfRNA = Cell-Free Ribonucleic Acid
Figure 1. CCGA study design
RESULTSParticipant demographics
¡ Overall, the cancer and non-cancer groups were comparable with respect to age, sex, race/ethnicity, and BMI (not shown) (Table 1)
¡ Participants with lung cancer tended to be older, and more were ever-smokers
¡ Stage distribution was consistent with the United States cancer incidence (SEER reference) (Table 2)
Table 1. Participant demographics.
Cancer Non-CancerBreast Lung Prostate Colorectal Other*
Total 410 127 74 51 322 580
Age, Mean ± SD 58 ± 13 67 ± 9 64 ± 8 60 ± 11 62 ± 12 60 ± 13
Sex (%)
Female 100% 54% 0% 53% 59% 78%
Race/Ethnicity (%)
White, Non-Hispanic 86% 88% 82% 92% 85% 84%
African American 8% 5% 12% <1% 6% 8%
Hispanic, Asian, Other 6% 7% 6% 7% 9% 8%
Smoking Status (%)
Never-smoker 60% 15% 50% 63% 47% 57%
Table 2. Stage distribution was consistent with SEER-observed United States distribution (https://seer.cancer.gov)
Breast Lung Prostate Colorectal Other*
Total (n) 410 127 74 51 322
Method of Dx (%)
Dx by Screening 58% 18% 91% 29% 4%
Overall Clinical Stage (%)
0** 12% <1% <1% 0% 2%
I 41% 18% 23% 8% 27%
II 31% 11% 66% 16% 16%
III 12% 31% 4% 31% 18%
IV 2% 37% 5% 37% 27%
Non-Informative*** 2% 2% 1% 8% 10%
*Other includes anorectal, bladder, cervical, esophageal, gastric, head & neck, hepatobiliary, lymphoma, melanoma, multiple myeloma, ovarian, pancreas, renal, thyroid, uterine, unknown primary/other. **DCIS/CIS. ***Staging information not available.
Specificity ¡ Non-tumor WBC-matched cfDNA non-synonymous somatic variants (SNVs/indels) accounted
for, on average:
¡ 3,633 of 3,724 (98%) of all variants in non-cancer group
¡ 5,996 of 8,501 (71%) in cancer group
� Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) is being presented in more detail in oral presentation 12003
¡ Only 5 of 580 (<1%) samples from participants enrolled as non-cancer had a cancer-like signal across multiple assays
¡ With WGS, 8 of 575 non-cancer samples had somatic copy number alterations in cfDNA
� 4 were WBC-matched
� 4 were non-WBC-matched (<1% of all non-cancer samples)
¡ Two non-cancer participants with a cancer-like signal were subsequently diagnosed with cancer (ovarian, diagnosed two months after blood draw; endometrial, diagnosed three months after blood draw)
� This suggests that the few other cancer-like signals may also be due to undiagnosed cancer
Sensitivity ¡ The assays were able to detect cancers with high mortality at early stages
¡ Cancers with the highest signal (>50% sensitivity overall) included anorectal, triple-negative breast cancer (see poster 536), colorectal, esophageal, head & neck, hepatobiliary, lung, lymphoma, ovarian, and pancreas (Figure 5)
¡ There were high biological signal (>50%) in cancers with high mortality (>50%, SEER reference) for which there are no standard-of-care screening paradigms or for which screening uptake is low7 (Figure 6)
¡ These include esophageal, hepatobiliary, lung, ovarian, and pancreatic cancers
¡ Lung cancer and breast cancer are reported in more detail in late-breaking oral presentation LBA8501 and poster 536, respectively
Figure 5. Sensitivity was reported at 98% specificity for stage I-III and stage IV, separately, across tumor types.
A) Anorectal B) Bladder C) Breast D) Cervix
Overall
I-III
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
Overall
I-III
IV
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
Overall
I-III
IV
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
Overall
I-III
IV
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
¡ 14% stage I, 14% stage II, 71% stage III, 0% stage IV
¡ 20% stage I, 30% stage II, 10% stage III, 40% stage IV
¡ 48% stage I, 36% stage II, 14% stage III, 2% stage IV
¡ In TNBC, 57% sensitivity (95% CI: 42-71%) at 98% specificity (poster 536)
¡ 54% stage I, 23% stage II, 15% stage III, 8% stage IV
¡ 54% squamous cell carcinoma, 38% adenocarcinoma, 8% other
E) Colorectal F) Esophageal G) Gastric H) Head & Neck
Overall
I-III
IV
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
Overall
I-III
IV
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
Overall
I-III
IV
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
Overall
I-III
IV
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
¡ 9% stage I, 18% stage II, 33% stage III, 40% stage IV
¡ 8% stage I, 33% stage II, 38% stage III, 21% Stage IV
¡ 79% adenocarcinoma, 8% squamous cell carcinoma, 12% other
¡ 18% stage I, 36% stage II, 18% stage III, 27% stage IV
¡ 11% stage I, 16% stage II, 21% stage III, 53% stage IV
I) Hepatobiliary J) Lung K) Lymphoma L) Melanoma
Overall
I-III
IV
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
Overall
I-III
IV
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
Overall
I-III
IV
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
Overall
I-III
IV
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
¡ 0% stage I, 23% stage II, 15% stage III, 62% stage IV
¡ 19% stage I, 11% stage II, 32% stage III, 38% stage IV
¡ 18% stage I, 27% stage II, 27% stage III, 27% stage IV
¡ 60% stage I, 10% stage II, 10% stage III, 20% stage IV
M) Multiple myeloma N) Ovarian O) Pancreas P) Prostate
I-III
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
Overall
I-III
IV
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
Overall
I-III
IV
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
Overall
I-III
IV
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
¡ 46% stage I, 27% stage II, 27% stage III, 0% stage IV
¡ 10% stage I, 5% stage II, 43% stage III, 33% stage
¡ 65% serous carcinoma (of those, 91% high-grade, 9% missing), 6% granulosa, 29% other
¡ 8% stage I, 23% stage II, 8% stage III, 62% stage IV
¡ 22% stage I, 68% stage II, 4% stage III, 6% stage IV
Q) Renal R) Thyroid S) Uterine
Overall
I-III
IV
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
Overall
I-III
IV
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
Overall
I-III
IV
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
¡ 62% stage 1, 12% stage II, 12% stage III, 15% stage IV
¡ 54% stage I, 8% stage II, 15% stage III, 23% stage IV
¡ 92% papillary carcinoma, 8% medullary carcinoma
¡ 93% stage I, 4% stage II, 0% stage III, 4% stage IV
¡ 89% endometrioid adenocarcinoma, 4% serious carcinoma, 4% carcinosarcoma, 4% other
“Other” and “Cancer of Unknown Primary” were excluded. Multiple myleoma was analyzed using a prior version of the training assays.
Figure 6. High biological signal (>50% sensitivity overall on any assay) in typically unscreened cancers with high mortality (>50%, SEER). Sensitivity for Stage I-III and Stage IV at 98% specificity is reported in aggregate for esophageal, hepatobiliary, lung, ovarian, and pancreatic cancers.
N
80%60%40%20%0% 100%
69% (62-75%)
54% (44-63%)
90% (81-96%)
Methylation Score(Sensitivity [95% CI])
Sensitivity at 98% Specificity
Overall
I-III
IV
198
117
81
CONCLUSIONS ¡ The CCGA study is a prospective, longitudinal cohort study of a representative and
generalizable cohort with >12,000 of a planned 15,000 cancer and non-cancer participants enrolled
¡ A comprehensive set of sequencing assays (copy number, methylation, SNVs/indels) performed on peripheral blood generated large-scale, high-quality datasets that allowed discovery of cancer-specific features, and facilitated the development of prototype classifiers
¡ Data and analysis from the first training set (~1700 individuals) demonstrate: ¡ WBC derived copy number and SNVs are a significant source of signal that must be
accounted for to obtain high specificity ¡ Some cancer-like signal in non-cancer participants was due to undiagnosed cancer ¡ Signals across assay features are highly correlated ¡ Strong biological signal in unscreened cancers with high mortality ¡ Signal observed in early-stage cancer across several tumor types
¡ This prototype cfDNA-based blood test detected multiple cancers at various stages with high specificity
¡ Supports that this approach is promising as a multi-cancer screening test, including for lethal unscreened cancers where stage shift can impact mortality
¡ Further assay and clinical development of a multi-cancer cfDNA test in an asymptomatic population is ongoing (NCT03085888)
¡ Due to limitations in assessing accuracy using the same dataset in which the classifiers are developed, classification models will be evaluated in the independent test set from this substudy
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Disclosures: E.K. is a consultant for GRAIL, Inc., GenomicHealth, and GenomeDx. E.H., T.M., A.A., J.F.B., D.F., S.G., A.J., K.K., L.S., A.V., O.V., N.Z., and A.-R.H. are employees of GRAIL, Inc. with options to hold stock in the company. A.J., and K.K. hold stock in Illumina. E.H. holds stock in ThermoFisher. R.T. is a consultant for GRAIL Inc. R.W. is a former employee of GRAIL with options to hold stock in the company, and is an employee of WuXi NextCODE with options to hold stock in the company. M.S. is an employee of McKesson Corporation with stock in the company.
©GRAIL, Inc., 2018. GRAIL is a registered trademark of GRAIL, Inc. All rights reserved.
2018 ASCO Annual MeetingJune 1–5, 2018Chicago, Illinois, USA
Abstract 12021#134