34
Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Abel & BernankeCh. 8, 10 - 11

Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Page 2: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2

Figure 1.1 Output of the U.S. economy, 1869–2002

Page 3: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3

Figure 1.2 Average labor productivity in the United States, 1900–2002

Page 4: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 4

Figure 1.3 The U.S. unemployment rate, 1890–2002

Page 5: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5

Figure 1.4 Consumer prices in the United States

Page 6: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6

Figure 1.5 U.S. exports and imports, 1869–2002

Page 7: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 7

Figure 1.6 U.S. Federal government spending and tax collections, 1869–2002

Page 8: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 8

Figure 8.1 Business cycles (Ch. 8)

Page 9: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 9

Figure 8.2 Index of industrial production, January 2000–April 2003

Page 10: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10

Figure 8.3 Total nonfarm employment, January 2000–April 2003

Page 11: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

11

Page 12: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12

Figure 8.5 Cyclical behavior of consumption and investment

Total Output = Y = C + I + G + NX

Page 13: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13

Figure 8.12 The aggregate demand–aggregate supply model

Page 14: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14

Figure 8.13 An adverse aggregate demand shock

Page 15: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 15

Figure 8.14 An adverse aggregate supply shock

Page 16: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 16

Neoclassical / Real Business Cycles (Ch. 10): Figure 10.3 Small shocks and large cycles

Page 17: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 17

Figure 10.4 Effects of a temporary increase in government purchases

Page 18: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 18

Figure 10.6 The aggregate supply curve in the misperceptions theory

Page 19: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 19

Figure 10.7 An unanticipated increase in the money supply

Page 20: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 20

Figure 10.8 An anticipated increase in the money supply

Page 21: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 21

Key Diagram 8 The misperceptions version of the AD–AS model

Page 22: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 22

Keynesianism (Ch. 11): Figure 11.1 Determination of the efficiency wage

Page 23: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23

Figure 11.2 Excess supply of labor in the efficiency wage model

Page 24: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 24

Table 11.1 Average Times Between Price Changes for Various Industries

Page 25: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 25

Figure 11.3 The effective labor demand curve

Page 26: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 26

Figure 11.4 An increase in the money supply

Page 27: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 27

Figure 11.4 An increase in the money supply (cont’d)

Page 28: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 28

Figure 11.5 An increase in government purchases

Page 29: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 29

Figure 11.5 An increase in government purchases (cont’d)

Page 30: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 30

Figure 11.6 An increase in government purchases in the Keynesian AD–AS framework

Page 31: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 31

Figure 11.7 A recession arising from an aggregate demand shock

Page 32: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 32

Figure 11.8 Stabilization policy in the Keynesian model

Page 33: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 33

Figure 11.9 An oil price shock in the Keynesian model

Page 34: Abel & Bernanke Ch. 8, 10 - 11 Key Macroeconomic Theories of the Business Cycle

Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 34

Key Elements of Monetary and Fiscal Policies

• Monetary Policy is controlled by the Federal Reserve which has two, competing goals:

– Stimulate healthy economic growth, and– Control inflation at a manageable level.

• Fiscal Policy is controlled by the Federal Government which has three key tools:

– Discretionary government spending,– Ability to enact new taxes (to increase Govt. Revenue), and– Automatic Stabilizers (e.g., income taxes, unemployment

benefits).